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USOIL

ANALYSIS :- USOIL is currently in a bullish trend, consistently forming Higher Highs (HHs) and Higher Lows (HLs). However, bearish divergence has developed on the 4H timeframe, accompanied by a potential reversal pattern in the form of a Double Top. TRADE EXECUTION :- This is currently a wait-and-watch scenario. The trade will be executed through a Sell Stop order upon a confirmed breakdown below the HL, which also serves as the neckline of the Double Top pattern.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

$KLAR stuck in a box.

Last time NYSE:KLAR was trapped in a box like this, it eventually broke out and went from $12.85 to $15.50 in just 5 days. Now we're seeing a very similar setup again, except Klarna is arguably in a much stronger position as a company. US growth is flying, profitability is improving, Apple Upgrade is live and the Card continues to grow. And this time there's also that huge gap sitting above us. History doesn't have to repeat itself, but this is starting to look very familiar🤝

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

EURNZD What Next? SELL!

https://www.tradingview.com/x/g80VMmo1/ My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for EURNZD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.0053 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 2.0023 My Stop Loss - 2.0074 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

GOLD (XAUUSD) — 8H SUPPORT REVERSAL SETUP

Gold is currently holding around 4,297 after a strong pullback. Price has entered a major 8H support zone around 4,272–4,285, while the rising trendline is also approaching this area. 📌 Trade Setup — LONG Entry: 4,278.541 Stop Loss: 4,272.404 Take Profit: 4,492.405 R:R: ~1:35 🔎 Why I'm Watching This Setup 🔹 Major 8H support: Price is reacting from a previously important demand area. 🔹 Trendline confluence: The rising trendline is approaching the same support region, creating additional confluence. 🔹 Potential reversal: After the recent bearish move, price is beginning to stabilize around support. 🔹 Major upside level: 4,492 is a significant resistance area and represents the potential target if buyers regain control. Confirmation I want to see buyers continue defending the 4,272–4,285 zone. Support holds → bullish reaction → break of nearby resistance → continuation toward 4,492. If price breaks and holds below 4,272, the bullish setup is invalidated. ⚠️ The extremely tight stop shown on the chart means this setup is highly sensitive to normal Gold volatility. Position sizing is important; a wider structural stop with smaller position size may be more robust than risking too much on a very tight stop. The 8H chart is showing a much clearer structure: Gold is sitting at a major decision zone. Will buyers step in?

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook

My current analysis highlights a potential upside move in Gold toward Box A, which represents a key liquidity zone. Price action is showing strength, and this area is likely to attract buy‑side liquidity before any significant reversal. - Upside Bias: The market structure suggests that Gold may continue its upward momentum, at least until Box A is reached. This aligns with the liquidity grab scenario, where price seeks to clear resting orders above recent highs. - MACD Confirmation: The MACD indicator is currently supporting bullish momentum, adding weight to the upside bias. This technical confirmation strengthens the case for potential buy setups in the near term. - Buy Setups: Any well‑structured buy entries in this zone could be favorable, provided risk management is applied. Traders should monitor intraday signals for confirmation before entering positions. - Potential Reversal: After the anticipated push to the upside, Gold may face resistance and begin a corrective move. The chart highlights a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) as the probable downside target. This zone could act as a magnet for price once liquidity is taken out at the highs. --- Summary In short, Gold is showing bullish momentum toward Box A, supported by MACD. However, traders should remain cautious, as the upside move may eventually lead to a reversal into the Daily FVG zone. Red line is my liquidity line As always, market wins! trade with care. be a part of the market FOREXCOM:XAUUSD

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

CRT Strategy: Confirmation → Retest → Trade

The CRT Strategy (Confirmation, Retest & Trade) is a structured price-action approach designed to help traders avoid entering the market too early. Instead of chasing price after a move, the strategy focuses on waiting for clear confirmation, a controlled retest, and then a potential entry in the confirmed direction. The first step is Confirmation. Look for important market information such as a liquidity sweep, Break of Structure (BOS), or strong directional move. This helps establish whether buyers or sellers are showing strength and gives the setup a clear direction. The second step is the Retest. After confirmation, wait for price to return toward an important area such as an Order Block, breakout zone, or previous structure level. The retest can provide a more controlled location for an entry instead of chasing the initial breakout. The third step is the Trade. Once price reaches the key zone, wait for a clear reaction or additional confirmation before considering an entry. For a bullish setup, the focus is on bullish continuation after the retest; for a bearish setup, the focus is on bearish continuation. 🔹 Bullish CRT Flow Liquidity Sweep → BOS → Retest → Bullish Confirmation → Entry → TP 🔻 Bearish CRT Flow Liquidity Sweep → BOS → Retest → Bearish Confirmation → Entry → TP Risk management is an essential part of the strategy. Use a logical Stop Loss, define your Take Profit levels, and avoid risking too much on a single trade. A good setup is not only about finding an entry—it is also about controlling risk and waiting patiently for the right opportunity.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

Three Failed Recovery Tops Into Major Support — Selloff Slowing?

Good Morning, Hope all is well. Here is my TA on ACM. What I’m Seeing Looking at AECOM on the weekly chart, this setup is a little different from the distressed bottoming names we've been looking at. The company itself is not fundamentally broken. Instead, the stock has gone through a major valuation reset, falling from roughly $135–$140 to around $64–$65. Technically, the trend remains bearish. But I'm starting to see a change in the quality of that bearish trend. I've marked three successive recovery tops: Top #1 ~$137 → Top #2 ~$88 → Top #3 ~$78 Each rally failed at a lower level, so sellers clearly remained in control. But now price is approaching a major historical support area around $60–$63, while my volume and momentum readings across the 4H, daily and weekly time frames appear to be shifting. To me, the structure is moving from: distribution → markdown → lower highs → selling exhaustion → potential accumulation I'm not calling the bottom yet, but this is exactly where I start watching for one. The Three Tops Tell the Story The first top around $135–$140 marked the end of the previous uptrend. From there, AECOM experienced a major breakdown. The first recovery couldn't restore the trend and topped around $85–$90. Then another attempt topped around $76–$80. So structurally, there's no argument yet: the weekly chart remains bearish. But there's another side to that story. Each successive bearish leg is bringing price closer to a major long-term support zone while the underlying momentum structure appears to be losing some of its strength. That's what interests me. $60–$63 Is the Most Important Area on the Chart The horizontal level you've drawn around $60–$62 is critical. This isn't simply an arbitrary support line. It's roughly where AECOM established an important floor before the large 2022–2025 advance. Now, after losing more than half its value from the 2025 peak, price has returned to essentially the same region. For me, this becomes the decision zone. I don't automatically assume $60 is the bottom. But if sellers push AECOM into this area and cannot produce meaningful continuation beneath it, my interest increases considerably. Declining Volume Could Be Telling Us Something Your note about volume is particularly important. During a healthy bearish continuation, I generally want to see sellers remain aggressive as price approaches new lows. Instead, you're seeing volume begin to decline across several time frames while momentum starts shifting more positively. That can mean fewer participants are willing to sell at increasingly depressed prices. The relationship I'm watching is: price falling + bearish momentum weakening + participation declining. That's potentially seller exhaustion. But declining volume by itself isn't enough. It can also simply mean nobody is interested. What I eventually need is the second half of the equation: buyers stepping in with expanding volume as price begins reclaiming resistance. That's what would convert exhaustion into evidence of accumulation. The Current Structure Isn't Accumulation Yet I'd make one small adjustment to the annotation on the chart. I would label $60–$70 as a "potential accumulation zone" rather than confirmed accumulation. We don't have enough evidence yet to say larger buyers are definitely accumulating shares. What we do have is an area where that process could begin. If AECOM starts spending several weeks around $60–$70, volatility compresses, selling volume continues declining, and downside attempts repeatedly fail, then the accumulation thesis gets much stronger. Even better would be: high-volume downside test → no meaningful new low → strong recovery → higher low. That would get my attention. The First Level I Want Reclaimed: $70 At approximately $64.70, I don't need to chase the stock. The first thing I want to see is price establish itself back above approximately $68–$70. That would tell me the current low is beginning to attract demand. After that, the $76–$80 region becomes extremely important. That's approximately where Top #3 formed and where your highlighted distribution/consolidation region begins. Reclaiming that would break the immediate sequence of lower highs. So my early reversal sequence is: $60–$63 holds → $70 reclaimed → higher low → $78–$80 reclaimed. That would materially change my technical view. $85–$90 Is the Bigger Trend Test If the recovery gets through $80, the next area I'd watch is approximately $85–$90. That's where Top #2 developed. Breaking through there would be much more significant because we'd no longer just be talking about a bounce from oversold conditions. We'd potentially have: major low → higher low → higher high → trend reversal. Beyond that, I'd watch roughly $100–$110, before thinking seriously about a return toward the old highs. I wouldn't project $140 from today's chart. There are several major layers of trapped supply that price would need to repair first. Fundamentals — This Is Where AECOM Gets Very Interesting The fundamental picture is much stronger than the price action initially suggests. AECOM's latest Q3 report looked terrible on the surface: reported revenue fell 14% to $3.59 billion, the company reported a $76 million operating loss, and diluted EPS was -$0.65. But there's an extremely important reason. AECOM took a $337 million pre-tax charge related to the delayed completion of a Construction Management project that had originally been awarded in 2019. Management says the contract was entered under terms that would not meet the company's current risk policies. That distinction matters enormously to my interpretation of this chart. The market is dealing with a genuine financial hit—but the latest quarter does not appear to show the core design business collapsing. Underlying Earnings Were Much Better If I remove that specific project charge, the underlying quarter looks completely different. AECOM says adjusted EBITDA excluding the charge would have been approximately $329 million, up 5%, while adjusted EPS would have been $1.49, up 11% year over year. The design business's net service revenue increased 4%, or 5% adjusting for one fewer working day. That's why I find the stock's decline interesting. We're potentially looking at a situation where: the share price is behaving like the business has structurally deteriorated, while much of the earnings shock came from a specific legacy project. That doesn't make the charge irrelevant. A $337 million loss is real. But I distinguish between: one problematic legacy contract and the core business losing competitiveness. Right now, the evidence points much more toward the former. The Backlog Is Probably the Strongest Fundamental Signal This is what really gets my attention. Despite the stock collapsing, AECOM's total backlog increased 13% to a record $27.8 billion. The company generated a 1.6x book-to-burn ratio, including approximately $4.2 billion of wins during Q3. Its design pipeline also reached another all-time high. That's a major piece of evidence against the idea that the underlying franchise is deteriorating. Customers are still awarding AECOM work. In fact, they're awarding it at a record pace. That's why the fundamental and technical pictures are starting to create an interesting disconnect: stock price ↓ sharply while backlog ↑ to record levels. That divergence is something I would pay close attention to. The Balance Sheet Isn't Signaling Distress Either AECOM finished the quarter with approximately $1.0 billion of cash and $2.75 billion of debt. Management reported net leverage of roughly 1.5x. That's important because it means I'm not looking at a heavily distressed balance sheet while trying to predict a technical bottom. The company still has financial flexibility. The project charge has reduced expected free cash flow, though. AECOM now expects approximately $300 million of FY2026 free cash flow, compared with higher expectations before the project problem became apparent. So there's real damage here. It's just different from the company entering a fundamental collapse. Guidance Explains Why the Market Is Nervous Management reduced FY2026 reported guidance because of the Construction Management charge. Adjusted EPS is now expected at approximately $3.95–$4.15, with adjusted EBITDA around $935–$965 million. But this is another case where I want to separate the project from the underlying operation. Excluding that charge, management still expects adjusted EPS of $5.90–$6.10 and adjusted EBITDA of $1.275–$1.305 billion, essentially consistent with its previous guidance. That's a very important distinction. The market is correctly pricing additional execution risk into the stock. But if the problematic project is genuinely isolated and approaches completion as expected, there's potentially a large gap between current market sentiment and normalized earnings power. There's Still a Risk I Wouldn't Ignore The legacy project isn't finished yet. AECOM expects substantial completion during fiscal Q2 2027, and the company is pursuing claims related to the work that could take years to resolve. So I wouldn't automatically assume $337 million is the final word. Construction contracts can produce additional surprises. That becomes one of the biggest fundamental invalidations for my thesis: another major charge → additional cash-flow deterioration → further guidance reduction. If that happens while $60 breaks technically, I wouldn't fight the market. Infrastructure Demand Is Still Strong The broader business backdrop also remains attractive. AECOM works across transportation, water, environmental, energy and building infrastructure. Its recent wins include major rail, water and transportation projects across several geographies, and the company continues investing in AI and its higher-value Advisory capabilities. Management also reaffirmed its longer-term target of a 20%+ margin exit rate by FY2028 and 15%+ adjusted EPS CAGR from FY2026 through FY2029, excluding the Construction Management charge. Those are targets, not guarantees. But they tell me the internal outlook for the core business remains very different from what the current share-price trend might imply. Why This Setup Interests Me This is probably the core of my thesis. Technically I'm seeing: $140 peak → violent markdown → Top #2 → lower low → Top #3 → another lower low → bearish momentum weakening near major historical support. Fundamentally I'm seeing: one major legacy-project problem → reduced reported earnings and cash flow but underneath that: record backlog → strong bookings → positive core design growth → underlying EPS growth → manageable leverage. That creates the type of disconnect I like watching. The chart hasn't confirmed the bottom. But unlike some distressed turnaround stocks, I don't necessarily need the underlying business to recover—I mainly need the market to stop pricing the company as though the recent project problem represents permanent deterioration. My Bullish Scenario My preferred sequence would be: $60–$63 support holds → downside volume continues contracting → momentum improves → $68–$70 reclaimed → higher low → $78–$80 breakout. If that happens, I start looking toward $85–$90. A successful reclaim of that area would be particularly important because it would eliminate Top #3 and begin challenging Top #2. From there, I think $100–$110 becomes a reasonable larger recovery area. But I want price to earn each step. My Bearish Scenario The bearish scenario is very clear. If AECOM decisively breaks $60, particularly with expanding volume and renewed downside momentum, I would not interpret that as accumulation. That would tell me the current support hasn't absorbed supply. Fundamentally, I'd be especially concerned if that breakdown occurred alongside another Construction Management charge, weaker backlog, lower bookings, or another reduction in underlying guidance. That combination would tell me the market knows something more serious is changing. My Bias I'm neutral-to-cautiously bullish around $60–$65, but I'm not calling the bottom yet. What makes this one particularly interesting to me is that the technical deterioration looks substantially worse than the underlying operating picture. I'm seeing: Price approaching major multi-year support around $60–$63 Three progressively lower recovery tops Bearish trend strength beginning to moderate Volume declining across multiple time frames Momentum beginning to improve A core business that is still growing Record $27.8B backlog 1.6x book-to-burn Underlying adjusted EPS growth despite the project problem A relatively manageable 1.5x net leverage position So for me: $60–$63 = potential accumulation / decision zone. $68–$70 = first evidence buyers are gaining control. $78–$80 = meaningful structural confirmation. $85–$90 = major reversal test. I wouldn't buy simply because AECOM has fallen 50% from its highs. I want to see sellers attack $60–$63 and fail to achieve meaningful downside progress. If that happens while volume dries up, momentum continues improving, and price subsequently starts reclaiming $70 and $80, then I'll have much stronger evidence that what currently looks like a falling knife is actually transitioning into a long-term accumulation process. Trade Safely! Enjoy!

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept
TI

US30 15M: Wait for Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation

On the 15-minute timeframe, US30 (Sep 2026) has dropped into a major lower demand/support zone near the $52,060 - $52,127 area after sweeping previous swing lows. Price is currently consolidating within this support block, setting up a potential bullish reversal scenario. Technical Reference Levels Projected BOS Confirmation Level: ~$52,180 (Awaiting Break of Structure Level) Invalidation / Structural Level: ~$52,005.1 (Below the lower demand zone boundary) Upside Target Level: ~$52,673.1 (Overhead resistance / liquidity target) Technical Setup Logic The technical plan calls for patience: awaiting a confirmed bullish Break of Structure (BOS) above the minor lower-high resistance (near $52,180) to validate buyer control. Upon a confirmed BOS and subsequent retest of the demand area, the setup targets higher liquidity near $52,673.1, with structural invalidation below $52,005.1. Disclaimer & Purpose This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept