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NZD/CHF about to go up at some point?

Entry: 0.47160 SL: 0.47035 TP: TBD, but ideally, around 0.48600, roughly 150 pips away from entry Reasons for trade: price is outside the historical trough return for this market in the past 10 years (-1.30%); NZD has a better interest rate than CHF; economic releases for NZD have outperformed those for CHF considerably; daily trend is bullish using the 200MA Although the risk sentiment is a bit mixed to me right now (leaning slightly unfavourably to anyone buying NZD right now) and the kiwi is usually the weakest currency historically in September, this trade is worth a shot.

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

Will I Buy or Sell Gold this Week?

Hey Rich Friends, Happy Monday, I hope all is well. This is my technical analysis for Gold so please make sure to check the news and cross-reference your own charts. Here is what I am looking at: - The first thing I noticed is that the market has been pretty bearish for the last fews days. I have to wonder if this trend will continue or are the sellers exhausted? - The market has crossed and closed below the previous day's low around 4292. This is a bearish confirmation for me. - The red candle bodies still look strong with little to no wicks at the bottom showing there is little resistance from the buyers. This is a bearish confirmation for me. - The stochastic is still facing down, the slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue), and one or both lines have crossed below 20. This is a bearish confirmation for me. - There is a gap to be filled between 4216 and 4135 (or lower) before the market turns bullish. Additional Information: - The stochastic is already oversold, but this does not mean an automatic turnaround. This would give me pause to jump in for a sell right away. Check lower timeframes for confluence. - I will be using past areas of support as SL and previous lows as TPs: 4216, 4200, 4135 and lower - If the market does buy, it will revisit these prices: 4300, 4333, 4365 and higher I am leaning toward swinging a sell but great luck if you decide to take this trade. Peace and Profits, Cha

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept
TI

XRP- Post Clarity Act analysis weekly vs daily bullish set up

Daily • Pattern: bull flag still valid; double bottom forming inside it • Support: $1.32–$1.35 (must hold) • Near resistance: $1.43–$1.45 • Mini-DB confirmation: daily close above $1.43–$1.48 • Full flag confirmation: daily close above $1.50–$1.55 • Targets: $1.57 → $1.70 → $1.80–$1.88 Bias stays bullish while $1.32–$1.35 holds. Lose that and the nested double bottom fails. Weekly • Pattern: still a developing bull flag, not confirmed • Flagpole = August rally off $1.05–$1.08 • Flag = the whole $1.32–$1.48 range since the spike • Weekly support: $1.32–$1.35, then $1.25 • Weekly confirmation: close above $1.55–$1.61 • Weekly targets: $1.70 → $1.80–$2.00 Weekly has not confirmed yet. It is holding the line that matters.

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

XAUUSD BEARISH SENTIMENT - SELL OPPORTUNITY TO EMERGE SOON!

Hey traders, In today's market analysis we are looking at Gold as we recently saw price broke below the recent level of support where price has been holding for couple of weeks now. Heading over the week, we have some major economic report like monetary policy report which will impact price with a lot of volatility, & what I anticipate from Gold market is bearish continuation. Therefore, Technically we expect a retrace (pullback) to previous support turn resistance and bearish continuation.

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

XAU/USD | Gold Drops To $4253, Major Demand Zone Under Pressure!

By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 6H timeframe, we can see that after the previous analysis, selling pressure continued and Gold dropped as low as $4253 . Currently, price is trading around $4270 and sitting inside a very important demand zone. The key area to watch is $4224 – $4285 . If buyers manage to defend this zone, we could see another recovery from here. However, if Gold breaks and stabilizes below this area, the probability of a much deeper sell-off increases. If this analysis has been useful so far, give it a Boost and support the idea so I can share the next Gold update with you sooner. :)) In that case, I’ll be watching $4200 first, followed by $4166 and potentially $4122 as the next major downside targets. For now, everything depends on the reaction from the $4224 – $4285 demand zone . This analysis will be updated soon so keep the support coming if you want the next update faster. :))

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

ARM - 62% Retracement

ARM has retraced 62% from the high in June 26. The current correction looks like its found a low around $230 with price just below the $250 level. So the question is could this be a Wave 1 and 2 before the start of a strong wave to the upside (wave 3). Or is this to simplistic? Waiting for 5 waves or price to find support above $250 will be the safest time to enter. Reasons to enter: - 61.8% retracement - Elliott Wave, possible Wave 1 and 2 correction, before a wave 3 - Geometry, price fits longterm pitchfork with price is consolidating with lower highs above out medium lines. - AVWAP shows price being squeezed. - Solid company Reasons to wait - US-Israeli war - Strong yields and dollar - Price is below $250.00 Elliott Wave - Possible ABC count https://www.tradingview.com/x/oTFnIIVm/

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept
TI

Silver: Wave 2 Bottoming Near $62.5? - Elliott Wave

Silver is currently approaching a potentially important bottoming zone around $62.5–$63.0, based on the Elliott Wave structure visible on the 4-hour timeframe. The rally from the 17 July 2026 low near $54.78 appears to have developed into a five-wave impulse, culminating near $71.32. The subsequent decline appears to be unfolding as an ABC corrective structure, which could potentially represent an Intermediate Wave 2. 🔹 Why this zone is interesting: 1. Elliott Wave Structure The correction appears to be developing as an internal ABC structure at the Minor degree, with Wave C itself showing a potential 5-wave internal structure, which is consistent with a terminating impulse within a corrective Wave C. 2. Important Structural Support The current price zone around $62.5–$63.0 coincides with the previous Minor Wave 4 area within the preceding Intermediate Wave 1 advance, making this an important structural support zone. 3. Fibonacci Retracement The move from the July low of approximately $54.78 to $71.32 has now retraced roughly 50% of the entire advance. The broader 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone lies approximately between $63.05 and $61.01, placing the current price within an important Fibonacci area. 4. Bullish Divergence Wave C is showing signs of bullish divergence in RSI and MACD on the lower timeframes, suggesting that downside momentum may be weakening. 🔎 What I am watching next At this stage, I consider $62.5–$63.0 a potential bottoming zone rather than a confirmed bottom. For the bullish Wave 2 scenario to gain credibility, I would look for a change in price structure—particularly a higher low followed by a higher high—and a sustained break above the immediate corrective trendline. If the bottom is confirmed, the previous high near $71.30 becomes the first major upside objective and potential retest zone. On the other hand, a sustained breakdown below the current support/Fibonacci zone would weaken the immediate Wave 2 bottoming thesis and require the Elliott Wave count to be reassessed. For educational purposes only. This is my personal Elliott Wave and technical analysis observation and should not be considered financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

How Far Is Far? From Price Distance to Standardized RSI

Suppose someone tells you: The current price is 30% above its 200-day moving average. The statement sounds informative because it gives both a reference point and a distance. But it still leaves out the part that matters most: is 30% a normal displacement for this market, or an extreme one? Raw distance tells us where price is relative to an average, but not how large that displacement is relative to the normal movement of the series. To make the number comparable, distance needs a reference scale. --- This idea begins with the familiar Bollinger Band framework, then uses RSI Chart Overlay to make the same measurement problem visible on price. From there, we can see why a bounded RSI scale needs a different coordinate system before different lookback lengths can be compared. --- 1. Giving distance a unit One of the most familiar ways to give distance a scale is Bollinger Bands. Let's start with a 20-bar moving average and bands two standard deviations above and below it. Instead of saying only that price is a certain number of dollars or percent away from the average, we can express the displacement in standard-deviation units: z = (Price - Average) / Standard Deviation Now the distance is dimensionless. A reading of +1 means that price is one standard deviation above its average. A reading of +2 means two standard deviations above it. On a conventional 20-bar chart, this feels natural because the center, the scale and the outer reference levels all behave in a familiar way. That is why the z-score is such an attractive answer to the original question. It appears to turn raw distance into a common unit of extension. https://www.tradingview.com/x/0BwACjZ5/ I used this public Rolling Z-score script. --- 2. What happens at a very short lookback? https://www.tradingview.com/x/nUZuboZ0/ After going from 20 days to 5 days, the picture changes immediately. The standardized series remains crowded inside the ±2 reference lines, even though price is moving aggressively over the short window. The supposedly common unit of extension is clearly behaving differently from the 20-bar example. That is the important observation: We changed the lookback, but the supposed common unit of extension stopped behaving in a visually comparable way. A z-score still gives distance a unit, yet the result is not independent of the geometry created by the window used to calculate it. --- 3. The common workaround A practical response is simply to avoid very short lookbacks. Many indicators impose a minimum input, and many traders naturally gravitate toward lengths where the familiar band structure looks more stable. That can be perfectly reasonable as a usage rule, but it is still a workaround. --- 4. RSI makes the same problem more obvious Price-based rolling z-scores already become awkward at short lookbacks. RSI sharpens the issue because its raw coordinate has hard bounds: it cannot move above 100 or below 0. This is where RSI Chart Overlay becomes useful as an explanatory tool. In the AdaptiveRSI representation, RSI describes normalized price position relative to the Wilder moving average of the same length. The key relationship is simple: RSI 50 corresponds to price at Wilder EMA(n). This lets us treat RSI not only as an oscillator pane, but as a coordinate system that can be translated back into price. https://www.tradingview.com/x/7GFKDioE/ RSI Chart Overlay projects chosen RSI coordinates back onto the price chart. RSI 50 becomes the middle line. A selected RSI level above 50 becomes a price band above it, and a selected value below 50 becomes a corresponding band below it. We do not need the full RSI derivation here; we only need this mapping so that the geometry of the RSI scale can be seen directly on price. https://www.tradingview.com/x/LEpxHbfx/ --- 5. Equal standardized steps do not occupy equal price space Now take RSI(14), but instead of starting with familiar raw levels such as 70 and 30, start with equal positions on a standardized scale. z = 0 → RSI 50.00 z = +1 → RSI 63.52 z = +2 → RSI 75.20 The negative side is symmetric around 50. https://www.tradingview.com/x/2sy2Bx5I/ We can already see that the distance from 0 to +1 is larger than the distance from +1 to +2. RSI Chart Overlay is not creating that compression. It is exposing it. The Overlay projects raw RSI coordinates onto price, and those raw RSI coordinates are already getting closer together as standardized position moves farther from the center. The supporting formula is: Price offset = (RSI - 50) / 50 × CC volatility × (n - 1) Full overlay formulas: Projecting RSI Levels Directly onto Price The formula matters only because it confirms what the chart already shows: when the gaps between raw RSI coordinates shrink, their projected gaps on price shrink with them. --- 6. The same compression is visible on the 0–100 scale The price chart is showing the same geometry that exists inside RSI itself. For RSI(14), the equal standardized steps map to: z = 0 → RSI 50.00 z = +1 → RSI 63.52 z = +2 → RSI 75.20 z = +3 → RSI 84.08 The standardized increments are identical, but the raw RSI increments are not. The move from 50.00 to 63.52 uses 13.52 RSI points. The next move, from 63.52 to 75.20, uses 11.68 points. The move from 75.20 to 84.08 uses only 8.88. https://www.tradingview.com/x/lxSF3cNf/ This is the tail-compression problem in its simplest form. The closer RSI gets to 100, the less raw coordinate space remains for the next equal standardized move. The same happens toward 0. A bounded scale therefore gives progressively less visual resolution to increasingly extreme standardized positions. --- 7. RSI(2) makes the problem obvious RSI(2) is the useful stress test because a very short RSI spends much more time near the boundaries. Use the same market and the same period in two aligned panes. https://www.tradingview.com/x/v9H06hTS/ The difference is not that one pane contains more market information than the other. They represent the same underlying RSI observations. The difference is that the raw pane compresses increasingly extreme values into the last few RSI points before 0 or 100, while the standardized Logit RSI pane gives those tail observations additional room. That distinction matters at very short lengths. A common workaround for awkward short-lookback behavior is simply to avoid very short n. Standardized Logit RSI is designed to remove the bounded-scale problem instead, so RSI(2) can remain on a usable standardized axis rather than being excluded by construction. Logit RSI script: https://www.tradingview.com/script/yGKf9mpz-Logit-RSI-AdaptiveRSI/ --- 8. Why raw RSI 70 is not universal The bounded scale is only one part of the problem. Lookback length changes the meaning of a raw RSI value as well. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Qj7FI83z/ The same standardized position maps to very different raw RSI values at different lengths, and the same raw RSI value maps to very different standardized positions. RSI 70 is therefore a coordinate on the 0–100 scale, not a universal measure of extremity. --- 9. Two transformations, two jobs The complete transformation from raw RSI to Logit RSI has two separate jobs: Logit transform addresses the hard 0/100 bounds. The theoretical scale then addresses lookback dependence. https://www.tradingview.com/x/MFeEGWpF That is all we need from the mathematics at this stage. Logit opens the bounded coordinate system. The length scaling puts different RSI lengths onto a common standardized axis. RSI 0–100 → Logit → unbounded coordinate → length scaling → standardized z Different RSI lengths still represent different horizons and will not produce identical paths or signals. Standardization makes their positions comparable; it does not make the underlying series the same. --- 10. Define zones in standardized space first Once RSI is expressed on a common standardized axis, reference regions can be defined in z-space first and then translated back to the raw RSI scale for the selected lookback length. The current AdaptiveRSI framework uses: |z| ≤ 0.66 → Body / consolidation 0.66 < |z| ≤ 1.00 → Support / resistance region 1.00 < |z| ≤ sqrt(3) → Trend region sqrt(3) < |z| ≤ 2.14 → Overbought / oversold stretch |z| > 2.14 → Tails Full math: RSI Beyond 70/30: Position, Structure, and Adaptive Zones This also makes it possible to compare different RSI lengths on the same standardized basis. https://www.tradingview.com/x/M2vAwg6F/ --- 11. From fixed levels to a common measure of position The practical consequence is that raw RSI levels should not be treated as universal units of extension. A reading such as RSI 70 tells us where the oscillator is on its 0–100 scale, but its standardized position depends strongly on lookback length. The price projection makes the geometry visible. Equal steps in standardized space become progressively narrower when translated back to raw RSI and then projected onto price. Logit removes that bounded-scale compression, while the 2 / sqrt(n - 1) scaling provides a common length-aware coordinate system. The main takeaway is that RSI can be treated as a standardized measure of position around its Wilder EMA equilibrium. The underlying information does not change. The coordinate system used to measure it does. Related tools: RSI Chart Overlay Logit RSI RSI Adaptive Zones RSI Tutorials: Projecting RSI Levels Directly onto Price RSI Beyond 70/30: Position, Structure, and Adaptive Zones © AdaptiveRSI

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

CIB — Technical Analysis | 1D

Current Price: 133.32 EGP The chart shows a bearish reversal setup after a prolonged advance, with price failing to sustain the upper part of the rising structure. 🔴 Bearish Scenario — Primary The price appears to be forming a rising wedge / ascending channel with bearish implications. The recent rejection from the 140–142.88 EGP resistance zone strengthens the downside case. Key confirmation: A sustained daily close below the rising trendline would increase the probability of a deeper correction. 🎯 Downside Targets Level Role Expected Reaction 126.00 EGP T1 / First support Possible technical bounce 110.57–109.51 EGP T2 / Major support Stronger demand zone 85.29 EGP T3 / Major structural support Extreme bearish target From 133.32 EGP: T1 126: ≈ -5.5% T2 110.57: ≈ -17.1% T2 109.51: ≈ -17.9% T3 85.29: ≈ -36.0% 🟢 Critical Resistance / Invalidation 142.88 EGP is the key level. A daily close above 142.88, particularly with strong volume, would invalidate the current bearish setup and suggest that the bullish trend is still active. Potential upside continuation would then target 145–150+ EGP, depending on momentum. 📊 Technical Structure 142.88: Major resistance / bearish invalidation 140–142: Supply & rejection zone 133.32: Current price 126.00: First downside target 125.86: Important horizontal support 110.57–109.51: Major support / T2 85.29: Long-term structural support 📌 TradingView-style Conclusion CIB is showing early signs of a bearish trend reversal after failing to break and hold above the 140–142.88 EGP resistance zone. A confirmed breakdown of the ascending trendline would favor a corrective move toward 126 EGP initially, followed by 110.57–109.51 EGP if selling pressure accelerates. The bearish thesis remains valid below 142.88 EGP. A decisive daily close above 142.88 would invalidate the setup and restore the bullish continuation scenario. Risk/Reward: From 133.32 to T2 around 110.5, the potential downside (~17%) is substantially larger than the risk to the 143 EGP invalidation (~7.3%), giving the setup an attractive theoretical R/R of roughly 2.3:1 to T2. My bias from this chart: 🔴 Bearish below 142.88 | ⚠️ Confirmation below 125.86 | 🎯 126 → 110.57–109.51 → 85.29

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

Upper shadow as rejection for rising up

Upper-shadow rejection at resistance suggests sellers are stepping back in. The current bullish move may be only a retracement within the broader bearish structure. As long as ADBE remains below 265.33, bearish continuation remains valid, with potential downside toward 239.76. A decisive break above 265.33 would weaken this bearish thesis. The key logic is: Rejection ≠ guaranteed drop. Rejection + bearish confirmation + resistance holding = stronger bearish continuation setup.. Trade at your own decision and risk..this is not financial advice..

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

Volkswagen - One of The Greatest Value Plays

XETR:VOW Volkswagen - 7.77x Earnings, A Falling Wedge, And A Monthly MACD Divergence. The Setup Is Building. Volkswagen is one of the most unloved stocks in Europe right now and that is precisely what makes it interesting. Revenue for the twelve months ending June 2026 reached $375 billion, up 6.26% year-over-year. Against a consensus analyst price target of approximately €115, implying over 30% upside from current levels, the stock trades at just 7.77x TTM earnings. At a P/E TTM of just 7.77x, against a DAX average of 18-20x, you are paying less than half the price for every euro of earnings relative to the broader index. We are not dismissing the headwinds, Chinese market volume has fallen sharply, and management has flagged that planned cost cuts alone are not enough. But when a business of this scale trades at these multiples, a lot of bad news is already priced in. If margins merely stabilise, today's valuation is too low. The Setup VW is developing a textbook falling wedge, converging downward-sloping trendlines with six successful touches and bounces between support and resistance. Falling wedges resolve to the upside more often than not. If it breaks down instead, we are not interested, that is a falling knife and we will not be catching it. What makes this setup particularly compelling is what is happening on the monthly timeframe simultaneously. While price has been falling, the MACD has completed a bullish crossover, a classic bullish divergence where momentum is turning before price does. On a monthly chart, where noise is significantly reduced, this signal carries real weight. It signals momentum is building while price is quietly consolidating at the end of the very tight wedge boundaries, the exact recipe for a breakout. https://www.tradingview.com/x/wmNkEXl9/ We are waiting for confirmation here. Despite the six-touch structure and the monthly divergence we are waiting for weekly close above wedge resistance. Levels to Watch Resistance 1 - horizontal price level respected multiple times https://www.tradingview.com/x/evG4H0Vd/ Resistance 2 - 200-day EMA, closely watched by institutions https://www.tradingview.com/x/ScVsoqYj/ Resistance 3 - long-term trend channel support now turned resistance https://www.tradingview.com/x/6aZnMi7a/ A clean break and hold above all three would confirm the full reversal of the downtrend and open the path toward a significant re-rating.

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept