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TradingView Ideas — page 6

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10's back to 5% After the Rate Hike

Slightly hawkish lean in the projection, and 10-year yields quickly returned to that 5% marker. The Fed is forecasting one more hike into the end of the year and that's helped to push a run of USD strength to go along with that run-higher in yields. The next major mark for 10-year notes is the 5.25% level that last traded in 2007 and if that trades soon, it would seem weakness in equities would come along with it. Next up for the USD is perhaps the more pertinent item for FX markets, and that's how the Bank of Japan positions their widely-expected rate hike. - JS

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

Possible Bounce From Rising Channel Support

Price has come back to the bottom of the rising channel and is showing a possible support reaction. Entry can be considered around 538–543, or safer after confirmation above 548–552 with improving volume. SL: around 522–523 Targets: 580–583, then 600–605, with 625–630 possible if momentum stays strong. Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in stocks involves risk, including the possible loss of capital. Any decisions to buy, sell, or hold securities are the sole responsibility of the reader. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and, if necessary, consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

Bitcoin PA and US Fed Rate Rises since 2021 - the Effects

So, The USA Federal Reserve just raised rates by 25 points as expected. And the question on most peoples minds is "Will this upset my trading?" And if, Like Me, you focus on BITCOIN, you should pay attention but more to what it does to OTHER ASSETS. The Main chart shows Bitcoin INDEX and All the Rate decisions, when they happened. ( It is a weekly chart so the EXACT day is not there but it is in that week) The whole Chart is to Big to fit on one screen so here is the chart from the 2021 ATH to the Mid 2024 range. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Z31vydJH/ What are these RED and GREEN Boxes? In the Chart from 2021, the first RED Box is where the US FED raised Rates and Bitcoin PA Dropped. Many would say this would be expected as borrowing got more expensive. The Fed Effect However, the GREEN box that Follows is were the FED CONTINUED to Raise Rates but Bitcoin PA ROSE or Ranged. It DID NOT Drop like a Stone as previously. NO FED EFFECT The Main chart also has a RED box, https://www.tradingview.com/x/VicHO22z/ As you can see, this is were Bitcoin Dropped after that October 2025 ATH. But the FED Was Lowering the interest Rate for Borrowing ! Why was Bitcoin not paying attention ? Again, NO FED EFFECT There are many reasons, other assets were more favourable, Mostly due to Bitcoin being OVER BOUGHT on may time frames and Due a Bear Market after ATH. So, as you can See, BITCOIN Follows its own rules and one reason for that, and this needs to be remembered, BITCOIN IS NON CENTRALIZED> IT IS NOT BASED IN THE USA IT DOES NOT NEED TO BE EFFECTED BY THE FED and as you can very clearlly see here, It often Is not. That is NOT a insult to the USA, just a Fact. There are many HUGE American Bitcoin investors and YES, for them ,borrowing to buy Bitcoin costs more.... WE just have to wait and see where Bitcoin WANTS to go next.......but I do not think that recent BULLISH moves will be undone by raises in interest Rates in the USA BUT WE DO NEED TO REMAIN CAUTIOUS AS GLOBAL MACRO WILL HAVE EFFECTS. And yes I was shouting Sorry Stay Safe, Love one another and BUY BITCOIN

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

$ETH| 1D | BUY SETUP |

While the retail crowd panics over a 9% pullback triggered by the Senate's CLARITY Act failure, the daily chart is print-perfect, retesting its primary buying block with an asymmetric 1:4 risk-to-reward setup. 🚨 Current Structure: Price: $2,417.55 Reaction: Rejected and pulled back -9.32% from its local high of $2,665.99 on Sep 12. Pattern: Daily Horizontal Support Range / Accumulation Block. Bias: Bullish as long as the $2,249.71 support floor holds. "The Level That Decides Everything": The $2,326.77 - $2,249.71 Daily Buying Order Block. Bids are queued at the $2,328.22 entry price. If this floor holds on a retest, it confirms a strong trend reversal to clear local range resistance. A daily close below $2,228.22 invalidates the setup. Targets: Target 1 at $2,507.06, Target 2 at $2,728.22. The Move So Far: Down 9.32% from its local high of $2,665.99. On the macro scale, CRYPTOCAP:ETH is down 51.2% from its $4,953.73 All-Time High (Aug 2025) and up over +575,500% from its $0.42 All-Time Low (Oct 2015). Fundraising Breakdown: Total Raised: ~$18.3 Million worth of Bitcoin (approx. 31,591 BTC) in 2014. Implied Launch Valuation: ~$22 Million at genesis. No venture capital rounds or private seed allocations existed prior to the public crowdsale. ICO/IEO Entry Prices: Public ICO finished in September 2014 at an average price of $0.311 per ETH. ICO investors received over 60M ETH. Today, this represents an annualized return on investment of over 270%, or a ~7,773x return on capital. Unlock Pressure Ahead: Locked Supply: 0% locked. 100% of the 122 Million supply has successfully vested. No early founder, team, or foundation cliff allocations remain to dilute holders. Vesting: Fully circulating. New supply enters via programmatic staking validation (~3-6% APR), offset dynamically by EIP-1559 base-fee gas burns. Key Levels: Resistance 1 / Resistance 2: $2,507.06 / $2,728.22 Entry: $2,328.22 (inside Order Block) Support (range): $2,326.77 - $2,249.71 Invalidation / Stop Loss: $2,228.22 Closing Thesis: CRYPTOCAP:ETH ’s near-term price was temporarily hit by Washington’s regulatory gridlock, but the long-term fundamentals of the smart-contract economy remain untouched. Technically, the daily retest of the green order block offers a highly favorable 1:4.00 risk-to-reward ratio for swing traders. If the $2,249.71 support floor holds, the path to $2,728.22 is wide open. Below it, the story flips. 🎯 Bullish above $2,249.71. Below it, the story flips. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

Talaat Moustafa Group (TMGH) — Short-Term Bearish Setup

TMGH is showing a potential Head & Shoulders reversal pattern on the 1H timeframe, suggesting a short-term bearish scenario. The structure consists of a clear Left Shoulder → Head → Right Shoulder, with price currently testing the neckline around 95.50 EGP. 🔻 Bearish Scenario A confirmed 1H close below 95.50 EGP would provide stronger confirmation of the bearish breakout and could open the way toward: Entry: 95.50 EGP — preferably after confirmed neckline breakdown Stop Loss: 101.00–101.20 EGP Target 1: 84.85 EGP Target 2: 80.75–79.70 EGP The first target represents the major horizontal support around 85 EGP, while the second target is the next significant support zone around 80.75–79.70 EGP. ⚠️ Invalidation The bearish setup would be invalidated if price reclaims and sustains above 101.00–101.20 EGP, which would indicate a failure of the Head & Shoulders formation. Bias: Bearish in the short term, but confirmation below 95.50 EGP is key. This is a technical setup, not financial advice. Wait for confirmation rather than anticipating the breakdown

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

Gold 15M - Long Setup

Hi fellow traders, Price has reached my Blue Box, where I begin looking for long opportunities. This sharp sell-off has brought price into a high-confluence support zone where Elliott Wave, Fibonacci and price action align. Rather than buying the Blue Box blindly, I wait for confirmation before entering, allowing me to keep my risk fixed at 1% while maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward profile. Entry: Current Stop Loss: 4253.52 Take Profit: 4439.72 If price breaks below my stop loss, the setup is invalidated. Good luck and trade safe!

