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NVIDIA — Trapped Inside the Range

🟢 NVIDIA has been moving inside a broad bullish structure after a strong recovery from the previous lows. Price is now consolidating within the larger range, with buyers continuing to defend the lower zone. The recent move has brought price back toward the middle of the structure, while the marked kink and upper zone remain the key areas for the next major decision. 🏆 This is our first analysis of NVIDIA. 📈 Bullish scenario The overall structure remains constructive as long as the main lower zone continues to hold. Price has been respecting the range and is now building another base after the recent pullback. If NVIDIA can reclaim the kink and break above the upper resistance zone, the current sideways structure could finally resolve to the upside. A clean breakout would open the way for another bullish expansion toward the next marked zone. Kink reclaim → resistance breakout → bullish expansion. 📉 Bearish scenario The main risk for buyers is a breakdown through the current lower zone. Losing this area would weaken the structure and could turn the ongoing consolidation into a deeper retracement. If the lower zone fails, the next kink below becomes the important area to watch. A break through that level could accelerate the downside and bring the major demand zone back into focus. Zone breakdown → kink loss → deeper downside. 🎯 Outlook NVIDIA is currently trapped inside a large structure, with the kink acting as an important decision point between continued consolidation and a new bullish expansion. The bulls have a clear path: defend the lower zone, reclaim the kink, and break the upper resistance. Until that happens, the range remains the battlefield. Hold the lower zone → bullish structure remains intact. Reclaim the kink → momentum starts shifting higher. Break the upper zone → further upside opens up. Lose the lower zone → deeper downside becomes likely. Sideways compression → kink reclaim → breakout watch.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

AI Boom Stumbles: Chipmakers Lose Nearly 6%

It took just one trading session for the semiconductor sector to lose nearly 6% of its value . On September 14, the PHLX Semiconductor Index fell 5.9%, while #NVIDIA shares dropped around 3.4% and #Micron fell more than 5% . The pressure spread across the broader technology market as well, with the Nasdaq ending the day lower. The main trigger came from warnings issued by AI company executives. Following concerns about the risks of technology developing too quickly, investors seriously began asking for the first time in a while: what will happen to chipmakers if massive spending on artificial intelligence starts to slow down? What spooked investors: 1. The market has started reassessing future demand . #NVIDIA and #Micron have been among the biggest beneficiaries of data center construction and growing demand for computing power. Even a hint of a potential slowdown in AI investment is prompting investors to take a more cautious view of future processor and memory sales. 2. High interest rates are adding pressure . The yield on 10-year US government bonds briefly exceeded 5% , while expectations of another Fed rate hike remain elevated. The more expensive money becomes, the harder it is for technology stocks to justify high valuations. 3. Investors are taking profits after a strong rally . The semiconductor sector remains one of the year's top performers and, even after the sell-off, is still up around 57% since January . Against this backdrop, the emergence of a new risk provided a convenient reason to close some profitable positions. The problem for the market is that current high valuations of technology companies already largely assume that AI investment will continue growing rapidly . As companies consistently increased spending on equipment and data centers, this scenario worked in favor of chipmakers. Now, the market has to consider the opposite possibility as well. At the same time, it is still too early to talk about the end of the AI boom. Demand for computing power remains high, and a single day of selling does not change the long-term trend. However, the nearly 6% decline showed just how sensitive the sector has become to any doubts about the future pace of artificial intelligence spending. According to FreshForex analysts, as long as pressure on chipmakers persists, it will be harder for #NQ100 to reach new highs . If US Treasury yields remain around 5% and concerns about a slowdown in AI investment intensify, pressure on the technology index could continue.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept
TI

Nvidia’s Biggest Fed Risk Isn’t Its Debt — It’s AI CapEx

NASDAQ:NVDA may look exposed ahead of the Fed meeting, but not for the reason many investors think. Nvidia’s balance sheet is still strong. The company holds about $56.6B in cash and liquid securities, excluding another $42.8B in marketable equity securities. Its recently issued senior notes are largely fixed-rate, so a 25-bps Fed hike should have little direct impact on interest expense. The real risk is on the demand side. Data Center now contributes roughly 92.5% of Nvidia’s total revenue. That makes NVDA one of the clearest beneficiaries of the AI infrastructure boom—but also one of the most sensitive names if hyperscalers slow data-center construction or AI spending. The transmission mechanism is simple: Fed hikes → higher cost of capital → higher hurdle rates for data-center projects → slower AI CapEx growth → weaker GPU demand. A single 25-bps hike probably won’t derail the AI cycle. The risk would rise if tightening continues toward 75–100 bps cumulatively, because that could start affecting project economics across the hyperscaler ecosystem. NVDA also still faces heavy working-capital commitments tied to wafer capacity, HBM, advanced packaging, system inventory and supply reservations. Those commitments matter if customer deployments get pushed out. So the key takeaway for NVDA is: Low direct rate risk, but very high indirect exposure to AI CapEx. As long as NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:GOOGL , NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:META and other hyperscalers keep spending aggressively, the Nvidia growth story remains intact. If that spending cycle slows, NVDA could feel it quickly.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

NVIDIA vs Broadcom: Which AI Leader Would You Buy Today?

Two AI giants. Two important EMA 50 tests. One choice. 🔵 Broadcom (AVGO) is trading around $345–346, below its weekly EMA 50 near $363. Reclaiming that level would strengthen the long-term setup. 🟢 NVIDIA (NVDA) is trading around $211–212, testing its daily EMA 50. A confirmed rebound could restart momentum, while a breakdown may open the door to a deeper pullback. Both companies remain major players in the AI infrastructure boom—but if you could own only one today, which would you choose? 🔥 Team NVIDIA or Team Broadcom? Drop your vote in the comments and tell the TradingView community why. Share this chart and challenge another investor to make their choice! For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Laurent - Private Investor ✅ DL INVEST | Community Leader

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept