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Silver (XAG/USD): news flow leaning bearish — the net read

Silver (XAG/USD) did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: −− Hawkish Fed lifts dollar to seven-week high; markets brace for BOE, BOJ − Japanese Yen outperforms as BoJ’s policy takes centre stage − Analysis-Fed builds credibility, but hawkish turn leaves investors edgy (fading) 64 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas18h ago

USD/CAD: Bullish Flag After the News

After last night’s news and speeches, FX:USDCAD USD/CAD continued its previous bullish trend. The move was strong, but since the Asian session, price has entered a period of consolidation and is now forming a Bullish Flag on the M15 timeframe. For me, this is an important part of the setup. A strong move followed by a controlled correction can create the conditions for another continuation. But the flag itself is not an entry signal. I want the market to prove that buyers are still in control. Trading Setup Main Scenario — Bullish Continuation I’m watching for a clean breakout from the upper boundary of the flag. The preferred sequence is: Breakout → Retest → Bullish Price Action → Entry A strong breakout without a retest can still work, but chasing the first candle is not the approach I prefer. If price breaks the flag and successfully holds the broken resistance as support, the continuation setup becomes more interesting. Alternative Scenario If the flag breaks to the downside and price starts accepting below the structure, the bullish continuation setup loses strength. In that case, I would rather reassess the market than force a long position. A corrective flag can become a reversal structure if buyers fail to defend it. Why the Market Is Interesting Now The latest move came after the Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%. The decision initially strengthened the U.S. Dollar, with the Dollar reaching a seven-week high before giving back part of the move. CXM:DOLLAR USD/ BMFBOVESPA:CAD1! CAD is also sensitive to oil because Canada is a major oil exporter. Recent weakness in oil prices has removed some support for the Canadian Dollar, while the Fed's more hawkish stance has supported the U.S. Dollar. That gives us an interesting combination to watch: Fed → USD strength Oil → CAD strength/weakness Price Action → Confirmation The fundamental picture can support the directional idea, but the entry still comes from the chart. My Approach I don't want to buy simply because the trend is bullish. I want to see the correction finish. Bullish Flag → Breakout → Retest → Confirmation If that sequence appears, the setup becomes much cleaner. If the structure breaks down, we reassess. The market has already made its move. Now I want to see what it does with the consolidation. Risk Warning: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forex trading involves substantial risk, particularly when leverage is used. Always define your risk before entering a position.

TITradingView Ideas18h ago

USD/CAD: news flow leaning bullish — the net read

USD/CAD did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: ++ Gold at $4,357 faces resistance wall in bearish regime: Live levels ++ Treasury yields move lower after Fed kicks off hiking cycle + Hawkish Fed lifts dollar to seven-week high; markets brace for BOE, BOJ 81 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: +++ leaning bullish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas18h ago

Gold 1H: Liquidity Sweep Below Zone Buy Signals Reversal

Gold just delivered one of the cleanest SMC signals there is — a liquidity sweep — and it's worth breaking down for anyone learning to spot these setups. After rejecting from a Demand Zone near 4,440–4,460, gold declined through several CHoCH shifts, with small EQH/EQL liquidity pockets forming along the way, eventually reaching the Zone Buy around 4,258–4,289. Price bounced from there and ran up to Target 1 near 4,400 — a solid recovery. But that bounce didn't hold. Gold reversed sharply, dropping back down through the fib retracement levels (0.5, 0.618, 0.786) and this time didn't stop at the Zone Buy — it pushed straight through it, wicking down into a pool of resting orders marked clearly on the chart as Liquidity, near 4,242 (below the 1.0 fib). This is exactly what a liquidity sweep looks like: price dips below an obvious support level — where stop-losses and pending sell orders tend to cluster — grabs that liquidity, and then snaps back just as quickly. Right after the sweep, gold printed a CHoCH near 4,320, confirming the momentum had flipped back to the upside. Since then, price has recovered nicely, now trading around 4,318 and working back up through the 0.382–0.5 fib zone. If this reversal holds, the next logical step is a retest of Target 1 near 4,400, and if that clears, a further push back toward the old Demand Zone (4,440–4,460) and possibly the Strong High near 4,510. The invalidation here is straightforward: if gold breaks back below the Liquidity zone near 4,242, this reversal thesis fails and deeper downside becomes the priority. For beginners: liquidity sweeps are a core SMC concept — smart money often needs to "grab" liquidity below a support level before it can push the market meaningfully higher. 💬 Do you think this liquidity sweep marks the real bottom, or does gold need to retest that low again before pushing higher?

TITradingView Ideas18h ago

USDCHF Price Forecast: Potential Advance Toward 0.8291

USDCHF Price Forecast: U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc Breaks Above 1 (100%) Arc | Potential Advance Toward 0.8291 Market Outlook Price has broken above the 1 (100%) Resistance Arc, confirming a bullish breakout within the current Arc Cycle. A sustained breakout above the Resistance Arc supports continued movement toward 0.8291 price. Conversely, a sustained 2h close back below 0.8240 would weaken the breakout scenario and could shift the outlook back toward the previous Support Arc.

TITradingView Ideas18h ago

EXXON MOBIL entering a parabolic phase to $280.

Exxon Mobil (XOM) has been on a very bullish setup since its April 07 2025 Low (bottom of the U.S. - China trade war) as that was when it touched its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and rebounded and more recently (June 22 2026) it almost hit its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and rebounded. This sequence resembles the November 2020 - November 2022 pattern when under identical 1W RSI and MACD fractals, the market went on a two-phase Bull Cycle that peaked on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension from the first High. With the price rebounding as mentioned recently on its 1W MA50, it appears that we are currently on the 2nd phase of the current Cycle, technically just starting the new parabolic rally. If that also targets the 1.786 Fib ext from the March 30 2026 High, then expect to see $280 in 2027. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇

TITradingView Ideas19h ago

CAD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT

https://www.tradingview.com/x/ABPsa3oh/ Hello, Friends! CAD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.587 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅

TITradingView Ideas19h ago

Bitcoin 15M | Rising Channel and Key Price Levels

Bitcoin is trading around 76,343 on the 15-minute timeframe. Price has developed a rising channel after recovering from the 75,000–75,300 area, with a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The upper side of the structure is near 77,250, while the lower channel area is around 76,000–76,100. The chart projection highlights 76,500, 76,750, and 77,250 as upside reference levels. If the channel weakens, the lower levels to monitor are 75,750, 75,250, 75,000, and 74,750. The key focus is the reaction around 77,250 resistance and the ability of price to maintain the current rising structure.

TITradingView Ideas19h ago

UPTREND: Uptrend identification

6 WAYS TO IDENTIFY A TRUE UPTREND Structure, liquidity and displacement — a practical SMC framework for understanding bullish price action. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ INTRODUCTION Most traders identify an uptrend by looking for: • Higher Highs • Higher Lows • Moving averages • Resistance breakouts • Increasing volume But Smart Money Concepts looks deeper. Instead of asking: “Is price going up?” Ask: “Why is price going up, where is the liquidity, and what confirms continuation?” Here are 6 concepts I use to read a potential bullish environment. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 01 — MARKET STRUCTURE HH + HL = THE FOUNDATION A bullish market structure develops through: • Higher Highs (HH) • Higher Lows (HL) • Protected swing lows • Continuous structural progression But there is an important distinction. Not every HL is an immediate long opportunity. Price can create inducement before reaching the real area of interest. Structure gives the bias. Liquidity gives the context. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 02 — PREMIUM vs DISCOUNT WHERE IS PRICE INSIDE THE DEALING RANGE? Instead of blindly buying because price looks bullish, identify the current dealing range . • Premium → Upper half • Equilibrium → 50% midpoint • Discount → Lower half For deeper retracements, OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) can provide additional confluence. But remember: DISCOUNT ≠ AUTOMATIC BUY Location tells you where to look. Confirmation tells you when to act. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 03 — LIQUIDITY SWEEP → CHoCH / MSS WATCH THE SEQUENCE A bullish shift can develop through: Liquidity → Sweep → Displacement → CHoCH/MSS Look for: • Sell-Side Liquidity being taken • Strong bullish displacement • CHoCH / MSS • Follow-through above relevant structure The sweep itself is not the confirmation. The structural shift is what matters. Don't buy the sweep. Read the shift. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 04 — LIQUIDITY SWEEP vs GENUINE BOS NOT EVERY BREAKOUT IS CONTINUATION Price can break above an obvious high, take Buy-Side Liquidity , and then reverse. A more meaningful bullish BOS should ideally show: • Strong displacement • Break of relevant structure • Acceptance beyond the level • Retest / reaction • Continuation WICK THROUGH A LEVEL ≠ STRUCTURAL CONFIRMATION Always analyse the context around the breakout. Context matters. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 05 — DISPLACEMENT + FVG FOLLOW THE EXPANSION Strong price expansion can leave behind an imbalance known as a Fair Value Gap (FVG) . Look for: • Consolidation • Bullish displacement • FVG formation • Increased market participation • Continuation with structure An FVG alone is not an entry signal. Ask: “What caused the displacement?” The imbalance becomes more meaningful when it aligns with structure and liquidity. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 06 — HIGHER-TIMEFRAME STRUCTURE BIAS START WITH THE BIGGER PICTURE Before dropping to M1, M5 or M15, understand the higher-timeframe narrative. Ask: • Is HTF structure bullish? • Are HHs and HLs forming? • Where is external Liquidity ? • Where are the major Order Blocks ? • Are FVGs supporting the structure? Moving averages can help visualize direction. But they should support your analysis — not replace price structure. PRICE STRUCTURE > INDICATOR DEPENDENCY ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ THE CHAMP_OF_GOLD BULLISH CHECKLIST Before considering a bullish setup: ✓ HTF bullish structure ✓ Liquidity identified ✓ Sweep / inducement understood ✓ CHoCH / MSS confirmation ✓ Bullish displacement ✓ Order Block / FVG confluence ✓ Logical dealing-range location ✓ Clear invalidation No single concept creates the setup. Confluence creates the narrative. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ THE COMPLETE SMC FLOW LIQUIDITY ↓ SWEEP ↓ CHoCH / MSS ↓ DISPLACEMENT ↓ ORDER BLOCK / FVG ↓ CONTINUATION Don't chase the move. Understand the reason behind it. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ YOUR TURN 👇 Which confirmation do you pay the most attention to? Liquidity Sweep • CHoCH/MSS • BOS • Order Block • FVG Share your view in the comments. If you enjoy this type of SMC education, follow Champ_of_Gold for more market-structure breakdowns and educational ideas. Educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas19h ago

XAU/USD: THE $4,275 SUPPORT SWEEP & $4,415 EXPANSION!

🚀 Testing lower structure near 4,311.550! Are you panic-selling this pullback into horizontal demand, or locked in for the multi-wave dip-and-surge to overhead resistance? 🤔 Gold is executing a localized retracement back toward its primary horizontal Support line floor on this 1-hour OANDA chart. Spot gold is trading around 4,311.550, drifting down to test the verified $4,275.00 - $4,280.00 demand zone. Institutional buyers are stepping in along this horizontal boundary to absorb sell-side liquidity before initiating a powerful multi-wave expansion campaign back up toward the upper descending Resistance line. 📈💥 Look closely at the black blueprint trajectory mapping out the coming sessions. The algorithm projects a textbook multi-wave accumulation, retest, and expansion sequence: • An initial localized flush pulling price down to test the horizontal Support line floor near $4,275.00 - $4,280.00 to sweep retail sell stops and fill institutional buy orders. 🧹 • An immediate high-velocity impulse rebound surging off support to push toward the $4,350.00 - $4,360.00 region. ⚡ • A healthy higher-low pullback dipping back toward $4,315.00 - $4,320.00 to confirm structural support and absorb remaining sell liquidity. 🌊 • Final acceleration surge driving straight up to target the primary overhead descending Resistance line ceiling near 4,410.000 - 4,420.000. 🎯🏹 Maintaining technical patience and aligning with trendline demand is your ultimate superpower in this setup. Trying to short directly into a verified horizontal support floor following a sharp decline is a fast track to getting caught in an aggressive mean-reversion squeeze. Smart money is waiting for this dip into $4,275 support to finalize before scaling into long position blocks alongside the expansion flow. 🧘‍♂️⚡ 🛠 Trade Parameters: 🛒 Long Zone: 4,275.00 - 4,290.00 🛍️ 🛑 Stop-Loss: 1h close below 4,250.00 ❌ 💰 Take-Profit: 4,415.00 🎯 The retail bears attempting to short into horizontal support are about to get caught offside as institutional buy volume defends the floor. Stay focused, strictly manage your risk, and let the algorithm carry the trade up to our target. Maintain your composure through the waves, and we will see you up at the 4,415 resistance target ceiling! 🚀💎

TITradingView Ideas19h ago

Silver Analysis | 15M Ascending Channel and Important Price Zone

Silver has established a clear recovery pattern on the 15-minute chart after finding support around 62.30–62.40. The subsequent price action has created a rising channel, with buyers and sellers reacting around several clearly defined levels. Price is currently around 63.93. On the upside, the chart highlights 64.50, 64.80, and 65.00 as key reference points, with 65.00 being the major resistance area shown on the chart. If price reaches the upper channel area and experiences a correction, the projected path points toward 63.20 and potentially the 62.30–62.40 support zone. The key observation is how price behaves around 65.00 and whether the ascending channel continues to hold.

TITradingView Ideas19h ago

XAG/USD 15M | Higher-Low Structure With 65.00 Resistance

The 15-minute Silver chart shows a recovery structure developing from the 62.30 region. After the sharp decline, price started forming higher highs and higher lows inside an ascending channel. Current price is near 63.93, while the next reference areas are around 64.50, 64.80, and 65.00. The 65.00 region has acted as a significant resistance area on the displayed chart. The projected movement also shows the possibility of a pullback after testing the upper zone, with 63.20 and 62.30–62.40 serving as important lower reference areas. Overall, the chart remains focused on the interaction between the rising channel and the 65.00 resistance zone.

TITradingView Ideas19h ago

Silver 15M | Rising Channel and Key Resistance Structure

Silver is trading around 63.93 on the 15-minute timeframe. Price has recovered strongly from the 62.30–62.40 area and is currently moving inside a rising channel with a sequence of higher lows. The chart shows an important resistance area near 65.00. If price continues to hold the channel structure, the projected path highlights 64.50, 64.80, and 65.00 as important upside reference levels. A rejection from the upper area could bring price back toward 63.20, followed by the major support around 62.30–62.40. The main structure to watch is the rising channel and the reaction around 65.00.

TITradingView Ideas19h ago

S&P500 hit its 1D MA100 after 5 months. Massive buy or sell-off?

The S&P500 index (SPX) hit yesterday its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in more than 5 months (since April 13 2026) and is initially rebounding. This of course comes just hours after the Fed Rate Hike yesterday, which the market's initially sold but recovered entirely just now! Technically this is almost a Higher Low on the 5-month Channel Up. Now the momentum is facing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance. If it breaks, expect a continuation of the bullish pattern. If it holds however, the selling pressure could accumulate and there are higher probabilities to see a test of the lower Support. The next one is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but the last major testing of the 1D MA100 as Support during February 2026, resulted in the strong correction of March (U.S. - Iran war) that bottomed on the 1W MA70 (red trend-line) after exactly a -10% total decline. Notice also how similar the RSI sequences among the two fractals are, both Channel Downs, currently sitting on the 37.50 Symmetrical Support. As a result, as long as the market is under Lower Highs and breaks below the 1D MA100, account for a potential -10% sell-off towards the 1W MA70, targeting 7050. Could be an ideal long-term buy opportunity after the U.S. Mid-term elections. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇

TITradingView Ideas19h ago

EUR/USD Watching the Retracement

EUR/USD just printed a strong bearish displacement from the 1.1535 area, breaking through the previous intraday structure. Price is now retracing from the 1.1458–1.1460 low. I’m watching 1.1497 as the first resistance. A rejection there would keep the bearish structure intact and could open the door for another move lower. If buyers reclaim and hold above 1.1497, I’d look toward 1.1525–1.1535, where the selloff originated. 🔴 BEARISH BIAS Major zone: 1.1525–1.1535

TITradingView Ideas19h ago