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GBPTHB Tracks CPI and Fed Signals

Yesterday Recap — 15/9/26 Yesterday, GBPTHB closed at 44.85 in the Thai market. The Claimant Count Change came in at 27.8K, significantly higher than the forecast of 8.3K, compared with the previous reading of -11.8K. Meanwhile, Employment Change 3M/3M came in at 67K, down from the previous reading of 83K. The Unemployment Rate stood at 4.9%, below the forecast of 5.0% and unchanged from the previous reading of 4.9%. Average Earnings ex Bonus came in at 3.5%, in line with both the forecast and the previous reading. Overall, the data suggests that the UK labor market remains relatively resilient. Although employment growth has slowed, wage growth and the unemployment rate remain at levels that continue to support the GBP. Fundamental — 16/9/26 Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous UK 13:00 — CPI YoY | 3.1% | 2.9% UK 13:00 — Core CPI YoY | 2.6% | 2.6% UK 13:00 — CPI MoM | 0.3% | — Today, the key UK economic data is CPI. CPI YoY is forecast to increase to 3.1%, up from 2.9% previously, while Core CPI YoY is expected to remain unchanged at 2.6%. If inflation comes in above expectations, it could reduce expectations for further monetary policy easing by the BoE and potentially support the GBP. Overall, GBPTHB is expected to remain range-bound and volatile, with the main focus on UK CPI, BoE interest-rate expectations, and tonight's Fed meeting. Technical Analysis — GBPTHB 1H Bias: Sideway GBPTHB continues to trade within the 44.76–44.87 range. The pair was previously in an uptrend and continued to form Higher Lows, but has entered a short-term consolidation phase. If the price holds above 44.76, it could rebound toward 44.87. However, if the price breaks below 44.76, further downside could develop. Resistance: 44.87 Support: 44.76 Target: 44.87 Cut Loss: 44.72

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

EURTHB Tracks EUR and USD Direction

Yesterday Recap — 15/9/26 Yesterday, EURTHB closed around 38.40 in the Thai market. The German ZEW Economic Sentiment came in at 34.7, below the forecast of 39.8, but slightly above the previous reading of 34.2. Meanwhile, the German ZEW Current Conditions came in at -47.1, better than the forecast of -53.0 and improving from the previous reading of -61.1. The Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment came in at 25.8, below the forecast of 39.2, but higher than the previous reading of 31.4. Overall, the data suggests that the outlook for the Eurozone economy remains relatively fragile, although Germany's current economic conditions have improved. This could limit the upside potential of the EUR in the short term. Fundamental — 16/9/26 Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous EU 16:00 — Eurozone Industrial Production MoM -0.5% | 0.0% EU 16:00 — Eurozone Industrial Production YoY -0.4% | 0.1% EU 16:00 — Eurozone Wage Growth YoY — | 3.40% Today, the market is mainly focused on Eurozone Industrial Production. The forecast for MoM is -0.5%, down from the previous 0.0%, while YoY is expected at -0.4%, compared with 0.1% previously. This points to a potential weakening in the Eurozone industrial sector. If the data comes in below expectations, it could add pressure on the EUR due to concerns over the Eurozone economic outlook. Meanwhile, Eurozone Wage Growth YoY was previously at 3.40%, which the market monitors in terms of inflationary pressures and the ECB's monetary policy outlook. If wage growth remains elevated, it could support the EUR by suggesting that inflationary pressures remain present. In addition, EURTHB could be affected by European Bond Yields and the direction of the EUR, particularly changes in expectations regarding ECB monetary policy. Higher European Bond Yields could support the EUR, while weaker-than-expected economic data could put pressure on the EUR. Overall, EURTHB is likely to remain range-bound and volatile, with the main focus on Eurozone Industrial Production, Wage Growth, European Bond Yields, and EUR direction. The market will also monitor the Fed meeting and U.S. Bond Yields. A Hawkish Fed could support the USD and put pressure on EURTHB, while a Dovish Fed could help support EURTHB. Technical Analysis — EURTHB 1H Bias: Sideway EURTHB continues to trade within the 38.32–38.44 range, with key resistance at 38.44 and support at 38.33/38.32. If the price holds above 38.32, it could rebound toward 38.44. However, if the price breaks below 38.32, further downside pressure could emerge. Resistance: 38.44 Support: 38.33 / 38.32 Target: 38.44 Cut Loss: 38.30

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Nifty strategy for today

Nifty may open on flat note as per sgx nifty around at yesterdays closing level. In yesterday session nifty down almost 500 points from opening level which is indicated much weakness in the index. Advance&decline ratio also indicated further weakness in the index so I am expecting nifty may take support around at 23050 levels in today session if nifty closed below this level on daily closing basis it will reach to 22400 in the upcoming days. India vix is spiked up to 10% in yesterday so volatility may increased in the nifty so investors traded with strict stop losses and also take position at support and resistance levels. Fed may hike rates in this policy meet and crude oil price are traded at peaks and also U.S declared 100% tariffs on Indian imports all these are negative for our market in the short term so better follow selling on rise strategy instead of buy on dips strategy. Nifty selling strategy : sell price :23320 stop loss :23420 target :23245 Nifty buying strategy : buy price :23050 stop loss :22945 target :23220 stock of the day :Kpit technology this stock has fallen from 2000 levels to 560 where it has good support on daily charts so I am expecting some technical bounce in this stock. Rsi indicates it is in the oversold zone so traders can buy this stock around these level with strict stop loss. Buy price :555 stop loss : 540 target : 583 Disclaimer : I am not a Sebi research analyst please take advise from your financial advisor before take any position based on my recommendation and drop a comment on my recommendation which is helpful me to correct my mistakes. Thanking for your support

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Wednesday, September 16, 2026

🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET) 8:30 AM | Core Retail Sales m/m | Forecast: 0.6% | Previous: -0.3% 8:30 AM | Retail Sales m/m | Forecast: 0.8% | Previous: -0.6% 2:00 PM | Federal Funds Rate | Forecast: 4.00% | Previous: 3.75% 2:00 PM | FOMC Economic Projections 2:00 PM | FOMC Statement 2:30 PM | FOMC Press Conference ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #RetailSales #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Senate crypto clarity bill fails cloture vote, bitcoin slides

BTCUSD | 4H Technical Analysis — Sep 16, 2026 Bitcoin is under pressure after the US Senate failed to advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, the comprehensive crypto market structure bill the industry has spent years lobbying for. A procedural vote to bring the bill to the floor fell short 49 to 50, well below the 60 votes needed for cloture, plunging crypto-related stocks including Coinbase and reigniting uncertainty over whether the CFTC will ever gain the unified regulatory authority the industry has been seeking. The sell-off was compounded by broad risk aversion ahead of tomorrow's FOMC rate decision, with markets reluctant to add risk into a binary macro event on top of the fresh regulatory setback. BTCUSD spent nearly three months, June through mid-August, chopping in a wide 58,000 to 67,000 range before a sharp spike in late August drove price directly to 70,000 and beyond, clearing the entire range in a matter of days. That move extended into early September, with price tagging a high near 82,000 before rolling over into a descending channel that has been in place ever since. The channel's upper boundary has capped every bounce near 80,000 to 82,000, while the lower boundary running through 74,300 has held on each retest so far. Price is now trading around 76,000, with the fast EMA at 77,055 just below the slow EMA at 77,626, a mildly bearish signal that reflects the stalling momentum since the early September peak. RSI has fallen to 36.72, its lowest reading since the pre-breakout consolidation in July and August, showing the Senate news and FOMC anxiety are actively pressuring price rather than just causing a pause. The 74,300 level is the one that matters most right now. It is both the descending channel's lower trendline and the same shelf that has provided support on at least two prior tests since the channel formed, making it the clearest line between an orderly pullback and a deeper breakdown back toward the August range. Key levels to watch: Resistance: 78,000 (recently lost support) / 82,000 (early September high) / 86,000 Support: 74,300 (channel lower trendline, prior support) / 72,500 / 70,000 (breakout level from the August range) Bear case: The failed Clarity Act vote removes a key regulatory tailwind the market had been pricing in, and with the FOMC decision still pending tomorrow, positioning is likely to stay defensive. A break below 74,300 would confirm the descending channel is resolving lower rather than consolidating, opening a retest of 70,000 and potentially the top of the old 60,000 to 67,000 range if risk sentiment deteriorates further around the rate decision. Bull case: The Clarity Act failure was a procedural setback, not a permanent rejection, and legislative efforts of this kind typically get reintroduced rather than abandoned outright. If the FOMC decision tomorrow leans dovish or simply removes uncertainty, a bounce off 74,300 back above 78,000 would suggest the pullback was sentiment-driven rather than structural, keeping the broader uptrend from the August breakout intact. Bias is neutral to cautiously bearish while price holds below 78,000, with the FOMC decision tomorrow the more immediate catalyst than the crypto-specific regulatory news. The descending channel and falling RSI both argue for near-term weakness, but 74,300 has held before and remains the level that decides whether this is a routine pullback within an uptrend or the start of a larger correction back toward the summer range.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

