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Nifty Post Rate Hike

📌 Key Levels to WatchCurrent Price: 23,217.60 (+0.43%)Immediate Floor (Support): 23,072.05 — The vital defensive line for buyers.Next Targets (Resistance): 23,600 (Immediate), 24,141.80 (Major road block). ➡️ The Projected SetupThe Downtrend: After hitting a peak near 24,774 in August, the market corrected sharply through September.The Yellow Path: The chart projects a steady recovery roadmap. It expects the index to bounce from the 23,072 floor, climb to 23,600, form a higher low, and eventually rally toward 24,141.The Risk: If the price breaks below 23,072.05, this bullish recovery plan is invalidated, opening the door for deeper drops.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

EURTHB Eyes Eurozone CPI

Yesterday Recap 16/9/26 Yesterday, EURTHB closed at 38.41 in the Thai market. Eurozone manufacturing data came in slightly better than expected, while wage growth slowed, suggesting that the overall economic outlook remained broadly stable. Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates, supporting the USD and putting pressure on EURTHB. Fundamental 17/9/26 Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous EU: 16:00 Eurozone CPI YoY | 3.3% | 2.9% EU: 16:00 Eurozone Core CPI YoY | 2.4% | 2.5% EU: 16:00 Eurozone CPI MoM | 2.9% | 0.2% Today's key European data are the Eurozone inflation figures. CPI YoY is forecast to rise to 3.3% from 2.9%, while Core CPI YoY is expected to ease slightly from 2.5% to 2.4%. Markets will therefore focus on which components are driving the increase in headline inflation. If headline inflation comes in above expectations, markets may assess the ECB's monetary policy outlook as more restrictive, potentially supporting the EUR. Meanwhile, slower Core CPI could reduce underlying inflationary pressure. Overall, EURTHB is expected to remain volatile within a range, with the main focus on Eurozone CPI, the ECB interest-rate outlook, and European Bond Yields. Technical Analysis — EURTHB 1H Bias: Sideway Price is moving within the 38.27–38.35 range after breaking below the 38.35 zone. If price holds above 38.27, it could rebound to test 38.35–38.37. However, a break below 38.22 would make the downside structure more pronounced. Resistance: 38.35 / 38.37 Support: 38.27 / 38.22 Target: 38.35 → 38.37 Cut Loss: 38.22

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

BTC | Daily

CRYPTOCAP:BTC — HIEQ Model Just Observation | Where Are We Now on the BTC TS Map? Preserving $ 74.9K , identified as the extreme low of Intermediate Wave (4), BTC is now challenging the defined E-line φ of HIEQ-Structure λᵣ. As previously outlined, potential surges through Minor Impulsive Waves 1 and 3 of Intermediate Wave (5) have been depicted on the chart, respecting the high-probability interactions with the converging resistance zone of the Trend Ray Advance Ⓐ. The HPQ Target ➤ $87.7K 🎯 remains projected for early October. #StrategicAnalysis #QuantumEntanglement #CymaticTrendflow #FutureVision #TimeSpaceMap

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

ARB Descending Channel, Breakout or Another Rejection?

📊 Technical Analysis 💵 Coin: AMEX:ARB / USDT ⏳ Time Frame: 6D 📐 Pattern: Descending Channel 📍 Current Price: around $0.165 --- 📐 DESCENDING CHANNEL 🔻 ARB has been moving within a long-term Descending Channel, with price forming a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows since the 2024 peak. 📉 The channel resistance is represented by the red trendline, which has continued to pressure price from above. 📈 The channel support is represented by the yellow trendline, which has acted as a reaction area near the lower boundary of the channel. 🟢 The middle channel line also acts as dynamic resistance/support, making price behavior around this area important to monitor. 💡 As long as ARB remains inside the channel, the long-term structure continues to show bearish pressure. However, as price approaches the upper resistance, the possibility of a breakout becomes increasingly relevant. --- 🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO 🚀 Bullish confirmation would become stronger if ARB manages to break out and close convincingly above the descending trendline (red line). 📈 If a breakout occurs, the horizontal resistance levels shown on the chart can be monitored progressively: 🎯 Target 1: $0.222 🎯 Target 2: $0.266 🎯 Target 3: $0.330 🎯 Target 4: $0.396 🎯 Target 5: $0.457 🎯 Target 6: $0.585 🔥 The $0.457–$0.585 area represents an important resistance zone on this chart structure. 💡 If price manages to break through this resistance and maintain a bullish structure, the move could develop into a long-term reversal, rather than simply a relief rally. ⚠️ However, the breakout should ideally be confirmed through a candle close, volume, and the ability of price to successfully retest the broken resistance. --- 🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO 🔻 The bearish scenario remains valid if ARB fails to break above the descending trendline and receives another rejection from the channel resistance. 📉 If price moves deeper back into the channel, the following support areas should be monitored: 🛡️ Support: $0.165 🛡️ Support: $0.120 🛡️ Major Support: around $0.090–$0.070 ⚠️ If ARB loses the lower support area and forms another Lower Low, the long-term bearish structure could continue. 📌 As long as price has not successfully broken out of the channel, the breakout should not be considered a fully confirmed trend reversal. --- 🧠 CONCLUSION 🔎 ARB is currently approaching an important area within its long-term Descending Channel structure. 📉 Bearish: Price remains below the descending resistance and gets rejected → potential continuation within the channel. 📈 Bullish: Breakout + close above the descending trendline → opens the possibility toward $0.222 → $0.266 → $0.330 → $0.396 → $0.457 → $0.585. 🔥 Therefore, the red descending trendline is the key structural level to watch. A confirmed breakout could represent an important change in ARB's long-term market structure. ⚠️ DYOR — Not Financial Advice. #ARB #Arbitrum #ARBUSDT #Crypto

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

Liquidity Sweep Dip & Macro Expansion to "Kill Zone"

ETHUSDT 1D: (Long Game Plan) 1. Market Context On the Daily (1D) chart, Ethereum (ETHUSDT) has been consolidating within a high-level range between 2,400.00 and 2,550.00 (upper red box) inside the broader expansion structure (blue box). Price is currently pulling back toward the lower red accumulation box near 2,200.00 – 2,250.00, setting up a major liquidity-sweep buy setup before an explosive rally toward the macro 2,936.12 "Kill Zone". 2. Sentiment & House Trap Analysis • Where Traders Place Orders: Retail buyers who chased the rally are holding long positions with Stop Losses clustered tightly below 2,350.00. Meanwhile, retail shorters are preparing to short the breakdown of 2,400.00, expecting a full collapse back to 1,900.00. • Trader Stop-Loss & Target: Weak buyers have SLs around 2,200.00 – 2,350.00. Shorters plan to target the lower purple demand floor. • How the House Plays It: The House will intentionally drop price into the lower red box (2,200.00 – 2,250.00) to sweep buyer stop-losses and bait retail into opening late short positions. Once maximum sell-side liquidity is absorbed at discount prices, the House will engineer a rapid V-shaped reversal (indicated by the purple arrow), launching ETH past 2,550.00 and expanding straight into the upper green box toward the 2,936.12 macro "Kill Zone". 3. Trade Setup (Macro Long Plan) • Entry: 2,200.00 – 2,250.00 (Buying the liquidity sweep rejection inside the lower red box) • Stop Loss (SL): 2,050.00 (Placed safely below the major blue expansion box support floor) • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2,550.00 (Upper red box resistance ceiling) • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2,936.12 (Macro "Kill Zone" resistance target) • Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx 3.6:1 (Calculated toward TP2)

