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Prima relatare14 sept., 14:381D Analysis - Gold
Reversal Zones as per supply and demand, 2 Scenarios for Bullish move's reversal. If there's no Confirmation at 1D or 1W Key level and also at 1.0x reversal zone for demand then market can continue downwards making 2.0x supply, then 2 scenarios can be placed for demand.
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Continuare14 sept., 16:35GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS — XAUUSD
Gold is currently showing a recovery attempt after sweeping liquidity around the 4,260–4,280 support area. Price has reacted strongly from the lower zone and is now attempting to build a short-term recovery structure. The 4,300–4,320 area is an important near-term zone. Holding above this region could keep the recovery scenario active and allow buyers to challenge the higher resistance levels. 📈 BULLISH SCENARIO — RECOVERY & CONTINUATION If Gold maintains support and continues building higher lows, a push above 4,340 could strengthen the recovery and open the way toward: TP1: 4,380 TP2: 4,400–4,420 TP3: 4,460 A clean breakout and hold above 4,380–4,400 would provide stronger confirmation for further upside continuation. KEY SUPPORT / INVALIDATION The 4,300–4,320 zone remains an important support area if price loses this region and sellers regain control, Gold could revisit the 4,280 liquidity area, with deeper downside pressure possible toward the 4,260 support zone. 🔴 MARKET VIEW The broader structure remains mixed, but the recent liquidity sweep + strong reaction from support gives Gold a short-term bullish recovery bias for now, the key levels to watch are 4,300–4,320 support and 4,380–4,400 resistance bias, not prediction. Price action and confirmation around these levels remain important before expecting the next major move. your support means a lot! If you found this analysis useful, leave a Like and tell me your thoughts in the comments. Best of luck with your trading journey! 🚀
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Continuare14 sept., 16:52XAUUSD
XAUUSD = Bullish My core analysis remains unchanged. After being stopped out once more, I’ve re-entered the trade with a wider take-profit target. I’ll continue marking the same intermediate targets from the previous setups for structure and consistency. However, with the 4H liquidity now fully hunted — the exact level I previously flagged as a risk — the path higher is clearer. Price now has the potential to extend toward the full 4H target zone. Position remains active. Momentum is building.
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Continuare14 sept., 16:53NASDAQ Market analysis
As explained on the video i'm waiiting for a better setup as i'am currently neutral on the market ahead of fomc. but i give a little insight on what i understand base on the current market.
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Continuare14 sept., 17:21XAUUSD Market Structure Support, Resistance & Breakout Scenario
Gold is currently showing a recovery from the 4250–4275 support area after a strong bearish move. Price has bounced back toward the 4310 region, but the overall structure remains cautious because price is still trading below the descending trendline and the major 4365–4380 resistance zone. Market Structure The recent price action shows lower highs and lower lows, indicating that sellers still have control of the broader structure. The latest bounce from the 4250–4275 area suggests that buyers are defending the support zone, but this recovery should not automatically be considered a confirmed trend reversal. The 4300–4310 region is currently an important short-term area. Holding above this zone could allow price to continue recovering toward the trend resistance. Resistance The primary resistance zone is approximately 4365–4380. This area is important because it overlaps with the marked trend resistance and the descending trendline. A rejection from this region could bring sellers back into the market. A sustained breakout above 4380, followed by confirmation and a successful retest, would provide stronger evidence that bullish momentum is developing. In that case, the next major upside objective shown on the chart is around 4500. Support The immediate support area is around 4300–4310. Below this, the next important support is approximately 4275, followed by the major 4250 area. A decisive break below 4250 would weaken the current bullish recovery and could indicate that the bearish structure is continuing. Trading Scenarios Bullish scenario: Price holds above 4300–4310 and continues making higher highs and higher lows. The stronger confirmation would come from a breakout above 4365–4380 and a successful retest. Only after confirmation should traders consider continuation toward higher levels, with 4500 remaining the major chart objective. Bearish scenario: Price reaches the 4365–4380 resistance zone and shows a clear rejection, followed by bearish confirmation. Alternatively, a strong break below 4300 could increase the probability of a move toward 4275–4250. The market should be allowed to confirm the direction rather than entering simply because price reaches a marked level. Risk Management Never risk a large portion of the account on a single XAUUSD trade. A conservative approach is to risk only a small, predefined percentage of account equity per trade. The Stop Loss should be placed at a logical technical invalidation level rather than randomly or emotionally. Position size must be calculated according to the distance between entry and Stop Loss. Do not increase lot size after a losing trade in an attempt to recover losses. Do not move the Stop Loss farther away simply because the trade is moving against you. If the setup becomes invalid, accept the loss and wait for the next opportunity. Avoid revenge trading, overtrading and entering multiple correlated positions that create excessive exposure. Discipline The most important part of this setup is patience and execution discipline. Do not enter before confirmation. Do not chase a candle after a large move. Do not change the trading plan because of fear or greed. If the market does not provide the planned setup, there is no obligation to trade. A missed trade is better than a poorly planned trade. Traders should define their entry conditions, Stop Loss, target and maximum acceptable risk before entering the market. Once those conditions are established, follow the plan consistently. This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and no price level or market direction is guaranteed. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk according to your individual circumstances.
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Continuare14 sept., 18:53XAUUSD 1H: Bullish Reversal Setup from Key Demand Zone
Market Overview Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe is currently consolidating within a major Demand Zone ($4,280 – $4,315) following a bearish impulse move. After breaking out of an earlier corrective Upward Channel via a Market Structure Shift (MSS), price swept liquidity down to the $4,260 level before rapidly reacting upwards back into the primary demand block. Technical Breakdown Break of Structure (BOS) & Market Structure Shift (MSS): The prior upward channel corrective phase was broken to the downside, triggering a strong distribution leg. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Liquidity Sweep: Price tapped below $4,280 to sweep sell-side liquidity near $4,260, finding strong buyers and forming a clean key support/demand level. Descending Resistance Trendline: Price is currently respecting a clear descending trendline projection acting as dynamic resistance. Trade Plan & Levels Bias: Bullish Reversal / Retest Pullback Entry Area: Inside current Demand Zone ($4,295 – $4,310) upon lower timeframe bullish confirmation (CHoCH / Bullish Engulfing) Target (TP): $4,360 – $4,370 (Retest of the descending trendline resistance) Invalidation (SL): Below recent swing low (Below $4,255) Execution Strategy Look for price to hold the current demand region and build momentum toward the projected target near $4,365. A clean break below $4,255 invalidates the immediate bullish momentum setup. Ensure risk management is capped at 1-2% per trade.
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Continuare14 sept., 18:58kvmev - XAUUSD entry
Despite the higher time frame being bullish on Gold, we can clearly see strong bearish momentum currently in the market as price continues to descend. Entering a 1:2 RR short position on Gold with respect to the descending trendline being respected, the clear head and shoulders pattern on the daily/H4 time frame, and as well as the break and retest on the H4/H1 time frame. We can also see price closing below 4300 on the H4 time frame, pulling back to retest it and rejecting it. Entry - 4307.53 SL - 4471.67 TP 1 - 4102.00 (70% of profits secured/SL to BE) TP 2 - 4021.00 ___ Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any actions you take based on this content are done at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Continuare14 sept., 19:08GOLD (XAUUSD) H1 Technical Analysis or 15 SEP 26
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading inside a descending channel on the H1 timeframe, maintaining a short-term bearish structure. Price recently tested the lower portion of the channel around 4,282 and reacted strongly upward, while the RSI is showing a clear bullish divergence, indicating that downside momentum may be weakening. 🔴 Key Resistance Levels 4,401.42 — First major SBR Structure Shifting Zone 4,448–4,460 — Strong resistance/supply zone 4,458.80 — Important resistance 4,505–4,510 — Major SBR Structure Shifting Zone 4,510.19 — Key breakout level As long as Gold remains below 4,401, the H1 bearish structure remains dominant. A clean H1 breakout above 4,401 could push price toward 4,458–4,460, followed by 4,505–4,510. 🟢 Key Support Levels 4,305–4,296 — Immediate support/current price area 4,282.35 — Recent H1 swing low 4,259.54 — Important support 4,224.35 — Major RBS Structure Shifting Zone The 4,259–4,224 area is the major downside zone to watch. A strong H1 rejection from this region could produce another recovery, while a confirmed breakdown below 4,224 would strengthen the bearish continuation. 📈 Bullish Scenario The RSI bullish divergence suggests that sellers are losing momentum. If Gold holds above 4,282–4,259 and breaks the 4,401 SBR zone, buyers could target 4,458–4,460. A sustained H1 close above 4,460 would increase the probability of a move toward 4,505–4,510. 📉 Bearish Scenario The primary H1 trend remains bearish while price stays inside the descending channel and below 4,401. A rejection from 4,401–4,460 could send Gold back toward 4,305, followed by 4,282 and 4,259. If 4,224 breaks decisively, the downside structure could accelerate further. 📊 RSI & Market Structure RSI is currently recovering from the 30 oversold area and is around the mid-40s. The bullish divergence between price and RSI is an important signal for a possible short-term recovery, but it does not yet confirm a full trend reversal. 🔎 Weekly Outlook H1 Bias: Neutral-to-Bearish with bullish recovery potential. Resistance: 4,401 → 4,459 → 4,510 Support: 4,282 → 4,260 → 4,224 For the broader weekly context, the FOMC is the major catalyst this week, with markets focused on the Federal Reserve decision and its impact on yields and the dollar. Gold has recently remained under pressure as rate-hike expectations strengthened. Key level: 4,401 is the main H1 structure-shifting level. Above it, bullish recovery can expand; below it, sellers remain in control. This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
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Continuare14 sept., 19:21XAUUSD Bullish
Last Bullish entry for gold, it's your chance if you're holding mid to high trading accounts.
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XAUUSD 15M: Demand Zone Reaction & Bullish Setup
Disclaimer & Purpose This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research. Market Context On the 15-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has pulled back following a short-term trendline break and is now approaching a marked intraday demand/support zone around the $4,276 area. The chart maps out a potential bullish continuation or bounce scenario out of this demand area following the local corrective move. Technical Reference Levels Demand / Support Zone: ~$4,276.10 (Local Demand Block / Entry Level) Invalidation / Structural Level: ~$4,262.30 (Below the local demand zone swing low) Upside Target / Resistance Level: ~$4,355.26 (Key overhead resistance / target area) Technical Setup Logic Price is retracing into the grey demand zone near $4,276 after breaking out from its minor consolidation pattern. Technical analysis suggests potential buyers stepping in at this support block to push price higher toward the $4,355 liquidity target.
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Continuare14 sept., 20:15XAUUSD Bearish Retest Setup | Targets 4268 → 4258 → 4235
XAUUSD | Bearish Continuation After Trendline Retest 📉 Gold remains under bearish pressure after breaking down from a descending structure. Price is currently revisiting a key resistance area that aligns with the highlighted entry zone and previous market reactions. The current setup suggests a potential bearish retest scenario, where resistance and market structure could combine to attract sellers back into the market. 🔑 Key Levels 🔵 Sell Zone: 4287 - 4292 🎯 Target 1: 4268 🎯 Target 2: 4258 🎯 Target 3: 4235 📉 Bearish Scenario The setup is based on: ✅ Bearish market structure ✅ Descending channel context ✅ Trendline retest ✅ Lower-high formation ✅ Previous support acting as resistance As long as price remains below the highlighted resistance area, the probability favors a continuation toward the downside targets. ⚠️ A strong break and acceptance above the resistance zone would weaken the bearish outlook. Note: This analysis represents a personal market view and is shared for educational purposes only. Manage risk appropriately.
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Continuare14 sept., 20:34GOLD ANALYSIS 15/9/2026
GOLD ANALYSIS 15/9/2026 We will go BUY AT LEVEL 4385.7 TARGET 4345.7 Than will SELL from LEVELS 4338 , 4345.7 , 4355 TARGET 4273 , 4264 , 4253 , 4230 , 4223 THANKS
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Continuare14 sept., 21:03UPDATE OF XAUUSD
Given that liquidity was collected at last week’s low around 4,282, followed by today’s bearish move and a 1-hour change of structure, I expect the price to retrace toward today’s high (Monday’s high) at 4,356 rather than making a new lower low. Above 4,356, I’m looking for a short position, but I would need to see a trend reversal/change of direction on both the 1-hour and 15-minute timeframes before entering.Thanks for your attention !
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Continuare14 sept., 21:12XAUUSD | Bearish Continuation Scenario From Descending Structure
Gold remains under pressure after failing to reclaim the highlighted resistance zone around 4435-4445. Price continues to trade within a broader bearish structure, with the descending channel and repeated resistance rejections favoring sellers in the near term. The blue support area is currently acting as a key battlefield between buyers and sellers. A weak recovery from this zone, followed by rejection, could support the bearish continuation scenario illustrated on the chart. 🎯 Bearish Targets ✅ Target 1: 4234.309 ✅ Target 2: 4153.528 ✅ Target 3: 4060.000 - 4045.000 Zone 📊 Technical Perspective 🔹 Multiple rejections from resistance 🔹 Descending channel remains intact 🔹 Lower highs continue to form 🔹 Supply zone holding above price 🔹 Potential move toward lower liquidity and support levels ⚠️ A sustained recovery above 4445 would weaken the bearish outlook and suggest a reassessment of market structure. This analysis reflects a possible market scenario based on current price action and support/resistance dynamics. Risk management remains essential.
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Continuare14 sept., 22:12XAUUSD BIAS
XAUUSD — Short-Term Bullish Retracement Within a Higher-Timeframe Bearish Bias Weekly Analysis The overall weekly direction remains bearish, with price moving toward a weekly bullish FVG. The 50% Fibonacci level sits around 4202, with 4167 marking the lower area of interest. The immediate downside levels are 4247 and 4233, followed by the deeper weekly levels at 4202–4167. If price reaches and respects this weekly bullish FVG, it could create the foundation for a larger bullish move in the longer term. Daily Analysis Price is approaching the daily bullish FVG around 4298. Although a temporary reaction from this area is possible, the FVG currently appears more likely to invalidate as price follows the broader bearish momentum. The main daily bearish objectives are: 4247 → 4225 → 4202 → 4172 A bounce can still occur before these targets are reached, but the higher-timeframe structure continues to favour bearish continuation. 4-Hour Analysis The 4-hour chart is currently ranging while respecting a bearish FVG around the 50% Fibonacci level at 4317. Price may first make a bullish liquidity grab before continuing bearish. If the bearish FVG becomes invalidated, 4322 and 4356 become the next important bullish levels. There is also a current swing failure pattern around 4266, supporting the possibility of a temporary bullish move. However, this remains a retracement within the larger bearish higher-timeframe structure. 1-Hour Analysis The 1-hour chart is showing short-term bullish momentum following the SFP around 4282, supported by the higher-timeframe SFP around 4252. The nearest bullish liquidity objectives are: 4318 → 4326 If bullish momentum continues, price could potentially reach 4354–4356. This is the highest area I am currently watching before expecting bearish continuation. I will be looking for another swing failure pattern or clear bearish confirmation around 4354–4356 rather than assuming price will reverse without confirmation. Overall Bias My immediate bias allows for a short-term bullish retracement into 4318–4326, with a possible extension toward 4354–4356. However, my higher-timeframe bias remains bearish, with the main downside objectives at: 4247 → 4225 → 4202 → 4172–4167 The main setup I am watching is a bullish liquidity grab into resistance, followed by an SFP or bearish confirmation for continuation toward the higher-timeframe downside objectives. This is my personal market analysis and not financial advice.
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Continuare14 sept., 22:46XAUUSD H1: Equal High Liquidity Sweep Before the Next Expansion?
XAUUSD is currently trading around 4,339, with price consolidating near the H1 Demand Zone + Support after a previous bearish displacement. The broader H1 structure remains corrective following the rejection from the upper resistance area. However, recent price action shows a potential accumulation phase, with price holding above the previous lows and forming an Equal High liquidity area around 4,420–4,440. The key area to monitor is the Small OB around 4,325–4,340, which sits near the current price and the developing short-term structure. A liquidity sweep below the recent equal lows could provide the fuel for a bullish reaction from this zone. The higher-timeframe Demand Zone + Support around 4,285–4,345 remains an important area for potential accumulation. If this zone continues to hold, price may develop a recovery toward the upper H1 order block. The Bias: Short-Term Bullish Recovery / Potential Liquidity Sweep. The Target Path: Price may first sweep the equal lows around 4,290–4,310, then reclaim the Small OB and expand toward 4,400–4,440. A successful breakout above this area could open the path toward the major OB + Buy-Side Liquidity around 4,640–4,680. Potential Setup: Observe price reaction around the 4,325–4,340 Small OB. A sweep of the nearby sell-side liquidity, followed by bullish displacement and a bullish MSS/CHoCH, would support a potential recovery scenario. Confirmation: A clear liquidity sweep below the recent equal lows, followed by strong bullish displacement and a reclaim of the 4,400–4,440 area, would strengthen the bullish continuation scenario. Alternative Scenario: If price fails to hold the Small OB and breaks below the Demand Zone + Support, the correction could extend lower toward the 4,280–4,300 area before any meaningful recovery develops. Invalidation: Strong acceptance below the 4,285–4,300 support area would weaken the bullish recovery thesis and suggest further downside expansion. Educational purposes only — Not financial advice.
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Continuare14 sept., 22:53XAUUSD 4H — BULLISH REVERSAL SETUP
Gold is approaching a major 4H support zone after an extended decline. Price is currently around 4,298, sitting near an important horizontal support area. The setup I'm watching is a potential bounce from support followed by a move back toward the upper resistance/trendline. 📌 Trade Idea — LONG Entry: 4,299.773 Stop Loss: 4,233.166 Take Profit: 4,439.586 Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2.1 Why I'm watching this area 🔹 4H support: Price is testing a previously respected support region. 🔹 Oversold structure: The market has experienced a significant decline from the 4,600+ region, making this an important area to watch for a reaction. 🔹 Multiple confluences: Horizontal support + broader trendline structure provide a potential reversal zone. 🔹 Upside resistance: The 4,439–4,470 region is an important resistance area and could become the next major target if buyers regain control. Confirmation I would like to see: Support holds → bullish rejection → break above nearby resistance → retest → continuation higher. If price breaks decisively below 4,233, the bullish setup is invalidated. ⚠️ Risk management is important. A support zone is not a guarantee of reversal. Wait for confirmation rather than blindly entering at the level. XAUUSD is now at a critical 4H decision zone. Will buyers defend this support and send Gold back toward 4,440?
TITradingView Ideas- Continuare14 sept., 22:58
XAUUSD — DAILY SUPPORT TEST | LONG SETUP
Gold is now testing a major Daily support zone around 4,295, after pulling back from the recent highs above 4,600. This is a much cleaner higher-timeframe setup than trying to trade every small intraday move. Trade Setup BUY: 4,295.075 SL: 4,221.032 TP: 4,439.586 Risk/Reward: ≈ 1:1.95 Why this level matters 🔹 Daily support zone: Price is sitting directly on a previously established support area. 🔹 Trendline confluence: The rising trendline from the August advance meets the current price structure. 🔹 Pullback: Gold has retraced significantly from the 4,600–4,700 region and is now reaching an important demand area. 🔹 Resistance above: The 4,439–4,500 region could become the next major upside objective if buyers regain control. Confirmation I'm watching Daily support holds → bullish rejection → buyers reclaim 4,295 → continuation toward 4,440. A strong Daily close below the support zone would weaken the bullish thesis, while a break below 4,221 invalidates this setup. 📌 The Daily chart gives the bigger picture. Lower timeframes can then be used to refine the entry rather than letting short-term noise dictate the entire trade. ⚠️ Technical analysis only, not financial advice. Manage risk and position size appropriately. Will Gold defend this Daily support and start the next leg toward 4,440?
TITradingView Ideas - TIContinuare14 sept., 23:10
Short XAUUSD day trade idea
XAUUSD just reacted off of a bearish FVG and is likely to fall down to the Bullish Order Block below during Asia session.
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Continuare14 sept., 23:28XAUUSD H12 SELL Market View
WEEKLY GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK Friday gold has finished near $4,349 after trading between approximately $4,296 and $4,403. It ended the week around 1.8% lower. The dollar index closed near 99.10, the US 10 year yield around 4.97%, and Brent crude near $104.50. ✍️Technical View • Daily: The correction from $4,697 remains active. However, Friday’s recovery from $4,296 shows that buyers are still defending the important $4,283–$4,300 support area. • H4: Thursday’s sharp decline damaged the structure. Friday’s rebound helped stabilise price, but while gold remains below $4,403, it still looks more like a recovery inside a wider correction. • H1: Gold recovered strongly from $4,296 but finished around $4,349 close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent $4,433–$4,296 decline. This makes $4,348–$4,365 the first decision zone when the market reopens. ✍️How to read the price action? — If gold holds above $4,348 and records an H1 close above $4,365, the recovery could continue toward $4,380, followed by $4,400–$4,403. A sustained break above $4,403 would bring $4,433–$4,443 back into focus. — If price falls below $4,341, Friday’s recovery would begin to lose strength. The next supports are $4,317–$4,314 and $4,300–$4,296. A confirmed break below $4,283 would signal that the wider decline is continuing. August US inflation increased by 0.4% during the month and 3.4% annually. Markets ended Friday pricing roughly an 87% chance of a quarter-point Fed rate increase. High Treasury yields and a firm dollar remain the main pressure on gold. Oil and geopolitics are pulling gold in both directions. Tensions around the Strait of Hormuz support safe haven demand, but oil above $100 also increases inflation concerns and strengthens the case for higher interest rates. ✍️Economic News The key events next week are US retail sales on Wednesday at 1:30 PM London time, followed by the Federal Reserve decision at 7:00 PM and Chair Warsh’s press conference at 7:30 PM.
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Continuare15 sept., 01:51Bearish Continuation Plan, Small OB Retest | XAUUSD 15/09
Gold is currently trading around 4,300 after a strong bearish displacement from the 4,430–4,437 OB. The H1 structure remains bearish, with price continuing to form lower highs and lower lows. The recent recovery from the 4,270 area has not yet produced a meaningful bullish structural shift. For today, my main expectation is a corrective recovery into the Small OB, followed by another potential bearish continuation if price fails to reclaim the zone. 🔍 H1 Market Structure Price rejected the 4,430–4,437 OB and continued lower. The 4,390–4,400 OB remains a major resistance area. The recent displacement broke below the 4,300 region, showing strong downside pressure. Current price action is consolidating around 4,290–4,305. No confirmed H1 bullish MSS has appeared yet. 💧 Key POI & Liquidity 📍 Small OB: 4,307–4,318 📍 Major H1 OB: 4,390–4,400 📍 Bearish OB: 4,420–4,437 📍 Current price: Around 4,300 📍 Intraday support: 4,280–4,290 📍 Major Bullish OB: 4,235–4,245 🎯 Today's Main Scenario — Bearish Continuation The preferred scenario is a corrective recovery into the Small OB around 4,307–4,318. I am waiting for price to return to this zone and show bearish rejection, followed by a lower-timeframe MSS or displacement. The idea is to use the recovery as a potential continuation opportunity rather than chasing the current bearish move. 📌 Trade Plan Entry Zone: 4,307–4,315 Confirmation: M5/M15 bearish MSS or rejection from the Small OB. Stop Loss: 4,325 TP1: 4,292 TP2: 4,280 TP3: 4,250 Final POI: 4,235–4,245 Bullish OB. Risk Management: Risk per setup: 0.5–1% maximum. After TP1, consider reducing risk and protecting the position. No entry if price does not return to the planned zone. No chasing after a strong bearish displacement. 🔄 Alternative Scenario — Bullish Recovery If price reclaims 4,318 with strong displacement and holds above the Small OB, the immediate bearish continuation setup becomes invalid. In that case, the next recovery area to monitor is the 4,390–4,400 OB. A sustained H1 reclaim above 4,400 would weaken the current bearish structure and suggest that a deeper recovery may be developing. 🧠 My Bias & Today's Direction Bearish bias for today. My expected path: 4,300 → corrective recovery toward 4,307–4,318 → bearish rejection → 4,292 → 4,280 → 4,250. The key condition is whether price can hold below the Small OB after a retest. If the zone rejects price, downside continuation remains the preferred scenario. If price reclaims and holds above it, I will reassess the bearish thesis instead of forcing the setup.
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Continuare15 sept., 02:05xauusd
sells to the buyers get ready for this move......................................................................................................................
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Continuare15 sept., 02:21XAUUSD H1: Sellers Own the Trend, but 4,292 Decides the Next Mov
Gold does not need another resistance zone to prove that sellers are in control. The H1 chart has already done that. Since the rejection from the 4,390–4,405 Order Block, price has continued to build a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Every recovery has struggled to hold, and Gold is now trading near 4,306 with one important level sitting directly underneath it: 4,292. For me, today's plan starts there. 🔴 FIRST QUESTION: CAN SELLERS REMOVE 4,292? I do not want to chase Gold lower while price is still sitting above support. Instead, I want the market to break 4,292 first. If we get an H1 close below 4,292, followed by a weak recovery back into the broken level, that would tell me the current support has changed its job and is now acting as resistance. That is the continuation setup I want. SELL ENTRY: 4,288–4,295 on the retest SL: 4,312 TP1: 4,272 TP2: 4,255 TP3: 4,245 There is a reason I am targeting 4,255. Look at the previous major lows marked on the chart. Price has repeatedly reacted around the descending liquidity line, and the latest sweep already reached this area before bouncing. If 4,292 disappears, I expect Gold to test that liquidity again. And this time, buyers may not get the same reaction. 🟡 BUT SELLING 4,292 BLINDLY MAKES NO SENSE Support is support until the market proves otherwise. We have already seen Gold bounce aggressively from approximately 4,255–4,270, so another defense of this area cannot be ignored. That creates a completely different trade. If price sweeps below 4,292 but quickly returns above it and closes back above 4,312, I would treat the move lower as a failed breakdown rather than bearish continuation. My countertrend setup would then be: BUY ENTRY: 4,305–4,312 after the reclaim SL: 4,282 TP1: 4,335 TP2: 4,365 TP3: 4,390 This BUY has one important limitation: It is a recovery trade, not a bullish trend reversal yet. The H1 structure remains bearish until Gold starts taking back the lower highs above it. 🧱 THE AREA I WOULD RATHER SELL THAN BUY If buyers manage to push through 4,335 and 4,365, there is still a much bigger problem waiting overhead. 4,390–4,405. That is the H1 Order Block from which the latest major sell-off developed. A recovery into this zone followed by a bearish H1 rejection would give me a much better location to look for another short. SELL ZONE: 4,390–4,405 SL: 4,418 TP1: 4,365 TP2: 4,335 TP3: 4,292 Extended Target: 4,255 I would not short simply because price touches the box. I want to see buyers enter the area and fail to hold it. That difference matters. 🚨 WHAT WOULD ACTUALLY CHANGE MY BEARISH VIEW? A bounce is not enough. Even a move back to 4,390 is not enough. I would need Gold to produce an H1 close above 4,405 and successfully hold that level on a retest. Only then would I consider the Order Block invalidated. If that happens: BUY RETEST: 4,400–4,408 SL: 4,382 TP1: 4,430 TP2: 4,465 TP3: 4,485 Above 4,405, sellers lose the zone that has been protecting the current bearish structure, and the much larger 4,485–4,500 resistance area becomes relevant again. 🎯 TODAY'S DECISION TREE Think of the chart this way: Below 4,292 → I follow sellers toward 4,272 and 4,255. Sweep 4,292 + reclaim 4,312 → I allow the recovery toward 4,335 and 4,365. Reject 4,390–4,405 → I look for the next bearish leg. Close and hold above 4,405 → I stop treating rallies as automatic selling opportunities. So despite the bearish arrow on the chart, my trade is not simply “SELL Gold.” The trend tells me which side currently has the advantage. The levels tell me when I am allowed to act. If Gold attacks 4,292 today, which setup would you rather trade: the breakdown or the liquidity sweep and reclaim?
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Continuare15 sept., 02:21XAUUSD (LONG)
https://www.tradingview.com/x/9ak0Ifso/ Price is at support area on trendline and week time frame 50 Simple Moving average. This is good zone also on Weekly pivots serving as support. confluence showing bullish momentum with 5wave move coming (Elliots Wave)
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Continuare15 sept., 03:05XAUUSD Gold
XAUUSD Gold, Price has tapped Inverse Hourly fair value gap started to move up, Make sure to mange the trade accordingly, as price likely to enters distribution phase..
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Continuare15 sept., 03:33XAUUSD - Bullish Continuation Setup and Further Upside Expansion
🔍 Market Overview Gold continues to maintain a positive bullish structure on the daily timeframe after recovering strongly from the 4,120–4,198 support zone. The previous rally pushed price toward higher levels, while the current correction has not yet broken the broader bullish structure. As long as buyers continue to defend the marked support zone and the higher-low structure remains intact, the overall trend continues to favor further upside expansion in XAUUSD. 📈 Market Structure Analysis Market Trend: Bullish Momentum: Corrective / Consolidating Current Phase: Bullish Continuation The price structure shows that Gold broke away from the lower consolidation area with strong bullish momentum. The recent decline is bringing price lower, but for now, it still appears to be a pullback within the broader uptrend rather than a confirmed bearish reversal. Price remaining comfortably above the main support zone suggests that buyers still have the advantage. A clear bullish reaction from the current structure could trigger the next upside expansion. 🚀 Trading Scenario ✅ Bullish Scenario Main trend conditions: Price continues to hold above the 4,120–4,198 support zone. The higher-low structure remains intact. Selling pressure begins to weaken during the correction. Price regains bullish momentum after the pullback. Trading Plan: Look for buying opportunities after a confirmed bullish reaction rather than chasing price while the correction is still developing. A recovery of the short-term bullish structure would provide stronger confirmation for trend continuation. 🎯 Target 1: 4,612 🎯 Target 2: 4,755 ❌ Bullish Invalidation Conditions Price decisively breaks below the main support zone. A daily candle closes strongly below 4,120. Market structure begins forming lower lows. The correction develops into a strong bearish expansion. A confirmed breakdown below the support zone would significantly weaken the current bullish setup and could open the door for a deeper correction. 🎯 Key Support Zone: 4,120–4,198 📍 Key Levels to Watch 🟢 Nearest Resistance: 4,612 🟢 Main Target: 4,755 🔴 Nearest Support: 4,198 🔴 Key Support: 4,120 ⚠️ Trading View The overall structure remains bullish while XAUUSD holds above the key demand zone. The current decline may simply represent a corrective and reaccumulation phase before buyers attempt to regain control. If price stabilizes and bullish momentum returns, 4,612 becomes the first upside target. A convincing breakout above this area could extend the move toward 4,755. However, losing the 4,120–4,198 support zone would materially change the structure and require a reassessment of the bullish scenario. 🧠 Expert View The current setup is supported by: Strong recovery from the main support zone. The higher-timeframe bullish structure remains intact. Price has not returned below the previous breakout area. The current decline still has the characteristics of a pullback. The potential for another higher low remains intact. Clear upside targets at 4,612 and 4,755. Preferred approach: Avoid trying to catch the exact bottom and avoid chasing price. Wait for the market to show that buyers are genuinely returning before considering positions in the direction of the broader trend. 🛡️ Risk Management Risk only 1–2% of trading capital per position. Define the invalidation level before entering. Place stop losses according to the relevant support structure. Do not increase position size simply because price continues to correct. Wait for price-action confirmation rather than relying purely on prediction. If the support structure fails, respect the market signal and reassess the bias. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational purposes and to share a market perspective only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice.
TITradingView Ideas- TIContinuare15 sept., 03:48
XAUUSD - 1HR SETUP
Gold is at current key support zone, where I’m watching for potential buying opportunities 📌 Entry: Current zone or support 🎯 Targets: Previous highs and marked resistance levels 🛑 Invalidation: Below the key support zone Looking for bullish confirmation before entry. If support holds, a move toward the upside targets could follow.
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Continuare15 sept., 03:52XAUUSD 4h (FXCM) — Head & Shoulders pressing the neckline
Structure. A completed head-and-shoulders top: left shoulder ~4,440, head ~4,700, right shoulder 4,508.91 (fib 0). The neckline (white dotted) runs from the 4,290 trough between the left shoulder and the head, through the 4,305 trough after the head, and slopes gently down to ~4,255 at the right edge. Price is at 4,310 with 2h21m left on the candle: the last two bars wicked through the neckline to ~4,255 and closed back above it. So far it is a pierce, not a break. Two further bearish items sit on top of the pattern: the descending line from the head through the right shoulder capped every bounce, and the long rising trendline from the ~3,990 lows (thin dashed) was lost at the ~4,390 apex where the two lines met. The market broke down out of that apex, which is the reason the current bounce is small. Levels, and what backs them. - 4,400 — the red line, the POC of the whole visible profile (the widest volume bar on the chart) and the horizontal that held the shoulders. Former support, now the roof. A 4h close back above it retakes the right-shoulder low and neuters the pattern. - 4,475 / 4,400–4,475 sell zone — the orange line and the second-heaviest volume node; the right shoulder was built there. - 4,575–4,625 sell zone — the shelf under the head; the volume cluster at 4,575–4,600 is where sellers last took control. - POI 4,329 — the purple line, sitting inside the last small distribution before the drop. This is the natural retest level for the neckline break. - 0.618 = 4,257 — coincides with the neckline. This is the confluence that has to fail for the pattern to be confirmed. - Buy zone 4,100–4,225 — t he 0.786 (4,189) to 1.0 (4,102) band of the 4,102→4,509 leg, and, importantly, a low-volume pocket on the profile. Price does not linger in air pockets; if the neckline goes, the move to the lower edge of the zone should be fast, and the real bid is where volume picks up again, at 4,100 and below. Regime panel. TREND DOWN, score −48, ADX 24.5 and rising, volatility in the top quartile, only 5 bars in state. That is a fresh, accelerating downtrend with expanding range — the environment in which pullbacks get sold, not bought. The blue path. The drawn roadmap is: small bounce to the POI (~4,330), then the neckline break to the buy zone (~4,130), then a wide alternation 4,130 ↔ 4,475 ↔ 4,590 for the following weeks. Read it as a map of where the reactions are expected, not as a forecast of the sequence. The two parts that are actually tradable are: 1. Short the retest. Sell 4,330–4,400 (POI up to the POC) with the stop above 4,400 on a 4h close basis, first target 4,225 (top of the buy zone), second 4,130. Trigger is the retest failing, not the wick we already have. 2. Buy the pocket. Bid 4,100–4,225 with the stop under 4,100, targets 4,400 then 4,475. This is the counter-trend leg and should be sized as one. Invalidation, declared up front. Short thesis dies on a 4h close above 4,400; the pattern itself dies above 4,508.91 (right shoulder high). Long thesis in the buy zone dies on a 4h close below 4,100. The caveat worth stating. The textbook measured move of this top is head minus neckline ≈ 410 points, i.e. a target near 3,880 — well below the buy zone. The green band is where the first meaningful reaction should come (fib 0.786–1.0 plus the return of volume), not the pattern's full objective. If the buy zone gives way on a close, do not treat 4,100 as "must hold"; the profile has real acceptance down at 4,000–4,050. Also, a descending neckline is the weaker version of a top (the market has already printed lower lows), so demand a close below 4,255, not another wick, before calling the break. Bottom line: a fresh downtrend with a top pattern one close away from confirmation. The trade of record is selling the retest into 4,330–4,400; the buy zone is the first place to cover, and only the second place to buy. ----------- This isn't financial advise, this is just my plan for the next days/month.
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Continuare15 sept., 04:24XAUUSD SHORT — September 15, 2026
XAUUSD SHORT — September 15, 2026 Bias: Bearish below 4,355 https://www.tradingview.com/x/n5q4nFOo/ 📍 SHORT SETUP Entry : from 4,333 to 4,534 Confirmation : Rejection from the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci zone + failure to reclaim resistance. We should wait for more confirmation from CVD and Big Trades. TP: ~4,253 🎯 TRADE LOGIC Price balances within the auction range from 4,375 to 4,300. Now, price is trying to retest its previous balance area. Price remains below the 4,355 Strong High after breaking market structure to the downside. => We should seek opportunities to short it to the Weak low. Invalidation : Acceptance above 4,400. Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Please be responsible for your trades.
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Continuare15 sept., 04:54XAUUSD 1H: Order Flow Blueprint — FVG & Fib 0.618 Playbook
🟡TREND FORECAST Gold is attempting to recover, but price is still capped below the 4316–4320 intraday resistance. The immediate structure is neutral-to-bearish while below this zone. 4289–4285 remains the key support deciding whether the recovery holds or selling pressure resumes. Keylevel Resistance: 4316–4320 → 4353–4355 → 4378–4380 Support: 4289–4285 → 4246–4243 🚀TRADING STRATEGY ✅Buy reactions around 4289–4285 remain favorable if the zone holds. SL: 4277 ⚡Buy breakout only after a confirmed H1 candle close above 4320. SL: 4311 ✅Sell reactions around 4316–4320 remain favorable while price stays below the zone. SL: 4328 ✅Additional sell interest around 4353–4355 if the recovery extends higher. SL: 4363 ⚠️Note 4316–4320 is the immediate decision area. Rejection keeps pressure toward 4289–4285, while confirmed acceptance above it shifts focus toward 4353–4355. A clean loss of 4285 would expose the lower structure, with 4246–4243 remaining the next major support.
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Continuare15 sept., 04:58XAUUSD H1: This Bounce Has One Problem — Supply Is Waiting
Gold is bouncing again, but I am not convinced this is the beginning of a bullish reversal. The reason is not the current candle. It is where the bounce is heading. On the H1 chart, price is recovering from the recent low around 4,250–4,260, while the broader structure remains bearish. The previous recovery toward 4,400 failed, a CHOCH followed, and sellers pushed gold into a fresh low. Now price is trading around 4,307. For me, that puts gold in an awkward place: too late to sell the low, but too early to trust the bounce. The area I care about is above us. 4,335–4,355 is where the next decision should happen Look at the red zone on the chart. This area sits directly above current price and overlaps the retracement region of the latest bearish leg. More importantly, it is where I expect the current recovery to face its first serious test. My preferred scenario is therefore not to SELL at 4,307. I want gold to come to me. If price pushes into 4,335–4,355, gets rejected and closes back below 4,335 on H1, I will treat that as evidence that the bounce was corrective rather than the beginning of a new uptrend. SELL SETUP Entry: 4,335–4,350 after rejection SL: 4,365 TP1: 4,300 TP2: 4,270 TP3: 4,250 TP4: 4,205–4,215 Why such a deep final target? Because the wave structure drawn on this chart suggests something important. The drop into approximately 4,250 can be interpreted as Wave III, while the current recovery may develop into Wave IV. If that reading is correct, one more bearish expansion — Wave V — could still be missing. That would put the 4,200 area firmly on my radar. But I would not trade Elliott Wave alone. The reaction at 4,335–4,355 still needs to confirm the idea. No rejection, no short. There is also a faster SELL that does not need 4,350 Suppose gold never reaches the red zone. If buyers lose the current recovery and price instead produces an H1 close below 4,285, the market would be threatening the latest rebound structure again. In that situation, I would wait for 4,285–4,300 to be tested from underneath rather than chasing the first breakdown candle. BREAKDOWN SELL Entry: 4,285–4,300 after failed retest SL: 4,318 TP1: 4,260 TP2: 4,250 TP3: 4,210 The difference between these two sells is simple. At 4,335–4,355, I am selling a failed recovery. Below 4,285, I am selling a renewed breakdown. Two different triggers. Same bearish thesis. What would make me BUY Gold? This is where I stop treating the red zone as resistance and start treating it as a test for the sellers. If buyers can produce a convincing H1 close above 4,355, I do not want to short that breakout. I want to see what happens next. If price comes back into 4,340–4,355, holds the zone as support and prints a bullish reaction, the situation changes considerably. The expected Wave IV could extend much further than the bearish roadmap suggests. That gives me a clean alternative: BUY SETUP Entry: 4,345–4,360 after bullish retest SL: 4,325 TP1: 4,385 TP2: 4,410 TP3: 4,435 The first major objective is around 4,400–4,415, where the previous H1 swing structure sits. A break above that region would be much more significant than the small bounce we are seeing now. It would tell me that sellers are no longer controlling every recovery. And what about the huge resistance above? The chart still carries a major resistance zone around 4,470–4,495. I am not building today's trade around that area because price is simply too far away. But it matters for the bigger picture. Even if gold breaks 4,355 and extends toward 4,400+, I would not automatically call the entire H1 structure bullish. 4,470–4,495 remains the larger ceiling buyers eventually need to solve. That distinction is important for newer traders: A bullish trade does not necessarily mean the whole market has become bullish. Sometimes we are simply trading a recovery inside a larger bearish structure. Three prices. That is all I need today. Instead of trying to predict the next ten candles, I am reducing this chart to three numbers: 4,355 decides whether the current bounce deserves more room. 4,285 tells me whether sellers are taking control again. 4,250 is the low that could unlock the final bearish leg toward approximately 4,200–4,215. Right now, my preference remains SELL the failed recovery rather than BUY the middle of it. But preference is not permission to enter. If 4,355 breaks and becomes support, I switch to the BUY scenario. If 4,335–4,355 rejects price, I look for the SELL. If 4,285 breaks first, I stop waiting for the higher retracement and focus on continuation. Gold has given us three doors. Which one opens first: 4,355 or 4,285?
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Continuare15 sept., 05:14Fundamental Market Analysis for September 15, 2026 EURUSD
The US dollar maintains its advantage ahead of the Fed meeting. Accelerating inflation and strong labor market data have convinced market participants of a high probability of an interest rate hike. Additional support for the US currency comes from the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds, which remains near multi-year highs. The euro gains some support following the ECB's recent rate hike, but a significant part of this decision's effect is already reflected in quotes. At the same time, rising energy costs are worsening the economic prospects of the eurozone as a major fuel importer. This limits the European currency's ability to develop independent recovery against the dollar. In the current session, the divergence in the strength of short-term factors is crucial. The expectation of tighter Fed policy is supported by high yields and investors' cautious attitude towards risk, while support for the euro from the ECB is gradually weakening. Therefore, the fundamental scenario remains in favor of further EUR/USD decline. Trading idea: SELL 1.15400, SL 1.15700, TP 1.14700
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Continuare15 sept., 05:20XAU/USD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 15
Looking at the outlook for gold prices over the next 15 days, market sentiment is shifting between bullish and bearish views. Some capital is beginning to position itself based on expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut; a slight pullback in US Treasury yields is providing support for a gold price rebound. However, US inflation remains sticky, making a rapid rate-cut timeline unlikely. Consequently, the current rebound is merely a corrective move, and its sustainability remains to be seen; traders should remain alert to gold price volatility driven by fluctuations in the US Dollar Index. From a technical perspective, gold prices declined from the $4,301 level during the Asian trading session, dipping to a low near $4,283 before rebounding to a high of $4,318. The market has entered a phase of tug-of-war between bulls and bears ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision. The overall underlying trend remains bearish; this rebound is largely a technical correction and is unlikely to immediately reverse the prevailing trend. Rising energy prices are boosting inflation expectations and driving up both US Treasury yields and the US dollar, thereby exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Today's price action is likely to fluctuate within the $4,250–$4,350 range. My recommendations: SELL: Near $4,330 SELL: Near $4,345
TITradingView Ideas- Continuare15 sept., 05:31
XAUUSD Long High RR..
XAUUSD Long High RR..Please study this post on lower time frames how I have place the SL and TP.. TF sellected is M5 so study it on M5
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Continuare15 sept., 05:35XAUUSD 4H: Bearish Structure Shift —
Gold (XAUUSD) 4H Analysis Gold has completed a significant market structure shift to the downside after the previous distribution phase. Price has broken the key support area and is now showing a bearish structure. The BOS is close to being confirmed, so I am not chasing the move at current levels. Instead, I’m waiting for a retracement back to the broken structure / supply area. My plan: 🔹 Wait for price to retrace upward 🔹 Look for signs of weakness, selling pressure, or renewed distribution 🔹 If bearish confirmation appears, look for a short entry 🔹 Target continuation toward the next lower liquidity/support areas 🔹 If price invalidates the bearish structure, the short setup will be reconsidered Key idea: The structure has shifted bearish. Now the focus is not on selling the bottom, but on waiting for the market to come back and give a higher-probability short opportunity. Patience > Prediction. Let the retracement come to us.
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Continuare15 sept., 05:37XAUUSD -1 FOMC
Hi, I'm Maicol, an Italian trader. I've been studying Gold since 2019. My trading approach focuses on swing trading and intraday setups. I need your support. Please leave a like and follow my profile. It may seem like a small gesture, but it makes a big difference to my work. Make sure to read the full description to understand today's trading plan. Don't focus only on the chart. Thank you. 🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞 Gold confirmed yesterday another breakdown through the daily zones. At the moment, I see price heading directly towards the 4,240–4,200 area, around the Daily Open and the Monthly Imbalance. After that, we’ll see how price reacts. Tomorrow evening we have the interest rate decision, so please be careful. I’m leaving for vacation tonight, but I’ll keep posting my morning updates here to keep you updated on Gold. Good trading everyone! 👊 Let’sgosky 🚀 Peace ✌️ 🔔 Turn on notifications so you don't miss any updates! 📬 If you have any questions, feel free to message me. I'll be happy to help. 🔍 Reminder 🔍 I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions. My main focus is on the high-impact news releases at 8:30 AM ET and the New York session open at 9:30 AM ET. In the meantime, I wish everyone a great day. HAPPY TRADING MANAGE YOUR RISK BE PATIENT
TITradingView Ideas- TIContinuare15 sept., 06:03
Gold Analysis - Key Levels to Watch 4690 or 4000 After FOMC?
Technically the daily chart still shows a bearish structure below the descending trendline. Gold has already rejected the 4690-4700 region and moved lower toward the current 4295 area. 4420-4450 is an important resistance zone while the price around 4497-4523 provide the next major resistance supply area. As long as Gold remains below this resistance structure rallies can continue to attract sellers. On the downside 4252 is the first important support, a sustained break below it would increase the probability of a move toward 4200 followed by the major demand zone around 4084-3980. The ascending trendline is also approaching this lower support area making 4084-3980 an important decision zone for the larger bullish structure. Gold remains under pressure as the market prepares for the September FOMC decision tomorrow September16. The Federal Reserve is coming into this meeting with inflation still uncomfortable while recent US data has increased expectations for tighter policy. August CPI showed renewed price pressure and the latest market pricing-economist surveys have moved strongly toward a 25 basis point hike to 3.75%-4.00% compared with the current 3.50%-3.75% range. The main risk for Gold is therefore not only the rate decision itself but also Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's statement, the updated projections, dot plot and guidance for future hikes. A hawkish Fed stronger USD and higher Treasury yields could put additional pressure on non-yielding Gold. The 10-year Treasury yield has recently approached 5% with inflation and oil-price concerns contributing to the rise in yields. On the other hand if the Fed delivers the expected hike but signals that further tightening will be limited Gold could see a sharp relief rally as traders sell the USD and yields. Therefore FOMC volatility can be very high in both directions and the initial spike should not automatically be treated as the final trend. Overall my bias remains bearish below 4420-4450 especially with the hawkish Fed expectations, rising yields and stronger USD creating a fundamental headwind for Gold. However because FOMC is tomorrow I would expect significant volatility around the announcement and would prefer confirmation through an H1-H4 rejection and engulfing candle rather than selling blindly into the event. Trade Plan - Sell Setup Sell Zone: 4407-4523 Sell Trigger: H1-H4 bearish rejection or bearish engulfing Targets: 4342, 4252, 4200, 4084, 3980 Extended Target: 3950-3900 Invalidation: H4 close above 4523. A sustained breakout above this level would weaken the bearish setup and could open the door toward 4600-4690. Trade Plan - Buy Setup Buy Zone: 4084-3980 Buy Trigger: H1-H4 bullish rejection or bullish engulfing Targets: 4200, 4252, 4342, 4407, 4420 Extended Target: 4450-4523 Invalidation: H4 close below 3980. A sustained break below this level would weaken the bullish recovery and could expose 3900-3800. FOMC Possible Scenario: A hawkish decision or guidance could push Gold below 4252, 4200, 4084, while a dovish surprise or less hawkish guidance could trigger a recovery toward 4407, 4450, 4497-4523. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
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Continuare15 sept., 06:07XAUUSD | TRADING PLAN H1 15/09/2026
✅ XAUUSD/H1 - Gold is still maintaining a bearish structure, continuously forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns. At the same time, price is trading below the EMA trend structure and has failed to break out of the Supply Zone (4312 - 4318) + FIBO, indicating that sellers are still in control. 1. SELL SCENARIO - Price is forming a sideways range around (428x - 431x) and has retested the Supply Zone (4312 - 4318), then started selling off again and is approaching the Support around 428x. - If price continues to move sideways within this range and retests the Supply Zone (4312 - 4318), monitor the price reaction. If price continues to reject the breakout and selling pressure returns (M5 - M15), a continuation sell setup can be considered, targeting 430x - 428x. - If price pulls back and breaks below the Support at 428x, with an H1 candle closing below this area, a continuation sell setup can be considered, targeting 427x - Demand Zone (4250 - 4257). => Selling momentum could expand further if price fully breaks below the Demand Zone (4250 - 4257). If the H1 candle confirms the breakout, the next downside targets are 423x - 420x. 2. BUY SCENARIO - If price reacts strongly at the Demand Zone (4250 - 4257) and shows clear reversal signals, a short-term Buy can be considered, targeting 426x - 428x. - If price moves sideways and then rallies strongly, breaking out and closing an H1 candle above the Supply Zone (4312 - 4318), the short-term bearish structure will weaken and may open a short-term upside move toward the Key Resistance (4352 - 4359). => If price tests the Key Resistance (4352 - 4359) but fails to break out and selling pressure returns, a sell setup can be considered back toward the downside. If price breaks out decisively, buying momentum could regain control. 🔴 KEY LEVELS Supply Zone (4312 - 4318) + FIBO + EMA Resistance 433x Key Resistance (4352 - 4359) Support 428x Demand Zone (4250 - 4257)
TITradingView Ideas- TIContinuare15 sept., 06:41
XAUUSD - 15th September - pre London
Today the gold is mostly ranging, and I prefer to avoid trading when it's accumulating like that. Ideally we'd like to see it goes below the swing low to confirm we're still in a bearish state and emphasizes the supply zones. The 1st zone is the one from yesterday which is still valid, usually zones can stay valid until 2 to 3 days. The accumulation at its base has been swept before starting the movement. The 2nd zone is not a zone I would trade for now as we'd need a better price action from gold, for example by breaking from the current range. If we use the Anchored Volume Profile tool (AVP), we can notice it's just above the Value Area High of the daily AVP, and there is liquidity before the zone which can increase the probability of it being hit. For now patience is the main skill to have.
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Continuare15 sept., 06:46Gold Analysis — Bears Remain in Control
Yesterday, Gold made a new local low around 4250 before reversing sharply once again. Bulls managed to push the price back above 4300, reaching a high in the 4320 zone. However, the recovery was short-lived. Selling pressure returned overnight, and at the time of writing, Gold is once again trading below 4300. The Bigger Picture Remains Bearish As explained yesterday, the current direction is still to the downside. For bulls to regain control, the market needs to show much more than another aggressive intraday reversal. A strong bounce is not automatically a trend reversal. Looking at the chart, we can see that the decline from the 4500 area, reached at the beginning of September, remains contained inside a well-defined bearish channel. Yesterday’s rebound simply brought the price back toward the median line of that channel, where sellers stepped in again. This is a fairly typical reaction within an established bearish structure. What Comes Next? As long as Gold remains inside this channel and below the relevant resistance zones, bears remain in control. This means that: - The overall short-term structure remains bearish. - The recovery from 4250 has not changed the trend. - Rallies can still attract fresh selling pressure. - The probability of another push toward lower prices remains high. My Trading Perspective For a swing trade, however, I prefer to stay out. Gold has already dropped considerably, and from the current area, I believe the next 2,000-pip move is more likely to be upward than downward. That does not mean the bottom is confirmed, nor does it mean I am bullish at the current price. It simply means that chasing the bearish move here no longer offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio for a swing position. The direction may still be down, but the trade itself is no longer obvious. From a shorter-term perspective, the approach is different: Rallies could still offer selling opportunities while the bearish channel remains intact. For now, bears are in control—but at these levels, I would rather sell a rally than chase the market lower.
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Continuare15 sept., 06:53XAUUSD — Mitigation Sell Before FOMC
Market Context Gold is trading near $4,293 after extending deeper into the lower half of the H1 descending channel. Price continues to print lower highs beneath HTF dynamic supply, keeping short-term order flow bearish despite the latest corrective rebounds. Macro conditions remain restrictive for Gold ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Markets are heavily positioned for a 25 bp Fed hike, while the U.S. dollar is near a two-week high and the 10-year Treasury yield has moved above 5%. At the same time, renewed Middle East tensions have pushed Brent crude above $106, reinforcing inflation concerns and supporting higher-rate expectations. SMC View H1 structure remains bearish inside the descending delivery channel. Price has repeatedly failed to sustain recovery above the internal structure, while the latest MSS keeps lower sell-side liquidity exposed. The immediate $4,308–$4,325 Mitigation POI is the most important decision area. A corrective retracement into this zone could rebalance the latest downside displacement before sellers attempt another continuation lower. The current price is already close to discount, so chasing shorts near $4,290 offers weaker positioning. The cleaner setup is a mitigation rally followed by fresh bearish confirmation. Main Trading Scenario Sell Priority: $4,308–$4,325 Condition: Wait for price to retrace into the Mitigation POI and show bearish rejection, failed acceptance above the zone, or a lower-timeframe bearish MSS/CHOCH. Entry: $4,308–$4,325 after confirmation SL: Above $4,340 and the rejection structure TP1: $4,270–$4,280 TP2: $4,250–$4,260 TP3: $4,220–$4,235 Key Zones to Watch $4,400.899 — Premium Bearish OB $4,308–$4,325 — Main Mitigation POI $4,255–$4,270 — Discount POI $4,220–$4,235 — Deep SSL Objective $4,280 area — Nearby sell-side liquidity Above $4,340 — Immediate bearish setup weakens Prime Gold View The sell bias remains favored while XAUUSD stays beneath the Mitigation POI and continues respecting the H1 descending channel. A confirmed rejection from $4,308–$4,325 could reopen delivery toward the Discount POI and eventually the $4,220–$4,235 Deep SSL Objective. With the Fed decision approaching and rate-hike expectations already elevated, volatility may increase sharply, so confirmation remains more important than anticipating the move. No confirmation, no trade.
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Continuare15 sept., 07:16XAUUSD 2026/09/15
The red scenario for deeper correction, Gold decline keeps that path focus, with a potential HEAD and SHOULDERS pattern now visible. 4205.00 remains the key level. Below it, the larger black wave 4 count would be valid: wave 4 cannot enter wave 1 territory. in a standard impulse. A corrective bounce then come before further downside. The next downward impulse would be a potential opportunity to plan for. We map the possible moves, define what. change the plan, and act. when the conditions are there
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Continuare15 sept., 07:25XAGUSD — 15M Market Structure Analysis
🔎 Market Structure Silver is currently testing the marked support zone around 62.85–63.00. Price has been respecting this area, making it an important level for the next structural reaction. A sustained hold above support could lead to a move toward the SSL area around 63.85, followed by a potential test of the 15M Order Block around 64.20–64.50. 📈 On the other hand, if price decisively breaks below the support zone, the previous support could potentially act as resistance after a retest. A lower-timeframe confirmation would then be useful for assessing whether bearish momentum is developing. 📉 🎯 Key Levels 🟦 Support Zone: ~62.85–63.00 🔑 SSL: ~63.85 🔴 15M OB: ~64.20–64.50 ⚫ Lower Structural Area: ~62.30–62.40 🧭 Scenarios 🟢 Bullish scenario: Support holds → recovery → SSL → 15M OB. 🔴 Bearish scenario: Support breaks → retest from below → bearish confirmation → potential move toward the lower structural area. Conclusion: The reaction around the current support zone is the key point to monitor. Rather than anticipating the direction, I’m watching for structure + confirmation before drawing a stronger directional bias. 🧠📊 This is an educational technical-analysis idea, not financial advice. Market scenarios are conditional and can change as price develops. #XAGUSD #Silver #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #PriceAction #SMC #OrderBlock #Liquidity #TradingView #Forex
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Continuare15 sept., 07:25XAUUSD 4294 stuck — 4229 is calling
XAUUSD 4294 stuck — 4229 is calling Gold is still heavy. Not a clean dip. Not a healthy pullback. More like buyers are trying to breathe while sellers keep pressing the same wound. Price is sitting around 4,294, right inside the old sellside liquidity zone. That zone should have acted as a strong reaction base if buyers were really in control. But so far, gold is just hovering there, failing to build any strong recovery. That tells me one thing: The market still wants lower liquidity. The structure is clear. Gold has been moving inside a bearish channel since the rejection near the upper range. Every bounce is creating another lower high. Every recovery attempt is getting capped before price can reclaim real control. Main bias stays bearish while gold trades below 4,320 - 4,360. Macro also fits the pressure. Fed hike bets are still alive, inflation risk keeps US yields supported, and geopolitical tension is helping USD stay firm as a safe-haven currency. That combination limits gold’s upside, even when price is already near multi-week lows. The first downside target is 4,229. If sellers keep control, the deeper discount target around 4,157 becomes the next major area to watch. That is where I would start paying closer attention for a stronger reaction, not here in the middle of the channel. The upside is not impossible, but it needs proof. If gold can reclaim 4,320 and break out of the short bearish channel, price may recover toward 4,360 first. Above that, 4,422 becomes the key resistance and reaction zone. If price reaches 4,422 - 4,454 and starts rejecting, that area can become another sell setup. Trading scenario: Sell idea only if gold rejects 4,320 - 4,360 or breaks below 4,280 with clean pressure. Entry zone: 4,320 - 4,360 after rejection Alternative entry: below 4,280 after breakdown confirmation Stop loss: above 4,422 TP1: 4,229 TP2: 4,157 TP3: 4,080 if bearish momentum expands No rejection, no sell. No breakdown, no chase. Buy scalp only if gold sweeps 4,229 and reclaims fast. That would be a reaction trade, not the main bias. If gold closes strong above 4,422 - 4,454, this bearish idea gets messy. Then sellers may lose control and price can recover deeper. For now, I’m reading this as weak recovery, bearish channel pressure, and 4,229 liquidity still waiting. You think gold sweeps 4,229 first, or fakes one more bounce into 4,360?
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Continuare15 sept., 07:27Gold Technical Analysis Strategy (September 15)
International gold prices opened by extending the weakness seen at the close of the previous session, initially trending lower. The US Dollar Index decisively climbed back above the 200-day moving average, looming over gold prices like a massive weight and stifling the bulls. This week, the market awaits the US August retail sales figures and the Federal Reserve's FOMC interest rate decision; expectations that retail data will significantly exceed previous readings deal another heavy blow to gold prices. Most economists anticipate a Fed rate hike early Thursday (Beijing time), and the CME FedWatch Tool indicates that traders assign a probability of approximately 93% to a hike this week. Consequently, until the decision is finalized, gold is likely to remain under heavy pressure from bearish expectations and continue its weak performance. However, markets are always full of variables. If the data falls short of expectations, the Fed unexpectedly holds rates steady (resulting in a "dovish" outcome), or the "dot plot" reveals a less aggressive rate-hike path than anticipated, gold could regain bullish momentum and stage a rebound. Yet, one should not rejoice too soon; high oil prices continue to fuel inflation and rate-hike expectations. Gold remains in a generally bearish environment, meaning any rebound would likely be a temporary respite rather than a reversal of the overall trend. Yesterday, gold faced resistance in the 4350–4355 range and underwent a corrective pullback, dropping as low as 4253 during the evening session. Although it subsequently bounced back, it was firmly capped near 4318. From a daily chart perspective, the price has fallen below the moving average band since last week, with the moving averages fanning out downwards—a bearish formation resembling an army of bears poised for a massive offensive upon the command to attack. Yesterday, gold broke below the 4300 level and the previous low of 4280, opening up room for further short-term declines. Ultimately, however, whether the bears can fully flex their muscles depends on whether the Federal Reserve proceeds with a rate hike on Thursday. If interest rates are raised as expected, gold may undergo another downward correction or even enter a medium-to-long-term bearish phase; in the short term, it could pull back to the 4200–4100 range, while in the long term, it might plunge toward the 4000–3900 zone. Conversely, if the Federal Reserve unexpectedly holds rates steady, gold is unlikely to stage a strong rally—multiple moving averages overhead continue to create dense resistance, and even the slightest hawkish rhetoric from the Fed could reignite market expectations for a rate hike. Thus, from both technical and fundamental perspectives, the bears hold the upper hand. On the 4-hour (H4) chart, the trend remains weak, and there is a high probability of a further slight pullback today. Based on the hourly chart, gold is expected to experience weak, range-bound movement for the day. Watch for short-term resistance near the overnight rebound high of 4318–4320, with the primary intraday resistance battleground located around 4330–4335; this level also marks the upper boundary of the current hourly trading range. The overall trend is likely to remain bearish. On the downside, monitor the battle for the hourly range's lower boundary near 4265–4260, which also corresponds to last night's low. Trading Strategy: Prioritize short positions (selling on rallies); consider long positions (buying on dips) only as a secondary option. Short gold at 4325–4335; stop-loss at 4345; targets at 4300, 4290, 4260, and 4220. In a bearish trend, rallies offer opportunities to go short, though one should also remain alert for potential long opportunities at key support levels. Markets change rapidly; maintain strict stop-losses and avoid overstaying trades.
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Continuare15 sept., 07:38Technical Analysis Framework | A Multi-Tool Approach to Market S
Technical analysis is most effective when different forms of market information are studied together rather than relying on a single indicator or pattern This educational framework brings together several widely used technical tools, including MACD, Volume, Bull Flag Patterns, Fibonacci Retracement, RSI, Support and Resistance Zones, Trendlines, Ascending Channels, and the 200 Moving Average The purpose of combining these tools is to build a structured view of price behavior and understand how momentum, participation, trend direction, and key price levels interact with one another MACD — Momentum Analysis The MACD indicator can be used to study changes in momentum and the relationship between short term and longer term price movement Traders commonly observe the MACD line, signal line, histogram, and changes in momentum to understand whether buying or selling pressure may be strengthening or weakening A MACD signal should not be considered independently, as momentum can change quickly when market conditions shift Volume — Market Participation Volume can provide additional context regarding the strength of a price movement A price breakout accompanied by stronger participation may be viewed differently from a breakout that occurs with relatively weak activity Volume can therefore be used alongside price structure to evaluate whether market participation appears to support a developing move Bull Flag Pattern — Continuation Structure A Bull Flag is commonly studied as a potential continuation pattern following a strong upward movement The consolidation phase can represent a temporary pause before the next directional move, although the pattern itself does not guarantee a breakout Confirmation through price action and a decisive movement beyond the relevant structure can provide additional context before considering the setup Fibonacci Retracement — Pullback Analysis Fibonacci Retracement levels are frequently used to study potential retracement points within an existing price movement Levels such as 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% are commonly monitored because price may react around these areas Fibonacci levels are best treated as reference points rather than guaranteed reversal levels, and their significance can increase when they align with existing market structure or other technical factors RSI — Momentum Conditions The Relative Strength Index can help traders evaluate the strength of recent price movements and identify periods of relatively strong or weak momentum Traditionally watched levels such as 70 and 30 may provide additional context, but an overbought or oversold reading does not automatically mean that price must reverse Market conditions, trend direction, and price structure should always be considered alongside RSI Support and Resistance Zones Support and resistance are important components of technical analysis because they help traders identify areas where price has previously reacted A support zone may become relevant when sellers lose control and buyers begin to respond, while resistance can become important when upward movement encounters increased selling pressure These zones can also change their role after a confirmed breakout or breakdown, making ongoing price observation important Trendlines — Structural Direction Trendlines can help visualize the direction of a market and provide a simple framework for studying higher highs, higher lows, lower highs, and lower lows A trendline break can attract attention, but it should not automatically be interpreted as a confirmed reversal Additional confirmation from market structure and subsequent price behavior can help distinguish a meaningful structural change from a temporary price fluctuation Ascending Channel — Trend Structure An ascending channel represents a market moving within a rising range defined by two directional boundaries The upper boundary can provide information about areas where upward momentum may encounter resistance, while the lower boundary can help identify potential pullback regions A break outside the channel can indicate a change in the current structure, but confirmation is important because false breakouts can occur 200 Moving Average — Broader Trend Context The 200 MA is widely followed as a longer term trend reference Price positioning relative to this moving average can provide additional context regarding the broader market environment However, the moving average should not be treated as an independent buy or sell trigger because price can move above or below it temporarily during changing market conditions Confluence Is More Important Than a Single Signal The key concept behind this framework is confluence Instead of giving excessive importance to one indicator, traders can compare multiple pieces of technical information and look for areas where they support the same market hypothesis For example, a potential setup may receive additional technical context when market structure, support or resistance, momentum, volume, Fibonacci levels, and trend direction point toward a similar scenario If the signals disagree, patience can be more valuable than forcing a conclusion Confirmation and Risk Management Technical analysis should be viewed as a probability-based framework rather than a method for predicting the market with certainty A professional approach involves waiting for price to confirm the developing structure and remaining aware that every setup carries the possibility of failure Risk management should remain independent from the desire to achieve a particular market outcome Position size, invalidation levels, and overall exposure should be considered carefully according to individual risk tolerance and trading conditions The absence of confirmation can be treated as a reason to remain patient rather than forcing an entry based only on anticipation Final Perspective Markets are dynamic, and technical structures can develop, strengthen, weaken, or become invalid as new price information appears Using multiple technical tools together can provide a more complete perspective, but no indicator, pattern, Fibonacci level, moving average, or trendline can guarantee a future market direction This chart is intended to demonstrate an educational technical-analysis framework and encourage disciplined observation of price behavior, confirmation, confluence, and risk management Educational Analysis Only — This content is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Markets involve significant risk, and losses are possible. Always conduct your own research and make decisions according to your own risk tolerance and trading plan.
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Continuare15 sept., 07:47XAUUSD – "BREAKDOWN TO 4,244" – FOMC WEEK!
