I published an AJ set up earlier and said what I was personally looking for before executing any longs or shorts. With price breaking and retesting the new hourly high on the 15m time frame I decided to take longs for a 1:3rr. We'll see if price taps into that major level of support above I spoke about in my last AJ post.
With today's CLARITY Act not passing in the Senate, uncertainty and risk have entered the market once again. When this happens, one of my favorite things to check is stablecoin dominance, specifically Tether dominance (USDT.D), since it remains by far the largest stablecoin by marketcap. Reviewing the Last Idea To begin, I recommend going back through some of my recent USDT.D posts, but I want to build directly off this one: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDT.D/e5etwisP-USDT-D-More-Cash-to-be-Deployed/ In that post, I was pointing out how Tether dominance had reclaimed the channel, suggesting more cash was about to be deployed into the crypto markets, pushing USDT.D lower. Since then, things have changed, and I want to outline exactly what that looks like now. The Primary Channel First, take a look at this parallel channel. I have been tracking this structure since April of this year: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDT.D/YflJoClt-USDT-D-Time-to-Pile-Into-Cash/ This channel has done a phenomenal job marking significant highs and lows, and what it has just done structurally is important to pay close attention to. Dominance first broke back into the channel, after trading above it for a while, on August 21, 2026. USDT.D respected being back within the channel boundary, with several daily rejections below its upper line. Then, right at the beginning of September, USDT.D attempted to break back above the channel but failed, resuming respect for the upper boundary as resistance once again. However, on September 9, 2026, something changed. Dominance decisively broke out back above the channel, and for the past week USDT.D has used the upper boundary of the parallel channel as a launching point to move to the upside. What This Means Going Forward Therefore, market participants are likely to continue this momentum by converting crypto back into cash. Given this breakout, the move will bring USDT.D back toward my green line around 8.15% to 8.25%. It is difficult to say exactly where this would put Bitcoin, but it would most likely be sub $70,000, so stay very vigilant heading into this. Why the Structure Supports This Move Another reason this breakout looks compelling for Tether dominance is where the recent lows formed. Many of those lows occurred right around old resistance from November 2021 (red arrow), which has now flipped into new support around the 6.75% dominance level (green arrows). The MACD is also looking very strong and is likely to have a similar move to the two previous moves I have outlined with black arrows. From a structural perspective, this setup looks strong for a push back toward the levels outlined above. The FOMC decision is tomorrow, so brace for significant volatility.
XAU/USD 15-Minute Analysis — Bullish Setup 🟢 Trend: Bullish — price is moving inside an ascending channel. Current price: ~4,284.9 Buy zone / Entry: 4,270.6 — wait for price to retrace into this zone and show bullish confirmation. Stop Loss: 4,250.0 Target: 4,324.9 Resistance: 4,315–4,325 sell/resistance zone. Liquidity: Sell-side liquidity appears below the recent lows around 4,270–4,275; a sweep followed by a bullish reversal would strengthen the setup. Structure: Price is pulling back toward the lower boundary of the rising channel. Holding this area can support another move toward the upper channel/resistance. Trade Plan BUY: 4,270.6 zone SL: 4,250.0 TP: 4,324.9 Bias: BULLISH — but avoid chasing at the current price; the chart's planned entry is lower around 4,270.6.
ASX:VR8 PSE:ION MIL:LMG ASX:TGN NYSE:WEC MYX:SOP ASX:DXN ASX:PVE TSX:MRD ASX:AUQ Momentum leading shares are the market's best performers today. They are the fastest-growing shares on the ASX over the last 90 days. These companies can't get to be leaders without first appearing on our Launch Pad list. The Launch Pad List is shared on Thursdays and the video interview published after market close on Fridays. Today's ASX's Top 10 Quarterly Momentum Stocks are: Vanadium Resources Limited (VR8) Iondrive Limited (ION) Latrobe Magnesium Limited (LMG) Tungsten Mining NL (TGN) White Energy Company Limited (WEC) Synertec Corporation Limited (SOP) DXN Limited (DXN) Po Valley Energy Limited (PVE) Mount Ridley Mines Limited (MRD) Alara Resources Limited (AUQ)
Abc corrective wave ? More downside to come. Have cash ready now Massive gains by 2028 and 2029 After finding long term support in the buy zone
On-chain metrics indicate that there isnt enough liquidity to start the bull run so price will fall back below 60k
Depending on last data, SYN is one of the best building tokens at this moment, and on this reason there is high chance that this token can build to new uptrend targets, we will follow the trend to see how this token can process..
USD/CHF 1H Technical Analysis: Identified a bullish continuation setup with a clear sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), confirming sustained bullish market structure. No bearish reversal pattern is evident on the chart. The setup includes a defined entry, a stop-loss below the recent HL, and two upside take-profit targets with structured risk management.
daily tf bullish, dfvg at golden fib zone. buy limit placed or can be at cmp. bullish momentum expected as of today is fomc meeting as well.
Right now, ETH bulls are facing their last line of defense at $2,355. If this level is lost, ETH could see a rapid decline of 10% or more. Let me explain. First, what even is this $2,355 level? It comes from the 3-day chart, where it acted as the primary resistance sellers defended before ETH crashed down to the $1,500 low. For reference on how important that level was historically, view this idea: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/yPN1Uj14-ETH-The-Battle-Begins/ Now that price is trading above it, buyers have been using this old resistance as a new level of support. This is clearly visible in ETH's recent lows on Coinbase. The first low after the major pump was established on August 23rd around $2,355.82. Then on September 2nd, price created a double bottom at $2,355.20. Today, with the CLARITY Act failing, ETH reached a low of $2,356.82, giving ETH a current triple bottom structure right at this level. However, if price cannot continue holding these lows, there is very little support between here and $2,150. If that level is reached, it becomes increasingly likely ETH goes lower still, something I will address in a future post if that scenario develops. The Trendline That Has Called Every Top Now for the real substance of this post. Let's dive into the black trendline and all the red X's outlined on the chart. This is arguably the most important thing to watch on ETH's daily timeframe, and it is likely to remain significant for the rest of this market cycle. I have this trendline drawn from the beginning of February 2026, and it has played the most significant role in marking ETH's tops throughout this entire price range. This is not a random line drawn after the fact. It is one I have been tracking and referencing for months. If you are surprised by how many times ETH has topped at this exact trendline, I highly recommend going back and reviewing some of my past work where it was outlined in real time. I first identified this trendline on May 5th as the upper boundary of a rising wedge scenario: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDC/bR1yw8lf-ETH-Both-Scenarios/ It then reappeared as the top of a bear flag I outlined here: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/gITAatsV-ETH-How-this-Drop-was-Predicted/ I extended it again to project where a local high was likely to form as ETH was rallying sharply to the upside in this idea: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/mTed2jNt-ETH-Where-the-Next-Local-High-Could-Form/ And finally, I extended both trendlines forward to current price action in this idea: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/cdDKsyGD-ETH-LTF-Signs-of-Weakness/ Why the Break Would Be So Important This is incredible market structure to see developing, because it strongly suggests this trendline reflects a level algorithmic and institutional players are actively using as a decision point. The more times a level gets respected without breaking, the more significant the eventual break becomes, since it likely triggers a wave of stop losses and trapped short positions all at once once it finally gives way. Because this trendline has correctly called nearly every one of ETH's local tops since February, a daily close above it would represent a genuine and clear shift in trend direction. Once that close occurs, it becomes highly likely that the true bull market for ETH has begun. So although the short term outlook does not look great if $2,355 breaks, keep a close eye on that upper trendline. Once it finally breaks, that is when it will be time to celebrate. I have also added all of the Fibonnaci levels for the current trend to watch if price does start dropping to the downside. I hope this brings you some educational value today.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/mnFhUVFI/ 🍀Overview I am not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups rather than subjective chart analysis. I built the rules into a strategy to make the decision-making process more systematic. This setup occurred before the strategy was developed. The trade is documented retrospectively and will be followed until the strategy exits or a discretionary exit is executed according to predefined rules. 🍀Process Ticker : NASDAQ:SHOP Date : 11/03/2025 Timeframe : Daily Direction : Long Strategy : Reversal Strategy Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot Signals Main signal: RSI Signals crossed above 30, indicating an exit from the oversold zone. This contributed a score of 0.5 Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator reached 92.04, exceeding the required threshold of 80. This contributed a score of 0.5 Signal Scoring Main signal score = 0.5 Confirmation signal score = 0.5 Long setup score = Main signal score + Confirmation signal score = 0.5 + 0.5 = 1.0 Long score threshold: 1.0 The long setup score met the required threshold. The strategy therefore placed a long bracket order. Risk Management Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1 Entry: 92.95 (the close of the setup candle) Stop distance: 26.39 (approximately 4x daily ATR) Target distance: 105.60 (approximately 16x daily ATR) Order Management : Bracket order Limit entry: 92.95 Market stop: 66.56 Limit target: 198.55 Baseline Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached. 🍀Outcome Trade Execution 11/03/2025: The daily candle closed, triggering the strategy to place a long bracket order. 13/03/2025: Price reached the trigger level, and the long entry filled. Trade Status Trading: active P.S. I’m currently applying this strategy to the Nasdaq-100. Let me know which stock you’d like me to look at next. Stay lucky!🍀
As I have said repeatedly, I fully expect price to move lower. Rather that be in a minor retracement, or a larger move to a new local low. I also mentioned last night that I thought the clarity act was going to fail and thus cause price to fall. As of now, that is exactly what has happened. Looking at the structure being carved out, I can easily count 3-waves lower from our recent local top. This move lower needs to continue with strength to be considered a wave iii and give the turquoise a chance to fill out. To start chopping without filling out a wave iii gives the white count great credence. We will have to wait to find out, but imo, it is the white and turquoise counts that have the highest probability of filling out. P.S - Just a reminder, orange can apply to both white and turquoise. It is merely stating that this could be the longer-term bottom before wave III begins. Wave III will send price to the moon.
AUDCAD is approaching a very important area on the chart where a Bearish Shark harmonic pattern is completing. The Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) around 1.0250 is the main area to watch. Price has made a strong move higher into this zone, so a rejection here could start a larger move to the downside. Another important part of the setup is the trend channel. Price has been moving higher inside the rising channel, with the upper channel line now lining up closely with the Potential Reversal Zone. This makes the area even more important. If price reaches the PRZ and gets rejected, I’ll be watching for a break back below the trend channel as additional confirmation that the trend is changing. Trade Setup Entry: Around 1.025 Stop Loss: 1.0500 TP1: 0.9350 TP2: 0.9025 TP3: 0.8450 The 1.0250 PRZ is the key level. A strong rejection from this area would support the Bearish Shark setup, while a move above 1.0500 would invalidate it. For me, the combination of the Bearish Shark, Potential Reversal Zone, and rising trend channel is what makes this area important. Now I’m watching to see if AUDCAD can reject the PRZ and break out of the trend channel to the downside.
SPY, 3W Chart, We'll be talking about this chart for months and years to go into the future. Clear bearish divergence in play, I am not bullish on stocks here for the short term, but this will be the last generation buying opportunity of the 2020s!
Rollover's complete, next contract active — fresh analysis from here. Bias: short, as long as the sub high holds — shifts to long once it breaks. Sitting out the NY session today given the interest rate decision; pre-market focus only. Zone Colors: • Gray marks reaction zones (conditional trades, targets) • Red marks trade locations Key Levels: • Swing High: Confirmed Trend Shift • Sub High: Early Trend Invalidation • Swing Low: Trend Continuation Trade Idea Short inside the identified trade location around the sub high supply zone, targeting the swing low, with the sub high as risk reference. The idea is invalidated if either the swing low or the sub high breaks. Price is close to the market pullback zone — a possible early sign the swing structure is shifting. I'm waiting for the directional-shift confirmation once price approaches the market pullback zone rather than treating a swing low break in isolation as a clean continuation signal, given how close the two levels already are. Three potential price zones sit inside the pullback zone, visible on zoom out. Grab the chart or zoom out on the preview to see all zones. The reasoning, if you want it. Swing structure broke with a same-day pullback, and the current swing low got violated but not yet broken. The volume profile anchored to the last confirmed swing high has its POC distributing right toward that violated level — that combination is what's creating the early signal that direction might be shifting from down to up. It's exactly why price approaching the market pullback target while that signal is already building changes how I'd read a swing low break here: confirmation of continuation, technically, but not something to chase in isolation this close to a level with its own reversal potential. Shared for educational and analytical purposes only — not financial advice or a trade recommendation. Entries, stops, and targets are shown for study, not signals to copy.
Price has been rejecting 348 level multiple times. It will drop to 336
After pushing up toward $79,852, BTC was rejected and has been working its way lower. On the 1-hour chart, price has now reached the 0.618 Fibonacci area, with $74,887 sitting underneath as the key support level. This is where things get interesting. If $74,887 holds, I’d be watching to see if Bitcoin can stabilize and work its way back toward $77,800, which is an important resistance area. A reclaim there could put the recent highs back into focus. But if $74,887 breaks and fails to recover, the chart opens up toward $73,100 first, with the deeper Fibonacci extension sitting around $69,200. For me, this is less about guessing the next move and more about watching how price reacts at these levels. Support holds → watch the reaction. Support fails → watch the downside targets.
Pre FOMC tomorrow, these are my results so far 10 trades taken 6 wins 4 losses using 1.6 risk to reward (1.5 plus 0.1 for commissions) 125 tick stops 200 tick targets So far up 5.6R I am risking 3% risk per trade So far, I am ok with the results. Two losses were just random variance and didn't work out. Nothing to fret about that. The other two were just poor execution and being a dummy. One loss I entered in way too early before the pullback to the 20 and got tagged out. I reentered and tried it again. The other loss, I honestly don't know what I was thinking. I shorted right at the low of day and immediately got slapped. I occasionally have these dumb trades/squirrel brain moments. What I do is cut all losses at 125 ticks so if I am a moron, I am out fast. This is the one thing I do not mess around with. Get out and walk away. https://www.tradingview.com/x/AeRxKtR3/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/88yInlIa/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/zdEDqrD4/ With FOMC on Wednesday, I am taking the day off. I DO NOT touch FOMC Wednesday's. I have about 8 or 9 good trading days left in September. I might take 6-8 more trades depending on what presents and if my setups are there. My goal is to sustain the 60%-win rate I have and finish the month out with a 10R month.
In this video, we look at the 12 day chart of Nvidia to determine what the next major move could be and why I am bearish on the stock price for the next 12 months
The best trades are the ones in which you have all the factors in your favor. Waiting for such trades requires patience and discipline.” – Paul .