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Ascending Trendline Breakdown & Double-Top Rejection

WTICOUSD 1H: 1. Market Context On the 1H chart, WTI Crude Oil (WTICOUSD) completed an extended rally along a blue ascending trendline, reaching a peak rejection at 106.613. Price is now breaking down below both the blue trendline support and the cyan horizontal demand floor at 104.200, signaling a bearish reversal setup. 2. Sentiment & House Trap Analysis • Where Traders Place Orders: Retail traders bought the breakout above 104.500 expecting Oil to surge toward 108.000+. Additionally, trend-following buyers placed BUY orders around 104.200 – 104.500 on the touch of the blue ascending trendline. • Trader Stop-Loss & Target: Trapped buyers placed tight Stop-Loss orders immediately beneath the 104.200 support floor and blue trendline. Shorters placed SLs above the 106.613 rejection peak. • How the House Plays It: The House capped the rally at 106.613 to trap late FOMO buyers at peak prices. By driving price back down to slice through 104.200, the House invalidates the trendline support and triggers a cascade of forced sell-stop market orders from trapped longs. This liquidation pressure will fuel a rapid decline toward 101.787 (TP1) and 99.374 (TP2). 3. Trade Setup • Entry: 104.200 (Confirmed 1H close breaking below blue trendline & cyan support zone) • Stop Loss (SL): 106.613 (Placed safely above the recent rejection peak / top orange box) • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 101.787 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 99.374 (Retesting major cyan horizontal support floor) • Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx 2.0:1 (Calculated toward TP2)

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Gold (XAUUSD) 1H – Recovery Tests 4340 | Waiting

📊 FXGoldVision Daily Market Outlook — September 16, 2026 🟡 Market Status: WAITING Market Phase: Decision Zone / H1 Recovery Bias: Neutral until confirmation. Gold has recovered strongly on H1 and is holding above its short-term EMA structure, but price is now approaching the 4339–4345 immediate resistance zone. H4 and D1 still contain important resistance above, while today's FOMC event risk makes confirmation particularly important. Key Zones Major Resistance: 4358–4366 Immediate Resistance: 4339–4345 Decision Zone: 4326–4340 Immediate Support: 4310–4318 Major Support: 4275–4285 ⭐ FXGV A-SETUP — Higher Quality 🟢 BUY ABOVE 4340 (H1 Close) Expected Path: H1 confirmation → retest/hold → continuation. 🎯 TP1: 4345 🎯 TP2: 4358 🎯 TP3: 4365 Invalidation: H1 loses 4326 after bullish confirmation. Main Risk: H4/D1 resistance and FOMC volatility. ↩ FXGV B-SETUP — Alternative 🔴 SELL BELOW 4310 (H1 Close) Expected Path: Support breakdown → failed recovery → bearish continuation. 🎯 TP1: 4300 🎯 TP2: 4285 🎯 TP3: 4275 Invalidation: H1 reclaims 4326 after bearish confirmation. Main Risk: Strong H1 recovery momentum could produce a false bearish break. ⚠ RISK Today's U.S. calendar contains major event risk, culminating in the Federal Reserve decision and associated communications. Technical levels remain valid, but false breakouts and liquidity sweeps may increase around the event. Do not treat a wick through 4340 or 4310 as confirmation. #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #FXGoldVision

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

DeGRAM | XAUUSD is testing descending resistance

📊 Technical Analysis ● XAUUSD remains inside a clear descending structure, with the major resistance line continuing to cap every recovery. Price is now rebounding from the lower part of the channel, but the broader 1H trend remains bearish while the market stays below the 4,370–4,390 resistance zone. ● A further recovery toward 4,370–4,390 could trigger another rejection from descending resistance. If sellers regain control there, the next downside objective is the 4,240–4,260 target zone near the lower channel support. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold is trading higher ahead of today’s crucial Fed decision, but the fundamental backdrop remains challenging. Markets are pricing roughly a 93% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while elevated U.S. Treasury yields continue to pressure non-yielding gold. U.S. retail sales are also due today before the Fed announcement, adding another potential volatility trigger for XAUUSD. ✨ Summary ● Bearish structure remains dominant below 4,370–4,390; a rebound into resistance could be followed by another decline toward 4,240–4,260. A sustained breakout above resistance would weaken the bearish scenario. Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

USDJPY GOING UP?!

Here's my quick analysis on USDJPY, most is already explained on the chart We are expecting it to go bullish because of the change of trend Edit : The previous trend was bearish until Double Bottom formed(sign of sellers rejection) and we later got a FLL(price failed to create a new lower low to show a continuation of the downtrend. A CHoC occurred and price broke above our new HH which shows a new possible bullish trend, so we can expect a bullish trend on USDJPY Kindly follow for more technical analysis and feel free to drop your opinion or analysis

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

BTC/USD — 45-Minute Chart

🟠 BTC/USD — 45-Minute Chart BTC/USD is currently reacting around a marked support and demand zone near 75,300–75,800. Price has moved down sharply from the higher resistance area and is now consolidating close to this lower zone. The chart shows a potential bullish scenario if the demand area continues to hold: Current area: 75,300–75,800 Entry area: around 75,774 Invalidation / stop area: below 75,118 Target area: around 79,174 Major resistance / supply: approximately 79,200–79,600 The idea is based on price respecting the lower demand zone after the recent decline. A sustained reaction from this area could allow price to move back toward the higher resistance zone. If price breaks and holds below the marked demand area, the setup would lose strength and the downside structure could remain active.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Gold prices await FOMC – interest rate hike expected.

1. 📊 Market Structure Bias: Bullish Recovery – Short-Term Bullish Gold is trading around 4,330, showing a clear recovery from the 4,260–4,280 demand area. EMA 9: 4,324.8 EMA 89: 4,314.7 EMA 9 > EMA 89 → bullish short-term momentum. Price is holding above both EMAs, indicating that buyers have regained control. RSI(14): ~63 → bullish momentum, but not yet deeply overbought. The previous bearish structure is being challenged as price attempts to break above the descending trendline. 🔴 2. Key Resistance 4,335–4,345 → immediate resistance / descending trendline zone 4,400–4,405 → major resistance and breakout target A confirmed break and H1 close above 4,345 would strengthen the bullish recovery and potentially open the way toward 4,400–4,405. However, rejection around the trendline could trigger a short-term pullback. 🟢 3. Key Support 4,305–4,315 → EMA 89 / immediate support 4,255–4,265 → major demand zone 4,225–4,230 → deeper support As long as 4,305–4,315 holds, the short-term bullish structure remains valid. A deeper pullback toward 4,255–4,265 could provide another potential buyer reaction, as indicated on the chart. ------------- BUY GOLD zone : 4225 - 4220 SL : 4215 TP : 4240 - 4266 - 4280

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Do Not Miss Out on XPENG

NYSE:XPEV XPENG - AI, Autonomy, And A Channel Within A Channel. Three Entry Scenarios. XPENG is one of the most compelling stories in the EV space right now and it goes well beyond electric cars. Q2 2026 revenue came in at $2.91 billion, up 51.5% quarter-over-quarter, with gross margins expanding to 20.7%, up 3.4 percentage points year-over-year. The cash position stands at $5.97 billion. Its Volkswagen partnership, one of the largest Western automakers in the world choosing XPENG's technology as the foundation for its next-generation vehicles in China, is one of the strongest third-party validations a Chinese EV company has received. Add proprietary chip development, an autonomous driving platform that is genuinely competing with the best in the world, a humanoid robotics division already valued at over $6 billion, and analyst consensus implying 86% upside from current levels, this is not just an EV play. It is a physical AI company wearing an EV badge. The Setup Up until 2024 XPENG was locked in a sustained downtrend. That downtrend was broken, a significant structural shift. Since the breakout, the stock has been operating within a well-defined ascending channel, with resistance tested three times and support tested three times. The structure has been respected consistently. https://www.tradingview.com/x/EafQR7Xt/ After testing channel resistance in November 2025, price entered a corrective descending channel within the larger uptrend, a consolidation phase heading toward the ascending channel support. We have three potential entry scenarios, all confirmed, none anticipated: Scenario 1 - A weekly close above the descending channel resistance. The corrective structure resolves to the upside and the next leg of the larger channel begins. https://www.tradingview.com/x/OsOvbJCr/ Scenario 2 - A confirmed bounce from the ascending channel support. Price reaches the lower boundary of the larger channel, buyers step in, and the structure holds. https://www.tradingview.com/x/sQSfhuC8/ Scenario 3 - If channel support fails, a retest of the Horizontal Support all time low is likely https://www.tradingview.com/x/iuZM2Mwj/ We are not in a position yet. We are watching all three levels. The chart tells us when. Keep posted for any updates.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAUUSD | BUY SETUP...

🥇 XAUUSD | BUY SETUP 📍 Buy Reaction Zone: 4,265–4,280 🎯 Target 1: 4,405 🎯 Target 2: 4,440–4,455 🟢 Support Zone: 4,250–4,270 🔴 Resistance Zone: 4,330–4,350 🔴 Major Resistance: 4,440–4,455 📊 Market Analysis: Gold is currently trading around 4,330 and facing the marked resistance zone. The chart shows a broader descending trendline, so price may first pull back toward the 4,265–4,280 support area. If buyers defend this zone and produce a confirmed bullish reaction, the recovery can target 4,405 first, followed by the major resistance area around 4,440–4,455. A clean break and acceptance above 4,350 would strengthen the upside move. However, a decisive breakdown below the 4,250–4,265 support would invalidate this bullish setup. 🛡️ Invalidation: Below 4,250 Bias: 🟢 BUY on confirmed support reaction

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Do Not Miss Out of XPENG

NYSE:XPEV XPENG - AI, Autonomy, And A Channel Within A Channel. Three Entry Scenarios. XPENG is one of the most compelling stories in the EV space right now and it goes well beyond electric cars. Q2 2026 revenue came in at $2.91 billion, up 51.5% quarter-over-quarter, with gross margins expanding to 20.7%, up 3.4 percentage points year-over-year. The cash position stands at $5.97 billion. Its Volkswagen partnership, one of the largest Western automakers in the world choosing XPENG's technology as the foundation for its next-generation vehicles in China, is one of the strongest third-party validations a Chinese EV company has received. Add proprietary chip development, an autonomous driving platform that is genuinely competing with the best in the world, a humanoid robotics division already valued at over $6 billion, and analyst consensus implying 86% upside from current levels, this is not just an EV play. It is a physical AI company wearing an EV badge. The Setup Up until 2024 XPENG was locked in a sustained downtrend. That downtrend was broken, a significant structural shift. Since the breakout, the stock has been operating within a well-defined ascending channel, with resistance tested three times and support tested three times. The structure has been respected consistently. https://www.tradingview.com/x/EafQR7Xt/ After testing channel resistance in November 2025, price entered a corrective descending channel within the larger uptrend, a consolidation phase heading toward the ascending channel support. We have three potential entry scenarios, all confirmed, none anticipated: Scenario 1 - A weekly close above the descending channel resistance. The corrective structure resolves to the upside and the next leg of the larger channel begins. https://www.tradingview.com/x/OsOvbJCr/ Scenario 2 - A confirmed bounce from the ascending channel support. Price reaches the lower boundary of the larger channel, buyers step in, and the structure holds. https://www.tradingview.com/x/sQSfhuC8/ Scenario 3 - If channel support fails, a retest of the Horizontal Support all time low is likely https://www.tradingview.com/x/iuZM2Mwj/ We are not in a position yet. We are watching all three levels. The chart tells us when. Keep posted for any updates.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept
TI

An upcoming bull run in DRAM

I posted a bearish chart on SK Hynix couple of days back and basis the strucure at hand, it wont hold any longer. DRAM in general, inculding Sandisk, is forming an ascending diagonal pattern, is at support on their 9MA, with trend continuation divergence flashing since yesterday. Even 4hr buy signal Demark is flashing. Elliot wave are pointing to a fast leg up towards 2200 mark which will mark Sandisk's bull wave completion. For now, all signals are pointing to an upcoming bull run in the next 7-10 trading days. Considering the upcoming FOMC meeting, trade with tight SL

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

GOLD US SESSION — 4300 HOLDS, BULLS STRIKE BACK

Gold has shown a strong recovery from the 4,285 support zone, reclaiming the 4,300 area with strong bullish momentum. However, price is now approaching the first resistance around 4,340, so the US session should focus on how price reacts at key zones rather than chasing the move. 📌 MAIN SCENARIO The immediate key area is 4,317–4,340. If Gold holds above 4,317 after a pullback and buyers continue to defend this zone, the recovery can extend toward 4,399. If price reaches 4,340 and shows a clear rejection, a short-term scalp back toward 4,317 → 4,285 can develop. Therefore, the preferred approach is to buy confirmed pullbacks while 4,285 remains protected, while remaining flexible around 4,340 resistance. 🔑 KEY LEVELS 🔴 4,443 — Major resistance / upper target 🔴 4,399 — Key resistance 🔴 4,340 — Immediate resistance / reaction zone 🟢 4,317 — Short-term support / pullback area 🟢 4,285 — Major support / bullish invalidation area 🟢 4,224 — Deeper support if 4,285 fails 🎯 PREFERRED SCENARIO Gold has recovered strongly above 4,300. Watch 4,317–4,340 for the first US-session setup. If 4,317 holds after a pullback → look for Buy confirmation. A successful break and hold above 4,340 opens the way toward 4,399. If 4,340 rejects strongly → consider a short scalp toward 4,317 / 4,285. A break below 4,285 would invalidate the immediate bullish recovery setup. 🟢 BIAS BULLISH — BUY THE CONFIRMED PULLBACK. The key shift is the strong recovery from 4,285 and reclaim of 4,300. For the US session, Emma's approach is simple: don't chase the impulse — wait for the pullback, confirmation, and reaction at the key zone.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

SENT Poised to Climb: Key Technicals Align for a Long Move

BYBIT:SENTUSDT.P SENT — Long Stop loss: 0.014547 Take profit: 0.014944 SENT is showing bullish potential 📈. On the 2h chart, the SMA20 at 0.0152 is above the SMA50 at 0.0148, indicating a positive trend alignment. Aroon indicators confirm strength with Aroon Up at 85.7, heavily outweighing Aroon Down at 50. Parabolic SAR at 0.0144 suggests support is building near current price levels. RSI sits at 45.7, showing room for upward momentum without overbought pressure. Although CCI20 is at -93.5, hinting at potential oversold conditions, it aligns with a long setup for a rebound move. 📊 Technical read: SMA20|2h: 0.0152 SMA50|2h: 0.0148 Aroon.Up|2h: 85.7143 Aroon.Down|2h: 50 P.SAR|2h: 0.0144 RSI|2h: 45.7463 CCI20|2h: -93.479 Timeframe 2h (validation score -4): - close: 0.0147 - Recommend.MA: -0.4 - SMA20: 0.0152 - SMA50: 0.0148 - SMA200: 0.0138 - EMA5: 0.0149 - EMA20: 0.015 - EMA50: 0.0149 - EMA200: 0.0141 - BB.upper: 0.0162 - BB.lower: 0.0142 - Aroon.Down: 50 - Aroon.Up: 85.7143 - MACD.macd: 0 - MACD.signal: 0.0001 - RSI: 45.7463 - Stoch.RSI.D: 47.7254 - Stoch.D: 53.3376 - Stoch.K: 43.5534 - CCI20: -93.479 - P.SAR: 0.0144 Educational only — not financial advice. This is my personal market analysis, not financial advice. Always manage risk according to your own strategy and risk tolerance. Simulated with $105 isolated margin Target per TP hit: $21 TP move: 1.39% SL move: 1.3% Risk:Reward: 1.07:1 Leverage: 15x Position qty: 106860 Gain at TP: $21.91 Loss at SL: -$20.52

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

US10Y vs. DXY: Correlation Reconnect or Yield Exhaustion Ahead?

Chart Breakdown & Macro Context A long-term weekly comparison between the 10-Year US Treasury Yield (TNX) and the US Dollar Index (DXY) reveals a critical inflection point in their multi-decade relationship: Historical Decoupling (2018): Following a sustained multi-year lockstep, yields and the dollar decoupled aggressively in October 2018, leading to sharp divergence through the 2020 liquidity shock. COVID-19 Trough: A definitive macro bottom formed in 2020 at the onset of the pandemic, initiating the multi-year impulse cycle in yields. Correlation Realignment (2022–Present): The dollar surged alongside TNX as aggressive tightening began, re-establishing their positive correlation. Elliott Wave & Technical Setup 10-Year Yields (Impulsive Continuation): Following an extended Wave (3) peak, yields consolidated into a clear corrective box/triangle structure marked by sub-waves - - - - . The breakout from the Wave (4) base has propelled yields along an ascending channel, eyeing the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of Wave (3) as an upside target. US Dollar Index (Corrective Retracement): DXY has pulled back into critical support near its 23.6% to 38.2% Fibonacci retracements of the larger (1)-(2)-(3) cycle. The base forming around current levels suggests local downside exhaustion. Key Scenarios to Watch Bullish Alignment (Dollar Catch-Up): If yields maintain upward momentum toward the 161.8% extension, DXY is likely to complete its corrective bottom and rally sharply to close the performance gap. Yield Exhaustion (Mean Reversion): If the breakout in yields fails near channel resistance, TNX could retrace back into the prior range, capping dollar upside and testing lower Fibonacci retracement levels. Which direction are you leaning toward for DXY in your trading bias—an aggressive catch-up rally or a deeper retest of the 38.2% Fib level?

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

WTI - Will Oil Continue Its Upward Trend?

On the 4-hour timeframe, WTI crude oil is trading above the 200-period and 50-period EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) and moving within an ascending channel. Maintaining this channel and the established uptrend line will likely sustain the upward momentum. Should the price undergo a downward correction toward the identified demand zone, there may be an opportunity to re-enter long positions with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. If the upward movement continues toward the resistance zone—which coincides with the upper boundary of the channel—it would present an opportunity to take profits on long positions and potentially initiate short positions. Sources have reported that Saudi Arabia informed certain European refineries that crude oil shipments scheduled for loading in September were cancelled following the shutdown of the East-West Pipeline. This development indicates that the disruption to Saudi export infrastructure extends beyond a mere reduction in transit capacity and could directly impact supply schedules for European refineries. Meanwhile, declining oil inventories in China prompted the major importer to increase orders in August, while US strategic oil reserves remain near historic lows. The combination of supply disruptions, rising import demand from China, and limited US reserve buffers heightens the risk of price volatility and spikes—particularly if the restoration of the East-West Pipeline takes longer than anticipated. While the cancellation of certain shipments does not signify a complete halt to Saudi exports, it demonstrates that alternative routes have yet to fully compensate for the lost capacity.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept
TI

The Fed Interest Rate Roadmap (2020–2026) vs US Dollar (DXY)

Ahead of today’s highly anticipated interest rate decision, the custom chart maps every single Fed policy decision since the COVID-19 pandemic directly onto the US Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) Weekly Chart. While everyone else is guessing what the Federal Reserve will do today, we zoomed out DXY charts on @TradingView to bring clarity. I think history will repeat and a rate hike is expected to drive DXY to higher levels - A rate hike today completely recalibrates global yield expectations. - As the Fed moves in the opposite direction of other central banks, global capital is poised to rush back into higher-yielding US assets. If the Fed backs up its hawkish rhetoric with real action today, expect the TVC:DXY to easily reclaim the 100.30 barrier and kickstart a new structural leg higher. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- What could be the Fed's Decision today The probabilities for a rate hike are still high as the Fed meeting gets near; Still above 90% What's going to be the decision of Fed Boss Warsh in his most consequential meeting - At 2:00 PM ET today, Kevin Warsh will deliver his fourth FOMC decision as Fed Chair — and arguably his most consequential. - As mentioned above, markets have priced in a +90% probability of a 25bp hike. - A 0.25% rate hike will take the fed funds rate (FFR) from 3.50 - 3.75% to 3.75 - 4.00%. - It's going to be the first Fed rate hike since 2023, - And if the Fed actually decides to hike the rates, then it will be the first Fed move to explicitly defy a sitting president's public demands in modern memory. But why has Warsh been cornered into hiking, when his boss (Trump) desperately wants cuts: A: High & Sticky Inflation 1. August US CPI: core inflation +0.3% m/m, headline 3.4% y/y, which was higher than expected, driven substantially by the oil/energy shock from the Iran war and Ukraine-linked refinery disruptions in Russia. 2. US PPI: +0.4% m/m, +5.4% y/y, a genuinely alarming inflation number. B: Strong Labor Market 1. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP): Added 162,000 jobs in August (private payrolls contributed 127,000). 2. Unemployment Rate: Held steady at 4.1%. 3. Revisions: Positive revisions added 55,000 jobs to prior months. 4. Three-Month Average: Lifted private employment growth to 75,000, coming in above the estimated breakeven range Trump is himself the cause of inflation in the USA, in fact of global inflation - Trump's own policies, including the financial tariff war and the conventional Iran war, are the direct cause of high inflation, forcing the hand of his own appointed Chair to work against his wishes. - Overall, Warsh has to clean up the mess his boss has created. So, the ultimate question is: will Warsh defy Trump? - According to me - Yes, most likely - Because Warsh has repeatedly & explicitly said that Trump has had "no impact" on his decisions, and they are independent. - Let me pinpoint to June/July decisions where Warsh held the rates (against Trump's wishes for cuts) as evidence of Fed independence.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

AUDNZD: Confirmed BoS 🇦🇺🇳🇿

https://www.tradingview.com/x/A54xqLIu/ On today's live stream, I explained why AUDNZD looks bullish to me. I see a confirmed bullish BoS on 4h/daily time frames. There is a high chance that the price will bounce one more time after a retest of the broken structure. Goal - 1.243 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept