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6 sourcesTracking since 14 Sept, 15:14

Long Netflix ($NFLX)

Chronological coverage

  1. 17 September
  2. Follow-up17 Sept, 13:24

    USA Rare Earth (USAR) LONG — 12H ALMA Re-entry (WR 75% · avg RR

    NASDAQ:USAR · 12H · long only. (Context: USA Rare Earth — Round Top TX mine-to-magnet · Serra Verde Brazil · NdFeB magnets — policy / magnet / dilution beta on the 12H ALMA Averaging template.) ═ █ RESEARCH HUB Category: US stocks sentiment 58.8 (Greed) — built from 440 locked notes (193 constructive / 115 risk-off / 92 mixed). Drivers: AES / AVB constructive vs ACX / XLE risk-off. Sector: US · Industrials 68.0 (Greed) — built from 4 locked notes (2 constructive / 0 risk-off / 1 mixed). Thin Industrials panel; name path sits on the issuer tape below. Asset: negative (Hub window). USA Rare Earth ~−4% with MP Materials ~−5% on thaw-hope headlines — both names on the same tape. Tape: - 2026-09-04 · mixed · TMRC + Serra Verde closed; tape still flat after the combination print. Calendar: - 2026-09-17 · FOMC meeting · macro/unlinked · policy - 2026-09-24 · Trump–Xi White House meeting · macro/category · geopolitics - 2026-10-01 · CEO transition Humpton → Moraitis · direct · governance Hub verdict: Category Greed 58.8 and Industrials Greed 68 sit behind a negative name window : thaw-hope headlines cut USAR ~−4% with MP ~−5%, and the 04 Sep TMRC + Serra Verde close left tape flat. Hub frames a post-deal digestion long on the Averaging clock — repair grind under leftover deal shelves, with 17 Sep FOMC and the 01 Oct CEO handoff still on the dated calendar. ═ █ MARKET EDGE Long Edge 59.7 · Short Edge −54.7 ( 16 Sep snap ~ 15.34 · fill ~ 15.68 ). Built from: 1H–3D below-EMA time stretch · 1D–1W ALMA OVERHEAT-S · PA fractal lows · SMC/TL odds at the fill — hard discount lean after the re-arm. Positive factors - EMA — 1H Below · Cur S:40 vs Avg S:14.4 · Dev +2.6% — execution-ladder below-session overheated vs a normal mean-reversion template https://www.tradingview.com/x/agvBpyqJ/ - EMA — 4H Below · Cur S:25 vs Avg S:13.8 · Dev +12.3% — 4H deeply time-stretched below the mean into the arm https://www.tradingview.com/x/mLUxFAy0/ - EMA — 1D Below · Cur S:13 vs Avg S:8.7 · Dev +13.2% — daily still on the short side of the mean, stretched vs its own average run https://www.tradingview.com/x/gRG2AKL0/ - EMA — 3D Below · Cur S:20 vs Avg S:5.4 · Dev +22.4% — slow clock deeply time-stretched Below (mean-reversion fuel) https://www.tradingview.com/x/WjckfkwL/ - ALMA — 1H LONG · L:1 vs LAvg:3.0 — young above-session at/near the band after the 12H fill https://www.tradingview.com/x/hy3RGyYu/ - ALMA — 1D SHORT OVERHEAT-S · S:13 vs SAvg:3.7 — daily band still short and overheated vs its own average run https://www.tradingview.com/x/VbbRHx4n/ - ALMA — 3D SHORT OVERHEAT-S · S:4 vs SAvg:3.4 — slow band stretched below https://www.tradingview.com/x/RXc4lTug/ - ALMA — 1W SHORT OVERHEAT-S · S:4 vs SAvg:2.7 — weekly band stretched below; Averaging template matches this counter-trend inventory https://www.tradingview.com/x/lew6sgt1/ - SMC — 1D FVG Enter Bull ~ 15.71 ( 14 Sep ) · bounce up B 55.7% · break down Br44.3% (n=61) — mild demand-hold skew over the fill cluster https://www.tradingview.com/x/bzEiIV5G/ - TL — Support Break ( 10 Sep ) · bounce up B 57% · break down Br43% (n=49) — post-break bounce-up fuel on the mean-reversion clock https://www.tradingview.com/x/z0PWsTGh/ - Score skew long ~59.7 vs short ~−54.7 — board hard-discount lean Negative factors - EMA — 1W Below · Cur S:4 vs Avg S:8.6 · Dev +19.7% — weekly below-session still young on the slowest TF; selloff can extend https://www.tradingview.com/x/pGA6CWFI/ - ALMA — 4H SHORT · S:4 vs SAvg:4.1 — 4H below-band session still at typical length (young vs stretch) https://www.tradingview.com/x/oAXjY92f/ - SMC — 4H FVG Enter Bull ~ 15.26 ( 16 Sep 13:30 ) · bounce up B 50% · break down Br50% (n=112) — even hold vs flush at the fill print https://www.tradingview.com/x/rT4p7EOs/ - SMC — 4H FVG Raid Bear ~ 15.26 ( 16 Sep 13:30 ) · reject down B 55.7% · break up Br44.3% (n=122) — nearby supply raid still leans reject-down https://www.tradingview.com/x/FlLcFoC3/ - TL — Resistance Break ( 15 Sep ) · reject down B 63% · break up Br37% (n=46) — fresh resistance-break ceiling; reject-down skew leads https://www.tradingview.com/x/gFXkGW8c/ - PA — Fractal Low Formed and Fractal Low Broken — local low already taken through - EMA — 3D fake-S 43% — slow-clock stretch can reverse as a one-bar fake as often as it holds https://www.tradingview.com/x/we1P9yGI/ - Small-cap rare-earth beta can gap through the −10% zone (~ 14.11 ) before the ~15×12H sample hold completes - First lot only (1 of 4 on each twin template) — thin day-1 cushion on a re-arm after the 15 Sep stop ═ █ DESK Hub is Greed on US stocks / Industrials while the name window is negative (thaw-hope fade with MP, tape still flat after Serra Verde, 15 Sep stop). Edge is a hard discount lean (Long 59.7 vs Short −54.7) from 1H–3D below-EMA overheat plus 1D–1W ALMA OVERHEAT-S — with the 12H fill ~$15.68 already washing toward ~$15.34 on the same session. Fork: Hub risk-off on the issuer vs Edge discount on the bar. Alignment for the template: twin Averaging re-arm into post-stop digestion on the bar close. Sister 8H template on the same bar is desk twin — one Idea on 12H. Bar-close refill on 12H (and twin 8H) at 16 Sep 13:30 UTC ~ $15.68 after the 04 Sep cycle booked the −10% exit on 15 Sep ~ $15.54 — process re-entry first, thaw-hope headline second. Takeaway: the 12H ALMA strategy and 75% WR / 3.8 avg RR support a twin first-lot re-arm ~$15.68 into a hard-discount Edge, with 1H–3D below-EMA overheat, 1D–1W ALMA OVERHEAT-S, daily bull FVG bounce-up skew at ~15.71, and 10 Sep support-break bounce-up fuel — while weekly Below stays young, 4H ALMA sits at typical short-session length, 15 Sep resistance-break still rejects down 63%, 4H bear-FVG raid holds a 56% reject-down skew at ~15.26, 3D fake-S 43%, and a name-level thaw-hope fade keep the path a repair grind; nominal risk stays on the −10% hard stop / Pine exit path. Base case: follow 12H (and sister 8H) ALMA Averaging · hold/add on qualifying bars while the mid-$15 wash digests · mean-revert toward leftover mid-Aug deal shelves if materials tape holds above the stop zone. Bear case: weekly young Below extends · 15 Sep resistance-break reject-down path wins · thaw-hope / FOMC / CEO-transition tape reprices · template posts −10% toward ~$14.11 from the working average · wait for the next bar-close arm. ═ https://www.tradingview.com/x/v31YscCO/ █ STRATEGY ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 1/1, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from the working average. Lots (1 of 4 on the 12H Idea clock; twin 8H same fill): - Lot 1 — 16 Sep 13:30 UTC ~ 15.68 Working average ~ 15.68 . Hard stop −10% from that average ~ 14.11 . Adds 2–4 stay 25% per bar if lower closes qualify. Strategy Tester (USAR 12H): Win rate 75% · profit factor 2.4 · max drawdown 4.6% Avg winning trade +33.8% · avg losing trade −8.8% Typical hold ~15×12H bars on winners — US small-cap mean-reversion grid on the rare-earth template · 97-trade sample Exits when the Above-ALMA run clears its historical average (min diff) or the −10% hard stop from the working average. Chart: NASDAQ:USAR 12H — ALMA Averaging Strategy. Educational idea. Live position — past backtest ≠ future results. NFA.

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  3. 16 September
  4. 15 September
  5. Follow-up15 Sept, 12:32

    SPY 15m - Long the retrace into 757.80-758.50 demand

    SPY swept the liquidity resting below 757 and reversed with an impulsive expansion leg, currently trading near 759.83. The displacement left an untested 15m bullish order block behind at 757.80-758.50, with lower-timeframe imbalances stacked inside 758-759. The higher-probability path is a minor pullback into that demand before continuation toward the 760-761 supply and beyond. Levels Entry zone: 757.80 - 758.50 Stop loss: 756.40 (below the sweep low) Target 1: 761.00 Target 2: 763.50 Risk/reward is approximately 1.6R to Target 1 and 3.0R from the mid-zone entry. Confirmation checklist (no blind limit orders) Price retraces into 757.80-758.50 1m or 5m bullish change of character inside the zone Reaction off the order block base (rejection wick or bullish engulfing close) Entry only after confirmation prints Confluence Sell-side liquidity below 757 already taken Long lower wick and follow-through candles indicate accumulation after the stop run Fresh, unmitigated 15m order block Zone overlaps the optimal trade entry area of the recent swing Unfilled lower-timeframe fair value gaps within 758-759 Invalidation A 15m candle close below 756.40 voids the idea. No re-entry without a new structure shift. Event risk Equity index price action can move sharply around US economic releases and the cash open. Size accordingly. This is educational market analysis, not financial advice. Manage your own risk.

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  6. 14 September
  7. Follow-up14 Sept, 17:04

    copperusdt long Roddy01-SIGNALSPROVIDER

    Instructions: Entry point: yellow Stop loss: red Take profit: green or blue 👉Leverage x 5-10-20 for crypto 👉Leverage x 20-50-100 for commodities, stocks, indices, and forex 👉Margin 1-5% max. Always practice risk and money management. Invest a maximum of 5% on any trade or across all your trades. Invest only what you can afford to lose, as no one is in control of the market. 👉Our analyses are primarily based on: breakouts: two trend lines (ascending and descending) and a line indicating a horizontal breakout. chart patterns: shoulders and head, triangle parttern,  elliott impulse, etc etc. We don't always have the time to track them at all times or to represent them visibly, given the numerous signals, the number of channels to manage, and especially because of the often rapid pace of market movements. indicators: We associate at least two indicators with this technique. 👉Depending on the circumstances, we use specific indicators, often setting 3 or more take profit levels. 👉Indeed, there are good days in trading and also bad days. No one can promise to win every trade, and like all traders worldwide, we also experience stop-loss orders. However, we win more than we lose and remain positive. 👉You can close the position before or after the take profit orders indicated by the green lines if you are personally satisfied; the same applies to stop loss orders. 👉We must stay positive, clear-headed, and humble. we cannot provide all instructions or all trades here on this channel. Good luck to us all, and may God guide us. Amen.

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