
Goverment Shutdown 2026 Odds Fall as Markets Split the October 1 Risk
Government shutdown odds fell on Kalshi while Polymarket showed a split picture, offering crypto traders a dated read on fiscal risk.

Government shutdown odds fell on Kalshi while Polymarket showed a split picture, offering crypto traders a dated read on fiscal risk.

Kalshi blocked Washington users and requested reconsideration as the CFTC prepares new federal rules governing prediction markets.

XRP traders on Kalshi are heavily betting on a further upside move to $1.70 this month after it rallied by nearly 60% over the last week.


CME Chairman Terry Duffy and Kalshi co-founder Luana Lopes Lara traded insults at a CFTC roundtable over whether prediction markets are legitimate financial infrastructure or carnival games. The confrontation is the public face of a deeper regulatory battle between federal…

Kalshi is filing with the CFTC for a regulated perpetual futures contract on copper spot prices using Pyth Network data.

Kalshi’s crypto perpetual futures hit $17.98 million in daily open interest, highlighting regulated leverage and risks distinct from prediction markets.

A CFTC ommittee meeting exposed a sharp divide between the worlds of traditional finance and prediction market platforms.

CME Group Chairman Terry Duffy and Kalshi co-founder Luana Lopes Lara traded barbs during a CFTC meeting over prediction markets, manipulation, and regulatory standards.

Kalshi's study enhances prediction market credibility, suggesting they can outperform traditional forecasts, impacting financial strategies.

Kalshi prices a one-in-six chance of an October 2026 shutdown, offering crypto traders a dated gauge of Washington macro risk.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Innovation Advisory Committee holds its first meeting Thursday, with prediction markets on the agenda. Seven of its 35 members run companies at the center of the event-contract fight the agency is waging against nine state governments. Seven Seats for the Event-Contract Industry The CFTC’s Innovation Advisory Committee convenes for the […]

Kalshi has asked the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to approve perpetual futures tied to a U.S. large-cap stock index and the price of copper, extending its push from prediction markets into mainstream financial products. The two Aug. 18 filings seek permission to list the US500 and COPPERPERP contracts. KalshiEX LLC is a CFTC-registered designated […]

The prediction market operator is seeking CFTC approval for a copper perpetual as it moves further into traditional derivatives markets.

Institutional access to prediction markets could transform them into a mainstream asset class, enhancing liquidity and competitive dynamics.


Kalshi has asked the CFTC to approve perpetual futures tracking a 500 company U.S. stock index and the spot price of copper.

Polymarket US began processing multi-leg sports contracts on Aug. 5 through an API-only beta that never surfaced in its consumer app. The launch lands as rival Kalshi is reported to be extending maker fees to its own parlay product, a change its published fee schedule does not list. An API-Only Launch 11 Weeks After Certification […]

Kalshi has filed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to offer perps tied to the MerQube US Large Cap Index and copper.
Kalshi filed with the CFTC to launch stock index and copper perpetuals, extending crypto's leverage model into equities.