Went short Sept 10 (Dec contract pricing shown), there's the stop as of now... sizing is KEY, but not for thee..... not here anyway :-) When you start trading a proven system, you stop worry about the utter nonsense that prevents most traders from winning.... When stops need to be moved, I'll update here. And yes all of my public posts are delayed for a reason. Ask why or think harder :-)
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) experienced sharp volatility after the Federal Funds Rate was released at 4.00%, in line with expectations, followed by remarks from Kevin Warsh. Unlike gold and U.S. stock indices—particularly the S&P 500—Bitcoin has so far managed to hold inside its Support Zone and avoid a similarly sharp decline. Can BTC defend $75,000 and turn this relative strength into another move toward $80,000? Macro Outlook Nearly $1 billion in long positions could be liquidated around $74,860, making this an important downside liquidity area to monitor. Bitcoin could also remain sensitive to developments in the Middle East, movements in the S&P 500, and gold price action. Technical Analysis Bitcoin is currently trading inside the Support Zone and near Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($74,680-$73,800). A valid Golden Cross has also formed between the 50_SMA(Daily) and 200_SMA(Daily), which could support the broader bullish structure. 💡 Educational Note: A Golden Cross forms when a shorter-term moving average crosses above a longer-term moving average and is generally considered a bullish trend signal, although price confirmation remains important. From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin’s structure over the past 12 days appears more corrective than impulsively bearish, suggesting that another bullish move could develop. I expect Bitcoin to move higher over the coming hours. If BTC breaks above the key trading level of $77,280, further upside could develop toward $78,370 and eventually the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage. As long as Bitcoin remains above $73,500, the bullish scenario remains valid. Trade Setup First Take Profit(TP): $76,990 Second Take Profit(TP): $78,370 Third Take Profit(TP): Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($80,700-$79,800) Stop Loss(SL): $73,500(Worst) Key Trading Level: $77,280 New CME Gap: $79,270-$79,110 Do you think Bitcoin can hold above $75,000? 🟢 Yes 🔴 No 📌 Bitcoin Analysis(BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always use proper risk management and set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position. 🚀 If this analysis helps your trading plan, a BOOST would help more traders discover it.
Possible sell side on gold, either first or second
One green candle below resistance, and the flock has already misplaced the life jackets. ETH bounced from a low near $2,366 and trades around $2,405. The panic has cooled, but the structure has not reversed: price remains below the 4H 9 EMA at $2,420 and below the level that changes the mood — $2,436. The 4H 200 SMA near $2,370 is holding underneath price. That keeps the pond from breaking, but it does not yet give buyers control. AI Agent read: 4H momentum remains bearish — RSI is 35.1 and MACD histogram is -10.431. Volatility remains normal; the AI Agent does not see an elevated-volatility regime yet. 📍 AI Agent Trade Map Signal: 4H Bearish Trigger: A failed 4H attempt to reclaim $2,436 Target: 🎯 $2,357 Key Resistance: $2,436 Support Zone: $2,357 — candidate support; it needs a reaction, not blind faith If buyers take control: $2,531–2,546 — major supply zone Invalidation: A sustained 4H close above $2,436. The AI bearish reading ends only if RSI closes above 45 or MACD histogram returns to zero or higher. ❓ Is the 200 SMA absorbing the fear — or is this simply a calmer place for sellers to return? The flock quacks. The level answers. Personal market commentary, not financial advice.
Pulled back to previous supply zone. Now demand zone small continuation to sweep again.
Did everything i said it would. Swept and crashed to the ground.
NASDAQ:GOOGL Supported 335/ broke out of bearish trend, Today we retested trendline + 4H gap, I'm confident in this playing out so I'm trying calls here. I think this is a decent long position and am not expecting a stronger pullback, if we're bullish this 4hr should hold pretty well. If we test mid-point/ red line i might add more if we react strongly
Key Levels Current Price $245.40 (-2.77%) Prob. Range 99.73% $232.41 – $258.39 Valuation — Peter Lynch PEGY Ratio 1.75Fairly Valued P/E (Trailing) 35.0est. Gamma & Walls Net GEX +$477.16M Positive Gamma Call Wall $250.00Resistance Put Wall $240.00Support
Two days ago, we published the H4 Head & Shoulders structure on Gold and highlighted the neckline breakdown as an important signal for the larger direction. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/cXgKpgtD-XAUUSD-Gold-H4-Head-Shoulders-Has-Broken/ Now, after the Federal Reserve's decision and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference, the setup deserves another look. The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, while its latest projections pointed to the possibility of another hike this year. Policymakers also raised their 2026 inflation projection to 3.7%, keeping the focus firmly on persistent inflation. From our reading of the statement and the tone of the press conference, the short-term environment has become more supportive of the bearish Gold scenario. But there is one important problem: The market is extremely volatile right now. This is exactly the type of environment where being directionally correct does not automatically mean having a good entry. Gold can move hundreds of points, retrace sharply, and then continue in the original direction. So I don't want to chase the first reaction. H4 Structure The larger technical picture remains: Head & Shoulders → Neckline Break → Bearish Bias The structure we identified two days ago remains active. Short-Term Target: 4111 Pattern Target: 3900 Invalidation: 4454 The 4111 area remains the first major downside objective, while 3900 is the measured target of the H4 pattern. Current Trading Plan For now, I would divide the plan into two parts: H4: Defines the main direction → Bearish H1 / Lower Timeframes: Defines the actual trade → Look for Sell setups The ideal situation would be a pullback after the initial reaction , followed by bearish price action, rejection, liquidity sweep or a clear lower-timeframe structure. That gives us a much better risk/reward opportunity than simply selling into a fast candle. The Important Scenario If Gold continues lower and the H1 structure confirms the bearish move, we can continue looking toward 4111. If the larger H4 structure continues to play out, 3900 remains the pattern target. But if Gold strongly reclaims the broken structure and eventually breaks 4454, the bearish idea is invalid and we reassess. Don't marry the analysis. Trade the structure. What Changed After the Fed? The Fed's decision itself was largely expected by markets. Before the announcement, traders had already priced a very high probability of a 25bp hike. The more important part for traders was the message about what comes next. The new projections show another possible hike in 2026, while inflation is expected to remain above the 2% target for longer. That combination can keep pressure on Gold through the Dollar and Treasury yields, particularly in the short term. However, Gold's reaction has also shown why we should not simplify the market to “ higher rates = Gold down. ” Earlier today, Gold actually rallied as yields and oil declined, and it later remained relatively resilient despite the Fed hike. So the macro picture supports the bearish scenario but does not guarantee the path. Final View The H4 Head & Shoulders that we identified two days ago has now become more relevant from a directional perspective. Bias: Bearish Target 1: 4111 Pattern Target: 3900 Invalidation: 4454 But right now, patience matters more than prediction. The market is emotional after the Fed. If you want to act, use smaller risk. If you want better execution, wait for the volatility to settle and let H1 confirm the entry. The H4 chart tells us where the market may be going. The lower timeframe tells us when we should participate. ⚠️ Risk Warning: This is educational market analysis, not financial advice. Gold can experience extreme volatility around central-bank decisions and macroeconomic releases. Use appropriate position sizing and define your invalidation before entering a trade.
I think ETH’s short-term uptrend is likely to continue.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/h32hFp7Y/ Hello,Traders! BITCOIN is confirming a breakdown beneath the horizontal supply area with bearish displacement, leaving an imbalance and exposing sell-side liquidity near the marked target.Time Frame 12H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!
Market Structure & Overview: The 4-hour chart displays a clear breakdown from a Rising Wedge / Ascending Channel structure, complemented by an ABCD harmonic structure. Price has completed a retest of the broken ascending trendline, confirming bearish pressure and offering a high-probability short opportunity. Key Technical Factors: Pattern Breakdown: Break & retest of the lower boundary of the Rising Wedge. Harmonic Structure: Completion of point D near the top boundary, validating bearish control. Confirmation: Price Action shows rejection at the retest area around 7,585. Trade Parameters: Action: Sell / Short Entry: 7,585.00 (Break & Retest zone) Stop Loss: 7,850.00 (Above recent swing high / resistance level) Price Targets: First Target (TP1): 7,389.50 (Key horizontal support) Second Target (TP2): 7,018.75 (Major structural zone) Third Target (TP3): 6,855.00 (Intermediate support level) Fourth Target (TP4): 6,625.00 (Demand zone) Fifth Target (TP5): 6,497.25 – 6,480.00 (Point B demand base / macro target) Risk Management: Always manage position sizing according to your risk parameters. Protect capital by moving Stop Loss to breakeven once Target 1 is reached.
Price is still inside the downtrend channel, but this 40–40.5 area looks interesting after the recent bounce from around 36.60. If this level holds and buyers come back with better volume, we may see another push toward 43–44 and possibly the upper channel around 46–47. Still needs confirmation, so I’d watch how price reacts here rather than rushing in. Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in stocks involves risk, including the possible loss of capital. Any decisions to buy, sell, or hold securities are the sole responsibility of the reader. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and, if necessary, consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:HOLO is wrapping up a massive accumulation pattern at the range bottom. Compression is almost over—preparing for the next expansion phase towards higher targets! 🚀📊 #HOLO #CryptoTrading #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis Disclaimer: The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile. Perform your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
While the retail crowd thinks Solana's recent 2% recovery is the start of a massive breakout, the 4-hour chart is setting up a textbook short retest of its selling order block with an asymmetric 1:5 risk-to-reward ratio. 🚨 Current Structure: Price: $97.87 Reaction: Rebounded a minor +2.14% from its local low ($95.82) after a -10.75% dump from its local peak ($107.36). Pattern: Corrective Relief Rally inside a descending channel. Bias: Bearish below the $101.44 resistance zone. "The Level That Decides Everything": The $101.52 - $102.86 Selling Order Block. Bids are queued at the $101.44 entry price. If this supply zone rejects the relief rally, it clears the way for a deeper correction to take out local swing support. A daily close above $104.94 invalidates the setup. Targets: Target One at $94.69, Target Two at $83.93. The Move So Far: Dumped -10.75% from its $107.36 local high to its $95.82 low. On the macro scale, CRYPTOCAP:SOL is down 66.75% from its $294.33 All-Time High (Jan 2025) and up a massive +19,442.73% from its $0.5008 All-Time Low (May 2020). Fundraising Breakdown: Total Raised: $359.7 Million across 7 funding rounds. Key Rounds: Private seed sale raised $3.17 Million (price $0.04), Series A raised $20 Million, and the private sale in June 2021 raised $314.15 Million led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z). ICO/IEO Entry Prices: Public ICO on Coinlist (March 2020) raised $1.76 Million at an entry price of $0.22. Early ICO participants are currently sitting on a massive ~445x return on investment. Unlock Pressure Ahead: Locked Supply: 0% locked. Solana is fully unlocked, meaning all legacy team, founder, and seed rounds are completely circulating. Supply Mechanics: Programmatic inflation is the sole driver of new supply. On August 28, 2026, the SGP-0002 "Double Disinflation" vote passed (67.001% approval), doubling annual disinflation from 15% to 30%, which massively accelerates its path to a 1.5% terminal floor. Key Levels: Resistance 1 / Resistance 2: $101.52 / $102.86 Entry: $101.44 (SHORT setup) Support (range): $94.69 - $83.93 Invalidation / Stop Loss: $104.94 Closing Thesis: Solana’s tokenomics are now fully unburdened by legacy VC unlock cliffs, and the network’s successful "Double Disinflation" vote significantly reduces future dilution. However, technicals rule the short-term. The 4-hour relief rally is running straight into an aggressive overhead selling block. Rejection at $101.44 sets up a perfect 1:5.00 short trade down to $83.93. Below it, the bearish thesis is locked in. 🎯 Bearish below $101.44. Above it, the story flips. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
NVST touching chanell. Can we see reverse? Or more sell pressure.
EUR/USD 4H - Wow, would you look at that, price is playing out perfectly for us now. Giving us exactly what we wanted and expected on the backend of fundamentals. I would image our TP should be hit by the end of the week and as always I will keep you posted on how the trade continues to play out in the meantime. This original trade is currently running + 208 pips. (+ 7%) 7RR The second trade is running + 160 pips. (+ 4.8%) 4.8RR A big well done to those of you involved in this trade, please ensure you are taking partials throughout the position and applying safety measures. This is how we maximise profits while minimising losses, any questions as always drop me a message or comment down below and I will get back to you as soon as possible.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/VIF1EwgW/ ✅USDCAD bullish displacement is delivering into buy-side liquidity at the supply level, where a sweep and rejection may shift order flow bearish toward the marked target.Time Frame 9H. SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Title: MercadoLibre (MELI 1H): Bullish Divergences & Channel Floor — Preparing for 18% Breakout 🟡⚡ 🧠 Fundamental Overview (September 2026 Context): MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI) has recently seen a 12–13% pullback, trading down near the $1,830–$1,845 USD level as the market continues to price in near-term margin trade-offs: Ecosystem & Merchant Scale: In mid-September, the company held its massive Mercado Libre Experience 2026 at La Rural, gathering over 8,000 sellers and enterprises. Over 2.7 million SMEs now operate within the MELI ecosystem, with nearly half generating their primary source of income through the platform. Growth vs. Margins Dynamics: Following record Q2 revenue surpassing $10.17 Billion (+50% YoY), operating income faced temporary compression (6.7% EBIT margin) due to deliberate, aggressive investments in free shipping across Brazil and a 75% expansion of its credit portfolio (exceeding $16 Billion). Valuation Pullback: The recent retreat from the $2,050 zone brings MELI’s trailing P/E down below 50x (well below its historical 5-year median of ~75x), offering a historically attractive discount for long-term compounders ahead of its expected Q3 earnings on November 4, 2026 . 📊 Technical Breakdown (1H Timeframe): Zooming into the hourly chart, the market structure presents a high-probability mean-reversion setup inside a broader ascending channel: https://www.tradingview.com/x/nBkjYjpZ/ 1️⃣ Macro Ascending Channel (Trendline A & D): Price has been developing inside a dominant multi-month ascending channel formed by upper Trendline A and lower floor Trendline D . After testing the upper boundary in the $2,050–$2,060 region, the asset underwent a clean 12–13% corrective slide down to the $1,804 USD low. 2️⃣ Trendline B Support Reaction: The recent bounce emerged cleanly off Trendline B —a historical inflection level that has repeatedly alternated as both support and resistance. Had this level failed, the ultimate floor sat immediately below at Trendline D . 3️⃣ The Immediate Ceiling: Trendline C & Moving Averages: Price action is now confronting descending Trendline C , a short-term diagonal resistance formed since early September. Directly above it sits a dual resistance cluster: 50-hour EMA ($1,886.07 USD) 200-hour EMA ($1,897.19 USD) These moving averages recently printed a bearish cross, meaning reclaiming this entire $1,886–$1,900 pocket is the primary objective for bulls. 4️⃣ Confluent Bullish Divergences (MACD & RSI): The rebound off Trendline B is heavily backed by leading indicators: RSI (14): Rebounding out of deeply oversold territory (sub-30) and printing clear higher lows (bullish divergence). MACD (12, 26, 9): Exhibiting an identical pattern—while price carved out lower lows toward $1,804, the MACD histogram and signal lines printed pronounced higher lows, signaling aggressive exhaustion among sellers. 🎯 Conclusion & Trading Playbook: A confirmed breakout above the immediate diagonal and moving-average ceiling paves the way for a powerful continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel, offering a potential +17% to +18% upside expansion. The Setup: Wait for a decisive 1H close above descending Trendline C and a reclaim of both the 50 and 200 EMAs ($1,890–$1,900 USD) . Stop Loss (SL): Placed strictly below the recent swing low at $1,802 USD . Target (TP): $2,150 – $2,200 USD (Retest and expansion into the upper boundary of Trendline A). Risk-to-Reward (R:R): With roughly $90 of defined risk against a potential $260–$300 gain, this setup commands an exceptional 5:1 to 6:1 R:R. Are you waiting for the 200 EMA reclaim, or already bidding the Trendline B bounce? Share your thoughts below! 👇 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and intended solely to intellectually enrich our trading community. It does NOT constitute financial or investment advice. Always perform your own research and manage your risk strictly.
While the retail crowd panics over a minor -8.00% correction, the daily chart shows a textbook institutional accumulation block forming at a highly favorable 1:5.00 risk-to-reward ratio. 🚨 Current Structure: Price: $718.19 Reaction: Rejected and pulled back -8.00% from its local high of $780.64 on Sep 12/13. Pattern: Daily Horizontal Support Range / Accumulation Block. Bias: Bullish as long as the $679.23 key support floor holds. "The Level That Decides Everything": The $690.48 - $679.23 Daily Buying Order Block. Bids are queued at the $690.61 entry price. If this floor holds on a retest, it confirms a strong trend reversal to clear local range resistance. A daily close below $675.61 invalidates the setup. Targets: Target 1 at $719.65, Target 2 at $765.61. The Move So Far: Down 8.00% from its local high of $780.64. On the macro scale, CRYPTOCAP:BNB is down 47.77% from its $1,375.11 All-Time High (Oct 2025) and up a massive +1,803,491% from its $0.03982 All-Time Low (Aug 2017). Fundraising Breakdown: Total Raised: $15 Million via public ICO in July 2017. Implied Launch Valuation: $30 Million. Public sale allocation: 50% (100M BNB), founding team: 40% (80M BNB), angel investors: 10% (20M BNB). ICO/IEO Entry Prices: Public sale participants entered at an average price of $0.15 per BNB on Ethereum. ICO buyers are currently sitting on an astronomical ~4,788x return on investment against USD today. Unlock Pressure Ahead: Locked Supply: 0% locked. The final vesting schedule for team and angel investors successfully concluded on July 25, 2021. No lockup cliffs or insider dilution risks remain. Supply Dynamics: Deflationary. Features real-time gas burns (BEP-95) and formulaic Auto-Burns continuously reducing circulating supply toward a target of 100 Million BNB. Key Levels: Resistance 1 / Resistance 2: $719.65 / $765.61 Entry: $690.61 (inside Order Block) Support (range): $690.48 - $679.23 Invalidation / Stop Loss: $675.61 Closing Thesis: BINANCE:BNBUSDT remains one of the safest L1 ecosystem plays, featuring 100% of supply fully unlocked, VC cliff risks at absolute zero, and an active auto-burn mechanism keeping it purely deflationary. Technically, the daily retest of the green order block offers a highly favorable 1:5.00 risk-to-reward ratio for swing traders. If the $679.23 support holds, the path to $765.61 is clear. Below it, the story flips. 🎯 Bullish above $679.23. Below it, the story flips. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.