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ANOTHER UPDATE ON EUR/USD

EUR/USD 4H - Wow, would you look at that, price is playing out perfectly for us now. Giving us exactly what we wanted and expected on the backend of fundamentals. I would image our TP should be hit by the end of the week and as always I will keep you posted on how the trade continues to play out in the meantime. This original trade is currently running + 208 pips. (+ 7%) 7RR The second trade is running + 160 pips. (+ 4.8%) 4.8RR A big well done to those of you involved in this trade, please ensure you are taking partials throughout the position and applying safety measures. This is how we maximise profits while minimising losses, any questions as always drop me a message or comment down below and I will get back to you as soon as possible.

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

MercadoLibre (MELI 1H): Bullish Divergences & Channel Floor

Title: MercadoLibre (MELI 1H): Bullish Divergences & Channel Floor — Preparing for 18% Breakout 🟡⚡ 🧠 Fundamental Overview (September 2026 Context): MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI) has recently seen a 12–13% pullback, trading down near the $1,830–$1,845 USD level as the market continues to price in near-term margin trade-offs: Ecosystem & Merchant Scale: In mid-September, the company held its massive Mercado Libre Experience 2026 at La Rural, gathering over 8,000 sellers and enterprises. Over 2.7 million SMEs now operate within the MELI ecosystem, with nearly half generating their primary source of income through the platform. Growth vs. Margins Dynamics: Following record Q2 revenue surpassing $10.17 Billion (+50% YoY), operating income faced temporary compression (6.7% EBIT margin) due to deliberate, aggressive investments in free shipping across Brazil and a 75% expansion of its credit portfolio (exceeding $16 Billion). Valuation Pullback: The recent retreat from the $2,050 zone brings MELI’s trailing P/E down below 50x (well below its historical 5-year median of ~75x), offering a historically attractive discount for long-term compounders ahead of its expected Q3 earnings on November 4, 2026 . 📊 Technical Breakdown (1H Timeframe): Zooming into the hourly chart, the market structure presents a high-probability mean-reversion setup inside a broader ascending channel: https://www.tradingview.com/x/nBkjYjpZ/ 1️⃣ Macro Ascending Channel (Trendline A & D): Price has been developing inside a dominant multi-month ascending channel formed by upper Trendline A and lower floor Trendline D . After testing the upper boundary in the $2,050–$2,060 region, the asset underwent a clean 12–13% corrective slide down to the $1,804 USD low. 2️⃣ Trendline B Support Reaction: The recent bounce emerged cleanly off Trendline B —a historical inflection level that has repeatedly alternated as both support and resistance. Had this level failed, the ultimate floor sat immediately below at Trendline D . 3️⃣ The Immediate Ceiling: Trendline C & Moving Averages: Price action is now confronting descending Trendline C , a short-term diagonal resistance formed since early September. Directly above it sits a dual resistance cluster: 50-hour EMA ($1,886.07 USD) 200-hour EMA ($1,897.19 USD) These moving averages recently printed a bearish cross, meaning reclaiming this entire $1,886–$1,900 pocket is the primary objective for bulls. 4️⃣ Confluent Bullish Divergences (MACD & RSI): The rebound off Trendline B is heavily backed by leading indicators: RSI (14): Rebounding out of deeply oversold territory (sub-30) and printing clear higher lows (bullish divergence). MACD (12, 26, 9): Exhibiting an identical pattern—while price carved out lower lows toward $1,804, the MACD histogram and signal lines printed pronounced higher lows, signaling aggressive exhaustion among sellers. 🎯 Conclusion & Trading Playbook: A confirmed breakout above the immediate diagonal and moving-average ceiling paves the way for a powerful continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel, offering a potential +17% to +18% upside expansion. The Setup: Wait for a decisive 1H close above descending Trendline C and a reclaim of both the 50 and 200 EMAs ($1,890–$1,900 USD) . Stop Loss (SL): Placed strictly below the recent swing low at $1,802 USD . Target (TP): $2,150 – $2,200 USD (Retest and expansion into the upper boundary of Trendline A). Risk-to-Reward (R:R): With roughly $90 of defined risk against a potential $260–$300 gain, this setup commands an exceptional 5:1 to 6:1 R:R. Are you waiting for the 200 EMA reclaim, or already bidding the Trendline B bounce? Share your thoughts below! 👇 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and intended solely to intellectually enrich our trading community. It does NOT constitute financial or investment advice. Always perform your own research and manage your risk strictly.

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

$BNB| 1D | BUY SETUP |

While the retail crowd panics over a minor -8.00% correction, the daily chart shows a textbook institutional accumulation block forming at a highly favorable 1:5.00 risk-to-reward ratio. 🚨 Current Structure: Price: $718.19 Reaction: Rejected and pulled back -8.00% from its local high of $780.64 on Sep 12/13. Pattern: Daily Horizontal Support Range / Accumulation Block. Bias: Bullish as long as the $679.23 key support floor holds. "The Level That Decides Everything": The $690.48 - $679.23 Daily Buying Order Block. Bids are queued at the $690.61 entry price. If this floor holds on a retest, it confirms a strong trend reversal to clear local range resistance. A daily close below $675.61 invalidates the setup. Targets: Target 1 at $719.65, Target 2 at $765.61. The Move So Far: Down 8.00% from its local high of $780.64. On the macro scale, CRYPTOCAP:BNB is down 47.77% from its $1,375.11 All-Time High (Oct 2025) and up a massive +1,803,491% from its $0.03982 All-Time Low (Aug 2017). Fundraising Breakdown: Total Raised: $15 Million via public ICO in July 2017. Implied Launch Valuation: $30 Million. Public sale allocation: 50% (100M BNB), founding team: 40% (80M BNB), angel investors: 10% (20M BNB). ICO/IEO Entry Prices: Public sale participants entered at an average price of $0.15 per BNB on Ethereum. ICO buyers are currently sitting on an astronomical ~4,788x return on investment against USD today. Unlock Pressure Ahead: Locked Supply: 0% locked. The final vesting schedule for team and angel investors successfully concluded on July 25, 2021. No lockup cliffs or insider dilution risks remain. Supply Dynamics: Deflationary. Features real-time gas burns (BEP-95) and formulaic Auto-Burns continuously reducing circulating supply toward a target of 100 Million BNB. Key Levels: Resistance 1 / Resistance 2: $719.65 / $765.61 Entry: $690.61 (inside Order Block) Support (range): $690.48 - $679.23 Invalidation / Stop Loss: $675.61 Closing Thesis: BINANCE:BNBUSDT remains one of the safest L1 ecosystem plays, featuring 100% of supply fully unlocked, VC cliff risks at absolute zero, and an active auto-burn mechanism keeping it purely deflationary. Technically, the daily retest of the green order block offers a highly favorable 1:5.00 risk-to-reward ratio for swing traders. If the $679.23 support holds, the path to $765.61 is clear. Below it, the story flips. 🎯 Bullish above $679.23. Below it, the story flips. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

S&P 500 — Technical Analysis | 1D

The chart is showing a potential short-term bearish reversal inside a broader rising channel/wedge structure. 🔻 Bearish Setup Price is currently trading around 7,535, after failing to hold the 7,560–7,600 resistance area. The key signal is the break below the short-term rising trendline that has supported the latest leg higher. This suggests that short-term bullish momentum is weakening and a corrective move may be developing. Potential Short Entry: 7,560 Confirmation: Sustained trading below the short-term uptrend / rejection from 7,560–7,600. 🎯 Downside Targets T1: 7,150 — first major support / lower boundary of the rising structure T2: 6,350 — deeper support and potential completion of a larger correction A move toward 7,150 would represent a normal correction within the broader rising structure. A decisive breakdown below 7,150 would significantly increase the probability of a deeper move toward 6,350. ⚠️ Invalidation The bearish setup weakens if price reclaims 7,600 and holds above it, particularly if the index breaks back above the upper resistance structure. 📊 Overall Bias Short-term: BEARISH / CORRECTIVE Medium-term: Still bullish unless the major rising-channel support is broken. The important distinction here is that this chart does not yet prove a full trend reversal. At this stage, it is more accurately a short-term bearish correction setup within a larger bullish structure. Key levels: 7,600 resistance → 7,150 T1 → 6,350 T2. Educational technical analysis only; confirmation from price action/volume is preferable before treating the setup as active.

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

10's back to 5% After the Rate Hike

Slightly hawkish lean in the projection, and 10-year yields quickly returned to that 5% marker. The Fed is forecasting one more hike into the end of the year and that's helped to push a run of USD strength to go along with that run-higher in yields. The next major mark for 10-year notes is the 5.25% level that last traded in 2007 and if that trades soon, it would seem weakness in equities would come along with it. Next up for the USD is perhaps the more pertinent item for FX markets, and that's how the Bank of Japan positions their widely-expected rate hike. - JS

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

Possible Bounce From Rising Channel Support

Price has come back to the bottom of the rising channel and is showing a possible support reaction. Entry can be considered around 538–543, or safer after confirmation above 548–552 with improving volume. SL: around 522–523 Targets: 580–583, then 600–605, with 625–630 possible if momentum stays strong. Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in stocks involves risk, including the possible loss of capital. Any decisions to buy, sell, or hold securities are the sole responsibility of the reader. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and, if necessary, consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

Bitcoin PA and US Fed Rate Rises since 2021 - the Effects

So, The USA Federal Reserve just raised rates by 25 points as expected. And the question on most peoples minds is "Will this upset my trading?" And if, Like Me, you focus on BITCOIN, you should pay attention but more to what it does to OTHER ASSETS. The Main chart shows Bitcoin INDEX and All the Rate decisions, when they happened. ( It is a weekly chart so the EXACT day is not there but it is in that week) The whole Chart is to Big to fit on one screen so here is the chart from the 2021 ATH to the Mid 2024 range. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Z31vydJH/ What are these RED and GREEN Boxes? In the Chart from 2021, the first RED Box is where the US FED raised Rates and Bitcoin PA Dropped. Many would say this would be expected as borrowing got more expensive. The Fed Effect However, the GREEN box that Follows is were the FED CONTINUED to Raise Rates but Bitcoin PA ROSE or Ranged. It DID NOT Drop like a Stone as previously. NO FED EFFECT The Main chart also has a RED box, https://www.tradingview.com/x/VicHO22z/ As you can see, this is were Bitcoin Dropped after that October 2025 ATH. But the FED Was Lowering the interest Rate for Borrowing ! Why was Bitcoin not paying attention ? Again, NO FED EFFECT There are many reasons, other assets were more favourable, Mostly due to Bitcoin being OVER BOUGHT on may time frames and Due a Bear Market after ATH. So, as you can See, BITCOIN Follows its own rules and one reason for that, and this needs to be remembered, BITCOIN IS NON CENTRALIZED> IT IS NOT BASED IN THE USA IT DOES NOT NEED TO BE EFFECTED BY THE FED and as you can very clearlly see here, It often Is not. That is NOT a insult to the USA, just a Fact. There are many HUGE American Bitcoin investors and YES, for them ,borrowing to buy Bitcoin costs more.... WE just have to wait and see where Bitcoin WANTS to go next.......but I do not think that recent BULLISH moves will be undone by raises in interest Rates in the USA BUT WE DO NEED TO REMAIN CAUTIOUS AS GLOBAL MACRO WILL HAVE EFFECTS. And yes I was shouting Sorry Stay Safe, Love one another and BUY BITCOIN

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

$ETH| 1D | BUY SETUP |

While the retail crowd panics over a 9% pullback triggered by the Senate's CLARITY Act failure, the daily chart is print-perfect, retesting its primary buying block with an asymmetric 1:4 risk-to-reward setup. 🚨 Current Structure: Price: $2,417.55 Reaction: Rejected and pulled back -9.32% from its local high of $2,665.99 on Sep 12. Pattern: Daily Horizontal Support Range / Accumulation Block. Bias: Bullish as long as the $2,249.71 support floor holds. "The Level That Decides Everything": The $2,326.77 - $2,249.71 Daily Buying Order Block. Bids are queued at the $2,328.22 entry price. If this floor holds on a retest, it confirms a strong trend reversal to clear local range resistance. A daily close below $2,228.22 invalidates the setup. Targets: Target 1 at $2,507.06, Target 2 at $2,728.22. The Move So Far: Down 9.32% from its local high of $2,665.99. On the macro scale, CRYPTOCAP:ETH is down 51.2% from its $4,953.73 All-Time High (Aug 2025) and up over +575,500% from its $0.42 All-Time Low (Oct 2015). Fundraising Breakdown: Total Raised: ~$18.3 Million worth of Bitcoin (approx. 31,591 BTC) in 2014. Implied Launch Valuation: ~$22 Million at genesis. No venture capital rounds or private seed allocations existed prior to the public crowdsale. ICO/IEO Entry Prices: Public ICO finished in September 2014 at an average price of $0.311 per ETH. ICO investors received over 60M ETH. Today, this represents an annualized return on investment of over 270%, or a ~7,773x return on capital. Unlock Pressure Ahead: Locked Supply: 0% locked. 100% of the 122 Million supply has successfully vested. No early founder, team, or foundation cliff allocations remain to dilute holders. Vesting: Fully circulating. New supply enters via programmatic staking validation (~3-6% APR), offset dynamically by EIP-1559 base-fee gas burns. Key Levels: Resistance 1 / Resistance 2: $2,507.06 / $2,728.22 Entry: $2,328.22 (inside Order Block) Support (range): $2,326.77 - $2,249.71 Invalidation / Stop Loss: $2,228.22 Closing Thesis: CRYPTOCAP:ETH ’s near-term price was temporarily hit by Washington’s regulatory gridlock, but the long-term fundamentals of the smart-contract economy remain untouched. Technically, the daily retest of the green order block offers a highly favorable 1:4.00 risk-to-reward ratio for swing traders. If the $2,249.71 support floor holds, the path to $2,728.22 is wide open. Below it, the story flips. 🎯 Bullish above $2,249.71. Below it, the story flips. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

Talaat Moustafa Group (TMGH) — Short-Term Bearish Setup

TMGH is showing a potential Head & Shoulders reversal pattern on the 1H timeframe, suggesting a short-term bearish scenario. The structure consists of a clear Left Shoulder → Head → Right Shoulder, with price currently testing the neckline around 95.50 EGP. 🔻 Bearish Scenario A confirmed 1H close below 95.50 EGP would provide stronger confirmation of the bearish breakout and could open the way toward: Entry: 95.50 EGP — preferably after confirmed neckline breakdown Stop Loss: 101.00–101.20 EGP Target 1: 84.85 EGP Target 2: 80.75–79.70 EGP The first target represents the major horizontal support around 85 EGP, while the second target is the next significant support zone around 80.75–79.70 EGP. ⚠️ Invalidation The bearish setup would be invalidated if price reclaims and sustains above 101.00–101.20 EGP, which would indicate a failure of the Head & Shoulders formation. Bias: Bearish in the short term, but confirmation below 95.50 EGP is key. This is a technical setup, not financial advice. Wait for confirmation rather than anticipating the breakdown

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

Gold 15M - Long Setup

Hi fellow traders, Price has reached my Blue Box, where I begin looking for long opportunities. This sharp sell-off has brought price into a high-confluence support zone where Elliott Wave, Fibonacci and price action align. Rather than buying the Blue Box blindly, I wait for confirmation before entering, allowing me to keep my risk fixed at 1% while maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward profile. Entry: Current Stop Loss: 4253.52 Take Profit: 4439.72 If price breaks below my stop loss, the setup is invalidated. Good luck and trade safe!

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

Saudi National Bank — Bullish Buying Setup | Buyers Entering

Saudi National Bank is showing a developing buy-side setup after a period of downward price movement. The stock had been losing ground, but the latest price behaviour indicates that buying interest is beginning to emerge at the current structure. The important development here is the change in participation. Selling pressure pushed the price toward lower levels, but buyers are now stepping into the market and attempting to absorb that weakness. This creates the possibility of a shift from the previous decline toward a broader recovery phase. From a technical perspective, the setup is based on price structure, momentum behaviour, and the reaction of buyers around the current area. Rather than treating the previous decline as the complete story, the focus is on identifying whether the newly emerging demand can establish a stronger bullish sequence. SNB is listed on the Saudi Exchange under ticker 1180 and belongs to the Banks sector. The current setup therefore focuses on a potential transition: the market moved lower, selling activity dominated the earlier phase, and buyers are now beginning to challenge that downside pressure. If this shift develops further, price could begin forming higher levels and open the path toward a stronger recovery. The key factor remains the ability of buyers to maintain control and convert the current reaction into sustained upside momentum. 📊 Technical Roadmap Previous phase: Downward movement 📉 Current development: Buyers entering 🟢 Structure: Potential bullish transition Bias: Buy-side Objective: Higher levels / recovery The idea is not based on simply buying because price has fallen. The focus is on the structural change taking place now — sellers pushed the market lower, but buyers are beginning to respond. 🔍 Setup Overview - Instrument: Saudi National Bank - Ticker: 1180 - Market: Saudi Exchange / Tadawul - Sector: Banks - Direction: Bullish / Buy - Current condition: Buyers entering after a decline - Technical focus: Structure, momentum and price behaviour - Scenario: Potential recovery toward higher levels The chart is now at an interesting transition point. The previous decline created weakness, but the appearance of fresh buying interest changes the character of the setup. Sellers created the decline. Buyers are now attempting to create the recovery. The next phase of price action will determine whether this emerging buying interest develops into a sustained bullish move, but the current structure provides a clear buy-side scenario to monitor.

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

Possible Fake Breakdown? Volume Supporting a Channel Re-Entry

Possible entry near the current support/retest zone with a tight SL below the recent low. If price reenters and holds inside the rising channel, the breakdown may prove to be a fake break down, opening the way for a move back toward the channel highs. Volume is also showing early signs of buyer interest, with the recent green reversal candle printing stronger volume than the preceding red candles. If price reenters the rising channel with continued volume support, the breakdown could turn out to be a fake break down, with a tight SL below the recent low. 26.13 - Entry 28.55 - TP1 (Retest Area) 28–29 - TP2 (Channel Entry confirmation) 32.32 - TP3 (Channel Mid Area) 37.06 = TP4 (Channel Top)

TITradingView Ideas1h ago

Saudi Aramco — Bullish Buying Setup

Saudi Aramco is currently presenting a constructive buy-side setup, with the price structure showing conditions that can support a potential upward continuation. The analysis is focused on the behaviour of price, market structure and the signals generated through the trading methodology. Rather than reacting to individual candles, the broader objective is to identify whether buyers are gaining enough influence to drive the next meaningful expansion. From a technical perspective, the current setup is positioned toward the upside. If buying pressure continues to strengthen and the existing structure remains supportive, Saudi Aramco could progress toward higher levels. 📊 Setup Overview - Instrument: Saudi Aramco - Market: Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦 - Tadawul Symbol: 2222 - Bias: Bullish 📈 - Direction: Buy - Focus: Upside continuation - Structure: Constructive - Momentum: Buyers gaining influence Saudi Aramco trades on the Saudi Exchange under symbol 2222 and is classified within the Energy sector. The current buy-side thesis is primarily technical, while the company's underlying scale provides an important fundamental backdrop. Aramco describes itself as one of the world's largest integrated energy and chemicals companies. Its latest investor materials report H1 2026 adjusted net income of SAR 251.9 billion and total hydrocarbon production of 11 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. 🔥 Bullish Structure The key element of this setup is the developing relationship between price structure and buying pressure. If buyers continue to defend the current formation and maintain upward momentum, the market could transition into a stronger bullish phase. Short-term fluctuations may occur along the way, but the broader scenario remains focused on higher prices while the underlying conditions continue to support the buy-side view. The methodology is designed to assess the complete market environment rather than depend on one isolated technical level. This allows the setup to remain focused on the broader directional opportunity while price continues to develop. 🌍 Fundamental Backdrop Aramco's latest company disclosures also highlight its integrated upstream and downstream operations, alongside continued investment across energy, chemicals and adjacent growth businesses. Its 2025 annual report reported $104.7 billion in adjusted net income and $85.4 billion in free cash flow for the year. These fundamentals do not determine the short-term price path by themselves, but they provide useful context around the company behind the technical setup. 🚀 Market Roadmap The current scenario can be summarised as: Constructive structure → Buyers strengthen → Momentum expands → Upside continuation → Higher levels in focus. The key is to allow the market to confirm the strength of the move rather than forcing an outcome. As long as the bullish structure remains intact, the buy-side scenario remains the primary focus. Saudi Aramco. Buyers in focus. Bullish structure developing. Upside ahead. 🎯📈🔥

TITradingView Ideas2h ago