Berichterstattung chronologisch
Erste Meldung14. Sept., 19:46daily analysis p3
hope you enjoy all my daily this is another ict strategic hope enojoy it!
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 01:56XAUUSD - Daily Analysis
Price closed below the 0.5 Fib level with a strong bearish close. Looking for a break and retest of the 0.5 Fib level, followed by downside continuation to fill the daily wick.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 02:36XAUUSD H1 Analysis | Descending Channel
Gold is currently trading within a descending channel, keeping the overall structure bearish. Price is approaching the first selling zone around 4,315–4,325. A rejection from this area could open the way toward 4,280 and 4,240. The higher selling zone near 4,350–4,360 is the next key area to watch. A strong breakout above the channel could invalidate the bearish setup. For now, the focus remains on price reaction at the marked zones. this analysis is for educational purpose not for financial advice
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 05:49XAUUSD Elliott Wave Analysis – September 15, 2026
## D1 Timeframe D1 momentum is currently compressed together in the oversold zone, suggesting that the bearish move may still continue. One important point is that price has created a new low but has now pulled back above the previous wave (A) low. This suggests that liquidity below wave (A) may have been swept. However, what we still need to see in order to confirm the beginning of a new bullish trend is a strong bullish daily candle close. That confirmation has not appeared yet, so we should continue to observe. The FVG below remains an area that may attract price for rebalancing. Pay close attention to both the upper and lower boundaries of this FVG. ## H4 Timeframe On H4, we can see a very clean bullish engulfing setup forming from the 4267 area. However, what I do not like is that the bullish momentum did not continue strongly afterward, which suggests that buying pressure has not yet shown enough strength. At the same time, H4 momentum is preparing to turn bearish. Therefore, H4 may develop another bearish move or continue sideways until H4 momentum moves into the oversold zone and turns upward again. The current bearish move is still developing inside a descending channel. Therefore, we will monitor whether price breaks the upper or lower boundary of this channel before making further trading decisions. ## H1 Timeframe Price is currently trapped around the 4316 area. Looking at H1, we can clearly see that the waves are overlapping each other. In this type of structure, trying to label every wave is not very practical because it can easily lead to subjective wave counting. What we really need to know is that price is currently moving within a corrective structure. The liquidity and support areas below, especially if they align with H4 momentum reaching the oversold zone, could become potential areas where the bearish move ends, or at least where a rebound develops in line with H4 momentum. Price has formed equal highs around 4316 while H1 momentum is moving lower. Therefore, this double-top structure could be part of a Flat correction within wave B or wave 2. For this reason, the 4283 area is particularly important. There is a high probability that price could develop a bullish reaction from this area. I will look for Buy opportunities around 4283 once the required confirmation appears, such as: * Both H4 and H1 momentum reaching the oversold zone. * A change in market structure appearing on the lower timeframes. If the bearish move ends around 4283, the target for the next bullish move will be the OB area above, together with the Fibonacci zone and the corresponding wave targets.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 07:51XAU/USD 15 September 2026 Intraday Analysis
H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100. Note: Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated. Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action. For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment. H4 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/z2hGbALd/ M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 02 September 2026. Price has printed according to analysis dated 02 September 2026 whereby I mentioned price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,282.625. Please note, in error I mentioned weak internal high instead of weak internal low. This is exactly how price printed. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,253.625. Note: Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves. The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation. At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential. Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded. M15 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/Khnd0iVi/
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 08:14xauusd
i like buys here. lets see if we hold. education purpose only
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 08:30XAUUSD 4H - Technical Analysis & Outlook
Trend Overview: Price is currently respecting a strong descending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. Resistance / Invalidated Level: The red zone around 4,350 – 4,370 acts as a major resistance area. Current Structure: Price reacted from the resistance zone and is pushing lower within the bearish channel, breaking local support around 4,329. Key Targets / Support Zones: Target 1: 4,235 – 4,245 (Lower boundary of the channel / Demand zone) Target 2: 4,190 – 4,200 (Next key structural support zone) Strategy: Looking for continuation moves toward lower support levels as long as price stays below the resistance zone. Aap in hashtags ko apni TradingView post ya social media par copy-paste kar sakte hain: #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ForexSignals #GoldTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #FinancialMarkets
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 08:37XAUUSD 45M — Bearish Structure With Lower Support in Focus
Gold (XAUUSD) on the 45-minute chart is showing a developing bearish structure, with price creating lower highs and gradually moving toward the lower support area. The chart highlights three important zones: Entry zone: around 4,245–4,260 Invalidation area: around 4,320–4,335 Target zone: around 4,125–4,135 Price is currently trading close to the lower support zone. If this area fails to hold and the descending structure remains intact, the next major support area around 4,125–4,135 becomes the area to watch. The cyan projection shows the expected path based on the current structure. A sustained move back above the upper highlighted zone would weaken or invalidate this scenario. Key idea: Watch the reaction around the current support zone and follow the structure rather than assuming the projected path will occur.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 08:47XAUUSD — 4,257 Hold or 4,214 Sweep?
Gold is trading around 4,273 after extending the M30 decline below yesterday’s reaction support. Price remains under the descending trendline, while the latest recovery attempt failed to create a meaningful structure shift. Macro pressure is also still heavy ahead of the Fed decision, with elevated yields, a firm dollar and higher oil prices keeping Gold under pressure. But price is now moving closer to the lower reaction zones. And this is where chasing the sell becomes less attractive. The reaction is the signal. The simple read M30 structure remains bearish below the descending trendline. The latest bounce reached the 4,31x area but failed below the major resistance zone around 4,319. Price has now moved back below the 0.618 Fibonacci level near 4,277 and is approaching the 0.786 area around 4,267. The first important support sits around 4,253–4,257. This area combines the previous swing low, Fib completion and visible reaction demand. A clean buyer response here could create a temporary recovery. But support is not an automatic buy. If 4,257 fails, the chart leaves room for a deeper liquidity sweep toward 4,214. That lower zone aligns closely with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and is the stronger downside reaction area on this M30 structure. On the upside, 4,285 is the first small recovery test. The bigger level is still 4,319. This area combines resistance with the descending trendline and remains the key seller decision zone. Key price zones Current price area: 4,273 Immediate Fibonacci reaction: 4,267–4,277 Main support / buy reaction zone: 4,253–4,257 Deeper liquidity zone: around 4,214 First recovery resistance: around 4,285 Main resistance + trendline: around 4,319 Major upper supply: around 4,398 Trading plan Buy reaction scenario If Gold reaches 4,253–4,257: I will watch for sellers to lose momentum and buyers to show a clear reaction. A confirmed recovery can first reopen 4,277–4,285. If price then breaks the descending trendline, 4,319 becomes the next important test. But I will not buy simply because price touches support. Sell reaction scenario If Gold recovers toward 4,285 or especially 4,319 and rejects: The bearish M30 structure can remain intact. A failed recovery may send price back toward 4,257. Breakout scenario If Gold breaks the trendline and can hold above 4,319: The short-term structure changes significantly. That would improve the recovery case and shift attention toward the higher resistance zones. Breakdown scenario If 4,257 cannot hold: I would watch for the deeper liquidity move rather than chase the breakdown. The next major reaction zone becomes 4,214. A sweep into that area followed by a strong reclaim could create a much cleaner recovery structure. The trend is still bearish. But price is getting closer to support. 4,257 is the first buyer test. 4,214 is the deeper liquidity test. 4,319 is the real recovery confirmation level.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 08:54
XAUUSD 15M: Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation
Disclaimer & Purpose This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research. Market Context On the 15-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has swept liquidity near the lower demand area (~$4,260 region) and produced a local bullish Break of Structure (BOS) above the $4,273 level. This structure shift indicates a potential shift in short-term momentum from bearish to bullish. Technical Reference Levels BOS Confirmation / Entry Level: ~$4,273.26 (Break of Structure Level) Invalidation / Structural Stop: ~$4,261.47 (Below the recent swing low and lower demand block) Upside Target / Resistance Level: ~$4,344.70 (Key overhead supply area) Technical Setup Logic Following the sweep of the lower support boundary, price broke above immediate lower-high resistance to mark a local BOS at $4,273.26. Technical analysis maps a trade entry following this structural confirmation, targeting the upper resistance zone around $4,344 while placing structural invalidation below $4,261.47.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 09:08XAUUSD Watching 4105 Equality Objective for Bullish Reversal Set
Watching 4105 Equality Objective for Bullish Reversal Setup Gold remains in a corrective phase, with price working lower inside the short-term descending structure. The key downside area to monitor is the 4105 equality objective, which aligns closely with the 4510 pivot/VPOC reference from the composite profile. This confluence makes the zone important for assessing whether the correction is nearing exhaustion. From that area, the preferred setup is to watch for bullish reversal patterns — such as a failed breakdown, bullish engulfing candle, momentum divergence, or reclaim of intraday structure — to engage on the long side. If a reversal develops from the 4105 region, the first upside objective would be a test of the descending trend-channel resistance near 4400. A break above that level would improve the short-term structure and suggest that a larger recovery may be developing. However, risk remains if sellers maintain control. A loss of the 3940 swing low would add weight to the idea that the broader monthly corrective sequence is still unfolding. In that scenario, Gold could extend into a deeper correction, with the next major downside target coming in around the 3380s. Key Levels Primary downside objective / support: 4105 Confluence: Equality objective + composite profile VPOC / pivot region Bullish trigger: Reversal pattern from the 4105 zone First upside objective: 4400 trend-channel resistance Bearish invalidation / risk level: Loss of 3940 swing low Deeper corrective target: 3380s
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 09:28EURUSD - Technical Analysis
Currently, price action holding above 1.1520 provides further bullish momentum today toward the 1.1568 target level. To sustain this upward movement, a breakout above the 1.1568 resistance line is required to reach 1.1595. Conversely, to shift toward a bearish scenario, the price needs to firmly hold below the pivot level and break the 1.1500 support level. Resistance Levels: 1.1568 – 1.1595 Support Levels: 1.1500 – 1.1480
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 09:38#Xauusd
https://www.tradingview.com/x/iBhYVTgA This is my view on xauusd . 4h still accumulating onece 4h low sweep then waiting for ltf conformation to buy so waiting low sweep
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 09:47XAUUSD Short: Supply Zone Rejection Targets 4,200 Demand
Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (1H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously traded inside a range before breaking higher and later forming descending channels with multiple breakouts. Price then tested the Supply Zone near 4,320, where sellers rejected the upside. Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the 4,320 Supply Zone while holding above the 4,200 Demand Zone. The recent rejection and descending channel structure suggest a possible continuation lower toward demand. As long as XAUUSD remains below 4,320 and respects the descending channel, the bearish scenario remains valid. A continuation lower could push price toward 4,200 (TP1). However, a breakout above 4,320 would weaken the bearish outlook. Manage your risk!
