12 articles from 4 sources. Only labels with confidence ≥ 0.6 are counted; quotes are the evidence.
 CryptoBriefing | 9 articles |
„could foster transparency and cooperation, potentially easing geopolitical tensions”
CryptoBriefing ↗„investor confidence in government securities”
CryptoBriefing ↗
US President Donald Trump previously tapped David Sacks as his AI and crypto czar before Sacks stepped down from the role earlier this year after reaching his service limit as a special government employee.
Cointelegraph•Cointelegraph by Felix Ng8h ago
The warning comes after the US Treasury sanctioned 27 remaining active Iranian airlines earlier this month
The shrinking US Treasury basis trade highlights potential volatility in bond markets and underscores the fragility of leveraged strategies.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team21h agoElectricity prices are heading up. Utility operating costs, raw materials, and fuel (obviously), are all heading up and no sign of stopping. Now higher capital costs courtesy of the Fed can also be expected. All we can say is that it seems like inflation is back, baby. The Fed recently raised its discount rate and Treasury bond yields hit 5%—their highest level in almost two decades. A utility’s cost of capital consists of two parts: 1) the return earned on a risk-free investment (like US Treasury bonds) plus 2) an extra amount added…
US Treasury chief Scott Bessent said there had been "successful" talks with China on trade and AI. The talks come amid growing fears that AI could pose an existential threat to humanity.
Deutsche Welle21 Sept
The BOJ's rate policy dilemma highlights the complex interplay between domestic growth priorities and international currency stabilization pressures.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team21 Sept
The proposed AI incident notification mechanism could foster transparency and cooperation, potentially easing geopolitical tensions and enhancing global AI governance.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team21 Sept
US Treasury has expanded its Iran crackdown by targeting BitBank, its developer, and executives linked to financier Babak Zanjani.
Investors' shift to short-term bonds reflects confidence in the Fed's inflation control, impacting future bond market dynamics and economic stability.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team20 Sept
US Treasury data show gross interest on public debt hit about $1.27 trillion through August of fiscal 2026, a record pace.
The Daily Hodl•Daily Hodl Agent20 SeptRising Treasury yields signal increased borrowing costs, impacting corporate credit, mortgages, and equity valuations across the economy.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team18 Sept
The talks could reshape global tech and mineral markets, influencing AI governance and supply chain dynamics amid US-China tensions.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team18 Sept
Rising yields signal tighter financial conditions, impacting housing affordability, corporate financing, and diminishing stock market appeal.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team18 Sept
US Treasury says the Iranian exchange processed payments received through Iran’s Strait of Hormuz maritime scheme and helped move hundreds of millions of dollars in Bitcoin to the IRGC.
Cointelegraph•Cointelegraph by Felix Ng18 Sept
Steady demand for short-term US debt suggests investor confidence in government securities, impacting future fiscal strategies and interest rates.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team17 Sept
Gradual unwinding comes as rift deepens between world’s two largest economies
