Previous buy idea was stopped out, but price is now respecting the ascending channel/trendline. Expecting another push higher from the current zone, with TP1 & TP2 as targets. Bullish while support holds. Invalidation below the marked zone. Same bullish expectation for Gold (XAUUSD).
Peep this BTC chart those versed in EW and Harmonic Patterns will get it
AUD/USD 0.7080 – FIBO | BULLISH SCENARIO 📈 AUD/USD is maintaining its dominant bullish trend, with the price structure still intact and no clear reversal signals appearing. 🎯 Fibo Trùng Zone: 0.7080 When applying trend-following Fibonacci, the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone converges with the 0.7080 key level, creating a notable confluence zone. Expected Scenario: If price retraces toward 0.7080 and shows signs of downside rejection or weakening selling pressure → favor a trend-following BUY. ⚠️ If price clearly breaks below 0.7080 and the bullish structure is invalidated, the BUY scenario should be reassessed. Bias: BUY – Bullish Trend Fibo Trùng Zone: 0.7080
Cloudflare (NET) has become one of the strongest names in software and cybersecurity. On September 14, the stock surged 7.8% to $330.36 and touched $334.60 intraday, extending a sharp September rally. The immediate catalyst is a broader reassessment of which companies could benefit from the next phase of artificial intelligence. But Cloudflare’s rally is about more than short-term rotation. The company increasingly sits at the intersection of AI agents, internet infrastructure, cybersecurity and machine-generated traffic. The key question is whether that strategic position can support a valuation that has already become extremely demanding. AI Is Becoming a Tailwind Rather Than a Threat For much of the AI boom, software companies faced a difficult question: if AI can automate workflows, write code and replace parts of traditional software, will existing platforms eventually lose pricing power? Cloudflare presents a different case. As AI models and autonomous agents generate more internet traffic, the infrastructure required to identify, secure, route and control that traffic becomes more important. A recent partnership with OpenAI highlights this shift. On September 3, Cloudflare announced Vulnerability Discovery and Remediation, a security service using OpenAI Daybreak models, including GPT-5.6 Cyber. The system combines AI-based code investigation with real-time information from Cloudflare’s global network. That gives Cloudflare an interesting position in the AI ecosystem. It does not need to compete directly with frontier model developers. Instead, it can provide the security and network layer through which increasingly autonomous software operates. Cloudflare is also experimenting with new ways to monetize AI traffic. Its Pay Per Crawl system allows website owners to charge AI crawlers for access to their content. Although the product remains in beta, the strategic direction is clear: Cloudflare wants to become an intermediary between AI systems and the open internet. Growth Is Accelerating — But Valuation Is the Main Risk The AI narrative is supported by improving fundamentals. Cloudflare generated $696.1 million in second-quarter revenue, up 36% year over year. Current remaining performance obligations grew 35%, while management raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $2.864-$2.870 billion. That acceleration matters. Cloudflare spent several years trading at a premium while revenue growth gradually slowed. A return toward the mid-30% range strengthens the argument that AI, security and developer infrastructure are creating another growth cycle. The problem is that investors are already paying heavily for that scenario. With the stock around $330, Cloudflare’s equity value is approaching $120 billion. Against roughly $2.87 billion of expected 2026 revenue, the company is trading at around 40 times current-year sales. Even on non-GAAP earnings, the valuation remains exceptionally high. The market is therefore pricing Cloudflare as more than a fast-growing cybersecurity company. Investors are effectively assuming it can become a critical infrastructure layer for the AI-driven internet while sustaining very high growth for years. That may eventually prove correct, but the margin for disappointment is now small. Strong results alone may not be enough. Revenue growth, large-customer expansion and guidance will increasingly need to exceed already elevated expectations. After the Breakout, What Should Traders Watch? Technically, NET has entered price-discovery territory. The first key level is $334-$335, around the latest intraday high. A clean breakout above this area would confirm that buyers remain willing to chase the stock after its rapid September move. Below that, $315-$320 is the first important support zone. A pullback into this area would still be consistent with a strong trend. The more important level is $300-$305. As long as NET remains above $300, the broader breakout structure stays intact and weakness can still be viewed as consolidation rather than trend failure. A decisive move below $300 would change the setup. It would suggest that the recent AI-security revaluation moved too quickly and could expose the stock to a deeper retracement. Cloudflare therefore presents a clear tension: fundamental momentum is improving at the same time valuation risk is becoming more extreme. AI may be expanding Cloudflare’s addressable market rather than disrupting it, which helps explain the recent re-rating. But with NET near record highs and trading around 40 times expected 2026 sales, the next leg higher will require continued execution. From here, the fundamentals need to catch up with the price.
After the recent drop, price stopped falling and started moving sideways. There is no clear direction yet, as buyers and sellers are still fighting for control. Now look at the key resistance zone on the chart. Price has struggled to move above this area before, so it remains an important level to watch. This time, however, the move toward resistance looks stronger and more direct. Buyers are pushing price higher, and pressure is gradually building for a possible breakout.
Current Price: ~2,400 Timeframe: 4H Market Structure: Bullish recovery setup, but confirmation is still important. 🟢 Market Structure ETHUSD has previously produced a CHoCH (Change of Character) followed by a BOS (Break of Structure), showing a shift from the earlier bearish structure toward a more bullish phase. Price has now pulled back toward the 2,380–2,350 support zone, making this an important area to watch for a potential bullish reaction. 🟢 Key Support Zone — 2,380–2,350 This is the primary support area marked on the chart. If buyers defend this zone and price starts forming higher lows, it could provide the foundation for another upward move. 🟢 Major Demand Zone — 2,100 The 2,100 demand zone is the deeper structural support area. A significant decline toward this region would bring the broader bullish thesis under pressure, while a strong reaction from it could represent a larger-term demand response. 🎯 Potential Upside Levels If ETH holds the 2,350–2,380 support area and bullish structure develops: 2,400 → 2,450 → 2,500 → 2,600–2,650 The 2,600–2,650 zone is marked as the major resistance area and could become a significant supply region. 🔴 Major Resistance — 2,600–2,650 This is the most important resistance zone on the chart. Price has previously shown strong volatility around this region. A sustained breakout above it would be needed to establish a stronger continuation structure. 📈 SMC Flow CHoCH → BOS → Bullish Structure → Pullback → Support Reaction → Potential Continuation The current pullback toward support is therefore an important area for monitoring price action rather than assuming continuation automatically. 🚨 Invalidation / Risk Area A decisive break below 2,350 would weaken the immediate bullish setup. Further weakness could expose the 2,100 demand zone. 📌 Key Levels 🟢 Support: 2,380–2,350 🟢 Major Demand: 2,100 🎯 First upside area: 2,450–2,500 🔴 Major Resistance: 2,600–2,650 📊 Structure: CHoCH + BOS 📈 Bullish confirmation: Strong reaction from support + new BOS Bottom line: ETHUSD is sitting near a significant support region. The bullish scenario depends on buyers defending 2,350–2,380 and subsequently producing a confirmed bullish structure. The major upside obstacle remains 2,600–2,650.
XAUUSD is showing a potential bullish reversal after defending the 4,270–4,290 support zone. Price has reclaimed the 4,300 area, with momentum now approaching the 4,340–4,360 resistance zone. Bullish confirmation: sustained breakout above 4,340–4,360, followed by a break of 4,380–4,400. Key upside areas: 4,420 and potentially 4,470. Invalidation/weakness: loss of 4,270 support. ⚠️ Levels are based on the structure visible in this chart and should be confirmed with price action and risk management.
Tap the trend line, sweep through it to trap longs. And sell off.
AUD/USD is developing a potential Head & Shoulders reversal pattern on the daily timeframe. The left shoulder formed around 0.715–0.718, followed by a higher head around 0.727–0.729, while price is currently forming the right shoulder around 0.722–0.724. The setup is supported by bearish RSI divergence, where price made a higher high but RSI failed to confirm the new high, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Price is now trading around the 0.382–0.50 Fibonacci retracement zone, which is an important area for potential rejection. My fundamental bias is also USD bullish around today's FOMC event. A hawkish Fed outcome could increase USD demand and add pressure to AUD/USD. Confirmation: I will look for bearish rejection from the right-shoulder/Fibonacci area, followed by a break and daily close below the 0.6866 neckline. Downside: The initial objective is the neckline-to-head measured move, with the 0.65 area and approximately 0.642–0.646 region acting as potential downside targets. Invalidation: A sustained move above the right shoulder/head structure would weaken or invalidate the bearish Head & Shoulders thesis. NOTE: The chart is showing a potential bearish Head & Shoulders reversal on AUD/USD, and my fundamental idea is that a hawkish Fed could strengthen USD. The technical and macro ideas can fit together, but the Fed reaction should be treated as a confirmation trigger rather than assuming USD strength before the announcement. #DXY #AUDUSD #FED #PriceAction #Head&Shoulder #RSIDivergence #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #Sarmaaya.pk
Dipit may be a rapist responsible for destroying this timeline but that won't stop USOIL from mooning!
https://www.tradingview.com/x/qI1c0xuL/ DOllar Strength expected as fomc approaches today eurusd is sitting at support area of 2 trends which servers as major support.
