Berichterstattung chronologisch
- TIErste Meldung14. Sept., 15:37
GBPUSD
Price had been in a bullish trend, consistently forming Higher Highs (HHs) and Higher Lows (HLs). However, the recent break of the HL resulted in a shift in market structure, with the price subsequently forming a Lower Low (LL) and Lower High (LH). Additionally, a bearish Inverted Cup and Handle pattern has formed, further supporting the potential continuation of the bearish move. Confirmation is expected upon a decisive breakout below the previously established LL. A Sell Stop order has been placed below the matured LL, with the Stop Loss positioned above the previous LH. The trade is targeting the projected Take Profit level based on the measured move of the Inverted Cup and Handle pattern.
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Folgemeldung14. Sept., 16:02GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce In Play
The price has bounced off our buy entry level, which is a pullback support. Our stop loss is set at 1.3429, which is an overlap support. Our take profit is set at 1.3529, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Folgemeldung14. Sept., 19:29GBPUSD | Bearish Retest From Resistance
GBPUSD is currently retesting a key intraday resistance area after breaking below a short-term ascending structure. The market remains below a descending trendline while forming lower highs, suggesting that sellers may still be controlling momentum. The highlighted blue zone represents an important reaction area where bearish pressure could re-enter the market. Key Levels 🔴 Resistance Zone: 1.35000 - 1.35030 🎯 Target 1: 1.34820 🎯 Target 2: 1.34700 🎯 Target 3: 1.34650 - 1.34670 Bearish Scenario A rejection from the current resistance zone could support a continuation toward the lower demand area. ✅ Trendline resistance ✅ Lower-high structure ✅ Previous support acting as resistance ✅ Bearish market structure 📌 A sustained move above resistance would weaken the bearish outlook. This analysis reflects a personal market view and is not financial advice. Risk management is essential. Note: This analysis is for educational purpose only.
TITradingView Ideas- Folgemeldung14. Sept., 19:50
XAGUSD | Bearish Continuation After Resistance Retest
Silver remains under pressure after breaking below the descending channel structure and is currently revisiting a key resistance zone. Price is testing the highlighted blue supply area while trading below the descending trendline. This region may attract sellers again, potentially leading to a continuation move toward the lower support zone. 🔑 Key Levels 🔴 Resistance Zone: 63.20 - 63.45 🎯 Target 1: 62.20 🎯 Target 2: 61.50 🎯 Target 3: 61.10 📉 Bearish Scenario The idea is based on: ✅ Descending channel breakdown ✅ Lower-high structure ✅ Resistance retest ✅ Trendline confluence As long as price remains below the highlighted resistance area, sellers may continue targeting lower support levels. ⚠️ A strong move above resistance would weaken the bearish outlook. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects a personal market view, not financial advice.
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Folgemeldung14. Sept., 20:49GBPUSD
Given the upcoming news regarding the interest rate announcement, hit the sell button as hard as you can.
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Folgemeldung14. Sept., 21:02GBPUSD | Major Supply Zone Rejection, Bearish Scenario Develop
GBPUSD has reacted from a higher timeframe supply zone after an impulsive bullish move. The recent rejection near 1.3640-1.3650 suggests that bullish momentum may be slowing, while price is approaching a key demand/support area highlighted in blue. The chart structure shows a previous descending channel breakdown followed by a strong recovery rally into resistance. If sellers continue defending the higher-timeframe supply zone, a corrective move toward lower support levels becomes a realistic scenario. 🎯 Bearish Targets ✅ Target 1: 1.3450 ✅ Target 2: 1.3400 ✅ Target 3: 1.3290 📊 Technical View 🔹 Strong reaction from major supply zone 🔹 Previous trendline resistance respected 🔹 Potential lower-high formation developing 🔹 Short-term support currently under pressure ⚠️ A sustained move above the supply zone would weaken this bearish outlook and could lead to further upside continuation. This is a market perspective based on current price action and chart structure. Always use proper risk management and wait for your own confirmations.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 05:16Bullish bounce in play?
EUR/AUD has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could rise towards the 1st resistance, which is also a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 1.61643 1st Support: 1.60845 1st Resistance: 1.6277 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 06:23# GBPUSD Week W38-2026: Yield Pushes Toward 5% Yet Price Holds .
# GBPUSD Week W38-2026: Yield Pushes Toward 5% Yet Price Holds Above 1.34308, Bears Have the Story but Not the Setup | 15 September 2026 **Reference data** | week 2026-W38 - Symbol: GBPUSD - Week: 2026-W38 - Bias: bearish - Conviction: skip - Regime: ranging - FX implication: mean_revert - MTF alignment: bearish_mixed - VWAP weekly: 1.35016 - TrendSL weekly: 1.34308 - Thesis snapshot close: 1.34844 - Current market price: 1.34888 (as of 2026-09-15T05:55:00+00:00; source mt5:GBPUSD.sml:1m) - US 10Y yield: 4.96% - US 2Y yield: 4.63% - US 10Y real yield: 2.6% - DXY: bias=bearish, close_price=99.325 ## L0 - Regime Identification The immediate news backdrop heading into this week is striking in its contradiction. The US 10-year Treasury yield rose toward 5%, its highest level since 2007, which mechanically supports the dollar through the interest-rate channel -- higher yields attract foreign capital into US assets, lifting demand for USD. Simultaneously, GBPUSD fell to 1.3474, its lowest print since August 7, as Brent crude rose roughly 3% and safe-haven demand added a second tailwind to the dollar. On the UK side, July GDP printed at +0.4% month-on-month against a flat consensus, led by a matching 0.4% gain in services -- a genuine upside surprise that gives the Bank of England slightly more room to hold rates firm. Both the Federal Reserve decision and the Bank of England decision remained unknown at analysis time, meaning the central-bank story is incomplete. With all of that as backdrop, the regime reads as **ranging** (confidence 0.70). The FX implication of a ranging regime is mean reversion -- price tends to oscillate back toward equilibrium rather than trend cleanly in one direction. That framing matters because it immediately warns against treating the recent dip toward 1.3474 as the beginning of a sustained breakdown. ## L1 - Driver Stack The bearish case rests on a single macro pillar, with everything else either silent or mildly conflicting: -> ** Fed hawkishness / rising real yield (USD bullish):** The causal chain here is straightforward -- the Fed holds a restrictive stance, real yields rise (10Y real yield at 2.6%), which makes holding USD-denominated assets more attractive relative to alternatives, putting downward pressure on GBPUSD as the quote currency. A rising real yield (yield after stripping out inflation expectations) is the most durable form of USD support because it reflects genuine purchasing-power advantage, not just nominal rate noise. -> **BOE vs Fed rate differential as structural context:** The rate differential -- the gap between what each central bank pays -- currently favors the dollar. When that gap widens in USD's favor, carry trades (strategies where traders borrow in lower-yielding currencies to hold higher-yielding ones) structurally disadvantage GBP. However, the July GDP beat keeps BOE rate expectations alive, partially narrowing this differential on the margin. -> **TGA decline partially offsets USD bullish thesis:** The Treasury General Account fell 12.06% over four weeks to $843.7 billion (FRED, as of 2026-09-09). When the TGA drains, those funds flow back into the banking system, which historically eases USD funding conditions and can weigh on the dollar -- this partially conflicts with the hawkish USD thesis. It carries no calibrated directional score this week but cannot be ignored as a counterweight. -> **Price action, COT, and retail positioning: all silent this week.** Retail GBPUSD positioning sits at 54% long / 46% short (fxssi, 2026-09-15) -- close enough to balanced that no contrarian lean exists. When retail is this evenly split, the positioning data offers no additional directional edge. ## L2 - Macro Snapshot The 10Y yield at 4.96% sits just below the 5% threshold that historically triggers broader risk reassessment -- not because 5% is magical, but because it is a round number that concentrates options positioning and forces leveraged portfolios to revisit duration risk. The 2Y yield at 4.63% produces a 10Y-2Y spread of roughly 33 basis points positive, meaning the curve is no longer inverted in this segment -- a shift that has historically coincided with late-cycle USD strength rather than early-cycle weakness. The 10Y real yield at 2.6% is the figure that matters most for GBPUSD: at that level, the dollar offers a meaningful inflation-adjusted return, which sustains structural demand regardless of short-term risk-off fluctuations. The US liquidity proxy (Fed assets minus TGA minus overnight reverse repo) stood at $5,896.5 billion as of 2026-09-09, up $96.7 billion over four weeks. That net expansion in system liquidity is modest but not negligible -- it softens the tightening impulse from high yields. SOFR minus IORB at -3.0 basis points (FRED, 2026-09-11) indicates overnight funding is functioning normally, with no signs of stress that would force a disorderly dollar squeeze. VIX at 17.10 (yfinance, 2026-09-14) sits within the normal range for US equity volatility -- elevated enough to reflect uncertainty around the dual central bank decisions, but not at levels that historically trigger forced position liquidation. The CNN Fear and Greed index at 31/100 (2026-09-15) signals fear in US equities, which typically supports safe-haven dollar demand, though this is a US equity sentiment measure, not a direct FX positioning survey. DXY closed the thesis week at 99.325 with a bearish bias and a deliberate stand-aside conviction -- meaning even the dollar index itself lacks a clean directional signal this week, which matters because a genuinely strong USD impulse would normally show up in DXY first. ## L3 - Technical Structure As of Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 05:55 UTC (source: mt5:GBPUSD.sml:1m, near-realtime), GBPUSD trades at **1.34888**. The thesis snapshot close used as the analytical anchor is 1.34844. Two precomputed structural facts define the current technical picture: First, price at 1.34888 is **below the weekly VWAP at 1.35016**, testing from underneath -- by a margin of roughly 13 pips. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) over a weekly period acts as the fairness benchmark: dealers and institutions use it to assess whether their fills are above or below the week's average cost. Price testing from below the weekly VWAP means sellers currently have the structural advantage at this timeframe, but price has not reclaimed that level. Second, price at 1.34888 is **above the weekly TrendSL at 1.34308**, testing from above -- a gap of approximately 58 pips. The TrendSL (trend stop-loss level) is the threshold below which the medium-term trend structure would flip to confirmed bearish. The fact that price remains above it means the bearish directional label is **not yet confirmed by the technical structure**. This is an existing reality at the time of writing, not a hypothetical. The multi-timeframe alignment reads as bearish-mixed, which in practice means lower timeframes are leaning bearish but higher timeframes have not confirmed -- a setup where momentum traders and trend followers can find themselves on opposite sides of the same trade. ## L4 - Intermarket Cross-Check The DXY cross-reference is instructive. DXY carries a bearish bias with a stand-aside conviction at a close of 99.325 for the week. That combination -- bearish DXY but no actionable setup -- creates a direct tension with the GBPUSD bearish thesis. If the dollar index itself lacks enough confirmation to size a directional position, the case for aggressive GBPUSD shorts built primarily on USD strength becomes harder to defend. A weaker DXY, all else equal, would support GBPUSD rather than press it lower. The multi-timeframe alignment on GBPUSD reads bearish-mixed (mean_revert FX implication). In practical terms, bearish-mixed alignment means the trade idea and the timeframe structure are not in agreement across all horizons -- which historically raises the probability of whipsaws and false breaks. Traders who see the bearish narrative clearly and act on it in isolation, without waiting for timeframe convergence, are most exposed to that whipsaw risk. The mean-revert implication reinforces the ranging regime: any sharp move lower may attract buying interest before a sustained trend develops, and any sharp move higher may be sold back toward the weekly equilibrium. ## L5 - Event Risk This week carries two central bank decisions that will directly determine whether the rate differential story evolves or stalls. All dates below are sourced from ForexFactory calendar data (secondary source, not direct official issuer confirmation): -> UK Claimant Count Change: 15/09/2026 -> UK CPI y/y: 16/09/2026 -> Federal Funds Rate decision: 16/09/2026 -> FOMC Economic Projections: 16/09/2026 -> FOMC Statement: 16/09/2026 -> FOMC Press Conference: 16/09/2026 -> MPC Official Bank Rate Votes: 17/09/2026 -> Official Bank Rate (BOE): 17/09/2026 -> Monetary Policy Summary (BOE): 17/09/2026 | Scenario | Probability | |---|---| | Fed holds, signals fewer cuts in dot plot; BOE holds with hawkish language -- rate differential narrows, GBPUSD recovers toward VWAP | Plausible, consistent with ranging regime | | Fed holds, Powell signals prolonged restrictive stance; BOE cuts or signals cuts -- differential widens, bears get structural confirmation below 1.34308 | Bearish confirmation scenario | | Fed surprises with a cut or strong dovish pivot; BOE holds -- GBP outperforms sharply, bearish thesis collapses | Low probability but tail risk; both outcomes were unknown at analysis time | | Both central banks hold with neutral language -- no resolution, ranging continues, price oscillates between 1.34308 and 1.35016 | Consistent with current regime | Note that both outcomes remained unknown at analysis time. Any positioning taken before these decisions carries binary event risk -- the pair's next 150-200 pip move is effectively locked inside the Fed and BOE announcements on 16-17 September. ## L6 - Conviction Scorecard The overall bias is bearish, but the honest framing of this week's read is that the evidence is not yet convincing enough to size a directional position. The entire bearish case rests on the Fed hawkish / rising real yield signal. Price action contributes nothing confirming. COT data (institutional positioning, which is a lagged survey of futures participants -- note the brief does not specify the exact report week, net-position figure, or release date, so treat it as directional context only) is silent. The DXY itself carries a stand-aside read. Retail positioning is balanced. The technical structure has price above the level that would provide genuine bearish confirmation. That accumulation of non-confirmation is the story -- not a low score on a confidence scale, but a deliberate analytical choice to stand aside until one of the scenarios in L5 resolves. ## L7 - Time Horizon **Near-term (into 16-17 September):** Price at 1.34888 is sandwiched between the weekly TrendSL at 1.34308 below and the weekly VWAP at 1.35016 above, testing underneath the VWAP. Within this window, the Fed and BOE decisions dominate. Direction is essentially binary and event-driven. The mean-revert regime implies that sharp pre-event moves in either direction may partially reverse once the catalyst lands. **2-week horizon (the stated timeline):** If the Fed delivers a hawkish hold with a revised dot plot signaling fewer cuts, the rate differential widens and the bearish thesis gains its first technical confirmation if the weekly close drops below 1.34308. That would be the first moment the bearish label aligns with the price structure. Until then, the ranging regime contains the move. **Medium-term (beyond 2 weeks):** The July UK GDP beat at +0.4% month-on-month is a genuine fundamental counterweight. If the BOE uses it as justification to maintain or raise rates, the rate differential could begin compressing, which would shift the structural bias back toward GBPUSD stability or modest recovery. The medium-term picture depends heavily on whether the 10Y yield sustaining near 5% creates contagion effects (equity stress, credit spread widening) that paradoxically weaken the dollar through risk-off carry unwinds -- a carry unwind being the rapid unwinding of positions where traders borrowed in low-yielding currencies to hold USD assets, which sells USD in the process. ## L8 - Invalidation Conditions -> ** ** Price at 1.34888 is already above the weekly TrendSL at 1.34308. The technical structure contradicts the bearish bias from the outset. The bearish label reflects a macro-driven framework override, not a technically confirmed setup. Treat it accordingly. -> ** ** A weekly close below the TrendSL weekly at 1.34308 would provide the first genuine bearish structural confirmation -- aligning the technical picture with the directional label for the first time this cycle. Without that confirmation, the bearish thesis remains macro-only. -> ** ** Price sustained above the weekly VWAP at 1.35016 would represent short-term momentum moving against the thesis. Readers not currently positioned should wait to see how price resolves around the VWAP before assessing directional exposure. Readers already holding short exposure should reassess their own risk against the 1.34308 and 1.35016 levels as the two structural boundaries that define the current range. **The trader trap this week:** Reading the bearish narrative correctly -- rising yields, hawkish Fed, rate differential favoring USD -- and then entering short before either central bank decision, only to get caught in the BOE or FOMC reaction move that temporarily sends price back through the weekly VWAP at 1.35016. The direction may ultimately prove right over two weeks; the timing around back-to-back central bank events on 16-17 September is where correctly-biased traders historically absorb the most unnecessary drawdown. The ranging regime and mean-revert implication mean the pair can spike 80-100 pips in either direction on the headlines before resuming any underlying trend -- and that spike is where stops get taken before the move resumes. --- *This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.* #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #FXAnalysis #CableForex #USDStrength #BankOfEngland #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #RealYield #ForexWeekly #MacroFX #CentralBanks #FXRegime #TradingView
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 06:49GBPUSD | Bearish Rejection & Downside Potential Setup
GBPUSD | Bearish Rejection & Downside Potential Setup Fundamental View GBPUSD remains under pressure as the U.S. dollar strengthens ahead of the Federal Reserve’s September 15–16 meeting. Markets are now heavily pricing a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike, with Reuters reporting that 85% of economists expect the move. Rising U.S. Treasury yields are also supporting the dollar, with the 10-year yield recently moving above 5%, increasing pressure on GBPUSD. This combination of stronger USD momentum, elevated yields and increased Fed-hike expectations creates a challenging environment for the pound in the short term. Technical View On the 1H chart, GBPUSD is showing a clear bearish structure after rejecting the descending trendline and the 1.35051–1.35111 resistance area. Price is currently trading below the Supertrend, while the descending trendline continues to cap upside attempts. The recent rejection suggests sellers remain active around the resistance/BSL zone. A sustained break below the 1.34634 support area could open the way toward the first target at 1.34386, followed by the broader downside target at 1.33985. SMC View From an SMC perspective, the recent move toward the 1.3500–1.3511 region can be viewed as a potential buy-side liquidity sweep followed by rejection. The failure to hold above the descending trendline strengthens the bearish structure. If sell-side liquidity below 1.34634 is taken decisively, GBPUSD could continue toward the lower liquidity zones around 1.34386 and 1.33985. This Move Is Supported By • Strengthening U.S. dollar • Increased Fed rate-hike expectations • Elevated U.S. Treasury yields • Rejection from the descending trendline • Bearish 1H market structure • Rejection from the 1.35051–1.35111 area • Potential sell-side liquidity below 1.34634 Trading Scenario Bearish Scenario: If GBPUSD remains below 1.35051 and sellers maintain control, the bearish continuation setup remains in focus. A confirmed break below 1.34634 could expose: Target 1: 1.34386 Target 2: 1.33985 Bullish Invalidation Scenario: A sustained move above 1.35111 would weaken the immediate bearish structure and invalidate this setup. A strong breakout above the descending trendline would then require a reassessment of the bearish thesis. Key Levels Resistance: 1.35051 Invalidation: 1.35111 Support: 1.34634 Target 1: 1.34386 Final Target: 1.33985 Professional Insights The 1.35051–1.35111 zone is the key decision area for this setup. As long as GBPUSD remains below this region and the descending trendline, sellers retain the short-term technical advantage. The most important confirmation would be a clean break and acceptance below 1.34634. A temporary wick below support should not automatically be treated as a confirmed breakdown; a sustained move or retest would provide stronger confirmation. Risk Management Major central-bank events can create sharp volatility, liquidity sweeps and false breakouts. Avoid relying solely on one technical level and manage position size according to your individual risk tolerance. The 1.35111 level is the key invalidation for this bearish setup. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, especially around major central-bank decisions. Always conduct your own research and apply appropriate risk management.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 06:54
GBPUSD - 15th September - pre London
Today the GBPUSD pair is mostly ranging, as I'm writing this, the low point liquidity is being swept which may indicate we're going back into a bearish state, if it's not a displacement not just a liquidity sweep from the news - to be confirmed. The 1st zone is the one from yesterday which has now got higher probability since the trend is going its way, even though the price is quite far from it currently. The 2nd zone is a bit lower, there is a price imbalance before which is a good point for the zones, even though I'd prefer to have it even closer to it. It is not on the Point of Control (POC) of the Volume Profile (VP) because what's interesting is a wall in the VP not just the POC itself, and the accumulation which is at the POC level has a low momentum and did not make any clear Market Structure Shift (MSS). Right now the best move of action is just to wait anyway.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 09:23XAUUSD: Bearish Continuation Below Minor Resistance
Educational Breakdown – Bearish Continuation Setup Gold remains in a clear short-term downtrend. 1. Descending Trendline Price continues to respect the descending trendline from the previous highs. 2. Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) Several BOS to the downside confirm strong bearish pressure. 3. Minor Resistance The zone around 4280–4285 is acting as minor resistance. Price is currently trading below it.4. Projected Path The chart suggests a possible small bounce into the minor resistance followed by rejection and continuation lower. Potential Trade Plan (Educational Example): Bias: Bearish Sell Zone: 4275 – 4285 (Minor Resistance) Stop Loss: Above 4300 Take Profit 1: 4240 Take Profit 2: 4210 Risk : Reward ≈ 1 : 2 This is a classic example of price respecting a descending trendline and failing at minor resistance after multiple Breaks of Structure. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk properly.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 10:47
GBPUSD – 1H Execution (4H Bias)|Bullish Trend-Continuation Setup
British Pound remains structurally bullish on the 4H, holding a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows since June. Price is now pulling back into a confluence zone — a rising trendline intersecting a fresh higher-low formation — with RSI printing a bullish divergence at the low (higher RSI low against a similar price low), while the prior swing high carried a bearish RSI divergence that explains the pullback itself. Together this reads as a healthy correction within the broader uptrend rather than a trend change. Bias: Bullish continuation, conditional on confirmation Trigger condition: Alligator mouth opens wide (upside expansion) + break of the prior lower high Entry (Buy Stop): 1.35785 Stop Loss: 1.34538 (~125 pips, below the higher-low structure) Target: 1.38649 (~286 pips) Risk:Reward: ~1:2.3 Management: Take partial profit (50%) near the prior swing high (~1.3660), trail remainder to final target. Structure: price is testing trendline + higher-low confluence following a bearish RSI divergence at the last swing high; a confirmed break above 1.35785 with expanding Alligator lines would validate resumption of the primary uptrend toward 1.386. ⚠️ High-impact event risk this week: UK jobs (Tue), UK CPI + FOMC (Wed), BoE (Thu), UK Retail Sales (Fri) — expect elevated volatility around the trigger zone; confirm breakout holds before relying on execution.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 11:03XAUUSD: Bearish Retest — Will Resistance Reject Price Again?
# XAUUSD: Bearish Retest — Will Resistance Reject Price Again? **Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-minute chart)** Gold is currently showing signs of a bearish market structure. After making lower highs and lower lows, price has started to recover from the recent drop. However, this recovery may simply be a **pullback before another move lower**. ### 🔍 What the chart is telling us Think of the grey zone around **4,284–4,290** as a ceiling. Price previously reacted around this area, and it is now approaching the same zone again. The key question is: **Will buyers break through the ceiling, or will sellers defend it?** The broader structure still favors sellers because: * Price has been making lower highs and lower lows. * The previous rally failed to sustain bullish momentum. * The current upward move may be a retracement into a former support-turned-resistance area. * The marked resistance zone provides a logical area to watch for selling pressure. ### 📉 The bearish scenario If price reaches the 4,284–4,290 zone and shows clear rejection, sellers may attempt to push Gold lower. My projected path is: 1. Price rallies into the resistance zone. 2. Buyers struggle to break above it. 3. A bearish rejection or a break of short-term support confirms selling pressure. 4. Price potentially moves toward **4,270**, followed by the **4,260–4,255** area. These are potential targets, not guaranteed outcomes. ### ⚠️ What would invalidate the idea? If Gold breaks above the resistance area with strong bullish candles and holds above it, the bearish setup becomes weaker. A sustained move above the broader supply area around 4,305–4,317 would further challenge the short-term bearish outlook. ### 🎯 My trading plan I am not interested in selling simply because price has reached the zone. I want to see sellers prove themselves. **Bearish confirmation:** Rejection from resistance, followed by a break of nearby short-term support. **Entry:** After confirmation, preferably on a retest rather than chasing a large bearish candle. **Targets:** 4,270 → 4,260 → 4,255. **Invalidation:** A strong bullish breakout and sustained acceptance above the resistance area. ### 🧠 Simple takeaway Gold is climbing toward a ceiling after falling. The ceiling may push price back down, but we must wait and see whether sellers actually defend it. **Patience first. Confirmation second. Execution last.** *This is a technical analysis scenario, not a guaranteed prediction or financial advice.*
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 12:05Potential bearish setup on USDCHF
If price continues to respect the 4hrs supply level we may potentially see more bearish movement this pair
TITradingView Ideas- Folgemeldung15. Sept., 12:27
Potential bearish setup on GBPAUD
If price continues to respect the 2hrs supply level we may potentially see more bearish movement on this pair.
TITradingView Ideas - Folgemeldung15. Sept., 13:53
Potential bearish setup on DXY
If price continues to respect current structure we may potentially see more bearish movement on the US dollar index
TITradingView Ideas - Folgemeldung15. Sept., 13:58
Potential bullish setup on US30
Price is currently trading towards an extreme 4hrs unmitigated demand level, if price respect said level we may potentially see more bullish movement on this pair
TITradingView Ideas - Folgemeldung15. Sept., 15:49
DXY H4 | Bullish In Play
The price has bounced off our buy entry level at 99.11, a pullback support. Our stop loss is set at 98.67, which is a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 100.3, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TITradingView Ideas - Folgemeldung15. Sept., 19:23
GBPUSD | Demand Zone Reaction Within Bullish Structure
GBPUSD is currently trading near a well-defined demand area around 1.3465 - 1.3470, where buyers have previously shown interest. Price has retraced back into support after failing to sustain momentum near the mid-range resistance zone. The broader structure remains constructive as long as the demand zone continues to hold. The current idea focuses on a potential bullish reaction from support, with price aiming to revisit overhead liquidity and resistance levels highlighted on the chart. 🎯 Bullish Targets ✅ Target 1: 1.3492 ✅ Target 2: 1.3504 ✅ Target 3: 1.3512 🚨 A successful defense of the current support area could provide the momentum needed for a move toward higher resistance zones. ⚠️ This publication represents a market observation and educational chart analysis, not financial advice.
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Folgemeldungvor 18 Std.GBPUSD Bullish Recovery | Support Base & Upside Levels (1H)
GBPUSD is consolidating near the lower boundary of the recent decline after forming a support base around 1.3465–1.3470. Price is attempting to recover from this area, while the descending trendline and nearby resistance remain important for confirmation. 🟦 Support Objective: 1.3465–1.3470 🟢 First Upside Objective: 1.3530 🔵 Key Resistance Objective: 1.3570 📈 Bias: Recovery attempt from support; confirmation needed above resistance. A sustained hold above 1.3465–1.3470 could allow the recovery to develop toward 1.3530. A clean break and hold above the descending trendline would strengthen the structure and bring 1.3570 into focus. A decisive loss of the support zone would invalidate the recovery setup.
TITradingView Ideas- Folgemeldungvor 17 Std.
Bullish bounce in play?
Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise toward the 1st resistance. Pivot: 4,290.41 1st Support: 4,210.80 1st Resistance: 4,391.74 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
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Folgemeldungvor 12 Std.GBPUSD Price Outlook: Rebounds From 0.786 Arc
GBPUSD Price Outlook: British Pound / U.S. Dollar Rebounds From 0.786 Arc | Potential Decline Toward 0.618 Arc
TITradingView Ideas- Folgemeldungvor 7 Std.
Potentially bearish setup on USoil
If price continues to respect the daily supply level we may potentially see more bearish move on this pair
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Folgemeldungvor 4 Std.Dxy
Fomc news might push the dxy higher given it already formed a bullish continuation pattern
TITradingView Ideas- Folgemeldungvor 3 Std.
Dxy
Based on my previous analysis on the dxy, fomc news did it's thing proving once again that the fundamental will always follow the technical
TITradingView Ideas - Folgemeldungvor 3 Std.
Dxy
Price action is gradually getting closer to key value area, a massive downtrend incoming
TITradingView Ideas - Neuestevor 1 Std.
DXY H4 | Bearish Reversal At Pullback Resistance
The price is rising to our sell entry level at 100.47, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension. Our stop loss is set at 100.99, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 100.02, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money
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