Gold prices (XAU/USD) OANDA:XAUUSD attracted limited buying interest but struggled to break and hold above the psychological threshold of US$4,300 per troy ounce throughout the Asian trading session on Thursday, September 17, 2026. The precious metal hovered close to the nearly six-week low touched the previous day. Gold's decline was triggered by the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) unanimous decision to raise its benchmark interest rate—the first hike since 2023—accompanied by a super-hawkish "Dot Plot" chart. This coincided with a surge in the 10-year US Treasury yield toward 5.0% and intensified Houthi-Saudi aerial combat in Yemen. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ US Monetary Policy & Kevin Warsh's Remarks: Unanimous Rate Hike (+25 bps) & Signal for One Further Hike in Dot Plot The Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement on Wednesday evening (early Thursday morning WIB) solidified the Greenback's dominance: - ⚡Unanimous Rate Decision & Dot Plot Projections: Fed officials unanimously voted to raise the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps). The updated Dot Plot chart confirmed expectations among top Fed officials to implement one additional rate hike before the end of 2026. - ⚡Remarks by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh: In the post-meeting press conference, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized that the rate hike decision was driven by the strength of the US economy, the lack of improvement in inflation trends over the summer, and geopolitical turmoil. Warsh asserted that inflation remained "too high and has persisted for too long." - ⚡Record US Bond Yields (Near 5.0%): The yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond held firm near the 5.0% threshold (its highest level since April 2007). High borrowing costs are eroding the appeal of non-yielding commodities like gold. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Price Action Analysis (H4 Timeframe) From a macro perspective, the H4 structure is in a Bearish/Retest phase. After a gradual decline from the Lower High peak at the 4,511.309 green line, gold slid downward and executed a liquidity sweep (a "wick" penetration) below the local Demand Zone (gray box) to the 4,235.165 level. At the 4,291.105 price level, the most recent H4 candle shows a buying rejection reaction (long lower wick) that successfully pushed the price back into the consolidation floor area. This current green candle indicates a temporary rebound push aimed at filling the imbalance area and testing the Support-Turned-Resistance (SBR) zone above it. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Key Zones: - ⚡Resistance / Supply Zone (SBR): The 4,442.941 green line range (middle gray box / primary SBR & HVN area) and the 4,511.309 green line range (Lower High limit / upper Major Supply Zone). - ⚡Support / Demand Zone: The 4,235.165 – 4,260.000 range (lower gray box where the liquidity sweep occurred) and the 4,154.156 green line (lowest Major Demand Zone stronghold). ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Orderflow / Volume Profile (VPVR) Analysis The Volume Profile histogram on the right side of the chart provides a highly precise map of institutional liquidity: - ⚡High Volume Node (HVN) / Upper Local Point of Control (POC): A very dense accumulation of volume is visible above the current price, specifically in the 4,380.000 – 4,442.000 range (indicated by the longest histogram protrusion in the middle section). This HVN level acts as a formidable Orderflow resistance barrier. - ⚡Low Volume Node (LVN) / Volume Vacuum Area below 4,235: Below the 4,235.165 level, extending down to the green line at 4,154.156, the volume histogram shows extreme thinning (a volume vacuum). If sellers succeed in breaking through and triggering a solid H4 candle close below the 4,235.165 base, the decline is projected to accelerate rapidly across this volume void, targeting 4,154.156. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Elliott Wave Analysis Mapping wave cycle movements on the H4 timeframe: ⚡Wave Structure: The sharp decline from the major peak to the 4,280.000 area low is calculated as Sub-Wave A (or Wave 1). The upward bounce that stalled at the green line (4,511.309) is identified as the formation of Sub-Wave B (a micro zigzag correction). ⚡Current Status: The decline from 4,511.309 to 4,235.165 is calculated as part of the Sub-Wave C expansion (or micro Wave 3). The upward bounce from 4,235.165 to 4,291.105 currently represents the formation of a minor corrective sub-wave (relief rally) to retest the price efficiency area. ⚡Projection: Price action is projected to complete this corrective rebound by testing the SBR/HVN area in the 4,340.000 – 4,400.000 range, before reversing downward to break the 4,235.165 base and target the Major Demand floor at 4,154.156.
The operation's expansive sanctions could reshape global financial networks, intensifying scrutiny on digital assets and impacting market stability.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team16 Sept
Why does tonight's Fed decision matter for crypto? It isn't really about a 25 bp hike — the market has largely priced it in. The real question: what happens to US real yields and the dollar after the decision? 📊 WHERE CRYPTO STANDS (pre-decision) - Total crypto market cap: ~$2.64T (Sep 15), BTC dominance ~58%. - BTC: ~$75.7K, roughly 40% below its October 2025 all-time high. - Fear & Greed: dropped from 69 (Greed) to 51 (Neutral) in one day. - Extra headwind: the CLARITY Act failed its Senate procedural vote on Sep 15 — a major regulatory catalyst delayed. - ETF context: US spot BTC ETFs took in ~$3.5B in August, BTC's best month since Nov 2024 — but early September already saw outflows. 📊 US MACRO SNAPSHOT - Jobs: +162K in August vs 53K expected. Unemployment 4.1%. - Inflation: headline CPI 3.4%, mostly energy-driven. Core CPI 2.4%, lowest since 2021, but the monthly core print came in hot. - Retail sales (today): +1.2% vs +0.8% expected; control group +1.4% vs +0.4%. Bottom line: the economy is holding up, inflation is sticky because of oil, and the Fed is under pressure to tighten. 🔍 THE INDICATOR I'M WATCHING: DFII10 DFII10 is the 10-year US Treasury real yield — the return after expected inflation. - 2.60% (Sep 14 close), up from 2.43% a week earlier. - Nominal 10Y closed at 5.00% on Sep 15, the highest close since 2007. https://www.tradingview.com/x/1FkRtn1T/ Key point: breakeven inflation is roughly flat near 2.4%. Yields aren't rising on inflation fears — real yields themselves are climbing. Why crypto cares : BTC pays no yield. When investors can earn a 2.6% real return in a risk-free dollar asset, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding, high-volatility assets rises. Rising real yields usually mean: - Tighter dollar liquidity. - Weaker risk appetite and slower ETF inflows. - Lower tolerance for leverage → larger liquidation cascades. - Altcoins typically take a bigger hit than BTC (higher beta). 🎯 WHAT'S PRICED IN? - Futures price ~90% odds of a 25 bp hike to 3.75%–4.00% — the first since July 2023. - Reuters poll (Sep 14): 86 of 101 economists expect a hike; 37 of 70 expect at least one more by end-March 2027. - Futures price roughly 4 hikes through July 2027. 🏦 WARSH & THE FED - July: held 9–3, three dissenters wanted a hike. - Jackson Hole: Warsh avoids advance commitments to markets, but said the Fed "has work to do" if core inflation doesn't fall fast enough. Hike odds jumped from 34% to 57% afterward. 🏛 POLITICAL PRESSURE The White House says a hike isn't necessary — that argues for a hold, not a cut. Cuts aren't in current pricing. My view: cuts could return later if the labor market weakens clearly, oil drops sharply, or 5%+ yields start breaking financing conditions. A hold tonight isn't risk-free: Deutsche Bank says it would be the biggest dovish surprise at a scheduled meeting since 1994. If read as political capitulation, long-end yields could rise anyway. 💭 WHAT COULD ACTUALLY MOVE MARKETS - Dot plot: June signaled one hike in 2026. An extra hike = a tightening cycle. - Dissents and updated projections. - The reaction in DFII10, US10Y and DXY during the press conference — crypto often trades the presser, not the headline. 🌏 DON'T IGNORE JAPAN The BoJ is expected to lift rates to a 31-year high. A stronger yen can force unwinds of yen-funded carry trades — the same mechanism behind the sharp crypto sell-off in August 2024. 🔀 POST-DECISION SCENARIOS 1️⃣ Hike 25 + DFII10 stable/falling → "sell the rumor, buy the news" relief; supportive for TOTAL. 2️⃣ Hike 25 + hawkish dots + DFII10 above 2.50% → pressure; alts likely underperform BTC. 3️⃣ Surprise hold → sharp initial pump that may fade if bonds read it as soft on inflation. 4️⃣ Hike 50 → very unlikely, clear risk-off shock and liquidation risk. ✅ WHAT TO WATCH AFTER THE DECISION - DFII10: back below 2.50%, or holding above? - US10Y: sustaining above 5%? - DXY: ~99.7 — a break above 100 is a warning sign. - BTC dominance: rising dominance = defensive rotation out of alts. - ETF flows on Thursday and Friday. Easing yields and dollar = breathing room for crypto. Holding above these levels = pressure persists. ⏰ Decision: 2:00 PM ET (18:00 UTC). Press conference: 2:30 PM ET. Data as of Sep 16, 2026, before the decision. Educational content, not investment advice.
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS POC BEFORE FED DECISION Gold is trading cautiously below 4,350 as the market moves into the Fed decision window. The current price action is not clean enough to chase aggressively. Buyers have managed to recover from the recent low, but gold is still struggling below the short-term sell zone around 4,353 and the larger Composite VAH resistance near 4,390 - 4,400. The macro background is mixed. A softer US dollar gives gold some short-term support, but the strong move in US Treasury yields continues to limit bullish momentum. With the Fed expected to raise rates by 25 bps, traders are now focused on the updated economic projections, the dot plot, and comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. This is why gold is moving carefully around value. The market is waiting for confirmation, not just direction. Technical structure On the 45-minute chart, gold is holding above the POC / HVN Value Support around 4,320 - 4,330. This is the most important intraday support zone. Price has already reacted from this area and is now attempting to build a recovery structure. As long as buyers defend this zone, gold still has room to test higher resistance. The first short-term resistance is around 4,353 - 4,365. This area is marked as the sell zone and sits near the current rejection line. If gold reaches this zone and fails to break cleanly, sellers may step back in and push price down toward 4,320 again. Above that, the Composite VAH / Major Resistance around 4,390 - 4,400 is the main upside barrier. A clean break and acceptance above this zone would be the first sign that buyers are taking back stronger control. If the POC / HVN support fails, the downside levels are clear: 4,292 as the first target, 4,275 as secondary support, and 4,262 as the major downside target. Important zones Current price area: 4,340 - 4,350 Gold is holding above short-term value but still below resistance. POC / HVN Value Support: 4,320 - 4,330 Main buyer defense zone for the current structure. Sell zone: 4,353 - 4,365 First resistance and seller reaction area. Composite VAH / Major Resistance: 4,390 - 4,400 Major upside resistance before any stronger bullish continuation. VAL first downside target: 4,292 First downside target if price loses value support. LVN secondary support: 4,275 Next support if bearish pressure expands. Major downside target: 4,262 Deeper downside target if Fed volatility strengthens the US dollar. Trading scenario Priority view: buy reaction only if 4,320 - 4,330 holds Entry: Look for buy positions only if gold holds the POC / HVN Value Support around 4,320 - 4,330 and shows clear bullish rejection. Stop Loss: Below the local sweep low or below the 4,320 support zone. Take Profit: TP1: 4,353 - 4,365 TP2: 4,390 - 4,400 TP3: Trail higher only if gold breaks and accepts above the Composite VAH resistance This setup follows the current value-support reaction. However, confirmation is very important because the Fed decision can create fast and aggressive volatility. Alternative sell scenario If gold rejects from 4,353 - 4,365 and fails to reclaim that zone, sellers may regain short-term control. Entry: Look for sell positions only if price rejects clearly from the sell zone or breaks below 4,320 and retests it as resistance. Stop Loss: Above the rejection high or above the reclaimed resistance zone. Take Profit: TP1: 4,292 TP2: 4,275 TP3: 4,262 if downside momentum continues after the Fed decision Final view Gold is sitting in a decision area before the Fed announcement. The short-term structure is trying to recover, but it is not fully bullish yet. Buyers need to defend 4,320 - 4,330 and break above 4,353 to open the way toward 4,390 - 4,400. Until that happens, every move higher can still face seller pressure. For me, the map is simple: Hold 4,320 - 4,330 = buyers still have a chance. Break 4,353 = recovery momentum improves. Reach 4,390 - 4,400 = major resistance test. Lose 4,320 = downside opens toward 4,292 and 4,275. Lose 4,275 = 4,262 becomes the next major target. Gold is not a chase market right now. It is a confirmation market. Will buyers defend the POC before the Fed decision, or will sellers use the event to force one more move into lower value?