BTCUSDT 5m - Higher lows into accumulation range below 76300 res

Structure and order-block analysis combining a supply zone at the breakdown origin, a liquidity-sweep low, and a rising higher-low sequence within an accumulation range to frame a long setup against nearby resistance. Context: price staged a sharp breakdown between 17:35 and 18:45, falling from the 76500-77350 zone into a capitulation candle with a volume spike near 75061-74955, then stabilized and printed a sequence of rising lows at 75130, 75555 and 75809. Key levels: the 76522-77349 zone marks the origin supply area of the breakdown, the 74955-75260 zone is the liquidity-sweep low, and the 75809-76114 range is the current accumulation zone sitting just under the 76300 resistance that previously rejected price twice. Scenario: bias favors longs on a hold of the accumulation range, entry near 75920, stop below the latest higher low at 75800, target at the 76300 resistance shelf for a reward-to-risk near 3.2. Invalidation: a close back below 75800 breaks the higher-low sequence and negates the bullish base, opening room back toward the 75130 swing low. Analysis timeframe: M5, chart displayed on M15. Educational chart analysis only, not financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAUUSD: Buyers Fired the First Shot. Now Comes the Hard Part

Yesterday, Gold did almost nothing. Today, it finally did something worth watching. After spending hours trapped inside the 4,260–4,315 accumulation box, XAUUSD has produced a strong bullish H1 candle and pushed through the top of that range. That is the first positive signal buyers have shown in a while. But there is a problem. The breakout happened at the bottom of the battlefield. Most of the resistance is still above us. So today I am not treating Gold as simply “bullish” or “bearish.” I am watching whether buyers can turn this first punch into an actual change in H1 structure. THE THREE DOORS ABOVE PRICE Instead of filling the chart with dozens of levels, I only need three. Door #1 — 4,337 This is the first test. Gold is currently around 4,325, so buyers are already approaching it. Breaking 4,337 would tell me today's bullish candle has follow-through rather than being just a temporary spike out of yesterday's range. Door #2 — 4,355 This one matters more. The 4,337–4,355 area is where I expect the first serious fight between buyers and sellers. If Gold can close above 4,355 and then defend it, the recovery has room to become much larger. And then we reach the difficult part. Door #3 — 4,385–4,405 This is the H1 order block marked on my chart. It also sits close to major dynamic resistance, which makes this the area where I expect sellers to make their strongest stand. For me, 4,405 is the level that separates a recovery from a potential H1 reversal. 🟢 MY FIRST BUY DOES NOT START AT 4,325 The large green candle looks attractive. I don't want to chase it. My preferred BUY requires Gold to clear 4,355 first. I want to see an H1 candle close above 4,355 and then a pullback into the breakout area without immediately falling back underneath it. If buyers defend that retest, I have my confirmation. BUY Entry: 4,348–4,358 after H1 breakout + retest Stop Loss: 4,328 TP1: 4,385 TP2: 4,400–4,405 TP3: 4,450–4,460 There is a reason TP1 and TP2 are relatively close together. The order block at 4,385–4,405 is not an area where I want to assume buyers will simply walk through. I would rather take profit into resistance and let the market prove the rest. ⚡ BUT 4,405 UNLOCKS A DIFFERENT TRADE This is where today's chart becomes interesting. Imagine Gold reaches the order block, sellers react, but price refuses to fall. Then an H1 candle closes above 4,405. That changes the game. I would wait for Gold to revisit approximately 4,390–4,405. If the former resistance becomes support, I would consider a second BUY. Breakout BUY Entry: 4,395–4,405 after successful retest Stop Loss: 4,375 TP1: 4,440 TP2: 4,460 TP3: 4,475–4,485 That final zone is the larger target already visible on the chart. In simple terms: 4,355 opens the road. 4,405 opens the highway. 🔴 THE SELL IS HIDING ABOVE, NOT HERE I don't like selling directly into today's bullish impulse around 4,320. If I want to sell, I would rather let buyers bring Gold into resistance first. The area I want is 4,385–4,405. If price enters that order block and an H1 candle shows a clear rejection — especially a long upper wick followed by a bearish close back below 4,385 — that tells me sellers are still defending the broader bearish structure. That becomes my short setup. SELL Entry: 4,382–4,392 after confirmed H1 rejection Stop Loss: 4,412 TP1: 4,355 TP2: 4,337 TP3: 4,300 I would not short this setup if Gold has already established an H1 close above 4,405. At that point, the reason for selling has disappeared. 🚨 THERE IS ONE FAILURE I WOULD NOT IGNORE There is also a scenario where Gold never reaches the order block. Today's breakout could fail. If price loses 4,300 again and an H1 candle closes back inside yesterday's accumulation range, today's bullish move starts looking like a false breakout. I would then watch a retest of 4,300–4,310 from below. Failure there gives me another SELL. Failed-breakout SELL: 4,300–4,310 Stop Loss: 4,325 TP1: 4,280 TP2: 4,260 TP3: 4,240 This setup is completely different from selling the order block. One says: “Buyers reached resistance and lost.” The other says: “Buyers never had a real breakout in the first place.” That distinction matters. THE NUMBER I WILL WATCH TODAY Forget ten indicators for a moment. If you are new to trading, watch what Gold does around these numbers: Above 4,355 → buyers earn access to 4,385–4,405. Rejected from 4,385–4,405 → sellers can send price back toward 4,355 / 4,337 / 4,300. Above 4,405 and holding → the path toward 4,440–4,485 becomes much cleaner. Back below 4,300 → today's breakout is in trouble. Yesterday, Gold was building energy. Today, that energy has finally been released. Now the interesting question is no longer whether Gold can bounce. It is whether buyers can survive what is waiting above them. If you had to choose only one today: rejection from 4,400 or breakout toward 4,480?

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Trend, Pullback & Breakout: How the Market Really Moves

Many traders look at a chart as if it were just a random sequence of candlesticks. Price goes up, they look to BUY. Price goes down, they look to SELL. A breakout appears, and they immediately chase it. But once you understand Trend – Pullback – Breakout , the chart starts to make much more sense. This isn’t a secret strategy. It’s simply a practical way to read the story behind price movement. 📊 1. Trend Tells You Who Is in Control A healthy uptrend typically forms Higher Highs and Higher Lows . Price pushes higher, pulls back, and then continues to create new highs. A downtrend works the opposite way: Lower Highs and Lower Lows continue to form. The key is not to focus only on the direction of the current candle. 👉 Pay attention to how the highs and lows are being formed. That is what reveals the market’s underlying structure. 🔄 2. A Pullback Doesn’t Mean the Trend Is Over This is where many traders get caught. Price is moving strongly higher, then suddenly a few bearish candles appear. New traders see the selling pressure and immediately think: “ The trend is reversing .” But no trend moves in a straight line forever. A pullback is simply a period when price temporarily moves against the main trend . If the important structure remains intact, that correction may even create the foundation for the next expansion. 📌 Don’t confuse a pause with a reversal. 💥 3. A Breakout Shows the Structure Is Expanding After a pullback or consolidation, price will often return to test an important High or Low. When resistance breaks during an uptrend, the market may begin a new leg higher . In a downtrend, breaking support can open the door for the next leg lower . But there is one important detail: Not every breakout is worth chasing. A breakout becomes more meaningful when it aligns with the broader structure and price can hold beyond the level that was broken. If price breaks out and quickly moves back inside, it may simply be a false breakout. 🧠 4. Read the Whole Cycle, Not Just One Moment Instead of asking: “Will the next candle go up or down?” Try asking: “Where is price within the current market structure?” The market may be moving through: Trend → Pullback → Breakout → Expansion Then another pullback develops, and the process can begin again. Once you start viewing the market this way, you no longer need to react to every candle. You begin waiting for the right phase of the price movement. 🎯 What Traders Really Need to Understand Trend gives you direction. Pullback gives you context and location. Breakout shows whether the structure is continuing or changing. None of these elements guarantees a winning trade. But when you understand how they work together, the chart starts to look less like a chaotic collection of candles and more like a structure you can actually read. 💡 New traders try to predict the next candle. Experienced traders try to understand where the market is within the bigger story.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

VANA Descending Trendline Under Pressure, Breakout or Rejection?

📊 Technical Analysis — VANA/USDT ⏳ Time Frame: 4D 📌 Pattern: Descending Trendline / Downtrend Structure 💰 Price on the chart: around 0.90 USDT 🔻 Visible Low: around 0.815 USDT --- 📉 Descending Trendline Structure 🔻 The VANA/USDT chart shows a clear long-term downtrend structure, characterized by a series of lower highs connected by a descending trendline since early 2025. 📉 As long as price remains below the Descending Trendline, bearish pressure remains dominant from a structural perspective. ⚠️ However, as price moves closer to the end of this structure, it becomes increasingly important to watch whether a breakout occurs or whether price is rejected again from the trendline. --- 🟡 Key Support Areas 📍 0.815 USDT represents an important low area on the chart. 🟢 As long as this area holds, there is potential for a higher low to form and for an accumulation phase to develop before another breakout attempt. 🔴 If 0.815 USDT is broken with strong selling pressure, the developing bullish structure could fail, and price may continue searching for lower support levels. --- 🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO 🚀 Main confirmation: Price successfully breaks above the Descending Trendline with a strong 4D candle. 📈 A trendline breakout would indicate that long-term bearish pressure is beginning to weaken. 🔄 Ideally, after the breakout, price performs a retest of the trendline from above and successfully holds the area as support. 🎯 If the breakout is confirmed, the following chart levels can be monitored: 1️⃣ 1.05 USDT — First transitional resistance/support 2️⃣ 1.21 USDT — Next resistance 3️⃣ 1.63 USDT — Important resistance 4️⃣ 2.17 USDT — Major resistance 5️⃣ 2.61 USDT — Upper resistance target marked on the chart 🔥 If momentum continues to develop and price successfully breaks through each resistance level progressively, the 1.63–2.61 USDT zone becomes an area worth monitoring. ⚠️ These targets do not guarantee that price will reach them. The validity of the bullish scenario still depends on the breakout, volume, retest, and price's ability to hold the levels that have been broken. --- 🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO ⚠️ The bearish scenario remains valid as long as price has not successfully broken out and held above the Descending Trendline. 📉 If price reaches the trendline again and experiences a rejection, sellers could regain control. 🔻 If price loses the 1.05 USDT support, bearish pressure could increase again, potentially leading to a retest of the 0.90 USDT area. 🚨 If 0.90 USDT fails to hold, attention shifts toward 0.815 USDT, which is an important low on the chart. 💥 A break below 0.815 USDT would indicate that the bearish structure remains intact and would further weaken the bullish breakout scenario. --- 🧩 Pattern Explanation 📐 A Descending Trendline forms when price continuously creates lower highs, allowing a downward-sloping trendline to be drawn. 🐻 This pattern reflects seller dominance during the period being analyzed. 🔓 An upward breakout of the trendline can indicate a potential structural change if followed by strong confirmation. 🔄 Meanwhile, a rejection from the trendline indicates that the trendline is still acting as dynamic resistance. 💡 Since this chart uses the 4D time frame, the breakout should not be judged solely by a wick moving above the line. A 4D candle close above the trendline followed by a successful retest would provide stronger structural confirmation. --- 🎯 CONCLUSION 📉 Current structure: Still bearish because price remains below the Descending Trendline. 👀 Key levels: 0.815 → 0.90 → 1.05 → 1.21 → 1.63 → 2.17 → 2.61 USDT 🚀 Bullish: Breakout + 4D close above the Descending Trendline → successful retest → next resistance levels come into focus. 🔴 Bearish: Rejection from the trendline → loss of support → potential retest of 0.815 USDT. ⏳ VANA is currently in an interesting area to monitor as price approaches the key dynamic resistance. Price's reaction to the Descending Trendline will be one of the important factors in determining the next potential move. #VANA #VANAUSDT #VANAAnalysi

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept
TI

What charts say about FOMC rate decision - 16th Sep 2026

The entire market is expecting a rate increase decision to come out and is prepared to see a market correction coming up to last till October. HOWEVER, the charts have started telling a different story. SPX has corrected from 7810 to almost 7580 but the nature of this fall does not line up with how a broader market correction typically begins, infact the bull rally looks incomplete. From Elliot wave perspective, I feel we still have one leg up pending towards 8050-8100 mark and the setup is pointing towards a fast upmove. Considering that index has not gone below 7570 mark on daily close, which was an important level to mark a breakdown, I find the risk reward for going long very appealing. With SL of 7520 on daily close, a long position till 8050 mark can be a great trade.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAU/USD - Bulls Take Change Breakout Price

OANDA:XAUUSD is holding inside the 4,261–4,331 buy zone, while the long descending trendline continues to cap every recovery attempt. This is now a clear decision area: support is still alive, but buyers need to break the trendline before the structure turns convincingly bullish. If 4,261–4,331 holds and Gold breaks above the descending trendline, I’m watching: 🎯 Target 1: 4,440 🎯 Target 2: 4,500 Macro Market: the fundamental backdrop is still challenging for Gold. The US Dollar is holding near multi-week highs, while markets are pricing roughly a 90% probability of a 25 bps Fed hike. A sustained break below 4,261 would invalidate the bullish recovery setup. AURICVERSE View: Gold has the support, but not yet the confirmation. Hold the floor + break the trendline, and 4,440–4,500 becomes the next recovery zone on my radar.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

USDTHB Eyes Fed Decision

Yesterday Recap — 15/9/26 Yesterday, USDTHB closed at 33.30 in the Thai market. Meanwhile, the ADP Employment Change Weekly actual figure came in at 16.30K, up from the previous 12.00K, reflecting an improvement in employment conditions. The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index came in at 7.60, below the forecast of 14.80 and the previous reading of 20.60, indicating a slowdown in New York’s manufacturing sector. In the U.S. equity market, stocks closed lower amid pressure from higher Bond Yields and a surge in oil prices. Gold weakened to around $4,293/oz, while the DXY strengthened to around 99.7 amid a risk-off environment and ahead of the Fed meeting. These factors provided support for the U.S. dollar and resulted in a slight weakening of the Thai baht, keeping USDTHB supported. USDTHB Fundamental — 16/9/26 Key Events Today| Forecast | Previous | US: 19:30 — Core Retail Sales MoM | 0.5% | -0.3% US: 19:30 — Retail Sales MoM | 0.8% | -0.6% US: 19:30 — Import Price Index MoM | 0.0% | -0.4% US: 01:00 — Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.00% | 3.75% The market is mainly focused on Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales, which reflect consumer spending. The market expects consumer spending to recover from the previous month. If the data comes in above expectations, it could support the USD, while weaker-than-expected figures could put pressure on the USD. In addition, the FOMC will announce its policy decision and economic projections today, which could lead to high volatility in USDTHB, particularly through the direction of the Fed rate, USD, and U.S. Bond Yields. Overall, USDTHB is expected to remain highly volatile tonight, with the key focus on Retail Sales and the FOMC decision. Technical Analysis — USDTHB 1H Bias: Sideway The price is moving within the 33.25–33.32 range after forming a Higher Low. If the price holds above 33.25, it could move higher to test 33.32, followed by 33.35–33.38. However, if the price breaks below 33.25, the current structure would weaken, increasing the possibility of a decline toward 33.21. The broader picture remains supported by the USD and U.S. Bond Yields ahead of the Fed meeting. Resistance: 33.32 / 33.35 / 33.38 Support: 33.25 / 33.21 / 33.15 Target: 33.32 → 33.35 → 33.38 Cut Loss: 33.20

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAU/USD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 16

Looking ahead at the gold price trend over the next 15 days, the key factor for short-term movement is not merely whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates this time, but whether the post-meeting resolution alters market expectations regarding future interest rates. If the Fed continues to emphasize that high interest rates will be maintained for a longer period, gold and silver will remain under pressure; conversely, if the Fed adopts a cautious stance regarding inflation driven by oil prices, safe-haven capital might provide some support to gold and silver prices. From a technical perspective, gold exhibited a classic "shakeout" pattern of range-bound volatility yesterday. After surging to the 4317 level during the Asian session, the price retreated rapidly due to resistance from a trend line, subsequently finding support and rebounding near this week's lows. The daily chart closed with a "Doji" star, while the hourly and four-hour charts maintain a sideways range-bound pattern—fluctuating between 4250/4260 and 4310/4320—with frequent shifts between bullish and bearish momentum. The main event is today's Federal Reserve interest rate decision; while market expectations remain largely unchanged, the focus should be on the actual data and policy commentary following the announcement. My recommendations: SELL: Near 4320 SELL: Near 4335

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Nzdjpy daily long

NZDJPY — Fundamental Bias NZDJPY remains vulnerable to further downside as expectations for tighter BoJ policy continue to support the JPY. However, the recent JPY strength appears to have created room for a corrective rebound. The NZD still benefits from a relatively higher interest-rate differential, while a large part of the BoJ tightening expectations may already be reflected in the price. Therefore, the current long setup is viewed as a corrective trade rather than a bullish trend reversal. I am looking for a rebound from the current levels, with the expectation that NZDJPY can recover part of its recent decline before the broader bearish pressure resumes. Bias: Corrective Bullish / Counter-Trend Long Key risk: Further JPY appreciation driven by a more hawkish-than-expected BoJ could invalidate the corrective scenario.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept