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New special envoy for Britons detained overseas warns of limits of role

Alistair Burt speaks candidly about difficulties of tackling complex cases as families express concern over mandate The special envoy for British citizens detained overseas has spoken about the difficulties he faces in his new role, as families express concern over the position’s mandate in complex consular cases. In his first public engagement, Alistair Burt , the former Conservative Middle East minister, spoke candidly about the difficulties and limitations of the new appointment, made following years of mounting criticism of how the Foreign Office handled the cases of British citizens detained overseas. Continue reading...

The GuardianThe GuardianGeneva Abdul14 Sept

WTI Crude Oil: news flow leaning bullish — the net read

WTI Crude Oil did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: +++ Indonesian Rupiah slips due to stronger US Dollar, soaring oil prices +++ Equities: Resilience versus rates and Oil shock – Danske Bank +++ Iran says it destroys U.S. advanced drone over Hormuz as Middle East conflict intensifies 78 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: +++ leaning bullish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

Expectations vs Reality: Oil and the Dollar

The disconnect between Wall Street expectations and how policies actually played out created the macro whiplash seen across both charts: ]The Trade: What Markets Priced In Late 2024 The Drill Baby Drill Assumption: Consensus expected a supply flood from deregulation and quick federal leasing, crushing crude prices into the dirt around 50 to 60 dollars sustained. The Unstoppable King Dollar: Traders bet broad tariffs and deregulation would spark a roaring domestic boom, forcing the Fed to freeze rate cuts while blowing out foreign competitors, sending DXY vertical. The Reality: What Actually Happened in 2025 and 2026 Sanctions and Geopolitics Trumped Deregulation: Slapping sanctions back onto Russian flows, tightening squeeze points on Venezuelan barrels, and escalating Middle East friction choked physical supply far faster than domestic drillers could ever add rigs. Plus, US producers kept capital discipline rather than reckless overdrilling. Supply tightened, and oil ripped. Aggressive Tariffs Acted as a Drag, Not Pure Dollar Fuel: The sweeping, shifting tariff regime and trade frictions with Canada, Europe, and Asia created massive supply chain uncertainty and weighed on US domestic growth earlier in the year. The Deficit and De Dollarization Friction: Ballooning national debt and unpredictable trade posture pushed several trading partners toward non dollar settlements, taking the steam out of that late 2024 dollar rally and allowing DXY to bleed down toward 98. The Currency Stance Itself: Markets initially forgot that the administration historically expressed frustration with an overly strong dollar making US exports uncompetitive. Wall Street positioned for a low energy, super dollar boom. Instead, physical supply dictated oil, and domestic growth drag capped the greenback until energy inflation recently forced the bond market to wake back up. Touching on the Daily: DXY Looking Noticeably Stronger Now that oil has held near triple digits, the inflation lag is catching up and driving bond yields higher. That is putting a real floor under the dollar. On the daily chart(not shown), TVC:DXY is showing clear signs of bottoming. The red selling pressure on momentum indicators is gone, RSI is curling upward from oversold territory, and price is directly testing the downward trendline near the 100 level. While crude takes a slight breather at the top of its channel, the daily dollar setup looks ready to push. If DXY clears the 100 resistance mark, the feedback loop is back in play: high oil sparks inflation, yields rise, and the dollar follows crude higher. TGtg!

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept