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First seen14 Sept, 19:46daily analysis p3
hope you enjoy all my daily this is another ict strategic hope enojoy it!
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Follow-up21h agoXAUUSD - Daily Analysis
Price closed below the 0.5 Fib level with a strong bearish close. Looking for a break and retest of the 0.5 Fib level, followed by downside continuation to fill the daily wick.
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Follow-up21h agoXAUUSD H1 Analysis | Descending Channel
Gold is currently trading within a descending channel, keeping the overall structure bearish. Price is approaching the first selling zone around 4,315–4,325. A rejection from this area could open the way toward 4,280 and 4,240. The higher selling zone near 4,350–4,360 is the next key area to watch. A strong breakout above the channel could invalidate the bearish setup. For now, the focus remains on price reaction at the marked zones. this analysis is for educational purpose not for financial advice
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Follow-up17h agoXAUUSD Elliott Wave Analysis – September 15, 2026
## D1 Timeframe D1 momentum is currently compressed together in the oversold zone, suggesting that the bearish move may still continue. One important point is that price has created a new low but has now pulled back above the previous wave (A) low. This suggests that liquidity below wave (A) may have been swept. However, what we still need to see in order to confirm the beginning of a new bullish trend is a strong bullish daily candle close. That confirmation has not appeared yet, so we should continue to observe. The FVG below remains an area that may attract price for rebalancing. Pay close attention to both the upper and lower boundaries of this FVG. ## H4 Timeframe On H4, we can see a very clean bullish engulfing setup forming from the 4267 area. However, what I do not like is that the bullish momentum did not continue strongly afterward, which suggests that buying pressure has not yet shown enough strength. At the same time, H4 momentum is preparing to turn bearish. Therefore, H4 may develop another bearish move or continue sideways until H4 momentum moves into the oversold zone and turns upward again. The current bearish move is still developing inside a descending channel. Therefore, we will monitor whether price breaks the upper or lower boundary of this channel before making further trading decisions. ## H1 Timeframe Price is currently trapped around the 4316 area. Looking at H1, we can clearly see that the waves are overlapping each other. In this type of structure, trying to label every wave is not very practical because it can easily lead to subjective wave counting. What we really need to know is that price is currently moving within a corrective structure. The liquidity and support areas below, especially if they align with H4 momentum reaching the oversold zone, could become potential areas where the bearish move ends, or at least where a rebound develops in line with H4 momentum. Price has formed equal highs around 4316 while H1 momentum is moving lower. Therefore, this double-top structure could be part of a Flat correction within wave B or wave 2. For this reason, the 4283 area is particularly important. There is a high probability that price could develop a bullish reaction from this area. I will look for Buy opportunities around 4283 once the required confirmation appears, such as: * Both H4 and H1 momentum reaching the oversold zone. * A change in market structure appearing on the lower timeframes. If the bearish move ends around 4283, the target for the next bullish move will be the OB area above, together with the Fibonacci zone and the corresponding wave targets.
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Follow-up15h agoXAU/USD 15 September 2026 Intraday Analysis
H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100. Note: Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated. Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action. For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment. H4 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/z2hGbALd/ M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 02 September 2026. Price has printed according to analysis dated 02 September 2026 whereby I mentioned price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,282.625. Please note, in error I mentioned weak internal high instead of weak internal low. This is exactly how price printed. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,253.625. Note: Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves. The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation. At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential. Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded. M15 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/Khnd0iVi/
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Follow-up15h agoxauusd
i like buys here. lets see if we hold. education purpose only
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Follow-up15h agoXAUUSD 4H - Technical Analysis & Outlook
Trend Overview: Price is currently respecting a strong descending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. Resistance / Invalidated Level: The red zone around 4,350 – 4,370 acts as a major resistance area. Current Structure: Price reacted from the resistance zone and is pushing lower within the bearish channel, breaking local support around 4,329. Key Targets / Support Zones: Target 1: 4,235 – 4,245 (Lower boundary of the channel / Demand zone) Target 2: 4,190 – 4,200 (Next key structural support zone) Strategy: Looking for continuation moves toward lower support levels as long as price stays below the resistance zone. Aap in hashtags ko apni TradingView post ya social media par copy-paste kar sakte hain: #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ForexSignals #GoldTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #FinancialMarkets
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Follow-up15h agoXAUUSD 45M — Bearish Structure With Lower Support in Focus
Gold (XAUUSD) on the 45-minute chart is showing a developing bearish structure, with price creating lower highs and gradually moving toward the lower support area. The chart highlights three important zones: Entry zone: around 4,245–4,260 Invalidation area: around 4,320–4,335 Target zone: around 4,125–4,135 Price is currently trading close to the lower support zone. If this area fails to hold and the descending structure remains intact, the next major support area around 4,125–4,135 becomes the area to watch. The cyan projection shows the expected path based on the current structure. A sustained move back above the upper highlighted zone would weaken or invalidate this scenario. Key idea: Watch the reaction around the current support zone and follow the structure rather than assuming the projected path will occur.
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Follow-up15h agoXAUUSD — 4,257 Hold or 4,214 Sweep?
Gold is trading around 4,273 after extending the M30 decline below yesterday’s reaction support. Price remains under the descending trendline, while the latest recovery attempt failed to create a meaningful structure shift. Macro pressure is also still heavy ahead of the Fed decision, with elevated yields, a firm dollar and higher oil prices keeping Gold under pressure. But price is now moving closer to the lower reaction zones. And this is where chasing the sell becomes less attractive. The reaction is the signal. The simple read M30 structure remains bearish below the descending trendline. The latest bounce reached the 4,31x area but failed below the major resistance zone around 4,319. Price has now moved back below the 0.618 Fibonacci level near 4,277 and is approaching the 0.786 area around 4,267. The first important support sits around 4,253–4,257. This area combines the previous swing low, Fib completion and visible reaction demand. A clean buyer response here could create a temporary recovery. But support is not an automatic buy. If 4,257 fails, the chart leaves room for a deeper liquidity sweep toward 4,214. That lower zone aligns closely with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and is the stronger downside reaction area on this M30 structure. On the upside, 4,285 is the first small recovery test. The bigger level is still 4,319. This area combines resistance with the descending trendline and remains the key seller decision zone. Key price zones Current price area: 4,273 Immediate Fibonacci reaction: 4,267–4,277 Main support / buy reaction zone: 4,253–4,257 Deeper liquidity zone: around 4,214 First recovery resistance: around 4,285 Main resistance + trendline: around 4,319 Major upper supply: around 4,398 Trading plan Buy reaction scenario If Gold reaches 4,253–4,257: I will watch for sellers to lose momentum and buyers to show a clear reaction. A confirmed recovery can first reopen 4,277–4,285. If price then breaks the descending trendline, 4,319 becomes the next important test. But I will not buy simply because price touches support. Sell reaction scenario If Gold recovers toward 4,285 or especially 4,319 and rejects: The bearish M30 structure can remain intact. A failed recovery may send price back toward 4,257. Breakout scenario If Gold breaks the trendline and can hold above 4,319: The short-term structure changes significantly. That would improve the recovery case and shift attention toward the higher resistance zones. Breakdown scenario If 4,257 cannot hold: I would watch for the deeper liquidity move rather than chase the breakdown. The next major reaction zone becomes 4,214. A sweep into that area followed by a strong reclaim could create a much cleaner recovery structure. The trend is still bearish. But price is getting closer to support. 4,257 is the first buyer test. 4,214 is the deeper liquidity test. 4,319 is the real recovery confirmation level.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up14h ago
XAUUSD 15M: Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation
Disclaimer & Purpose This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research. Market Context On the 15-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has swept liquidity near the lower demand area (~$4,260 region) and produced a local bullish Break of Structure (BOS) above the $4,273 level. This structure shift indicates a potential shift in short-term momentum from bearish to bullish. Technical Reference Levels BOS Confirmation / Entry Level: ~$4,273.26 (Break of Structure Level) Invalidation / Structural Stop: ~$4,261.47 (Below the recent swing low and lower demand block) Upside Target / Resistance Level: ~$4,344.70 (Key overhead supply area) Technical Setup Logic Following the sweep of the lower support boundary, price broke above immediate lower-high resistance to mark a local BOS at $4,273.26. Technical analysis maps a trade entry following this structural confirmation, targeting the upper resistance zone around $4,344 while placing structural invalidation below $4,261.47.
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Follow-up14h agoXAUUSD Watching 4105 Equality Objective for Bullish Reversal Set
Watching 4105 Equality Objective for Bullish Reversal Setup Gold remains in a corrective phase, with price working lower inside the short-term descending structure. The key downside area to monitor is the 4105 equality objective, which aligns closely with the 4510 pivot/VPOC reference from the composite profile. This confluence makes the zone important for assessing whether the correction is nearing exhaustion. From that area, the preferred setup is to watch for bullish reversal patterns — such as a failed breakdown, bullish engulfing candle, momentum divergence, or reclaim of intraday structure — to engage on the long side. If a reversal develops from the 4105 region, the first upside objective would be a test of the descending trend-channel resistance near 4400. A break above that level would improve the short-term structure and suggest that a larger recovery may be developing. However, risk remains if sellers maintain control. A loss of the 3940 swing low would add weight to the idea that the broader monthly corrective sequence is still unfolding. In that scenario, Gold could extend into a deeper correction, with the next major downside target coming in around the 3380s. Key Levels Primary downside objective / support: 4105 Confluence: Equality objective + composite profile VPOC / pivot region Bullish trigger: Reversal pattern from the 4105 zone First upside objective: 4400 trend-channel resistance Bearish invalidation / risk level: Loss of 3940 swing low Deeper corrective target: 3380s
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Follow-up14h agoEURUSD - Technical Analysis
Currently, price action holding above 1.1520 provides further bullish momentum today toward the 1.1568 target level. To sustain this upward movement, a breakout above the 1.1568 resistance line is required to reach 1.1595. Conversely, to shift toward a bearish scenario, the price needs to firmly hold below the pivot level and break the 1.1500 support level. Resistance Levels: 1.1568 – 1.1595 Support Levels: 1.1500 – 1.1480
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Follow-up14h ago#Xauusd
https://www.tradingview.com/x/iBhYVTgA This is my view on xauusd . 4h still accumulating onece 4h low sweep then waiting for ltf conformation to buy so waiting low sweep
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Follow-up14h agoXAUUSD Short: Supply Zone Rejection Targets 4,200 Demand
Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (1H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously traded inside a range before breaking higher and later forming descending channels with multiple breakouts. Price then tested the Supply Zone near 4,320, where sellers rejected the upside. Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the 4,320 Supply Zone while holding above the 4,200 Demand Zone. The recent rejection and descending channel structure suggest a possible continuation lower toward demand. As long as XAUUSD remains below 4,320 and respects the descending channel, the bearish scenario remains valid. A continuation lower could push price toward 4,200 (TP1). However, a breakout above 4,320 would weaken the bearish outlook. Manage your risk!
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Follow-up13h agoXAUUSD
Gold is trading near $4,270.06 as it consolidates inside the decision range between $4,262.30 and $4,272.64 on the 15m chart. The first scenario (Bullish) forecasts a push and breakout above $4,272.64, followed by a retest before expanding upward toward the primary target near $4,316.73. The second scenario (Bearish) projects a rejection and breakdown below $4,262.30, leading to a retest before expanding lower toward the major support target near $4,232.21. Both projected paths rely on how price reacts inside this critical consolidation range before giving a clear directional expansion. Look for clear confirmation on lower timeframes inside the decision zone before entering trades. Strictly enforce risk management rules with stops set outside the range in case of a clear breakout or breakdown.
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Follow-up13h agoXAUUSD Analysis today
Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
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Follow-up13h agoxauusd
hi guys My long-term outlook is for a correction down to 3300; so, I am a seller above the yellow line—targeting the yellow rectangle—and am waiting for the lower line to break.
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Follow-up13h agoDAX - Technical Analysis
In our previous analysis, we highlighted that as long as the price remained below 25700, the trend would stay bearish. The price subsequently declined by 250+ pips ✅. Currently, trading below the 25380 pivot level maintains the downside pressure toward the 25140 support level. A breakout below 25140 will extend the decline toward 25000. Conversely, breaking above the pivot level and holding with a confirmed 1-hour candle close will initiate a bullish recovery toward the resistance line at 25570 and subsequently 25810. Resistance Levels: 25570 – 25810 Support Levels: 25140 – 25000
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Follow-up13h agoUSDJPY - Technical Analysis
The current price action of USDJPY indicates downside pressure, with trading remaining below the 155.30 pivot level. As long as the market remains below this level, sellers maintain control. Trading below 155.30 favors further downward momentum toward 154.00 and 152.90. Conversely, a confirmed 1-hour candle close above 155.30 will activate bullish momentum, potentializing an upward move toward 156.00. Resistance Levels: 156.00 – 156.58 Support Levels: 154.00 – 152.90
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Follow-up13h agoGBPUSD - Technical Analysis
The price is currently attempting a downward move. As long as it holds below the 1.3515 pivot level, the decline is expected to target 1.3460 and subsequently 1.3440. Conversely, if the price manages to push higher and break above 1.3515, the momentum will turn bullish toward the 1.3535 target level. Resistance Levels: 1.3535 – 1.3550 Support Levels: 1.3460 – 1.3440
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Follow-up13h agoXAUUSD – Waiting for a Pullback Into Bearish Confluence
XAUUSD remains bearish across H4, H1 and M15, but price is currently trading in discount, so chasing the move lower offers poor positioning. The preferred scenario is a pullback toward the 4,290–4,297 area, where PWL aligns with a bearish FVG/OB. A clear lower-timeframe rejection and bearish confirmation from this zone would support continuation toward PDL around 4,252. If price accepts below PDL, the next downside objective is the H4 order block around 4,230–4,245. A sustained move above 4,300 would weaken the immediate bearish scenario and open the door for a deeper retracement. XAUUSD ostaje bearish na H4, H1 i M15, ali se cena trenutno nalazi u discount delu raspona, zbog čega ne želimo da jurimo već pokrenut pad. Primarni scenario je pullback prema zoni 4.290–4.297, gde se PWL poklapa sa bearish FVG/OB zonom. Jasna reakcija i bearish potvrda na nižem vremenskom okviru podržale bi nastavak prema PDL-u oko 4.252. Prihvatanje cene ispod PDL-a otvorilo bi prostor prema H4 order blocku oko 4.230–4.245. Stabilan povratak iznad 4.300 oslabio bi trenutni bearish scenario i povećao mogućnost dubljeg retracementa.
