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Europe frets about Trump. But soon he could be the least of our problems | Mujtaba Rahman

The US relationship is stabilising, but how will Europe face up to Russia and China if President Le Pen is in power? I addressed a group of more than 100 European ambassadors recently on the big challenges facing the continent this year and next. My main point to these senior diplomats was that, perhaps counterintuitively, Europe’s biggest external challenges over the next 12 months will come from Russia and China, rather than the US. Europe’s relationship with Trump’s America remains difficult. The US president has weakened confidence in Nato, raised new transatlantic trade tensions and introduced uncertainty into everything from US support for Ukraine to his territorial designs on Greenland. Yet paradoxically, and notwithstanding Trump’s latest tariff threats over the EU’s outreach to Canada, the transatlantic relationship is becoming the more stable part of Europe’s external environment. Not stable, but more stable. Mujtaba Rahman is the managing director for Europe at Eurasia Group, a political risk research and consulting firm Continue reading...

The GuardianThe Guardian•Mujtaba Rahman20h ago
  • critical toward Donald Trump · 99%

AI looms large over Trump-Xi meeting amid deep distrust between US and China

Fears persist about Trump ‘sucking up’ to Xi on Taiwan, but few concrete outcomes anticipated from US meeting When Xi Jinping, China’s leader, touches down in Maryland on Wednesday, he will step out into the arms – perhaps a hug , if Donald Trump’s wishes come true – of a US president who has shown China more bonhomie than any of his recent predecessors. The meeting between Xi and Trump this week will be the second time that the leaders of the world’s two biggest economies have talked face to face this year. At the previous summit, held in Beijing in May, there was much talk of building a “strategic stability” between the two powers. But there was little by way of concrete outcomes : the countries remain at loggerheads over trade, export controls and geopolitics. Continue reading...

The GuardianThe Guardian•Amy Hawkins, and David Smith in Washington22h ago
  • neutral toward Trump-Xi summit · 82%