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The Ceuta effect: how far will Europe's anti-migrant backlash go?

As the United States threatens Europe with more tariffs and eyes Greenland, as Russia tests the continent’s resolve over Ukraine, as the planet overheats,  where do citizens sense the biggest threat? In her Wednesday state of the EU speech, the Commission president addressed Ursula von der Leyen going big on manning the borders, literally suggesting new tools to better deal with migration, particularly after July’s run on Ceuta,  where over two days, tens of thousands of mostly Moroccans overran Spain’s North African enclave.

France 24France 24François PICARD17 Sept

UNHCR Spain Fact Sheet, February 2026

Countries: Spain, Canary Islands (Spain), Colombia, Cuba, Nicaragua, Peru, Syrian Arab Republic, Ukraine, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of), World Source: UN High Commissioner for Refugees Please refer to the attached file. In 2025, 36,775 people arrived in Spain by land and sea, 43% less than in 2024. Around 52% arrived through the West Mediterranean route and 48% through the West Africa Atlantic route. Most common nationalities included Mali, Senegal and Guinea among arrivals in the Canary Islands, and Algeria, Morocco and Somalia in the rest of the country. Sea arrivals to the Balearic Islands increased by 24% in comparison to 2024, with more nationals from Somalia and Mali traveling from Algeria. In the Canary Islands, there was a significant rise in the proportion of women arriving by boat, while children continue to represent a substantial share. Also noteworthy is the increase of Sudanese nationals arriving in Ceuta. During the same period, around 144,400 people applied for asylum in Spain, mostly from Venezuela, Mali and Colombia. There was a notable increase in asylum applications from Venezuelans compared to 2024. Meanwhile, around 30,300 people received temporary protection in Spain, mainly Ukrainian refugees.

ReliefWebReliefWebUN High Commissioner for Refugees15 Sept