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Follow-up13h agoEURUSD MARKET ANALYSIS
EURUSD is currently showing signs of a short-term recovery attempt after the recent bearish move. Price has reacted from the lower demand/support zone around 1.1520, where buyers have started to defend the area and slow the downside pressure. The current structure remains under pressure, but a successful reaction from support could allow EURUSD to form a short-term higher low and begin a recovery toward the nearby resistance zones. 📈 BULLISH SCENARIO — RECOVERY & CONTINUATION If price continues to hold above 1.1520–1.1530 and buyers regain momentum, a break above 1.1560 could strengthen the recovery and open the way toward: TP1: 1.1580 TP2: 1.1600 TP3: 1.1620–1.1640 A clean breakout and sustained hold above 1.1600 would provide stronger confirmation for a move toward the 1.1620–1.1640 supply/resistance area. KEY SUPPORT / INVALIDATION The 1.1520–1.1530 demand zone is the key support area to watch. If price loses this zone and sellers regain control, the bullish recovery scenario could weaken, with the market potentially continuing its bearish structure. MARKET VIEW EURUSD remains in a broader bearish structure, but the strong reaction from the demand zone gives the pair a short-term recovery bias. The main levels to watch are 1.1520–1.1530 support, followed by 1.1560, 1.1580 and 1.1600 resistance. your support means a lot! If you found this analysis useful, leave a Like and tell me your thoughts in the comments. Best of luck with your trading journey! 🚀
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Follow-up13h agoDeGRAM | XAUUSD is extending the correction
📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD remains below the major descending resistance line and has now broken beneath the previous key support around 4,300. The sequence of lower highs and lower lows keeps the broader 3H structure bearish. ● Price is moving inside the local bearish channel, with the 4,320–4,350 resistance zone becoming the main area for a possible corrective rebound. If sellers defend this zone, the next downside objective remains the 4,180–4,200 target zone shown on the chart. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold remains under pressure as the Fed begins its September 15–16 meeting. Markets are heavily pricing a 25 bp rate hike, while U.S. Treasury yields have climbed above 5% and the dollar remains firm. At the same time, oil above $108 is reinforcing inflation concerns, which is keeping rate expectations elevated despite ongoing Middle East tensions. ✨ Summary ● Bearish continuation remains the main scenario while XAU/USD stays below 4,320–4,350; target 4,180–4,200. A sustained recovery above resistance would weaken the bearish setup. Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
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Follow-up13h agoXAUUSD
Hello Everyone See the market make AMD done Now coming to retest now wait to tape liquidity then a trade open in down target next 1H liquidity zone
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Follow-up13h agoXAUUSD IDEA
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain a bearish market structure, with price currently testing the local lows as the market awaits key Federal Reserve developments and monitors renewed strength in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). The primary focus remains on the Federal Reserve interest-rate decision, the updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP/dot plot), and Fed communication, including Christopher Warsh’s rhetoric. These events could significantly influence USD yields and trigger heightened volatility across gold markets. Although the broader technical structure remains bearish, the downside is not without risk. A dovish Fed surprise, weaker-than-expected guidance, or a decline in the U.S. dollar could trigger a sharp short-covering rally and temporarily reverse the bearish momentum. Key Fundamental Drivers Bearish Factors Hawkish Federal Reserve expectations Stronger U.S. Dollar Index Rising Treasury yields Higher-for-longer rate expectations Further escalation of geopolitical tensions Bullish Factors Dovish Fed rhetoric or guidance A less hawkish-than-expected rate decision Falling U.S. yields Dollar weakness Geopolitical de-escalation Key Technical Levels Resistance 4,287 4,345 Support 4,230 4,200 📊Technical 👀📌🔽☄️⁉️ From a technical perspective, sustained consolidation below the 4,287–4,300 resistance zone would keep the bearish structure intact and could act as a catalyst for another move toward 4,230, followed by 4,200 if downside momentum accelerates. However, traders should remain cautious ahead of the Fed decision. A confirmed hawkish Fed stance, particularly if accompanied by a stronger-than-expected rate path or higher projected rates, could place significant additional pressure on gold. Conversely, a dovish surprise could invalidate the immediate bearish setup and trigger a recovery toward the 4,287–4,345 resistance area. Trading Bias Primary bias: Bearish below 4,287–4,300 Below 4,287: bearish continuation remains favored. Break below 4,230: opens the way toward 4,200. Reclaim above 4,300: bearish momentum weakens. Break above 4,345: would provide stronger evidence of a bullish reversal. Key takeaway: The technical structure favors selling rallies while price remains below 4,287–4,300, but entering aggressively immediately before the Fed decision carries elevated event risk. Waiting for the initial volatility and looking for confirmation may offer a higher-probability setup.🚨🫡 MARKET BIAS: BEARISH Gold continues to trade within a bearish structure, with price struggling below the 4,287–4,300 resistance zone. The market is approaching key support while traders await major Fed-related news. 🔻 SELL SCENARIO👀 Sell Zone: 4,270 – 4,287 Stop Loss: 4,315💢 TP1: 4,250 TP2: 4,230 TP3: 4,200
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Follow-up13h agoXAUUSD — Sell the H1 Fibonacci Retest
Fundamental Analysis Gold remains under pressure ahead of the September 15–16 Fed meeting. Markets are pricing roughly a 92% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while a firmer U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields continue to raise the opportunity cost of holding gold. The macro backdrop is also being complicated by oil prices above $100 and renewed Middle East supply concerns. U.S. Treasury yields have pushed to fresh multi-year highs, with the 10-year recently moving above 5%, reinforcing the higher-for-longer pressure on precious metals. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is trading near 4,277 after rebounding from the 4,253.64 low but failing to establish a sustained bullish structure. Price remains below the broader bearish structure, while the latest Fibonacci retracement identifies 4,293–4,305 as the most attractive short-term sell area. This zone combines the 0.618–0.786 retracement, previous structure, and nearby H1 imbalance. A deeper recovery could test 4,318, but acceptance above that level would weaken the immediate bearish setup. If sellers defend the Fibonacci zone, price may rotate back toward 4,278, followed by 4,268–4,270 and eventually the 4,253–4,255 liquidity low. Important Key Levels 4,378–4,390 — Major H1 FVG 4,305–4,318 — Upper resistance 4,293–4,305 — Main sell zone 4,278 — First downside pivot 4,268–4,270 — Lower demand 4,253–4,255 — Main liquidity target Trading Scenario Main Sell Setup Entry: 4,293–4,305 Stop Loss: 4,322 Take Profit 1: 4,278 Take Profit 2: 4,268–4,270 Take Profit 3: 4,253–4,255 Sell Condition Wait for price to retrace into 4,293–4,305 and show bearish confirmation. A rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed reclaim above 4,305, or H1 close back below 4,293 may confirm renewed seller pressure. A sustained break above 4,318–4,322 would invalidate the immediate sell idea. Overall View The H1 bias remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below 4,318. With price already near lower support, chasing shorts around 4,277 offers poor positioning. The preferred plan is to wait for a corrective rebound into 4,293–4,305, then look for confirmation toward 4,278, 4,268, and potentially a retest of the 4,253 liquidity low. The Fed decision is now the main volatility risk, and the tone of the policy statement may be as important as the expected rate hike itself. Do you expect gold to retest 4,293–4,305 before sellers attack 4,253 again?
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Follow-up12h agoGold Technical Analysis – 4H XAU/USD
Potential Bullish Scenario After Resistance Breakout Gold is currently trading around the $4,270–$4,280 area on the 4-hour timeframe, where price is reacting to a key support zone and a rising short-term trendline. However, the broader corrective structure remains bearish while price is trading below the descending red trendline, which acts as the main dynamic resistance. If the current support holds and price forms a higher low, a bullish reversal could develop. 🔑 Key Levels First Support: 4,278 Major Support: 4,232 Critical Support: 4,181 First Resistance: 4,407–4,420 Major Resistance: Descending trendline 🎯 Bullish Target: 4,475–4,520 📈 Bullish Scenario A sustained move above 4,278, followed by a strong breakout and confirmation above 4,407–4,420, could open the way for a continuation toward the 4,475 target zone. The projected structure suggests a potential bottom formation → retest → trendline breakout → bullish continuation. On the other hand, a decisive break below 4,232 would weaken the bullish setup and could expose the 4,181 support area. Conclusion: As long as the key support zones remain intact, the primary potential scenario favors an upside move toward 4,475–4,520. A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline would provide stronger confirmation for the bullish setup.
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GBPUSD 15M: Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation
On the 15-minute timeframe, GBPUSD experienced a short-term corrective phase down into lower liquidity. Following a double-bottom style sweep, price produced a local bullish Break of Structure (BOS) above the immediate swing high at ~$1.34795, signaling a potential shift toward upside momentum. Technical Reference Levels BOS Confirmation / Entry Level: ~$1.34795 (Break of Structure Level) Invalidation / Structural Level: ~$1.34718 (Below the immediate swing low) Upside Target Level: ~$1.35215 – $1.35235 (Major overhead supply/resistance block) Technical Setup Logic Following the structural confirmation (BOS) at $1.34795, the technical mapping anticipates a potential bullish continuation toward the overhead supply region near $1.35215, with structural invalidation defined below $1.34718. Disclaimer & Purpose This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research.
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Follow-up12h agoXAUUSD / Gold (15-Minute Chart)
I'm tracking a classic PO3 setup in gold's short-term price action. I anticipate the price to first sweep the liquidity resting above the "Asia high today". After breaking this level, the impulsive move is likely to continue towards the main target, which is the "Asia high yesterday"
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Follow-up12h agoXAUUSD — SELL SIGNAL
📍 Entry Zone: 4285 – 4290 🛑 Stop Loss: 4305 🎯 TP1: 4275 🎯 TP2: 4270 🎯 TP3: 4260 📊 Market Outlook Gold is approaching a potential resistance/supply zone around 4285–4290. The setup favors a bearish reaction from this area, with downside targets progressively placed below the entry zone. 📌 Trade Plan SELL: 4285–4290 SL: 4305 TP1: 4275 TP2: 4270 TP3: 4260 ⚠️ Invalidation: A sustained move above 4305 invalidates the bearish setup. Risk Management: Control your position size and risk per trade. Do not over-leverage. XAUUSD | SELL THE RALLY 📉 Educational analysis — not financial advice
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Follow-up12h agoXAUUSD — Bearish Wave Toward 4,160
Gold is still moving inside a clear bearish channel after failing to break above the descending trendline. From Kelly’s view, the current chart suggests that XAUUSD remains under downside pressure, and the latest recovery may only be a short correction before another bearish Elliott Wave leg continues. The key idea is simple: gold is trading below the FVG sell zone, and if buyers cannot reclaim this resistance, sellers may continue pushing price toward the lower support and final target area. ⟡ Market structure Gold is currently trading around 4,283, still inside the descending channel. The short-term recovery is being capped below the 4,288–4,300 FVG sell zone, which is now the key resistance area. The market is still forming lower highs, and price action remains weak below the trendline. If gold rejects from the sell zone again, the first downside area to watch is the strong support near 4,255–4,265. A clean break below this support may open the next bearish move toward 4,225–4,235. If sellers keep control, the final Elliott Wave target remains around 4,155–4,165. ➤ Key levels ◌ Current price area: 4,283 ◌ FVG sell zone: 4,288–4,300 ◌ Short-term resistance: 4,300–4,320 ◌ Strong support: 4,255–4,265 ◌ Buy reaction zone: 4,225–4,235 ◌ Main bearish target: 4,155–4,165 ◌ Bearish invalidation: above 4,320 ⌁ Elliott Wave view The chart shows a possible bearish Elliott Wave continuation. Wave (1) started after gold rejected from the upper channel area. Wave (2) created a short corrective rebound into the FVG sell zone. If price fails below 4,300, wave (3) may continue lower toward 4,225–4,235. Wave (4) may create a small recovery from the lower reaction zone. Wave (5) may complete the bearish structure near 4,155–4,165. This is why Kelly is not chasing buys at the current price. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to reject the FVG sell zone or break below strong support with clear bearish momentum. ▸ Trading scenario Preferred bearish scenario Entry: Sell around 4,288–4,300 if price gives bearish rejection Stop Loss: Above 4,320 Take Profit 1: 4,255–4,265 Take Profit 2: 4,225–4,235 Take Profit 3: 4,155–4,165 Alternative entry If gold breaks below 4,255 and retests this level weakly, sellers may look for continuation toward 4,225–4,235 and then 4,155–4,165. ◌ Invalidation The bearish view becomes weaker if gold breaks above 4,320 and holds above the descending trendline. In that case, the current bearish wave structure may be delayed, and price could attempt a stronger recovery first. ⌁ Kelly’s view Kelly’s main view remains bearish while gold stays below the 4,288–4,300 FVG sell zone. The structure still favors selling rallies rather than chasing short-term rebounds. If sellers defend the sell zone, gold may continue toward 4,255–4,265, then 4,225–4,235. The larger bearish target remains near 4,155–4,165 if wave (5) extends. Do you think gold will reject from the FVG sell zone first, or break strong support directly?
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Follow-up12h agoXAUUSD – Gold Stays Heavy Below 4,328
XAUUSD – Gold Stays Heavy Below 4,328 Gold is still trading under pressure near 4,283 after failing to build any meaningful recovery from the recent lows. The chart shows price moving inside a wider descending structure, with the short-term downtrend line still controlling the market. Buyers tried to react from the lower channel area, but the recovery remains weak while price stays below 4,318 – 4,328. From the market side, gold is still facing pressure from stronger Fed rate expectations, elevated U.S. yields, and safe-haven demand for the U.S. dollar. Geopolitical risk may create short-term reactions, but for now it is not strong enough to change the bearish technical structure. Technical view: Gold is trading near the lower part of the descending channel. The current reaction area is around 4,280 – 4,295. The first resistance is 4,318 – 4,328. As long as gold stays below this zone, sellers still have short-term control. The next stronger resistance is around 4,368, where the downtrend line and Fibonacci structure meet. A clean break above 4,368 would be needed to confirm a stronger recovery. If gold fails to reclaim 4,318 – 4,328, price may retest the lower support area again. Key levels to watch: Current price: 4,283 Short-term reaction zone: 4,280 – 4,295 First resistance: 4,318 – 4,328 Strong resistance: 4,368 Lower channel support: 4,250 – 4,260 Bearish invalidation: above 4,368 Main scenario: If gold holds above 4,280 and breaks back above 4,318 – 4,328, buyers may attempt a recovery toward 4,368. However, this recovery still needs confirmation. A weak reaction below 4,328 may only be a corrective pullback before sellers return. Alternative scenario: If gold rejects from 4,318 – 4,328 and loses 4,280 again, the bearish pressure may continue. In that case, price may retest 4,250 – 4,260, which is close to the lower channel support. Hannah’s view: Gold is still not showing a clean bullish reversal. The market is trying to stabilize near support, but the recovery lacks strength while price remains below 4,328. For buyers, the first job is simple: reclaim 4,328 and hold above it. Without that, the downside risk remains open. Main view: gold stays weak below 4,318 – 4,328. A rejection from this area supports another move toward 4,280 and possibly 4,250. A real recovery only becomes clearer above 4,368. No confirmation means no trade. Do you think gold can reclaim 4,328, or will sellers keep control inside this downtrend channel?
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Follow-up11h agoXAUUSD H4 - Falling Wedge Pattern Forming
Trade Idea: 1) XAUSD is Bearish Trend 2) Bullish Market Structure breaked, LL, LH Making 3) Fallling Wedge is in making on H4. 4) Bullish Divergence on LLs on H4. 5) Entry will be break of upper trend line of Falling Wedge on H1 using Alligator for SL/TP.
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Follow-up11h agoXAUUSD | Support & Resistance Setup
Gold is currently approaching a key support zone around 4,260–4,275. If this zone holds and price shows bullish confirmation, the next area of interest is 4,340–4,360 resistance. A clear rejection from resistance could bring bearish pressure back into the market. A sustained breakout above 4,360 may strengthen the bullish scenario, while a break below 4,260 could indicate further downside. Key levels: Support: 4,260–4,275 Resistance: 4,340–4,360 This is a technical market analysis based on price structure and key levels, not financial advice.
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Follow-up11h agoXAUUSD Price Outlook: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar Tests 100% ARC
XAUUSD Price Outlook: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar Tests 1 (100%) Arc | Awaiting Directional Confirmation Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis™ applied to the 2h chart, Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar is interacting with the 1 (100%) Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Price remains centered around this Arc, indicating that directional confirmation has not yet been established.
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Follow-up11h agoXAUUSD ANALYSIS & KEY LEVEL— 10Y HIGHEST LEVEL
1. MARKET STRUCTURE Gold is trading around **$4,284**, holding near the **$4,260–$4,300** area after a third weak week. The daily and weekly structure remain bearish, with lower highs following the August rejection near **$4,680**. The downside BOS remains active below the **$4,350–$4,400** shelf, while no confirmed bullish CHOCH has formed yet. A move above **$4,425–$4,450** would be needed to signal a stronger recovery. 2. KEY LEVELS **Support:** $4,250–$4,270 → $4,160 **Resistance:** $4,313–$4,355 → $4,425–$4,450 **Sell Zone:** $4,313–$4,355 **Buy Zone:** $4,250–$4,270 Liquidity remains below the recent lows around **$4,253–$4,261**, while the **$4,350–$4,400** area remains an important supply/FVG zone. A break below **$4,253** could open further downside toward **$4,160**. A confirmed reclaim above **$4,425–$4,450** would weaken the bearish setup. 3.DXY & YIELDS DXY is holding around **99.1–99.6**, while the US 10Y is around **4.14%** after pulling back from the recent yield spike. The dollar remains firm and higher yields continue to create pressure on gold, although the recent decline in yields is providing some short-term relief. 4. MACRO & FED The **FOMC rate decision is the key catalyst this week**. Markets are pricing around **85–90% odds of a 25bp hike** to the **3.75%–4.00%** range. A hawkish decision, higher dots, or hawkish guidance could strengthen the dollar and push gold lower, while a dovish statement or press conference could trigger a recovery. 5. GEOPOLITICAL RISK US-Iran tensions, Red Sea attacks, Russia-related sanctions and elevated oil prices continue to support safe-haven demand. However, higher oil-driven inflation could increase pressure on the Fed to remain hawkish, creating a mixed but overall challenging environment for gold. 6.TRADE BIAS **Bearish: 65% | Bullish: 35%** **Confidence: Medium** Gold remains bearish-leaning while below **$4,425–$4,450**. The main downside drivers are elevated FOMC hike expectations, a firm dollar and the bearish daily structure, while ETF demand and geopolitical risk continue to provide some support. 7. CONCLUSION Gold remains **bearish in the short term** while price stays below **$4,425–$4,450**. A break below **$4,253** could expose **$4,160**, while holding the **$4,250–$4,270** area could trigger a recovery. The **FOMC decision and press conference on September 16** remain the major catalyst and could determine whether gold continues lower or starts a stronger bullish recovery. **NEXT MAJOR CATALYST: FOMC — 16 SEPTEMBER, 14:00 ET** **INVALIDATION: DAILY CLOSE ABOVE $4,450** *Not financial advice. Manage risk carefully.*
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Follow-up11h agoBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD WEAK BELOW 4,338
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD WEAK BELOW 4,338 Gold remains under pressure as the market moves into the FOMC decision window. Price is now trading around 4,275 after another failed recovery attempt, while the broader short-term structure continues to show lower highs and weak buyer follow-through. Fundamentally, the market is still cautious. Gold is marking another down day as traders wait for the two-day FOMC policy meeting, and this keeps positioning defensive ahead of the rate decision. When gold trades near a one-month low before a major Fed event, the market usually becomes very sensitive to any rejection or breakdown around key value zones. That is exactly what the current chart is showing. Technical structure On the H1 chart, gold is trading below the Current VAH / POC immediate volume zone around 4,290 - 4,306. This zone is important because it was the latest short-term value area. Price tried to stabilize there, but the reaction was weak. As long as gold stays below this zone, buyers do not have real control. The next important resistance is the Key Rotation Area around 4,338 - 4,365. This is the area where any recovery may face stronger selling pressure. If gold pulls back into this zone and rejects, the bearish continuation view remains valid. Above that, the Upper Value Rejection zone around 4,500 remains the major seller interest area. This was where the larger bearish rotation started, and it continues to define the upper structure. On the downside, gold is now approaching the 4,232 area. If sellers keep control below 4,306, the market can rotate lower into this level before any stronger buyer reaction appears. Important zones Current price area: 4,265 - 4,280 Gold is trading near the lower part of the structure after losing short-term value. Current VAH / POC: 4,290 - 4,306 Immediate resistance. Buyers need to reclaim this area to slow the bearish pressure. Key Rotation Area: 4,338 - 4,365 Main reaction zone if gold attempts a deeper pullback. Strong Acceptance Zone: 4,290 - 4,310 Previous value support, now acting as a pressure area after the breakdown. Upper Value Rejection: 4,490 - 4,510 Major seller interest zone and higher resistance. Downside liquidity: 4,232 - 4,240 Next lower target if sellers continue pushing the auction lower. Trading scenario Priority view: sell on recovery below 4,306 Entry: Look for sell positions only if gold rebounds into 4,290 - 4,306 or higher into 4,338 - 4,365 and shows clear bearish rejection. Stop Loss: Above the rejection high or above the reclaimed value zone. Take Profit: TP1: 4,250 TP2: 4,232 - 4,240 TP3: 4,200 if FOMC-driven momentum supports another downside expansion This setup follows the current bearish structure. Gold has already lost short-term value, so chasing sell late near the low is not ideal. The cleaner plan is to wait for a retest and rejection from resistance. Alternative buy scenario A buy setup is only interesting if gold sweeps the 4,232 - 4,240 liquidity area and shows strong bullish rejection. Entry: Buy only after clear confirmation from the lower liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Below the local sweep low. Take Profit: TP1: 4,290 - 4,306 TP2: 4,338 TP3: 4,365 if buyers reclaim momentum This would only be a reaction-buy setup, not a full bullish reversal yet. For a stronger recovery, gold needs to reclaim 4,306 first, then hold above 4,338. Final view Gold is still under seller control while trading below 4,306. The market is heading into the FOMC meeting with weak momentum, and the current chart suggests that sellers are still defending every recovery attempt. The nearest downside area to watch is 4,232 - 4,240. If price reaches this zone, buyer reaction may appear, but confirmation is needed before considering any long setup. For now, my map is simple: Below 4,306 = sellers keep control. Reject 4,306 = downside pressure continues. Break 4,338 = recovery improves. Reject 4,338 - 4,365 = bearish structure remains valid. Lose 4,232 = downside can extend toward 4,200. Gold is not in a clean bullish position yet. The best approach is patience: wait for either a confirmed rejection from resistance or a strong reaction from the lower liquidity zone. Will gold defend 4,232 before the FOMC decision, or will sellers force one more deep flush first?
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Follow-up11h agoXAUUSD Gold.
XAUUSD Gold.Reacting from H1 FVG to go long Make sure to trade with proper Risk management..
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EURUSD Analysis Update and Further Projections
The pair breached the handle of the C&H pattern, while also giving a breakout below the demand order block as projected in the previous analysis. The price tested the fib level 0.50 (1.1535), made lows of 1.1523, but failed to give a lower close. Therefore, if prices fall below the fib level 0.5 and sustain below, then further downside movements can be witnessed in the pair towards the fib level 0.618 (1.1492) or lower. Also, the US 10-year bond yields rose to 5.041% for the first time since 2007. The news from the bond market and tomorrow's (16 Sep, 2026) Fed Interest Rate decision - with probabilities above 90% for a rate hike. All these factors will give a boost to the US dollar, weakening the pair towards our target levels
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XAUUSD — Bearish Trend, Waiting for the Pullback
Market Pulse Gold remains under pressure ahead of the Fed decision. Higher Treasury yields, a firmer U.S. dollar and strong rate-hike expectations continue to limit the upside. High oil prices are also keeping inflation concerns alive, so volatility may stay elevated. What the Chart Says XAUUSD remains bearish on H1. Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, while the latest breakdown has pushed Gold back toward the lower support structure around 4,255–4,265. The current price near 4,283 is already close to support, so I would not chase fresh shorts here. A corrective rebound could first reach 4,307–4,318, which is the nearest broken structure and first resistance. If price recovers further, the more important area sits around 4,345–4,357. This is the main rejection zone on the chart and a cleaner place to watch for sellers to return. If that area holds, another bearish wave could develop toward 4,255–4,265, followed by the deeper 4,225–4,240 demand zone. Levels That Matter 4,425–4,435 — Major upper resistance 4,345–4,357 — Main rejection area 4,307–4,318 — First resistance 4,255–4,265 — Support zone 4,225–4,240 — Main demand zone My Main Plan The main plan remains bearish. I prefer waiting for price to recover toward 4,307–4,318 first. If the rebound becomes stronger, 4,345–4,357 is the better sell area to watch. A clear bearish reaction from resistance could bring Gold back toward 4,255–4,265 and later the deeper demand zone. What I Need to See I want the rebound to form another lower high and fail below the marked resistance areas. A sustained H1 move above 4,357 would weaken the immediate bearish setup. A stronger recovery above the major upper resistance would suggest a larger structure change. Final Read The H1 trend still favors sellers, but price is already near support. For now, I prefer waiting for the pullback and selling from resistance rather than chasing the move lower, especially with the Fed decision likely to create sharp two-way volatility.
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Follow-up10h agoIdea 2
I think its going to retrace to the bearish fair value gap above.
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Follow-up10h agoXAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Plan: 1H/4H Key Levels & Scenarios
https://www.tradingview.com/x/OaCNfpDc/ 📊 XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Structure Gold is currently trading inside an important multi-timeframe structure. On the 15-minute chart, the TupTrader Multi-Timeframe Key Levels indicator is projecting the key OHLC levels from the 1H and 4H reference candles. The larger structure remains bearish, while the shorter reference structure is bullish. This creates a useful decision area rather than a simple directional signal. Current price at the time of this analysis: ~4283.97 📈 Bullish Scenario Conditions: ✅ Price holds above the 1H Open around 4281.545. ✅ Price reclaims the 1H Close around 4284.740. ✅ A sustained break above the 1H High at 4286.785 confirms that the shorter-term bullish structure is still controlling the rebound. Upside Targets: First target: 4284.740 – 4286.785 → 1H Close/High resistance zone. Second target: 4304.975 → 4H Open and an important higher-timeframe resistance level. Extension target: 4307.775 → 4H High and the upper boundary of the larger bearish structure. Bullish Invalidation: ❌ A sustained move back below 4278.725, the 1H Low, weakens the short-term bullish structure. A deeper break toward or below the 4H lower boundary around 4262 would invalidate the current recovery structure more decisively. 📉 Bearish Scenario Conditions: ✅ Price fails to reclaim 4284.740 – 4286.785 and is rejected from the 1H Close/High zone. ✅ Price subsequently loses the 1H Open at 4281.545. ✅ A break below the 1H Low at 4278.725 confirms failure of the shorter-term bullish structure. Downside Targets: First target: 4278.725 → 1H Low. Second target: ~4262.540 → 4H Close and lower part of the larger structure. Extension: A clean break below the 4H lower boundary would signal bearish continuation outside the current higher-timeframe range. Continuation Trigger: 📉 A failed retest of 4278.725 – 4281.545 after a breakdown would be important. If the former 1H Low/Open area flips from support into resistance, the bearish continuation case becomes stronger. 🔍 Key Multi-Timeframe Takeaways ✅ The larger reference structure is still bearish. ✅ The shorter reference structure is bullish, showing an active rebound inside that larger bearish context. ✅ 4284.740 – 4286.785 is the immediate upside decision zone. ✅ 4278.725 – 4281.545 is the immediate support/decision zone. ✅ The larger boundaries near 4262 and 4305–4308 remain the major higher-timeframe reference levels. The important point is not to treat any single level as an automatic buy or sell signal. The levels provide structure; price behavior around them provides confirmation. 🗓️ Action Plan Bullish Bias: If price holds above 4281.545 and successfully reclaims 4284.740–4286.785, watch for continuation toward 4304.975 and 4307.775. Bearish Bias: If price is rejected from 4284.740–4286.785 and then loses 4281.545 / 4278.725, watch for a return toward the lower 4H structure around 4262. Neutral / No Trade: If price remains trapped between approximately 4278.725 and 4286.785, there is no need to force a directional position. Wait for a confirmed break or reclaim. ⚖️ Risk / Reward The distance between entry and structural invalidation should determine position size — not the desired profit target. Avoid increasing risk simply because price is close to a key level. A level identifies a location; it does not guarantee a reaction. 🔑 Key Confirmations ✅ Watch candle closes around the reference OHLC levels rather than reacting only to intrabar touches. ✅ Look for agreement between the 1H structure and the larger 4H context. ✅ A breakout followed by a successful retest provides stronger structural evidence than the initial touch alone. Current structural state: shorter-term bullish rebound inside a larger bearish reference structure.
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Follow-up10h agoNIFTY 50 | 4H MARKET ANALYSIS | SEP 15, 206
📊 NIFTY 50 | 4H MARKET ANALYSIS 🔴 Bullish or Bearish? The Key Level Matters. NIFTY 50 is trading around 23,118.60. The 4H chart highlights a critical decision zone near 23,171.20. 📈 BULLISH SCENARIO If NIFTY reclaims and sustains above 23,171.20, watch for potential upside toward: 🎯 24,000–24,242 🎯 24,843.90 📉 BEARISH SCENARIO If price fails to reclaim the pivot and selling pressure continues, watch: ⚠️ 22,000–21,881.15 ⚠️ 20,536.40 🔍 KEY OBSERVATION The market is at a decision zone. A breakout needs confirmation. A breakdown needs follow-through. Don't trade just because a level looks attractive. Plan your entry. Define your stop-loss. Respect the trend. 💡 Trade with a plan, not emotions. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚀 TechieMyil Trading | Tech | AI | Life 📌 Save this chart for your next market analysis. Educational content only. Not financial advice.
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Follow-up10h agoNIFTY 50 | 4H MARKET ANALYSIS | SEP 15, 2026
📊 NIFTY 50 | 4H MARKET ANALYSIS 🔴 Bullish or Bearish? The Key Level Matters. NIFTY 50 is trading around 23,118.60. The 4H chart highlights a critical decision zone near 23,171.20. 📈 BULLISH SCENARIO If NIFTY reclaims and sustains above 23,171.20, watch for potential upside toward: 🎯 24,000–24,242 🎯 24,843.90 📉 BEARISH SCENARIO If price fails to reclaim the pivot and selling pressure continues, watch: ⚠️ 22,000–21,881.15 ⚠️ 20,536.40 🔍 KEY OBSERVATION The market is at a decision zone. A breakout needs confirmation. A breakdown needs follow-through. Don't trade just because a level looks attractive. Plan your entry. Define your stop-loss. Respect the trend. 💡 Trade with a plan, not emotions. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚀 TechieMyil Trading | Tech | AI | Life 📌 Save this chart for your next market analysis. Educational content only. Not financial advice.
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Follow-up10h ago#XAUUSD
Hello and good morning everyone! 🌷 🥇 #XAUUSD | Daily Analysis 📅 September 15, 2026 💰 Current Price: 4287.000 Following our previous analysis, after reacting to the 4402 and 4335 support levels and subsequently breaking the 4H support, the market has reached the third major support zone for Daily buyers at 4254. This area is currently very important for us because as long as Daily buyers continue to defend 4254, the Daily trend remains bullish. If this support holds, we can look for the following upside targets in the coming days: 🎯 4434.512 🎯 4508.923 🎯 4549.530 🎯 4620.428 🎯 4678.953 🔹 Current Scenario: I already have a buy position activated at 4265, and within this area, as long as the Daily support at 4254 remains intact, I will continue adding to my buy positions. However, we should also keep the second scenario in mind. If 4254 breaks on the Daily timeframe and the market fails to reclaim this level after a pullback, our bullish scenario will be invalidated. In that case, we could see a strong continuation of the bearish move toward lower targets, including: 🎯 4181 🔑 For now, 4254 is the key decision level: Holding 4254 = Bullish Daily scenario remains valid 📈 Break + failed retest = Potential strong bearish continuation 📉 As long as 4254 holds, buyers still have the upper hand. 🔥
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Follow-up10h agoXAUUSD — Correction Complete? (3 Laddered Buy Plan)
Gold sold off hard from its late-January all-time high near $5,600, but the structure now argues the correction is maturing and the primary uptrend is preparing to resume. This idea lays out a scale-in long strategy with a single, well-defined invalidation. 📉➡️📈 The Divergence Story (Top → Bottom) The rally topped exactly where you'd expect it to: a bearish RSI divergence printed into the highs (price making new highs, momentum failing to confirm) — the classic warning that preceded this multi-month correction. Fast-forward to the June–July base and the mirror image appeared: a bullish divergence (lower price lows, higher momentum lows) marked the exhaustion of sellers. That's the signal I'm trading — momentum turned before price did. 📊 What the Chart Is Telling Us Price held the $3,950–4,000 support zone (green box), which lines up cleanly with the 0.786–1.0 Fib of the whole advance — a textbook place for a correction to end. The descending trendline off the highs is being challenged; a decisive daily close above it opens the door back toward the $4,700–4,800 supply zone (red box / 0 Fib at 4,697). Current price (~$4,290) is coiling around the 0.5–0.618 pocket ($4,317 / $4,227) — the decision area. 🏦 Fundamentals: Structurally Strong for the Long Run The bid under gold isn't speculative — it's structural. Central banks remain heavy net buyers (Poland added ~51 tons and China ~33 tons in Q2 2026), sitting on top of a persistent mine-supply deficit. Add the geopolitical risk premium from the ongoing Strait of Hormuz/US-Iran conflict and de-dollarization flows, and gold is increasingly trading as a barometer of confidence in the financial system, not just a rate play. Tellingly, major-bank year-end targets sit at or above spot — Goldman ~$4,900, HSBC ~$4,560, JPMorgan ~$4,500. 🏛️ FOMC Effect (Sep 15–16) This meeting is unusual: for the first time in this cycle a rate HIKE is genuinely on the table, with odds pushed up toward 60–70% as the US-Iran conflict feeds energy-led inflation. A hike is largely priced — the reaction hinges on the dot plot and tone. A hawkish-but-expected outcome likely gives one more dip to buy; any dovish surprise is rocket fuel. Either way, the structural bid caps downside. ⚖️ CLARITY Act Effect (indirect, honest read) The crypto market-structure bill faces another Senate procedural vote on Sept 15, but many investors now see it as effectively "dead in the water" for 2026, likely slipping into 2027. Net-net a mild positive for gold: regulatory clarity that legitimizes crypto as a rival store of value is the main competitive headwind to bullion — and that catalyst keeps getting pushed out, leaving safe-haven flows parked in gold for now. 🎯 The Trade — 3 Laddered Longs (buy the dip, one common invalidation) Same stop and target across all three, so the deeper the fill, the better the reward: risk. Scenario I — Entry 4,250 | SL 3,850 | TP 4,800 (R:R ≈ 1.4) Scenario II — Entry 4,100 | SL 3,850 | TP 4,800 (R:R ≈ 2.8) Scenario III — Entry 3,950 | SL 3,850 | TP 4,800 (R:R ≈ 8.5) 🛑 Invalidation: A daily close below $3,850 breaks the support zone and the bullish-divergence thesis — cut and reassess. Trade your own risk; this is analysis, not financial advice.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up9h ago
US30 15M: Wait for Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation
On the 15-minute timeframe, US30 (Sep 2026) has dropped into a major lower demand/support zone near the $52,060 - $52,127 area after sweeping previous swing lows. Price is currently consolidating within this support block, setting up a potential bullish reversal scenario. Technical Reference Levels Projected BOS Confirmation Level: ~$52,180 (Awaiting Break of Structure Level) Invalidation / Structural Level: ~$52,005.1 (Below the lower demand zone boundary) Upside Target Level: ~$52,673.1 (Overhead resistance / liquidity target) Technical Setup Logic The technical plan calls for patience: awaiting a confirmed bullish Break of Structure (BOS) above the minor lower-high resistance (near $52,180) to validate buyer control. Upon a confirmed BOS and subsequent retest of the demand area, the setup targets higher liquidity near $52,673.1, with structural invalidation below $52,005.1. Disclaimer & Purpose This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research.
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Follow-up7h agoGOLD 1H CHART – ROUTE MAP AND MARKET ANALYSIS
Hey Everyone, At week open, we had two key gaps on the radar: a bullish gap at 4392 and a bearish gap at 4306. The 4306 bearish gap has now been filled, followed by an EMA5 cross and lock below, which has opened our retracement range, as mapped on the 1H route map. We now expect this retracement range to provide reactionary support and bounces, with 4243 Goldturn still remaining open for a potential support test. As long as price holds this retracement range, we will be looking for the rotation back up and a retest of 4306. From there, an EMA5 cross and lock back above would reconfirm 4394 Goldturn as the next upside target. For now, patience. Let the range do its work and allow confirmation to dictate the next move. We will keep you updated. Mr Gold
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Follow-up7h agoshorting idea
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Follow-up6h agoXAUUSD TREND: Bearish
The trend is still very much in our favor. No need to predict a bottom or force a reversal. Stay focused on SELL opportunities and use the lower timeframe for your entry. Follow the SOMAX Trend. Trade with the direction
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up6h ago
Elliott wave analysis of SPX
Daily candles with repeated lower highs and lower lows since ATH on 13 August 2026. With today's low, which broke high of 15 June, impulse wave of lower degree has been invalidated (red count). Ending diagonal wave (5) of ((5)) remains in play above support of 7433.65. Wave (1) > (3) > (5), price should not exceed 8151.54. For price to tag median line, looking for new highs before ~ midterm elections (3 November 2026). 3-4:1 reward/risk for long position above 7433.64.
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Follow-up6h agoEurUsd Trade Update
I published EU shorts yesterday and stated my reasons for wanting to short the pair for a 1:3rr. Price dumped into my direction where I then decided to close just 6-7 pips away from tp. We'll see what happens for London tonight.
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Follow-up5h agoGBPUSD Buy Setup – Break of Structure
GBPUSD is showing a bullish reversal after breaking above the recent structure (BOS). Price is currently pulling back, offering a potential buy opportunity if bullish momentum holds. The setup targets the marked resistance/target zone. **Target: 1.35040** **Bias: Buy** **Key confirmation: BOS + bullish continuation**
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Follow-up5h agoXauusd 15 min
According last scenario of the xauusd chart; published at last week.
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Follow-up4h agoXAUUSD Buy Setup From Demand Zone | Potential Bullish Recovery
XAUUSD is currently reacting from a well-established demand zone around 4260 - 4266, an area that has repeatedly attracted buying interest during recent sessions. After an extended corrective move and multiple rejections from higher prices, gold is once again showing signs of support formation near the lower boundary of the range. The repeated defense of demand suggests buyers remain active, while the current structure opens the possibility of a move back toward overhead liquidity and key resistance areas. The highlighted resistance near 4312 remains the first obstacle. A successful break above this level could expose the next supply zones marked on the chart. 🎯 Bullish Targets ✅ Target 1: 4312 ✅ Target 2: 4338 ✅ Target 3: 4353 📈 As long as demand continues to hold, I will be monitoring for a bullish continuation scenario toward the marked resistance zones. Note: This is a personal market view for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
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Follow-up3h agoXAG/USD Daily Analysis
Silver remains trapped within a broad 55.00–70.00 trading range, with price now testing an important intermediate support around 62.60. Recent weakness following rejection from the upper range suggests sellers currently hold short-term momentum. A decisive daily close below 62.60 could expose 60.00 and potentially the range floor, while a strong rejection would favour another recovery higher.
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Follow-up3h agoAudJpy Trade Idea
The pair I'll be paying attention to for London is gonna be AJ. As of now AJ is showing hourly bullish structure above a 4hr LH. The higher time frame is overall bearish but the hourly will tell me where price is heading so I'll either wait for price to break and retest above this new hourly high (top white box) on the 15m time frame or wait for an HOURLY shift of structure under the hourly HL (bottom white box). IF that hourly bearish structure ends up showing then I'll be paying attention to the NEW LH and LL. I'll ONLY be executing shorts IF price breaks and retest the new HOURLY low on the 15m time frame. The goal here is to wait and see whether price heads back up to the major support level at 111.365 or continue the higher time frame bearish trend and tap back into 109.690.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up3h ago
XAUUSD 15M: Wait for Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmati
On the 15-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) is holding along an ascending trendline following a sharp recovery from the lower $4,270 support region. Price has pulled back toward the trendline and immediate support, setting up a potential bullish continuation scenario once structural confirmation is achieved. Technical Reference Levels Projected BOS Confirmation Level: ~$4,296.85 (Awaiting Break of Structure Level) Invalidation / Structural Level: ~$4,291.47 (Below the local swing low and trendline support) Upside Target Level: ~$4,348.91 (Key overhead supply area / liquidity target) Technical Setup Logic The technical plan emphasizes patience: waiting for price to break and close above the local resistance high at $4,296.85 to confirm a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). Following a valid BOS, the scenario targets the higher resistance block near $4,348.91, with structural invalidation strictly placed below $4,291.47. Disclaimer & Purpose This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research.
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Follow-up2h agoGOLD ( XAUUSD ) Selling Trade Idea
Hello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up1h ago
SOFI - long idea
Risky trade Support zone $16.20-17 (yellow zone) Tight SL $15.5 TP $24 or wait for daily market structure break for confirmation
TITradingView Ideas - TILatest1h ago
VST idea for longs
Pelosi bought @$180. All below current price is discount zone, but below marked zones is run-a-way place. Buy now or wait for lower prices or wait for Market Structure Break for confirmation
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