🟢 XAUUSD BUY SETUP Two potential buy zones identified on the 15-minute timeframe: 📍 Zone #1: 4308 – 4308 📍 Zone #2: 4300 – 4294 Price is expected to react from one of these zones and continue higher. ⚠️ Entry is NOT immediate. Wait for a clear 1M market structure confirmation inside the zone before taking the trade. Zone → 1M Confirmation → Entry → Bullish continuation 📈 🎯 Manage risk carefully and wait for confirmation. #XAUUSD #GOLD #GoldTrading #TradingSetup #PriceAction #MarketStructure #Forex #15MTrading
DXY is getting stronger against EXY and the technicals are in sync with the trends.On the bigger timrframe the trend is also bearish.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC — HIEQ Model Quan-Analysis | Where Are We on the BTC TS Map? BTC reached the 2nd defined HPQ Target ➤ $75.3K 🎯 at the precise E-line χ of HIEQ-Structure λᵣ, which had previously identified Primary Wave Ⓑ precisely at its confluence ➤ $82K. Intermediate Wave (4), identified as an Expanded Flat Correction, with Minor Wave C as an Ending Diagonal, may have concluded at $74,919.36. I’ve also depicted the potential surges of Minor Impulsive Waves 1 and 3 within Intermediate (5), respecting the high-probability interactions with the converging zone of the Trend Ray Advance Ⓐ—aligning with the projected HPQ Target ➤ $87.7K 🎯 | Early October . #StrategicAnalysis #QuantumEntanglement #CymaticTrendflow #TimeSpaceMap
Forget yesterday’s bearish structure for a moment. Something changed. Gold spent nearly three days doing almost nothing between 4,270 and 4,312. Every attempt higher was pushed back. Every bounce looked temporary. Then one H1 candle erased that patience. Price ripped through the range ceiling and landed around 4,335. So I am not interested in asking: “Is Gold bullish or bearish?” That question is too early. There is a better one: Was that candle an escape — or bait? 🚪 4,324 IS THE DOOR GOLD JUST KICKED OPEN The breakout point is more useful to me than the breakout candle itself. That point sits around 4,324. If Gold comes back here, slows down, tests the area and refuses to trade below it, then buyers have done something meaningful: They have turned yesterday’s ceiling into today’s floor. I would trade that. 4,325–4,333 → BUY Protection: 4,309 First cash-out: 4,365 Main destination: 4,395–4,405 I do not need another huge green candle. Actually, I would rather see Gold pull back first. A calm retest gives me a much cleaner trade than buying after a vertical move. 🧱 THEN GOLD WALKS INTO THE WRONG NEIGHBORHOOD There is a problem waiting roughly $60 higher. 4,395–4,405. Look left. That box is not randomly drawn on the chart. It is the area from which sellers previously managed to push Gold away, and now the breakout path points almost directly back toward it. This creates an unusual situation: I can be bullish at 4,330 and bearish at 4,400 on the same day. There is no contradiction. Location changes the trade. If Gold reaches 4,395–4,405 and buyers begin getting rejected on H1, I switch sides. 4,395–4,405 → SELL after rejection Protection: 4,420 First target: 4,365 Second target: 4,348 Final target: 4,325 No rejection? No short. I would rather miss the top than stand in front of a breakout that is still accelerating. 🪤 NOW FOR THE SETUP THAT COULD HURT LATE BUYERS Suppose Gold does exactly what breakout traders want. It trades above 4,324. People buy. Then price suddenly closes an H1 candle back underneath 4,324. That would immediately make today's move suspicious. I call this the “return ticket.” Gold escaped the range… …and then came straight back. If that happens, I would wait for a failed attempt to recover 4,324 and use it as my short trigger. 4,316–4,324 → SELL SL: 4,343 TP1: 4,292 TP2: 4,272 TP3: 4,255 Notice what I am not doing: I am not selling because Gold “looks overbought.” I am selling because the market would have failed to keep territory it just broke. That is a completely different reason. 🧨 AND IF 4,405 BREAKS? Then I throw the previous script away. Seriously. An H1 close above 4,405, followed by a retest that stays above approximately 4,395, would mean sellers failed at the exact location where they were supposed to appear. That failure is information. I would then look for: BUY: 4,398–4,408 after the hold SL: 4,380 TP1: 4,430 TP2: 4,465 TP3: 4,490–4,500 At that stage, I would no longer describe Gold as simply bouncing from 4,255. The H1 structure would be attempting something much bigger. ♟️ MY BOARD FOR TODAY I only need to remember two numbers: 4,324 tells me whether the breakout deserves trust. 4,405 tells me whether the old bearish story still deserves respect. Everything between them is the battlefield. So if Gold pulls back to 4,324, I watch buyers. If Gold reaches 4,400, I watch sellers. If 4,324 collapses, I follow price back downstairs. If 4,405 collapses, I follow price upstairs. Simple. Yesterday, sellers had the chart. Today, buyers have stolen the first move. Now we find out whether they stole the trend too.
Yesterday Recap 15/9/26 Yesterday, AUDTHB closed at 23.71 in the Thai market, while there were no high-impact Australian economic releases. Fundamental 16/9/26 Key Events Today | Actual | Forecast | Previous AU: 08:00 MI Leading Index MoM | -0.0% | - | 0.0% There are no high-impact Australian economic releases today. The MI Leading Index MoM came in at -0.0%, broadly unchanged from the previous 0.0%, suggesting that the outlook for economic momentum has not changed significantly and has a relatively limited impact on the AUD. Therefore, the AUD is expected to be driven mainly by external factors, particularly the Chinese economic outlook, commodity prices, Risk Sentiment, and USD direction, as well as the Fed meeting outcome tonight, which could affect capital flows and the AUD. View: AUDTHB is expected to move within a range, with the main focus on Risk Sentiment, China, Commodities, and the Fed meeting outcome. AUDTHB — Technical Analysis 1H Bias: Sideway AUDTHB remains range-bound between 23.67–23.74, with resistance at 23.74 and support around 23.67/23.66. If price holds above 23.67, it could rebound to test 23.74. However, a break below 23.66 could lead to further downside toward 23.65–23.64. Resistance: 23.74 Support: 23.67 / 23.66 Target: 23.74 Cut Loss: 23.65
First, after the recent sell-off, XAUUSD transitions into range behavior. The bearish momentum starts to slow, and instead of continuing lower, price moves back and forth around the lows, gradually building a base. Now focus on the key zone around 4,300–4,315 marked on the chart. This area has been containing price during the consolidation, making it an important short-term barrier for buyers. This time, however, price approaches the zone differently. The move higher becomes more aggressive and concentrated , and buying pressure starts to build. Eventually, price pushes through the short-term descending structure and breaks above the range. That breakout changes the immediate picture. Instead of chasing the move, I would watch for price to pull back toward the breakout area . If 4,300–4,315 can hold as new support, it would suggest that previous resistance is beginning to flip into demand. From there, buyers could regain momentum and extend the recovery toward 4,370 . The key idea is simple: range → pressure builds → breakout → retest → continuation.
Fake breakout spotted from the 1HR BeBB and the old 1hrBeBB inside the 4HR Bullish OB, was used to clear the liquidity in the market also exit at 4HR Bullish rejection BL
Hi Traders, I believe wave 3 is done based on common fib levels and we are in a corrective phase. Question is it a mild or moderate correction? If it doesn't pull back deeper from here, I'm not interested to taking a long as the bullish candle on the 3 days suggest. If it doesn't play out, then we just look at other charts. All the best, S.SAri
Yesterday Recap 15/9/26 Yesterday, CHFTHB closed at 40.69 in the Thai market, while there were no high-impact Swiss economic releases. Fundamental 16/9/26 Key Events Today There are no high-impact Swiss economic releases today, so CHF is expected to be driven mainly by global market factors, particularly the USD, Bond Yields, and Risk Sentiment. In addition, markets remain focused on the monetary policy direction of major central banks. If the market shifts into a Risk-Off environment, safe-haven demand could support the CHF, while Risk-On conditions could reduce demand for the CHF. Overall, CHFTHB is expected to move within a range, with the main focus on Risk Sentiment, USD, Bond Yields, and the Fed meeting decision tonight. Technical Analysis — CHFTHB Bias: Sideway CHFTHB remains range-bound between 40.56–40.67, with price still unable to clearly break above the 40.67 resistance. If price holds above 40.56, it could rebound to test 40.67. However, a break below 40.56 could lead to further downside. Resistance: 40.67 Support: 40.56 Target: 40.67 Cut Loss: 40.52