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NVDA TRADE IDEA 9/16/26 BRADROC TRADING

NVDA—I'm watching 213.95–215.05 closely today. This is the first battle zone I want to see buyers work through. CALL A break and hold above 215.05 could open a possible move toward the 218.29 gap fill. Possible TP levels: 216.42 → 217.49 → 218.29 If buyers push through 218.29 and maintain momentum, look for a possible additional $5 climb higher. RANGE I wouldn't be surprised to see clean scalp and day trade opportunities between: 211.15–213.95 PUT With the Fed decision today, volatility could pick up quickly. If sellers push below 211.15, possible TP levels: 209 → 208 → 204.82-203.30 If confidence really starts to drop and sellers maintain control, 200 comes into play as a possible bigger move. QUICK REFERENCE CALL: Above 215.05 → 216.42 → 217.49 → 218.29 → Possible $5 higher RANGE: 211.15–213.95 PUT: Below 211.15 → 209 → 208 → 204.82 →203.30 possible 200 ⚠️ Disclaimer My goal is to keep these trade ideas simple for newer traders. Compare these levels with your own chart before entering any trade. This is not financial advice—it's simply how I see the market. Trading involves risk, so manage your risk, take profits along the way and trade

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

USOil Above $100: Can Price Break $104.40?

US Oil has extended last week’s breakout, moving through $93, clearing the psychological $100 area and testing resistance around $104.40. Supply concerns remain an important part of the broader bullish story, including disruptions affecting Saudi and Libyan exports and reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The practical question now is whether the market is still pricing in further supply risk or whether much of that risk is already reflected in the current price. On the Four Hour chart, $99 is the nearest important support, while $104.40 remains the immediate upside test. On the One Hour chart, price is moving within a short-term ascending structure between approximately $101 and $104.40. Key scenarios: • A break and hold above $104.40 would strengthen the continuation case. • A move below $101 and the ascending trendline would suggest that short-term momentum is weakening. • The $99 to $99.50 area could then become an important test of buyer interest. • Sustained weakness below $99 could bring $95.50 into focus as a deeper correction area. Today’s EIA Crude Oil Inventories report could provide a fresh test for the current supply-driven move. The focus is not on predicting the report, but on observing how price responds around these levels before and after the release. This analysis is for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

GBPUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!

https://www.tradingview.com/x/76AsCr5y/ My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the GBPUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.3459 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.3487 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept
TI

XAUUSD — Bullish Recovery After the Pullback

Market Pulse Gold is recovering ahead of the Fed decision as the U.S. dollar, Treasury yields and oil prices ease. A 25 bp rate hike is largely expected, so the bigger reaction may come from the Fed’s guidance. This could keep Gold volatile around the announcement. What the Chart Says XAUUSD is showing a stronger short-term recovery on H1. Price has climbed from the 4,270 area and is now holding around 4,340, after breaking back above previous short-term structure. The nearest support sits around 4,330–4,340. If this area holds, buyers may try to continue the recovery. The next resistance is around 4,345–4,355. A clean move above this zone could open the way toward the stronger 4,395–4,405 resistance area. A deeper pullback could still reach 4,300–4,320, which remains the stronger demand zone below. Levels That Matter 4,395–4,405 — Main upside resistance 4,345–4,355 — First resistance 4,330–4,340 — Near-term support 4,300–4,320 — Main demand zone 4,270–4,280 — Recent swing support My Main Plan The main plan is bullish. I prefer waiting for price to hold above 4,330–4,340 or make a controlled pullback toward 4,300–4,320. If buyers return with clear confirmation, Gold could first challenge 4,345–4,355. A clean breakout above that area may extend the recovery toward 4,395–4,405. What I Need to See I want to see the current recovery keep forming higher lows and price hold above the marked support structure. A sustained H1 move below 4,300 would weaken the immediate bullish setup. Final Read The short-term H1 picture is improving, but Gold is approaching resistance just before the Fed decision. For now, I prefer waiting for a pullback and bullish confirmation rather than chasing the move higher, with 4,395–4,405 remaining the main recovery target.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS POC BEFORE FED DECISION

BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS POC BEFORE FED DECISION Gold is trading cautiously below 4,350 as the market moves into the Fed decision window. The current price action is not clean enough to chase aggressively. Buyers have managed to recover from the recent low, but gold is still struggling below the short-term sell zone around 4,353 and the larger Composite VAH resistance near 4,390 - 4,400. The macro background is mixed. A softer US dollar gives gold some short-term support, but the strong move in US Treasury yields continues to limit bullish momentum. With the Fed expected to raise rates by 25 bps, traders are now focused on the updated economic projections, the dot plot, and comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. This is why gold is moving carefully around value. The market is waiting for confirmation, not just direction. Technical structure On the 45-minute chart, gold is holding above the POC / HVN Value Support around 4,320 - 4,330. This is the most important intraday support zone. Price has already reacted from this area and is now attempting to build a recovery structure. As long as buyers defend this zone, gold still has room to test higher resistance. The first short-term resistance is around 4,353 - 4,365. This area is marked as the sell zone and sits near the current rejection line. If gold reaches this zone and fails to break cleanly, sellers may step back in and push price down toward 4,320 again. Above that, the Composite VAH / Major Resistance around 4,390 - 4,400 is the main upside barrier. A clean break and acceptance above this zone would be the first sign that buyers are taking back stronger control. If the POC / HVN support fails, the downside levels are clear: 4,292 as the first target, 4,275 as secondary support, and 4,262 as the major downside target. Important zones Current price area: 4,340 - 4,350 Gold is holding above short-term value but still below resistance. POC / HVN Value Support: 4,320 - 4,330 Main buyer defense zone for the current structure. Sell zone: 4,353 - 4,365 First resistance and seller reaction area. Composite VAH / Major Resistance: 4,390 - 4,400 Major upside resistance before any stronger bullish continuation. VAL first downside target: 4,292 First downside target if price loses value support. LVN secondary support: 4,275 Next support if bearish pressure expands. Major downside target: 4,262 Deeper downside target if Fed volatility strengthens the US dollar. Trading scenario Priority view: buy reaction only if 4,320 - 4,330 holds Entry: Look for buy positions only if gold holds the POC / HVN Value Support around 4,320 - 4,330 and shows clear bullish rejection. Stop Loss: Below the local sweep low or below the 4,320 support zone. Take Profit: TP1: 4,353 - 4,365 TP2: 4,390 - 4,400 TP3: Trail higher only if gold breaks and accepts above the Composite VAH resistance This setup follows the current value-support reaction. However, confirmation is very important because the Fed decision can create fast and aggressive volatility. Alternative sell scenario If gold rejects from 4,353 - 4,365 and fails to reclaim that zone, sellers may regain short-term control. Entry: Look for sell positions only if price rejects clearly from the sell zone or breaks below 4,320 and retests it as resistance. Stop Loss: Above the rejection high or above the reclaimed resistance zone. Take Profit: TP1: 4,292 TP2: 4,275 TP3: 4,262 if downside momentum continues after the Fed decision Final view Gold is sitting in a decision area before the Fed announcement. The short-term structure is trying to recover, but it is not fully bullish yet. Buyers need to defend 4,320 - 4,330 and break above 4,353 to open the way toward 4,390 - 4,400. Until that happens, every move higher can still face seller pressure. For me, the map is simple: Hold 4,320 - 4,330 = buyers still have a chance. Break 4,353 = recovery momentum improves. Reach 4,390 - 4,400 = major resistance test. Lose 4,320 = downside opens toward 4,292 and 4,275. Lose 4,275 = 4,262 becomes the next major target. Gold is not a chase market right now. It is a confirmation market. Will buyers defend the POC before the Fed decision, or will sellers use the event to force one more move into lower value?

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

AAPL TRADE IDEA 9/16/2026 BRADROC TRADING

AAPL Trade Setup – September 16, 2026 AAPL looks interesting today. I expect we could see plenty of chop leading into the Fed decision at 2 PM. After that, volatility could increase quickly in either direction. Don't confuse volatility with confirmation. Let AAPL prove the move before you enter. CALL Above 331.80, look for possible TP levels: 333.22 → 334.05 → 335.50 The climb could be slow and bumpy with sideways movement along the way. If buyers can break through 335.50 and maintain momentum, then I'm watching to see if a bigger upside move develops. RANGE Between 329.30–331.80, don't be surprised to see buyers and sellers battle. There's enough room inside this zone for possible clean scalps and day trades, but don't force a directional trade while she's chopping. PUT Below 329.30, puts become more interesting. Possible TP levels: 328.30 → 327.50 → 326.35 If sellers maintain control after the Fed decision, a possible additional $3–$4 move lower isn't off the table. QUICK REFERENCE FED DAY: The first move doesn't have to be the real move. Wait for confirmation. If break-and-retest is your style, fight your fight. :warning: Disclaimer My goal is to keep these trade ideas simple for newer traders. Compare these levels with your own chart before entering any trade. This is not financial advice—it's simply how I see the market. Trading involves risk, so manage your risk, take profits along the way and trade responsibly.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

CETUSDT

🚨 End of an Era: CoinEx Announces Official Shutdown After 9 Years! 🚨 CoinEx, one of the most widely used crypto exchanges by non-KYC traders, has officially announced that it will cease all operations. Here is what you need to know about its journey and shutdown: 🔹 From Mining to Exchange: Founded in late 2017 by Haipo Yang (creator of ViaBTC), CoinEx quickly grew into one of the top platforms by trading volume by mid-2018. 🚫 Major Security & Regulatory Hurdles: After recovering from a $70M hot wallet hack in September 2023, the exchange faced severe regulatory pressure in the US, followed by reports highlighting significant transaction flows linked to international entity compliance risks. ⁉️ Why Is CoinEx Shutting Down? CoinEx is not insolvent. According to its latest Proof of Reserves (PoR), it maintains over 100% backing across major assets. The official closure is driven by: 1️⃣ Prolonged crypto market stagnation 2️⃣ Sharp decline in trading volume & liquidity 3️⃣ Escalating regulatory and compliance costs 🗓 Crucial Timeline for Asset Withdrawal: Sep 15, 2026: New registrations paused; Futures set to Close-Only. Sep 29, 2026: Spot trading completely suspended. Dec 22, 2026: Final deadline for all asset withdrawals and system shutdown. 📌 Action Required: If you still hold funds on CoinEx, make sure to withdraw all your crypto assets to a private wallet before the December deadline! Amir Hassan Salek, CFTe financial markets analyst امیرحسن سالک تحلیلگر بازارهای مالی

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Market Concepts · Lesson 18 — Channels, Wedges & Trendlines

Lesson 18 - Channels, Wedges and Trendlines: Trading Structured Price Patterns Difficulty: Intermediate Not every move happens in random chop. Sometimes price organizes itself into clean geometric patterns — channels, wedges, trendlines — that tell you exactly where reactions are likely. Learning to read these patterns adds a whole layer of structure to your chart. https://www.tradingview.com/x/0IHMDXnx/ 🔵 TRENDLINES: THE FOUNDATION A trendline is a diagonal line connecting two or more swing points that move in the same direction. In an uptrend, connect the higher lows. In a downtrend, connect the lower highs. The line becomes a diagonal support or resistance that price often respects. The strongest trendlines share a few traits: - Three or more clean touches - Reactions that are decisive, not slow drifts - Visible across timeframes — a trendline that shows up on both the 4H and daily carries more weight Trendlines eventually break. When they do, the break itself is often the trade signal — a decisive close through a well-tested trendline usually marks a real shift in direction. https://www.tradingview.com/x/rKemF0vs/ 🔵 CHANNELS: TRENDLINES IN PAIRS A channel is two parallel trendlines — one connecting the lows, one connecting the highs. Price bounces between them like a corridor. Channels come in three flavors: - Ascending — both lines slope up. Price is trending higher inside the channel - Descending — both lines slope down. Price is trending lower inside the channel - Horizontal — the classic range. Both lines are flat, and price oscillates between fixed support and resistance Trading channels is often simple: buy near the lower line, sell near the upper line, until one side breaks. The break usually leads to a strong directional move — often a full "measured move" equal to the channel's height. https://www.tradingview.com/x/gfHs9iIB/ 🔵 WEDGES: THE SQUEEZE PATTERN A wedge is like a channel that's narrowing — the two lines converge instead of running parallel. This "squeeze" builds pressure, and when the wedge finally resolves, the breakout tends to be sharp. Two main types: - Rising wedge — both lines slope up, but the upper line rises slower than the lower. Often bearish (usually breaks down) - Falling wedge — both lines slope down, but the lower line falls slower than the upper. Often bullish (usually breaks up) Wedges are compression patterns. The tighter the pattern gets, the more explosive the resolution usually is. Trading them is about waiting for the break, not fading the pattern. https://www.tradingview.com/x/G2Atq51M/ 🔵 TRADING STRUCTURED PATTERNS A few practical habits when trading these patterns: - Wait for at least 3 touches before treating a line as reliable - Trade the break, not the pattern itself — many wedges and channels get retested before breaking - Use the pattern's height to project targets — a break usually travels a distance similar to the pattern's size - Combine with confluence — a channel break that aligns with an order block, FVG, or key reference level is much stronger than the break alone Structured patterns aren't magic. They're just visual representations of the same forces you've been learning about — where buyers and sellers agree on prices, where they disagree, and where the balance eventually shifts. 🔵 COMMON MISTAKES TO AVOID - Drawing lines that require force to "fit" — if it takes work to make the trendline touch the swings, it's not really there - Trading inside a channel without watching for the eventual break — sooner or later, every channel resolves - Fading a wedge before it breaks — the safer trade is with the break, not against it - Ignoring the higher-timeframe context — a bullish wedge inside a strong downtrend still fights the trend 🐳 PRO TIPS - The cleanest patterns are the ones you can spot in three seconds — if you have to squint, it's probably not there - Higher-timeframe patterns are more reliable than lower-timeframe ones — a daily channel matters much more than a 5-minute one - Watch for volume on the break. A break with real volume behind it is far more likely to follow through than a quiet drift through the line - Failed breaks (a break that reverses quickly) are often powerful reversal signals in themselves — the trapped side becomes fuel for the opposite move Structured price patterns are one of the older tools in trading — but they still work, because the human behavior behind them hasn't changed. Learn to read them, and you add another lens to your chart. Market Concepts — All Lessons Lesson 01 — What Order Blocks Are Lesson 02 — Zone Strength Isn't About Size Lesson 03 — Entering Trades With Order Blocks Lesson 04 — Old Order Blocks As New S/R Lesson 05 — Breaker Blocks Lesson 06 — HTF Blocks With LTF Entries Lesson 07 — BOS vs Change of Character Lesson 08 — Structure Quality: Strong vs Weak Lesson 09 — Fair Value Gaps Lesson 10 — Order Blocks + FVG Confluence Lesson 11 — Swing Failure Patterns (SFP) Lesson 12 — Buyside & Sellside Liquidity Lesson 13 — SFP + Liquidity Combo Lesson 14 — Building A Solid S/R Map Lesson 15 — Reading Volume Profiles Lesson 16 — Combining Key Levels & Zones Lesson 17 — Opening Range Breakouts Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAUUSD 4H: Head & Shoulders Pattern Targeting 4000

