Berichterstattung chronologisch
Erste Meldung14. Sept., 23:41USOIL Buy Trade Forecast
π **WTI CRUDE OIL β BUY SETUP** ππ₯ WTI Crude Oil is showing a potential bullish reversal setup after a strong downside move, a break of structure, and a recovery from the recent low. The chart highlights a possible upside move toward the projected target zone, supported by the current bullish momentum and liquidity reaction. π **Asset:** WTI Crude Oil β±οΈ **Timeframe:** 15 Minutes π **Bias:** Bullish / Buy π― **Setup:** Potential Long Opportunity π **Entry Area:** Around 102.10 π **Invalidation:** Below 101.16 π― **Projected Target:** Around 103.95 **Let the setup play out. Patience and discipline matter.** π
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 09:54USOIL (D) β back above $100 inside the monthly supply zone
TVC:USOIL https://www.tradingview.com/x/IQIQWtTT/ WTI crude trades at $103.51 and moves above one hundred for the first time since May, after Thursday's candle opened at $96.88, printed $104.04 and closed at $103.94, a 7.5% advance in a single session. Friday gave part of it back down to $99.98, Monday closed at $101.88 after touching $104.95, and today's session opens at $102.01 and works in the upper part of the range. What matters is where the move comes from. From the August 26 low at $79.62 price has climbed 31.8% to this week's high in under three weeks, and from the July floor at $67.04 the rebound adds up to 54.4%. The moving average stack is ordered upward and wide open, with the EMA 5 ($100.61) and the EMA 9 ($97.66) right below price, the EMA 20 ($92.43) sitting at the breakout area of early September and the EMA 50 ($87.47), the EMA 100 ($85.31) and the EMA 200 ($81.29) far behind. The daily MACD works upward with its main line (5.14) above its signal (3.59) and a histogram at 1.55 that keeps growing. The TRIX keeps its bullish bias, although its strength is starting to fade. The stochastics sit at the very top, with the Stoch 89 (91), the Stoch 50 (92), the Stoch 14 (88) and the Stoch 5 (79), and the Stoch 14 has just crossed below the 89 line in Monday's session. The RSI 14 (71.50) already trades in overbought and the RSI 2 (79) confirms the short term read. Daily structure is bullish, with its last change of character to the upside alive and two active demand zones below. The range reading explains the tension on the chart, because price has exited above the previous range between $79.62 and $93.50 and no longer trades inside it. No volume read is possible, because the reference contract does not publish it. https://www.tradingview.com/x/a6kLYSOa/ Monthly Analysis. The larger timeframe tells the full story of this year and it is where the ceiling that needs respect sits. March opened with a gap at $75, printed the yearly high at $119.48 and closed at $101.55, 51% above the February close, and from there crude spent five months digesting the impulse down to the July low at $67.04. September opens at $86.31 and is already up 19.9%, which puts price back inside the monthly supply block between $101.61 and $107.65, the area where the market turned down in May. The EMA 5 ($90.57), the EMA 9 ($85.62) and the EMA 20 ($79.14) sit below in ascending order, with the EMA 50 ($75.23), the EMA 100 ($72.16) and the EMA 200 ($67.87) acting as the cycle floor. The monthly MACD works upward with its main line (5.20) above its signal (1.90) and a histogram at 3.30, and the TRIX keeps its bullish bias with expanding strength. All four stochastics point upward from the middle zone, with the Stoch 89 (71), the Stoch 50 (57), the Stoch 14 (58) and the Stoch 5 (55), and the RSI 14 (61.90) is not saturated. Monthly structure is bullish with its last change of character to the upside alive, and price trades above the ceiling of its previous range between $63.61 and $94.99. The monthly demand zone holding this entire leg sits between $68.63 and $78.77. https://www.tradingview.com/x/AZhGilGi/ Weekly Analysis. The intermediate timeframe is the one carrying the most strength right now. Last week opened at $92.26, printed $104.46 and closed at $99.98, up 9.6%, and the current one opens at $102.25 and has already touched $104.95. Price trades above the entire stack, with the EMA 5 ($94.93) and the EMA 9 ($90.85) as the first cushion and the EMA 20 ($86.99), the EMA 50 ($80.84), the EMA 100 ($76.83) and the EMA 200 ($74.79) staggered below. The weekly MACD has its main line (3.77) above its signal (2.19) with a histogram at 1.59, and the TRIX is crossed up and expanding, which is the cleanest read of the three frames. All four stochastics point upward, with the Stoch 89 (67), the Stoch 50 (67), the Stoch 14 (88) and the Stoch 5 (89), after the Stoch 14 crossed above the 89 and the 50 lines in the week of August 24. The RSI 14 (61.75) has room and the RSI 2 (94.67) is exhausted in the short term. Weekly structure keeps its change of character to the upside and leaves two active demand zones, the most recent one between $90.09 and $100.50, where the break of one hundred was born. The range reading places price at 69.5% of the run between $67.04 and $119.48, in the expensive half but still far from the ceiling. Crude rises because every week there are more barrels that cannot reach the market and fewer safe routes to move the ones that do. The trigger for Thursday's candle was the precautionary shutdown of Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline after a wave of drone attacks, an infrastructure with a capacity of around seven million barrels per day that serves to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, while the threat spreads toward the Red Sea. OPEC put shut-in production at 6.7 million barrels per day in August, global inventories have been draining for months, and the talks between Iran and the Gulf states to open a temporary shipping corridor through Hormuz have been postponed without a date. The risk sits on the other side of the scale, because the International Energy Agency expects global demand to fall this year, the U.S. EIA places Brent around $90 for the second half and at $77 for the second quarter of 2027 once Gulf production restarts, and the Federal Reserve meets tomorrow with a rate hike almost fully priced. A deal on Hormuz or a pipeline restart would strip the risk premium at once. Key levels: - Resistance 1: $104.95 (high of the week) - Resistance 2: $107.65 (top of the monthly supply) - Resistance 3: $110.30 and $113.97 (weekly supply block and April high) - Yearly high: $119.48 (March) - Dynamic support: $100.61 and $97.66 (daily EMAs 5 and 9) - Support 1: $96.50 (base of the breakout demand) - Support 2: $92.43 and $90.09 (daily EMA 20 and weekly demand base) - Structural support: $88.72-$87.47 (demand zone and daily EMA 50) Setup Rating β 3/5 βββββ (Bullish trend on the three frames and expanding weekly momentum, against an overbought daily, a price sitting inside the monthly supply and a geopolitical premium that can vanish with one headline) β Positive factors: - Price above the entire moving average stack on the daily, the weekly and the monthly - MACD rising on the three frames, with the monthly at 5.20 above 1.90 - Weekly and monthly TRIX crossed up and with expanding strength - Bullish structure with the change of character alive on all three scales - Fresh demand zone between $96.50 and $103.31 left by the breakout candle - More than six million barrels per day off the market and inventories draining β οΈ Cautions: - Daily RSI 14 at 71.50, in overbought, with the Stoch 14 crossed down on Monday - Price inside the monthly supply block from $101.61 to $107.65, where it turned down in May - A 31.8% rise in under three weeks with barely any pullback, and the daily EMAs wide open - Fed tomorrow, the Hormuz corridor under negotiation and a Saudi pipeline that can reopen at any time π As long as daily closes respect the $100.61 to $96.50 area, where the EMA 5 and the base of the demand left by Thursday's candle meet, the impulse stays alive and the normal path is for price to spend several sessions digesting between $96.50 and $107.65 before deciding. A weekly close above $107.65 would take price out of the monthly supply and open the way toward $110.30, the April high at $113.97 and finally the yearly ceiling at $119.48. Having the daily unwind its stochastics sideways without losing the fast averages would be the best possible news for the next leg. π Losing $96.50 on a daily close would leave the break of one hundred as a failure inside the monthly supply and put the focus on the EMA 20 ($92.43) and on the weekly demand base at $90.09. That leg would still be a healthy correction, because it would return price to the inside of the previous range without touching the weekly structure. Only below $88.72 and the daily EMA 50 ($87.47) would the thesis need a review, and the level that would fully invalidate it is the monthly demand zone between $78.77 and $68.63. What else are you watching alongside crude this week: the dollar, energy stocks, gold? π
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 12:50USOIL | $104.21 Could Decide the Next Major Move
WTI crude oil has delivered a powerful bullish move, breaking above several previous resistance levels and reaching the $104 area. However, after such a strong extension, price is now testing an important turning point around 104.21, where the market could either confirm another bullish leg or begin a deeper correction. Technically As long as USOIL remains below 104.21, a corrective move remains possible toward 96.71. The 96.71 level is the first major bearish confirmation area. A confirmed break and stability below it would strengthen the correction toward 92.67. If selling pressure extends beyond this area, the previous breakout structure around 87.23 becomes the deeper support. On the bullish side, a confirmed breakout and stability above 104.21 would signal that buyers are regaining control and could extend the rally toward 109.32. A further breakout above 109.32 would expose the upper bullish target around 113.02. Turning Point: 104.21 Bullish Targets: 109.32 β 113.02 Bearish Supports: 96.71 β 92.67 β 87.23
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 14:20
USOIL
ANALYSIS :- USOIL is currently in a bullish trend, consistently forming Higher Highs (HHs) and Higher Lows (HLs). However, bearish divergence has developed on the 4H timeframe, accompanied by a potential reversal pattern in the form of a Double Top. TRADE EXECUTION :- This is currently a wait-and-watch scenario. The trade will be executed through a Sell Stop order upon a confirmed breakdown below the HL, which also serves as the neckline of the Double Top pattern.
TITradingView Ideas - TIFolgemeldungvor 18 Std.
USOIL goes up more
Dipit may be a rapist responsible for destroying this timeline but that won't stop USOIL from mooning!
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Folgemeldungvor 11 Std.USOIL 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Detected )
HANZO MARKET LIQUIDITY REPORT USDJPY Timeframe: 30min (Volume Basis) Scale: Higher Timeframe Context / Deep Volume analysis ββββββββββββββββββββββ Market Observation This analysis is focusing on structural behavior, liquidity zones, Volume analysis and key areas of interest within the current range. ββββββββββββββββββββββ Market Bias Full liquidity Map ββββββββββββββββββββββ π₯Bearish Reversal Key Volume Zone : 104.45 Area ββββββββββββββββββββββ Structure Factors: β’ Higher timeframe Volume reaction level β’ High-volume / Hidden β’ Range Defend structure β’ Volume Stacking β’ Quarter Volume
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Folgemeldungvor 10 Std.USOIL BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
https://www.tradingview.com/x/34xozOpe/ USOIL SIGNAL Trade Direction: long Entry Level: 103.42 Target Level: 106.57 Stop Loss: 101.32 RISK PROFILE Risk level: medium Suggested risk: 1% Timeframe: 1h Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. β LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASβ
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Folgemeldungvor 8 Std.USOil Above $100: Can Price Break $104.40?
US Oil has extended last weekβs breakout, moving through $93, clearing the psychological $100 area and testing resistance around $104.40. Supply concerns remain an important part of the broader bullish story, including disruptions affecting Saudi and Libyan exports and reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The practical question now is whether the market is still pricing in further supply risk or whether much of that risk is already reflected in the current price. On the Four Hour chart, $99 is the nearest important support, while $104.40 remains the immediate upside test. On the One Hour chart, price is moving within a short-term ascending structure between approximately $101 and $104.40. Key scenarios: β’ A break and hold above $104.40 would strengthen the continuation case. β’ A move below $101 and the ascending trendline would suggest that short-term momentum is weakening. β’ The $99 to $99.50 area could then become an important test of buyer interest. β’ Sustained weakness below $99 could bring $95.50 into focus as a deeper correction area. Todayβs EIA Crude Oil Inventories report could provide a fresh test for the current supply-driven move. The focus is not on predicting the report, but on observing how price responds around these levels before and after the release. This analysis is for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.
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Neuestevor 4 Std.USOIL (WTI Crude Oil): Bullish Liquidity Sweep & Demand Re-test
Following a strong bullish surge that expanded through multiple Break of Structure (BOS) levels, price swept Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) near 106.65 before pulling back sharply to mitigate internal demand and sweep local Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) around 102.44. Price is currently tapping into a high-confluence discount region, offering a long setup aligned with the broader institutional trend. Institutional Market Structure (SMC) Breakdown Liquidity Sweep (SSL Captured): Price aggressively raided the sell-side liquidity pool around 102.44, clearing out weak long stops and filling institutional orders into key support. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Confluence: The primary structural accumulation zone sits inside the $101.00β$102.00 imbalance block, aligning with prior structural demand. Order Flow Alignment: The higher timeframe macro structure remains firmly bullish after successive BOS markers on the expansion leg. This current move represents a deep discount retracement to target equal highs and fresh Buy-Side Liquidity. Execution Plan Trade Type: Long / Buy Limit Setup Entry Zone: $102.50 β $102.55 Stop Loss (SL): $100.66 (below the previous low & sub-101.00 liquidity sweep level) Take Profit (TP / BSL Target): $106.65 (High-timeframe Buy-Side Liquidity pool) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~2.17 R Fundamental Drivers Geopolitical Risk Premium: Supply disruption fears in the Middle East and physical shipping bottlenecks through key global chokepoints maintain an underlying bid under physical crude markets. Inventory Noise vs. Macro Trend: Today's temporary intraday pullback was triggered by a short-term U.S. commercial inventory build, creating a transient discount within an otherwise tight global balance. Disclaimer: Educational analysis based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles. Always enforce strict risk management.
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