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XAUUSD 4H — Gold at a Major Technical Decision Zone

Gold is approaching a key descending trendline while price remains compressed inside a tightening structure. Key Resistance: 4,414.66 Major Resistance: 4,493.90 Structure Support: 4,280–4,300 A confirmed 4H breakout above the descending trendline could open the way toward the higher resistance zones. If price is rejected, the current consolidation structure remains relevant. Watch the reaction — confirmation before conclusion. 📊 ⚠️ Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Manage risk responsibly.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

GME Is Back Above $20 — But Can It Break the $22 Resistance?

https://www.tradingview.com/x/B7PCjbjZ GME has made a pretty strong recovery from the August lows. But now price is approaching the level that matters most on my chart. 📌 FOMC Context The FOMC is the catalyst I’m watching here. The interesting part is how the same macro event can affect TradFi and crypto differently. BTC gives me the broader risk-market context, while GME gives me a cleaner technical setup to work with. For GME, price is currently around $21.4, sitting just below a resistance zone that has already rejected price several times. 📊 My GME Setup On the 4H chart, I’m watching three areas: → $22.0–$22.3 — resistance → $20.0–$20.3 — first support → $17.5–$17.8 — major support The structure has improved considerably from the August sell-off. Price spent weeks building a base around $18 before starting the September recovery. It then pushed back above $20 and is now testing the upper part of the range. For me, this makes $22 the important decision area. I’m not interested in chasing price directly underneath resistance. If GME gets a clean 4H breakout above $22.3 and holds the area as support, that would give me the confirmation I want for a continuation setup. ⚠️ What Could Go Wrong? The breakout isn't guaranteed. If price keeps getting rejected around $22 and falls back below $20, the recent recovery could lose momentum. The bigger invalidation for the bullish structure would be a break back below the $17.5–$17.8 support zone. That would tell me the September recovery needs to be reassessed rather than chased. 🎯 What I’m Watching For me, the next move is less important than the reaction at the levels. Above $22.3 → breakout confirmation. Back below $20 → caution. Below $17.5–$17.8 → bullish setup invalidated. That’s the framework I’m taking into the FOMC event. No prediction on the first move. I’ll let GME show me which level it wants to respect.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Waste Management: Headed for our Target Zone

As recently as Friday, Waste Management dipped to $213, but has since edged slightly higher. Overall, the stock remains on track and continues to target our green Target Zone on the downside ($205.67–$194.11). Primarily, we expect further near-term declines, which should ultimately bottom out within our green Target Zone. After that, we anticipate a resumption of the larger corrective advance, which should push WM up toward resistance at $262.75. Following this move, we expect another major sell-off phase. On the other hand, if resistance at $262.75 is broken in the near term, our alternative scenario could come into play. In this case, the larger wave count would already be further along, and the stock would be entering the final stage of the broader upward cycle (probability: 36%).

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Zcash (ZEC) Keeps on Rising: Bullish for Crypto (Altcoins)

What will the market do now? Will there be a crash or bullish continuation? The chart knows the answer to these questions so, let's ask the chart. ZECUSDT (Zcash) daily technical analysis Notice the fibo level around $1,100. This is the 1.618 extension, the golden ratio. ZECUSDT moved to hit a new all-time high and stopped right above this level. When the retrace occurred, still happening, support was found here. Notice how the action continues above support with a full green candle today. Let's keep it simple, shall we? As long as ZECUSDT trades above $1,000, we can consider this chart setup and trading pair as hyper-bullish; still moving within the price discovery phase, an uptrend, with higher always possible and expected. Only if the uptrend is compromised do we doubt or change, no other way. Since Zcash continues rising, we continue bullish. There is always one or another project moving first, ahead of the pack. We saw this with Hyperliquid recently and now Zcash is going beyond all expectations. What one does, the rest follows. Just as ZECUSDT can continue growing and is challenging resistance once more today; when it broke bullish, the entire market produced a very strong advance. Now that Zcash continues to move higher pushing prices up, we know that Bitcoin and the rest of the altcoins are good for additional growth. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

SPX - Rate Hike To Bait Bears Before A Bounce?

SPX In HTF US indices look dicey and Dow Jones may be signalling a significant slump. But in LTF, S&P has been hanging around, sweeping these supports for a while but has not fallen into the space below. The interest rate decision will be released at 2 PM ET today. From a psychological perspective, this is an area where retail will be bearish because they can see a rate hike looming. Fear and Greed is also down at 29 - Fear. But the market tends to move against retail, at least in the short term. And so, I think it's more likely that we get a bounce in this area. Of course, there may be plenty of whipsaws through the area. Perhaps it may begin by printing a fast slump to bait bearish hike traders into entering shorts or exiting longs and sweep the lows. And then perhaps we get some sort of significant bounce that proves to be a dead cat into the next wave down. This is all just an educated guess - a throw at the dartboard. But I am doubting that we get a rate hike and then see the markets dump with impulse - as many traders will be expecting... Not advice

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

SPX - Rate Hike To Bait Bears Before A Bounce?

SPX In HTF US indices look dicey and Dow Jones may be signalling a significant slump. But in LTF, S&P has been hanging around, sweeping these supports for a while but has not fallen into the space below. The interest rate decision will be released at 2 PM ET today. From a psychological perspective, this is an area where retail will be bearish because they can see a rate hike looming. Fear and Greed is also down at 29 - Fear. But the market tends to move against retail, at least in the short term. And so, I think it's more likely that we get a bounce in this area. Of course, there may be plenty of whipsaws through the area. Perhaps it may begin by printing a fast slump to bait bearish hike traders into entering shorts or exiting longs and sweep the lows. And then perhaps we get some sort of significant bounce that proves to be a dead cat into the next wave down. This is all just an educated guess - a throw at the dartboard. But I am doubting that we get a rate hike and then see the markets dump with impulse - as many traders will be expecting... Not advice

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

ZECUSDT Perpetual | Long Setup | 1:1 Risk to Reward

I identified the directional bias on the 1 hour chart and used the 15 minute chart to plan the entry. The setup follows the prevailing trend, with Heikin Ashi candles helping me assess momentum and the Williams Alligator supporting the trend view. The plan places the stop loss below the setup’s invalidation level and sets the take profit target at approximately the same distance as the risk, giving the trade a 1:1 risk to reward ratio.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

The show is about to begin.

The price reached the key retracement zone of $4,320–$4,300/oz but did not linger there; it immediately rebounded to a high of $4,354/oz. As shown in the chart, the support at the bottom is strong, with multiple base-building structures formed in the short term. The interest rate decision is due in the coming hours. Typically, such announcements significantly impact gold price movements. However, the recent days of decline and base-building failed to produce a decisive breakout, suggesting the market has already priced in the event. Consequently, the post-announcement scenario is likely to be either a one-sided rally or a period of minor fluctuation. Therefore, the overall trading strategy focuses on going long, targeting the $4,400–$4,430/oz range. This information is for reference only and does not constitute a direct basis for actual trading.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Trading Craft 101 · Lesson 05 — The Journal

🔵 THE UNUSED EDGE Most traders collect setups, not data. They can tell you the pattern they trade, but not their own win rate, average R, or biggest losing streak. Their edge exists — and they have no idea what it is. The journal is the tool that fixes that. 🔵 WHAT TO RECORD Every trade: the setup (which pattern, which timeframe), entry and exit, the R-multiple, the reason in one sentence, the emotions in one word (calm, greedy, bored, revenge). The emotions column matters more than it looks — it is the only column that predicts the next mistake. 🔵 THE WEEKLY REVIEW Once a week, answer three questions from the journal, not from memory: which setup made money, which one lost, and which trade violated the plan? The third question is the gold: plan violations are the only losses you control. Process errors are the leak; the journal finds it. 🔵 THE NUMBERS THAT MATTER Track three numbers over rolling samples: win rate, average R per trade, and max losing streak. Win rate alone lies — 40% win rate at +2R average is a great system. The combination is the truth, and it only exists in the journal. Next lesson: psychology — why discipline is not a personality trait but a system. Educational content only. Not investment advice.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

From "Priced-In Bad News" (Post-CPI) to "Soft Landing Pricing"

Cross-Asset Dynamics: From "Priced-In Bad News" (Post-CPI) to "Soft Landing Pricing" (Post-Retail Sales) Asset price movements following the latest retail sales data perfectly extended and reinforced the cross-asset logic established after the previous CPI release—specifically, the "priced-in bad news" effect. Regarding the earlier CPI data, although inflation showed signs of ticking up, the magnitude was limited, and the market had already fully priced in the prospect of rate hikes or a "higher-for-longer" interest rate environment. With short-term monetary tightening now a settled consensus, market fears regarding runaway long-term inflation have subsided significantly, creating a classic "priced-in bad news" scenario. Economic resilience alleviates valuation pressure: Robust retail sales data has once again validated the trend of a US economic "soft landing" or even a "no landing" scenario. Strong fundamental growth can sustain a high-interest-rate environment, effectively dispelling market anxiety about a recession. Risk appetite has not deteriorated due to high interest rates; instead, it has recovered thanks to strong corporate earnings expectations, significantly mitigating the downward pressure high rates exert on equity valuations. Meanwhile, a major driver of the earlier surge in US Treasury yields was market concern regarding US debt-servicing capacity, which demanded higher compensation via bond yields. However, when consumption and economic data significantly exceed expectations, fears regarding deteriorating government finances and tail risks like debt default are largely eliminated. This rapid narrowing of the sovereign credit risk premium has driven investors to reallocate away from risk-free assets, thereby pushing down real Treasury yields. In short, receding inflation concerns have reduced the term premium embedded in real interest rates, while the narrowing of sovereign credit risk has further lowered real yields; from this perspective, gold is benefiting from a significant improvement in its opportunity cost profile.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

GOLD - 4394 ON THE RADAR

Hey Everyone, Gold has continued to follow our 1H route map. After completing the 4306 bearish gap, price broke below 4306, opening the retracement range. As highlighted in our previous update, we expected this retracement zone to provide reactionary support, with the next move bringing 4306 back onto the radar for a retest. Price found support within the retracement range, produced the bounce and retested 4306. We highlighted that the next confirmation would be an EMA5 cross and lock back above 4306. We now have that lock, which once again leaves the 4394 Goldturn bullish gap OPEN as the next key target on our 1H route map. 4306 → Retracement Support → 4306 Retest → EMA5 Lock Above → 4394 OPEN 🎯 We will continue monitoring the move and keep you updated. Mr Gold

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAU/USD Bullish Breakout | Buy Zone 4,341, Target 4,410 in Focus

XAU/USD 15-Minute Analysis Bias: BULLISH 📈 Trend: Bullish — price is making higher highs and higher lows above the rising trendline. Market structure: A strong market breakout was followed by consolidation inside the range box, then bullish continuation. Buy zone: 4,341.340 — marked as the key buy-entry area. Stop Loss: 4,316.053 — below the recent structure/support. Target: 4,410.615 — major resistance/sell zone. Resistance: 4,400–4,411 is the key target/supply area. Risk: ~25.29 points. Potential reward: ~69.28 points. Risk/Reward: approximately 1:2.74. Trade idea BUY above/around 4,341.340 if bullish structure remains intact. A sustained move toward 4,400–4,411 would complete the setup. A break below 4,316.053 invalidates the bullish idea.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept