Former CIA official found with $40 million in gold bars for ‘work-related expenses’ reaches tentative plea deal
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First seen12 Sept, 23:37Former CIA official found with $40 million in gold bars for ‘work-related expenses’ reaches tentative plea deal
Investigators searched Rush's home and seized about 300 gold bars worth more than $40 million, plus about $2 million in U.S. currency and about 35 luxury watches.
Fortune•The Associated Press
Follow-up14 Sept, 14:42XAU/USD | Gold Drops To $4253, Major Demand Zone Under Pressure!
By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 6H timeframe, we can see that after the previous analysis, selling pressure continued and Gold dropped as low as $4253 . Currently, price is trading around $4270 and sitting inside a very important demand zone. The key area to watch is $4224 – $4285 . If buyers manage to defend this zone, we could see another recovery from here. However, if Gold breaks and stabilizes below this area, the probability of a much deeper sell-off increases. If this analysis has been useful so far, give it a Boost and support the idea so I can share the next Gold update with you sooner. :)) In that case, I’ll be watching $4200 first, followed by $4166 and potentially $4122 as the next major downside targets. For now, everything depends on the reaction from the $4224 – $4285 demand zone . This analysis will be updated soon so keep the support coming if you want the next update faster. :))
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Follow-up14 Sept, 14:47Will I Buy or Sell Gold this Week?
Hey Rich Friends, Happy Monday, I hope all is well. This is my technical analysis for Gold so please make sure to check the news and cross-reference your own charts. Here is what I am looking at: - The first thing I noticed is that the market has been pretty bearish for the last fews days. I have to wonder if this trend will continue or are the sellers exhausted? - The market has crossed and closed below the previous day's low around 4292. This is a bearish confirmation for me. - The red candle bodies still look strong with little to no wicks at the bottom showing there is little resistance from the buyers. This is a bearish confirmation for me. - The stochastic is still facing down, the slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue), and one or both lines have crossed below 20. This is a bearish confirmation for me. - There is a gap to be filled between 4216 and 4135 (or lower) before the market turns bullish. Additional Information: - The stochastic is already oversold, but this does not mean an automatic turnaround. This would give me pause to jump in for a sell right away. Check lower timeframes for confluence. - I will be using past areas of support as SL and previous lows as TPs: 4216, 4200, 4135 and lower - If the market does buy, it will revisit these prices: 4300, 4333, 4365 and higher I am leaning toward swinging a sell but great luck if you decide to take this trade. Peace and Profits, Cha
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Follow-up14 Sept, 16:29GOLD 4H MARKET REPORT
Hey Everyone, Gold continues to respect the Goldturn route map, with price reacting precisely around our key weighted levels. We previously had the bullish gap at 4323 and the bearish gap at 4335 on the radar. The bearish gap at 4335 was filled, followed by the EMA5 lock, which opened 4253 Goldturn. As highlighted on the chart, 4253 has now been tested and respected, delivering the reactional bounce we expected from the lower Goldturn. From here, we are expecting this reaction to push price back towards 4335. A further EMA5 cross and lock above 4335 will reconfirm the upside route and bring the 4423 Goldturn back onto the radar. However, if price fails to break and lock above 4335, then we should expect 4253 to be retested as support once again. We will keep you updated as the route develops. Mr Gold
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Follow-up14 Sept, 17:02GOLD BULLISH REVERSAL — Target 4355
Gold is showing a strong rebound from the **4291 support zone**, with buyers stepping back in after the recent decline. The price is currently around **4315**, suggesting bullish momentum could continue if support holds. 📌 **Entry Zone:** 4291–4315 🎯 **Target:** 4355.616 🛑 **Invalidation:** Sustained break below 4291 The setup favors a move toward **4355.616** as long as the 4291 support remains protected. Trade with proper risk management.
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Follow-up14 Sept, 17:18Gold 4H — Support & Liquidity Setup
Gold is currently trading near a strong support zone around 4,200–4,250. Price remains below the descending trend line, showing short-term bearish pressure. A BOS (Break of Structure) has occurred, while liquidity is resting around 4,500. If price holds the support and breaks above the trend line, we could see a move toward the 4,500 liquidity area. Key levels: • Support: 4,200–4,250 • Liquidity: ~4,500 • Trend-line breakout = potential bullish move • Below support = further downside risk
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up14 Sept, 17:22
BUY REVERSAL SIGNAL XAUUSD- ASSET GOLD BUY
Bullish momentum confirmed with strong structure break and rejection from key support zone. Price showing continuation strength ahead of the London session. Targeting higher liquidity levels with clear upside potential. Entry: Active Stop Loss: Below recent swing low Take Profit: 1st AT 100 PIPS DAILY SIGNALS Momentum is building as bulls step back into control! This setup highlights a high-probability short-term buying opportunity, ideal for traders who thrive on clean structure, momentum, and precision timing. Market Snapshot Structure Shift: Price holds a strong higher low — a classic sign of bullish intent. Momentum Building: Buyers are defending key levels, showing early control. Entry Zone: A focused area where upside acceleration is likely to begin. Risk Control: Stop-loss levels kept tight (around 40–50 pips) for efficient capital protection.
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Follow-up14 Sept, 19:01Gold intraday outlook. 15/Sept/26
XAUUSD is still holding above the head and shoulder neckline. Will it break the neckline after FED rate? or after BOJ rate?
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Follow-up14 Sept, 19:06GOLD MOVEMENT WHAT U RATE THIS
Gold Analysis Top-Down High & low Trendline Smc strategy The setup shows all of this and marks the selling and buying zones. Rate this analysis and also tell me your ideas.
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Follow-up14 Sept, 23:33GOLD Local Short! Sell!
https://www.tradingview.com/x/GuyNfsBI/ Hello,Traders! GOLD is breaking beneath the horizontal supply area with strong bearish displacement, confirming redistribution and exposing sell-side liquidity near the marked target.Time Frame 7H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!
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Follow-up15 Sept, 03:01Gold (XAUUSD) 1H – Testing 4325 Resistance
📊 FXGoldVision Daily Market Outlook 🟡 Market Status: WAITING Market Phase: Decision Zone Bias: Neutral until H1 confirmation. Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 4315 inside the 4300–4323 decision area. H1 and M15 momentum are recovering, but D1/H4 structure remains mixed-bearish and DXY is recovering. Confirmation is required before directional conviction increases. ⭐ FXGV A-SETUP — Higher Quality 🔴 SELL BELOW 4298 (H1 Close) A completed H1 candle close below 4298 would confirm a bearish break of the immediate support area. M15 follow-through or a retest would improve confirmation quality. 🎯 TP1: 4280 🎯 TP2: 4250 🎯 TP3: 4200 Invalidation: H1 reclaims and holds above 4323 after bearish confirmation. ↩ FXGV B-SETUP — Alternative 🟢 BUY ABOVE 4325 (H1 Close) A strong H1 candle close above 4325 would shift the short-term structure higher. M15 agreement and a healthy retest would strengthen the confirmation. 🎯 TP1: 4348 🎯 TP2: 4370 🎯 TP3: 4399 Invalidation: H1 closes back below 4300 after bullish confirmation. ⚠ RISK Higher-timeframe resistance remains above current price. H1/M15 momentum is bullish, while D1/H4 remain bearish/mixed. DXY is also recovering. Upcoming US economic releases may increase volatility and false-breakout risk. The chart should therefore remain in 🟡 WAITING status until an objective H1 confirmation occurs. The drawing standards require the chart and written analysis to use identical zones, confirmation levels, targets and invalidation. ⏳ Wait. Confirm. Execute. No confirmation = No trade. Educational Analysis Only. Not Financial Advice.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 03:11GOLD: Gold Price Forecast for September 15
📰 Fundamental News and Gold Price Action The USD and US Treasury yields are rising, putting pressure on Gold. US CPI data continues to indicate persistent inflation, leading the market to expect the Fed to maintain a cautious monetary policy stance. The FOMC meeting on September 16 is the most important upcoming event and could trigger significant volatility in XAUUSD. Although geopolitical tensions continue to support safe-haven demand, pressure from the USD and Treasury yields remains dominant for now. => Short-term fundamental outlook: Bearish bias on Gold. --- 📊 H1 Chart Analysis – Key Levels and EMAs 🔴 Key SELL Zone: 4,350–4,365 I consider this the most attractive Sell zone on the current chart because: * This is a supply zone that has triggered multiple price reactions. * The EMA34, EMA50, and bearish market structure are converging around this area. * Price continues to form Lower Highs on the chart. If price retraces to 4,350–4,365 but fails to break above this zone, it is highly likely to be just a pullback before another bearish move. Notably, this zone is also consistent with the 4,350–4,368 supply area that several recent H1 analyses are monitoring. => This remains my preferred SELL zone. 🔴 Closer SELL Zone: 4,325–4,335 Price is currently trading around 4,306, just below this zone. The problem is that the distance is relatively small. If price retraces toward: 4,325 → 4,335 and an H1 or M15 rejection candle forms, this could present an opportunity for a short-term Sell trade. However, I consider this zone less attractive than 4,350–4,365 because: * The entry is close to the current price, increasing the risk of being stopped out by a liquidity sweep. * The risk-to-reward ratio may not be favorable if the stop-loss is placed above 4,350. Some market analyses also identify 4,325–4,335 as an important short-term support/resistance zone. ⚪ Zone: 4,265–4,250 This zone is currently not safe for an immediate Buy or Sell entry. Reason: Price has already made a strong bearish move into this area before bouncing. If price continues to decline toward this zone, we should not immediately BUY simply because price reaches the level. It would be better to wait for: * A liquidity sweep of the lows; * A strong rejection wick; * A bullish engulfing candle; * Or an M15/H1 market structure shift toward a **Higher Low**. If confirmation appears, a Buy scalp could be considered. If an H1 candle closes below 4,255–4,260, this gray zone would be invalidated, potentially opening the door to a deeper bearish move. --- 📝 Summary The H1 structure remains Bearish, characterized by Lower Highs and Lower Lows. The upward move from 4,260–4,280 currently appears to be a technical retracement rather than a confirmed trend reversal. The preferred strategy is to wait for price to retrace into resistance before looking for SELL entries, rather than chasing Sell positions at the lows. BUY setups should only be considered if price breaks through key resistance levels and forms a Higher High + Higher Low structure. => H1 Bias: Bearish — Prefer SELL on pullbacks.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 03:28Gold may going to break down streak
Based on the current situation and the chart pattern i qm expecting now gold is going to end the down trend from today onwards, my initial resistance is 4358 if it breaks today than my next target is 4550
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Follow-up15 Sept, 04:02Gold market opens the week with a **bearish revolt**,
Gold market opens the week with a **bearish revolt**, as price looks to mitigate the **4250** level. The current structure remains tilted toward further downside as the market seeks to complete the mitigation. **Bias:** Bearish **Target:** 4250 **Structure:** Downside mitigation follow for more insights , comment and boost idea .
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Follow-up15 Sept, 04:43Gold Could Continue Falling If 4,330 Is Not Broken
📊 Market Overview: XAU/USD is trading around 4,300–4,315 USD, after falling sharply to around 4,255 USD in the previous session. Gold is currently trying to stabilize but remains under selling pressure as the USD strengthens and U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated. The market is particularly focused on the Fed meeting on September 15–16. Expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike have risen to around 90–93%, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has moved above 5% and the DXY has risen toward 99.55. These factors are putting significant pressure on the non-yielding asset. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil has risen above $106 per barrel, increasing inflation concerns and leading the market to expect the Fed to maintain a tighter monetary policy for longer. 📉 Technical Analysis: On the H1 timeframe, XAU/USD continues to maintain a bearish structure after breaking below previous support levels. Price remains below the EMA 09, indicating that short-term selling pressure remains dominant. On M30/M15, buyers are attempting to create a recovery from the 4,290 area, but the buying momentum is not yet strong enough to signal a reversal. If price continues to form lower highs and is rejected around 4,320–4,330, the probability of further downside will increase. The RSI remains in a weak zone, reflecting continued bearish momentum, although traders should remain cautious of a technical rebound following the recent sharp decline. 🔴 Resistance: 4,320–4,330 4,345–4,365 🟢 Support: 4,285–4,275 4,250–4,235 🎯 Conclusion & Strategy: Prioritize SELL if price rebounds to 4,320–4,330 but fails to break above this zone, with an initial target of 4,285, followed by 4,250–4,235. If price breaks and holds above 4,330, the short-term bearish scenario will weaken, and gold could recover toward 4,345–4,365.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 05:19GOLD BOUNCE SETUP — 4280 HOLDS, 4400 IN SIGHT
Gold is attempting to stabilize after the sharp sell-off toward the 4265–4280 area. Price has recovered back above 4300 and is now testing the short-term resistance around 4335–4340, while the broader structure remains under pressure. The current reaction from support suggests a potential recovery setup, but bulls still need to reclaim the nearby resistance and confirm momentum. The main scenario is to wait for a controlled pullback toward the 4280–4290 support zone. If this area holds and bullish confirmation appears, Gold could recover toward 4335–4340. A clean breakout above this resistance would open the way toward the major 4355–4360 zone. Sustained momentum above 4360 could signal a stronger recovery toward 4400. On the downside, a sustained break below 4280 would weaken the recovery structure and expose the recent low around 4250–4260. 📍 KEY LEVELS: 🔹 4280–4290 Key support zone and preferred area to monitor for a BUY reaction. 🔹 4250–4260 Major downside support if the 4280 zone fails. 🔹 4335–4340 Immediate resistance and first recovery target. 🔹 4355–4360 Major resistance and key breakout area. 🔹 4400 Extended upside target if Gold breaks and holds above 4360. ✅ PREFERRED SCENARIO: Gold holds the 4280–4290 support zone. Pullback remains controlled and bullish reaction appears. Recovery above 4335–4340 → bullish confirmation. Breakout above 4355–4360 → continuation toward 4400. Sustained break above 4400 → stronger recovery. Break below 4280 → reassess the bullish setup. BIAS: 🟢 BULLISH — RECOVERY — Gold is showing an early recovery from the 4265–4280 area. The preferred approach is to look for a confirmed bullish reaction from support and then a breakout above 4335–4340 / 4355–4360 to validate the move toward 4400.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 05:339.15 Gold Trading Strategy
Gold remains in a mild consolidation. The trading range stays at 4280–4380. There is an overall bullish rebound momentum, and no favorable short opportunities are available. We will continue to seek long positions near support zones. Today’s long entry zone is 4260–4280, awaiting an upside breakout. Strong support below is at 4260, and key resistance above sits at 4340. Gold Trading Strategy for Today: XAUUSD Buy @ 4260-4280 TP1: 4320 TP2: 4340 Accurate strategies shared daily. Trading involves substantial market risk. Please trade under professional guidance. Market conditions may shift at any time, and I will update strategies promptly.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 06:50SilentEntry - GOLD (XAUUSD) Daily Outlook-15 September 2026 | H1
Gold remains within a broader bearish H1/H4 structure, but price is currently consolidating after buyers defended the 4260–4280 First Support zone. Price is now trading around 4292, directly inside the 4285–4300 Decision Area. This is currently a WAIT zone, not an ideal location to chase either direction. The recent H1 structure has created liquidity on both sides. Buyers have defended the lows around 4260–4280, while recovery attempts continue to struggle around 4310–4330. 📊 Market Structure D1: 🔴 Bearish / Corrective H4: 🔴 Bearish H1: 🟡 Bearish / Consolidation & Recovery Attempt The broader structure continues to favor sellers while Gold remains below 4330–4355. However, sellers need to break 4260 before the next bearish continuation can be considered confirmed. 🟢 BUY Scenario Gold needs to defend 4285–4300 and reclaim 4310. The stronger confirmation would be an H1 break and acceptance above 4310–4330. If confirmed: 🎯 TP1: 4310–4330 🎯 TP2: 4340–4355 🎯 TP3: 4385–4400 Acceptance above 4330 would strengthen the recovery structure. A sustained reclaim above 4355 would represent a more meaningful bullish structural improvement. 🔴 SELL Scenario The broader structure still favors sellers while Gold remains below 4310–4330. A rejection from 4310–4330, followed by a loss of 4285, would favor another move lower. 🎯 TP1: 4260–4280 🎯 TP2: 4230–4250 🎯 TP3: 4190–4215 Alternatively, an H1 break and acceptance below 4260 would provide direct bearish continuation confirmation. ⚠️ Below 4230 = current recovery thesis invalidated. 💧 Liquidity Map Buy-side liquidity: 4310–4330 → 4340–4355 Sell-side liquidity: 4260–4280 → 4230–4250 Watch carefully for a liquidity sweep. A temporary break below 4260 followed by a rapid reclaim of 4280–4300 could indicate sellers being trapped. Likewise, a spike into 4310–4330 followed by rejection back below 4300 could represent a buy-side liquidity sweep before another bearish move. ⚠️ Current Trading Area Gold is currently around 4292, inside our 4285–4300 Decision Area. Do not chase the middle. The cleaner confirmation areas remain: 🟢 Above 4310–4330 → recovery continuation 🔴 Reject 4310–4330 + lose 4285 → bearish continuation 🔴 Below 4260 with H1 acceptance → stronger bearish continuation Until one of these conditions develops, patience is preferred. 🗺️ Key Levels Major Resistance: 4340–4355 Near Resistance: 4310–4330 Decision Area: 4285–4300 First Support: 4260–4280 Major Support / Defence: 4230–4250 Recovery Invalidation: Below 4230 Deeper Bearish Target: 4190–4215 📌 Current Bias: Bearish structure, but WAIT for confirmation because price is trading between nearby buy-side and sell-side liquidity. The trend favors sellers, but entry location matters more than simply following red candles. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Market levels and scenarios are not guaranteed. Gold can be highly volatile, especially around major economic news. Always wait for confirmation, manage risk carefully, and trade according to your own risk tolerance. 🥷 SilentEntry — Precision Entries, Smart Risk Trade the Plan, Not the Emotion.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 07:51GOLD Short-Trade
Hey guys, welcome to my trading-diary. Pretty quick one but watching orderflow it looks liek gold wants to drop! I`m already short here! Strong absorption at the top of the recent consolidation gives a strong hint of a drop! lets see! =)
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Follow-up15 Sept, 07:57Gold M30: 4,360 Rejection or 4,250 Sweep?
Gold is recovering — but the M30 structure has not turned bullish yet. After the sharp decline, XAUUSD bounced from the 4,245–4,255 liquidity area and formed a short-term recovery. But price is now approaching an important decision zone. 📊 M30 Market Structure Current: 4,301.935 M30 Supply: 4,355–4,365 Trendline / 0.618 Area: 4,315–4,325 Local Structure: 4,285–4,295 SSL / Liquidity: 4,245–4,255 Major OB: 4,401 The recovery is interesting, but the broader intraday structure remains defensive until price can reclaim the upper supply. 🔴 Bearish Scenario If 4,355–4,365 rejects price: 4,360 → 4,320 → 4,290 → 4,250 A clean break below 4,245–4,255 would favor further downside. 🟢 Bullish Alternative If Gold first sweeps 4,245–4,255 and then prints a clear M30 MSS with a reclaim of 4,290–4,300: 4,300 → 4,320 → 4,355–4,365 A sustained reclaim above 4,365 could then expose 4,400–4,401. 🌍 Macro Catalyst Markets are now pricing roughly a 93% probability of a 25bp Fed hike this week, while the dollar and Treasury yields remain elevated and oil is trading around $107. That makes the FOMC reaction more important than the pre-event direction. Will Gold reject 4,360 first — or sweep 4,250 before reversing?
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Follow-up15 Sept, 07:57Gold Today Outlook |Key Level | 15 SEP 2026
### MARKET STRUCTURE Gold is trading around **$4,288–$4,302** after breaking lower from the $4,350 area. The short-term structure remains **bearish** below $4,400–$4,435. ### KEY LEVELS **Support:** $4,253–$4,260 → $4,200 **Resistance:** $4,317–$4,355 → $4,400–$4,435 **Sell Zone:** $4,315–$4,355 **Buy Zone:** $4,250–$4,260 A break below **$4,250** could open further downside. A confirmed reclaim above **$4,360** would weaken the bearish setup. ### DXY & YIELDS **DXY:** ~99.60–99.67 **US 10Y:** ~5.02–5.03% Higher dollar strength and elevated yields continue to pressure gold. ### MACRO & FED **FOMC is the key catalyst.** Hawkish Fed → stronger USD/yields → bearish for gold. Dovish guidance → weaker USD/yields → bullish recovery. Markets are pricing roughly **85%+ odds of a 25 BPS hike on Sep 16.** ### GEOPOLITICAL RISK US-Iran tensions and elevated oil prices continue to support safe-haven demand, but oil-driven inflation may keep Fed policy hawkish. ### TRADE BIAS **Bearish: 65% | Bullish: 35%** **Confidence: Medium** Gold remains bearish-leaning while below **$4,360–$4,400**. **NEXT MAJOR CATALYST: FOMC — 16 SEPTEMBER** *Not financial advice. Manage risk carefully.*
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Follow-up15 Sept, 07:58Gold Bullish > EQHs
Gold has created pretty nice equal highs within price... Could be a good potential bullish target. - Aman SMC Wolf FX
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Follow-up15 Sept, 08:02Gold (XAUUSD) — Potential Recovery From Key Support Zone
Gold is currently testing an important support area around 4,270–4,285. Price has recently moved lower from the 4,400 region and is now showing signs of stabilization near this highlighted demand zone. The chart structure suggests a possible recovery scenario if this area continues to hold. A sustained move above the nearby 4,300–4,320 region could provide additional confirmation of improving momentum. The first major area to watch is around 4,390–4,410, which previously acted as an important reaction zone. If price can move through this region with strength, the next higher area of interest is around 4,480–4,515. The marked lower zone remains important for the overall setup. A decisive move below approximately 4,235 would weaken the bullish structure and invalidate this recovery scenario. Key levels: 🟢 Support zone: 4,270–4,285 🔵 First resistance: 4,390–4,410 🔵 Higher resistance / objective zone: 4,480–4,515 ⚠️ Structure invalidation: below 4,235 This is a technical scenario based on the highlighted price structure. Price action around the support and resistance zones will be important for confirmation.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 08:56Gold Under Pressure, But Recovery Zone Is Approaching
Gold continues to trade under selling pressure after the recent decline, with sellers repeatedly defending the descending trendline and pushing price toward the lower part of the current trading range. The fundamental picture is also important. Rising U.S. Treasury yields, a stronger U.S. Dollar and increasing expectations for tighter Fed policy are currently limiting Gold's upside. Higher oil prices are adding to inflation concerns, which is further supporting expectations for elevated interest rates. However, after an extended decline, a technical recovery remains possible if buyers successfully defend the current support zone. From a technical perspective, price is now approaching an important support/demand area around 4,240–4,270. This zone has the potential to attract buyers if selling momentum begins to weaken. Rather than chasing the downside at these lower levels, we are watching closely for a liquidity sweep, rejection, and bullish market-structure confirmation. Hope you found this analysis helpful. 👍 Like, Comment & Follow for more updates.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 09:28GOLD H1 SCALPING — WAIT FOR THE RECOVERY, THEN SELL
Gold continues to trade under bearish pressure on H1 after failing to reclaim the previous resistance structure. Price is currently holding near the lower support area, so the preferred approach for the US session is to wait for a recovery before looking for short positions, rather than chasing the downside. 📌 MAIN SCENARIO The key focus is the 4,319–4,349 resistance area. If Gold rebounds into this zone and shows a clear rejection, the bearish structure remains valid and sellers may regain control. A stronger recovery toward 4,399 would be another important area to monitor for a potential short setup. The downside targets remain 4,253, followed by 4,224. 🔑 KEY LEVELS 🔴 4,443 — Major resistance / extended sell zone 🔴 4,399 — Key resistance 🔴 4,349 — Primary rebound & sell area 🔴 4,319 — Near-term resistance 🟢 4,253 — Key support / first downside target 🟢 4,224 — Extended downside target 🎯 PREFERRED SCENARIO Wait for Gold to recover into the resistance zones. Focus on 4,319–4,349 for the first short opportunity. A rejection from the zone would confirm bearish continuation. If price pushes higher, monitor 4,399 for the next selling opportunity. Target 4,253 first, followed by 4,224 if downside momentum accelerates. Avoid chasing Sell positions while price is sitting directly on support. 🔻 BIAS BEARISH — WAIT FOR THE RECOVERY, THEN SELL. The H1 structure remains bearish, with the descending trendline continuing to cap upside attempts. For the US session, patience is key: let price come to the selling zone and wait for confirmation.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 09:33Gold
XAUUSD - Order Block - Bearish Channel as an corrective pattern in Higher Time Frame - Equal Highs - Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves - RSI - Divergence
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Follow-up15 Sept, 09:42XAUUSD: Gold H4 Head & Shoulders Has Broken
XAUUSD: Gold H4 Head & Shoulders Has Broken A Head & Shoulders pattern has formed on the H4 Gold chart, and the neckline has now been broken. This is an important structural development. The neckline break gives us a clearer bearish direction for the higher timeframe, but I would not treat this as a simple short-term entry signal. For me, this setup is more valuable as a directional guide for Day Trading. Instead of blindly selling after the neckline break, I would rather use the bearish H4 structure to look for short opportunities on lower timeframes. H4 Structure - The pattern is clear: Left Shoulder → Head → Right Shoulder → Neckline Break With the neckline now broken, the bearish scenario becomes active. As long as price remains below the broken structure, the downside targets remain relevant. Setup - Bias: Bearish H4 Pattern: Head & Shoulders Neckline: Broken Short-Term Target: 4111 Pattern Target: 3900 Invalidation: 4454 The 4111 area is the first important downside objective. If the full Head & Shoulders structure plays out, the measured pattern target is around: 3900 But there is an important distinction here. This is not necessarily a trade I would enter simply because the neckline has broken. The H4 setup tells us where the larger market direction is leaning. For Day Trading , I would prefer to see a pullback, rejection, liquidity sweep, or bearish price action on lower timeframes before looking for an entry. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/v3XzbCb5-Gold-Broke-Support-But-I-m-Not-Chasing-the-Sell-Yet/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/aMu0zDNx/ What Would Invalidate the Idea? The bearish thesis loses its validity if the current H4 structure is reclaimed and price breaks the 4454 invalidation level. A sustained move back above that level would mean the Head & Shoulders setup has failed, and the market would need to be reassessed. So the plan is straightforward: H4 bearish structure → wait for lower-timeframe confirmation → look for short opportunities. No need to chase the first move. Fundamental / Macro Context The current macro environment is also giving some support to the bearish short-term case for Gold. Gold has recently come under pressure as the Dollar strengthened, Treasury yields moved higher, and expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike increased. Reuters reported on September 15 that markets were pricing roughly a 92% probability of a 25-basis-point hike, while the rise in yields and the stronger Dollar were weighing on non-yielding Gold. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has also moved above 5%, reaching levels not seen since 2007, which creates additional short-term pressure on Gold. However, the longer-term Gold story is not simply bearish. Gold ETF demand remains strong: the World Gold Council reported that physically backed Gold ETFs attracted around 18 Billion Dollar of inflows in August, while global ETF holdings reached a record 4,189 tonnes. So I would separate the two: Short-term: bearish pressure Medium/long-term: still supported by structural demand That is another reason I prefer using this H4 pattern as a directional framework for Day Trading, rather than assuming Gold must immediately fall to 3900. Conclusion The H4 Head & Shoulders gives us a meaningful bearish structure. 4111 is the first target. 3900 is the full pattern target. 4454 invalidates the idea. For me, the real opportunity is not chasing the neckline break. It is using the H4 bearish bias and waiting for the lower timeframe to give us a cleaner Day Trading setup. Let the higher timeframe give us the direction. Let the lower timeframe give us the entry. ⚠️ Risk Warning: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Gold can be highly volatile, especially around major economic events. Always define your risk and invalidation before entering a trade.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up15 Sept, 09:50
Bond and Currency Market Dynamics Exacerbate Pressure on Gold Pr
The decline in gold prices is not an isolated event but is closely linked to movements in the U.S. bond and global currency markets. Analysts attribute the sustained rise in yields over the past month to a combination of factors: persistent inflation, heightened expectations for interest rate hikes, a massive supply of corporate and government debt, a robust economic growth outlook, and concerns regarding the long-term U.S. fiscal trajectory. These indicators clearly show that the market is pricing in a path of higher interest rates. Federal funds futures indicate that traders assign a 93% probability to a Federal Reserve rate hike this Wednesday—up sharply from approximately 60% just a week ago. The Fed’s upcoming "dot plot" may also reveal that some policymakers anticipate another rate hike later this year. The U.S. dollar has strengthened across the board in this environment, briefly touching a two-week high of 99.735 during the session. Safe-haven inflows, a surge in oil prices, and market concerns regarding the potential risks of AI have all bolstered the dollar. However, this strength carries risks; should the Federal Reserve ultimately opt to keep rates unchanged or deliver a "dovish" hike without explicitly committing to further action, the dollar could quickly come under pressure.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 10:14Gold 15-09-2026
Gold Charting📊 15-09-26 These area for day trading or for swing trades rest trading tips we will share shortly📉📈. We have mentioned the key liquidity areas also Key reversal areas. Trade as per your confirmation. Risk Disclaimer🚨 All the information we are providing in the form of charts and signal is for educational purposes only📚. Trading involved high risk and may result in financial losses📉. Members are responsible for their trading decisions🛑as we are not your financial advisor.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up15 Sept, 10:30
the value of gold as an asset allocation needs to be reassessed.
As global fiscal risks converge, the value of gold as an asset allocation needs to be reassessed. Although gold has staged a strong rally this year, allocations by U.S. institutions remain notably low. Total holdings in gold ETFs are poised to hit record highs, reflecting the undeniable rise in risk within the global fiscal landscape. "This is precisely why gold serves as a market pressure relief valve; there is simply no alternative," he noted. Overall, while Federal Reserve monetary policy remains a direct driver of short-term gold price volatility, this represents merely transitory noise. When looking at the deteriorating global fiscal outlook, short-term interest rate adjustments fail to address the root causes of the sovereign debt crisis; policy actions may slightly accelerate or delay the materialization of risk, but the ultimate outcome remains unchanged. Gold fundamentally reflects the long-term erosion of the pricing currency's purchasing power, and mounting fiscal pressures will continue to reinforce its value as an investment asset. Beyond short-term market fluctuations, the long-term trajectory of sovereign debt serves as the true "North Star" for gold investment.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 10:52GOLD (XAUUSD) 4H: Bearish Market Structure & Key Targets
On the 4-Hour timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has shown a clear market structure reversal following a rejection from the major higher-timeframe resistance supply zone around $4,700–$4,730. After forming lower highs and lower lows, price action confirms strong bearish momentum breaking down toward major demand order blocks below. Key Technical Highlights: Major Resistance (Supply Zone): Heavy sell imbalance detected at $4,700–$4,730 (Order Block 97% Sell / 3% Buy). Lower High Order Block: Secondary bearish reaction zone established near $4,630 (Order Block 94% Sell). Current Price Action: Testing the immediate demand zone around $4,220–$4,250 (34% Sell / 66% Buy Order Block). Trading Plan & Scenarios: Primary Bearish Outlook: If price breaks and closes below the $4,220 support, expect continuation down toward Target 1 ($4,200 area). A sustained loss of Target 1 opens the path toward Target 2 around the major demand order block ($3,850–$4,000 zone). Alternative Scenario: Any short-term relief bounce into previous lower-high zones (e.g., $4,400–$4,500) could offer additional short/sell-on-rally opportunities as long as the market structure remains bearish below $4,700. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance / Supply: $4,500 | $4,630 | $4,720 Support / Demand: $4,220 (Target 1 Zone) | $4,000 | $3,850 (Target 2 Zone) Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk properly.
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up15 Sept, 11:00
Jewelry sales are heating up as Gen Z seeks out ‘little treats’ and the ultra-rich go for chunky gold
A Kohl’s executive recently said fine jewelry “just seems to be something that continues to trend incredibly well with our customers.”
MarketWatch•Bill Peters
Follow-up15 Sept, 11:43GOLD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
https://www.tradingview.com/x/aTcLkxZn/ GOLD SIGNAL Trade Direction: long Entry Level: 4,283.59 Target Level: 4,311.84 Stop Loss: 4,264.75 RISK PROFILE Risk level: medium Suggested risk: 1% Timeframe: 1h Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
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Follow-up15 Sept, 12:05Gold rebounded from the 4,262 area and stalled under the 4,290
OANDA:XAUUSD , US session read from my KenKem Master Volume Profile (MVP) indicator & strategy. CONTEXT Pre-open, about 30 minutes before New York. Price 4,282 has recovered from the 4,262 low but sits under VWAP (4,289) and under the M15 EMA 100 and 200, so the broader structure still leans lower. Net-volume pressure on the rebound reads buyer-led, which is why this is a lean and not a verdict. KEY ZONES • Resistance / supply: 4,289.7 to 4,290.6 (value area high + master POC, with VWAP just under), then 4,299.5 • Support / demand: 4,277.7 (master value area low), then 4,266.9 to 4,263.8 • Point of Control (volume magnet): 4,266.9 SCENARIOS (to watch, NOT signals) 📉 Bearish (slightly more likely, roughly 55/45): an M5 close back under 4,277.7 opens 4,266.9, then 4,263.8 (thin trade between the value area low and the POC). 📈 Bullish: a close above 4,290.6 opens 4,299.5 (buyer pressure on the rebound is still active). ↔️ Range/unclear: stuck between 4,277.7 and 4,290.6, stand aside until a decisive close. ⛔ Invalidation: a close above 4,299.5 voids this lower-leaning map. WHAT THE MVP TOOL IS SHOWING The Master Volume Profile plots rolling value areas (VAH/VAL), the Point of Control, and a net-volume pressure read to locate where volume is building or drying up. This idea is the qualitative output of that tool; the strategy's internal thresholds, gating and entry/exit logic are not disclosed. Built with the KenKem Master Volume Profile indicator & strategy. Technical analysis only, by KenKem's algorithm, NOT financial advice. Trade your own plan and manage your risk.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 12:23GOLD | Bears Target 4231 as Fed Pressure Builds
Gold continues to show bearish momentum, with the fundamental environment also favoring sellers ahead of the Fed decision. Technically As long as gold trades below 4296, the bearish structure remains active toward 4270. A confirmed 1H candle close below 4270 would strengthen selling pressure and support continuation toward the key bearish target at 4231. A break below 4231 could expose 4202. On the upside, a confirmed recovery above 4296 would support a bullish correction toward 4330. However, this would still be considered a corrective move, with bearish pressure potentially returning from the 4330 area. A stronger breakout above 4330 would open the way toward 4363 and weaken the immediate bearish outlook. Fundamentally, rising Treasury yields, a stronger U.S. dollar and expectations for a Fed rate hike continue to support the bearish scenario, although geopolitical tensions could create sudden safe-haven volatility. Pivot: 4296 Support: 4270 – 4231 – 4202 Resistance: 4330 – 4363
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Follow-up15 Sept, 12:26Gold at Major Support — Is the Next Bullish Wave Beginning?
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently trading near a major Support Zone and is attempting to break above the key trading level of $4,288. The reaction from this area could determine whether buyers are ready to regain short-term control. Can gold confirm the recovery and extend its move toward the nearby Resistance Zone? Technical Analysis From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be developing a Zigzag Correction(A-B-C). Wave B appears to have been completed, suggesting that an impulsive Wave C to the upside could now begin. 💡 Educational Note: In a Zigzag Correction(A-B-C), Waves A and C are typically impulsive, while Wave B develops as a corrective move between them. I expect gold to move higher toward at least $4,306. If bullish momentum strengthens, the move could extend toward $4,316, followed by a potential attempt to break above the nearby Resistance Zone. However, the strength of the reaction from the current Support Zone will be important in confirming this bullish scenario. Trade Setup First Take Profit(TP): $4,306 Second Take Profit(TP): $4,316 Stop Loss(SL): $4,250 Key Trading Level: $4,288 Which level do you think gold will reach first? 🟢 $4,316 🔴 $4,250 📌 Gold Analysis(XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always use proper risk management and set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position. 🚀 If this analysis helps your trading plan, a BOOST would help more traders discover it.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 12:29GOLD | Storyline
XAUUSD — STRUCTURE TELLS THE STORY A simple price-action breakdown using Support, Resistance & Market Structure. • 1. THE ORIGINAL TREND Gold was previously respecting an uptrend , creating a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. • 2. THE SHIFT After reaching the highs, momentum weakened and price started forming a series of lower highs. • 3. RESISTANCE The descending trendline acted as a clear resistance area, repeatedly rejecting bullish attempts. • 4. SUPPORT BREAK The 4,320 area had previously acted as support. Once price moved below it, the zone became an important area to watch for a potential support → resistance flip . • 5. THE NEXT AREA OF INTEREST If bearish structure continues, the previous resistance zone around 4,160 becomes an important historical support area to monitor. THE KEY IDEA Price doesn't move randomly — it leaves a structure behind. Trend → Structure Shift → Resistance → Support Break → Potential Continuation The real question isn't simply: BUY or SELL? It's: What is price structure telling you before you make the decision? 💬 What's your analysis? Are you seeing a continuation lower, or do you expect price to reclaim the 4,320 area? Educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 12:38Gold longs into Asia high
Gold longs into Asia high. London discovery pending into Asia high.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 12:48Gold Wedging into the Fed
Gold broke out in a big way after the last FOMC rate decision, and the big takeaway there was that Kevin Warsh wanted to sound hawkish without actually hiking rates. For this one, however, it looks like there may be little choice as Warsh is but one voice at the Fed and continued strength in inflation, combined with high oil prices, have pushed higher the odds of a move at tomorrow's meeting. That seems well priced-in for gold but what matters now is what's next. Will the Fed open the door for a second hike this year, as markets are pricing in? This could, of course, risk equity rallies just two months ahead of mid-term elections. Or, will Warsh try to soften the blow during the press conference with talk about confidence around inflation and economic stability despite surging Treasury rates? In gold, there's a door for bullish reversals but bulls are going to need to move quickly. There's a falling wedge on the daily chart and these are often approached with aim of bullish reversal. The logic being that sellers aren't stretching at lows while they are still hitting pullbacks - and that lack of confidence to drive bearish breakouts is a fact that could eventually turn into less enthusiasm on selling rips. - JS
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Follow-up15 Sept, 13:14Day 3 of journaling this gold setup
Sometimes the market teaches you the lesson after you change your plan. After Friday’s CPI spike pushed Gold into my 4238 Order Block, I was watching how price would react from there. The key level for me was the 4371 IND. The next few candles failed to close above it. In fact, price closed back below the level, and got a bearish candle confirmation. And eventually, price did exactly what I initially thought it wouldn’t do — it pushed down into my original target zone. Now we’re seeing how price is reacting from that area. The lesson? Trading Gold, commodities, or stocks isn’t just about technical analysis. The same macro catalysts that move crypto — CPI, Fed decisions, economic data, major legislation and other fundamental events can drive these markets too. What changes is how price delivers that information through liquidity and market structure. That’s something I’m paying much more attention to as I continue journaling: I hope someone is learning from this. See you next time.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up15 Sept, 13:25
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Head & Shoulders on the daily
The daily chart shows a clear Head & Shoulders pattern: Left Shoulder, Head towards 4700, Right Shoulder formed, and price is now testing the neckline around 4285-4290. 📉 Setup: Pattern: Daily H&S (LS – Head – RS) Price is sitting on the neckline and attempting to break it to the downside Target: 4200 / 4150 Extension possible towards 4000 if the fundamentals keep weighing on price 📊 Confluence: The 4200/4150 zone isn't random — there's an FVG there that lines up across the weekly, daily and 4H. Multiple timeframes pointing to the same reaction zone. 🌍 Fundamentals: The macro backdrop currently remains bearish for gold and supports the downside case towards the target zone. 🔎 My view: I'll personally be watching around 4150 for a potential reversal — that's where the H&S target lines up with the multi-timeframe FVG. Until that zone, the bias stays short.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 13:30Key Technical Signals for Gold Trading at Present
From a 4-hour chart perspective, gold remains in a short-term downtrend, with rebound highs constantly being suppressed. The area around $4,320 is a critical zone for short-term monitoring; if the price finds support there and breaks back above $4,350, a short-term corrective rally could emerge. However, if rebounds remain capped below $4,330 and the price falls back below the $4,270 level, downward pressure could intensify, leading to a further test of the $4,250–$4,220 range. Current momentum indicators are weak but have not yet reached extreme oversold levels, leaving open the possibility of gold testing lower lows ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision. The key factors determining the next directional move will be whether yields can sustain a decline from the 5% level and whether the Fed's policy stance proves less hawkish than current market expectations.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 13:33Gold 4H: My Long Setup Failed, Now $4,300 Is Resistance
This is the next entry in my KCGI Trading Manual, where I’m continuously documenting my trades, reviewing mistakes, and improving the process My previous Gold setup was bullish. I was looking for an entry around $4,350, with $4,415 as the first target and $4,308 as the invalidation level. Okay, looks like bad luck, this failed.Gold rejected the higher levels and broke below $4,308. On the latest 4H chart, price is around $4,272, so I’ve now shifted my bias bearish. To summarize my mistakes,The biggest mistake was execution. I identified $4,415 as the bullish confirmation level, but then entered around $4,350 before that confirmation happened and treated $4,415 as my take-profit. Those two ideas were contradictory. So, everyone, this is a simple lesson. if a level is my confirmation level, I shouldn’t enter before confirmation simply because the risk/reward looks attractive. As for now My current bias is bearish below $4,300. I’m not chasing the move lower around $4,272. Instead, I want to see whether Gold can retest $4,290–$4,300 and reject that horizontal resistance. If it does, that would be my preferred short setup. If Gold reclaims $4,300 but remains below $4,350, I’ll reassess rather than automatically flip bullish. A sustained move above $4,375 would invalidate this bearish thesis. Another improvement to my process is adding ADP + NY Fed Manufacturing to the setup. I’ll use these data points to evaluate changes in growth, employment and Fed-rate expectations, then compare them with US 2Y/10Y yields and DXY. In addition, we can also learn from BTC and ETH remain secondary comparisons. If Gold, BTC and ETH all weaken together, I’ll consider the broader risk/liquidity environment. If Gold weakens while BTC and ETH remain strong, I’ll focus more heavily on the rates and dollar explanation.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 14:07Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook
My current analysis highlights a potential upside move in Gold toward Box A, which represents a key liquidity zone. Price action is showing strength, and this area is likely to attract buy‑side liquidity before any significant reversal. - Upside Bias: The market structure suggests that Gold may continue its upward momentum, at least until Box A is reached. This aligns with the liquidity grab scenario, where price seeks to clear resting orders above recent highs. - MACD Confirmation: The MACD indicator is currently supporting bullish momentum, adding weight to the upside bias. This technical confirmation strengthens the case for potential buy setups in the near term. - Buy Setups: Any well‑structured buy entries in this zone could be favorable, provided risk management is applied. Traders should monitor intraday signals for confirmation before entering positions. - Potential Reversal: After the anticipated push to the upside, Gold may face resistance and begin a corrective move. The chart highlights a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) as the probable downside target. This zone could act as a magnet for price once liquidity is taken out at the highs. --- Summary In short, Gold is showing bullish momentum toward Box A, supported by MACD. However, traders should remain cautious, as the upside move may eventually lead to a reversal into the Daily FVG zone. Red line is my liquidity line As always, market wins! trade with care. be a part of the market FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
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Follow-up15 Sept, 14:08GOLD (XAUUSD) — 8H SUPPORT REVERSAL SETUP
Gold is currently holding around 4,297 after a strong pullback. Price has entered a major 8H support zone around 4,272–4,285, while the rising trendline is also approaching this area. 📌 Trade Setup — LONG Entry: 4,278.541 Stop Loss: 4,272.404 Take Profit: 4,492.405 R:R: ~1:35 🔎 Why I'm Watching This Setup 🔹 Major 8H support: Price is reacting from a previously important demand area. 🔹 Trendline confluence: The rising trendline is approaching the same support region, creating additional confluence. 🔹 Potential reversal: After the recent bearish move, price is beginning to stabilize around support. 🔹 Major upside level: 4,492 is a significant resistance area and represents the potential target if buyers regain control. Confirmation I want to see buyers continue defending the 4,272–4,285 zone. Support holds → bullish reaction → break of nearby resistance → continuation toward 4,492. If price breaks and holds below 4,272, the bullish setup is invalidated. ⚠️ The extremely tight stop shown on the chart means this setup is highly sensitive to normal Gold volatility. Position sizing is important; a wider structural stop with smaller position size may be more robust than risking too much on a very tight stop. The 8H chart is showing a much clearer structure: Gold is sitting at a major decision zone. Will buyers step in?
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Follow-up15 Sept, 14:20XAUUSD: Short Setup — Gold Testing $4,290 Breakout Zone
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is holding near five-week lows around $4,285 - $4,300. Increased selling pressure opens the path for a breakdown toward lower demand levels.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 14:27GOLD SHORT TERM FUTURE
What I see is a solid downward movement, my only concern is whether GOLD will break that strong support at 3950 before the year ends or we'll have to hold on a little longer. I hope tomorrow's speech by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh gives us a clear direction.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 14:28Gold (XAUUSD) H4 - 4 Scenarios
Gold (XAUUSD) H4 - 4 Scenarios We are still in the correction phase within a markdown wave. It presents four possibilities, all of which indicate that the correction is not yet complete before we enter a bullish impulse wave. 1st https://www.tradingview.com/x/URjfgLCR/ 2nd https://www.tradingview.com/x/llQQGNC6/ 3rd https://www.tradingview.com/x/zuwcPMNG/ 4th https://www.tradingview.com/x/xAnDhkLh/
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Follow-up15 Sept, 14:30HOW-TO: Read Breakout Retries and New Patterns on Gold
A second breakout inside the same formation and the first breakout of a new formation are different events. This historical XAUUSD daily example shows how to distinguish them with Pattern Breakout & Retest . 1. Follow the descending channel The first structure is a five-touch descending channel, marked Q70. Price closes below its lower boundary and PBR records ▼ BO. A later RT ✓ confirms the selected retest rule. This chart uses “Touch = retest” with a sloped retest/failure reference, so the check mark does not guarantee that the downward move will continue. 2. Separate failure from the next attempt Price closes back inside the original channel, and the first breakout meets the failed-breakout threshold. PBR marks ✗ Failed BO. Before the formation expires, another close breaks below the lower boundary and produces ▼ BO #2. Both attempts belong to the SAME descending channel. BO #2 is another downward attempt, not a new channel and not an automatic reversal signal. It starts fresh retest, target and failure tracking while retaining the earlier event labels. 3. Attribute each target to the correct attempt The second downward attempt receives its own RT ✓ and subsequently reaches its projected level near 3,953. The red 🎯 near the later triangle's starting low belongs to that channel attempt. It is not a bearish signal generated by the triangle. 4. Recognize the later, separate triangle PBR later confirms a five-touch symmetrical triangle, marked Q75. Its name label and ▲ BO appear on the confirmation bar in this example. This is a NEW formation with its own first breakout, rather than BO #3 of the earlier channel. The green 🎯 belongs to the triangle's upward breakout, whose measured-move reference was near 4,409. No RT ✓ appears for that upward attempt in the displayed sequence: a projected target can be reached before a qualifying retest occurs. 5. Read the labels as events, not trade results Q70 and Q75 describe geometric quality, not win probabilities. RT ✓ means the chosen retest conditions were met. A target marker means price reached a projected level after the breakout bar; it does not establish an entry, exit or realized return. The practical workflow is to identify the formation first, follow its breakout attempt number, then read the retest, failure and target events attached to that attempt. Start that process again when a separate pattern is confirmed. This is a historical explanation of indicator behavior, not a current trade signal or performance claim. Pattern lines describe earlier touches; the name label marks when the formation became known. Explanatory text was added manually and the statistics table is hidden for clarity. The chart uses FX:XAUUSD (FXCM); its volume represents feed tick activity rather than centralized exchange volume. Different feeds and settings may produce different results. Indicator demonstrated: Pattern Breakout & Retest (public invite-only script). https://www.tradingview.com/script/UAhE2g3u-Pattern-Breakout-Retest-PBR/
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Follow-up15 Sept, 15:08GOLD Bearish Breakout!
https://www.tradingview.com/x/JqQVyeLp/ HI,Traders ! #GOLD made a bearish Breakout of the key horizontal Level of 4317.31 and the Breakout is confirmed so We are bearish biased and We will be expecting a Further bearish move down ! Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
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Follow-up15 Sept, 15:17Gold (XAUUSD): One More Possible Drop Before The Next High
Market Overview Gold is trading around $4,283, with the short-term structure pointing toward further downside. The 1H chart suggests the current decline is developing as a corrective sequence, with a potential Wave (5) extending lower after the projected Wave (4) rebound. Fundamental / Macro Catalyst Gold is under pressure ahead of the September FOMC meeting. Rising oil prices have increased inflation concerns, pushing Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar higher. Markets are pricing a Fed rate hike this week, creating a difficult near-term environment for non-yielding gold. The 10-year Treasury yield has also moved above 5%, adding another headwind for bullion. Technical Analysis The current structure suggests gold may not have completed its correction. A short-term Wave (4) rebound could develop toward the $4,350 area, followed by another decline in Wave (5). The first downside reference is: $4,225.49 Below that, the larger support zone comes into focus around: $4,106.25 This area is particularly important because it sits within the highlighted horizontal support zone on the chart. The broader bullish structure remains intact above $3,959.58, which is marked as the count invalidation. On the upside, $4,697.08 is the major confirmation level for higher targets. Key Levels $4,697.08 — Confirmation of higher targets $4,350 — Potential Wave (4) rebound area $4,225.49 — First downside target $4,106.25 — Major downside/support zone $3,959.58 — Count invalidation Bullish Scenario Gold holds above the projected downside levels, completes the correction and eventually reclaims $4,697.08. A break above that level would confirm the continuation toward higher targets. Bearish Scenario The current structure extends lower, first toward $4,225, followed by the $4,106 support zone. A break below $3,959.58 would invalidate the current count.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 16:04Gold — Quiet Structure, Loud Move Ahead?
🥇Gold has been moving sideways after the previous bearish pressure, with price now consolidating inside a clearly defined short-term range. The current structure is sitting directly around a major demand zone, while the upper zone remains the key resistance area. This creates a clean decision point between a bullish recovery and another bearish expansion. 🏆 Previously: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/vJ9SktTC-Gold-This-Range-Won-t-Hold-Forever/ 📈 Bullish scenario Buyers are still defending the lower zone, and the recent reactions show that this area remains important. If Gold can hold the current structure and push through the upper side of the range, momentum could shift back toward the bulls. A clean breakout above the marked resistance zone would confirm the recovery and open the way toward the next major upside area. Range breakout → zone reclaim → bullish expansion. 📉 Bearish scenario The current sideways structure can also become a continuation pattern if buyers fail to reclaim the upper zone. Repeated rejection from the range highs would keep sellers in control of the broader structure. If the lower demand zone breaks, the current consolidation could resolve sharply to the downside, bringing the next lower zone into focus. Range rejection → demand breakdown → bearish expansion. 🎯 Outlook Gold is currently trapped between a strong lower demand area and a major resistance zone. The market is compressing, and the next clean breakout should provide the stronger directional signal. For the bulls, the key is breaking the upper zone. For the bears, losing the current demand zone would be the confirmation they need. Hold the demand zone → recovery remains possible. Break the upper zone → further upside opens up. Lose the lower zone → deeper downside becomes likely. Sideways compression → breakout → next expansion.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 16:06Gold — Short-Term Setup
Gold has shifted into a low-level consolidation phase. Downside momentum is fading, so chasing shorts at current levels offers poor risk/reward. On the 4H chart, 4240–4246 remains the key support zone, while 4317–4320 is the first major resistance. Bias: Sell the rally, not the breakdown. Sell Zone: 4317–4320 on rejection Support: 4240–4246 Invalidation: Sustained break above 4340 No need to rush here — let price come to the level. Patience pays. OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD VANTAGE:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:XAUUSD
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up15 Sept, 16:21
Gold is starting to move on something a lot bigger than inflation
Gold is weighing the Federal Reserve’s credibility against the traditional price driver of inflation and interest rates.
Follow-up15 Sept, 17:06GOLD Double Top and Multiple Retest of Supply on M15 TF
Gold continues to give solid bearish continuation patterns. Currently showing a retested or confirmed double top formation on M15 which is also aligned with strong bearish structure on H4 TF. Are you also shorting?
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Follow-up15 Sept, 18:25Gold 4H Advanced SMC Analysis | Key Reversal Zone & Next Move
Gold 4H timeframe analysis based on my Advanced SMC Concept. I’ve marked the key supply/reversal zones and possible market scenarios. If price gives a proper bearish candle close in the marked zone, a sell setup may develop. Otherwise, bullish continuation toward the next higher target remains possible. 📌 Timeframe: 4H 📌 Concept: Advanced SMC 📌 Market: XAUUSD (Gold) ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 19:00GOLD (XAUUSD) H1 — Intraday For 16 SEP 26
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a bearish H1 structure inside a descending channel, but the latest price action indicates a short-term recovery from the 4,260–4,258 support area. Price has formed a higher low after sweeping the downside liquidity, while the RSI bullish divergence visible on the chart suggests that selling momentum is weakening. 🔴 Key Resistance Levels 4,318 — Immediate resistance / reaction zone 4,401–4,405 — Major SBR Structure Shifting Zone 4,448–4,460 — Strong resistance/supply zone 4,488–4,510 — Higher resistance area The 4,318 level is the first important intraday hurdle. A clean H1 breakout and hold above it could allow Gold to move toward 4,401. 🟢 Key Support Levels 4,282.35 — Important intraday swing/liquidity level 4,258.66 — Major immediate support 4,227.86 — Major RBS Structure Shifting Zone The 4,258–4,228 region is the key demand area. Holding above this zone can support another bullish recovery, while an H1 breakdown below 4,228 would increase bearish continuation risk. 📈 Bullish Intraday Scenario The chart shows a clear RSI divergence after Gold reacted from the lower channel/support area. If price continues holding above 4,258 and breaks 4,318, buyers could target: 4,318 → 4,401 → 4,448–4,460 A sustained H1 close above 4,401 would be a stronger structural confirmation for further upside. 📉 Bearish Intraday Scenario The overall H1 trend remains bearish while Gold stays below the descending channel and 4,401 SBR zone. If price rejects 4,318 or 4,401, sellers could target: 4,282 → 4,258 → 4,228 A confirmed H1 close below 4,228 would invalidate the current recovery structure and could open the way for further downside. 📊 RSI & Market Structure RSI is currently around 55, recovering from the previous oversold area near 30. The bullish RSI divergence suggests weakening bearish momentum and supports the possibility of an intraday relief rally. However, RSI moving above 50 alone does not confirm a complete trend reversal. The main confirmation remains a breakout above the 4,318–4,401 resistance structure. 🔎 Intraday Outlook H1 Bias: Bearish structure + short-term bullish recovery Resistance: 4,318 → 4,401 → 4,458 Support: 4,282 → 4,259 → 4,228 For today's session, 4,318 is the immediate decision level. Above it, Gold can extend the recovery; rejection keeps the bearish channel active. The broader market is also highly sensitive to the FOMC, with the Fed meeting underway and the policy decision expected Wednesday; rising yields and a stronger dollar have recently pressured Gold. This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
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Follow-up15 Sept, 19:17Gold for 5400..?????
Gold is Trading in a Channel and its a bullish channel... though it is getting dumps but its resilience is increasing... its a bullish pressure!!!! Tomorrow we have FED.. but its pattern suggest a move upside is likely.. If in any case gold dumps then Daily Head and Shoulders pattern target is around 4000... and a jump from 3960 is very likely again for 4400.. For now lets see how it rolls.. Its just my view and I am trading my view as per its pattern!!! If stopped out then i will look for again buy opportunites from downside below 4k if dumped or if remain above 4200 and jumped again above 4300 then i will look for buying opportunities.. because THIS PATTERN TARGET IS ABOVE 5000!!!!!!!!!! P.s. Its just my view... NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE..!!!! Thanks!
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Follow-up15 Sept, 19:30Gold Watchlist: Bullish Signal Inside Compression
Gold remains pressured by oil-driven inflation fears and expectations of tighter Fed policy. That keeps the macro backdrop cautious for gold. 🤖 AI Agent Signal: The AI Agent shows a bullish reading. RSI is around 55.4, at the bullish threshold, while the MACD histogram is above zero. This points to improving short-term momentum, but the signal still needs price confirmation. 📊 Technical Analysis: Gold is trading near $4,304 inside a narrowing triangle. Price is holding above EMA 9 near $4,295, but remains close to SMA 50 near $4,306 and below EMA 200 near $4,367. Breakout trigger zone: $4,306–$4,335 A bullish continuation needs a clean 1H close above this zone. Targets after breakout: Target 1: $4,367 Target 2: $4,438 If price fails here and drops back below $4,295, the bullish signal weakens. The AI signal is bullish, but the chart has not confirmed a breakout yet. Gold remains in compression, so confirmation matters more than prediction. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
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Follow-up23h agoGold (XAU/USD) Analysis: Multi-Timeframe Short Setup
I’m looking for a short entry on Gold around 4345. This setup is based on multiple confirmations rather than a single level. I analyzed the structure across the 15M, 30M, 1H, and 4H timeframes, and the 4345 area gives me a strong confluence zone. The main confirmations behind the setup are Order Block, Fair Value Gap, Fibonacci retracement, and liquidity. I’m looking for price to retrace into this area, potentially collect liquidity, and then reject it for another move lower. The broader structure still supports the bearish scenario, so rather than chasing the current move down, I prefer to wait for price to come back into my entry zone. SELL LIMIT: 4345 SL: 4357 TP: 4318 The first objective is the liquidity around 4318. If price reaches the entry, I’ll be watching closely how it reacts to the zone. A clean rejection would add further confirmation to the setup. As always, the direction may be right while the exact liquidity sweep can go deeper than expected, so risk management remains the most important part of the trade.
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Follow-up22h agoGold analysis 16/9/2026
Direction BEARISH So We will go to Sell from LEVEL 1: 4302.3 LEVEL2: 4310.7 Targets: 4261 and 4254 As the daily close inside bar so we can take a BUY positin from 4271.5 tagets 4302.3 and 4310.7 Thanks
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Follow-up21h agoGOLD at Ultimate support? Cut n reverse Region..
#GOLD.. so far market perfectly holds our supporting region as we discussed in our last couple of ideas regarding gold. Still that is market ultimate region guys and holding of that area can create further volume to upside otherwise not at all. that is around 4270 to 4276 NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 4270 on confirmation. Good luck Trade wisely
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up21h ago
FOMC 2020–2026: Gold with hike / cut / hold markers
Vertical line + bubble at every FOMC rate decision since Jan 2020 (54 meetings through Jul 2026). Red = hike, green = cut, gray = hold. Gold (GC) with DXY and Treasury yields for context. Last hike Jul 26 2023; first cut of easing cycle Sep 18 2024. Holds at 3.50–3.75% through Jul 2026.
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Follow-up21h agoTurks often keep gold as a hedge against inflation. It may be hurting Turkey's future
Billions of dollars worth of gold is held in Turkish households outside the banking system. The government aims to convince citizens to put it into the mainstream financial system to help the economy.
NPR•Hadeel Al-Shalchi
Follow-up20h agoGOLD - Structure Before FOMC Decision Tomorrow
This may be gold's last chance for the bulls to reclaim this trend and shoot for a new higher high. Tomorrow is a big day for gold due to the FOMC decision. Let me break down why this matters so much, from both a technical and fundamental perspective. The Technical Setup From a technical perspective, gold is currently sitting at a critical level where it looks poised to bounce. Price is trading around a key liquidity level I have outlined as the 0.786 Fibonacci from the range high in January to the recent range low in June. I have also extended this back to October 2025 to show many of the key tests gold has seen at this level (yellow circles). Price continues to respect this level with daily candle closes. Price also printed a daily doji today, showing that within this downtrend, indecision is building and a reversal could be forming. In addition to that, bulls have been steadily defending the 50 moving average (green MA), with both yesterday's and today's lows holding above it. Because of all this, there are a number of technical signals beginning to suggest a low is forming here for gold, and another push to the upside could follow. The Fundamental Setup Tomorrow's FOMC decision carries the real weight. Markets are currently pricing in an 86% to 90% probability of a 25 basis point hike, raising the federal funds rate from 3.75% to 4%. Traditionally, a rate hike is bearish for gold, since higher real yields raise the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. According to J.P. Morgan's own research, each single basis point increase in the 10-year real yield since late February 2026 has reduced gold prices by roughly $20 per ounce. Major bank targets still sit above today's price regardless of tomorrow's outcome. Goldman Sachs holds a 2026 year end target of $4,900, JPMorgan sits at $4,500 for Q4, Bank of America's average target is $4,360, and HSBC's average sits at $4,560. These targets reflect a view that any near-term hike-driven weakness is more likely to be short-lived. That said, if Warsh delivers a notably hawkish tone alongside the hike, real yields could move sharply higher and pressure gold meaningfully in the near term, which is the primary risk to be aware of heading into tomorrow. However the outcome that would align with the technicals would come down to what is actually driving the move higher in yields right now. If tomorrow's inflation and yield backdrop is being driven primarily by rising inflation expectations, fueled by oil's recent breakout and hot CPI and PPI prints, rather than genuine strength in real growth, then real yields could stay flat or even fall even as the Fed hikes and the nominal 10-year holds above 5%. In that scenario, gold's traditional headwind from the rate decision itself would be far weaker than the headline hike suggests. There is also a scenario where the hike itself is confirmed exactly as priced, but Warsh's tone during the press conference comes across as more balanced or data-dependent than markets expect. Since a hike at these odds is already almost fully priced in, the market's reaction is likely to hinge more on the forward guidance and press conference than the decision itself. A statement that leaves the door open to a pause afterward, paired with any acknowledgment that inflation risks are being driven by supply-side pressures like oil rather than demand overheating, could ease the pressure on real yields and give gold the room to rally on relief alone. Others Factors There are a couple of other things worth keeping in mind. First, gold is still in a bear market, so until proven otherwise, any push to the upside is still likely to fall short of the last high. I outlined this in my last gold post when price topped at $4,700. For more context, please review that idea here: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/VhPgdAVT-GOLD-Still-in-Bear-Market-Trend/ Once price is able to make a genuine higher high, it will be safer to start running through more bullish scenarios and what could come next for gold's trend from a momentum perspective. Keep that in mind, but given the current structure forming, some form of bounce in line with tomorrow's FOMC decision looks likely. No matter what significant volatility is expected.
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Follow-up18h agoTurkish habit of stashing gold "under the pillow' hurts economy, government says
For years, Turks have stashed their gold at home against a raining day, mistrustful of banks. Now the government says that tradition hurts the economy
NPR•Hadeel Al-Shalchi- TIFollow-up16h ago
Gold upside trend begins respecting analysis
Gold moves upside at a strong rate as predicted. Due to dollar fatigue to hold low and the NFP movements loss of power.
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Follow-up15h agoGold Pre-FOMC: 4,260 Sweep Before 4,370?
Market Overview • Macro Driver: Spot Gold hovers near $4,313 on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, as global markets brace for today's pivotal FOMC Interest Rate Decision and the release of the updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP / Dot Plot). While policy rates are widely projected to remain steady at 3.50%–3.75%, institutional desks are hyper-focused on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's forward guidance regarding persistent underlying inflation and balance sheet velocity. • Market Condition: Institutional order flow reflects a classic pre-FOMC volatility compression. After absorbing sell-side liquidity at the 4,260 Demand Zone, smart money is coiling price within a tight range between the 4,260 base and 4,320 Resistance Zone, preparing for an aggressive post-announcement directional expansion toward overhead channel resistance. Technical Context • Structure: Re-Accumulation within Bearish Descending Channel. On the 1H timeframe, Gold remains bound beneath the multi-week descending trendline from the 4,511.089 Strong High. Following multiple CHoCH and BOS downside sweeps, price printed a double-bottom absorption at the Demand Zone (4,260 – 4,275). • Liquidity & Imbalance: Price delivery shows immediate rejection at the 4,310–4,320 Resistance Zone (current market price: 4,313.03). The technical roadmap anticipates a shallow corrective retest into the 4,260–4,275 Demand Zone to engineer final buy-side liquidity, followed by an impulsive breakout push piercing through 4,320 to target the Intermediate Supply Block (4,350 – 4,370) and test the descending channel ceiling. Key Zones • Macro Structural Ceiling (Strong High): 4,511.08 • Upper Supply Block: 4,420.000 – 4,435.000 • Intermediate Supply Target (Blue Box): 4,350.00 – 4,370.00 • Immediate Overhead Resistance Zone (Grey Box): 4,310.00 – 4,322.00 • Current Market Price: 4,313.03 • Structural Demand Zone Base (Grey Box): 4,260.00 – 4,275.00 Trading Plan (IF–THEN) • IF price delivers a corrective liquidity tap into the 4,260 – 4,275 Demand Zone AND validates lower-timeframe (M5/M15) bullish displacement/CHoCH -> THEN look to execute Long positions targeting 4,315, expanding through 4,322 directly toward the 4,350.00 – 4,370.00 Intermediate Supply / trendline ceiling. • IF price confirms a decisive 1H close below 4,250 during the FOMC rate release -> THEN the demand accumulation thesis is invalidated, unlocking a deeper sell-side flush toward 4,220. MMFLOW View • Bias: Pre-News Accumulation / Post-FOMC Bullish Expansion. Fading the range midpoint at 4,313 ahead of the Fed rate decision presents poor risk-to-reward; our mathematical edge favors buying verified liquidity defenses at the 4,260–4,275 demand floor to ride the expansion wave into descending channel resistance.
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Follow-up15h agoGold 4H: back at the line July left behind
Three marks in July, a sixteen percent move away from them, and this week price came all the way back to the line they left behind. This is gold on the four-hour with our accumulation layer on it. The layer printed three times in July - once in the first week, twice more in the last ten days of the month - each time just above four thousand. Between those marks the shaded area shows what the layer was describing: price sitting under its reference, going nowhere in particular, for most of a month. What the mark means. Accumulate does not mark a bottom. It prints when price drops below the layer's reference line, and it says one thing: you have entered an area where a structural low is being built. While price trades under the reference, the window is open. When the panel reads NO ACCUMULATION, it has shut. It shut in early August. Price accepted above the reference and left - and over the following three weeks gold ran to the high four-six-hundreds. That is roughly sixteen percent from where the marks printed, and it is also the least interesting part of this chart, because every screenshot on the internet ends there. What happened next is the part worth having. From the August high, gold has spent a month coming back down. This week it reached 4,256.89 - the reference line, now rising, exactly where the layer left it - and so far has held above, trading at 4,324. That is a test, not a verdict. The reference is not support. The layer draws it to define where the zone was; it does not defend it. What a return to the reference actually means is narrower and more useful: the question the layer asked in July is back on the table. If price accepts below this line again, a new window opens and the panel will say so. If it does not, the layer stays quiet - as it has for 197 bars. What it will not tell you. Whether 4,256 holds. Whether a new mark is coming. And not what happens on the release either way - the volume reading on the panel is low, which is worth knowing and is not a signal of anything by itself. One caveat, always. This chart is one where the zone was followed by a strong move. We show it because it is a clean illustration of how a zone opens, shuts and gets revisited - not because that outcome is typical. Zones are followed by nothing at all often enough that any single chart proves the mechanism and nothing more. Educational market commentary - not financial advice.
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up15h ago
GOLD: Gold H1 Analysis – September 16
📰 Fundamental News & Gold Price Action Gold is recovering toward 4,328, but the market remains extremely cautious ahead of today’s FOMC meeting. Reuters reported that Gold was up around 0.8% as investors awaited the Fed’s decision, while the market is currently pricing in approximately a 92.4% probability of a 25 bps rate hike. The USD is also holding near multi-week highs amid expectations that the Fed will maintain a tighter monetary policy stance. → Therefore, the FOMC decision, and especially Powell’s remarks and the dot plot, will be the biggest catalysts of the day, potentially triggering significant volatility in XAUUSD. 📊 Key Resistance Levels & EMAs 🔴 SELL ZONE: 4,355 – 4,370 * This is an important supply zone on the chart. * It is located near the long-term EMA around 4,362. * The zone also sits below the descending trendline extending from the early-month high. → If price retraces into this zone and shows clear rejection, I would continue to prioritize SELL setups. ⚪ Zone: 4,315 – 4,305 * Price is currently trading around this area. * It is located near the medium-term EMA around 4,306. → Since this zone is very close to the current price, the **risk-to-reward ratio (R:R)** is not particularly attractive. It is better suited for waiting for confirmation rather than chasing an entry. 🟢 BUY ZONE: 4,250 – 4,262 * This is a demand zone that has triggered multiple price reactions. → If Gold drops sharply into this area and forms a bullish rejection, a BUY setup could be considered. → If this zone is clearly broken, the bearish structure would be further reinforced. 📌 Summary The H1 structure remains bearish, with 4,355–4,370 acting as a key SELL zone. The 4,315–4,305 area is too close to the current price, so the R:R is not particularly attractive. If Gold continues to decline, 4,250–4,262 will be an important BUY zone to watch. 👉 Key Levels: 4,365 / 4,350 / 4,325 / 4,300 / 4,260 Bias: 🔴 Bearish – prioritize SELL on rallies, but remain especially cautious ahead of the FOMC.
TITradingView Ideas - Follow-up14h ago
GOLD MONEY FLOW RETURNS — PULLBACK BUY, BREAKOUT AHEAD?
Gold is showing a clear recovery from the 4265–4280 support zone, with price reclaiming 4300 and forming a short-term bullish structure. The latest push toward 4335–4340 is now testing the descending trendline, making this the key area for the next directional move. The main scenario is to wait for Gold to hold the 4290–4300 support zone and continue pressing against the 4335–4340 resistance/trendline. A clean breakout above this area would confirm the recovery and open the way toward the major 4395–4405 resistance zone. If price pulls back first but holds 4290–4300, another bullish attempt toward the trendline remains valid. On the downside, a sustained break below 4290 would weaken the current recovery structure and bring the 4265–4280 support zone back into focus. 📍 KEY LEVELS: 🔹 4290–4300 Immediate support and preferred area to monitor for a BUY reaction. 🔹 4265–4280 Major support zone and key base of the current recovery. 🔹 4335–4340 Immediate resistance and descending trendline. Key breakout area. 🔹 4395–4405 Major resistance and primary upside target after the trendline breakout. 🔹 4420–4440 Extended upside target if bullish momentum continues above 4405. ✅ PREFERRED SCENARIO: Gold holds above 4290–4300. Price continues building bullish momentum from support. Retest 4335–4340 and the descending trendline. Clean breakout above 4340 → bullish confirmation. Breakout holds → target 4395–4405. Sustained break above 4405 → continuation toward 4420–4440. Break below 4290 → reassess the bullish recovery setup. BIAS: 🟢 BULLISH — BREAKOUT — Gold has recovered strongly from the 4265–4280 base and is now approaching the key descending trendline. The next confirmation comes from a clean break above 4335–4340, which would strengthen the bullish continuation toward 4400.
TITradingView Ideas - Follow-up14h ago
Gold May Recover If It Breaks Above 4,340
📊 Market Overview: XAU/USD is trading around 4,320–4,330 USD, recovering from the low near 4,275 USD in previous sessions. Buying pressure is improving as gold finds support following the sharp decline. However, the USD remains elevated and the 10-year Treasury yield has moved above 5% before easing slightly, continuing to weigh on gold. The market is now closely focused on the Fed’s rate decision and Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments, which could trigger strong volatility in XAU/USD. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 4,335–4,345 4,360–4,375 • Nearest Support: 4,305–4,295 4,280–4,270 • EMA: Price is recovering above the EMA 09 on lower timeframes, indicating improving short-term buying momentum. However, the H1/H4 structure still needs a break above 4,340 to confirm a clearer recovery. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Price has formed a strong rebound from the 4,275 area, indicating the emergence of dip-buying pressure. On M15/M30, bullish momentum is improving, but the 4,335–4,345 zone could attract profit-taking. H1 needs to hold above 4,305 to maintain the recovery structure. If price breaks above 4,345 with increasing volume, the upside could extend toward 4,360–4,375. Conversely, a strong rejection around 4,335–4,345 followed by a break below 4,305 could bring selling pressure back. H4 remains cautious as gold continues to be affected by a strong USD and elevated U.S. yields. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to recover in the short term if it breaks and holds above 4,340–4,345. In that case, the next target could be 4,360–4,375. Conversely, if price fails to break 4,335–4,345 and falls below 4,295, gold could retest 4,280–4,270. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4.342–4.345 🎯 TP: 40/80/200/300 pips ❌ SL: 4.350 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4.295–4.292 🎯 TP: 40/80/200/300 pips ❌ SL: 4.287
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Follow-up14h agoGold Breaks Higher After Spring Trap Reaction on 30M
Gold Breaks Above Consolidation After Spring Trap Reaction Gold has produced a strong bullish expansion from the 4,280–4,290 region, breaking above the recent consolidation and reclaiming the important 4,290–4,305 Spring Trap zone. The sharp displacement toward 4,330 shows a clear change in short-term momentum after several sessions of sideways movement around the lows. The broader structure had remained bearish following the decline from the 4,430 region, but repeated reactions around 4,260–4,290 showed sellers struggling to sustain continuation. The latest breakout above 4,305–4,315 is therefore an important structural development. Speculative Outlook The main focus is now on whether Gold can hold the 4,290–4,305 Spring Trap area as support if price retraces. A controlled pullback followed by renewed bullish confirmation could keep the recovery active, initially bringing 4,340–4,350 into focus. If bullish momentum continues beyond that region, the recovery could gradually extend toward the previous structural areas around 4,360–4,400. However, a strong return below 4,290 would weaken the breakout and bring the recent range lows back into consideration. For now, the Spring Trap reaction followed by bullish displacement is the key development—the next test is whether buyers can protect the reclaimed structure.
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up13h ago
GOLD (XAUUSD) — 4H BEARISH REVERSAL SETUP
Gold is approaching a 4H resistance/supply zone around 4,328–4,340 after the recent bullish recovery. Price is currently testing this area, where sellers may attempt to push the market back toward the 4,274 support. 📌 Trade Idea — SHORT Entry: 4,328.613 Stop Loss: 4,359.181 Take Profit: 4,274.161 Risk/Reward: ≈ 1:1.8 🔎 Why I'm Watching This Setup 🔹 4H resistance zone: Price has returned to a previously important reaction area around 4,330–4,340. 🔹 Supply zone: The blue zone represents the area where sellers could potentially step in. 🔹 Bearish rejection: A rejection from this zone would provide confirmation that buyers are struggling to push higher. 🔹 Major support below: 4,274 is the key downside level and the primary target on the chart. Confirmation The setup becomes more interesting if we get: Resistance rejection → bearish 4H candle → break below nearby support → continuation toward 4,274. If Gold breaks and holds above 4,359, the bearish setup is invalidated. 🎯 Potential path: 4,328 → 4,310 → 4,290 → 4,274 ⚠️ This is a technical-analysis idea, not financial advice. Wait for confirmation and manage risk appropriately. Gold is testing 4H resistance again. Will sellers defend this zone and send XAUUSD back toward 4,274?
TITradingView Ideas - Follow-up13h ago
Gold breakout risk builds into Fed
Decision day may have arrived for gold, heading into what’s likely to be the first Fed interest rate increase in three years. The falling wedge structure we highlighted yesterday remains intact, with the price pressing back towards the upper boundary after a third consecutive failure to move convincingly beneath the 50-day moving average earlier today. That keeps the lower end of the structure in play and suggests bids are still lurking around that area. While the structure is technical in nature, macro may deliver the trigger. Markets are already pricing a pretty hawkish Fed path, with around four hikes favoured by the middle of next year. My inkling is that the Fed may struggle to out-hawk that. One obvious route would be an updated dot plot that shows fewer hikes this year and next than markets currently have priced. If the decision and guidance amount to a dovish hike relative to current pricing, we could see some relief in Treasury yields and renewed pressure on the US dollar, giving gold a decent crack at breaking higher from the wedge. There are also more aggressive bullish scenarios. A shock decision to leave rates unchanged may deliver a sharpe twist steepening of the curve, while several influential FOMC members dissenting in favour of holding could have a similar effect. Either outcome could provide a meaningful release valve for bullion. While the trigger for a breakout is obvious, confirmation is still required. The key area to watch is the confluence of the 23.6% Fib retracement of the Jan-June bear move around $4,333 with the upper boundary of the falling wedge drawn from the late-August high. A sustained break above that zone would confirm the bullish breakout and bring $4,400 into focus initially, followed by $4,510.80. Beyond that, the 200-day moving average and 38.2% Fib around $4,575 remain the next major hurdles, before the August high at $4,696.80. On the downside, the 50-day moving average is now found just above the lower boundary of the wedge structure. A successful break beneath the latter would question the merits of the bullish setup and arguably flip directional risks lower, putting $4,200 back in play. Good luck! DS
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Follow-up13h agoGOLD NEW BULLISH MOVE TO OCCUR
Gold is in a bearish trend but now is showing signs of reversal or a new bullish trend might occur. As we can see Gold was in a bearish move but then broke above our Major High(zone that marks bearish trend ) giving us a sign of Change of Trend. If you notice you can also see Gold formed a Double Bottom before the bullish breakout, that is another sign of a possible change of direction. If price retests our CHoC then gives us a strong bullish candle within the zone then that would be the best confirmation for an entry. follow for more technical analysis and feel free to drop your own thoughts below and what you would like me to analyse next
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Follow-up13h agoGOLD XAUUSD: Don't Buy Until THIS Level Holds!
GOLD (XAU/USD) 🌍 The macro narrative heading into this week is heavily anchored to central bank policy expectations and fluctuating Treasury yields 🏦. Interestingly, general online sentiment is leaning heavily bullish, with retail consensus eagerly chasing every upward tick. This extreme crowding suggests a classic setup where late retail buyers risk getting trapped before institutional money triggers a proper liquidity hunt to clean up the board. From a structural perspective, we are observing a potential Bullish Market Structure on the M30/H4 timeframe 📈. However, retail community chatter is calling for an immediate breakout to new highs, which signals to me that the market is prime for a classic Wyckoffian shakeout. AMT logic confirms price is attempting to build value above the recent consolidation node. If we see a failure to hold value outside the composite profile, the stage is set for a sharp mean reversion back into the balance area. Key Zone: Price is hovering near the upper edge of the Volume Profile Value Area around $4,305–$4,311 📉. A sustained holding pattern above the Value Area High (VAH) signals volume acceptance in a discovery phase, whereas a drop back inside confirms a return to internal auction balance. We are currently positioning at the top of the short-term trading range. I am patiently watching for a run on liquidity to sweep the late buyers sitting right above the immediate local highs around $4,340 🧹, before determining if true institutional demand takes over. My Trade Plan 🎯 Bias: Neutral / Patience for Long Setup. I am waiting for confirmation rather than chasing impulse moves. Entry Protocol: I will enter long only upon a clean bullish Break of Structure (BoS) and a successful retest of the Volume Profile Value Area boundary (holding above $4,305 - $4,311). If price falls back and closes inside the Value Area range, the long setup is invalidated and I will abandon the idea entirely.
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up12h ago
GOLD TRADE Long-Plan
Hey guys, welcome to my trading-diary. Today I expect a move up ahead the FED Decision as we might see some manipulation to trap buyers into the market. If the FED is really going to come up with rate-hikes as expected we probably see another move down. BUT... as iti s already priced in, we need to be aware of the FEDs statement. Any hints to further upcoming rate-hikes will be crucial for the market. If thats the case we will another journey of a pumping USD. Nontheless, Gold could catch some liquidity at the upside today ahead of the FED. If I get a setup I will pst it here as an UPDATE! Let`s see what we get.
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Follow-up12h agoFedral reserve and gold trend prediction
based on technical analysis and trading strategies I expect this trend for gold after the fed reserve conference. so we would have a downward trend today.
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Follow-up12h agoGold (XAU/USD): news flow leaning bearish — the net read
Gold (XAU/USD) did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: −− Bond yields are spiking, oil is up — but investors aren’t giving up on stocks −− Why markets have left the Fed little choice but to hike rates −− Treasury yields hitting 5% may not break markets now — but the clock is ticking 58 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up12h ago
SG25: news flow leaning bearish — the net read
SG25 did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: +++ Amazon Says Cloud Infrastructure In Bahrain, UAE 'Beyond Saving' −− Treasury yields hitting 5% may not break markets now — but the clock is ticking − Vance says Iran war will shift to new phase within month (fading) 120 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
TITradingView Ideas - Follow-up12h ago
AU200: news flow leaning bearish — the net read
AU200 did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: −− Treasury yields hitting 5% may not break markets now — but the clock is ticking −− US Troops Leak New Iran War Photos Of Gulf Bases: 'Major Damage Hidden From American Public' − Amazon Says Cloud Infrastructure In Bahrain, UAE 'Beyond Saving' 143 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
TITradingView Ideas - Follow-up12h ago
USD/CHF: news flow leaning bullish — the net read
USD/CHF did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: ++ Why markets have left the Fed little choice but to hike rates ++ Stock futures edge higher ahead of pivotal Fed rate decision: Live updates + China’s slower loan growth is the new normal, central bank governor says 62 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: +++ leaning bullish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
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Follow-up12h agoGOLD - A countertrend correction ahead of the news
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD is bouncing from support ahead of the news and forming a countertrend correction amid the dollar’s stagnation following a five-day rally. The FOMC meeting and comments from the regulator are ahead... https://www.tradingview.com/x/WPiCVVYE/ Technically, most of the hawkish risks have already been priced in, but gold will remain vulnerable if the Fed signals that it intends to keep rates elevated for an extended period. Geopolitical risks and high energy prices are providing support. Gold is caught between expectations of tighter monetary policy and safe-haven demand. Technically, the market is moving toward a liquidity zone, which could be tested before another decline within the local trend Drivers: Downside: hawkish Fed, strong dollar, rising yields. Upside: dovish Fed, weak dollar, geopolitical support Resistance levels: 4,355, 4,402 Support levels: 4,250, 4,230, 4,200 Gold, having failed to reach the key levels at 4,230–4,200, is forming a countertrend correction ahead of the upcoming news — the interest rate decision. A short squeeze of the 4,355–4,400 resistance zone could trigger a decline toward the key areas of interest Best regards, R. Linda!
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Follow-up11h agoGold 45M — Recovery Structure Toward 4450 Area
Gold is showing a developing recovery structure after forming a base around the 4260–4280 area. Price has moved back above the 4300–4310 support zone, while the recent swing structure suggests improving upside momentum. The main levels marked on the chart are: Entry Area: around 4336 Support / Invalidation: 4308 First resistance: 4360 Major target zone: 4450–4455 As long as price maintains the marked support area, the chart structure keeps the 4450–4455 resistance zone in focus. A sustained move above 4360 could provide additional confirmation of the recovery stru
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up11h ago
Gold is back above 4,300 — but the real test is still ahead.
XAUUSD has delivered a strong M30 recovery from the 4,260–4,280 area, pushing back toward the descending trendline and the 4,340 resistance. This creates a critical FOMC-day decision zone. M30 Market Structure Current: 4,327.225 Decision Zone: 4,335–4,345 Reaction Zone: 4,315–4,325 Liquidity / Demand: 4,275–4,285 Major Supply: 4,395–4,405 The short-term momentum is bullish, but the broader M30 structure remains capped by the descending trendline. Bullish Scenario If M30 closes above 4,340 and holds the 4,315–4,325 retest: 4,340 → 4,360 → 4,395–4,405 A clean breakout could turn the current descending trendline into support. Bearish Scenario But if Gold sweeps 4,340 and quickly falls back below: 4,340 → 4,315 → 4,285 A break below 4,275–4,285 would invalidate the current recovery structure. FOMC Catalyst The Fed decision arrives today, with markets pricing roughly 92% probability of a 25bp hike. August CPI remained elevated at 3.4% YoY, while Treasury yields are around 5% and oil remains above $100. That means volatility could expand sharply around the decision and guidance. Is 4,340 the breakout trigger — or the liquidity trap before 4,280?
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Follow-up11h agoGold | Bearish Triangle Breakdown & Downside Potential
Gold | Bearish Triangle Breakdown & Downside Potential Fundamental View Gold remains under pressure as markets prepare for the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. Expectations for a 25-basis-point rate hike remain elevated, while higher U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger U.S. dollar continue to increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Recent strength in oil prices has also contributed to inflation concerns, reinforcing expectations that rates could remain restrictive. Technical View On the 1H chart, Gold is trading inside a contracting triangle after failing to regain the higher resistance area. Price remains below the descending trendline and is approaching the 4,355–4,376 resistance zone. A clear rejection from this area, followed by a sustained break below 4,260 support, could strengthen the bearish structure and expose lower liquidity levels. SMC View From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, the 4,400 area represents a significant buy-side liquidity and resistance zone. The current structure suggests that a rejection below this area could lead to a move toward sell-side liquidity beneath the recent lows. If 4,260 gives way with strong bearish displacement, attention may shift toward the lower demand and liquidity zones around 4,241 and eventually 4,155. Trading Scenario The bearish scenario remains in focus while Gold stays below the 4,355–4,376 resistance area. If price rejects this zone and breaks below 4,260 with confirmation, the downside path could develop toward: Target 1: 4,241 Target 2: 4,155 A sustained move above 4,400 would invalidate this bearish setup and could signal a shift back toward bullish momentum. Professional Insights The key factor for this setup is the reaction around 4,355–4,376. A rejection there would maintain the lower-high structure, while a decisive break above 4,400 would weaken the bearish thesis. With the Fed decision approaching, volatility can increase significantly, so confirmation and risk management remain important. Reuters reported that markets were pricing roughly a 92.7% probability of at least a 25-basis-point hike, while analysts noted that hawkish guidance could keep pressure on gold. Key Levels Resistance: 4,355 Major Resistance: 4,376 Invalidation: 4,400 Support: 4,260 Target 1: 4,241 Bearish Target 2: 4,155 Risk Management This is a conditional technical setup, not a guaranteed outcome. Consider waiting for confirmation around the resistance and support zones, maintaining controlled position sizing, and defining risk before entering any trade. Disclaimer This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change quickly, particularly around major central-bank events. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up11h ago
Two scenarios for gold post-decision:
Two scenarios for gold post-decision: holding above $4,400 opens up upside potential. Analysis suggests that following the FOMC decision, gold prices would see a modest rise if the Federal Reserve hikes rates, whereas a decision to keep rates unchanged would trigger a more substantial rally. A key signal confirming a strengthening trend would be gold closing firmly above the $4,400 level. Whether the movement stems from a recovery rally following a rate hike or from the Fed opting not to hike, a solid close above this threshold is crucial. Once achieved, gold prices could potentially challenge the $5,000 mark in the coming months. Ideally, this would be accompanied by a daily close above the level, a significant surge in futures trading volume, and simultaneous strength in gold ETFs and mining stocks. A spike in trading volume indicates institutional capital entering the market, providing the support needed for a sustained upward trend. To elaborate, if these conditions are met, gold prices would break past the previous high set in late September and continue to climb, with the next target set at $5,000 per ounce.
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Follow-up11h agoGold - Weekly CLS range Model 1
Hi Friends, New CLS Range has been created and Im looking for Long Model 1 trade setup. As always after the manipulation in to the Key Level, below the CLS range and reaction, we need to see a confirmation switch from the manipulation phase - CIOD (change in order flow) in the the expansion. ⏳ Stay patient and enter only after candle close. 🎯 Target: 50% of the CLS range. 🎥 CLS Model 1 Video Explanation https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GBPUSD/wjRRXQpu-CLS-Model-1-100-Mechanical-Trading-setup/ 📚 Bullish CLS Strategy Structure https://www.tradingview.com/x/BCcNNIld/ ⚠️ Risk Control is Key to Long Term Success 📍 Always place a proper stop loss 📍 Manage your risk per trade 📍 Stay disciplined & avoid emotional trading 📍Take the Trade only if you understand logic behind it 📍 Protect Capital First 🚀Boost | 🔁 Share | 💬 Comment | ✅Follow for more CLS setups Adapt useful, Reject useless and add what is specifically yours. David Perk
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Follow-up11h agoHellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT toward the 4162.72 support area.
The previous bullish GOLD scenario targeting the 4600 area was not confirmed. The recovery stalled at 4510.18 before the price resumed its decline. The current structure calls for a reassessment of the idea that higher-degree bullish wave "1" remains incomplete. My main interpretation now is that higher-degree wave "1" completed at the 4696.02 high. I view the subsequent movement as corrective wave "2", unfolding through an intermediate "A-B-C" structure. Wave "A" completed at 4281.65, while the recovery to 4510.18 formed wave "B". According to this count, bearish wave "C" is now developing. A local recovery toward the 4384.56 resistance area remains possible before the decline continues. However, the price could resume moving lower without revisiting that zone. My nearest target is the 4162.72 support area. It is close to the lower-degree wave "1" high at 4168.50. The intermediate wave "1" high at 4205.59 sits slightly higher and is another level to watch for a reaction during the decline. I consider equality between waves "C" and "A" an additional reference rather than a requirement. That projection points to a deeper correction, but I prefer to focus on the nearer 4162.72 target for now. Reaching this area would not, by itself, confirm that the entire wave "2" is complete. A move above the wave "B" high at 4510.18 would require a reassessment of the current wave "C" interpretation. I will look for short opportunities when reliable bearish patterns appear. The fundamental backdrop remains mixed. Gold is recovering ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision, while expectations of a rate hike persist. Hawkish guidance could add pressure on the metal, whereas softer comments could support a rebound. Manage your capital properly and wisely! Enter trades only based on reliable patterns!
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Follow-up11h agoGOLD Price Update – Clean & Clear Explanation
Gold is currently trading around 4,334, showing a short-term recovery from the lower support area. Price is approaching a key supply/resistance zone around 4,360–4,380, which is marked as the decisive level between bullish and bearish momentum. Technically price moves higher into the 4,360–4,380 resistance zone but fails to break and hold above it, a strong bearish rejection could develop. From that area, the downside structure points toward TP1 at 4,300, followed by TP2 around 4,280, with an extended move toward TP3 near 4,260. The 4,380 level is critical: a clear breakout and sustained hold above it would weaken the bearish setup and indicate that buyers are gaining stronger control. Until that happens, rejection from the upper supply zone keeps the downside projection active. Overall structure: Watch the reaction around 4,360–4,380 for confirmation. A rejection from this zone can open the path toward the marked downside targets. your support means a lot! If you found this analysis useful, leave a Like and tell me your thoughts in the comments. Best of luck with your trading journey! 🚀
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up10h ago
GOLD At Resistance ? Whats next ??
#GOLD.. .market just reached back to his current resistance region. That is around 4328 to 4334 Keep close and holding of that region can resume short trend again. Good luck Trade wisley
TITradingView Ideas - Follow-up10h ago
GOLD US SESSION — 4300 HOLDS, BULLS STRIKE BACK
Gold has shown a strong recovery from the 4,285 support zone, reclaiming the 4,300 area with strong bullish momentum. However, price is now approaching the first resistance around 4,340, so the US session should focus on how price reacts at key zones rather than chasing the move. 📌 MAIN SCENARIO The immediate key area is 4,317–4,340. If Gold holds above 4,317 after a pullback and buyers continue to defend this zone, the recovery can extend toward 4,399. If price reaches 4,340 and shows a clear rejection, a short-term scalp back toward 4,317 → 4,285 can develop. Therefore, the preferred approach is to buy confirmed pullbacks while 4,285 remains protected, while remaining flexible around 4,340 resistance. 🔑 KEY LEVELS 🔴 4,443 — Major resistance / upper target 🔴 4,399 — Key resistance 🔴 4,340 — Immediate resistance / reaction zone 🟢 4,317 — Short-term support / pullback area 🟢 4,285 — Major support / bullish invalidation area 🟢 4,224 — Deeper support if 4,285 fails 🎯 PREFERRED SCENARIO Gold has recovered strongly above 4,300. Watch 4,317–4,340 for the first US-session setup. If 4,317 holds after a pullback → look for Buy confirmation. A successful break and hold above 4,340 opens the way toward 4,399. If 4,340 rejects strongly → consider a short scalp toward 4,317 / 4,285. A break below 4,285 would invalidate the immediate bullish recovery setup. 🟢 BIAS BULLISH — BUY THE CONFIRMED PULLBACK. The key shift is the strong recovery from 4,285 and reclaim of 4,300. For the US session, Emma's approach is simple: don't chase the impulse — wait for the pullback, confirmation, and reaction at the key zone.
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Follow-up10h agoGold prices await FOMC – interest rate hike expected.
1. 📊 Market Structure Bias: Bullish Recovery – Short-Term Bullish Gold is trading around 4,330, showing a clear recovery from the 4,260–4,280 demand area. EMA 9: 4,324.8 EMA 89: 4,314.7 EMA 9 > EMA 89 → bullish short-term momentum. Price is holding above both EMAs, indicating that buyers have regained control. RSI(14): ~63 → bullish momentum, but not yet deeply overbought. The previous bearish structure is being challenged as price attempts to break above the descending trendline. 🔴 2. Key Resistance 4,335–4,345 → immediate resistance / descending trendline zone 4,400–4,405 → major resistance and breakout target A confirmed break and H1 close above 4,345 would strengthen the bullish recovery and potentially open the way toward 4,400–4,405. However, rejection around the trendline could trigger a short-term pullback. 🟢 3. Key Support 4,305–4,315 → EMA 89 / immediate support 4,255–4,265 → major demand zone 4,225–4,230 → deeper support As long as 4,305–4,315 holds, the short-term bullish structure remains valid. A deeper pullback toward 4,255–4,265 could provide another potential buyer reaction, as indicated on the chart. ------------- BUY GOLD zone : 4225 - 4220 SL : 4215 TP : 4240 - 4266 - 4280
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up10h ago
Gold (XAUUSD) 1H – Recovery Tests 4340 | Waiting
📊 FXGoldVision Daily Market Outlook — September 16, 2026 🟡 Market Status: WAITING Market Phase: Decision Zone / H1 Recovery Bias: Neutral until confirmation. Gold has recovered strongly on H1 and is holding above its short-term EMA structure, but price is now approaching the 4339–4345 immediate resistance zone. H4 and D1 still contain important resistance above, while today's FOMC event risk makes confirmation particularly important. Key Zones Major Resistance: 4358–4366 Immediate Resistance: 4339–4345 Decision Zone: 4326–4340 Immediate Support: 4310–4318 Major Support: 4275–4285 ⭐ FXGV A-SETUP — Higher Quality 🟢 BUY ABOVE 4340 (H1 Close) Expected Path: H1 confirmation → retest/hold → continuation. 🎯 TP1: 4345 🎯 TP2: 4358 🎯 TP3: 4365 Invalidation: H1 loses 4326 after bullish confirmation. Main Risk: H4/D1 resistance and FOMC volatility. ↩ FXGV B-SETUP — Alternative 🔴 SELL BELOW 4310 (H1 Close) Expected Path: Support breakdown → failed recovery → bearish continuation. 🎯 TP1: 4300 🎯 TP2: 4285 🎯 TP3: 4275 Invalidation: H1 reclaims 4326 after bearish confirmation. Main Risk: Strong H1 recovery momentum could produce a false bearish break. ⚠ RISK Today's U.S. calendar contains major event risk, culminating in the Federal Reserve decision and associated communications. Technical levels remain valid, but false breakouts and liquidity sweeps may increase around the event. Do not treat a wick through 4340 or 4310 as confirmation. #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #FXGoldVision
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Follow-up10h agoGold Delivers Tp2, Small OB Now The Line In The Sand
Sometimes the market plays out exactly like the script — and this is one of those clean examples worth studying. On the 1H XAUUSD chart, gold bottomed out right inside the ZONE BUY + LIQUIDITY area near 4,254–4,280, the same demand zone flagged in the previous analysis. From there, buyers stepped in with conviction, confirming the reaction through a BOS structure and pushing price steadily higher — eventually reaching the projected target, marked directly on the chart as "Done Tp2" near 4,335. That's the kind of confirmation that builds confidence in a setup: price didn't just tap the zone and stall — it respected it, reversed, and delivered on the projected move. Currently trading at 4,334.665, gold is now taking a breather after this run, consolidating just above a freshly formed Small OB near 4,296–4,318. In Smart Money Concepts, this kind of Order Block left behind during an impulsive move often becomes the next area to watch — if price dips back into it and holds, that's typically a sign the broader uptrend still has fuel left. The projected path from here anticipates a shallow pullback into this Small OB, followed by renewed bullish continuation, eventually pushing back up toward the Demand Zone near 4,320–4,355 and, further out, testing the Premium Zone above 4,390. The key thing to watch now is simple: does the Small OB hold? A clean bounce here would reinforce the bullish structure, while a break below 4,296 would suggest this rally needs more time to digest before continuing. For now, gold has done its job on this leg — the next question is whether it can build on it. Do you think the Small OB holds for another leg higher, or does gold need a deeper pullback first?
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Follow-up9h agoLong Gold on Start of Wave 3 of 5
In this idea, I present the Elliott Waves Count for Gold as the most recent move down as a Wave 2 of 5 "A-B-C" that forms structurally into a "falling wedge" pattern. What I expect next will be the breaking up of this wedge pattern that is the beginning of a Wave 3 of 5. The take profit target is currently set at the top of wave 1 of 5 but as the blue arrow shows, the expectation is that price will break that price point and go higher. The stop loss is set where this count will be invalidated in the short-run (i.e. instead of a-b-c, there is a 5th "e" wave that lengthens the falling wedge and goes nearer to the apex of the wedge). Good luck!
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Follow-up9h agoGold 1H: Bounce Off Zone Buy Eyes Target 1 Next
Gold has bottomed out at a key demand area and is now working its way back up — and this chart offers a clean look at how SMC structure guides that recovery step by step. The decline began after gold rejected from the Resistance Zone, dropping through a Demand Zone near 4,395–4,430. That zone showed some internal activity — a CHoCH along with EQH/EQL liquidity pockets — before ultimately failing and sending price lower. From there, gold broke down further, eventually landing in the Zone Buy around 4,257–4,281. This is where the story turns. Price found support at that zone, confirmed by a fresh CHoCH, and buyers started stepping back in. Since then, gold has built a small recovery, forming an EQH liquidity pocket just above the lows — often a sign that price is gathering strength before pushing higher. Currently trading around 4,336, gold is now working toward what's marked on the chart as Target 1, sitting near 4,400–4,420 — notably the same area as the old Demand Zone that failed earlier. Revisiting a former demand zone from below often turns it into resistance first, so some hesitation there wouldn't be surprising. If gold clears Target 1 with conviction, the next logical objective becomes a retest of the Strong High near 4,510 — essentially retracing the full recent decline. The risk to this recovery is straightforward: a break back down below the Zone Buy (under 4,257) would suggest the bounce has failed and reopen the door to further downside. For beginners: notice how a broken support zone (the old Demand Zone) often becomes resistance once price approaches it again from below — that flip is one of the most practical SMC concepts to watch for. 💬 Do you think gold clears Target 1 and pushes on toward the Strong High, or does the old Demand Zone hold it back first?
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Follow-up9h agoGold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Detected )
HANZO MARKET LIQUIDITY REPORT Gold Timeframe: 30min (Volume Basis) Scale: Higher Timeframe Context / Deep Volume analysis ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Market Observation This analysis is focusing on structural behavior, liquidity zones, Volume analysis and key areas of interest within the current range. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Market Bias Full liquidity Map ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥Bullish Reversal Key Volume Zone : 4315 Area ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Structure Factors: • Higher timeframe Volume reaction level • High-volume / Hidden • Range Defend structure • Volume Stacking • Quarter Volume
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Follow-up9h agoDXY, Gold (XAUUSD), & WTI Crude: Macro Elliott Wave Outlook
Market Bias: Bullish (DXY), Neutral/Bearish (XAUUSD Macro), Bullish (WTI Crude) Analysis Breakdown: DXY (US Dollar Index): Macro Structure: Following the major cycle peak, DXY has carved out a solid multi-month accumulation base. We are breaking out from a large ascending triangle structure, signalling a long-term bottom. Targets & Near-Term: A breakout above the intermediate resistance box targets 103.90, with an extended macro target between 105.00 – 105.50. Near term, expect possible pullbacks to test Fibonacci retracement levels (23.6%, 38.2%, or 50%) before continuation, particularly with upcoming FOMC and retail sales data. A favorable 12:1 R:R long setup remains valid above the base. Gold (XAUUSD): Tactical Wave Play: Gold broke out of the corrective descending channel following a flush-out. Tactically, we are completing a micro 5-wave triangle/diagonal structure into wave (E). Targets: Anticipating a rally toward the $4,396 – $4,400+ liquidity zone to finish intermediate wave (B). Macro Outlook: The larger timeframe suggests this bounce feeds a broader ABC correction or complex structure, with long-term lower targets down near $4,100 – $4,050 once wave (C) unfolds. WTI Crude Oil (XTIOIL): Macro Impulse: Oil has held higher lows throughout 2026 and is showing explosive upside momentum. Projections: Currently testing intermediate resistance near $104. A minor consolidation or shallow pullback here is expected, followed by a powerful Wave (3) impulse targeting previous structural highs of $130 – $132, with Fibonacci extension targets stretching toward $144+.
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Follow-up9h agoGold Prepares for Another Move Higher
Gold is showing a recovery on the 45-minute chart after forming a potential head-and-shoulders structure around the recent lows. Buyers have stepped in strongly, pushing price back toward the descending trendline and the 4,350 area. 🔥 The current price action suggests that buyers are attempting to regain momentum. A sustained move above the descending trendline could open the way toward the first target at 4,411. 📊 If bullish momentum continues, the next levels are 4,457 and 4,494. 🚀 The marked lower range remains important for the overall setup, while continued buying pressure could support a move toward the projected upside levels. Traders should watch the reaction around the trendline and nearby price areas as the structure develops. 💎 If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up8h ago
Gold Detailed Analysis & key levels
MARKET STRUCTURE Gold is trading around $4,390 after rebounding from the $4,342 area. The recovery remains corrective for now, with price still below major resistance and the 200-day moving average. Overall structure remains neutral-to-bearish unless buyers reclaim the $4,511–$4,538 area. KEY LEVELS Gold is currently trading between major support and resistance zones, with liquidity available on both sides. These levels are likely to determine the next stronger directional move. Support: $4,342–$4,366 Major demand: $4,282–$4,311 Resistance: $4,413–$4,443 Next resistance: $4,491–$4,511 Major resistance / 200DMA: $4,530–$4,538 DXY & YIELDS DXY remains relatively soft around 98.8, helping Gold recover, while US Treasury yields remain elevated with the 10Y near 4.8%. A DXY recovery above 99.20 combined with rising yields would increase downside pressure on Gold. MACRO & FED Markets remain focused on US PPI, CPI and the FOMC. Hot inflation data would likely strengthen rate-hike expectations, support Treasury yields and pressure Gold. Softer inflation data would favour a stronger upside recovery. GEOPOLITICAL RISK US-Iran tensions and elevated oil prices continue to provide some safe-haven support. However, higher oil prices also increase inflation concerns, creating a two-sided environment for Gold. TRADE BIAS Current bias: 55% bearish / 45% bullish. The preferred sell area is $4,443–$4,511, while $4,342–$4,366 remains the main reaction area for buyers. A daily close above $4,538 would strengthen the bullish case, while a break below $4,282 would favour bearish continuation. CONCLUSION Gold is currently recovering, but the higher-timeframe structure has not confirmed a bullish reversal. Until $4,511–$4,538 is reclaimed, rallies into resistance remain vulnerable. PPI, CPI, DXY and Treasury yields are likely to determine the next significant directional move.
TITradingView Ideas - Follow-up8h ago
Gold Breaks $4,300; Awaiting the Fed's Interest Rate Decision
Gold's status as a safe-haven asset has not entirely vanished. Attacks on energy infrastructure, disruptions to crude oil supply chains, and volatility in global bond markets all indicate that macroeconomic risks remain elevated. Consequently, gold is currently seeking a new equilibrium between "safe-haven demand" and the pressure of high interest rates. Should US Treasury yields cease their ascent, or the US dollar undergo a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" correction following the realization of rate-hike expectations, gold could quickly attract technical buying. From a capital flow perspective, the recent consecutive pullbacks in gold prices have alleviated some short-term overbought pressure, yet the market still lacks a clear signal of a trend reversal. Investors should focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, economic projections, the "dot plot," and remarks by Warsh, while also monitoring whether the 10-year US Treasury yield can stabilize below 5%. If yields retreat below 5%, the pressure on gold may temporarily ease; conversely, if yields break higher and establish a sustained upward trend, gold could continue to test previous lows.
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Follow-up7h agoGOLD Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell!
https://www.tradingview.com/x/CDV0bg1u/ Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 4,347.20. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 4,302.02 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TITradingView Ideas- Follow-up7h ago
Gold rebounds; today's "fear data" may be underestimated.
From a daily chart perspective, the price remains below the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating an overall bearish trend. The area around $4,275 is a critical zone to watch; if the price can hold above the $4,317–$4,339 range, the short-term target would shift back toward the $4,387–$4,420 zone. The 100-day SMA, currently near $4,330, represents the key resistance level that gold must reclaim to initiate a short-term rebound; further upside focus should be placed on the middle band of the Bollinger Bands near $4,455. Only if gold can firmly establish itself above $4,455 will the bearish structure on the daily chart likely see significant improvement. On the downside, the initial area of interest is the support zone near $4,275, which currently serves as a significant level of dynamic support. A decisive break below $4,275 would make the $4,245–$4,222 range the next critical area to test. Given the upcoming Federal Reserve policy decision, any confirmed breakout of these technical levels should be validated against movements in the US dollar and US Treasury yields.
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Follow-up7h agoGOLD Breakout Done , Best Place To Buy Spotted , 1000 Pips !
Here Is My 30 Mins GOLD Chart , as we see the main direction is very bearish and we entered a sell trade at the begin of the week , and now finally we have a real breakout confirmed by closure above a very strong res area @ 4310.00 / 4318.00 with 4H Candle which prove it`s a real breakout after the price stay below this res for more than 3 days and finally we have this breakout with a very good bullish candle and clear bullish price action so i`m looking to buy gold in this case even for a small retracement to collect some pips , so i`m waiting the price at this area around 4310.00 / 4318.00 and waiting for a good touch for this area and good bullish price action and then we can enter a buy trade and targeting the next res , if we have a daily closure below this area again then this idea will not be valid anymore .
TITradingView Ideas- TIFollow-up5h ago
Gold v/s Crude : Tale of Two Trends
Gold : Gold is taking support at the 200 EMA, while there is also an horizontal support at the same area 4320$ levels. Along with it, Gold is creating a swing low exactly at the support zone and changing the trend. Overall Trend will get stronger once GOLD cross downward slopping resistance trendline and gives a breakout for an up trend! Crude : Crude is trading near the 104-106 level of resistance zone. Along with the resistance zone currently its trading with a bearish divergence where prices are creating higher high while RSI is forming lower lows, infact RSI has also come under overbought zone. FOMC meet just around the corner, will GOLD trigger additional bullish breakout or will Crude break all the resistance and move towards higher levels of 114-115$ levels.
TITradingView Ideas - Follow-up4h ago
GOLD - 4394 ON THE RADAR
Hey Everyone, Gold has continued to follow our 1H route map. After completing the 4306 bearish gap, price broke below 4306, opening the retracement range. As highlighted in our previous update, we expected this retracement zone to provide reactionary support, with the next move bringing 4306 back onto the radar for a retest. Price found support within the retracement range, produced the bounce and retested 4306. We highlighted that the next confirmation would be an EMA5 cross and lock back above 4306. We now have that lock, which once again leaves the 4394 Goldturn bullish gap OPEN as the next key target on our 1H route map. 4306 → Retracement Support → 4306 Retest → EMA5 Lock Above → 4394 OPEN 🎯 We will continue monitoring the move and keep you updated. Mr Gold
TITradingView Ideas - TIFollow-up2h ago
SNDK LONG SETUP
https://www.tradingview.com/x/TzkUZWgL/ SNDK LONG SETUP Waiting for the pullback, not chasing the rebound. Entry: $1,500 Stop Loss: $1,450 Take Profit: $1,800 Trigger: Hold the $1,450–$1,500 zone and reclaim momentum. Invalidation: Close below $1,450 → cancel the long setup and wait for a new base. Key catalyst: AI + data-center NAND demand. ⚠️ SNDK is highly volatile. For Bitget RSNDK/USDT, use percentage-based levels since the contract price may differ from the cash market. NFA. Always DYOR.
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Latest48m agoTalaat Moustafa Group (TMGH) — Short-Term Bearish Setup
TMGH is showing a potential Head & Shoulders reversal pattern on the 1H timeframe, suggesting a short-term bearish scenario. The structure consists of a clear Left Shoulder → Head → Right Shoulder, with price currently testing the neckline around 95.50 EGP. 🔻 Bearish Scenario A confirmed 1H close below 95.50 EGP would provide stronger confirmation of the bearish breakout and could open the way toward: Entry: 95.50 EGP — preferably after confirmed neckline breakdown Stop Loss: 101.00–101.20 EGP Target 1: 84.85 EGP Target 2: 80.75–79.70 EGP The first target represents the major horizontal support around 85 EGP, while the second target is the next significant support zone around 80.75–79.70 EGP. ⚠️ Invalidation The bearish setup would be invalidated if price reclaims and sustains above 101.00–101.20 EGP, which would indicate a failure of the Head & Shoulders formation. Bias: Bearish in the short term, but confirmation below 95.50 EGP is key. This is a technical setup, not financial advice. Wait for confirmation rather than anticipating the breakdown
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