Description: Gold is forming a classic Head and Shoulders reversal pattern on the daily timeframe. Pattern Structure Left Shoulder: Formed in early August Head: Clear peak near 4,700 in late August Right Shoulder: Completed in early September Neckline: Ascending support connecting the lows between the shoulders Current Price Action Price has broken below the neckline and is currently retesting it from underneath. A bearish engulfing candle has also appeared near the breakdown zone, adding confluence. Key Levels Neckline / Resistance: 4,340 – 4,360 Measured Move Target: Approximately 3,998 – 4,000 (height of the head projected downward) Educational Trade Frame work Bias: Bearish Sell Zone: 4,340 – 4,360 (neckline retest) Stop Loss: Above 4,420 (above right shoulder) Take Profit: 4,000 area Risk : Reward ≈ 1 : 2.2 This is a textbook Head and Shoulders distribution pattern. The breakdown and retest of the neckline is the highest-probability entry area for continuation lower. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk properly.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Fibo Retest Before the Next Bullish Wave

Fundamental Analysis Gold is recovering as the U.S. dollar, Treasury yields and oil prices ease ahead of today’s Fed decision. Markets are pricing roughly a 93% probability of a 25 bp hike, so the Fed’s guidance may matter more than the rate move itself. Technical Analysis On H1, Gold has reacted strongly from the 4,250–4,265 SSL and confirmed a bullish CHoCH followed by BOS. Price is now testing the 4,325–4,350 Fibo Zone. A controlled pullback into this area may offer the cleaner continuation setup. If buyers defend the zone, the next upside focus is the 4,365–4,380 POC, followed by 4,400–4,415 BSL. Important Key Levels 4,400–4,415 — BSL / Major Resistance 4,365–4,380 — POC 4,325–4,350 — Fibo Zone 4,250–4,265 — SSL / Main Support Trading Scenario Buy priority remains on a pullback into 4,325–4,350 followed by bullish H1 confirmation. Target: 4,365–4,380 first, then 4,400–4,415. Invalidation: H1 acceptance below the Fibo Zone. Overall View Short-term momentum has shifted toward recovery after the BOS. Rather than chase the current move, the cleaner plan is to wait for support to hold and follow the next bullish wave. Will Gold retest the Fibo Zone before pushing toward 4,400?

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

GOLD Breakout Done , Best Place To Buy Spotted , 1000 Pips !

Here Is My 30 Mins GOLD Chart , as we see the main direction is very bearish and we entered a sell trade at the begin of the week , and now finally we have a real breakout confirmed by closure above a very strong res area @ 4310.00 / 4318.00 with 4H Candle which prove it`s a real breakout after the price stay below this res for more than 3 days and finally we have this breakout with a very good bullish candle and clear bullish price action so i`m looking to buy gold in this case even for a small retracement to collect some pips , so i`m waiting the price at this area around 4310.00 / 4318.00 and waiting for a good touch for this area and good bullish price action and then we can enter a buy trade and targeting the next res , if we have a daily closure below this area again then this idea will not be valid anymore .

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

CRCL | Weekly Structure | Wave 2 Pullback Into Add Zone

Thesis: CRCL is currently going through what I view as a Wave 2 pullback after the initial post-IPO advance. I started building the position in early August and I am now looking to continue adding through this correction. As long as the current structure remains constructive, I see this pullback as part of the normal development of the larger bullish cycle, with approximately $230 as my first major target and the $280-$300 area as the second. Context - Weekly timeframe - CRCL is part of my broader long-term thesis around stablecoins, digital assets and the tokenization of finance - I started building the position in early August with my first entry around $60.70 - I continued adding through August and my current average is approximately $64.50 - Circle is the company behind USDC and is increasingly building infrastructure around institutional onchain finance - Arc is designed as financial-market infrastructure for payments, settlement and tokenized assets - Its founding validator group includes institutions such as BlackRock, DTCC, ICE, Mastercard, Standard Chartered and Visa - CRCL fits naturally alongside my existing exposure to BTC, ETH and COIN What I see - The first major impulsive move from the lows looks like a Primary Wave 1 - Price is now correcting in what I currently count as Primary Wave 2 - The pullback is moving back through the main Fibonacci retracement levels of the first advance - The 0.382 Fib sits around $86 - The 0.5 Fib sits around $80 - The 0.618 Fib sits around $75 - This is the type of corrective structure I prefer to use for accumulation rather than chasing price after an impulsive move - The objective now is for price to establish support and eventually complete Wave 2 What matters now - The $75-$80 area is the first important support zone I am watching - A deeper Wave 2 would not automatically invalidate the larger bullish structure - I want to see the correction remain controlled and eventually develop a clear base - Once Wave 2 is complete, the next important confirmation will be a move back through the recent highs - That would strengthen the case that Primary Wave 3 is underway - Until then, patience matters more than trying to predict the exact bottom Buy / Accumulation zone - I started building CRCL in early August with my first entry around $60.70 - I continued adding through the month and my current average is approximately $64.50 - I plan to continue using DCA while the Wave 2 structure remains constructive - I prefer building during corrections rather than chasing strength - The current retracement is therefore an area I am watching for further additions - My horizon for this position is long term and tied to the broader development of stablecoins and tokenized financial infrastructure Targets - First support area: approximately $75-$80 - Wave 1 high / breakout area: approximately $110-$120 - Primary Wave 3 target: approximately $230 - 0.786 Fib reference: approximately $233 - Primary Wave 5 target area: approximately $280-$300 - Current 1 Fib reference: approximately $281 Portfolio note CRCL is not a standalone trade for me. It is part of a broader investment theme I am already expressing through BTC, ETH and COIN: the gradual migration of financial infrastructure toward regulated digital assets, stablecoins and tokenized markets. Circle sits directly inside that transition through USDC and, increasingly, through the infrastructure it is building around Arc. That fundamental thesis is why I am comfortable approaching the chart with a longer time horizon. I already started building the position near $60.70 and continued accumulating through August. The current correction does not change that thesis for me. For now, I am treating this as a Wave 2 pullback and looking for opportunities to add gradually while the larger structure remains intact. If the count develops as expected, approximately $230 is my first major upside target, with the $280-$300 area as the next larger objective.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Leverage and Risk Management: A Practical Guide

Disclaimer: This article was originally written in Spanish. Therefore, I cannot guarantee that the English translation is completely free of errors or inaccuracies. Trading has existed for thousands of years, just like people with limited financial resources. That is precisely why credit was born. If you needed to finance an expedition, you borrowed money; if you wanted to expand a business, you borrowed money; if you believed an investment was going to work out perfectly, you borrowed money... Loans fueled great periods of economic prosperity, but they also incubated some of the biggest financial crises in history, such as the Crash of 1929. In the past, lenders' capital carried a certain degree of risk. A bad harvest, war, catastrophe, or an inbred monarch could ruin everything. But over time, financial mechanisms evolved, and since the 19th century, leverage has become a highly profitable business for "intermediaries." They rarely lose, while the average investor gets their capital burned. What Is Leverage in Financial Markets? Leverage is, essentially, a loan. Saying that "the higher the leverage, the higher the profits and the higher the losses" would simply repeat the usual cliché preached by gurus before sending their apprentices to the slaughterhouse. To understand what actually happens, we will rely on market logic and use my friend Juan as a laboratory rat. Juan has watched The Wolf of Wall Street fifteen times and wants to make an honest living as an investor. The problem is that he only has $100. No matter how confident he is in his analysis, with such little capital, his absolute returns will be minimal. While a well-capitalized investor may see a 20% return as a golden opportunity, for Juan, 20% on $100 means just $20. Imagine waiting weeks (or months) to make so little. Trading platforms — especially in the crypto sector — offer a "solution" for profiles like Juan: leverage. Thanks to this mechanism, retail investors can multiply their capital through borrowing and turn their $100 into $1,000, $10,000, or more. The sky is the limit — especially when crypto and deregulation enter the picture. What Juan doesn't realize is that the larger the loan, the higher the fees and, above all, the greater the probability of losing all his money. For example, if Juan leverages his $100 at 10x, he enters the market controlling a $1,000 position ($100 × 10). This is also known as trading with a 10% margin, since his own capital covers only one-tenth of the position ($900 is borrowed). At 10x leverage, Juan backs a $1,000 position with just $100 of his own money. If the market moves against him, a relatively small 10% move is enough to wipe out his entire capital. Both the percentage gains and losses are calculated on the total position size ($1,000), but the losses are not absorbed by the intermediary simply because the money was borrowed. Juan absorbs them with his own $100. To make matters worse, because Juan is an uninformed investor — like most people — he won't just use leverage "self-taught." He will also place a Stop Loss (SL), which may reduce his probability of success even further. If he sets a 20% SL on his $100 margin (risking $20), what he is actually doing is giving the asset price barely 2% of breathing room relative to the $1,000 position. Taking that level of exposure with such a narrow margin against the market's normal noise is less efficient than trying to achieve financial health in a casino. As you can see, trying to double your capital in a single shot is usually a terrible business. Markets move through impulses and retracements, and on lower timeframes, volatility and the impact of manipulation multiply. Try the open-source systems I have given away to the community across different timeframes and you'll know exactly what I'm talking about. Why do you think scalping courses sell so well, accompanied by aggressive advertising such as: "Hurry up and get rich for just $20, $30, $100, or $200!" If the industry promoted consistent long-term growth, the business of selling miracle courses, signal channels, trendy indicators, and subscriptions would collapse. But let's not pretend we're going to change the world... Instead, let's look at efficient ways to use leverage under different approaches. Before that, however, we need to clarify two fundamental concepts: the risk-to-reward ratio and the Stop Loss. Risk-to-Reward Ratio This is a tool used to measure the relationship between what we are willing to risk and what we expect to gain from a trade. • 1:1 ratio: For every unit of risk, we seek one unit of profit. If we risk $10, we aim to make $10; if we risk $100, we aim to make $100. • 1:2 ratio: For every unit of risk, we seek two units of profit. If we risk $10, we aim to make $20; if we risk $100, we aim to make $200. Stop Loss (SL) A Stop Loss is an automatic order programmed into the platform to close a position when the price reaches a predetermined level. Its purpose is to limit risk. For example, if we open a $1,000 position but are only willing to lose $300, we place the SL at the exact price level where the loss will not exceed that amount. This way, we protect the remaining 70% of our capital. 1. Leverage With a 1:1 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (Without Using a Stop Loss) In this scenario, Juan exposes the entirety of his $100 to the possibility that his analysis is correct. Since he is not using a Stop Loss (SL), he seeks to make exactly the same amount he is risking: $100. To achieve this, he first measures the percentage move or volatility between his entry price and his target price using TradingView's Price Range tool . As you can see on the screen, determining this value is very simple. Let's assume the projected move to the target is 20%. Juan would apply the following formula: Leverage = Capital at risk (100% of the account) / % move to target Substituting the values: Leverage = 100% / 20% = 5x This means that if Juan invests his $100 with 5x leverage, he will control a total position of $500 ($100 × 5). If the asset rises by the projected 20%, he will earn a 20% return on the $500 position — $100 in profit, effectively doubling his initial margin. However, because he is not using a Stop Loss, his liquidation point is effectively set at the equivalent decline: if the price falls 20%, the $500 position will lose $100 and Juan will lose his entire capital. https://www.tradingview.com/x/lhMM4e1T/ 2. Leverage Based on the Liquidation Price In this second example, Juan again risks his entire $100 without placing an explicit Stop Loss. He wants to increase his potential profits, but this time he prioritizes survival: Instead of forcing a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio, he will calculate the leverage necessary to keep his liquidation price far enough away to absorb normal market volatility. Looking at the chart, Juan determines that it is extremely unlikely for the price to fall 30% from his entry point. To calculate the maximum leverage he can use without being liquidated before reaching that level, he applies the same logic: Maximum leverage = 100% / % decline at which we are willing to be liquidated Maximum leverage = 100% / 30% = 3.33 Juan rounds down to 3x to trade more conservatively. By reducing leverage to 3x, the liquidation price moves even farther away: the asset would have to fall 33.3% for the broker to close his position due to insufficient margin. This is a much more sensible use of leverage. Trading at 3x on a projected 20% upside move, Juan would make $60 (20% of $300). In exchange, he gives the market room for a 33.3% decline before being wiped out — a scenario his previous analysis considered unlikely. https://www.tradingview.com/x/zYNUW0qn/ 3. Using Leverage With a Stop Loss (SL) Case A In this scenario, Juan is not willing to risk all of his $100. He only wants to expose 20% of his capital ($20 maximum loss if the trade goes wrong). This necessarily requires the use of a Stop Loss. What should he do first? First, he must determine the technical location where the Stop Loss will be placed. Juan must identify the price level at which his market analysis becomes invalid. After analyzing the chart, Juan determines that his trade will fail if BTCUSD falls to $53,250. By marking that level as his invalidation point, he has just defined the exact price at which he is willing to accept his $20 loss. How do we calculate the leverage allowed based on the risk being assumed? To avoid risking more than 20% of his margin ($20), Juan must relate his target risk to the percentage distance between his entry price and the Stop Loss: Allowed leverage = % of capital willing to be risked / % distance to Stop Loss Let's assume that the distance between his entry price and $53,250 represents a 17% decline in the underlying asset. Applying the formula: Allowed leverage = 20% / 17% ≈ 1.18 Result: Juan can only accept 1x leverage . This means that, in order to respect his risk management rules and lose only $20 if the price reaches $53,250, Juan should not use leverage. If Juan wants to maintain the safety of risking only 20% of his capital with a Stop Loss 17% below his entry, he should place his sell order at $53,250 while using 1x. https://www.tradingview.com/x/eBURWDyU/ Case B Now let's consider a second scenario in which the chart structure offers a closer invalidation level, located at $58,120. In this case, the distance between the entry price and the Stop Loss is only 10%. Applying the same risk-management formula: Allowed leverage = % of capital willing to be risked / % distance to Stop Loss Allowed leverage = 20% / 10% = 2 Result: The calculation allows Juan to use 2x leverage . With 2x leverage, Juan enters the market with $200 ($100 of his own money and $100 borrowed). If the price falls 10% to $58,120 and his Stop Loss is triggered, his $200 position will lose 10%, which equals exactly $20 in losses, respecting his risk limit. However, if the price rises 20%, Juan will make $40 (20% of $200). https://www.tradingview.com/x/bWQK3He9/ 4. Trading Without Leverage For this final scenario, a more experienced Juan tells us that trading without leverage is the safest and most consistent way to invest because it eliminates the risk of margin liquidation. However, if Juan's goal is to make a living from the market, he knows that this approach necessarily requires a large amount of capital. Without leverage, the market's percentage returns translate directly into actual dollar gains without multipliers. If the capital is small, the absolute gains will be insignificant relative to the cost of living. In this scenario, there are only two ways Juan could lose all of his money: 1. By his own decision: Closing the position manually at a loss. 2. Through the bankruptcy or collapse of the asset (if Juan does not diversify): If the company declares bankruptcy (stocks), if the project falls to $0 (crypto/tokens), or if the issuer/custodian backing the instrument goes bankrupt (commodities). The Risk-Management Challenges Juan Faces Despite having no liquidation risk, trading without leverage still requires managing time and liquidity risk. A poor entry decision can leave his money tied up for months or even years in a losing position before he can exit at breakeven. While his capital is trapped, Juan will be unable to take advantage of other major opportunities the market may offer. To prevent a single frozen position from paralyzing — or destroying — his entire wealth, Juan must diversify his capital across different assets. This form of capital management can also be implemented in various ways, but I'll talk about those investment tricks another time.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept
TI

#EURUSD: All Eyes on the Fed Today

The ECB has already raised interest rates, and the market expects further tightening, but that has not been enough to trigger a sustained rally in the euro. Oil above $100 and persistent inflation risks are now strengthening expectations of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve as well. The market is now almost fully pricing in a 25-basis-point hike to 4%, meaning Kevin Warsh’s rhetoric and signals about the Fed’s next steps may prove more important than the rate decision itself. Technically, EURUSD has fallen below the key 1.16 level. But today, technical levels are secondary — the pair’s direction may ultimately be determined by the Fed’s signal on the future path of interest rates.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Gold rebounds; today's "fear data" may be underestimated.

From a daily chart perspective, the price remains below the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating an overall bearish trend. The area around $4,275 is a critical zone to watch; if the price can hold above the $4,317–$4,339 range, the short-term target would shift back toward the $4,387–$4,420 zone. The 100-day SMA, currently near $4,330, represents the key resistance level that gold must reclaim to initiate a short-term rebound; further upside focus should be placed on the middle band of the Bollinger Bands near $4,455. Only if gold can firmly establish itself above $4,455 will the bearish structure on the daily chart likely see significant improvement. On the downside, the initial area of ​​interest is the support zone near $4,275, which currently serves as a significant level of dynamic support. A decisive break below $4,275 would make the $4,245–$4,222 range the next critical area to test. Given the upcoming Federal Reserve policy decision, any confirmed breakout of these technical levels should be validated against movements in the US dollar and US Treasury yields.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Research 16.09.2026

🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY +2.58 +0.34%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ +4.45 +0.63%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: 08:30 USA – Export/Import Prices 08:30 USA – Retail Sales 10:00 USA – Business Inventories 10:00 USA – NAHB Housing Market Index 10:30 USA – EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change 14:00 USA – Fed Interest Rate Decision 14:30 USA – Fed Press Conference 📈 Gap Ups Reaction to earnings/guidance: NASDAQ:TCOM Other news: Barclays upgraded NASDAQ:ALVO from Underweight to Overweight and raised its price target from $4.00 to $8.00. Barclays highlighted the FDA’s decision to close its May 2026 inspection of Alvotech’s Reykjavik manufacturing facility with a Voluntary Action Indicated (VAI) classification. Eight operators are advancing AI-RAN proofs of concept and live trials with NYSE:NOK on NVIDIA platforms. NYSE:BE Gains Another ‘Meaningful’ Proof Point With Project Phoenix, Says RBC — 2 GW Build Reinforces Data Center Opportunity NASDAQ:SKHY and NASDAQ:INTC are discussing a potential agreement to manufacture memory chips in the United States. 📉 Gap Downs Reaction to earnings/guidance: Other news: NASDAQ:JBHT warned of a decline in earnings and highlighted rising operating costs. CRYPTOCAP:BTC , NASDAQ:COIN , NYSE:CRCL Under Pressure After CLARITY Act Vote Stalls. NYSE:STLA to invest over €1bn in French van plant upgrade – report ‼️ Additional Von der Leyen: The EU’s trade deficit with China has reached €1 billion per day. The EU depends on China for more than 80% of many critical raw materials and for 90% of certain rare earth elements. -- EU countries’ military spending has increased by nearly 80% over the past five years. -- We want to make Canada the EU’s first associate member. Musk’s X has partnered with Interactive Brokers, Moomoo, Gemini, Kraken, and Coinbase to launch trading, including cryptocurrencies, directly through the platform. The social network X is part of the SpaceX corporate structure. NASDAQ:SPCX Foreign investors are currently buying more US equities than US Treasuries, something that has occurred only three times over the past century. Deutsche says this reflects exceptionally weak demand for US government bonds. 🏢 IPO NYSE:ASBH – American Savings Bank of Hawaii Company is the third-largest bank in Hawaii by deposits, serving nearly 400,000 customers through 35 branches and 120+ ATMs across five islands. Its loan portfolio is heavily concentrated in Hawaiian real estate. Core thesis is a well-capitalized local banking franchise with a century-long operating history and strong market presence in Hawaii. Price: $16.00 Shares: 8.1M Raised: $128.9M Market Cap: ~$1.0B LTM: Revenue: $195.2M Net Income: -$30.2M Key point: The bank swung back to net profit in H1 2026 and reported a CET1 ratio of 13.5% and Tier 1 leverage ratio of 9.1%. Comparable public companies: NYSE:BOH , NASDAQ:FHB , NYSE:WAL , NASDAQ:COLB , NASDAQ:CVBF , NYSE:BANC 📋 List of tickers involved: NASDAQ:TCOM NASDAQ:ALVO NYSE:NOK NYSE:BE NASDAQ:SKHY NASDAQ:INTC NASDAQ:JBHT CRYPTOCAP:BTC NASDAQ:COIN NYSE:CRCL NYSE:STLA NASDAQ:SPCX NYSE:ASBH NYSE:BOH NASDAQ:FHB NYSE:WAL NASDAQ:COLB NASDAQ:CVBF NYSE:BANC Best regards – hi2morrow team.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept