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BITCOIN stable after the Fed Rate Hike. What's next?

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has remained mostly stable following the Fed's 0.25 bps rate hike yesterday, despite an initial sell-off on the stock markets. This shows incredible resilience and as we approach the designated end of the Bear Cycle (October 2026) based on the 4-year Cycle Model, the market has now sustained the pressure of two major economic events (counting also Tuesday's Clarity Act failure). So the picture becomes clearer. According to the past three Bear Cycles since 2014, BTC is on almost an identical 1W RSI pattern of Higher Lows. Only a touch on that trend-line can deliver a price near $60k again, similar to what happened in August 2015 or a 0.5 Fib pull-back as in March 2023. As mentioned numerous times, a weekly closing above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), confirms the new Bull Cycle immediately. The 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is the technical market Support at the moment and any potential test is a buy opportunity. Especially as Bitcoin enters the 6 week period before the U.S. mid-term elections, which is expected to inflict strong volatility into the markets. Another striking similarity on this chart is that, after every bottom, the early stages of the Bull Cycles that followed have been inside a Channel Up. In 2020/21 and 2017, those led to parabolic rallies when they broke. In 2024/25 it was much calmer and controlled, almost an extension of the Channel Up itself. So use that to your advantage and once the 1W MA50 breaks, every minor correction towards it, would be a Bull Cycle buy opportunity. So is there enough time for one last pull-back or the 1W MA50 will break first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept
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