Leo has been watching the M15 chart + realtime macro all morning – today's structure is clean: gold is distributing from the 4,327 top , institutions are preparing to sell before the FOMC "bomb" tonight / early tomorrow (Sep 16, 2:00 PM ET). Non-pros → stay out and wait for the news , scalpers must use clear stops and never hold through surprises! 📊 CHART EVIDENCE (M15) Current price: 4,288.75 (countdown 03:28) Top black resistance: 4,327.00 (matches Leo's 4,325 zone) Middle black S/R: 4,281 (touches the yellow SMC box) Bottom black support: 4,244.59 (today's downside target) Yellow SMC zone: 4,281 – 4,290 (weak demand, easy to sweep) Large red arrow: 4,327 → 4,244 (bearish displacement) Black zig-zag: 4,288 → 4,270 → 4,327 → 4,244 → 4,281 → 4,244 (matches the scenario) Additional levels when gold bounces up: 4,311, 4,353 (psychological + Fibo) ⚠️ Chart shows NO EMA / RSI / volume – only S/R + arrow + zig-zag | 🌍 REALTIME MACRO (Sep 15, 2026) XAUUSD spot: 4,288 – 4,317, open 4,291.45 – prev close 4,297.89, now ~4,288 – gold under selling pressure DXY (USD Index): 99.59 (+0.20%), open 99.48 – day high 99.60 – USD firmer, pressing gold down US 10Y Yield: 5.00% (briefly touched 5% yesterday) – significant yield headwind Current Fed policy: 3.50 – 3.75% Week's biggest "bomb" – FOMC Sep 15-16, rate decision at 14:00 ET on Sep 16: Prediction markets: 52% hold, 46% hike 25bp, 3% cut 25bp If Warsh is hawkish + hikes → USD spikes → gold tests 4,244 fast and hard If Warsh holds + neutral tone → USD sideway → gold only sweeps 4,244 then bounces 4,281 – 4,282 Biggest wildcard: T10Y already touched 5%; if it breaks 5.05% gold could free-fall toward 4,244 – 4,220 → This news is unfavorable for gold, traders must manage capital and use clear stops, avoid holding through surprise headlines! 🎯 TODAY'S PRICE SCENARIO (Leo's marks) Main trend: DROP from 4,325 → 4,244 today 1️⃣ Drop to 4,270 – sweeps liquidity at yellow zone 4,281-4,290, M15 bearish BOS 2️⃣ Bounce to 4,325 (or 4,353) – Fibo 0.5 / 0.618, retests 4,327 top resistance 3️⃣ Continue down to TURN H1 4,244 – M15 close below 4,281 confirms downtrend 4️⃣ Sideway 4,244 – 4,282 – accumulation waiting for FOMC Levels to watch on any UP bounce: 4,311 (psychological resistance), 4,353 (Fib 1.272) 💰 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT – SURVIVE FIRST, PROFIT LATER Thin size 50% – FOMC tonight means violent two-way moves SELL setup (Leo's priority): Entry: 4,325 – 4,327 (top touch, M15 bearish BOS) TP1: 4,281, TP2: 4,244, extend if hawkish SL: 4,355 (above the 4,353 zone) – R:R ~1:1.5 to 1:2.5 BUY pull-back setup (only on confirmed USD reversal): Entry: 4,246 – 4,250 (test of 4,244 floor) SL: 4,232, TP: 4,282 → 4,311 → 4,325 TP1 → move SL to breakeven immediately – don't let profit turn into loss Surprise news → close immediately, never hold through FOMC night Avoid the 4,290 – 4,311 noise zone – you'll get chopped up Invalidation: M15 close above 4,355 → cancel short, flip long toward 4,380+ Disclaimer: For informational purposes only, not investment advice. Confirm M1/M5 signals before entry. Trade at your own risk. — Leo 🥇⚔️ #XAUUSD #Gold #FOMC #Warsh #USD #4244 #SMC #LeoWarRoom #TradingView #Scalping
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Continuare15 sept., 07:55$ NASDAQ $
Hello everyone 👋 Nasdaq is heading into today’s session with price action still developing after the recent volatility across the technology sector. The market remains sensitive to movements in Treasury yields, while investors continue to assess the broader outlook for rates and the upcoming Fed decision. At the same time, recent weakness in some of the major technology and semiconductor names has kept the index in a more cautious environment. For now, the focus remains on how price reacts around the current levels, with momentum and intraday structure likely to provide further clues as the session develops. Today’s price action will be more important than any predefined direction. 🟢 As always, a break above the green level will have me looking for immediate long opportunities. 🔴 A break below the red level will shift my focus toward potential short setups. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately before making any trading decisions.
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Continuare15 sept., 07:59: XAUUSD — Potential Bullish Reaction From Support Zone
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently approaching a clearly marked support/demand area around 4,275–4,285. Price has reacted from this zone previously, making it an important area to watch for a possible bullish response. The chart shows a sequence of lower prices, followed by consolidation near the current support area. If price holds above this zone and shows strength, the next area of interest is around 4,425–4,430, which is marked on the chart. Key levels: Entry area: 4,275–4,285 Invalidation: Below 4,247 Upside area: 4,425–4,430 Resistance zone: 4,405–4,435 This is a technical scenario based on the marked zones and price structure. Price action around the support area will be important for confirmation.
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Continuare15 sept., 11:19SILVER (XAGUSD) — Bullish Reversal Setup
Silver is testing a major 1H support area around 63.10–63.50 after forming a descending structure. A bullish reaction from this zone could trigger a move toward the 66.90–71.00 resistance area. Watch for confirmation before entry and manage risk carefully. Key Levels: 🟢 Entry Zone: 63.18–63.50 🎯 TP1: 66.91 🎯 TP2: 67.07 🎯 TP3: 70.80 🎯 Extended TP: 71.07–71.18 ❌ Stop Loss: 62.62 🔑 Key Support: 63.12 ⚠️ Invalidation: Sustained break below 62.62
TITradingView Ideas- Continuare15 sept., 11:21
kvmev - GBPCAD entry
Entering a 1:1 RR long position on GBPCAD as price has continued to trade bullish above the key zone around 1.87300 and since price has created a clean break and retest pattern. Will look to take full profits at the set TP around the next key resistance zone around 1.88400 Entry - 1.87644 TP - 1.88400 SL - 1.86872 ___ Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any actions you take based on this content are done at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
TITradingView Ideas - Continuare15 sept., 11:29
kvmev - EURCAD entry
Entering a 1:1.5 RR long position on EURCAD as price has retested and rejected the key support zone around 1.60200 several times. Price has also broken above the descending trendline and closed above it for several days indicating bullish volume. Entry - 1.60596 TP - 1.61759 SL - 1.59844 ___ Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any actions you take based on this content are done at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Continuare15 sept., 12:31NASDAQ ARM Holdings: Is Wave (4) Nearing Its Final Stage?
NASDAQ:ARM Can the Current Correction Lead to a New High? ARM Holdings has shown a strong long-term advance from the 80 Wave (2) low , with the stock reaching an all-time high near 452.70. The larger Elliott Wave structure suggests that the rise developed into Wave (3) , with Wave (3) completing near 452.70, followed by the current Wave (4) correction. Wave (4) has already moved into an important retracement area, but its final low is not yet confirmed: The day traders will see 226 – 216.5 soon . The stock is now in a significant correction, which can be viewed as Wave (4). If Wave (4) finds support and the bullish structure resumes, the key upside targets are: Target: 319 Target: 370 Target: 452 Target: 500+ A sustained move above 452.70 would put ARM into fresh all-time-high territory and could open the way for further Wave 5 upside . The broader bullish structure remains valid as long as Wave (4) does not move into the price territory of Wave (1), with 188.75 being the key level to watch.
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Continuare15 sept., 12:53NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Gap Will Be Filled
https://www.tradingview.com/x/iFjawpbD/ US100 will likely fill a gap-up opening. As a confirmation, I see a breakout of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame. Goal - 29307 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Continuare15 sept., 15:31XAU/USD 2H — BULLISH LONG SETUP
🥇 XAU/USD 2H — BULLISH LONG SETUP 📈✨ 🧭 Market Overview Gold is currently trading around 4,284, sitting close to the major 4,225 support zone. The broader 2H structure is still bearish, but the current location is interesting for a potential counter-trend long if buyers defend support. 🟢 Long Scenario The key area to watch is 4,225–4,250. This zone can act as a demand/liquidity area where buyers may step in. Rather than entering immediately, the stronger setup would be: Support sweep → bullish rejection → lower-timeframe CHoCH/BOS → LONG 📍 Entry Zone 4,225–4,250 A deeper liquidity sweep toward 4,200–4,225 can also be considered, but bullish confirmation is important. 🛑 Stop Loss Below 4,200 A decisive break and acceptance below this level would invalidate the bullish idea. 🎯 Take Profit Targets TP1: 4,320 🥇 TP2: 4,380 🥈 TP3: 4,400 🥉 Extended target: 4,450+ 🚀 if momentum becomes strong 🏦 Key Resistance / Order Block The 4,320–4,380 region is an important order-block/resistance area. This is the first major zone where sellers could become active again. Above 4,400, price would begin challenging the descending bearish trendline. A confirmed breakout and retest of that trendline could significantly strengthen the bullish reversal scenario. 🔥 Trade Management If price reaches TP1, consider securing partial profit and moving SL toward breakeven. If price reaches TP2, protect the remaining position while watching the reaction around the order block. ⚠️ Invalidation If Gold breaks 4,225 decisively and continues below 4,200, the long setup becomes invalid and bearish continuation toward lower levels becomes more likely. 📊 Bias: Bullish reaction from support 🟢 Preferred: LONG after confirmation 📍 Entry: 4,225–4,250 🛑 SL: < 4,200 🎯 TP: 4,320 → 4,380 → 4,400 Educational chart analysis only; wait for confirmation and manage risk before entering.
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Continuare15 sept., 20:10Liquidity Sweep Before The Next Drop?
Overall trend: Bearish on the 1H timeframe. Price is forming lower highs and lower lows after the rejection from the 4,400 area. A bearish BOS occurred as price broke below the previous swing lows. The marked CHoCH shows a temporary shift in short-term order flow, but price failed to establish a sustained bullish structure. Current price action around 4,297 looks like consolidation above the demand zone, potentially preparing for a liquidity grab and retracement. 🔑 KEY LEVELS: Resistance / Entry area: 4,340–4,357 Invalidation / Supply: 4,370–4,375 Order Block: ~4,350–4,380 Demand Zone: ~4,250–4,265 Near-term liquidity: Below ~4,275 and above ~4,325 Major resistance: ~4,400–4,415 Major previous high: ~4,490–4,500 🎯 TRADE SETUP — SHORT: Entry: 4,340–4,357 on bearish rejection/confirmation Stop Loss: 4,375 TP1: 4,315 TP2: 4,290 TP3: 4,265 Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2+ depending on entry 🚀 POSSIBLE NEXT MOVE: Bearish scenario: Price retraces into 4,340–4,357, sweeps nearby buy-side liquidity, then rejects and continues toward 4,315 → 4,290 → 4,265. Bullish scenario: If price breaks and holds above 4,357–4,375 with strong 1H momentum, the short thesis weakens. A reclaim could open the way toward 4,400+. ⚠️ INVALIDATION: A decisive 1H close above 4,375, followed by sustained bullish momentum, invalidates the short setup.
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Continuareacum 20 hXAU/USD Bullish Channel Setup | Buy Zone 4,270 & Target 4,325
XAU/USD 15-Minute Analysis — Bullish Setup 🟢 Trend: Bullish — price is moving inside an ascending channel. Current price: ~4,284.9 Buy zone / Entry: 4,270.6 — wait for price to retrace into this zone and show bullish confirmation. Stop Loss: 4,250.0 Target: 4,324.9 Resistance: 4,315–4,325 sell/resistance zone. Liquidity: Sell-side liquidity appears below the recent lows around 4,270–4,275; a sweep followed by a bullish reversal would strengthen the setup. Structure: Price is pulling back toward the lower boundary of the rising channel. Holding this area can support another move toward the upper channel/resistance. Trade Plan BUY: 4,270.6 zone SL: 4,250.0 TP: 4,324.9 Bias: BULLISH — but avoid chasing at the current price; the chart's planned entry is lower around 4,270.6.
TITradingView Ideas- TIContinuareacum 18 h
NASDAQ SHORT SELL BEFORE FOMC TODAY
Fake breakout spotted from the 1HR BeBB and the old 1hrBeBB inside the 4HR Bullish OB, was used to clear the liquidity in the market also exit at 4HR Bullish rejection BL
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Continuareacum 16 hNasdaq 100 (NQ) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Wed (Sep 16)
Bias: December Nasdaq-100 futures settled Tuesday at 29,246.75 after a 287.75 point session between 29,495.25 and 29,207.50, closing just 39.25 points off the low and inside the lower 14 percent of the day's range. The cash index fell about 0.65 percent against about 0.45 percent for the broad market, and that gap is the entire story. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields topped 5 percent for the first time since 2007 while crude rose about 4 percent to trade above 105 dollars, and an index whose earnings sit far out on the duration curve is the most exposed asset available to a rising long-end discount rate. Supporting stress was visible across assets, with crude volatility up about 4 percent and bitcoin rejecting 82,000 to fall about 3 percent. The structural picture is heavy but not yet broken. Price sits below the 5-day average at 29,416.75, the 20-day at 29,621.54, the 50-day at 29,577.59 and the 100-day at 29,721.96, while holding far above the 200-day at 27,824.07, so this reads as a correction inside a longer advance rather than a completed trend change. The 14-day directional index at 14.17 with the negative directional indicator at 23.15 above the positive at 15.07 describes downward pressure without trend conviction, which is the environment where computed pivots and dealer-positioning levels govern price. The multi-indicator composite reads 64 percent sell. Dealer positioning in the exchange-traded proxy is the sharpest input: the fund closed at 705.38, beneath both its modeled gamma-flip level of 718 and its modeled volatility threshold of 712, with estimated gamma notional at negative 927 million dollars and put volume running near 1.56 times call volume. Below a modeled flip level, hedging flows tend to extend moves rather than contain them. Positioning data through September 8 showed elevated non-dealer length in Nasdaq futures with about 7.1 billion dollars net sold between September 1 and September 8, so a crowded long is being reduced into the event rather than after it. Bias is lower while beneath 29,545, with rallies into the 29,421 to 29,473 confluence the preferred area to sell, though a 25 basis point increase is already roughly 92 percent priced and the 02:00 PM ET projections, not the rate number, will write Wednesday's reaction. Resistance: - 29,713 Pivot R3, the outer boundary of the computed ladder and the practical ceiling for any advance that does not involve a policy surprise - 29,604 Pivot R2, reinforced by the 20-day average at 29,621.54 and the 9-day and 18-day average crossings near 29,632, so a close above this band is the first real evidence the corrective sequence has ended - 29,588 primary call side ceiling equivalent, translating the cash-index call-side concentration at 29,275 into futures terms at this session's measured 312.75 point basis, where dealer hedging of that concentration tends to supply into strength - 29,541 the 40-day average crossing, the structural reference that must be reclaimed before the average stack can be read constructively again - 29,493 2 Standard Deviation Resistance, a statistical extension boundary rather than a structural level, so a tag without a close above is a fade candidate - 29,473 modeled volatility threshold equivalent, a modeled underlying-price level published against the cash index at 29,160 rather than an option strike, and one the cash index closed beneath - 29,421 the primary confluence, where Pivot R1 at 29,425.50, 1 Standard Deviation Resistance at 29,420.68 and the 5-day average at 29,416.75 stack inside 9 points, the tightest overhead grouping on the board - 29,316 Pivot Point, sitting essentially on the primary put side support base equivalent at 29,313 and forming the first meaningful shelf directly above the settle Support: - 29,207 Tuesday's session low, the confirmation line for continuation and only 39.25 points beneath the settle, which is what makes the weak close actionable - 29,179 computed downside objective from the same level set that produces the pivot ladder, the first measured stop on any break - 29,148 modeled gamma-flip equivalent, translating the cash-index modeled flip at 28,835, the threshold beneath which proxy hedging turns most destabilizing - 29,138 Pivot S1, sitting within 11 points of the modeled flip equivalent above it, which makes 29,138 to 29,148 the single most important support decision band on the chart - 29,107 the one-month low and the structural base of the recent monthly distribution, whose loss opens the deeper standard deviation supports at 29,072.82 and 29,000.78 - 29,029 Pivot S2, reinforced immediately below by 2 Standard Deviation Support at 29,000.78 and the 3-10 day average crossover reference at 29,001.61, making the 29,000 area a dense shelf - 28,850 Pivot S3, the outer boundary of the computed ladder, with 3 Standard Deviation Support at 28,945.50 and the 38.2 percent retracement from the 13-week low at 28,937.99 as intermediate stops Primary Setup: SHORT NQ from the 29,421 to 29,473 zone on a rally into the Pivot R1, one standard deviation and 5-day average confluence, with the modeled volatility threshold equivalent capping the upper edge. Stop 29,545, placed above the 40-day average crossing at 29,541.14 and the two standard deviation band at 29,492.72 so that a stop-out requires reclaiming structure rather than merely tagging an extension. Targets at 29,316 first, where the Pivot Point and the primary put side support base equivalent overlap, 29,207 second at Tuesday's session low, and 29,138 third at Pivot S1 where the modeled gamma-flip equivalent sits 10 points higher, taken only if momentum extends through the second target on expanding volume. From a 29,447 entry midpoint that is 98 points of risk against 131, 240 and 309 points of reward, roughly 1.3 to 1, 2.4 to 1 and 3.2 to 1. Half size is appropriate given the interest rate decision, the rate statement and the Summary of Economic Projections all land at 02:00 PM ET with the press conference at 02:30 PM ET, and retail sales at 08:30 AM ET is forecast at 0.8 percent against a negative 0.6 percent prior. Pricing is likely to be disorderly between 02:00 PM and 02:45 PM ET, a volatility-index expiration at 09:30 AM ET can distort early pricing, and the cash open at 09:30 AM ET sets the session's first directional test. A sustained move above 29,545, and in particular an hourly close above 29,604, negates the short thesis and opens 29,713. The mirror risk is a projection set implying a pause after this increase, which is the condition for a relief advance back through 29,473 toward 29,588. Wednesday is a decision session rather than a trend session, and the distinction matters for how it should be traded. A market carrying compressed realized volatility at 12.40 percent on the 14-day, unspent range after a 287.75 point Tuesday against a 14-day average daily range of 351.59, and dealer positioning beneath its modeled flip level is a market configured to expand rather than to drift, and the expansion is scheduled for 02:00 PM ET.
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Continuareacum 15 hNASDAQ 100 at a Critical Support Zone – Will Buyers Step In?
Market Structure NASDAQ 100 remains in a short-term bearish consolidation on the 4-hour chart. The recent sequence of lower highs suggests sellers still have the upper hand, with price pulling back toward the key 28,900 support area. This zone has previously attracted buying interest, making it an important level to watch. Market Sentiment - Slightly Bearish Bullish Scenario If price holds above the 28,900 support area and breaks back above 29,400, buying momentum could strengthen and open the door for a move toward the 29,700 resistance zone. A sustained break above that level would improve the short-term outlook. Bearish Scenario If price falls below 28,900, the next downside target could be around 28,600. Losing that support may accelerate selling pressure and expose a deeper correction. ──────────────────── Market Outlook NASDAQ 100 has returned to a key support zone where the next directional move is likely to develop. Whether buyers defend this area or sellers force a breakdown will determine the next short-term trend. ──────────────────── Key Levels First Resistance: 29,400 Second Resistance: 29,700 First Support: 28,900 Second Support: 28,600 ──────────────────── Future Scenarios A break above the first resistance would indicate improving bullish momentum and could lead to another test of the second resistance. On the other hand, a break below the first support would strengthen the bearish outlook and increase the probability of a move toward the second support. ──────────────────── Event Risk NASDAQ 100 may remain sensitive to upcoming U.S. economic data, Federal Reserve expectations, major technology earnings, and overall market risk sentiment. Price action remains the key signal. If positive news fails to push the index above the first resistance, upside momentum may remain limited. Likewise, if the first support breaks despite improving sentiment, sellers are likely to stay in control. ──────────────────── Please share your view below: Do you think NASDAQ 100 will rebound from this support area, or is another leg lower more likely? More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly.
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Continuareacum 13 hUS30 30M — Bearish Continuation Scenario
US30 remains in a bearish structure, with price currently retracing into the 52,300–52,335 resistance area. I’m watching this zone for a possible rejection and continuation lower. If sellers defend the area, the 51,915 region becomes the next area of interest Key levels: • Resistance: 52,300–52,335 • Invalidation: sustained break above 52,335 • Support/target area: 51,915 The setup depends on confirmation from price action. A clean break above resistance would weaken the bearish scenario. Technical analysis only; this is a possible scenario, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Continuareacum 9 hXAGUSD 4H | Demand Zone Reaction & Bullish Continuation Setup
XAGUSD 4H — Smart Money Structure & Key Levels Silver is currently trading around 64.63, with price reacting from the marked demand/support area around 62.40–61.90. The recent structure shows a recovery from the lower demand zone, while the chart is approaching important resistance levels. Market Structure Previous price action established multiple BOS and CHoCH formations, showing shifts in market structure. The recent reaction from the 62.40–61.90 demand zone indicates that buyers are defending this area. The current move is approaching 65.32, which is an important short-term structure/resistance level. A confirmed break and close above 65.32 could provide additional bullish structure confirmation. Key Resistance Zones 65.32 — Immediate resistance / confirmation level 68.20 — Major supply/resistance zone 71.04 — Higher-timeframe resistance / weak-high area If price reaches the 68.20–71.04 region, watch the reaction carefully for rejection, liquidity sweep, or another structural shift. Key Support / Demand 62.40–61.90 — Primary demand zone marked on the chart. A sustained hold above this area keeps the recovery structure relevant. A decisive breakdown below the zone would weaken the bullish setup and require a fresh market-structure assessment. Trade Plan Rather than entering solely because price reaches a level, wait for confirmation such as CHoCH/BOS, rejection, or a valid retest on the lower timeframe. This can help reduce entries based only on anticipation. Important: This is a technical analysis scenario, not a guaranteed trade signal. Always manage risk according to your own strategy and avoid risking more than you can afford to lose.
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Continuareacum 7 hXAU/USD 15M Liquidity Sweep & Bullish Continuation Setup
Gold Spot/USD on the 15-minute chart is currently trading at 4,337.53 and showing a bullish continuation structure after a clear liquidity sweep. From Sep 11-15, price formed a descending channel (marked by the two red trendlines) with lower highs and lower lows, indicating short-term bearish momentum. Around Sep 15, price swept the "Sell Side Liquidity" zone near 4,260-4,265, which aligns with an Order Block and a Purpulsion Order Block (grey zones) — a classic smart money move where stop-losses below the range are hunted before a reversal. Immediately after this sweep, price broke structure to the upside, confirming a Market Structure Shift (MSS) that signaled the end of the bearish phase and a shift toward bullish control. This impulsive rally on Sep 16 left behind a Strong Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 4,320-4,340 zone — an unfilled imbalance that is likely to act as support on any pullback. Price then pushed up to sweep the "Buy Side Liquidity" near 4,360 (marked as "Liquidity Sweep" in red), and is now retracing. The black arrow projection on the chart suggests price may pull back into the Strong FVG/Order Block support zone before continuing upward toward the higher Buy Side Liquidity level above 4,380. Overall bias is bullish continuation as long as price holds above the Strong FVG/Order Block zone (4,320-4,330); a break below this zone would invalidate the bullish setup. Note: This is a pattern-based technical analysis, not financial advice — always apply proper risk management before trading.
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BUY on Nasdaq
This is Nas100,the trade was taken on monday the 14th,Sept 2026
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