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

Saudi National Bank — Bullish Buying Setup | Buyers Entering

Saudi National Bank is showing a developing buy-side setup after a period of downward price movement. The stock had been losing ground, but the latest price behaviour indicates that buying interest is beginning to emerge at the current structure. The important development here is the change in participation. Selling pressure pushed the price toward lower levels, but buyers are now stepping into the market and attempting to absorb that weakness. This creates the possibility of a shift from the previous decline toward a broader recovery phase. From a technical perspective, the setup is based on price structure, momentum behaviour, and the reaction of buyers around the current area. Rather than treating the previous decline as the complete story, the focus is on identifying whether the newly emerging demand can establish a stronger bullish sequence. SNB is listed on the Saudi Exchange under ticker 1180 and belongs to the Banks sector. The current setup therefore focuses on a potential transition: the market moved lower, selling activity dominated the earlier phase, and buyers are now beginning to challenge that downside pressure. If this shift develops further, price could begin forming higher levels and open the path toward a stronger recovery. The key factor remains the ability of buyers to maintain control and convert the current reaction into sustained upside momentum. 📊 Technical Roadmap Previous phase: Downward movement 📉 Current development: Buyers entering 🟢 Structure: Potential bullish transition Bias: Buy-side Objective: Higher levels / recovery The idea is not based on simply buying because price has fallen. The focus is on the structural change taking place now — sellers pushed the market lower, but buyers are beginning to respond. 🔍 Setup Overview - Instrument: Saudi National Bank - Ticker: 1180 - Market: Saudi Exchange / Tadawul - Sector: Banks - Direction: Bullish / Buy - Current condition: Buyers entering after a decline - Technical focus: Structure, momentum and price behaviour - Scenario: Potential recovery toward higher levels The chart is now at an interesting transition point. The previous decline created weakness, but the appearance of fresh buying interest changes the character of the setup. Sellers created the decline. Buyers are now attempting to create the recovery. The next phase of price action will determine whether this emerging buying interest develops into a sustained bullish move, but the current structure provides a clear buy-side scenario to monitor.

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

Possible Fake Breakdown? Volume Supporting a Channel Re-Entry

Possible entry near the current support/retest zone with a tight SL below the recent low. If price reenters and holds inside the rising channel, the breakdown may prove to be a fake break down, opening the way for a move back toward the channel highs. Volume is also showing early signs of buyer interest, with the recent green reversal candle printing stronger volume than the preceding red candles. If price reenters the rising channel with continued volume support, the breakdown could turn out to be a fake break down, with a tight SL below the recent low. 26.13 - Entry 28.55 - TP1 (Retest Area) 28–29 - TP2 (Channel Entry confirmation) 32.32 - TP3 (Channel Mid Area) 37.06 = TP4 (Channel Top)

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

Saudi Aramco — Bullish Buying Setup

Saudi Aramco is currently presenting a constructive buy-side setup, with the price structure showing conditions that can support a potential upward continuation. The analysis is focused on the behaviour of price, market structure and the signals generated through the trading methodology. Rather than reacting to individual candles, the broader objective is to identify whether buyers are gaining enough influence to drive the next meaningful expansion. From a technical perspective, the current setup is positioned toward the upside. If buying pressure continues to strengthen and the existing structure remains supportive, Saudi Aramco could progress toward higher levels. 📊 Setup Overview - Instrument: Saudi Aramco - Market: Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦 - Tadawul Symbol: 2222 - Bias: Bullish 📈 - Direction: Buy - Focus: Upside continuation - Structure: Constructive - Momentum: Buyers gaining influence Saudi Aramco trades on the Saudi Exchange under symbol 2222 and is classified within the Energy sector. The current buy-side thesis is primarily technical, while the company's underlying scale provides an important fundamental backdrop. Aramco describes itself as one of the world's largest integrated energy and chemicals companies. Its latest investor materials report H1 2026 adjusted net income of SAR 251.9 billion and total hydrocarbon production of 11 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. 🔥 Bullish Structure The key element of this setup is the developing relationship between price structure and buying pressure. If buyers continue to defend the current formation and maintain upward momentum, the market could transition into a stronger bullish phase. Short-term fluctuations may occur along the way, but the broader scenario remains focused on higher prices while the underlying conditions continue to support the buy-side view. The methodology is designed to assess the complete market environment rather than depend on one isolated technical level. This allows the setup to remain focused on the broader directional opportunity while price continues to develop. 🌍 Fundamental Backdrop Aramco's latest company disclosures also highlight its integrated upstream and downstream operations, alongside continued investment across energy, chemicals and adjacent growth businesses. Its 2025 annual report reported $104.7 billion in adjusted net income and $85.4 billion in free cash flow for the year. These fundamentals do not determine the short-term price path by themselves, but they provide useful context around the company behind the technical setup. 🚀 Market Roadmap The current scenario can be summarised as: Constructive structure → Buyers strengthen → Momentum expands → Upside continuation → Higher levels in focus. The key is to allow the market to confirm the strength of the move rather than forcing an outcome. As long as the bullish structure remains intact, the buy-side scenario remains the primary focus. Saudi Aramco. Buyers in focus. Bullish structure developing. Upside ahead. 🎯📈🔥

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

ETHUSD | Demand Zone Reaction & Potential Bullish Reversal

ETHUSD is currently trading inside a key demand area after an extended bearish move. Price has respected the lower support zone and is attempting to establish a higher low while holding above the rising trendline. The highlighted blue zone represents a short-term accumulation area where buyers appear to be defending price. As long as support remains intact, a recovery toward higher resistance levels remains possible. The main focus is on confirmation from the demand zone and continuation above the ascending structure. A successful breakout from the consolidation range could allow ETH to rotate toward the marked supply zones overhead. 🎯 Target 1: 2460.00 🎯 Target 2: 2495.00 🎯 Target 3: 2550.00 📈 Bullish bias remains valid while price holds above the major support area around 2360.00. Note: This is a market scenario for educational purposes and not financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

Natural Gas Conditional Long Setup: Pullback Support Near 2.97

Natural gas remains supported by warm September weather and power-sector demand, but high inventories still limit upside. The EIA expects U.S. gas storage to enter winter above the five-year average, which keeps the market cautious. Natural Gas rejected from the main resistance at 3.0745 and pulled back toward 2.99. Price is still holding above SMA 50 near 2.97 and EMA 200 near 2.92, so the 4H recovery structure remains valid as long as support holds. However, price is still below EMA 9 near 3.011, which makes this a support-hold setup rather than a confirmed bullish continuation. Direction: Long only on confirmed support hold 🔺 Entry zone: 2.970–2.990 🎯 First reaction level: 3.011 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3.0745 ⚠️ Conclusion: The long setup is valid only if price holds above 2.970 and reclaims 3.011. A 4H close below 2.940 would invalidate the setup and expose 2.840. ⚠️ Not financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas5h ago

U.S. Dollar Index Futures (DXY) – 1H Technical Analysis

Market Structure The DXY is showing a potential bullish reversal structure after the sharp decline from the 101.48 area. Price formed a significant base around 98.685, followed by a sequence of higher lows. The latest move has pushed price back toward the descending trendline, creating a critical decision point. 🔑 Key Levels 🟢 Current Price 99.685 Resistance 99.825 – immediate resistance 100.595 – major resistance / T1 101.070–101.130 – major supply zone / T2 101.480 – previous major swing high Support 99.00–99.20 – short-term support 98.685 – major structural support and bearish invalidation 🟢 Bullish Scenario The chart shows price attempting to break the descending trendline. A confirmed 1H close above the trendline, followed by a successful retest, would strengthen the bullish reversal structure. Targets: Entry: 99.65–99.70 TP1: 100.595 TP2: 101.070–101.130 TP3: 101.480 The move toward 100.595 is particularly important because it represents the first major resistance and the projected D point of the harmonic structure shown on the chart. 🔴 Bearish Scenario The bullish setup would weaken if DXY fails to break the trendline and gets rejected from the 99.80–100.00 region. A break below the recent higher-low structure could send price toward: 99.00 → 98.685 A decisive break below 98.685 would invalidate the bullish reversal structure and reopen the broader downside trend. 📐 Harmonic Structure The chart appears to be developing a potential bullish XABCD structure, with: X: ~101.48 A: ~98.68 B: ~99.80 D projection: ~100.595 Extension target: 101.07–101.13 The 1.618 extension shown on the chart supports the projected upside toward the 101.07–101.13 region. 🎯 TradingView Setup DXY LONG IDEA Entry: 99.65–99.70 Confirmation: Break & retest of descending trendline TP1: 100.595 TP2: 101.070–101.130 TP3: 101.480 Structural SL: 98.685 ⚠️ Important The 99.80–100.00 area is the immediate test. A rejection there would indicate that the trendline breakout has not been confirmed. 📌 TradingView Summary DXY is attempting a bullish reversal from the 98.685 base. A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline could open the way toward 100.595, followed by 101.070–101.130. Failure to break the trendline and a move back below the recent higher-low structure would expose 98.685. Key relationship: A sustained DXY recovery can also create headwinds for Gold (XAU/USD), so the 99.80–100.00 reaction zone is particularly important when monitoring your gold bearish setup.

TITradingView Ideas5h ago