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

Post-FOMC Repricing Keeps MES in Tactical Risk-Off

Post-FOMC Repricing Keeps MES in Tactical Risk-Off — Repair Rally Reaches Its First Test Market Regime: Tactical Risk-Off / Hawkish Post-FOMC Price Discovery Systemic Stress: Not confirmed Confidence: High Wednesday’s FOMC meeting produced a unanimous 25-basis-point rate increase, lifting the target range to 3.75%–4.00%. Policymakers’ projections also left another increase possible before year-end. The market’s initial response was a sharp downside repricing followed by a meaningful after-hours recovery. That rebound has improved the immediate tape, but it has not repaired the broader structure. MES is now pushing directly into its first major resistance area. Thursday’s question is whether buyers can convert the rebound into genuine acceptance—or whether former support becomes resistance again. Index Structure and Breadth SPY reacted cleanly around the 765, 761 and 757 areas, confirming that the market continues to respect established technical levels despite the FOMC volatility. The broader structure remains mixed: MES is trading below most of last week’s range. RSP and SPY are approximately flat to slightly higher compared with similar levels from last week. RSP is holding a major HVN/LVN decision area, but only narrowly. RSP/SPY remains near an important support zone. RTY and YM weakened materially. ADD and VOLD finished negative, although not at capitulation readings. Short- and intermediate-term S5 breadth gauges deteriorated sharply. This is weak participation, but not yet an indiscriminate market breakdown. A decisive loss of the RSP HVN alongside further deterioration in RSP/SPY would provide much broader confirmation of downside continuation. Volatility Volatility delivered one of the session’s clearest warnings. VIX strengthened, VIX1D was highly elevated around the event, and the front of the VX curve finished nearly flat—with VX1 and VX2 separated by very little. That reflects strong immediate demand for protection. However, some of that demand may have been specific to the FOMC event. Thursday’s confirmation test is whether volatility remains firm after the catalyst passes. If equities stabilize and VIX1D rapidly fades, the repair can continue. If MES rejects resistance while VIX and the front of the VX curve remain elevated, the bearish structure receives stronger confirmation. Rates, Dollar and Inflation Pressure The Treasury curve remains normally upward sloping, with the 30-year yield still the highest: 2-year: approximately 4.72% 5-year: approximately 4.85% 10-year: approximately 4.99% 30-year: approximately 5.33% The concern is not curve inversion. It is the absolute level of rates and the continued weakness in longer-duration Treasuries. DXY is simultaneously testing the major 100 level, while crude oil remains elevated around $102. Sustained dollar strength, long-end pressure and high oil prices would represent a difficult combination for equities by tightening financial conditions and keeping inflation concerns alive. Leadership and Sector Structure Leadership remains fragmented rather than completely abandoned. Areas showing the greatest weakness include: XLF and KRE, with regional banks remaining particularly vulnerable. XLY, which continues to trade in a weak structure. MSFT and AMZN after losing important support. NVDA, which has not repaired its break below the major rising trendline. Small caps and the Dow following their post-FOMC breakdowns. Relative strength remains concentrated in selected names: AAPL and META continue to act as relative leaders. AMD and SMH showed better relative strength. ORCL is attempting to stabilize. AVGO and MU remain less convincing. Semiconductors are mixed, and isolated megacap strength is not enough to establish a broad risk-on regime. Credit, Funding and Futures Basis Credit and funding remain the primary counterevidence against a systemic-stress call: HYG/LQD softened but remained inside its established range. Overnight reverse-repo usage remains minimal. The Treasury General Account declined, providing a modest liquidity tailwind. There is no confirmed transmission from equity weakness into credit disorder. The displayed 3.90% IORB versus 3.63% EFFR and 3.64% SOFR primarily reflects a timing mismatch. IORB changes immediately with the new policy decision, while EFFR and SOFR remain backward-looking fixings until the next publication. The sharp expansion in the December ES–SPX basis is worth monitoring, but higher policy rates mechanically increase futures carrying value. Without simultaneous funding or credit deterioration, the move currently resembles post-FOMC carry and roll repricing more than a market-plumbing failure. Key MES Levels Support: 7,628.50 — immediate downside decision level Approximately 7,600 — major psychological and structural support 7,554.00 — next important lower shelf Resistance: 7,660.75–7,680.75 — immediate repair and rejection zone 7,691.75–7,700.00 — stronger balance and acceptance test 7,716.25–7,724.25 — broader bullish structural repair Thursday’s Primary Question Can MES accept above 7,660–7,680 and then clear 7,700 with improving breadth, financials, semiconductors and declining volatility? If yes, Wednesday’s FOMC breakdown may continue repairing. If MES pushes into 7,660–7,680 or 7,692–7,700 and rejects while DXY holds near 100, volatility remains firm and banks continue weakening, that would create a strong SR rejection or Combination setup. If MES instead loses 7,628.50 and accepts below 7,600, the path toward 7,554 becomes increasingly relevant. For now, the after-hours move is a repair rally—not confirmation that the tactical risk-off regime has ended.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

Will NSE Vodafone Idea Stock Hit the 18.9 Target?

📉 NSE:IDEA Idea Elliott Wave Trade Setup Vodafone Idea is showing a potentially important Elliott Wave structure on the 4-hour chart. The advance from ₹6.12 to ₹12.80 appears to have formed a five-wave impulse, marking a possible Wave (1) . The subsequent decline to ₹8.13 developed in an A-B-C structure , which is being considered as Wave (2) . The Wave (2) correction retraced close to the 61.8% Fibonacci level at ₹8.67 , while the actual low was ₹8.13 . The larger trend channel also continues to provide a useful reference for the overall price structure, although it has been breached at several points. 🎯 Targets: 16 - 17.6 - 18.6 ➡️ Key levels to watch: Key swing high: 15.80 Structural level: 12.80 Wave (2) low : 8.13 61.8% retracement: 8.67 What do you think? Can Vodafone Idea reach the 18.9 target, or do you see a different Elliott Wave count? Share your view in the comments.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

High-Level Range Breakdown & Upper Liquidity Sweep (Short Setup)

ETHUSDT 4H: 1. Market Context On the 4H chart, Ethereum (ETHUSDT) has been consolidating inside a multi-week horizontal range between 2,392.88 and 2,560.00. Price recently executed a sharp "Liquidity Sweep" wick above the 2,560.00 ceiling, followed by a violent rejection back into the box. Price is now pressing down to break the lower range support floor at 2,392.88. 2. Sentiment & House Trap Analysis Where Traders Place Orders: Retail buyers are opening BUY positions around the triple-touch support floor at 2,392.88 (marked by orange circles), expecting another range bounce back toward 2,560.00+. Trader Stop-Loss & Target: These range buyers placed tight Stop-Loss orders immediately below the 2,392.88 support floor. How the House Plays It: The House engineered a swift upper Liquidity Sweep above 2,560.00 to wipe out early shorters and bait retail into buying the fake breakout. Once top liquidity was collected, the House dumped price back through the range. A confirmed 4H close đâm thủng (breaking below) 2,392.88 will trigger a cascade of forced panic sell-stop orders from trapped buyers, propelling ETH down toward 2,245.70 (TP1) and 2,098.51 (TP2). 3. Trade Setup Entry: 2,392.88 (Confirmed 4H close breaking below horizontal range support) Stop Loss (SL): 2,540.07 (Placed safely inside the upper consolidation range) Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2,245.70 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2,098.51 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx 2.0:1 (Calculated toward TP2)

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

ETHUSDT: Price Under Pressure, Sellers Control

ETHUSDT is trading around 2,418 USDT and remains within a descending channel. The current rebound lacks the strength to alter the market structure, as the price stays below the EMA89 (near 2,449) and overhead resistance continues to exert selling pressure. The 2,450–2,490 zone serves as a critical resistance area. If ETH rallies to this level but faces rejection—specifically below the EMA cluster and the channel's upper boundary—I lean towards a scenario where the price retreats to 2,380 before extending toward the primary target near 2,320 USDT. Macroeconomic factors and capital flows currently support a bearish outlook. The Federal Reserve recently raised interest rates by 25 bps and signaled the possibility of further hikes this year, driving the USD to a seven-week high and causing short-term yields to surge. Ethereum faces additional pressure following the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate; FXStreet reported a roughly 3.4% drop in ETH, alongside the largest single-day outflow from US spot Ethereum funds since January. The bearish scenario would be invalidated if ETH breaks out of the channel and establishes firm support above the 2,490–2,500 range.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

Gold Under Pressure — Sellers Remain in Control

XAUUSD is currently showing a clear short-term BEARISH bias , as both the post-Fed macro backdrop and the H1 technical structure remain unsupportive of a sustainable recovery. From a fundamental perspective , gold remains under pressure after the Fed raised interest rates by 25 basis points and left the door open for further tightening if inflation does not cool sufficiently. U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated, while the dollar continues to receive support following the decision. This high-rate environment remains unfavorable for gold , making short-term rebounds vulnerable to renewed selling pressure. On the H1 timeframe, the bearish structure remains clearly intact . XAUUSD continues to trade below the descending trendline drawn from previous highs, while the latest rally reached the trendline area before being quickly rejected. Price is also trading around the Ichimoku structure, suggesting that buyers have yet to produce a breakout strong enough to change the current market structure. The 4,335–4,345 area remains a key resistance zone . As long as XAUUSD stays below this region and the descending trendline remains intact, rebounds are likely to attract sellers. If bearish pressure returns, the 4,235–4,250 area becomes the next important downside target. Overall, XAUUSD currently looks like a technical recovery within a broader bearish structure . I continue to favor SELL setups on rebounds into resistance with price-action confirmation , rather than trying to catch the bottom before buyers have clearly regained control.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

XAUUSD: FOMC Broke the Pattern. Now Gold Must Prove It

Gold did not simply fall after FOMC. It broke something first. For several sessions, XAUUSD had been climbing inside a short-term rising structure. Buyers gradually pushed price from the 4,250 area toward 4,360. Then FOMC arrived. One violent move erased that entire climb, broke the rising structure and drove Gold toward 4,235. But here is the part I care about: Gold did not stay there. Price immediately recovered from the low, returned above 4,260 and is now trading around 4,290. So instead of asking “Was FOMC bullish or bearish?”, I am asking a much more useful question: Was 4,235 the beginning of another sell-off — or the liquidity event buyers needed? ⚡ THE FOMC CANDLE CREATED TWO EXTREMES Look at the chart and ignore everything in the middle for a moment. The FOMC move gave us two important points: 4,235 below. 4,320 above. I see the current price trapped between those two extremes. And until Gold escapes one side, I do not need to predict anything. I need to react. The interesting detail is what sits between current price and the FOMC low. There is an H1 order block around 4,258–4,275. That zone has already produced a reaction. For buyers, this is their shelter. For sellers, it is the floor they need to destroy. 🟢 I WILL BUY WEAKNESS — BUT ONLY WHILE THIS FLOOR SURVIVES I am not interested in buying randomly around 4,290. I would rather see Gold return toward 4,260–4,275. Why? Because that gives buyers a simple job: Defend the order block. If price trades into this area, rejects it and an H1 candle closes back above 4,275, I would consider the dip successfully defended. BUY Entry: 4,268–4,278 after H1 rejection/reclaim Stop Loss: 4,248 TP1: 4,305 TP2: 4,320 TP3: 4,345–4,355 I would not expect a straight-line rally. 4,320 is the first checkpoint. That is where the post-FOMC recovery has to show that it is more than a temporary bounce. 🧩 4,320 CHANGES THE TYPE OF TRADE This is where my plan becomes more aggressive. If Gold reaches 4,320 and gets rejected, I simply keep treating the market as a recovery inside damaged structure. But if an H1 candle closes above 4,320, something changes. Buyers would have recovered the upper section of the FOMC breakdown. I would then wait for a pullback rather than chase the breakout. Breakout BUY: 4,312–4,322 after successful retest Stop Loss: 4,292 TP1: 4,350 TP2: 4,365 TP3: 4,395–4,405 The final target matters because 4,402 sits around the larger resistance visible on the chart. That is where I would expect the next major argument between buyers and sellers. So my bullish roadmap is simple: Protect 4,260 → recover 4,320 → attack 4,350 → challenge 4,402. Each step has to be earned. 🔴 THE SHORT I WANT REQUIRES SOMETHING TO BREAK FIRST Selling while the order block is still holding does not interest me. I want sellers to prove that the reaction from 4,235 has failed. The proof would be an H1 close below 4,258. Not a wick. Not a five-minute spike. A proper H1 close below the order block. Then I want price to return toward 4,258–4,270 and fail to recover it. That would turn today's support into resistance. SELL Entry: 4,258–4,268 after bearish retest Stop Loss: 4,282 TP1: 4,240 TP2: 4,235 TP3: 4,215–4,220 This setup tells me something very different from a normal pullback: The FOMC low is no longer being defended. And once 4,235 breaks on an H1 closing basis, I would stop looking for an immediate bullish recovery. 🎯 THERE IS ALSO A SELL ABOVE CURRENT PRICE There is one scenario where I do not need the order block to fail. Gold could rally first. If buyers push into 4,345–4,360 but cannot hold the move, I will watch closely for an H1 rejection. A strong upper wick followed by a close back below 4,345 would tell me that yesterday's broken rising structure is still attracting sellers. Rejection SELL: 4,345–4,355 Stop Loss: 4,370 TP1: 4,320 TP2: 4,290 TP3: 4,265 But there is a strict rule here: No SELL if Gold closes above 4,365 and holds it on the retest. At that point, I would rather follow the recovery toward 4,395–4,405. 🧠 IF YOU ARE NEW, READ ONLY THIS PART You do not need to predict the next 100 dollars. Let Gold answer four smaller questions: Does 4,260–4,275 hold? Then buyers still have a base. Does 4,320 break and hold? Then the recovery becomes stronger. Does 4,345–4,360 reject price? Then sellers may regain control. Does 4,258 break and fail on the retest? Then I switch bearish toward 4,235 and potentially lower. That is my entire map. No guessing required. FOMC damaged the short-term bullish structure. But it also created a violent rejection from 4,235. That leaves Gold in an unusual position today: The old bullish structure is broken, but the bears have not finished the job. Now 4,260–4,275 becomes the evidence. If buyers keep it, yesterday's collapse may eventually become the foundation for a larger recovery. If sellers take it away, 4,235 comes back into play very quickly. Your call: was the FOMC drop a real breakdown — or just a massive liquidity sweep before Gold goes after 4,400 again?

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

USDTHB Tracks USD Direction

Yesterday Recap 16/9/26 Yesterday, USDTHB was supported by the Fed's decision to raise interest rates by 0.25% to 3.75–4.00%, marking the first rate hike since July 2023, or in more than three years. The Fed continued to emphasize controlling inflation, while the U.S. economic outlook remained relatively strong. Regarding the Fed's interest-rate outlook, the Dot Plot signaled the possibility of one additional rate hike in 2026. With inflation still above the Fed's 2% target, markets will continue to closely monitor upcoming economic and inflation data. Fundamental 17/9/26 Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous US: 19:30 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 31.3 | 47.4 US: 19:30 Initial Jobless Claims | 207K | 206K US: 19:30 Housing Starts | 1.320M | 1.239M Today's key U.S. economic release is the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, forecast at 31.3, down from the previous 47.4, suggesting that manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region could slow. A weaker-than-expected reading could pressure the USD. Meanwhile, Initial Jobless Claims are forecast at 207K, up slightly from 206K, suggesting a slight softening in the labor market. Housing Starts are forecast at 1.320M, up from 1.239M. A stronger-than-expected reading could support the outlook for the U.S. economy and the USD. Overall, USDTHB is expected to remain highly volatile, with the main focus on labor-market data, manufacturing activity, USD direction, and U.S. Bond Yields. Technical Analysis — USDTHB 1H Bias: Bullish Following the Fed's 0.25% rate hike to 3.75–4.00% and its signal that another rate hike could be possible, the USD strengthened. The chart structure remains bullish. If price holds above 33.35, it could move higher to test 33.45 → 33.50. Resistance: 33.45 Support: 33.35 Target: 33.50 Cut Loss: 33.32

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

BTCUSDT: Bearish Take Control, Downward Wave!

BTCUSDT is trading around 76,230 USDT and remains within a descending channel. The current rebound lacks the strength to alter the market structure, as the price stays below the EMA34 (approx. 76,530) and EMA89 (approx. 77,200), while the pattern of lower highs persists. The 76,800–77,800 zone is a critical resistance area to watch. If BTC rallies to this region but faces rejection below the EMA cluster and the channel's upper boundary, I lean towards a scenario where the price drops to 75,000, followed by an extension toward the primary target near 74,000 USDT. Today's macroeconomic data reinforces the bearish outlook. The Fed has raised interest rates by 25 bps to the 3.75%–4.00% range, with most officials anticipating at least one more hike before year-end. Following this decision, the USD strengthened, Treasury yields rose, and US equities fell—creating an unfavorable environment for Bitcoin and risk-on assets. The bearish scenario would lose momentum if BTC breaks out of the channel and holds firmly above the 77,800–78,000 level.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept