Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is showing signs of exhaustion near current resistance after failing to hold higher levels. Bearish momentum is building, opening the door for a continuation move downward. A confirmed break under $4,280 clears the path for sellers to drive price down to deeper liquidity targets. *(Not financial advice. Manage your risk.)*
XAGUSD 4H — Smart Money Structure & Key Levels Silver is currently trading around 64.63, with price reacting from the marked demand/support area around 62.40–61.90. The recent structure shows a recovery from the lower demand zone, while the chart is approaching important resistance levels. Market Structure Previous price action established multiple BOS and CHoCH formations, showing shifts in market structure. The recent reaction from the 62.40–61.90 demand zone indicates that buyers are defending this area. The current move is approaching 65.32, which is an important short-term structure/resistance level. A confirmed break and close above 65.32 could provide additional bullish structure confirmation. Key Resistance Zones 65.32 — Immediate resistance / confirmation level 68.20 — Major supply/resistance zone 71.04 — Higher-timeframe resistance / weak-high area If price reaches the 68.20–71.04 region, watch the reaction carefully for rejection, liquidity sweep, or another structural shift. Key Support / Demand 62.40–61.90 — Primary demand zone marked on the chart. A sustained hold above this area keeps the recovery structure relevant. A decisive breakdown below the zone would weaken the bullish setup and require a fresh market-structure assessment. Trade Plan Rather than entering solely because price reaches a level, wait for confirmation such as CHoCH/BOS, rejection, or a valid retest on the lower timeframe. This can help reduce entries based only on anticipation. Important: This is a technical analysis scenario, not a guaranteed trade signal. Always manage risk according to your own strategy and avoid risking more than you can afford to lose.
Bearish setup s1 & s2 setup 1 broke the support daily ; setup 2 S2 (setup with ema9) we saw last Thursday that T1 was 77.302 ! Target 2 T2 is 73.348 It tested twice the resistance 79.677 without success 76.809 is today the new resistance (green) : maybe we will test it (monitoring 2h maybe there is a bullish setup)
MESZ is entering FOMC day with a neutral-to-slightly bullish structure. The first upside confirmation level is 7,697. A confirmed 1-hour close above that level could support continuation toward 7,720, followed by 7,750. On the downside, 7,643 is the key support level. A confirmed break below it could open the path toward 7,600. Key levels: 7,697 bullish trigger, 7,720 first upside target, 7,750 higher target, 7,643 key support, 7,600 downside target. Bullish: reclaim 7,697 → 7,720 → 7,750. Bearish: lose 7,643 → 7,600. With the FOMC decision at 2:00 PM ET, I’m waiting for confirmation rather than chasing the initial volatility. Not financial advice. No confirmation, no trade. CME_MINI:MESZ2026
Fed day is here, and the bank is widely expected to hike rates for the first time in three years. Interestingly, the Fed chair that President Trump took months to select and nominate has come into the bank with a highly hawkish tenor, and this likely has at least a little bit to do with the nomination process. After the administration leaked the name of Kevin Hassett, current director of the National Economic Council and widely considered to be a Trump loyalist, bond markets broke down with yields flying higher. Kevin Warsh was one of the next names on the list, and along the way, Trump said that a willingness to cut rates was a 'litmus test' for whomever he was going to choose. Matters haven't gone that way, however, as Warsh struck a hawkish tone at his first press conference in June and the reaction across markets was clear. To date, the Nasdaq 100 still hasn't set a fresh high since. But how hawkish is Warsh, really? It's clear that he has to strike a tone of Fed independence or else the upcoming maturity wall in US debt becomes an even larger problem. If the Fed is disinterested in managing inflation, who would want to hold 10-year notes at a 5% yield? So, he has to sound like inflation is the priority or else US debt becomes an even more unsustainable problem. On the other hand, if he invoked a Paul Volcker like stance, where crushing inflation is the only thing that matters, those exuberant valuations in equities start to look even more ridiculous. What's the point of holding on to stocks if the Fed is actively looking to stem economic growth in favor of lower inflation? So, this is a delicate balancing act, and markets are still very much getting to know Kevin Warsh. It's unlikely that the Fed put has been completely abandoned but given the state of the US Treasury market, there's reason to at least buffer that normally bullish and dovish tone that we've become so used to hearing. - JS
+> Analysis of Key Levels for Rejections, +> Reversal Areas/Zones where market can reverse after completing supply, +> If there's no confirmation of reversal then market can continue. * Analysis is for speculation only, it is not a advise or tip of any kind for your hard-earned money to trade or invest.
Fed Decision Preview: 25-Basis-Point Hike Expected; Focus on Dot Plot and Warsh’s Remarks The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a 25-basis-point interest rate hike at the conclusion of its September 15–16 monetary policy meeting, raising the target range for the federal funds rate accordingly. As the rate hike itself has largely been priced in by the market, the primary focus has quickly shifted to the Fed’s simultaneously updated Summary of Economic Projections—specifically the closely watched "dot plot." The dot plot will visually illustrate individual committee members' expectations for the future interest rate path—including views on the remaining meetings this year and the longer-term neutral rate—thereby offering the market vital clues regarding the continuation of the tightening cycle. Meanwhile, investors will closely scrutinize Chairman Kevin Warsh’s choice of words, tone, and assessments of inflation, employment, and growth during the post-meeting press conference. Any hawkish remarks could strengthen the US dollar, whereas signals of caution might trigger a pullback. This policy outlook will not only play a pivotal role in guiding near-term US dollar price dynamics but will also provide new directional momentum for gold, a non-interest-bearing asset: should the dollar strengthen on hawkish expectations, gold prices may come under pressure; conversely, they could find support.
LSK is testing key resistance after its recent move up, with buying momentum starting to fade. If sellers step in to defend this supply zone, price could trigger a sharp corrective wave back down. *(Educational post only. Manage your risk tightly.)*
US30: Bullish Harmonic Setup at Key Support Zone US30 has completed a potential bullish harmonic structure, with price now approaching the D point around the 51,800–52,000 area. The reaction from this zone was important. The buyers are defending the D-point region and looks like US30 already started a recovery toward the marked resistance levels. The first target is around 52,730, followed by 53,340. If momentum remains strong and the higher resistance is cleared, the next target sits near 54,090. The setup remains dependent on price holding the current reversal area. A sustained move below the D-point structure would weaken the bullish scenario and invalidate the projected path. Key levels: 🎯 52,730 🎯 53,340 🎯 54,090 You can find more details on the chart. Thanks! 🍀 ⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade. ❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 3.1% August/2026 +0.3% source: Office for National Statistics https://www.tradingview.com/x/p9rSM5fd/ - The UK’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.1% in August 2026, the highest in five months, in line with market expectations and up from 2.9% in July. Transport costs made the largest upward contribution to the annual rate, with inflation rising to 4.6% from 3.6% in July, driven particularly by motor fuels. Petrol prices rose 9.1 pence per litre from a month earlier to 161.3 pence, while diesel prices increased 14.2 pence to 181.8 pence, pushing motor fuel inflation to 23.0% from 15.5%. Inflation also rose for housing and household services (4.9% vs 4.6%), communication (5.3% vs 5.0%), and recreation and culture (1.6% vs 1.4%). Meanwhile, food inflation was unchanged at 1.3%. Core CPI inflation held at 2.6%, with goods inflation rising to 2.7% from 2.2% and services inflation unchanged at 3.4%. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.5%, the most in four months, matching forecasts and accelerating from 0.3% in July.
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) 4H — SMC & Price Action Analysis WTI is currently trading around 103.25, with the chart showing a strong bullish structure from the 80.70 demand area toward the recent 106.55 weak high. 🔹 Market Structure Price established a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, supported by multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations. The bullish displacement from the lower demand zones shows strong buying interest. The latest move pushed price toward 106.55, which is marked as a Weak High / Buy-Side Liquidity area. The recent reaction from this level suggests that a short-term retracement is possible, but confirmation is required before assuming a reversal. 🔻 Potential Retracement If sellers gain control after a rejection from 106.55, the marked levels become important downside reference points: 106.55 → 100.55 → 95.48 → 91.07 These are potential support/liquidity areas shown on the chart, not guaranteed targets. 🟦 Key Demand Zones 100.55: Immediate support / demand area 91.07: Higher-timeframe demand 80.70: Major demand and structural support 75.00: Lower higher-timeframe demand 72.00: Strong Low / major liquidity reference 📌 Candle Confirmation The candles near 106.55 should be monitored for rejection, displacement, MSS or ChoCH. A single bearish candle is not enough confirmation for a reversal. If price instead breaks and holds above 106.55, the bearish retracement scenario becomes less relevant and traders should reassess the structure using the new highs and retests. ⚠️ Trading Plan Wait for liquidity + market-structure confirmation + candle close before entering. Define stop-loss and risk in advance, and avoid chasing extended moves. Educational analysis only — not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
XAUUSD: 4,353 Holds the Recovery Door Open Market Context Gold is trying to recover after trading near the lowest area in more than one month, while traders remain cautious ahead of the key FOMC policy meeting. The downside pressure has slowed, but the market is not fully bullish yet. Higher Fed rate expectations and uncertainty around the policy outlook are still limiting aggressive buying. That means every recovery move needs confirmation, especially while gold remains below the main bearish mitigation zone. For now, gold is trading around 4,342. The short-term bounce is active, but the next test is clear: buyers must reclaim and hold above 4,353 to prove that this recovery has strength. Technical Structure Gold has reacted from the lower support area and is now pushing back toward the intraday decision level. The key level on this chart is 4,353. If price can hold above this level, the recovery may extend toward 4,385 - 4,400. This zone is the main bearish mitigation area and also the nearest sell reaction zone. That is where the real test begins. If gold reaches 4,385 - 4,400 and gets rejected, sellers may regain control and push price back toward the lower support area. Below current price, 4,320 - 4,330 is the nearest intraday support. Losing this area may weaken the recovery and bring price back toward the Bullish OB at 4,280 - 4,300. The deeper structure still shows bearish pressure above, so buyers need more than a small bounce. They need acceptance above 4,353 first, then a clean break through 4,385 - 4,400 to shift the short-term story. Key Levels Current Price: 4,342 Intraday Decision Level: 4,353 Nearest Support: 4,320 - 4,330 Bullish OB / Key Support: 4,280 - 4,300 Main Resistance / Sell Reaction Zone: 4,385 - 4,400 HTF Bearish OB / Major Premium POI: 4,410 - 4,435 Bullish Recovery Confirmation: Above 4,353 Bearish Continuation: Below 4,280 Trading Plan Primary Buy Recovery Scenario Entry: Above 4,353 after breakout and retest SL: Below 4,320 TP: 4,385 / 4,400 / 4,410 Condition: Buyers must hold above 4,353 with clear bullish momentum. If price accepts above this level, gold may continue its recovery toward the bearish mitigation zone. Primary Sell Scenario Entry: 4,385 - 4,400 after bearish confirmation SL: Above 4,425 TP: 4,353 / 4,330 / 4,300 Condition: Price rebounds into the main resistance zone but fails to continue higher. A rejection here would show that sellers are still defending the structure. Buy Reaction Scenario Entry: 4,280 - 4,300 after strong bullish confirmation SL: Below 4,255 TP: 4,330 / 4,353 / 4,385 Condition: Gold must show a strong reaction from the Bullish OB. This is only a support reaction setup, not a full bullish reversal unless price reclaims 4,400 with strength. Breakdown Sell Scenario Entry: Below 4,280 after breakdown and retest SL: Above 4,310 TP: 4,255 / 4,220 / 4,200 Condition: Gold loses the Bullish OB and fails to reclaim it. This would expose lower liquidity and confirm that downside pressure is extending again. Overall Bias Gold is recovering, but the recovery is still not confirmed as a full bullish reversal. The market is now testing an important intraday area. If buyers hold above 4,353, gold can push toward 4,385 - 4,400. But if price rejects from that resistance, sellers may use the bounce as another opportunity to continue the bearish structure. The most important support remains 4,280 - 4,300. Holding this zone keeps the recovery alive. Losing it would open the door for a deeper downside move. Best approach: do not chase the middle before FOMC. Wait for a clean hold above 4,353, a rejection from 4,385 - 4,400, or a strong reaction from 4,280 - 4,300. Will gold reclaim 4,353 and extend the recovery, or will sellers defend 4,400 and push price lower again?
Resistance-Based Downside Setup The stock is currently approaching a major resistance/supply zone around ₹10,300–₹10,500. From a technical-analysis perspective, this area is critical because the price is trading close to the upper resistance structure and may face selling pressure if it fails to sustain above the zone. Key Technical Rationale Major Resistance Zone ₹10,300–₹10,500 represents an important overhead resistance area. Failure to sustain above this zone could result in profit booking and a corrective move. Trendline Resistance The upper red trendline continues to act as a significant resistance barrier. A rejection from this trendline would strengthen the downside setup. Downside Levels If bearish confirmation develops from the resistance zone, the next important downside levels to monitor are: ₹9,000 – First Downside Objective ₹8,500 – Extended Downside Objective View The setup should be approached through price confirmation rather than prediction. A bearish reversal/rejection near resistance, followed by weakness below the recent swing structure, would provide stronger confirmation for the downside thesis. Trade Structure Resistance: ₹10,300–₹10,500 Downside Objective 1: ₹9,000 Downside Objective 2: ₹8,500 Invalidation: Sustained breakout and acceptance above the resistance zone Technical Bias: BEARISH BELOW RESISTANCE The key thesis is a potential rejection from ₹10,300–₹10,500, with ₹9,000 and ₹8,500 as the major downside levels to monitor.
Today's AAPL review focused on trend lines, higher time frames, and learning how to recognize signals before dropping down to the time frame where I actually execute my trades. I started by looking at the bigger structure and using trend lines to understand what price has been doing. From there, the focus was on reading the signals developing on the higher time frames and understanding why those signals can carry more weight in my overall analysis. In today's video, I covered: Using trend lines to better understand market structure Moving to higher time frames to get a clearer view of the bigger move Identifying signals developing on higher-time-frame charts Why a higher-time-frame signal can provide stronger context for my day trade Using the higher time frame to build the idea and the lower time frame to refine execution Waiting for price to confirm the higher-time-frame idea instead of assuming the signal has to work One thing I'm continuing to learn is that higher time frames aren't just about seeing more candles—they can change how I interpret what's happening on the lower time frames. If I see an important signal developing on a higher time frame, I want to carry that information with me when I move down to my execution chart. A move that might look random on a lower time frame can make a lot more sense when I understand the larger structure behind it. The goal isn't to let the higher time frame predict my trade. It's context. I can build the idea there, but I still want the lower time frame and price action to confirm whether that idea deserves a trade. Dad Stock Joke: I asked the higher time frame why it always seems to know more than the lower one. It said, “I've just been around longer.”
https://www.tradingview.com/x/CDV0bg1u/ Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 4,347.20. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 4,302.02 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Take note of the economic calendar overlay! Today brings heavy, high-impact USD events, specifically the Core Retail Sales at 12:30 PM, followed by massive volatility from the FOMC Interest Rate Decision, Statement, and Press Conference starting at 6:00 PM.
EUR/USD 4H - Hey guys! Back with an update for you all on the trading week, as you have all probably noticed its a little quieter in here this week. There has not been much to report. It is important we do not force trades or setups when it comes to Forex, so as a result there are periods when things are a little quieter, nevertheless we are still in on two positions with this market. The original trade is running + 153 pips. (+ 5.6%) 5.6RR The second trade is running + 105 pips. (+ 3%) 3RR A big well done to those involved, as you all know when a trade reaches 3RR I tend to take a partial of 50%, this is a safety measure I have always implemented to maximise profits and minimise losses. Any questions with regards to the analysis or the trades themselves then please go ahead and drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible!
Gold is showing a potential bullish breakout on the 4H chart after breaking above the descending trendline and reclaiming the 4,343–4,344 zone. Price is currently around 4,345, so the key now is whether buyers can hold this breakout area as support. 📌 Trade Setup — LONG Entry: 4,343.787 Stop Loss: 4,307.377 Take Profit: 4,401.587 Risk/Reward: ≈ 1:1.6 🔎 Why I'm Watching This Setup 🔹 Descending trendline breakout — Price has pushed above the falling trendline that had been controlling the previous move. 🔹 Support reclaim — The 4,343 area is being reclaimed after acting as a resistance zone. 🔹 Strong bullish candles — Buyers have shown increased momentum from the 4,272 support area. 🔹 Major support below — The 4,272 region remains an important structural level. 🔹 Upside target — 4,401–4,402 is the next significant resistance/target area shown on the chart. 🎯 Confirmation I'm Watching Breakout → hold above 4,343 → successful retest → continuation toward 4,401. If price falls back below the breakout zone and loses momentum, the setup needs to be reassessed. Key levels: 🟢 Entry: 4,343.787 🎯 TP: 4,401.587 🔴 SL: 4,307.377 📍 Major support: 4,272.404 Gold has now moved from defending support to challenging the previous downtrend. Will buyers turn this breakout into a sustained move toward 4,400? ⚠️ Technical analysis only, not financial advice. Manage risk carefully.
GBP/USD Setup Breakdown ⚬ Market Alignment: Clear bearish bias. Strong lower highs and lower lows across the 1H timeframe, completely aligned with the broader descending channel. ⚬ Structural Break: Price cleanly breached key horizontal support at 1.34692, confirming downside momentum. ⚬ Execution Plan: Looking for a pullback into 1.34692 (now turned resistance). Waiting for exhaustion wicks or lower timeframe rejection before triggering shorts. ⚬ Target: 1.34270 baseline for a clean ~42 pip drop
🛢️ WTI CRUDE OIL — 2H PROFESSIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE WTI Crude Oil is currently trading around 103.40 on the 2H timeframe. The broader structure shown on the chart remains contained within a bearish descending channel. Price has recently pushed upward toward the upper boundary of the channel, where significant resistance and supply are present. The key area to watch is around 106.00–107.00, where the chart shows a clearly marked resistance level at 106.79 together with an order block / supply zone. 🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO If price moves back into the 106.00–107.00 resistance/order-block zone and produces a strong bearish rejection, this could provide a potential short setup. 📍 Potential Entry: 106.20–106.80 🛑 Stop Loss: 107.30–107.50 🎯 TP1: 103.50 🎯 TP2: 100.50 🎯 TP3: 95.50–96.00 The first target is near the current price area, while the deeper targets align with progressively lower levels inside the channel and the marked demand/order-block zone around 95.50–96.00. 🧠 WHY THE SHORT SETUP MAKES SENSE Several technical factors are aligning: 🔹 Upper Channel Resistance: Price is approaching the upper side of the descending channel. 🔹 Horizontal Resistance: The chart identifies approximately 106.79 as a major resistance level. 🔹 Supply / Order Block: The highlighted zone around 106–107 represents an area where sellers may become active. 🔹 Bearish Channel: Until price establishes a sustained breakout above the channel, the existing channel structure remains relevant. 🔹 Downside Liquidity: A move lower could initially target the 103.50 area, followed by the lower regions around 100.50 and 95.50–96.00. ⚠️ INVALIDATION & CONFIRMATION Avoid entering purely because price reaches the resistance zone. A better technical confirmation would be a 2H bearish rejection, bearish engulfing candle, or clear failure to break the 106.79 resistance. If price instead breaks above 107.00–107.50 and establishes a strong 2H close above the resistance/channel structure, the bearish setup should be reconsidered because the expected rejection would no longer be confirmed. 📌 TRADE PLAN SELL ZONE: 106.20–106.80 🔴 SL: 107.30–107.50 🛑 TP1: 103.50 🎯 TP2: 100.50 🎯 TP3: 95.50–96.00 🎯 Overall chart bias: 🔴 Bearish while price remains below the 106.79–107.00 resistance area. This is a technical chart interpretation, not a guarantee of future price movement. Risk should be managed according to your own trading plan. Would you like the next version as TradingView post style or short signal format?