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SPX500 4H: Descending Channel Continuation & Support Breakdown

1. Market Context On the 4H chart, S&P 500 Index (SPX500) has been trading inside a structured blue descending channel following a harsh rejection from the top resistance ceiling (7,780.0 – 7,820.0). Price has now rolled over and is breaking below the key horizontal demand zone (7,580.0 – 7,620.0) at 7,596.1, signaling a bearish channel continuation. 2. Sentiment & House Trap Analysis • Where Traders Place Orders: Retail traders opened BUY positions around the 7,580.0 – 7,620.0 cyan box, assuming previous resistance would act as a reliable support floor for a bounce back toward 7,700.0+. • Trader Stop-Loss & Target: These dip buyers placed tight Stop-Loss orders immediately below 7,580.0. Shorters from the upper trendline rejection placed SLs above 7,672.7. • How the House Plays It: The House capped the pullback at 7,672.7 to establish a clear lower high along the channel structure. By forcing price to slice through 7,596.1, the House is triggering a cascade of forced panic sell-stop orders from trapped buyers. This liquidation pressure will propel SPX500 down toward 7,519.6 (TP1 - red liquidity box top), 7,443.1 (TP2), and 7,366.6 (TP3). 3. Trade Setup • Entry: 7,596.1 (Confirmed 4H close breaking below cyan support zone & channel midline) • Stop Loss (SL): 7,672.7 (Placed safely above the recent lower-high rejection peak) • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 7,519.6 (Targeting the red imbalance/liquidity zone) • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 7,443.1 • Take Profit 3 (TP3): 7,366.6 • Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx 3.0:1 (Calculated toward TP3)

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

Finer Market Points: ASX Top 10 Momentum Stocks: 14 Sep 2026

Momentum leading shares are the market's best performers today. They are the fastest-growing shares on the ASX over the last 90 days. These companies can't get to be leaders without first appearing on our Launch Pad list. The Launch Pad List is shared on Thursdays and the video interview published after market close on Fridays. Today's ASX's Top 10 Quarterly Momentum Stocks are: Vanadium Resources Limited (VR8) Iondrive Limited (ION) Synertec Corporation Limited (SOP) DXN Limited (DXN) Australian Vanadium Limited (AVL) Tungsten Mining NL (TGN) Alara Resources Limited (AUQ) Bapcor Limited (BAP) Actinogen Medical Limited (ACW) New Murchison Gold Limited (NMG)

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

BTC Holds the Line — Is $82K Next?

BTC/USD currently looks more like a consolidation above support than the beginning of a deeper decline. After repeatedly testing the 76,000–77,000 area, price has been quickly pushed back up each time — a sign that buyers are still actively absorbing selling pressure at lower levels. More importantly, the recent pullbacks have yet to break the key H4 support zone. Price is trading around the Ichimoku Cloud and continues to attract buying interest whenever it approaches the lower end of the structure. This type of price action suggests that BTC may be compressing inside a broader range rather than developing a new bearish trend. If buyers manage to reclaim the area above the Ichimoku Cloud, recovery momentum could accelerate quickly. However, the macro backdrop remains a major obstacle. Expectations of a Fed rate hike following hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation, elevated Treasury yields, and weaker Bitcoin ETF flows have all been putting pressure on risk assets. As a result, any BTC rally ahead of the FOMC decision could still come with sharp volatility and short-term pullbacks. If BTC continues to hold the 76,000–77,000 support zone, I expect price to have a chance to recover toward the major resistance area around 81,500–82,000. This will be the real test for buyers — only a decisive break above this zone would open the door to a larger bullish move.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

SOLUSDT: Downward pressure, Bears Continue

SOLUSDT is trading around 102.1 USDT after facing rejection once again at the resistance trendline extending from the 107 level. The price has yet to break the sequence of lower highs, indicating that sellers remain in control of the upside. The 103.5–104.5 zone currently serves as a critical resistance area. If SOL attempts a rebound but fails at this level—subsequently losing the EMA34–EMA89 cluster around 101.7–102.0—I lean towards a scenario where the price drops to 100 USDT and extends toward the primary target near 99.0 USDT. Macro factors today also support a corrective scenario. Brent crude is rising back toward 107 USD/barrel and the 10-year Treasury yield has touched 5%, while the market prices in a roughly 90% probability of a 25bp Fed rate hike this week. This remains a challenging environment for risk-on assets and high-beta altcoins like SOL. The bearish outlook would weaken if SOL clearly breaks out above the trendline and firmly holds levels above 104.5–105.0.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

EURTHB Eyes German ZEW Data

Yesterday Recap 14/9/26 Yesterday, EURTHB closed at 38.38 in the Thai market, while the German 12-Month Bubill Auction came in at 3.065%, up from 2.656% previously, and the German 6-Month Bubill Auction came in at 2.768%, up from 2.502%. This indicated that short-term German government bond yields had increased, which could support the EUR through market expectations for interest rates. Fundamental 15/9/26 Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous DE: 16:00 German ZEW Economic Sentiment | 42.7 | 34.2 DE: 16:00 German ZEW Current Conditions | -53.0 | -61.1 EU: 16:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment | 39.9 | 31.4 Today's key European data will be the ZEW Economic Sentiment indices. German ZEW Economic Sentiment is forecast at 42.7, up from 34.2 previously, indicating that expectations for the German economic outlook could improve. A stronger-than-expected reading would provide support for the EUR. Meanwhile, German ZEW Current Conditions is forecast at -53.0, improving from -61.1 previously, suggesting a gradual improvement in sentiment toward current economic conditions. The Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment is forecast at 39.9, up from 31.4, and a stronger reading could further improve the market's outlook for the Eurozone economy. Overall, EURTHB is expected to trade within a range with a slight upside bias, with the main focus on ZEW data, EUR direction, THB direction, and European Bond Yields. Technical – 1H Bias: Sideway Up The price continues to trade within the 38.33–38.43 range, with a rebound from the 38.33 support level. If the price holds above 38.34, it could move higher to test 38.41 and 38.43. Overall, EURTHB remains Sideway, with recent price action moving close to several short-term moving averages. Resistance: 38.41 / 38.43 Support: 38.33 Target: 38.41 → 38.43 Cut Loss: 38.32

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

DXY: Hot CPI Won't Save the Dollar Unless 99.95 Falls

August CPI just came in hot — 0.4% headline, 0.3% core — and the dollar barely flinched. DXY is sitting around 99.10, right on its short-term support, and the question isn't whether inflation is sticky. It's whether the market still cares. 🌍 Why This Matters Now The BLS dropped August CPI on September 11, and the headline print was a surprise: 0.4% MoM, up from 0.2% in July and above the 0.3% consensus. Core CPI held at 0.3% MoM for the second straight month, with the year-over-year rate at 3.1% — still well above the Fed's 2% target. Shelter (+0.4%) and energy (+0.7%, gasoline +1.9%) did the heavy lifting. Here's the thing: a hot CPI print used to send the dollar ripping. This time, DXY barely moved off the 99.10 support. That tells me the market may have already priced in higher-for-longer — and the breakout isn't going to happen on CPI alone. 📊 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 99.70–99.95 — The supply zone where the declining moving-average cluster sits. Price has been rejected here repeatedly. This is the line in the sand. Breakout target: 100.50, then 101.00–101.15 — A confirmed daily close above 99.95 opens the door toward the next major resistance near 101. Support: 99.10–99.20 — The most important short-term demand zone. A daily close below 99.10 breaks the rebound structure and exposes 98.55–98.80. 🎯 Core Thesis My read: DXY TVC:DXY is neutral-to-bullish, but only conditionally. The macro backdrop supports a dollar bounce — sticky core inflation at 3.1% YoY means the Fed has cover to slow or pause rate cuts. But here's the catch: the 0.4% headline was inflated by energy and food, not by a re-acceleration in core services. Core services inflation held at 0.3% MoM — flat for two months. That means the "structural inflation comeback" narrative might be overstated. So the dollar's fundamental tailwind is real but possibly thinner than the consensus thinks. For DXY to break 99.70–99.95, I want to see two things: Treasury yields climbing back toward recent highs, and price acceptance above 99.95 on a 4H close — not just a wick. ⚠️ Risk View The risk to this setup is clear: if 99.10 fails on a daily close, the rebound structure breaks. The 98.55–98.80 demand zone comes back into play, and the bullish thesis is invalidated. On the flip side, repeated rejection at 99.70–99.95 keeps DXY range-bound and erodes buyer confidence. Watch the 10Y yield — if it reclaims its recent highs, that's the fundamental confirmation for a breakout attempt. If yields roll over, the dollar's CPI tailwind fades fast. 📌 Bottom Line I'm neutral-to-bullish DXY above 99.10 on a daily close. The trade trigger is a 4H close above 99.95 with expanding volume — that opens 100.50, then 101.00–101.15. If 99.10 fails on a daily close, the structure breaks and 98.55–98.80 comes back into play. CPI gave the fundamental excuse. Now the chart has to confirm. This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

SQD / SQDUSDT Bullish Setup | Futures Trade Idea

MARKET ANALYSIS SQD is currently reacting from a key technical area highlighted on the chart. As long as the protected support zone remains intact, the bullish market structure remains valid and higher liquidity targets may continue to attract price action. A breakdown below the invalidation level would weaken the current bullish scenario and require a reassessment of market conditions. 📍 Entry, Stop Loss and Take Profit levels are marked directly on the chart. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ DISCLAIMER This publication is provided solely for educational and market observation purposes. Nothing contained in this analysis should be considered financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. All trading and investment decisions remain solely the responsibility of the individual trader. Always conduct your own research and apply proper risk management before entering any position. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 PARALOG ▪️Crypto Market Analysis ▪️BTC Futures Signals ▪️Bitcoin & Altcoin Market Analysis Precision • Momentum • Timing ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Exchange: #MEXC Futures #bitcoin #btc #crypto #futures #technicalanalysis

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

Hang Seng Tech delivers reversal pattern from support zone

Last week, I highlighted the 4,250–4,100 support zone as an area where traders should be watching closely for reversal patterns or other price action that could provide clues on directional risk. We may now have one. After briefly kissing support at 4,250, Hang Seng Tech has printed a three-candle Morning Star bullish reversal pattern, a development that puts added emphasis on the price action today. Given it has formed from a known support zone following an extended decline, the pattern raises the possibility that a near-term bottom may have been established. Price action today is clearly important, with further gains likely to solidify the belief that a near-term bottom has been formed. If that is the case, upside levels to focus on include the intersection of the August downtrend with 4,460, which was the breakdown zone seen in early September. A break above that would then put 4,660 and the 50-day moving average on the radar, with the more significant 100-day moving average located just overhead. The latter has consistently rejected counter-trend bullish moves over the past year. The oscillators also suggest we may be witnessing the start of a turn in bearish momentum. RSI (14) has reversed out of oversold territory and now sits around 34, while MACD is showing signs of converging on its signal line, paving the way for a potential bullish crossover, albeit in negative territory. Momentum is still with the bears, but it's currently diminishing. A pullback towards 4,250 that is bought, as we have seen over the prior two sessions, would allow for long entry with a tight stop beneath either 4,250 or 4,190 for protection. Depending on entry level, either 4,460 or 4,660 loom as potential initial targets, although the preference would ideally be for the latter from a risk-reward perspective. More broadly, while I’m interested in the potential for a short-term counter-trend rally, with the price sitting beneath its key medium and long-term moving averages, all of which are mildly sloping lower, it would take a far more significant bullish move to get me interested in the index’s longer-term prospects. Good luck! DS

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept
TI

Hang Seng Tech prints bullish reversal from support zone

Last week, I highlighted the 4,250–4,100 support zone as an area where traders should be watching closely for reversal patterns or other price action that could provide clues on directional risk. We may now have one. After briefly kissing support at 4,250, Hang Seng Tech has printed a three-candle Morning Star bullish reversal pattern, a development that puts added emphasis on the price action today. Given it has formed from a known support zone following an extended decline, the pattern raises the possibility that a near-term bottom may have been established. Price action today is clearly important, with further gains likely to solidify the belief that a near-term bottom has been formed. If that is the case, upside levels to focus on include the intersection of the August downtrend with 4,460, which was the breakdown zone seen in early September. A break above that would then put 4,660 and the 50-day moving average on the radar, with the more significant 100-day moving average located just overhead. The latter has consistently rejected counter-trend bullish moves over the past year. The oscillators also suggest we may be witnessing the start of a turn in bearish momentum. RSI (14) has reversed out of oversold territory and now sits around 34, while MACD is showing signs of converging on its signal line, paving the way for a potential bullish crossover, albeit in negative territory. Momentum is still with the bears, but it's currently diminishing. A pullback towards 4,250 that is bought, as we have seen over the prior two sessions, would allow for long entry with a tight stop beneath either 4,250 or 4,190 for protection. Depending on entry level, either 4,460 or 4,660 loom as potential initial targets, although the preference would ideally be for the latter from a risk-reward perspective. More broadly, while I’m interested in the potential for a short-term counter-trend rally, with the price sitting beneath its key medium and long-term moving averages, all of which are mildly sloping lower, it would take a far more significant bullish move to get me interested in the index’s longer-term prospects.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

EURAUD — 1H | Bullish — Support Retest Holding, Continuation Set

Bias: LONG The 1.6119–1.6146 zone has already proven itself as a reliable support level, producing multiple bounces since early September. Price rallied off this zone up toward 1.6251 resistance, and is now retracing back into the same support for a retest — classic broken-resistance-turned-support behavior if it holds, or a straightforward multi-touch support reaction if you're trading it purely as S/R. Narrative: 1.6119–1.6146 zone has produced repeated bounces — confirmed demand Price pushed up to test 1.6251 resistance, now pulling back to retest the zone Holding this level keeps the short-term bullish structure intact, with room to run back toward 1.6251 and beyond if buyers step back in A break and 1H close below 1.6082 (the deeper support/liquidity level) would invalidate the long thesis Trade Setup: Entry Zone: 1.6119 – 1.6146 (support retest) Stop Loss: Below 1.6082 Take Profit: 1.6251 (prior resistance) R:R: ~2.1 : 1 ⚠️ Not financial advice — manage risk per your own plan.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

XAUUSD H1 Analysis | Descending Channel

Gold is currently trading within a descending channel, keeping the overall structure bearish. Price is approaching the first selling zone around 4,315–4,325. A rejection from this area could open the way toward 4,280 and 4,240. The higher selling zone near 4,350–4,360 is the next key area to watch. A strong breakout above the channel could invalidate the bearish setup. For now, the focus remains on price reaction at the marked zones. this analysis is for educational purpose not for financial advice

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

Exxon Mobil (XOM) Extending Rally within Wave (5)

The short‑term Elliott Wave outlook for Exxon Mobil (XOM) indicates that the rally from the June 25, 2026 low is unfolding as a five‑wave diagonal. From that point, wave (1) concluded at $159.42, followed by a corrective pullback in wave (2) that ended at $149.09. The stock then advanced in wave (3), reaching $168.64. The subsequent pullback in wave (4) developed as a double three structure, with wave W finishing at $162.25, wave X rallying to $165.40, and wave Y declining to $155.37. This sequence completed wave (4) at a higher degree. The advance has since resumed in wave (5). Within this leg, the rally unfolded as a diagonal. Wave ((i)) ended at $165.65, while the dip in wave ((ii)) terminated at $158.75. The third wave, ((iii)), carried prices higher to $167.70, before a modest pullback in wave ((iv)) concluded at $163.18. The final push in wave ((v)) reached $169.45, thereby completing wave 1 of a higher degree. At present, expectations favor a corrective pullback in wave 2. This retracement is anticipated to correct the cycle from the August 28, 2026 low, likely unfolding in either three or seven swings before the rally resumes.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

XAU/USD BUY | Bullish Rebound from target 4,335 → 4,370

The 4,290–4,300 zone is the key support area. If price holds above this level and breaks above 4,310–4,335, bullish momentum could continue toward 4,365–4,370. However, the broader market remains under pressure due to a stronger USD and rising Treasury yields, so a break below 4,285–4,290 could invalidate the buy setup and bring more downside. Bias: Short-term Bullish Rebound Key Support: 4,290 Key Resistance: 4,310 → 4,335 → 4,370

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

BTCUSDT: Channel Breakout, Bulls Push Higher

BTCUSDT is trading around 77,930 USDT after breaking out of a descending channel and briefly pushing toward the 79,200 level. The current pullback is bringing the price back to retest the breakout zone around 77,700–78,000, an area that also converges with a cluster of short-term EMAs. If BTC holds this zone and buying pressure returns, I lean toward a scenario where the price continues to recover to 79,200–79,500, subsequently extending toward the primary target near 80,500 USDT. Losing the 77,500 level would make the current breakout look less convincing. On the macro front, Reuters reports improving ETF inflows and increasingly bullish positioning in the options market, while today's vote on the Clarity Act could serve as a specific catalyst for the crypto sector.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

Back-Adjustment — Why B-ADJ Should Be On for Structure

A rollover gap on a futures chart looks exactly like a real price move. It is not one, and treating it like one — or ignoring the setting that fixes it — quietly distorts every level and every indicator built on top of that chart. The Gap Is Not a Market Move When a futures contract rolls to the next one, the new contract typically opens at a different price than the expiring contract closed. This looks like a gap, and on a raw chart it displays exactly like one. It is not the market moving. It is the cost of carry — the interest rate and dividend expectations priced into the new contract over its remaining life — showing up as a price difference between two different instruments spliced together. Price did not move. The contract changed. On a standard continuous chart, this shows up as a sudden jump at the rollover date, and anything calculated over time absorbs it as if it were real: moving averages, ATR, any indicator smoothed across that boundary. Structure has the same problem — a swing that began before rollover and remains fully intact afterward looks broken on the raw chart, even though nothing about it actually changed. What Back-Adjustment Actually Does This is what the B-ADJ setting exists to fix. On TradingView, the button sits in the bottom right corner of the chart, and it is off by default — worth checking, since most charts are running without it. Back-adjustment stitches contracts together by shifting historical prices backward, removing the rollover gap and producing one smooth, unbroken price series. The tradeoff is real: the historical prices shown for the expired contract are not the prices that actually traded at the time. This is a synthetic chart, and it is worth knowing that going in. Why the Adjusted Chart Is the More Relevant One Despite being synthetic, the back-adjusted chart is usually the more useful one for structural work, and the reason comes down to what actually happens to a position at rollover. Long-term positions are not closed when a contract expires — they are transferred. A position in the expiring contract is closed and simultaneously reopened in the new contract at the same structural reference, calculated on the same percentage basis. Think of a trailing stop on a position that has run to significant profit: if the stop has trailed to a structural level, a pullback to that stop still leaves the position net positive. A rolled futures position works the same way. The new contract opens at a different price, but the stop is still anchored to the same structural reference — only the price axis shifted, not the map. This is also why systems built around structural and trend references do not treat a rollover gap the way they treat a genuine gap. A real gap represents actual participation: price moved there through real buying and selling. A rollover gap is a different instrument's price being connected to the previous one. The levels that carry real weight — the ones long-term positioning actually references — live on the adjusted chart. When B-ADJ Belongs On, and the One Case It Does Not For structural mapping, trend analysis, and most indicator work, B-ADJ should be on. Approaches built around support and resistance, trendlines, or indicator signals tend to perform better with it active, since the adjusted structure is what the market continues to reference going forward. The exception is any approach that depends on historically accurate entry and exit prices — for that specific purpose, the real, as-traded price matters more than a clean chart, and B-ADJ off may be the better fit. This is not something to assume either way. Backtesting the same approach with the setting active and inactive is the only way to know which one actually fits, and a cleaner-looking chart is not automatically the one that produces better results. The Step Most Traders Skip After Toggling It Turning B-ADJ on or off shifts every historical price on the chart, and it is easy to forget that existing drawings do not shift along with it. A trendline or a support level drawn before the toggle stays exactly where it was placed, now sitting against a price history that has moved out from underneath it. The result is a chart with structure that no longer matches its own price data. The reliable response, regardless of which setting gets used, is a fresh analysis: redrawing structure from scratch on the chart in its current state, rather than trying to carry old levels forward across the adjustment. It often surfaces things the previous map was quietly obscuring. The Underlying Principle A rollover gap is a difference between two contracts, not a market event, and the chart's job is to represent what participants are actually doing, not just what the raw price data happens to show. B-ADJ exists to keep those two things aligned. Getting it right is a five-second setting change. Getting it wrong quietly corrupts every level and every indicator built on top of the chart, without ever announcing that it happened. The broader mechanics of rollover — timing, buffers, and volume verification — are covered in the related post.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept