I personally executed shorts for a 1:3rr on CJ. Price respected a resistance level with the hourly immediately shifting bearish. I wanted to see price retest that new low on the 15m time frame with bearish closure underneath and price did just that. We'll see how the trade plays out. If all goes well we could see price tap back into the level below at 187.866
Gold is now testing a major Daily support zone around 4,295, after pulling back from the recent highs above 4,600. This is a much cleaner higher-timeframe setup than trying to trade every small intraday move. Trade Setup BUY: 4,295.075 SL: 4,221.032 TP: 4,439.586 Risk/Reward: ≈ 1:1.95 Why this level matters 🔹 Daily support zone: Price is sitting directly on a previously established support area. 🔹 Trendline confluence: The rising trendline from the August advance meets the current price structure. 🔹 Pullback: Gold has retraced significantly from the 4,600–4,700 region and is now reaching an important demand area. 🔹 Resistance above: The 4,439–4,500 region could become the next major upside objective if buyers regain control. Confirmation I'm watching Daily support holds → bullish rejection → buyers reclaim 4,295 → continuation toward 4,440. A strong Daily close below the support zone would weaken the bullish thesis, while a break below 4,221 invalidates this setup. 📌 The Daily chart gives the bigger picture. Lower timeframes can then be used to refine the entry rather than letting short-term noise dictate the entire trade. ⚠️ Technical analysis only, not financial advice. Manage risk and position size appropriately. Will Gold defend this Daily support and start the next leg toward 4,440?
Gold is approaching a major 4H support zone after an extended decline. Price is currently around 4,298, sitting near an important horizontal support area. The setup I'm watching is a potential bounce from support followed by a move back toward the upper resistance/trendline. 📌 Trade Idea — LONG Entry: 4,299.773 Stop Loss: 4,233.166 Take Profit: 4,439.586 Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2.1 Why I'm watching this area 🔹 4H support: Price is testing a previously respected support region. 🔹 Oversold structure: The market has experienced a significant decline from the 4,600+ region, making this an important area to watch for a reaction. 🔹 Multiple confluences: Horizontal support + broader trendline structure provide a potential reversal zone. 🔹 Upside resistance: The 4,439–4,470 region is an important resistance area and could become the next major target if buyers regain control. Confirmation I would like to see: Support holds → bullish rejection → break above nearby resistance → retest → continuation higher. If price breaks decisively below 4,233, the bullish setup is invalidated. ⚠️ Risk management is important. A support zone is not a guarantee of reversal. Wait for confirmation rather than blindly entering at the level. XAUUSD is now at a critical 4H decision zone. Will buyers defend this support and send Gold back toward 4,440?
https://www.tradingview.com/x/lpJsKQbU/ 🍀Overview I am not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups rather than subjective chart analysis. I built the rules into a strategy to make the decision-making process more systematic. This setup occurred before the strategy was developed. The trade is documented retrospectively and will be followed until the strategy exits or a discretionary exit is executed according to predefined rules. 🍀Process Ticker : NASDAQ:CCEP Date : 23/03/2026 Timeframe : Daily Direction : Long Strategy : Reversal Strategy Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot Signals Main signal: RSI Signals crossed above 30, indicating an exit from the oversold zone. This contributed a score of 0.5 Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator reached 100, exceeding the required threshold of 80. This contributed a score of 0.5 Signal Scoring Main signal score = 0.5 Confirmation signal score = 0.5 Long setup score = Main signal score + Confirmation signal score = 0.5 + 0.5 = 1.0 Long score threshold: 1.0 The long setup score met the required threshold. The strategy therefore placed a long bracket order. Risk Management Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1 Entry: 92.59 (the close of the setup candle) Stop distance: 9.82 (approximately 4x daily ATR) Target distance: 39.32 (approximately 16x daily ATR) Order Management : Bracket order Limit entry: 92.59 Market stop: 82.77 Limit target: 131.91 Baseline Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached. 🍀Outcome Trade Execution 23/03/2026: The daily candle closed, triggering the strategy to place a long bracket order. 24/03/2026: Price reached the trigger level, and the long entry filled. Trade Status Trading: active P.S. I’m currently applying this strategy to the Nasdaq-100. Let me know which stock you’d like me to look at next. Stay lucky!🍀
Gold is currently testing a key support area around 4,293, where horizontal support and the descending trendline are coming together. Price has shown a reaction from the lower zone, and I’m watching for a bullish breakout and retest above 4,298. Trade Setup BUY: 4,298.090 SL: 4,262.631 TP: 4,432.300 R:R: ~1:3.7 Why this setup is interesting 🔹 Strong support zone — Price is reacting around the 4,293 area. 🔹 Trendline interaction — The descending trendline has been respected during the recent decline. 🔹 Breakout potential — A clean break above 4,298 could signal short-term bullish momentum. 🔹 Retest confirmation — Ideally, price breaks 4,298, retests it as support, then continues higher. 🔹 Large upside target — 4,432 is near a major previous resistance/swing-high area. Confirmation I'm watching Support holds → bullish reaction → break above 4,298 → successful retest → continuation toward 4,432. If Gold loses the 4,262 area and stays below the support structure, this bullish setup is invalidated. ⚠️ This is a technical analysis setup, not financial advice. Manage risk carefully and avoid entering simply because price touches the level. Gold is at an important decision zone. Will buyers take control and push XAUUSD toward 4,432?
XAUUSD is currently trading around 4,339, with price consolidating near the H1 Demand Zone + Support after a previous bearish displacement. The broader H1 structure remains corrective following the rejection from the upper resistance area. However, recent price action shows a potential accumulation phase, with price holding above the previous lows and forming an Equal High liquidity area around 4,420–4,440. The key area to monitor is the Small OB around 4,325–4,340, which sits near the current price and the developing short-term structure. A liquidity sweep below the recent equal lows could provide the fuel for a bullish reaction from this zone. The higher-timeframe Demand Zone + Support around 4,285–4,345 remains an important area for potential accumulation. If this zone continues to hold, price may develop a recovery toward the upper H1 order block. The Bias: Short-Term Bullish Recovery / Potential Liquidity Sweep. The Target Path: Price may first sweep the equal lows around 4,290–4,310, then reclaim the Small OB and expand toward 4,400–4,440. A successful breakout above this area could open the path toward the major OB + Buy-Side Liquidity around 4,640–4,680. Potential Setup: Observe price reaction around the 4,325–4,340 Small OB. A sweep of the nearby sell-side liquidity, followed by bullish displacement and a bullish MSS/CHoCH, would support a potential recovery scenario. Confirmation: A clear liquidity sweep below the recent equal lows, followed by strong bullish displacement and a reclaim of the 4,400–4,440 area, would strengthen the bullish continuation scenario. Alternative Scenario: If price fails to hold the Small OB and breaks below the Demand Zone + Support, the correction could extend lower toward the 4,280–4,300 area before any meaningful recovery develops. Invalidation: Strong acceptance below the 4,285–4,300 support area would weaken the bullish recovery thesis and suggest further downside expansion. Educational purposes only — Not financial advice.
The Federal Reserve's decision, due the day after tomorrow, will be a major catalyst for price volatility. Ahead of the announcement, the market is already pricing in expectations; the vast majority of institutions anticipate an interest rate hike, with the probability of such a move estimated at as high as 80%. We should pay close attention to the 4300–4350 range, as it represents a zone of potential short-term selling pressure.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/4WqJWopf/ BTCUSD LONG LIMIT ORDER: 78147.16 Stop Loss: 77416.34 Take profit: 79209.21 Risk-Reward target: 1:1.45 Trade Plan: Long Bias: BULLISH short term. Entry reason: Price tested key POI area. Fundamentally: The short-term valuation tool also shows temporarily undervalued
I have many more posts coming for ETH outlining different structures, but for now I just want to take a simple look at the 3-day chart. The 200 EMA Many people overlook the 3-day chart, but it has been providing one of the clearest signs of what is happening with ETH's current price action. Starting with the 200 exponential moving average (dark blue), ETH has continued to respect all candle closes below the 3-day 200 EMA. Every time price approaches it and gets rejected on the close specifically, it reinforces that sellers are actively defending that level rather than buyers just failing to reach it by chance. The 200 SMA Now let's look at the 200 simple moving average (sky blue). What is interesting here is that the pump ETH saw on September 11, 2026 brought price to a high of $2,666, an almost perfect test of the 200 SMA as resistance (red arrow). This came right in line with ETH/BTC printing a double top that I outlined in this idea: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHBTC/sCX1uixw-ETH-BTC-Potential-Double-Top-Forming/ A Massive Week Ahead Tomorrow is a big day. With the CLARITY Act heading to a Senate vote tomorrow and FOMC landing on Wednesday, ETH is about to either respect this structure, leading to a large downside drop, or close its first candle above resistance, which could provide the fuel needed to push toward the $3,000 level. ETH closes another 3-day candle tomorrow, so pay close attention to whether that close occurs once again below the 200 EMA, or whether this becomes the first 3-day candle of the current trend to finally break above it. One thing ETH does have going for it from the bullish side is that it is maintaining overbought conditions on the 3-day RSI. This shows there may still be enough underlying strength for one more push to the upside. However, if ETH closes the 3-day candle back below the 200 EMA and also breaches back inside the RSI channel, that would be the signal for the drop to begin instead.
Hello Traders, Nice to see you all. If you follow me, you can always receive new updates quickly. Have a great day today. ------------------------------------- https://www.tradingview.com/x/qlYlpeAd/ ETH's volatility period is expected to continue until September 15. Since the current flow of funds is moving sideways with a bearish bias, it may be difficult for the price to sustain an upward trend. https://www.tradingview.com/x/X9QUS5RA/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/pomGQ6uw/ For the flow of funds to improve, I believe the upward gap expansion in USDT and USDC should continue. Therefore, it is important to monitor whether ETH can find support around 2510.94 and move higher. If the price rises, the key point will be whether 2887.66 can act as support. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading.
Support/resistance flip combined with order block and liquidity sweep confirmation within a broader impulsive-to-corrective structure. Context: price rallied impulsively from the 77378 low into a sequence of higher lows, topping out near 79600 before rotating lower into the current 78650 area. Key levels: the 78760-78970 zone acted as repeated support between 18:00 and 21:20 and is now being retested as resistance after a break below; the 79358-79499.8 zone marks the last bullish candle before the sharp decline (supply zone), and the 79436-79600 spike above the prior 79454 high shows a liquidity grab before reversal. Scenario: bias is short on a retest of the 78760-78970 flip zone near 78770, targeting the prior consolidation support near 78050. Invalidation: a sustained close back above 79020 would invalidate the bearish structure and put the supply zone reclaim in play. Analysis timeframe: M5, chart displayed on M15. Educational chart analysis only, not financial advice.
With oil breaking above 102, rate-hike odds locked in at 87%, and Treasury yields holding near 5%, gold bears unleashed a concentrated wave of selling under this triple pressure, pushing price briefly toward 4250. In the near term, watch whether the 4240–4220 zone can hold. If the daily chart confirms a breakdown, price could slide back toward 4100. The upcoming retail sales data and FOMC meeting will be the key catalysts determining the next directional move. On the intraday front, buyers are still stepping in below 4300, but their strength is limited — price has yet to break through the 4320–4340 key zone. That said, indicators on the 2H chart have improved slightly, suggesting bulls may attempt one final push before the bearish catalysts are fully priced in.
PARTICIPATING IN A BULLISH SETUP THIS WEEK, POSITIVE First entry at 29108.00,at the middle of the bullish displacement, using R1:1 Risk and management, whereby I put my stop-loss slightly below the displacement The overall direction: consolidation
XAUUSD — Short-Term Bullish Retracement Within a Higher-Timeframe Bearish Bias Weekly Analysis The overall weekly direction remains bearish, with price moving toward a weekly bullish FVG. The 50% Fibonacci level sits around 4202, with 4167 marking the lower area of interest. The immediate downside levels are 4247 and 4233, followed by the deeper weekly levels at 4202–4167. If price reaches and respects this weekly bullish FVG, it could create the foundation for a larger bullish move in the longer term. Daily Analysis Price is approaching the daily bullish FVG around 4298. Although a temporary reaction from this area is possible, the FVG currently appears more likely to invalidate as price follows the broader bearish momentum. The main daily bearish objectives are: 4247 → 4225 → 4202 → 4172 A bounce can still occur before these targets are reached, but the higher-timeframe structure continues to favour bearish continuation. 4-Hour Analysis The 4-hour chart is currently ranging while respecting a bearish FVG around the 50% Fibonacci level at 4317. Price may first make a bullish liquidity grab before continuing bearish. If the bearish FVG becomes invalidated, 4322 and 4356 become the next important bullish levels. There is also a current swing failure pattern around 4266, supporting the possibility of a temporary bullish move. However, this remains a retracement within the larger bearish higher-timeframe structure. 1-Hour Analysis The 1-hour chart is showing short-term bullish momentum following the SFP around 4282, supported by the higher-timeframe SFP around 4252. The nearest bullish liquidity objectives are: 4318 → 4326 If bullish momentum continues, price could potentially reach 4354–4356. This is the highest area I am currently watching before expecting bearish continuation. I will be looking for another swing failure pattern or clear bearish confirmation around 4354–4356 rather than assuming price will reverse without confirmation. Overall Bias My immediate bias allows for a short-term bullish retracement into 4318–4326, with a possible extension toward 4354–4356. However, my higher-timeframe bias remains bearish, with the main downside objectives at: 4247 → 4225 → 4202 → 4172–4167 The main setup I am watching is a bullish liquidity grab into resistance, followed by an SFP or bearish confirmation for continuation toward the higher-timeframe downside objectives. This is my personal market analysis and not financial advice.
During the oil mania over the last couple of weeks, I have posted a few ideas across oil related tickers. This time it is UCO's turn in the spotlight, as the structure currently presenting itself is significant enough to pay close attention to. UCO is the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF, a 2x leveraged fund designed to deliver twice the daily performance of crude oil futures. Because of that leverage, UCO amplifies both the gains and losses of oil's daily moves, making it a popular vehicle for traders looking for magnified short term exposure to crude. UCO is now at a critical point in the trend, one where either a major top will be defined, or the point where a significant breakout will take place. I know a lot of people get frustrated when they hear a market could move either way, but hear me out. Right now, UCO is trading at the same price it was back at the May 2026 highs. The Bearish Case If you are a bear and believe oil prices are about to decline, this could create an incredible double top structure, giving a technical reason for a price decline from these levels. That would also align with the fundamental catalyst of Trump signaling Iran could be ready to return to the table for talks. Today, Trump stated he expects the Iran war to end shortly after November's midterm elections, predicting that oil prices will fall sharply once that happens. This is consistent with a pattern that has played out multiple times throughout this conflict. Back in early August, oil tumbled nearly 5% in a single session after Trump announced he had called off a planned strike and said talks with Iran would resume, only for Tehran to deny that any talks were scheduled shortly after. A similar pattern played out back in February, when oil plunged over 3% simply on Trump expressing hope for a deal. However, throughout this US-Iran war, it has been a consistent pattern that Iran counters much of what Trump says almost immediately. Just this month, Iranian President Pezeshkian stated Iran would "not yield in front of bullying arrogance," and top White House advisors have reportedly discussed internally that the war could actually drag on well past the midterms, directly contradicting Trump's public timeline. Oil has also already risen more than 18% in September alone, with Brent settling above $107 and WTI above $102 amid escalating attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure and expanding Houthi involvement. So if oil continues climbing with no genuine de-escalation catalyst or credible headline to suppress price, UCO is likely to follow that momentum higher rather than roll over into a double top. The Bullish Target If UCO can break above the $52 level and either flip it into new support or continue climbing from there, the measured move would put price at the 1.618 extension level around $66. A great deal is on the line for UCO in terms of its market structure at these prices. Keep a very close eye on how price develops in this region over the next few days.
Hello to all my friends who trade gold, this is my personal opinion on gold this week.
Gold remains under pressure after failing to reclaim the highlighted resistance zone around 4435-4445. Price continues to trade within a broader bearish structure, with the descending channel and repeated resistance rejections favoring sellers in the near term. The blue support area is currently acting as a key battlefield between buyers and sellers. A weak recovery from this zone, followed by rejection, could support the bearish continuation scenario illustrated on the chart. 🎯 Bearish Targets ✅ Target 1: 4234.309 ✅ Target 2: 4153.528 ✅ Target 3: 4060.000 - 4045.000 Zone 📊 Technical Perspective 🔹 Multiple rejections from resistance 🔹 Descending channel remains intact 🔹 Lower highs continue to form 🔹 Supply zone holding above price 🔹 Potential move toward lower liquidity and support levels ⚠️ A sustained recovery above 4445 would weaken the bearish outlook and suggest a reassessment of market structure. This analysis reflects a possible market scenario based on current price action and support/resistance dynamics. Risk management remains essential.
Bias: SHORT — Distribution phase confirmed off double-top liquidity sweep Price ran the equal highs at the double top, sweeping resting buy-side liquidity above 30,246 .0–30,600 .0 before rejecting hard off the descending trendline. That sweep + rejection is the trigger for this whole bearish thesis — smart money grabbed liquidity, trapped late longs, and structure has been printing lower highs since. 🔴 Setup 1 — Immediate (Liquidity Sweep Entry) Already active off the double-top rejection. Entry Zone: 29,738 .7 – 30,169 .2 Stop Loss: 30,850 .8 (above swept high) Take Profit: 27,089 .7 R:R: ~4.5:1 Trigger: BOS below trendline confirmed, currently trading below broken structure 🟠 Setup 2 — Pending (Retest / Order Block Ahead) For those who miss Setup 1, or want a second confirmation entry if price grinds sideways before continuing. Watch Zone: Retest of the broken trendline / mitigation of the unfilled order block sitting just under the 30,000 .0 handle Confirmation needed: LTF CHoCH + rejection candle on retest before entry Stop Loss: Above the retest high (tighter than Setup 1, likely 29,800 .0–30,000 .0 depending on how the retest forms) Take Profit: Same target — 27,089 .7 Why it matters: Gives a lower-risk, higher-R:R entry for traders who want confirmation rather than chasing the initial sweep Overall thesis: Both setups share the same downside target — the untapped demand zone at 27,089 .7 — with Setup 1 already in play and Setup 2 as the backup plan if price retraces before continuing the move. ⚠️ Not financial advice — manage risk according to your own plan.
Hello to all my friends who trade gold, this is my personal opinion on gold this week.
Bitcoin has reached the upper boundary of a rising channel while simultaneously reacting from a significant resistance zone near 79,300 - 79,400. The recent rejection suggests buying momentum may be slowing after an extended move higher. Price is now testing whether the channel breakout attempt can be sustained or if a corrective move toward lower support levels will develop. The green levels highlighted on the chart represent potential downside objectives if sellers maintain control and the channel structure starts to weaken. 🎯 Bearish Targets ✅ Target 1: 78,405.81 ✅ Target 2: 78,154.18 ✅ Target 3: 77,812.23 📊 Market Structure 🔹 Strong rejection from channel resistance 🔹 Price reacting from major supply zone 🔹 Extended bullish move showing signs of exhaustion 🔹 Potential liquidity sweep above resistance before pullback ⚠️ A sustained move and acceptance above 79,400 would weaken this bearish outlook and could lead to further upside continuation. This analysis represents a possible market scenario based on current price action and technical structure. Always manage risk according to your trading plan.