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Eurgbp short daily

GBP remains fundamentally supported by a wider policy-rate differential and renewed expectations of tighter BoE policy as UK inflation reaccelerates. Meanwhile, although the ECB has turned more hawkish, euro-area wage pressures remain contained and the recent ECB tightening may increasingly be priced in. This creates a potential medium-term downside bias for EUR/GBP, particularly if UK inflation proves persistent and the BoE maintains a restrictive stance.

TITradingView Ideas2h ago

ETH: Why This Range Trade Still Favors the Bulls

While the S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow sold off following this week's FOMC rate decision, Ethereum held firm. That divergence is a signal. In this breakdown we walk through our two foundational tools, Previous Period High/Low/Mid/Close and PriceMap, to build and stress test a market thesis in real time. Price is holding above its monthly directional, the classic pivot that defines trend bias. With the R level sitting beneath the market, sentiment reads bullish. As long as the R level acts as a support floor rather than flipping to a resistance ceiling, the uptrend structure stays intact. The near term trigger is the previous week's low. Holding above it, even as broader risk assets sell off, signals underlying strength and keeps the bull case alive. Losing it doesn't kill the thesis, it just shifts the read toward the deeper monthly R level as the next area to reassess risk. Bottom line: this isn't about calling a breakout. It's about knowing exactly where the thesis breaks, and trading with that clarity instead of the noise.

TITradingView Ideas3h ago

SMC vs ICT — What’s the Difference?

SMC (Smart Money Concepts) and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) are closely related approaches to understanding how price moves, liquidity is created, and where potential trading opportunities may appear. They share many concepts, but their terminology and overall approach can differ. 🔹 SMC — Smart Money Concepts SMC mainly focuses on market structure and price behavior. Important SMC concepts include: • Market Structure — Higher Highs (HH), Higher Lows (HL), Lower Highs (LH), and Lower Lows (LL). • BOS (Break of Structure) — a break that can indicate continuation of the existing structure. • CHOCH (Change of Character) — a potential indication that market structure is changing. • Liquidity — areas where stop orders may be concentrated, such as equal highs and equal lows. • Order Blocks — price areas traders may watch for potential reactions. • FVG (Fair Value Gap) — an imbalance created by strong price movement. SMC can therefore be used to build a broader view of structure, liquidity, and potential reaction zones. 🔹 ICT — Inner Circle Trader ICT is a trading methodology developed by Michael J. Huddleston. It also uses liquidity and market-structure concepts, but places significant emphasis on time, sessions, price delivery, and specific entry models. Common ICT concepts include: • Liquidity Pools — areas around important highs and lows. • Liquidity Sweep — price temporarily taking liquidity before potentially reversing or continuing. • Kill Zones — specific time windows that traders watch for increased activity. • Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) — imbalances that can become areas of interest. • PD Arrays — a group of price-delivery concepts used to identify potential areas of interest. • Session Highs & Lows — important levels from Asian, London, and New York sessions. • Displacement — strong price movement that can provide confirmation of a shift in price delivery. 📌 Simple Example Imagine price is moving upward and creates a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows. An SMC trader may focus on: Liquidity → BOS → Order Block → FVG → Entry An ICT-style analysis may add another layer: Session timing → Liquidity sweep → Displacement → FVG/PD Array → Entry The exact setup depends on the trader’s model and rules. ⚡ Key Difference SMC: More commonly presented around market structure, liquidity, Order Blocks, FVGs, BOS, and CHOCH. ICT: Uses many overlapping ideas but places additional emphasis on time, sessions, liquidity delivery, PD Arrays, and specific execution models. 🧠 Final Takeaway SMC and ICT are not completely separate worlds. There is substantial overlap between the concepts used in both approaches. The main difference is often how the concepts are organized, defined, and applied. The goal should not be to memorize every term. First understand market structure → liquidity → displacement → imbalance → confirmation → risk management.

TITradingView Ideas3h ago

TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #367

👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s take a look at Bitcoin. The interest rate decision was released today, and we can now see how price reacted to the news. ⌛️ 1H Timeframe On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is attempting to establish a close below 76,630. After breaking this support, price is currently reacting to the 75,440 level. ⛏ Today’s interest rate news did not have a significant impact on Bitcoin. Price simply formed a Doji candle, and we can now say that the news-driven volatility has faded. ⭐ If the 75,440 level breaks, we can look for a short position. A break of this level could initiate a new bearish move. ✨ On the other hand, if price manages to reclaim 76,630, the bullish move could resume, and we can look for a long trigger. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.

TITradingView Ideas3h ago

$7,000 Ether & Why (the New All-Time High!)

This is why! Now I see a repeat of the May-July 2025 bullish consolidation period, it is the exact same but much better of course. ETHUSDT started to rise then went sideways, then nothing is happening now. Where is the market headed next? Here I am calling for a bullish continuation and for obvious reasons. Why would ETH produced a long-term higher low (June 2026 vs April 2025) to start rising just to produce a lower low next? Support has been confirmed and fully established, a new and higher long-term support base. The market does this in order to reach new highs, to go much farther. Higher support, higher challenges on the way up. We are headed for a new all-time high. ETHUSDT is trading below MA200 on the 2D timeframe. At the same time, the action is happening above EMA89 and EMA144, both of these support long-term growth. As long as ETHUSDT 2D trades above EMA144 & EMA89 ($2,300 & $2,180), we can consider this chart setup hyper-bullish. While the market can be expecting a long-term resolution to the current state of affairs, it can happen that growth starts within days or weeks rather than months as it happened back in 2025. This time, plenty of accumulation is present at the bear market bottom. This period of accumulation can in turn reduce the need for a prolonged duration to the current consolidation phase. All doubt has been removed. The numbers are out. The news is already old. Now that everything is out of the way, regardless of the results and expectations, the Cryptocurrency market will continue growing for sure! (?) We are going up and this is truly only the start. From the bottom we grow. Thanks a lot for your continued support, it is appreciated. Namaste.

TITradingView Ideas3h ago

Bitcoin Holds $75K After the Fed — Is $80K Next?

Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) experienced sharp volatility after the Federal Funds Rate was released at 4.00%, in line with expectations, followed by remarks from Kevin Warsh. Unlike gold and U.S. stock indices—particularly the S&P 500—Bitcoin has so far managed to hold inside its Support Zone and avoid a similarly sharp decline. Can BTC defend $75,000 and turn this relative strength into another move toward $80,000? Macro Outlook Nearly $1 billion in long positions could be liquidated around $74,860, making this an important downside liquidity area to monitor. Bitcoin could also remain sensitive to developments in the Middle East, movements in the S&P 500, and gold price action. Technical Analysis Bitcoin is currently trading inside the Support Zone and near Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($74,680-$73,800). A valid Golden Cross has also formed between the 50_SMA(Daily) and 200_SMA(Daily), which could support the broader bullish structure. 💡 Educational Note: A Golden Cross forms when a shorter-term moving average crosses above a longer-term moving average and is generally considered a bullish trend signal, although price confirmation remains important. From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin’s structure over the past 12 days appears more corrective than impulsively bearish, suggesting that another bullish move could develop. I expect Bitcoin to move higher over the coming hours. If BTC breaks above the key trading level of $77,280, further upside could develop toward $78,370 and eventually the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage. As long as Bitcoin remains above $73,500, the bullish scenario remains valid. Trade Setup First Take Profit(TP): $76,990 Second Take Profit(TP): $78,370 Third Take Profit(TP): Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($80,700-$79,800) Stop Loss(SL): $73,500(Worst) Key Trading Level: $77,280 New CME Gap: $79,270-$79,110 Do you think Bitcoin can hold above $75,000? 🟢 Yes 🔴 No 📌 Bitcoin Analysis(BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always use proper risk management and set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position. 🚀 If this analysis helps your trading plan, a BOOST would help more traders discover it.

TITradingView Ideas3h ago

ETH 4H Bearish: The Flock Bought the First Green Candle

One green candle below resistance, and the flock has already misplaced the life jackets. ETH bounced from a low near $2,366 and trades around $2,405. The panic has cooled, but the structure has not reversed: price remains below the 4H 9 EMA at $2,420 and below the level that changes the mood — $2,436. The 4H 200 SMA near $2,370 is holding underneath price. That keeps the pond from breaking, but it does not yet give buyers control. AI Agent read: 4H momentum remains bearish — RSI is 35.1 and MACD histogram is -10.431. Volatility remains normal; the AI Agent does not see an elevated-volatility regime yet. 📍 AI Agent Trade Map Signal: 4H Bearish Trigger: A failed 4H attempt to reclaim $2,436 Target: 🎯 $2,357 Key Resistance: $2,436 Support Zone: $2,357 — candidate support; it needs a reaction, not blind faith If buyers take control: $2,531–2,546 — major supply zone Invalidation: A sustained 4H close above $2,436. The AI bearish reading ends only if RSI closes above 45 or MACD histogram returns to zero or higher. ❓ Is the 200 SMA absorbing the fear — or is this simply a calmer place for sellers to return? The flock quacks. The level answers. Personal market commentary, not financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas3h ago

Gold: H4 Head & Shoulders Is Now Becoming a Real Trading Bias

Two days ago, we published the H4 Head & Shoulders structure on Gold and highlighted the neckline breakdown as an important signal for the larger direction. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/cXgKpgtD-XAUUSD-Gold-H4-Head-Shoulders-Has-Broken/ Now, after the Federal Reserve's decision and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference, the setup deserves another look. The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, while its latest projections pointed to the possibility of another hike this year. Policymakers also raised their 2026 inflation projection to 3.7%, keeping the focus firmly on persistent inflation. From our reading of the statement and the tone of the press conference, the short-term environment has become more supportive of the bearish Gold scenario. But there is one important problem: The market is extremely volatile right now. This is exactly the type of environment where being directionally correct does not automatically mean having a good entry. Gold can move hundreds of points, retrace sharply, and then continue in the original direction. So I don't want to chase the first reaction. H4 Structure The larger technical picture remains: Head & Shoulders → Neckline Break → Bearish Bias The structure we identified two days ago remains active. Short-Term Target: 4111 Pattern Target: 3900 Invalidation: 4454 The 4111 area remains the first major downside objective, while 3900 is the measured target of the H4 pattern. Current Trading Plan For now, I would divide the plan into two parts: H4: Defines the main direction → Bearish H1 / Lower Timeframes: Defines the actual trade → Look for Sell setups The ideal situation would be a pullback after the initial reaction , followed by bearish price action, rejection, liquidity sweep or a clear lower-timeframe structure. That gives us a much better risk/reward opportunity than simply selling into a fast candle. The Important Scenario If Gold continues lower and the H1 structure confirms the bearish move, we can continue looking toward 4111. If the larger H4 structure continues to play out, 3900 remains the pattern target. But if Gold strongly reclaims the broken structure and eventually breaks 4454, the bearish idea is invalid and we reassess. Don't marry the analysis. Trade the structure. What Changed After the Fed? The Fed's decision itself was largely expected by markets. Before the announcement, traders had already priced a very high probability of a 25bp hike. The more important part for traders was the message about what comes next. The new projections show another possible hike in 2026, while inflation is expected to remain above the 2% target for longer. That combination can keep pressure on Gold through the Dollar and Treasury yields, particularly in the short term. However, Gold's reaction has also shown why we should not simplify the market to “ higher rates = Gold down. ” Earlier today, Gold actually rallied as yields and oil declined, and it later remained relatively resilient despite the Fed hike. So the macro picture supports the bearish scenario but does not guarantee the path. Final View The H4 Head & Shoulders that we identified two days ago has now become more relevant from a directional perspective. Bias: Bearish Target 1: 4111 Pattern Target: 3900 Invalidation: 4454 But right now, patience matters more than prediction. The market is emotional after the Fed. If you want to act, use smaller risk. If you want better execution, wait for the volatility to settle and let H1 confirm the entry. The H4 chart tells us where the market may be going. The lower timeframe tells us when we should participate. ⚠️ Risk Warning: This is educational market analysis, not financial advice. Gold can experience extreme volatility around central-bank decisions and macroeconomic releases. Use appropriate position sizing and define your invalidation before entering a trade.

TITradingView Ideas3h ago