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XAUUSD 45M: Key Support Zone and Potential Upside Path

Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 4,335 on the 45-minute chart. Price has recently reacted from the lower support area and is showing signs of recovery from the 4,300–4,320 region. The chart highlights three important zones: Support: around 4,300–4,320 First resistance: around 4,415–4,430 Upper resistance: around 4,465–4,480 Price is attempting to move back above the nearby support/resistance area around 4,330–4,340. If this recovery continues and the intermediate resistance zones are cleared, the projected path on the chart points toward the upper 4,470–4,480 region. The setup remains dependent on price action around the marked zones. A sustained move below the lower support area would weaken this structure and invalidate the illustrated path. Key levels: Support: 4,300–4,320 Current area: 4,335 Resistance: 4,415–4,430 Upper zone: 4,465–4,480

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

The A-Grade I Didn't Actually Trade Like One

Twice now I've called a setup A-grade — trend-following, strong confluence, every box checked — then sized it at half risk anyway. Both times, looking back, the grade was right. My own rule says A means full risk. I didn't give it full risk either time. The first time I shrugged it off. The second time, weeks later, on a different pair, it was clearly a pattern, not a one-off. Some part of me doesn't fully trust my own "A" once it's time to actually size the trade. That's not a bad rule — it's a gap between what I say I believe and what I actually do. If I only ever trade these at half risk, that's the truth about me, not the setup. The fix isn't forcing full risk next time to prove a point. It's noticing the moment I quietly shrink the size, and asking why — before it just becomes a rounding error in the log. Third post in this series on trading psychology. Anyone else had their sizing disagree with their own analysis?

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

WARNING: VET has completed a bullish pattern! (4H)

VET appears to have completed a bullish diametric pattern, with the final wave ending in a truncation. This type of ending can be an early sign that buying momentum is weakening and selling pressure is starting to increase. For now, I’m watching the red zone closely. If price makes a pullback into this area and shows a proper rejection, we can start looking for a potential sell/short setup. The main targets are marked directly on the chart, so I will be monitoring price action around these levels as the setup develops. As always, confirmation is important. I would prefer to see the expected reaction from the red zone rather than anticipating the move too early. A 4-hour candle close above the marked invalidation level would invalidate this setup and the bearish scenario would no longer be valid. If you have a symbol you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you. Do you think VET is bullish?

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Natural Gas: Potential Double Top Pattern

Natural Gas: Potential Double Top Pattern Natural gas retested the top of the structure near 3.07 It has been a while since this area was broken. From our previous analysis, the price only reached the first target and then turned back. There is a good chance that we are in a potential larger Double Top pattern. Remember that on August 31, 2026, Trump urged companies to use their fat profits to lower gasoline prices that have risen sharply due to the ongoing conflict with Iran. From a geopolitical perspective, natural gas should rise. But, given what Trump is doing and how slowly natural gas and oil are rising, we should think carefully about the current situation where oil and natural gas remain manipulated as instruments. Targets: 2.875 2.775 2.695 If the price moves above the resistance zone 3.07, then this analysis will become invalid. You can find more details on the chart. Thanks! 🍀 ⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade. ❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

#TIAUSDT — a Major Decision Point at the Downtrend Line!

#TIA The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe; it has reached the lower boundary and is poised for a rebound. A retest of this boundary is expected, supporting some upward movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a bearish trend, but an upward breakout is likely due to oversold conditions on the 1-hour chart. There is initial support at 0.2958, acting as a preliminary support zone. A key support zone (marked in green) exists at 0.2766; the price has rebounded from this area multiple times, making it a strong support level. The price is moving toward the 100-period moving average, which is within close reach; this supports a potential rise. Entry Price: 0.3251 Target 1: 0.3370 Target 2: 0.3536 Target 3: 0.3711 Stop Loss: At the green resistance zone. Remember this simple rule: Capital management. If you have any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAU/USD 16 September 2026 Intraday Analysis

H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100. Note: Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated. Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action. For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment. H4 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/MHvRquzG/ M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to analysis dated 02 September 2026 whereby I mentioned price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,282.625. Please note, in error I mentioned weak internal high instead of weak internal low. This is exactly how price printed. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,253.625. Note: Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves. The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation. At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential. Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded. M15 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/EJz0RlJn/

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Gold is back above 4,300 — but the real test is still ahead.

XAUUSD has delivered a strong M30 recovery from the 4,260–4,280 area, pushing back toward the descending trendline and the 4,340 resistance. This creates a critical FOMC-day decision zone. M30 Market Structure Current: 4,327.225 Decision Zone: 4,335–4,345 Reaction Zone: 4,315–4,325 Liquidity / Demand: 4,275–4,285 Major Supply: 4,395–4,405 The short-term momentum is bullish, but the broader M30 structure remains capped by the descending trendline. Bullish Scenario If M30 closes above 4,340 and holds the 4,315–4,325 retest: 4,340 → 4,360 → 4,395–4,405 A clean breakout could turn the current descending trendline into support. Bearish Scenario But if Gold sweeps 4,340 and quickly falls back below: 4,340 → 4,315 → 4,285 A break below 4,275–4,285 would invalidate the current recovery structure. FOMC Catalyst The Fed decision arrives today, with markets pricing roughly 92% probability of a 25bp hike. August CPI remained elevated at 3.4% YoY, while Treasury yields are around 5% and oil remains above $100. That means volatility could expand sharply around the decision and guidance. Is 4,340 the breakout trigger — or the liquidity trap before 4,280?

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Gold 45M — Recovery Structure Toward 4450 Area

Gold is showing a developing recovery structure after forming a base around the 4260–4280 area. Price has moved back above the 4300–4310 support zone, while the recent swing structure suggests improving upside momentum. The main levels marked on the chart are: Entry Area: around 4336 Support / Invalidation: 4308 First resistance: 4360 Major target zone: 4450–4455 As long as price maintains the marked support area, the chart structure keeps the 4450–4455 resistance zone in focus. A sustained move above 4360 could provide additional confirmation of the recovery stru

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAUUSD — Key Resistance Zone and Potential Downside Structure

XAUUSD is currently trading around 4,337 after reacting from the lower support area. The chart shows a clear market structure with: A major support zone around 4,250–4,280 A key resistance zone around 4,400–4,435 Previous LH (Lower High) formation near the upper resistance area Price currently recovering from the lower support region The main area to watch is 4,400–4,435. If price reaches this zone and shows rejection, the chart structure could allow another move toward the lower support area around 4,264. On the other hand, a sustained move above the resistance zone would weaken this downside structure and could indicate a change in the current setup. Key levels: 🔹 Support: 4,250–4,280 🔹 Current area: 4,337 🔹 Resistance: 4,400–4,435 🔹 Lower reference: ~4,264 This idea is based on the visible market structure, support/resistance zones, and the reaction around these levels. Price action should be monitored as the setup develops.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

AUDUSD: Copper Weakness and Fed Risks Keep Aussie Under Pressure

Aussie came down in impulsive fashion from last week's highs, but now it's trying to stabilize a bit. It looks like this could be just another three-wave corrective recovery, with a nice resistance area between 0.7150 and 0.7188. Also keep in mind that one of the key drivers for this reversal lower was the risk-off move, but more importantly, the weakness in copper. If copper prices remain under pressure, then AUDUSD could also struggle to recover. From an Elliott Wave perspective, we expect more weakness after this ABC rebound. The invalidation level is at 0.7237, and as long as this level holds, more downside is possible. This could especially be the case if the Fed hikes rates and remains hawkish going forward. Higher interest rates can put more pressure on economic activity and growth expectations, which could also weigh on copper. And as we know, copper is often seen as an important indicator of global economic health, so further weakness there could also keep pressure on the Australian dollar. Grega

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAU/USD × kurutologic: Triangle Confluence & 3 Scenarios

This is kurutologic. Today, I am sharing an updated structural analysis and scenario map for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H timeframe to gauge the near-term trading direction. ■ Market Overview The market is currently forming a symmetrical triangle consolidation. Price is strongly supported by the "4H Support Zone" and the ascending trendline, while being capped by a descending trendline. Volatility is compressing, indicating an energy accumulation phase before the next major impulse. ■ Key Technical Confluence 1. POC & Trendline Intersection Just above current price lies a critical resistance zone where the highest volume node, the "POC Line & Zone," intersects with the descending trendline. 2. 4H Order Blocks (Purple Boxes) Above this intersection, unmitigated 4H Order Blocks are stacked in two levels, representing heavy institutional supply. ■ 3 Trade Scenarios & Action Plan Since we are inside a consolidation pattern, we anticipate a test of the overhead resistance. I have mapped out 3 potential pathways (①-③): ① Rejection at POC Confluence: Price tests the heavy resistance where the POC intersects with the descending trendline and fails, leading to a drop. ② Liquidity Sweep at 4H OB: Even if price breaks the POC, it pushes into the first "4H Order Block" to trap retail breakout buyers. This liquidity sweep results in a sharp fake-out and drop. This is the primary hazard to watch out for. ③ OB Breakout & Support Inversion: A decisive body-candle breakout above the 4H OBs. If price can flip these supply zones into support (pullback) with clear price action, it confirms a high-probability long setup for continuation. Maintain a neutral bias while inside the triangle. Wait for clear confirmation—either a strong rejection at the upper confluence zones or a decisive breakout—before executing. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always practice strict risk management. kurutologic

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAUUSD – PINNED 4,270–4,354, WAITING FOR FOMC!

Leo re-read your chart: the scenario lines up almost perfectly with the levels drawn – both the 4,341–4,351 turn zone and the two arrows at 4,486 / 4,202. Gold sits at 4,322.80, swept the low at 4,275.60 then reclaimed 4,340.79 (+0.66%). The range is holding. 🌍 REALTIME MACRO DXY hovers at 99.61–99.70, near its range top – USD's weak spot, the higher it goes the more room to be sold when news lands. US10Y touched 5.00% for a fifth straight session and still weighs on gold, yet gold holds 4,320 – structural demand is intact. Two markers tonight: 19:30 – Retail Sales m/m (forecast 0.8%, prior -0.6%) and 01:00 – Fed Funds Rate + Dot Plot, followed by Chair Warsh's press conference at 01:30. The rate bet is split: ~52% hold / ~46% hike 25bp. The key point: if the Fed hikes exactly 25bp without extra hawkishness → "sell the rumor, buy the fact" → USD gets sold back → gold rallies. For gold to collapse to 4,202 you need a real surprise: a 50bp hike, a hawkish Dot Plot, or a hard-line Warsh. 📉 CHART EVIDENCE Live price 4,334.42. Horizontal lines: 4,410 → 4,340 (bottom of the yellow band) → 4,320 → ~4,290 → 4,270 → 4,240 (TURN H4) → 4,200. The yellow TURN H1 band: 4,340–4,355 matches your 4,341–4,351 turn zone. A green arrow fires from 4,355 above 4,460 (target 4,486), a red arrow runs from 4,235 down to 4,200 (target 4,202). Seven-point zig-zag: 4,340 ↑ 4,320 ↓ 4,340 ↑ 4,280 ↓ 4,320 ↑ 4,270 ↓ 4,340 ↑. The chart shows no EMA/RSI/volume – pure S/R. You mapped 7 of 7 levels. 🧠 WHY PRICE MOVES THIS WAY Leg 1 – up to 4,341–4,351: price sits right under the yellow band, and the 4,275–4,278 sweep printed a Higher Low on M15. Pre-news flow typically pushes price to the range top to build liquidity – taking the 4,340 high and hunting short stops. Leg 2 – pullback to 4,317 / 4,288 / 4,270: none of these are random – 4,317≈4,320 is a repeatedly tested S/R; 4,288≈4,290 is the mid-range line where institutions rebalance; 4,270 is the sideways floor and the stop cluster for every long. Nobody wants full size before a release, DXY is pinned near its high and US10Y is at 5%, so price gets dragged back to equilibrium. Leg 3 – back to 4,341–4,351: once both ends are swept, a fresh buying wave forms, confirming a two-sided compression – enough stored energy to break out after the news. After the news: a Retail Sales miss or a dovish Warsh → break 4,354 → 4,410 → 4,460 → 4,486. Strong Retail Sales plus a hawkish Fed → break 4,270 → 4,240 → 4,202. ⚔️ PLAN & ADVICE Pre-news: SELL scalp at 4,341–4,351 on an M1/M5 Pinbar or bearish CHoCH, SL 4,362, TPs 4,317 → 4,288 → 4,270. BUY scalp at 4,288 or 4,270 on a bullish reaction candle, SL 4,258, TPs 4,317 → 4,341 → 4,351. 4,320 is chop – do not trade it. Post-news: don't click for the first 5–15 minutes; spreads widen and price whipsaws both ways. Wait for price to reach 4,270–4,240 or 4,354–4,410, then read the M5 reaction. Enter only on a Pinbar/CHoCH at the turn zone. Invalidation: M15 close above 4,365 → cancel the bearish scenario. M15 close below 4,258 → cancel the bullish scenario, confirming the path to 4,240–4,202. Advice: 50% size; non-professionals stay out and wait 30 minutes after Warsh's press conference. Don't chase shorts into 4,270–4,240 pre-news – the hike is largely priced in and this is the classic trap. Don't chase longs into 4,340–4,350 while DXY is near its high. Move SL to breakeven at TP1, and don't hold through 01:00 unless in profit. Risk management > prediction – survive tonight and you keep capital for next week. Disclaimer: for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Confirm M1/M5 signals before entering. — Leo 🥇⚔️

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

#SOLUSDT Final Liquidity Zone Before Expansion ?

#SOL The price is moving within a bearish channel on the 1-hour timeframe; it has reached the lower boundary and appears poised for a rebound. A retest of this boundary is expected, supporting some upward movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a bearish trend, but an upward breakout is likely due to oversold conditions on the 1-hour chart. There is initial support at 94.00, acting as a primary support zone. A key support zone (marked in green) exists at 92.00; the price has rebounded from this area multiple times, making it a strong support level. The price is moving toward the 100-period moving average—a level we are currently approaching—which supports a potential rise. Entry Price: 97.00 Target 1: 98.05 Target 2: 99.32 Target 3: 100.96 Stop Loss: At the green resistance zone. Remember this simple rule: Capital management. If you have any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

GOLD - A countertrend correction ahead of the news

ICMARKETS:XAUUSD is bouncing from support ahead of the news and forming a countertrend correction amid the dollar’s stagnation following a five-day rally. The FOMC meeting and comments from the regulator are ahead... https://www.tradingview.com/x/WPiCVVYE/ Technically, most of the hawkish risks have already been priced in, but gold will remain vulnerable if the Fed signals that it intends to keep rates elevated for an extended period. Geopolitical risks and high energy prices are providing support. Gold is caught between expectations of tighter monetary policy and safe-haven demand. Technically, the market is moving toward a liquidity zone, which could be tested before another decline within the local trend Drivers: Downside: hawkish Fed, strong dollar, rising yields. Upside: dovish Fed, weak dollar, geopolitical support Resistance levels: 4,355, 4,402 Support levels: 4,250, 4,230, 4,200 Gold, having failed to reach the key levels at 4,230–4,200, is forming a countertrend correction ahead of the upcoming news — the interest rate decision. A short squeeze of the 4,355–4,400 resistance zone could trigger a decline toward the key areas of interest Best regards, R. Linda!

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

USD/CHF: news flow leaning bullish — the net read

USD/CHF did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: ++ Why markets have left the Fed little choice but to hike rates ++ Stock futures edge higher ahead of pivotal Fed rate decision: Live updates + China’s slower loan growth is the new normal, central bank governor says 62 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: +++ leaning bullish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

$BTC/USDT Descending Channel

Bitcoin / Tether USDT Futures (BTC/USDT) on the 1D timeframe is showing a descending channel following the sharp upward move visible on the chart. Price is currently consolidating inside the channel with lower highs and lower lows. The current price is around 75,783 USDT, with key horizontal support near 75,128 USDT. The major resistance is marked near 82,374 USDT, with the chart high around 82,812 USDT. A daily breakout above the descending channel’s upper boundary, currently around the 78,000 USDT zone, could provide confirmation of a move toward the 82,374 USDT resistance. From the current price, that target represents approximately +8.7%. On the downside, a confirmed daily breakdown below 75,128 USDT could invalidate the channel-breakout setup and indicate further weakness. Watch for a clear candle close and confirmation rather than relying on an intraday move.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

AU200: news flow leaning bearish — the net read

AU200 did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: −− Treasury yields hitting 5% may not break markets now — but the clock is ticking −− US Troops Leak New Iran War Photos Of Gulf Bases: 'Major Damage Hidden From American Public' − Amazon Says Cloud Infrastructure In Bahrain, UAE 'Beyond Saving' 143 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

SG25: news flow leaning bearish — the net read

SG25 did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: +++ Amazon Says Cloud Infrastructure In Bahrain, UAE 'Beyond Saving' −− Treasury yields hitting 5% may not break markets now — but the clock is ticking − Vance says Iran war will shift to new phase within month (fading) 120 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

EURUSD: Sellers Remain in Control as Pressure Builds Near Suppor

EURUSD is currently trading within a clear bearish structure , as both the macro backdrop and price action continue to favor sellers. The pair has already experienced a strong decline, and although price is now stabilizing near support, the current consolidation has not produced enough strength to suggest that the broader downtrend is coming to an end. From a macro perspective, the U.S. dollar continues to hold the advantage ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. Markets are pricing a high probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike , while elevated U.S. Treasury yields continue to support the dollar. The ECB has also tightened monetary policy, which provides some support for the euro, but so far this has not been enough to reverse the pressure on EURUSD. In the short term, Fed expectations and U.S. yields remain the stronger drivers. Technically, EURUSD continues to respect the major descending trendline on the H4 timeframe . The broader sequence of lower highs remains intact, while price is still trading beneath the Ichimoku structure. More importantly, the latest decline has pushed EURUSD into the lower part of the structure, where price is now consolidating rather than producing a convincing bullish recovery. This suggests that selling pressure has slowed, but sellers have not lost control. The 1.1560–1.1580 area is the most important resistance zone in the short term. A rebound into this region could attract renewed selling pressure, especially while price remains below the descending trendline. On the downside, 1.1515–1.1525 is the key support area. If this support breaks decisively, the current consolidation could develop into another bearish extension. Overall, EURUSD remains in a controlled bearish phase . As long as price fails to break and hold above the immediate resistance structure, I would treat rebounds as technical pullbacks within the downtrend , rather than evidence that a bullish reversal has begun.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept