
August CPI Puts Fed Policy in Focus as Hike Odds Reach 90%
CME FedWatch shows a 90% market-implied chance of a Fed hike after hotter August core CPI, while crypto implications remain uncertain.

CME FedWatch shows a 90% market-implied chance of a Fed hike after hotter August core CPI, while crypto implications remain uncertain.

The recent spike in crude oil prices will likely result in a fresh rate hike by the Fed this week, according to data from CME Group, cited by The National today. As much as 90% of respondents from trading circles expect a rate hike of 25 basis points, after last week, the European Central Bank hiked interest rates by the same amount. “The conflict in the Middle East continues to generate inflation pressures, and inflation is set to remain well above target for an extended period,” the ECB said in its decision. “People are finally…

SGX's CFTC approval could reshape US crypto trading, offering regulated access to perpetual futures and challenging CME's market dominance.

Market uncertainty grows as differing Fed rate forecasts could lead to significant bond market repricing and economic volatility.

CME's legal battle could reshape regulatory landscapes, influencing the future of crypto derivatives and competitive dynamics in global markets.

CME's entry into Treasury clearing could reshape market dynamics, challenging FICC's dominance and potentially lowering transaction costs.

CME FedWatch puts September hike odds near 56%, but Treasury yields—not Bitcoin—show the clearest reaction to Fed repricing so far.

The Hyperliquid Policy Center accused CME Group of stifling innovation and urged a court to dismiss the exchange’s lawsuit against the CFTC.

The Hyperliquid Policy Center has asked a federal court to dismiss CME Group’s lawsuit against the CFTC, arguing that the derivatives exchange lacks standing and cannot rely on the Commodity Exchange Act provisions cited in its complaint. Hyperliquid policy group…

CME FedWatch puts September’s 25-basis-point Fed hike odds near 56% after Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, while Bitcoin impact remains unconfirmed.

Institutional focus on interest rate products signals heightened market volatility expectations, influencing broader financial strategies and stability.

SOL ETFs stayed net positive in the week ending Sept. 4, while a separate Sept. 1 snapshot showed reduced net short exposure.
CME FedWatch odds for a September Fed rate hike fell to 50/50 Friday as Bitcoin extended its rally toward $82,000.

The CFTC’s lawyers called the lawsuit “much ado about nothing,“ claiming that the CME Group lacked standing to file and argued against its claims over crypto perpetual futures.

CFTC said that CME is free to list crypto perps to avoid its self-inflicted 'competitive injury'

The regulator argues that CME cannot challenge its approval of Kalshi’s Bitcoin perpetual contract without showing concrete financial harm.

The expansion of power futures by Nodal Exchange highlights the growing importance of energy markets amid technological advancements.


CME FedWatch odds for a September rate hike have surged past 66% after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech and oil prices driven above $90 by the Iran conflict. Bitcoin is holding $78,000 after a 25% August rally,…

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)is seeking a dismissal of the lawsuit filed by CME Group against Kalshi’s Bitcoin perpetual futures in a federal court. The Commission asserts that CME does not have standing because the Commission has failed to demonstrate any actual competitive injury caused by its approval of