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 09:54XAUUSD
Gold is trading near $4,270.06 as it consolidates inside the decision range between $4,262.30 and $4,272.64 on the 15m chart. The first scenario (Bullish) forecasts a push and breakout above $4,272.64, followed by a retest before expanding upward toward the primary target near $4,316.73. The second scenario (Bearish) projects a rejection and breakdown below $4,262.30, leading to a retest before expanding lower toward the major support target near $4,232.21. Both projected paths rely on how price reacts inside this critical consolidation range before giving a clear directional expansion. Look for clear confirmation on lower timeframes inside the decision zone before entering trades. Strictly enforce risk management rules with stops set outside the range in case of a clear breakout or breakdown.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 09:57XAUUSD Analysis today
Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 09:57xauusd
hi guys My long-term outlook is for a correction down to 3300; so, I am a seller above the yellow line—targeting the yellow rectangle—and am waiting for the lower line to break.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 09:58DAX - Technical Analysis
In our previous analysis, we highlighted that as long as the price remained below 25700, the trend would stay bearish. The price subsequently declined by 250+ pips ✅. Currently, trading below the 25380 pivot level maintains the downside pressure toward the 25140 support level. A breakout below 25140 will extend the decline toward 25000. Conversely, breaking above the pivot level and holding with a confirmed 1-hour candle close will initiate a bullish recovery toward the resistance line at 25570 and subsequently 25810. Resistance Levels: 25570 – 25810 Support Levels: 25140 – 25000
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 10:02USDJPY - Technical Analysis
The current price action of USDJPY indicates downside pressure, with trading remaining below the 155.30 pivot level. As long as the market remains below this level, sellers maintain control. Trading below 155.30 favors further downward momentum toward 154.00 and 152.90. Conversely, a confirmed 1-hour candle close above 155.30 will activate bullish momentum, potentializing an upward move toward 156.00. Resistance Levels: 156.00 – 156.58 Support Levels: 154.00 – 152.90
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 10:03GBPUSD - Technical Analysis
The price is currently attempting a downward move. As long as it holds below the 1.3515 pivot level, the decline is expected to target 1.3460 and subsequently 1.3440. Conversely, if the price manages to push higher and break above 1.3515, the momentum will turn bullish toward the 1.3535 target level. Resistance Levels: 1.3535 – 1.3550 Support Levels: 1.3460 – 1.3440
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 10:04XAUUSD – Waiting for a Pullback Into Bearish Confluence
XAUUSD remains bearish across H4, H1 and M15, but price is currently trading in discount, so chasing the move lower offers poor positioning. The preferred scenario is a pullback toward the 4,290–4,297 area, where PWL aligns with a bearish FVG/OB. A clear lower-timeframe rejection and bearish confirmation from this zone would support continuation toward PDL around 4,252. If price accepts below PDL, the next downside objective is the H4 order block around 4,230–4,245. A sustained move above 4,300 would weaken the immediate bearish scenario and open the door for a deeper retracement. XAUUSD ostaje bearish na H4, H1 i M15, ali se cena trenutno nalazi u discount delu raspona, zbog čega ne želimo da jurimo već pokrenut pad. Primarni scenario je pullback prema zoni 4.290–4.297, gde se PWL poklapa sa bearish FVG/OB zonom. Jasna reakcija i bearish potvrda na nižem vremenskom okviru podržale bi nastavak prema PDL-u oko 4.252. Prihvatanje cene ispod PDL-a otvorilo bi prostor prema H4 order blocku oko 4.230–4.245. Stabilan povratak iznad 4.300 oslabio bi trenutni bearish scenario i povećao mogućnost dubljeg retracementa.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 10:04EURUSD MARKET ANALYSIS
EURUSD is currently showing signs of a short-term recovery attempt after the recent bearish move. Price has reacted from the lower demand/support zone around 1.1520, where buyers have started to defend the area and slow the downside pressure. The current structure remains under pressure, but a successful reaction from support could allow EURUSD to form a short-term higher low and begin a recovery toward the nearby resistance zones. 📈 BULLISH SCENARIO — RECOVERY & CONTINUATION If price continues to hold above 1.1520–1.1530 and buyers regain momentum, a break above 1.1560 could strengthen the recovery and open the way toward: TP1: 1.1580 TP2: 1.1600 TP3: 1.1620–1.1640 A clean breakout and sustained hold above 1.1600 would provide stronger confirmation for a move toward the 1.1620–1.1640 supply/resistance area. KEY SUPPORT / INVALIDATION The 1.1520–1.1530 demand zone is the key support area to watch. If price loses this zone and sellers regain control, the bullish recovery scenario could weaken, with the market potentially continuing its bearish structure. MARKET VIEW EURUSD remains in a broader bearish structure, but the strong reaction from the demand zone gives the pair a short-term recovery bias. The main levels to watch are 1.1520–1.1530 support, followed by 1.1560, 1.1580 and 1.1600 resistance. your support means a lot! If you found this analysis useful, leave a Like and tell me your thoughts in the comments. Best of luck with your trading journey! 🚀
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 10:08DeGRAM | XAUUSD is extending the correction
📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD remains below the major descending resistance line and has now broken beneath the previous key support around 4,300. The sequence of lower highs and lower lows keeps the broader 3H structure bearish. ● Price is moving inside the local bearish channel, with the 4,320–4,350 resistance zone becoming the main area for a possible corrective rebound. If sellers defend this zone, the next downside objective remains the 4,180–4,200 target zone shown on the chart. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold remains under pressure as the Fed begins its September 15–16 meeting. Markets are heavily pricing a 25 bp rate hike, while U.S. Treasury yields have climbed above 5% and the dollar remains firm. At the same time, oil above $108 is reinforcing inflation concerns, which is keeping rate expectations elevated despite ongoing Middle East tensions. ✨ Summary ● Bearish continuation remains the main scenario while XAU/USD stays below 4,320–4,350; target 4,180–4,200. A sustained recovery above resistance would weaken the bearish setup. Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 10:19XAUUSD
Hello Everyone See the market make AMD done Now coming to retest now wait to tape liquidity then a trade open in down target next 1H liquidity zone
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 10:20XAUUSD IDEA
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain a bearish market structure, with price currently testing the local lows as the market awaits key Federal Reserve developments and monitors renewed strength in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). The primary focus remains on the Federal Reserve interest-rate decision, the updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP/dot plot), and Fed communication, including Christopher Warsh’s rhetoric. These events could significantly influence USD yields and trigger heightened volatility across gold markets. Although the broader technical structure remains bearish, the downside is not without risk. A dovish Fed surprise, weaker-than-expected guidance, or a decline in the U.S. dollar could trigger a sharp short-covering rally and temporarily reverse the bearish momentum. Key Fundamental Drivers Bearish Factors Hawkish Federal Reserve expectations Stronger U.S. Dollar Index Rising Treasury yields Higher-for-longer rate expectations Further escalation of geopolitical tensions Bullish Factors Dovish Fed rhetoric or guidance A less hawkish-than-expected rate decision Falling U.S. yields Dollar weakness Geopolitical de-escalation Key Technical Levels Resistance 4,287 4,345 Support 4,230 4,200 📊Technical 👀📌🔽☄️⁉️ From a technical perspective, sustained consolidation below the 4,287–4,300 resistance zone would keep the bearish structure intact and could act as a catalyst for another move toward 4,230, followed by 4,200 if downside momentum accelerates. However, traders should remain cautious ahead of the Fed decision. A confirmed hawkish Fed stance, particularly if accompanied by a stronger-than-expected rate path or higher projected rates, could place significant additional pressure on gold. Conversely, a dovish surprise could invalidate the immediate bearish setup and trigger a recovery toward the 4,287–4,345 resistance area. Trading Bias Primary bias: Bearish below 4,287–4,300 Below 4,287: bearish continuation remains favored. Break below 4,230: opens the way toward 4,200. Reclaim above 4,300: bearish momentum weakens. Break above 4,345: would provide stronger evidence of a bullish reversal. Key takeaway: The technical structure favors selling rallies while price remains below 4,287–4,300, but entering aggressively immediately before the Fed decision carries elevated event risk. Waiting for the initial volatility and looking for confirmation may offer a higher-probability setup.🚨🫡 MARKET BIAS: BEARISH Gold continues to trade within a bearish structure, with price struggling below the 4,287–4,300 resistance zone. The market is approaching key support while traders await major Fed-related news. 🔻 SELL SCENARIO👀 Sell Zone: 4,270 – 4,287 Stop Loss: 4,315💢 TP1: 4,250 TP2: 4,230 TP3: 4,200
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 10:48XAUUSD — Sell the H1 Fibonacci Retest
Fundamental Analysis Gold remains under pressure ahead of the September 15–16 Fed meeting. Markets are pricing roughly a 92% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while a firmer U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields continue to raise the opportunity cost of holding gold. The macro backdrop is also being complicated by oil prices above $100 and renewed Middle East supply concerns. U.S. Treasury yields have pushed to fresh multi-year highs, with the 10-year recently moving above 5%, reinforcing the higher-for-longer pressure on precious metals. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is trading near 4,277 after rebounding from the 4,253.64 low but failing to establish a sustained bullish structure. Price remains below the broader bearish structure, while the latest Fibonacci retracement identifies 4,293–4,305 as the most attractive short-term sell area. This zone combines the 0.618–0.786 retracement, previous structure, and nearby H1 imbalance. A deeper recovery could test 4,318, but acceptance above that level would weaken the immediate bearish setup. If sellers defend the Fibonacci zone, price may rotate back toward 4,278, followed by 4,268–4,270 and eventually the 4,253–4,255 liquidity low. Important Key Levels 4,378–4,390 — Major H1 FVG 4,305–4,318 — Upper resistance 4,293–4,305 — Main sell zone 4,278 — First downside pivot 4,268–4,270 — Lower demand 4,253–4,255 — Main liquidity target Trading Scenario Main Sell Setup Entry: 4,293–4,305 Stop Loss: 4,322 Take Profit 1: 4,278 Take Profit 2: 4,268–4,270 Take Profit 3: 4,253–4,255 Sell Condition Wait for price to retrace into 4,293–4,305 and show bearish confirmation. A rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed reclaim above 4,305, or H1 close back below 4,293 may confirm renewed seller pressure. A sustained break above 4,318–4,322 would invalidate the immediate sell idea. Overall View The H1 bias remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below 4,318. With price already near lower support, chasing shorts around 4,277 offers poor positioning. The preferred plan is to wait for a corrective rebound into 4,293–4,305, then look for confirmation toward 4,278, 4,268, and potentially a retest of the 4,253 liquidity low. The Fed decision is now the main volatility risk, and the tone of the policy statement may be as important as the expected rate hike itself. Do you expect gold to retest 4,293–4,305 before sellers attack 4,253 again?
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 10:49Gold Technical Analysis – 4H XAU/USD
Potential Bullish Scenario After Resistance Breakout Gold is currently trading around the $4,270–$4,280 area on the 4-hour timeframe, where price is reacting to a key support zone and a rising short-term trendline. However, the broader corrective structure remains bearish while price is trading below the descending red trendline, which acts as the main dynamic resistance. If the current support holds and price forms a higher low, a bullish reversal could develop. 🔑 Key Levels First Support: 4,278 Major Support: 4,232 Critical Support: 4,181 First Resistance: 4,407–4,420 Major Resistance: Descending trendline 🎯 Bullish Target: 4,475–4,520 📈 Bullish Scenario A sustained move above 4,278, followed by a strong breakout and confirmation above 4,407–4,420, could open the way for a continuation toward the 4,475 target zone. The projected structure suggests a potential bottom formation → retest → trendline breakout → bullish continuation. On the other hand, a decisive break below 4,232 would weaken the bullish setup and could expose the 4,181 support area. Conclusion: As long as the key support zones remain intact, the primary potential scenario favors an upside move toward 4,475–4,520. A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline would provide stronger confirmation for the bullish setup.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 10:53
GBPUSD 15M: Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation
On the 15-minute timeframe, GBPUSD experienced a short-term corrective phase down into lower liquidity. Following a double-bottom style sweep, price produced a local bullish Break of Structure (BOS) above the immediate swing high at ~$1.34795, signaling a potential shift toward upside momentum. Technical Reference Levels BOS Confirmation / Entry Level: ~$1.34795 (Break of Structure Level) Invalidation / Structural Level: ~$1.34718 (Below the immediate swing low) Upside Target Level: ~$1.35215 – $1.35235 (Major overhead supply/resistance block) Technical Setup Logic Following the structural confirmation (BOS) at $1.34795, the technical mapping anticipates a potential bullish continuation toward the overhead supply region near $1.35215, with structural invalidation defined below $1.34718. Disclaimer & Purpose This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 11:18XAUUSD / Gold (15-Minute Chart)
I'm tracking a classic PO3 setup in gold's short-term price action. I anticipate the price to first sweep the liquidity resting above the "Asia high today". After breaking this level, the impulsive move is likely to continue towards the main target, which is the "Asia high yesterday"
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 11:32XAUUSD — SELL SIGNAL
📍 Entry Zone: 4285 – 4290 🛑 Stop Loss: 4305 🎯 TP1: 4275 🎯 TP2: 4270 🎯 TP3: 4260 📊 Market Outlook Gold is approaching a potential resistance/supply zone around 4285–4290. The setup favors a bearish reaction from this area, with downside targets progressively placed below the entry zone. 📌 Trade Plan SELL: 4285–4290 SL: 4305 TP1: 4275 TP2: 4270 TP3: 4260 ⚠️ Invalidation: A sustained move above 4305 invalidates the bearish setup. Risk Management: Control your position size and risk per trade. Do not over-leverage. XAUUSD | SELL THE RALLY 📉 Educational analysis — not financial advice
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 11:39XAUUSD — Bearish Wave Toward 4,160
Gold is still moving inside a clear bearish channel after failing to break above the descending trendline. From Kelly’s view, the current chart suggests that XAUUSD remains under downside pressure, and the latest recovery may only be a short correction before another bearish Elliott Wave leg continues. The key idea is simple: gold is trading below the FVG sell zone, and if buyers cannot reclaim this resistance, sellers may continue pushing price toward the lower support and final target area. ⟡ Market structure Gold is currently trading around 4,283, still inside the descending channel. The short-term recovery is being capped below the 4,288–4,300 FVG sell zone, which is now the key resistance area. The market is still forming lower highs, and price action remains weak below the trendline. If gold rejects from the sell zone again, the first downside area to watch is the strong support near 4,255–4,265. A clean break below this support may open the next bearish move toward 4,225–4,235. If sellers keep control, the final Elliott Wave target remains around 4,155–4,165. ➤ Key levels ◌ Current price area: 4,283 ◌ FVG sell zone: 4,288–4,300 ◌ Short-term resistance: 4,300–4,320 ◌ Strong support: 4,255–4,265 ◌ Buy reaction zone: 4,225–4,235 ◌ Main bearish target: 4,155–4,165 ◌ Bearish invalidation: above 4,320 ⌁ Elliott Wave view The chart shows a possible bearish Elliott Wave continuation. Wave (1) started after gold rejected from the upper channel area. Wave (2) created a short corrective rebound into the FVG sell zone. If price fails below 4,300, wave (3) may continue lower toward 4,225–4,235. Wave (4) may create a small recovery from the lower reaction zone. Wave (5) may complete the bearish structure near 4,155–4,165. This is why Kelly is not chasing buys at the current price. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to reject the FVG sell zone or break below strong support with clear bearish momentum. ▸ Trading scenario Preferred bearish scenario Entry: Sell around 4,288–4,300 if price gives bearish rejection Stop Loss: Above 4,320 Take Profit 1: 4,255–4,265 Take Profit 2: 4,225–4,235 Take Profit 3: 4,155–4,165 Alternative entry If gold breaks below 4,255 and retests this level weakly, sellers may look for continuation toward 4,225–4,235 and then 4,155–4,165. ◌ Invalidation The bearish view becomes weaker if gold breaks above 4,320 and holds above the descending trendline. In that case, the current bearish wave structure may be delayed, and price could attempt a stronger recovery first. ⌁ Kelly’s view Kelly’s main view remains bearish while gold stays below the 4,288–4,300 FVG sell zone. The structure still favors selling rallies rather than chasing short-term rebounds. If sellers defend the sell zone, gold may continue toward 4,255–4,265, then 4,225–4,235. The larger bearish target remains near 4,155–4,165 if wave (5) extends. Do you think gold will reject from the FVG sell zone first, or break strong support directly?
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 11:44XAUUSD – Gold Stays Heavy Below 4,328
XAUUSD – Gold Stays Heavy Below 4,328 Gold is still trading under pressure near 4,283 after failing to build any meaningful recovery from the recent lows. The chart shows price moving inside a wider descending structure, with the short-term downtrend line still controlling the market. Buyers tried to react from the lower channel area, but the recovery remains weak while price stays below 4,318 – 4,328. From the market side, gold is still facing pressure from stronger Fed rate expectations, elevated U.S. yields, and safe-haven demand for the U.S. dollar. Geopolitical risk may create short-term reactions, but for now it is not strong enough to change the bearish technical structure. Technical view: Gold is trading near the lower part of the descending channel. The current reaction area is around 4,280 – 4,295. The first resistance is 4,318 – 4,328. As long as gold stays below this zone, sellers still have short-term control. The next stronger resistance is around 4,368, where the downtrend line and Fibonacci structure meet. A clean break above 4,368 would be needed to confirm a stronger recovery. If gold fails to reclaim 4,318 – 4,328, price may retest the lower support area again. Key levels to watch: Current price: 4,283 Short-term reaction zone: 4,280 – 4,295 First resistance: 4,318 – 4,328 Strong resistance: 4,368 Lower channel support: 4,250 – 4,260 Bearish invalidation: above 4,368 Main scenario: If gold holds above 4,280 and breaks back above 4,318 – 4,328, buyers may attempt a recovery toward 4,368. However, this recovery still needs confirmation. A weak reaction below 4,328 may only be a corrective pullback before sellers return. Alternative scenario: If gold rejects from 4,318 – 4,328 and loses 4,280 again, the bearish pressure may continue. In that case, price may retest 4,250 – 4,260, which is close to the lower channel support. Hannah’s view: Gold is still not showing a clean bullish reversal. The market is trying to stabilize near support, but the recovery lacks strength while price remains below 4,328. For buyers, the first job is simple: reclaim 4,328 and hold above it. Without that, the downside risk remains open. Main view: gold stays weak below 4,318 – 4,328. A rejection from this area supports another move toward 4,280 and possibly 4,250. A real recovery only becomes clearer above 4,368. No confirmation means no trade. Do you think gold can reclaim 4,328, or will sellers keep control inside this downtrend channel?
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 11:52XAUUSD H4 - Falling Wedge Pattern Forming
Trade Idea: 1) XAUSD is Bearish Trend 2) Bullish Market Structure breaked, LL, LH Making 3) Fallling Wedge is in making on H4. 4) Bullish Divergence on LLs on H4. 5) Entry will be break of upper trend line of Falling Wedge on H1 using Alligator for SL/TP.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 11:56XAUUSD | Support & Resistance Setup
Gold is currently approaching a key support zone around 4,260–4,275. If this zone holds and price shows bullish confirmation, the next area of interest is 4,340–4,360 resistance. A clear rejection from resistance could bring bearish pressure back into the market. A sustained breakout above 4,360 may strengthen the bullish scenario, while a break below 4,260 could indicate further downside. Key levels: Support: 4,260–4,275 Resistance: 4,340–4,360 This is a technical market analysis based on price structure and key levels, not financial advice.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 12:30XAUUSD Price Outlook: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar Tests 100% ARC
XAUUSD Price Outlook: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar Tests 1 (100%) Arc | Awaiting Directional Confirmation Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis™ applied to the 2h chart, Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar is interacting with the 1 (100%) Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Price remains centered around this Arc, indicating that directional confirmation has not yet been established.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 12:36XAUUSD ANALYSIS & KEY LEVEL— 10Y HIGHEST LEVEL
1. MARKET STRUCTURE Gold is trading around **$4,284**, holding near the **$4,260–$4,300** area after a third weak week. The daily and weekly structure remain bearish, with lower highs following the August rejection near **$4,680**. The downside BOS remains active below the **$4,350–$4,400** shelf, while no confirmed bullish CHOCH has formed yet. A move above **$4,425–$4,450** would be needed to signal a stronger recovery. 2. KEY LEVELS **Support:** $4,250–$4,270 → $4,160 **Resistance:** $4,313–$4,355 → $4,425–$4,450 **Sell Zone:** $4,313–$4,355 **Buy Zone:** $4,250–$4,270 Liquidity remains below the recent lows around **$4,253–$4,261**, while the **$4,350–$4,400** area remains an important supply/FVG zone. A break below **$4,253** could open further downside toward **$4,160**. A confirmed reclaim above **$4,425–$4,450** would weaken the bearish setup. 3.DXY & YIELDS DXY is holding around **99.1–99.6**, while the US 10Y is around **4.14%** after pulling back from the recent yield spike. The dollar remains firm and higher yields continue to create pressure on gold, although the recent decline in yields is providing some short-term relief. 4. MACRO & FED The **FOMC rate decision is the key catalyst this week**. Markets are pricing around **85–90% odds of a 25bp hike** to the **3.75%–4.00%** range. A hawkish decision, higher dots, or hawkish guidance could strengthen the dollar and push gold lower, while a dovish statement or press conference could trigger a recovery. 5. GEOPOLITICAL RISK US-Iran tensions, Red Sea attacks, Russia-related sanctions and elevated oil prices continue to support safe-haven demand. However, higher oil-driven inflation could increase pressure on the Fed to remain hawkish, creating a mixed but overall challenging environment for gold. 6.TRADE BIAS **Bearish: 65% | Bullish: 35%** **Confidence: Medium** Gold remains bearish-leaning while below **$4,425–$4,450**. The main downside drivers are elevated FOMC hike expectations, a firm dollar and the bearish daily structure, while ETF demand and geopolitical risk continue to provide some support. 7. CONCLUSION Gold remains **bearish in the short term** while price stays below **$4,425–$4,450**. A break below **$4,253** could expose **$4,160**, while holding the **$4,250–$4,270** area could trigger a recovery. The **FOMC decision and press conference on September 16** remain the major catalyst and could determine whether gold continues lower or starts a stronger bullish recovery. **NEXT MAJOR CATALYST: FOMC — 16 SEPTEMBER, 14:00 ET** **INVALIDATION: DAILY CLOSE ABOVE $4,450** *Not financial advice. Manage risk carefully.*
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 12:38BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD WEAK BELOW 4,338
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD WEAK BELOW 4,338 Gold remains under pressure as the market moves into the FOMC decision window. Price is now trading around 4,275 after another failed recovery attempt, while the broader short-term structure continues to show lower highs and weak buyer follow-through. Fundamentally, the market is still cautious. Gold is marking another down day as traders wait for the two-day FOMC policy meeting, and this keeps positioning defensive ahead of the rate decision. When gold trades near a one-month low before a major Fed event, the market usually becomes very sensitive to any rejection or breakdown around key value zones. That is exactly what the current chart is showing. Technical structure On the H1 chart, gold is trading below the Current VAH / POC immediate volume zone around 4,290 - 4,306. This zone is important because it was the latest short-term value area. Price tried to stabilize there, but the reaction was weak. As long as gold stays below this zone, buyers do not have real control. The next important resistance is the Key Rotation Area around 4,338 - 4,365. This is the area where any recovery may face stronger selling pressure. If gold pulls back into this zone and rejects, the bearish continuation view remains valid. Above that, the Upper Value Rejection zone around 4,500 remains the major seller interest area. This was where the larger bearish rotation started, and it continues to define the upper structure. On the downside, gold is now approaching the 4,232 area. If sellers keep control below 4,306, the market can rotate lower into this level before any stronger buyer reaction appears. Important zones Current price area: 4,265 - 4,280 Gold is trading near the lower part of the structure after losing short-term value. Current VAH / POC: 4,290 - 4,306 Immediate resistance. Buyers need to reclaim this area to slow the bearish pressure. Key Rotation Area: 4,338 - 4,365 Main reaction zone if gold attempts a deeper pullback. Strong Acceptance Zone: 4,290 - 4,310 Previous value support, now acting as a pressure area after the breakdown. Upper Value Rejection: 4,490 - 4,510 Major seller interest zone and higher resistance. Downside liquidity: 4,232 - 4,240 Next lower target if sellers continue pushing the auction lower. Trading scenario Priority view: sell on recovery below 4,306 Entry: Look for sell positions only if gold rebounds into 4,290 - 4,306 or higher into 4,338 - 4,365 and shows clear bearish rejection. Stop Loss: Above the rejection high or above the reclaimed value zone. Take Profit: TP1: 4,250 TP2: 4,232 - 4,240 TP3: 4,200 if FOMC-driven momentum supports another downside expansion This setup follows the current bearish structure. Gold has already lost short-term value, so chasing sell late near the low is not ideal. The cleaner plan is to wait for a retest and rejection from resistance. Alternative buy scenario A buy setup is only interesting if gold sweeps the 4,232 - 4,240 liquidity area and shows strong bullish rejection. Entry: Buy only after clear confirmation from the lower liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Below the local sweep low. Take Profit: TP1: 4,290 - 4,306 TP2: 4,338 TP3: 4,365 if buyers reclaim momentum This would only be a reaction-buy setup, not a full bullish reversal yet. For a stronger recovery, gold needs to reclaim 4,306 first, then hold above 4,338. Final view Gold is still under seller control while trading below 4,306. The market is heading into the FOMC meeting with weak momentum, and the current chart suggests that sellers are still defending every recovery attempt. The nearest downside area to watch is 4,232 - 4,240. If price reaches this zone, buyer reaction may appear, but confirmation is needed before considering any long setup. For now, my map is simple: Below 4,306 = sellers keep control. Reject 4,306 = downside pressure continues. Break 4,338 = recovery improves. Reject 4,338 - 4,365 = bearish structure remains valid. Lose 4,232 = downside can extend toward 4,200. Gold is not in a clean bullish position yet. The best approach is patience: wait for either a confirmed rejection from resistance or a strong reaction from the lower liquidity zone. Will gold defend 4,232 before the FOMC decision, or will sellers force one more deep flush first?
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 12:42XAUUSD Gold.
XAUUSD Gold.Reacting from H1 FVG to go long Make sure to trade with proper Risk management..
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EURUSD Analysis Update and Further Projections
The pair breached the handle of the C&H pattern, while also giving a breakout below the demand order block as projected in the previous analysis. The price tested the fib level 0.50 (1.1535), made lows of 1.1523, but failed to give a lower close. Therefore, if prices fall below the fib level 0.5 and sustain below, then further downside movements can be witnessed in the pair towards the fib level 0.618 (1.1492) or lower. Also, the US 10-year bond yields rose to 5.041% for the first time since 2007. The news from the bond market and tomorrow's (16 Sep, 2026) Fed Interest Rate decision - with probabilities above 90% for a rate hike. All these factors will give a boost to the US dollar, weakening the pair towards our target levels
TITradingView Ideas - TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 12:51
XAUUSD — Bearish Trend, Waiting for the Pullback
Market Pulse Gold remains under pressure ahead of the Fed decision. Higher Treasury yields, a firmer U.S. dollar and strong rate-hike expectations continue to limit the upside. High oil prices are also keeping inflation concerns alive, so volatility may stay elevated. What the Chart Says XAUUSD remains bearish on H1. Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, while the latest breakdown has pushed Gold back toward the lower support structure around 4,255–4,265. The current price near 4,283 is already close to support, so I would not chase fresh shorts here. A corrective rebound could first reach 4,307–4,318, which is the nearest broken structure and first resistance. If price recovers further, the more important area sits around 4,345–4,357. This is the main rejection zone on the chart and a cleaner place to watch for sellers to return. If that area holds, another bearish wave could develop toward 4,255–4,265, followed by the deeper 4,225–4,240 demand zone. Levels That Matter 4,425–4,435 — Major upper resistance 4,345–4,357 — Main rejection area 4,307–4,318 — First resistance 4,255–4,265 — Support zone 4,225–4,240 — Main demand zone My Main Plan The main plan remains bearish. I prefer waiting for price to recover toward 4,307–4,318 first. If the rebound becomes stronger, 4,345–4,357 is the better sell area to watch. A clear bearish reaction from resistance could bring Gold back toward 4,255–4,265 and later the deeper demand zone. What I Need to See I want the rebound to form another lower high and fail below the marked resistance areas. A sustained H1 move above 4,357 would weaken the immediate bearish setup. A stronger recovery above the major upper resistance would suggest a larger structure change. Final Read The H1 trend still favors sellers, but price is already near support. For now, I prefer waiting for the pullback and selling from resistance rather than chasing the move lower, especially with the Fed decision likely to create sharp two-way volatility.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 12:54Idea 2
I think its going to retrace to the bearish fair value gap above.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 13:04XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Plan: 1H/4H Key Levels & Scenarios
https://www.tradingview.com/x/OaCNfpDc/ 📊 XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Structure Gold is currently trading inside an important multi-timeframe structure. On the 15-minute chart, the TupTrader Multi-Timeframe Key Levels indicator is projecting the key OHLC levels from the 1H and 4H reference candles. The larger structure remains bearish, while the shorter reference structure is bullish. This creates a useful decision area rather than a simple directional signal. Current price at the time of this analysis: ~4283.97 📈 Bullish Scenario Conditions: ✅ Price holds above the 1H Open around 4281.545. ✅ Price reclaims the 1H Close around 4284.740. ✅ A sustained break above the 1H High at 4286.785 confirms that the shorter-term bullish structure is still controlling the rebound. Upside Targets: First target: 4284.740 – 4286.785 → 1H Close/High resistance zone. Second target: 4304.975 → 4H Open and an important higher-timeframe resistance level. Extension target: 4307.775 → 4H High and the upper boundary of the larger bearish structure. Bullish Invalidation: ❌ A sustained move back below 4278.725, the 1H Low, weakens the short-term bullish structure. A deeper break toward or below the 4H lower boundary around 4262 would invalidate the current recovery structure more decisively. 📉 Bearish Scenario Conditions: ✅ Price fails to reclaim 4284.740 – 4286.785 and is rejected from the 1H Close/High zone. ✅ Price subsequently loses the 1H Open at 4281.545. ✅ A break below the 1H Low at 4278.725 confirms failure of the shorter-term bullish structure. Downside Targets: First target: 4278.725 → 1H Low. Second target: ~4262.540 → 4H Close and lower part of the larger structure. Extension: A clean break below the 4H lower boundary would signal bearish continuation outside the current higher-timeframe range. Continuation Trigger: 📉 A failed retest of 4278.725 – 4281.545 after a breakdown would be important. If the former 1H Low/Open area flips from support into resistance, the bearish continuation case becomes stronger. 🔍 Key Multi-Timeframe Takeaways ✅ The larger reference structure is still bearish. ✅ The shorter reference structure is bullish, showing an active rebound inside that larger bearish context. ✅ 4284.740 – 4286.785 is the immediate upside decision zone. ✅ 4278.725 – 4281.545 is the immediate support/decision zone. ✅ The larger boundaries near 4262 and 4305–4308 remain the major higher-timeframe reference levels. The important point is not to treat any single level as an automatic buy or sell signal. The levels provide structure; price behavior around them provides confirmation. 🗓️ Action Plan Bullish Bias: If price holds above 4281.545 and successfully reclaims 4284.740–4286.785, watch for continuation toward 4304.975 and 4307.775. Bearish Bias: If price is rejected from 4284.740–4286.785 and then loses 4281.545 / 4278.725, watch for a return toward the lower 4H structure around 4262. Neutral / No Trade: If price remains trapped between approximately 4278.725 and 4286.785, there is no need to force a directional position. Wait for a confirmed break or reclaim. ⚖️ Risk / Reward The distance between entry and structural invalidation should determine position size — not the desired profit target. Avoid increasing risk simply because price is close to a key level. A level identifies a location; it does not guarantee a reaction. 🔑 Key Confirmations ✅ Watch candle closes around the reference OHLC levels rather than reacting only to intrabar touches. ✅ Look for agreement between the 1H structure and the larger 4H context. ✅ A breakout followed by a successful retest provides stronger structural evidence than the initial touch alone. Current structural state: shorter-term bullish rebound inside a larger bearish reference structure.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 13:13NIFTY 50 | 4H MARKET ANALYSIS | SEP 15, 206
📊 NIFTY 50 | 4H MARKET ANALYSIS 🔴 Bullish or Bearish? The Key Level Matters. NIFTY 50 is trading around 23,118.60. The 4H chart highlights a critical decision zone near 23,171.20. 📈 BULLISH SCENARIO If NIFTY reclaims and sustains above 23,171.20, watch for potential upside toward: 🎯 24,000–24,242 🎯 24,843.90 📉 BEARISH SCENARIO If price fails to reclaim the pivot and selling pressure continues, watch: ⚠️ 22,000–21,881.15 ⚠️ 20,536.40 🔍 KEY OBSERVATION The market is at a decision zone. A breakout needs confirmation. A breakdown needs follow-through. Don't trade just because a level looks attractive. Plan your entry. Define your stop-loss. Respect the trend. 💡 Trade with a plan, not emotions. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚀 TechieMyil Trading | Tech | AI | Life 📌 Save this chart for your next market analysis. Educational content only. Not financial advice.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 13:13NIFTY 50 | 4H MARKET ANALYSIS | SEP 15, 2026
📊 NIFTY 50 | 4H MARKET ANALYSIS 🔴 Bullish or Bearish? The Key Level Matters. NIFTY 50 is trading around 23,118.60. The 4H chart highlights a critical decision zone near 23,171.20. 📈 BULLISH SCENARIO If NIFTY reclaims and sustains above 23,171.20, watch for potential upside toward: 🎯 24,000–24,242 🎯 24,843.90 📉 BEARISH SCENARIO If price fails to reclaim the pivot and selling pressure continues, watch: ⚠️ 22,000–21,881.15 ⚠️ 20,536.40 🔍 KEY OBSERVATION The market is at a decision zone. A breakout needs confirmation. A breakdown needs follow-through. Don't trade just because a level looks attractive. Plan your entry. Define your stop-loss. Respect the trend. 💡 Trade with a plan, not emotions. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚀 TechieMyil Trading | Tech | AI | Life 📌 Save this chart for your next market analysis. Educational content only. Not financial advice.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 13:30#XAUUSD
Hello and good morning everyone! 🌷 🥇 #XAUUSD | Daily Analysis 📅 September 15, 2026 💰 Current Price: 4287.000 Following our previous analysis, after reacting to the 4402 and 4335 support levels and subsequently breaking the 4H support, the market has reached the third major support zone for Daily buyers at 4254. This area is currently very important for us because as long as Daily buyers continue to defend 4254, the Daily trend remains bullish. If this support holds, we can look for the following upside targets in the coming days: 🎯 4434.512 🎯 4508.923 🎯 4549.530 🎯 4620.428 🎯 4678.953 🔹 Current Scenario: I already have a buy position activated at 4265, and within this area, as long as the Daily support at 4254 remains intact, I will continue adding to my buy positions. However, we should also keep the second scenario in mind. If 4254 breaks on the Daily timeframe and the market fails to reclaim this level after a pullback, our bullish scenario will be invalidated. In that case, we could see a strong continuation of the bearish move toward lower targets, including: 🎯 4181 🔑 For now, 4254 is the key decision level: Holding 4254 = Bullish Daily scenario remains valid 📈 Break + failed retest = Potential strong bearish continuation 📉 As long as 4254 holds, buyers still have the upper hand. 🔥
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 13:31XAUUSD — Correction Complete? (3 Laddered Buy Plan)
Gold sold off hard from its late-January all-time high near $5,600, but the structure now argues the correction is maturing and the primary uptrend is preparing to resume. This idea lays out a scale-in long strategy with a single, well-defined invalidation. 📉➡️📈 The Divergence Story (Top → Bottom) The rally topped exactly where you'd expect it to: a bearish RSI divergence printed into the highs (price making new highs, momentum failing to confirm) — the classic warning that preceded this multi-month correction. Fast-forward to the June–July base and the mirror image appeared: a bullish divergence (lower price lows, higher momentum lows) marked the exhaustion of sellers. That's the signal I'm trading — momentum turned before price did. 📊 What the Chart Is Telling Us Price held the $3,950–4,000 support zone (green box), which lines up cleanly with the 0.786–1.0 Fib of the whole advance — a textbook place for a correction to end. The descending trendline off the highs is being challenged; a decisive daily close above it opens the door back toward the $4,700–4,800 supply zone (red box / 0 Fib at 4,697). Current price (~$4,290) is coiling around the 0.5–0.618 pocket ($4,317 / $4,227) — the decision area. 🏦 Fundamentals: Structurally Strong for the Long Run The bid under gold isn't speculative — it's structural. Central banks remain heavy net buyers (Poland added ~51 tons and China ~33 tons in Q2 2026), sitting on top of a persistent mine-supply deficit. Add the geopolitical risk premium from the ongoing Strait of Hormuz/US-Iran conflict and de-dollarization flows, and gold is increasingly trading as a barometer of confidence in the financial system, not just a rate play. Tellingly, major-bank year-end targets sit at or above spot — Goldman ~$4,900, HSBC ~$4,560, JPMorgan ~$4,500. 🏛️ FOMC Effect (Sep 15–16) This meeting is unusual: for the first time in this cycle a rate HIKE is genuinely on the table, with odds pushed up toward 60–70% as the US-Iran conflict feeds energy-led inflation. A hike is largely priced — the reaction hinges on the dot plot and tone. A hawkish-but-expected outcome likely gives one more dip to buy; any dovish surprise is rocket fuel. Either way, the structural bid caps downside. ⚖️ CLARITY Act Effect (indirect, honest read) The crypto market-structure bill faces another Senate procedural vote on Sept 15, but many investors now see it as effectively "dead in the water" for 2026, likely slipping into 2027. Net-net a mild positive for gold: regulatory clarity that legitimizes crypto as a rival store of value is the main competitive headwind to bullion — and that catalyst keeps getting pushed out, leaving safe-haven flows parked in gold for now. 🎯 The Trade — 3 Laddered Longs (buy the dip, one common invalidation) Same stop and target across all three, so the deeper the fill, the better the reward: risk. Scenario I — Entry 4,250 | SL 3,850 | TP 4,800 (R:R ≈ 1.4) Scenario II — Entry 4,100 | SL 3,850 | TP 4,800 (R:R ≈ 2.8) Scenario III — Entry 3,950 | SL 3,850 | TP 4,800 (R:R ≈ 8.5) 🛑 Invalidation: A daily close below $3,850 breaks the support zone and the bullish-divergence thesis — cut and reassess. Trade your own risk; this is analysis, not financial advice.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 14:00
US30 15M: Wait for Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation
On the 15-minute timeframe, US30 (Sep 2026) has dropped into a major lower demand/support zone near the $52,060 - $52,127 area after sweeping previous swing lows. Price is currently consolidating within this support block, setting up a potential bullish reversal scenario. Technical Reference Levels Projected BOS Confirmation Level: ~$52,180 (Awaiting Break of Structure Level) Invalidation / Structural Level: ~$52,005.1 (Below the lower demand zone boundary) Upside Target Level: ~$52,673.1 (Overhead resistance / liquidity target) Technical Setup Logic The technical plan calls for patience: awaiting a confirmed bullish Break of Structure (BOS) above the minor lower-high resistance (near $52,180) to validate buyer control. Upon a confirmed BOS and subsequent retest of the demand area, the setup targets higher liquidity near $52,673.1, with structural invalidation below $52,005.1. Disclaimer & Purpose This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 16:07GOLD 1H CHART – ROUTE MAP AND MARKET ANALYSIS
Hey Everyone, At week open, we had two key gaps on the radar: a bullish gap at 4392 and a bearish gap at 4306. The 4306 bearish gap has now been filled, followed by an EMA5 cross and lock below, which has opened our retracement range, as mapped on the 1H route map. We now expect this retracement range to provide reactionary support and bounces, with 4243 Goldturn still remaining open for a potential support test. As long as price holds this retracement range, we will be looking for the rotation back up and a retest of 4306. From there, an EMA5 cross and lock back above would reconfirm 4394 Goldturn as the next upside target. For now, patience. Let the range do its work and allow confirmation to dictate the next move. We will keep you updated. Mr Gold
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 16:31shorting idea
walk us through itt///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 17:02XAUUSD TREND: Bearish
The trend is still very much in our favor. No need to predict a bottom or force a reversal. Stay focused on SELL opportunities and use the lower timeframe for your entry. Follow the SOMAX Trend. Trade with the direction
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 17:02
Elliott wave analysis of SPX
Daily candles with repeated lower highs and lower lows since ATH on 13 August 2026. With today's low, which broke high of 15 June, impulse wave of lower degree has been invalidated (red count). Ending diagonal wave (5) of ((5)) remains in play above support of 7433.65. Wave (1) > (3) > (5), price should not exceed 8151.54. For price to tag median line, looking for new highs before ~ midterm elections (3 November 2026). 3-4:1 reward/risk for long position above 7433.64.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 17:47EurUsd Trade Update
I published EU shorts yesterday and stated my reasons for wanting to short the pair for a 1:3rr. Price dumped into my direction where I then decided to close just 6-7 pips away from tp. We'll see what happens for London tonight.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 18:11GBPUSD Buy Setup – Break of Structure
GBPUSD is showing a bullish reversal after breaking above the recent structure (BOS). Price is currently pulling back, offering a potential buy opportunity if bullish momentum holds. The setup targets the marked resistance/target zone. **Target: 1.35040** **Bias: Buy** **Key confirmation: BOS + bullish continuation**
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 18:28Xauusd 15 min
According last scenario of the xauusd chart; published at last week.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 19:45XAUUSD Buy Setup From Demand Zone | Potential Bullish Recovery
XAUUSD is currently reacting from a well-established demand zone around 4260 - 4266, an area that has repeatedly attracted buying interest during recent sessions. After an extended corrective move and multiple rejections from higher prices, gold is once again showing signs of support formation near the lower boundary of the range. The repeated defense of demand suggests buyers remain active, while the current structure opens the possibility of a move back toward overhead liquidity and key resistance areas. The highlighted resistance near 4312 remains the first obstacle. A successful break above this level could expose the next supply zones marked on the chart. 🎯 Bullish Targets ✅ Target 1: 4312 ✅ Target 2: 4338 ✅ Target 3: 4353 📈 As long as demand continues to hold, I will be monitoring for a bullish continuation scenario toward the marked resistance zones. Note: This is a personal market view for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 19:48XAG/USD Daily Analysis
Silver remains trapped within a broad 55.00–70.00 trading range, with price now testing an important intermediate support around 62.60. Recent weakness following rejection from the upper range suggests sellers currently hold short-term momentum. A decisive daily close below 62.60 could expose 60.00 and potentially the range floor, while a strong rejection would favour another recovery higher.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 20:23AudJpy Trade Idea
The pair I'll be paying attention to for London is gonna be AJ. As of now AJ is showing hourly bullish structure above a 4hr LH. The higher time frame is overall bearish but the hourly will tell me where price is heading so I'll either wait for price to break and retest above this new hourly high (top white box) on the 15m time frame or wait for an HOURLY shift of structure under the hourly HL (bottom white box). IF that hourly bearish structure ends up showing then I'll be paying attention to the NEW LH and LL. I'll ONLY be executing shorts IF price breaks and retest the new HOURLY low on the 15m time frame. The goal here is to wait and see whether price heads back up to the major support level at 111.365 or continue the higher time frame bearish trend and tap back into 109.690.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 20:24
XAUUSD 15M: Wait for Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmati
On the 15-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) is holding along an ascending trendline following a sharp recovery from the lower $4,270 support region. Price has pulled back toward the trendline and immediate support, setting up a potential bullish continuation scenario once structural confirmation is achieved. Technical Reference Levels Projected BOS Confirmation Level: ~$4,296.85 (Awaiting Break of Structure Level) Invalidation / Structural Level: ~$4,291.47 (Below the local swing low and trendline support) Upside Target Level: ~$4,348.91 (Key overhead supply area / liquidity target) Technical Setup Logic The technical plan emphasizes patience: waiting for price to break and close above the local resistance high at $4,296.85 to confirm a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). Following a valid BOS, the scenario targets the higher resistance block near $4,348.91, with structural invalidation strictly placed below $4,291.47. Disclaimer & Purpose This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 21:41GOLD ( XAUUSD ) Selling Trade Idea
Hello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 21:59
SOFI - long idea
Risky trade Support zone $16.20-17 (yellow zone) Tight SL $15.5 TP $24 or wait for daily market structure break for confirmation
TITradingView Ideas - TIFolgemeldung15. Sept., 22:20
VST idea for longs
Pelosi bought @$180. All below current price is discount zone, but below marked zones is run-a-way place. Buy now or wait for lower prices or wait for Market Structure Break for confirmation
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 22:31XAUUSD — PROFESSIONAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
📊 XAUUSD — PROFESSIONAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Current Price: ~4,297 Structure: 🔄 Consolidation near resistance with an ascending trendline underneath. 🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO Key breakout: 4,300.48 A confirmed candle close above 4,300.48 could open the way toward 4,308 → 4,316–4,320. 4,316–4,320 = Major Resistance Zone 🧱 Holding the rising trendline around 4,288–4,290 keeps the short-term bullish structure intact. 🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO Failure to break 4,300.48 + rejection could bring price back toward 4,288–4,290. A decisive break below the ascending trendline may expose 4,280 → 4,268–4,264. 4,264 = Major Support Zone 🛡️ 🎯 KEY LEVELS Resistance: 4,300.48 → 4,308 → 4,316–4,320 Support: 4,288–4,290 → 4,280 → 4,268–4,264 🧠 MARKET PLAN Above 4,300.48: bullish continuation setup 📈 Below 4,288: bearish pressure increases 📉 Between 4,288–4,300: wait for confirmation ⚠️ TradingView-style note: 🔥 XAUUSD is testing key resistance while respecting the rising trendline. Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown before taking direction. No confirmation = no trade.
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Folgemeldung15. Sept., 22:34Gold (XAUUSD) Market Analysis | Premium Zone & Price Action
Gold rejected the 4,315 Premium Zone and continued lower. In this chart, I’ve marked the key structure, reaction area and projected path toward 4,244. Do you see the same structure developing, or would you wait for further confirmation? ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Always manage your risk.
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Folgemeldungvor 23 Std.XAUUSD H1: Bearish Continuation Toward Small OB After the Failed
XAUUSD is currently trading around 4,292, showing limited recovery after a strong bearish displacement from the upper H1 structure. The broader H1 market remains bearish, with multiple BOS confirming the downside structure. Price is trading below the EMA 20, 50, 100 and 200, while the descending trendline continues to act as overhead resistance. Recent price action shows a weak recovery from the lower area around 4,260–4,275, where the marked Small OB is located. However, the current rebound has not yet reclaimed the nearby resistance structure, suggesting that bearish pressure remains present. The next important area is the Small OB around 4,260–4,275. A break below this zone could expose further downside expansion. On the upside, the H1 OB around 4,380–4,400 remains the key recovery area, while the BSL Liquidity zone around 4,490–4,510 is a higher-timeframe liquidity reference. The Bias: Short-Term Bearish Continuation / Potential Liquidity Sweep. The Target Path: Price may first revisit the 4,260–4,275 Small OB. If this area fails to hold, further downside expansion could develop. A stronger recovery would require a reclaim of the 4,350–4,365 area, followed by a potential retest of the 4,380–4,400 OB. Potential Setup: Observe price reaction around the current recovery structure and the 4,260–4,275 Small OB. A bearish displacement followed by a confirmed MSS/BOS could support a continuation scenario. Avoid assuming continuation without confirmation. Confirmation: A clear break and acceptance below the Small OB, followed by a successful retest and bearish displacement, would strengthen the downside thesis. Alternatively, a bullish CHoCH and reclaim of nearby resistance would signal a possible recovery. Alternative Scenario: If price holds the Small OB and develops strong bullish displacement, the short-term bearish structure may weaken. A reclaim above 4,350–4,365 could open a recovery toward the 4,380–4,400 OB. Invalidation: Strong acceptance above the 4,380–4,400 H1 OB would weaken the immediate bearish continuation thesis and suggest that a deeper recovery may be developing. Educational purposes only — Not financial advice.
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Folgemeldungvor 23 Std.XAUUSD 1D SELL View
GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK — 16 SEPTEMBER Gold is trading today between $4,260 and $4,318. ✍️Technical View • Daily: The correction from $4,697 remains active. Gold is still well below its 200-day moving-average area around $4,530–$4,543, keeping the wider structure bearish. • H4: Sellers remain in control after Monday’s recovery was rejected at $4,356. Today’s lower high near $4,318 confirms that upside momentum is still weak. • H1: Gold has returned close to its session low. $4,284–$4,297 is the immediate Fibonacci recovery zone, while $4,264–$4,253 is the main support and decision area. ✍️How to read the price action? — Most likely scenario: While gold remains below $4,284–$4,297, pressure stays tilted toward $4,264–$4,253. An H1 close below $4,253, followed by failure to reclaim it, could expose $4,230–$4,223, then $4,203–$4,200. Recovery above $4,297 would weaken this path. — Alternative scenario: An H1 close above $4,297 that holds on a retest could support a rebound toward today’s $4,318 high. Acceptance above $4,318 would bring $4,335–$4,356 into focus. A return below $4,284 would weaken the recovery. The dollar index has strengthened toward 99.63, while the US 10 year Treasury yield reached 5.0266%, its highest since 2007. Brent oil is holding near $107. Higher oil supports gold through geopolitical risk, but its inflation impact is currently strengthening the dollar, yields and expectations of tighter Fed policy. Markets price roughly a 93% probability of a quarter-point Fed increase. ✍️Economic News The Fed’s two day meeting begins today. Wednesday’s decision is due at 7:00 PM London time, followed by the press conference at 7:30 PM. Volatility may remain uneven as traders position ahead of the announcement.
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Folgemeldungvor 22 Std.Daily Analysis and Reaction Locations [2026-09-16]
Rollover's complete, next contract active — fresh analysis from here. Bias: short, as long as the sub high holds — shifts to long once it breaks. Sitting out the NY session today given the interest rate decision; pre-market focus only. Zone Colors: • Gray marks reaction zones (conditional trades, targets) • Red marks trade locations Key Levels: • Swing High: Confirmed Trend Shift • Sub High: Early Trend Invalidation • Swing Low: Trend Continuation Trade Idea Short inside the identified trade location around the sub high supply zone, targeting the swing low, with the sub high as risk reference. The idea is invalidated if either the swing low or the sub high breaks. Price is close to the market pullback zone — a possible early sign the swing structure is shifting. I'm waiting for the directional-shift confirmation once price approaches the market pullback zone rather than treating a swing low break in isolation as a clean continuation signal, given how close the two levels already are. Three potential price zones sit inside the pullback zone, visible on zoom out. Grab the chart or zoom out on the preview to see all zones. The reasoning, if you want it. Swing structure broke with a same-day pullback, and the current swing low got violated but not yet broken. The volume profile anchored to the last confirmed swing high has its POC distributing right toward that violated level — that combination is what's creating the early signal that direction might be shifting from down to up. It's exactly why price approaching the market pullback target while that signal is already building changes how I'd read a swing low break here: confirmation of continuation, technically, but not something to chase in isolation this close to a level with its own reversal potential. Shared for educational and analytical purposes only — not financial advice or a trade recommendation. Entries, stops, and targets are shown for study, not signals to copy.
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Folgemeldungvor 21 Std.AudJpy Trade Idea
I published an AJ set up earlier and said what I was personally looking for before executing any longs or shorts. With price breaking and retesting the new hourly high on the 15m time frame I decided to take longs for a 1:3rr. We'll see if price taps into that major level of support above I spoke about in my last AJ post.
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Folgemeldungvor 20 Std.XAUUSD — Sell Pressure Below 4,300
Gold is still trading with a bearish intraday structure after failing to reclaim the upper liquidity zone. From Kelly’s view, the chart suggests that XAUUSD remains under selling pressure, and the current rebound is likely just a temporary pause before price continues lower. The key idea is simple: as long as gold stays capped below the 4,290–4,300 sell zone, the market may continue rotating down toward the 4,254 support, then extend lower into the 4,235 area and possibly the final wave target near 4,160–4,170. ⟡ Market structure Gold is currently trading around 4,290, right below the short-term liquidity sell zone. The recent price action keeps printing lower highs, which tells us that sellers still control the structure. The area around 4,290–4,300 is important because it acts as immediate resistance. If price continues rejecting from this zone, the market may retest 4,254 first. A break below that support would likely expose the next reaction zone around 4,235–4,245. From the Elliott Wave view, the chart still supports a bearish continuation. The current movement looks like a corrective wave before another downside leg develops. If sellers stay in control, the market may complete the next push lower toward the 4,160–4,170 target zone. ➤ Key levels ◌ Current price area: 4,290 ◌ Sell zone liquidity: 4,288–4,300 ◌ Intraday resistance: 4,300–4,310 ◌ Strong support: 4,254 ◌ Buy scalping wave 4 zone: 4,235–4,245 ◌ Main bearish target: 4,160–4,170 ◌ Bearish invalidation: above 4,310 ⌁ Elliott Wave view The chart shows a bearish Elliott Wave continuation structure. Price is struggling below the sell liquidity zone, which may be the ceiling for the current recovery attempt. If gold cannot break above 4,300, the next move may be a decline toward 4,254. After that, a short rebound from the 4,235–4,245 wave 4 support zone may appear. But if the broader bearish structure stays intact, the next selling leg could extend toward 4,160–4,170 to complete the downside wave sequence. This is why Kelly is still prioritizing the bearish scenario while price remains below resistance. ▸ Trading scenario Preferred bearish scenario Entry: Sell around 4,288–4,300 if price shows bearish rejection Stop Loss: Above 4,310 Take Profit 1: 4,254 Take Profit 2: 4,235–4,245 Take Profit 3: 4,160–4,170 Alternative scenario If gold breaks above 4,300 and holds above that zone, short-term downside pressure may weaken. In that case, price could recover higher first before sellers return. ◌ Confirmation Bearish confirmation comes if price continues rejecting below 4,300 and breaks down through 4,254. ◌ Invalidation The bearish view becomes weaker if gold closes above 4,310 with strong momentum. That would suggest the market is no longer respecting the current sell zone. ⌁ Kelly’s view Kelly’s main view remains bearish while gold stays below the 4,288–4,300 liquidity zone. The chart still favors selling rallies rather than chasing buys at the current level. If sellers defend resistance, gold may continue lower toward 4,254, then 4,235–4,245. A deeper extension could later complete near 4,160–4,170. Do you think gold will reject directly from this sell zone, or make one more small bounce before the next leg down?
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Folgemeldungvor 20 Std.Bearish Liquidity Sweep Setup | XAUUSD 16/09
Gold is trading around 4,286 on the H1 chart, consolidating inside a range between 4,260 and 4,318 after a strong bearish displacement from the 4,390–4,400 OB. The market is currently in accumulation, but the broader H1 structure remains bearish. My expectation for today is a potential move toward the upper range liquidity before another downside expansion. The key is to wait for confirmation at the upper liquidity rather than entering in the middle of the range. 🔎 H1 Market Structure • The previous bearish displacement broke the earlier bullish structure and established a lower-high/lower-low sequence. • Price is currently ranging between 4,260 and 4,318. • The upper range liquidity around 4,307–4,318 is the main area of interest. • The range low at 4,260 remains the first major downside objective. • The marked OB Support around 4,230–4,240 is the extended downside zone. 💧 Main POI — Upper Range Liquidity 4,307–4,318 This is the main zone for today's setup. I am looking for price to expand into this liquidity area, potentially sweep the range highs, and then show a bearish reaction. No entry will be considered simply because price reaches the zone. Confirmation is required. 🎯 Today's Trading Plan — Bearish Scenario Expected Direction: Bearish continuation after an upper liquidity sweep. Entry Zone: 4,304–4,312 Entry Condition: Price moves into the 4,307–4,318 liquidity zone. A liquidity sweep or rejection develops. M5/M15 prints bearish MSS with clear displacement. Price retests the bearish FVG or OB created after the displacement. Entry is considered around 4,304–4,312, only if the confirmation structure supports the entry. Stop Loss: 4,324 The setup is invalidated if price sustains above the upper liquidity and breaks the bearish confirmation structure. Take Profit: 🎯 TP1: 4,280 — First downside reaction area. 🎯 TP2: 4,260 — Accumulation range low. 🎯 TP3: 4,235 — OB Support area. Trade Management: • Secure partial profit at TP1 if price reacts as expected. • Move SL toward breakeven only after a confirmed structural move in favor. • TP2 is the main range objective. • TP3 is the extended objective if the range low breaks with strong bearish displacement. 📉 Why This Setup? The H1 structure is bearish, and the upper range liquidity provides a clear area where a potential reversal may develop. If price sweeps 4,307–4,318 and confirms bearish MSS, the market may expand toward 4,260. A break below 4,260 would open the possibility of a deeper move toward 4,230–4,240. 🔄 Alternative Scenario — Bullish Breakout If price breaks above 4,318 and sustains bullish momentum: • The bearish setup is invalidated. • A retest around 4,310–4,318 may offer a potential bullish continuation area. • The next upside reference is the FIBO Zone around 4,328–4,350. • A deeper recovery toward the 4,390–4,400 OB remains possible if bullish momentum continues. No bearish entry will be taken if the market sustains above the invalidation level. 🚫 No-Trade Zone 4,280–4,304 If price remains inside the middle of the accumulation range without reaching the main liquidity zone or providing clear confirmation, I will stay out. The goal is to avoid entering in the middle of the range where risk-to-reward may be less favorable. 🧠 My Bias My H1 bias remains bearish for today. The main scenario is a potential liquidity sweep around 4,307–4,318, followed by bearish confirmation and a move toward 4,260. The extended objective is 4,230–4,240 if the range low breaks. The bearish idea is invalidated by sustained bullish acceptance above 4,318.
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Folgemeldungvor 20 Std.XAUUSD — Technical Analysis
Gold is currently trading within a clear range structure between the support and resistance zones. Support: 4,260–4,268 Resistance: 4,305–4,312 Price is showing a potential reaction from the lower support area. A move toward 4,305–4,312 could be considered if support holds and bullish momentum develops. A sustained break above resistance may indicate further upside momentum. If support breaks, the bullish setup would weaken and price could continue lower. This analysis is based on technical structure and market price action. It is not financial advice.
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Folgemeldungvor 20 Std.XAUUSD Remains Bearish as Sellers Defend the Trend
XAUUSD is still trading in a clear bearish trend , supported by both the current macro environment and a well-defined technical structure. From a macro perspective, gold remains under pressure as hotter U.S. inflation has strengthened expectations of a Fed rate hike , while Treasury yields remain elevated and the U.S. dollar continues to hold firm. With the market approaching the Fed’s policy decision, higher-rate expectations are keeping the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets elevated, creating an unfavorable environment for gold. Technically, XAUUSD continues to move steadily inside a descending channel on the H1 timeframe . The sequence of lower highs and lower lows remains intact, while price is still trading below the Ichimoku Cloud. The current rebound therefore looks more like a technical correction within the broader downtrend rather than evidence of a genuine bullish reversal. The 4,305–4,330 area remains the key resistance zone. As long as price stays below this region and the descending channel remains intact, the preferred scenario is for selling pressure to return, with 4,205 as the next major downside target .
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Folgemeldungvor 20 Std.XAUUSD - Daily Analysis
Price is consolidating below the 0.5 Fib level. If price retests the 0.5 Fib level, look for downside continuation. If price retraces to the 0.618 Fib level, look for a potential reversal to the upside.
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Folgemeldungvor 19 Std.XAU/USD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 16
Looking ahead at the gold price trend over the next 15 days, the key factor for short-term movement is not merely whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates this time, but whether the post-meeting resolution alters market expectations regarding future interest rates. If the Fed continues to emphasize that high interest rates will be maintained for a longer period, gold and silver will remain under pressure; conversely, if the Fed adopts a cautious stance regarding inflation driven by oil prices, safe-haven capital might provide some support to gold and silver prices. From a technical perspective, gold exhibited a classic "shakeout" pattern of range-bound volatility yesterday. After surging to the 4317 level during the Asian session, the price retreated rapidly due to resistance from a trend line, subsequently finding support and rebounding near this week's lows. The daily chart closed with a "Doji" star, while the hourly and four-hour charts maintain a sideways range-bound pattern—fluctuating between 4250/4260 and 4310/4320—with frequent shifts between bullish and bearish momentum. The main event is today's Federal Reserve interest rate decision; while market expectations remain largely unchanged, the focus should be on the actual data and policy commentary following the announcement. My recommendations: SELL: Near 4320 SELL: Near 4335
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Folgemeldungvor 19 Std.XAUUSD Upside
First, after the recent sell-off, XAUUSD transitions into range behavior. The bearish momentum starts to slow, and instead of continuing lower, price moves back and forth around the lows, gradually building a base. Now focus on the key zone around 4,300–4,315 marked on the chart. This area has been containing price during the consolidation, making it an important short-term barrier for buyers. This time, however, price approaches the zone differently. The move higher becomes more aggressive and concentrated , and buying pressure starts to build. Eventually, price pushes through the short-term descending structure and breaks above the range. That breakout changes the immediate picture. Instead of chasing the move, I would watch for price to pull back toward the breakout area . If 4,300–4,315 can hold as new support, it would suggest that previous resistance is beginning to flip into demand. From there, buyers could regain momentum and extend the recovery toward 4,370 . The key idea is simple: range → pressure builds → breakout → retest → continuation.
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Folgemeldungvor 19 Std.XAUUSD H1: Gold Just Escaped. 4,400 Is Waiting Upstairs
Forget yesterday’s bearish structure for a moment. Something changed. Gold spent nearly three days doing almost nothing between 4,270 and 4,312. Every attempt higher was pushed back. Every bounce looked temporary. Then one H1 candle erased that patience. Price ripped through the range ceiling and landed around 4,335. So I am not interested in asking: “Is Gold bullish or bearish?” That question is too early. There is a better one: Was that candle an escape — or bait? 🚪 4,324 IS THE DOOR GOLD JUST KICKED OPEN The breakout point is more useful to me than the breakout candle itself. That point sits around 4,324. If Gold comes back here, slows down, tests the area and refuses to trade below it, then buyers have done something meaningful: They have turned yesterday’s ceiling into today’s floor. I would trade that. 4,325–4,333 → BUY Protection: 4,309 First cash-out: 4,365 Main destination: 4,395–4,405 I do not need another huge green candle. Actually, I would rather see Gold pull back first. A calm retest gives me a much cleaner trade than buying after a vertical move. 🧱 THEN GOLD WALKS INTO THE WRONG NEIGHBORHOOD There is a problem waiting roughly $60 higher. 4,395–4,405. Look left. That box is not randomly drawn on the chart. It is the area from which sellers previously managed to push Gold away, and now the breakout path points almost directly back toward it. This creates an unusual situation: I can be bullish at 4,330 and bearish at 4,400 on the same day. There is no contradiction. Location changes the trade. If Gold reaches 4,395–4,405 and buyers begin getting rejected on H1, I switch sides. 4,395–4,405 → SELL after rejection Protection: 4,420 First target: 4,365 Second target: 4,348 Final target: 4,325 No rejection? No short. I would rather miss the top than stand in front of a breakout that is still accelerating. 🪤 NOW FOR THE SETUP THAT COULD HURT LATE BUYERS Suppose Gold does exactly what breakout traders want. It trades above 4,324. People buy. Then price suddenly closes an H1 candle back underneath 4,324. That would immediately make today's move suspicious. I call this the “return ticket.” Gold escaped the range… …and then came straight back. If that happens, I would wait for a failed attempt to recover 4,324 and use it as my short trigger. 4,316–4,324 → SELL SL: 4,343 TP1: 4,292 TP2: 4,272 TP3: 4,255 Notice what I am not doing: I am not selling because Gold “looks overbought.” I am selling because the market would have failed to keep territory it just broke. That is a completely different reason. 🧨 AND IF 4,405 BREAKS? Then I throw the previous script away. Seriously. An H1 close above 4,405, followed by a retest that stays above approximately 4,395, would mean sellers failed at the exact location where they were supposed to appear. That failure is information. I would then look for: BUY: 4,398–4,408 after the hold SL: 4,380 TP1: 4,430 TP2: 4,465 TP3: 4,490–4,500 At that stage, I would no longer describe Gold as simply bouncing from 4,255. The H1 structure would be attempting something much bigger. ♟️ MY BOARD FOR TODAY I only need to remember two numbers: 4,324 tells me whether the breakout deserves trust. 4,405 tells me whether the old bearish story still deserves respect. Everything between them is the battlefield. So if Gold pulls back to 4,324, I watch buyers. If Gold reaches 4,400, I watch sellers. If 4,324 collapses, I follow price back downstairs. If 4,405 collapses, I follow price upstairs. Simple. Yesterday, sellers had the chart. Today, buyers have stolen the first move. Now we find out whether they stole the trend too.
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Folgemeldungvor 18 Std.XAUUSD — Buy Zones 4308–4308 & 4300–4294 | 15M Setup
🟢 XAUUSD BUY SETUP Two potential buy zones identified on the 15-minute timeframe: 📍 Zone #1: 4308 – 4308 📍 Zone #2: 4300 – 4294 Price is expected to react from one of these zones and continue higher. ⚠️ Entry is NOT immediate. Wait for a clear 1M market structure confirmation inside the zone before taking the trade. Zone → 1M Confirmation → Entry → Bullish continuation 📈 🎯 Manage risk carefully and wait for confirmation. #XAUUSD #GOLD #GoldTrading #TradingSetup #PriceAction #MarketStructure #Forex #15MTrading
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Folgemeldungvor 18 Std.GOLD XAUUSD — Bullish Reversal Setup | Key Resistance Breakout
XAUUSD is showing a potential bullish reversal after defending the 4,270–4,290 support zone. Price has reclaimed the 4,300 area, with momentum now approaching the 4,340–4,360 resistance zone. Bullish confirmation: sustained breakout above 4,340–4,360, followed by a break of 4,380–4,400. Key upside areas: 4,420 and potentially 4,470. Invalidation/weakness: loss of 4,270 support. ⚠️ Levels are based on the structure visible in this chart and should be confirmed with price action and risk management.
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Folgemeldungvor 18 Std.XAUUSD upside
After the recent drop, price stopped falling and started moving sideways. There is no clear direction yet, as buyers and sellers are still fighting for control. Now look at the key resistance zone on the chart. Price has struggled to move above this area before, so it remains an important level to watch. This time, however, the move toward resistance looks stronger and more direct. Buyers are pushing price higher, and pressure is gradually building for a possible breakout.
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XAGUSD | Potential Buy Setup
Previous buy idea was stopped out, but price is now respecting the ascending channel/trendline. Expecting another push higher from the current zone, with TP1 & TP2 as targets. Bullish while support holds. Invalidation below the marked zone. Same bullish expectation for Gold (XAUUSD).
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Folgemeldungvor 18 Std.XAUUSD H1: Gold Is Rising Into a Trap, Not a Breakout
Gold has finally produced a strong H1 recovery from the lows. That sounds bullish. The problem is that 4,328 is not where I want to buy it. Price has already escaped the small demand area around 4,260–4,278, reclaimed the short-term EMAs, and is now accelerating higher. But directly above current price sits the most important feature on today's chart: the 4,340–4,380 IFVG. So instead of asking whether Gold is going up or down, I am asking a different question: How does Gold behave once this rally enters 4,340–4,380? That answer will decide my trade. The chart has a “red corridor” Think of 4,340–4,380 as a corridor that buyers now have to cross. The lower door is around 4,340–4,345. Inside the corridor sits the H1 EMA200 near 4,362. The upper door is around 4,380. This combination matters because Gold is still recovering inside a broader bearish H1 structure. A rally into this area can therefore do one of two very different things: get absorbed by sellers and rotate lower, or eat through the remaining supply and turn the recovery into something much larger. I do not need to guess which one. I can let 4,340–4,380 show me. My first trade actually begins with doing nothing At approximately 4,328, I am not interested in chasing the current bullish candle. Buying here means buying directly underneath resistance. Selling here means trying to stop momentum before it has even reached resistance. Neither gives me the location I want. I would rather watch Gold travel another 15–30 dollars and trade the reaction. If the red corridor rejects Gold I want to see price trade into 4,345–4,365 and fail there. A wick alone is not enough. My trigger is an H1 rejection followed by a close back below 4,340. That would tell me buyers reached supply but could not establish acceptance inside it. Then I have a trade. SELL — FAILED AUCTION Entry: 4,338–4,345 after H1 rejection SL: 4,368 TP1: 4,305 TP2: 4,280 TP3: 4,265 TP4: 4,255 The interesting part is TP3. That takes us directly back to the small order block around 4,260–4,278, where buyers recently defended price. So I would not automatically expect Gold to collapse through it. That area gets another vote. 4,260–4,278 could become the best BUY location on this chart Here is where today's plan becomes less obvious. A rejection from the IFVG does not mean I remain bearish all the way down. If Gold falls back toward 4,260–4,278, I will watch how it arrives. If sellers sweep 4,260, but price refuses to stay below the nearby 4,253 support and then produces an H1 close back above 4,278, I would treat that as a failed breakdown. That creates a completely different trade. BUY — LIQUIDITY SWEEP Entry: 4,275–4,282 after reclaim SL: 4,248 TP1: 4,305 TP2: 4,340 TP3: 4,360 TP4: 4,378 Why buy after a drop? Because the trade is not based on price being “cheap.” It is based on sellers being given the opportunity to break support — and failing to do it. That distinction matters. There is one scenario where I will not wait for 4,270 Gold may simply keep climbing. If that happens, 4,380 becomes the permission level. I do not want to buy the first candle that spikes above it. I want an H1 close above 4,380, followed by a pullback that holds approximately 4,360–4,380. That would achieve two things at once: Gold would clear the entire IFVG, and price would reclaim the EMA200 rather than merely touching it from underneath. That is a much stronger bullish message than today's bounce alone. BUY — IFVG FLIP Entry: 4,370–4,382 after successful retest SL: 4,345 TP1: 4,400 TP2: 4,420 TP3: 4,440 TP4: 4,475 And now TP4 makes sense. There is a much larger H1 Order Block waiting around 4,475–4,495. If Gold genuinely escapes the red corridor, that upper supply becomes relevant again. Not before. There is one price bulls cannot afford to lose 4,253. The chart already shows buyers defending the 4,260 area, and the latest rally started from just above this floor. An H1 close below 4,253 would tell me something has gone wrong with that defense. In that case, I would forget about trying to buy another dip at the small OB. I would wait for 4,253–4,265 to be retested from underneath. SELL — SUPPORT FAILURE Entry: 4,250–4,260 after bearish retest SL: 4,280 TP1: 4,230 TP2: 4,205 TP3: 4,180 This is the scenario where today's recovery becomes irrelevant. The floor has failed. The map changes with it. Forget bullish or bearish. Read the sequence. Today's chart can be reduced to a simple journey: 4,328 → 4,340 → 4,362 → 4,380 If Gold starts failing along that journey, I look back toward 4,280–4,260. If Gold completes the journey and turns 4,380 into support, I stop fading the rally and look toward 4,400–4,440, with 4,475–4,495 becoming the bigger destination. And if everything reverses and 4,253 breaks, the bullish recovery loses its foundation. That is why I am not choosing BUY or SELL at 4,328. The current rally is only the invitation. The reaction inside 4,340–4,380 is the actual trade. Would you rather SELL the IFVG rejection or wait for 4,380 to flip and BUY the breakout?
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Folgemeldungvor 18 Std.XAUUSD
I LIKE some sells from this area maybe a slight push up into the sell. educational purposes only. this is a risky sell but price wept so i like sells.
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Folgemeldungvor 18 Std.XAUUSD — 4H Bearish Structure | Bullish Pullback Into 4H Poi
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is currently presenting an interesting multi-timeframe setup where the 4H structure remains bearish, while the 15M has shifted bullish. At first glance, seeing bullish price action on the 15M could make the market appear bullish. However, in this setup, I am treating the 15M bullish movement as the pullback phase within the broader 4H bearish structure. The 4H has already established bearish structure, and the current objective remains to the downside. What I am now watching is whether the bullish 15M movement can continue higher into the marked 4H POI. The market is already showing signs of a Bullish Retracement on the lower timeframe. The 15M has established bullish structure, which gives me a reason to expect the pullback to continue rather than assuming price must immediately resume the 4H downside. This bullish movement is important because I want price to retrace into the 4H POI before looking for the next bearish continuation. The POI represents the area where I expect price to potentially interact with the higher-timeframe bearish structure. So I am not looking to sell simply because the 4H is bearish. I want price to first complete the pullback into the appropriate 4H area of interest. Another important component of this setup is LIQUIDITY. As price approaches the 4H POI, I am expecting the market to potentially take liquidity around the highs before reversing. This is why the path drawn on the chart shows a bullish movement into the upper area rather than an immediate drop. The idea is: Bullish pullback → reach 4H POI → take liquidity → bearish reaction → continuation lower. The liquidity sweep itself would not be enough for execution. I would still want to see the appropriate bearish confirmation after price reaches the POI. That distinction is important. 🎯 Downside Objective If price reaches the 4H POI, takes the relevant liquidity, and then produces bearish confirmation, the expectation is for the 4H bearish structure to continue. The marked 4H Sell-Side Liquidity below becomes an important downside objective. Therefore, the setup is not simply: “Gold is going up.” The bullish movement is being viewed as a pullback with a purpose. The broader narrative remains bearish until the 4H structure proves otherwise. 🧠 DAIFX TIMEFRAME HIERARCHY This setup is another good example of why different timeframes can tell different stories at the same time. 4H Bearish structure. This establishes the broader directional context and downside objective. 15M Bullish structure This represents the current pullback and gives us information about the path price may take toward the 4H POI. 4H POI Area of interest This is where I want price to reach before looking for the next bearish move. Liquidity Potential confirmation area Price may take liquidity around the highs before the bearish continuation. Execution Wait for bearish confirmation I don't sell simply because price reaches the POI. I want the market to demonstrate that sellers are actually taking control. 🎓 DAIFX MARKET LESSON A bullish lower timeframe does not automatically mean the higher timeframe has turned bullish. The 15M can be bullish while the 4H remains bearish. In this case, the 15M bullish structure is helping price complete a 4H pullback. This is why timeframe hierarchy matters. 4H gives the broader structure. 15M shows the current movement. The POI gives the location. Liquidity provides context. Confirmation gives the entry. So instead of asking: “Is Gold bullish or bearish?” I ask: “Which timeframe is bullish, which timeframe is bearish, and what is each timeframe trying to accomplish?” Right now, the answer is: The 15M is bullish because price is pulling back. The 4H remains bearish because the broader structure is still pointing lower. Don't confuse the pullback with the reversal.
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Folgemeldungvor 18 Std.SilentEntry GOLD Daily Outlook - 16 September 2026 | XAUUSD | H1
Gold has produced a strong H1 recovery from the 4260–4280 Major Support / Defence region, pushing back through 4290–4310 First Support and into our 4310–4328 Decision Area. At the time of analysis, Gold is trading around 4324. The immediate H1 momentum has improved significantly, but the broader D1/H4 structure remains corrective. Price is now approaching an important cluster of overhead resistance, meaning this is not an ideal location to chase the bullish move. 📊 Market Structure D1: 🔴 Bearish / Corrective H4: 🟠 Bearish / Recovery H1: 🟢 Bullish Recovery / Resistance Test The key question now is whether the current move can establish acceptance above 4328–4340, or whether sellers return as Gold enters resistance. 🗺️ Daily Mapper Major Resistance: 4340–4355 Near Resistance: 4328–4340 Decision Area: 4310–4328 First Support: 4290–4310 Major Support / Defence: 4260–4280 Bullish Recovery Invalidation: Below 4260 Deeper Bearish Target: 4230–4250 🟢 Bullish Scenario Gold has already recovered strongly from 4260–4280. For continuation, we want to see the 4310–4328 Decision Area hold, followed by H1 acceptance through 4328–4340. If confirmed: 🎯 TP1: 4340–4355 🎯 TP2: 4380–4400 🎯 TP3: 4415–4430 A clean H1 break above 4340, followed by a successful retest, would strengthen the bullish continuation case. Acceptance above 4355 would represent a more meaningful improvement in the H1/H4 recovery structure. 🔴 Bearish Scenario The 4328–4355 region is our main area to watch for fresh sellers. If Gold enters this area but fails to establish acceptance and subsequently loses 4310, the morning rally could begin looking more like a liquidity run into supply. Potential downside path: 🎯 TP1: 4290–4310 🎯 TP2: 4260–4280 🎯 TP3: 4230–4250 If 4230 eventually breaks with H1 acceptance, deeper downside toward approximately 4190–4215 could become exposed. The cleaner bearish confirmation would therefore be: 4328–4355 rejection → lose 4310 → lose 4290. 💧 Liquidity Watch The morning rally has taken liquidity above several of yesterday's H1 highs around 4310–4320. Now we need to determine whether that liquidity grab produces continuation or rejection. Break 4340 + hold/retest above 4328 → 🟢 Bullish acceptance. Sweep 4340–4355 + fall back below 4328/4310 → 🔴 Potential buy-side liquidity sweep. Likewise, any pullback into 4290–4310 should be watched closely. If buyers defend it, the zone could become the foundation for another attempt at resistance. 🟡 CURRENT CALL — WAIT Gold has already made a sharp recovery from the 4270s into the 4320s. We are now approaching resistance after the move, rather than sitting at an attractive support entry. Do not chase the green candles. Let price show us what happens around: 4328–4355. Above 4355 → 🟢 recovery strengthens Hold 4290–4310 → 🟢 buyers remain active Below 4290 → 🟠 recovery weakens Below 4260 → 🔴 recovery invalidated With major U.S. monetary-policy risk later in the session, false breakouts and liquidity sweeps remain possible. 🥷 SilentEntry — Precision Entries, Smart Risk ⚠️ Educational analysis only. Market levels and targets are not guaranteed. Wait for confirmation and always manage risk.
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Folgemeldungvor 18 Std.XAUUSD 1H: Gold Recovers From Support
Gold is trading around 4,327 on the 1-hour chart after showing a recovery from the lower price area. The chart highlights two important levels: - Support: 4,261.360 - Resistance: 4,403.030 Market Structure Price has recently moved upward from the support region, creating a short-term recovery. However, the broader market remains between the marked support and resistance levels. If buying interest continues, price may retest the resistance area. A rejection could lead to another pullback, while a sustained move above resistance would require confirmation from subsequent price action. Key Points Support: 4,261.360 Resistance: 4,403.030 Timeframe: 1H This analysis is based on the displayed chart structure and is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Market conditions can change, and no price movement is guaranteed.
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Folgemeldungvor 17 Std.Market Imbalances | Educational Analysis
Understanding Market Imbalances | Educational Analysis Market imbalances are an important concept in technical analysis because they help explain how price can move rapidly through a particular range and leave behind an inefficient area in the market structure An imbalance can develop when aggressive buying or selling creates a fast directional movement with relatively limited trading activity between certain price levels The resulting gap or inefficient zone can later become an area of interest as price returns to test or rebalance that structure This chart presents a visual framework for understanding how market imbalances can appear in different conditions The examples include upward and downward imbalances and demonstrate the relationship between an impulsive price movement, the formation of an imbalance, a possible revisit, and potential continuation One important point is that an imbalance should not automatically be interpreted as an entry signal The presence of an imbalance alone does not determine what price will do next Price may revisit the zone, partially fill it, move completely through it, or continue without returning to it The first part of the chart compares balanced and imbalanced market conditions In a balanced environment, price generally moves with more interaction between buyers and sellers During an aggressive move, however, price can travel quickly through a range and leave an inefficient structure behind The chart also separates upward and downward imbalances An upward imbalance can develop during strong bullish movement, while a downward imbalance can develop during strong bearish movement These structures can be useful for studying how price behaves after periods of aggressive directional expansion Another important aspect is understanding why imbalances form Fast price movement, liquidity being taken, limited trading activity, and aggressive order execution can contribute to inefficient price movement These factors do not guarantee that an imbalance will later be filled, but they can help explain why certain zones become relevant during subsequent price action The revisit process is particularly important from an analytical perspective After an imbalance has formed, traders can observe whether price eventually returns toward the zone and how the market reacts when it reaches that region The reaction can provide additional information about the current structure and momentum Common examples of imbalance-related structures include Fair Value Gaps, liquidity gaps, breakaway gaps, and session gaps Each structure can develop under different market conditions, so they should not be treated as identical formations Context, timeframe, volatility, and surrounding price structure should always be considered when studying them A useful analytical approach is to first identify the imbalance, then observe the broader market structure, wait for price to interact with the relevant zone, and evaluate the reaction rather than assuming the outcome in advance This keeps the analysis focused on market behavior instead of relying on a single pattern The key lesson from this chart is that an imbalance is best viewed as a zone of interest within market structure, not as a guaranteed destination or automatic trading opportunity The market can rebalance an inefficient area and continue its previous direction, but it can also invalidate the expected reaction Risk management is equally important when applying technical analysis No chart pattern or market structure provides certainty, and unexpected volatility can cause price to behave differently from the initial analysis Any trading decision should therefore consider appropriate risk control, position sizing, timeframe, and overall market conditions This publication is intended strictly for educational and analytical purposes It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument The purpose is to explain the concept of market imbalances and encourage structured observation of price behavior Study the structure, understand the imbalance, observe the reaction, and let the market provide confirmation rather than assuming the outcome in advance
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Folgemeldungvor 17 Std.Fundamental Market Analysis for September 16, 2026 GBPUSD
The pound approaches the session with weakened internal support following fresh UK labor market data. Wage growth excluding bonuses slowed to 3.5%, job vacancies fell to 702 thousand, and employment on payrolls decreased in August. This backdrop reduces pressure on the Bank of England from wages and limits arguments for accelerated policy tightening. Today, the market awaits UK inflation data for August, and on Thursday, the Bank of England's decision. Consensus expects headline inflation to accelerate to 3.1%, but the regulator is widely expected to keep rates unchanged. Expensive oil creates a double risk: it intensifies price pressures, but for an energy importer, it increases costs for businesses and households, dampening economic activity. On the external side, the dollar retains its advantage ahead of the Fed's decision amid high US bond yields and a rate hike that is almost fully priced in. Stronger UK inflation could support the pound, but a weak labor market reduces the likelihood that the local factor will consistently outweigh the dollar's momentum. Under current conditions, the priority remains a decline in GBP/USD. Trading idea: SELL 1.34800, SL 1.35150, TP 1.34000
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Folgemeldungvor 17 Std.XAUUSD — 30M Market Structure Analysis
Gold is currently trading around 4,326, with price approaching a descending trendline and a marked supply zone. 🔎 Technical Structure Price has been respecting a descending trendline, keeping the broader structure under pressure. A Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by a BOS suggests a potential short-term change in order flow. The 4,280–4,300 area is marked as a 30M FVG + OB, which could act as an area of interest if price retraces. Below that, the 4H OB around 4,230–4,250 provides a deeper structural reference. The 4,350–4,360 supply/PDH area remains an important resistance zone. 📈 Bullish Scenario If price retraces into the 30M FVG + OB and shows bullish confirmation on a lower timeframe, the next areas to monitor would be: 4,330 → 4,350 → 4,360 A sustained break and acceptance above the descending trendline and supply zone could indicate further upside toward the higher marked levels. 📉 Bearish Scenario If price rejects the trendline/supply area and breaks the 30M FVG + OB, attention could shift toward: 4,280 → 4,260 → 4,230–4,250 Confirmation should come from price action/market structure rather than assuming the projected path will occur. 📝 TradingView Idea Description XAUUSD | 30M Structure & Key Levels 🔍 Gold is approaching a key confluence of the descending trendline and the 4,350–4,360 supply area. Below current price, the 4,280–4,300 region contains a 30M FVG + OB that may become relevant on a retracement. I’ll be watching how price reacts around these areas and looking for lower-timeframe confirmation before considering the next directional move. Key Levels: 🔹 4,280–4,300 — 30M FVG + OB 🔹 4,350–4,360 — Supply / PDH 🔹 4,230–4,250 — 4H OB This is technical market analysis for educational purposes, not financial advice. Price can invalidate either scenario. #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SMC #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis
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Folgemeldungvor 16 Std.XAUUSD Technical Update: Key Levels & Retest Scenarios
Gold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bullish momentum on the 15-minute chart, currently trading near the 4,328 handle following a sharp upward push.
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Folgemeldungvor 16 Std.XAGUSD — 30M Market Structure Analysis
Silver is trading around 64.65 on the 30M chart. The chart shows a prior bearish move followed by a developing recovery, with price now approaching key liquidity and resistance areas. 🔎 Technical Structure Price previously swept BSL near 63.00 and then established a bullish reaction. A BOS occurred around the 62.85–63.00 region, followed by a gradual sequence of higher lows. The rising trendline indicates improving short-term structure. The 63.65–64.00 area contains the marked 30M FVG + OB / support zone. Above current price, 65.30–65.50 SSL is an important liquidity reference. The 65.50–66.00 30M OB represents the major overhead resistance/supply area shown on the chart. 📈 Bullish Scenario A retracement into the 63.65–64.00 FVG + OB followed by bullish lower-timeframe confirmation could keep the recovery structure intact. Potential areas to monitor: 64.65 → 65.30 → 65.50 → 65.50–66.00 A clean acceptance above the SSL area would change the structure of the move and bring the higher 30M OB into focus. 📉 Invalidation / Bearish Scenario If price loses the 63.65–64.00 support/FVG area and breaks the rising structure, the bullish setup would weaken. The next downside references on the chart are around 63.00 and the 62.45 PDL area. 📝 TradingView Idea — Ready to Post XAGUSD | 30M Market Structure 🔍 Silver is showing a developing bullish recovery after sweeping sell-side liquidity and forming a BOS. Price is currently trading above the 30M FVG + OB, with the 63.65–64.00 region acting as a key area of interest. I’ll be watching the reaction around this zone and the rising structure for confirmation. Above, 65.30–65.50 represents an important liquidity area, while the 65.50–66.00 zone is marked as a higher-timeframe resistance area. Key Levels: 🔹 63.65–64.00 — 30M FVG + OB 🔹 65.30–65.50 — SSL / liquidity 🔹 65.50–66.00 — 30M OB 🔹 62.45 — PDL This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Market structure can change, and the outlined scenarios are not guaranteed outcomes. #XAGUSD #Silver #Forex #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SMC #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis
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Folgemeldungvor 16 Std.Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | September 16, 2026
H4 Timeframe H4 momentum is currently still in the overbought zone. From a momentum perspective, the current bullish move has not yet shown the characteristics of a strong potential uptrend. When H4 momentum remains overbought, the probability of a bearish reversal is still relatively high. Looking at the H4 chart, we can see a fairly clear Zigzag structure. However, pay attention to the connecting wave: it is a relatively strong and sharp bullish move, which is not usually a typical characteristic of a Wave B. That said, considering that Wave A previously moved down with strong momentum and created a significant imbalance, a strong Wave B rebound to rebalance price is still entirely possible. Under this interpretation, the decline moving inside the price channel could be Wave C. If that is the case, there may still be one final bearish move to complete Wave 5. Of course, this is only my current interpretation. In my view, fixing the wave labels at this stage is still not practical because the wave structure is not clear enough. Therefore, we should continue waiting for confirmation from price action. We have just seen a very strong bullish candle. If this is confirmation of a 5-wave bullish trend, then this strong candle should belong to Wave 3. In that case, bullish momentum needs to continue, and price may advance toward the 4403 area. If this happens, we will have stronger evidence of a 5-wave bullish structure. At the same time, this structure could also represent the first wave of a larger long-term bullish trend. Volume Profile Looking at the Volume Profile, there are currently two price levels that I have marked in red: 4316 4438 These are the boundaries of a very high-volume trading area. If price can remain above 4316, this would be a very positive signal for the bullish trend. In that case, price could continue moving toward 4438. This development would also provide stronger confirmation of a 5-wave bullish structure in terms of both divergence and price targets. On the other hand, if price fails to hold above 4316, a bearish move lasting at least 3–5 H4 candles could occur, potentially continuing until H4 momentum reaches the oversold zone. Trading Focus At this stage, we will use the 4316 area as the key level to monitor. Around this area, we will look for either trend-continuation or reversal signals to identify potential trading opportunities.
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Folgemeldungvor 16 Std.EURUSD
Price has broken the pennant on the 1H timeframe. I'm expecting bullish momentum.
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Folgemeldungvor 16 Std.XAUUSD — Technical Analysis | Descending Trendline Setup
🟡 XAUUSD — Technical Analysis | Descending Trendline Setup 📊 Market Structure: Bearish-to-neutral 💰 Current Price: ~4,330 🔻 Key Resistance 4,400–4,450 → Immediate resistance / descending trendline confluence 4,680–4,700 → Major resistance zone 🟢 Key Support 4,280 → Primary support 4,240 → Strong support / trendline area 📈 Bullish Scenario If price holds above 4,280 and breaks the descending trendline with confirmation, a move toward 4,400–4,450 becomes technically possible. A sustained breakout above this zone could shift the structure toward 4,500+. 📉 Bearish Scenario A clear break below 4,280 may expose the 4,240 support area. Failure to hold 4,240 would weaken the current recovery structure further. 🎯 Technical Bias Price is compressed between strong support and the descending trendline. The key confirmation is a breakout rather than anticipating the direction. ⚠️ Educational technical analysis — not financial advice. Always manage risk and wait for confirmation.
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldungvor 16 Std.
Morning forecast on EURUSD
Good morning family heres my forecast for today lets see what happens
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Folgemeldungvor 16 Std.XAUUSD 1H — EQL Sweep & Potential Bearish Reversal
Gold is currently testing the 4,333–4,340 liquidity zone, where equal highs have formed. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, price may be targeting buy-side liquidity (BSL) above the equal highs before delivering bearish displacement. 🔍 Key Levels 4,333–4,340 → EQL / Buy-Side Liquidity 4,315.7 → 0.618 Fibonacci 4,303.45 → 0.5 Fibonacci 4,250–4,255 → Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) 4,350–4,360 → Major Supply Zone 📉 Bearish Scenario If price sweeps the EQL/BSL and rejects the 4,333–4,340 area, I’ll be watching for bearish displacement and a move toward 4,315 → 4,303 → 4,250–4,255 SSL. 📈 Invalidation A strong breakout and acceptance above 4,350–4,360 would invalidate this bearish setup and shift attention toward higher liquidity. SMC Sequence: BSL Sweep → Rejection → Bearish Displacement → SSL Target 🎯 #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #Forex #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #Liquidity #PriceAction #ICT #TradingView
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Folgemeldungvor 15 Std.# EURUSD Week W38-2026: 10Y Real Yield Hits 2.6% and ECB Hike ..
# EURUSD Week W38-2026: 10Y Real Yield Hits 2.6% and ECB Hike Fails to Lift the Euro, Pair Tests TrendSL From Underneath Ahead of Today's FOMC Decision | 16 September 2026 **Reference data** | week 2026-W38 - Symbol: EURUSD - Week: 2026-W38 - Bias: bearish - Conviction: medium - Regime: trending_down - FX implication: trend_follow - MTF alignment: all_bearish - VWAP weekly: 1.15618 - TrendSL weekly: 1.15571 - Thesis snapshot close: 1.15369 - Current market price: 1.15422 (as of 2026-09-16T06:04:00+00:00; source mt5:EURUSD.sml:1m) - US 10Y yield: 4.97% - US 2Y yield: 4.65% - US 10Y real yield: 2.6% - DXY: bias=bearish, close_price=99.325 ## L0 - Regime Identification The immediate backdrop on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 is dominated by two developments that, on the surface, appear contradictory. The ECB delivered a 25-basis-point hike to 2.50% on 10 September, the kind of move that would normally give the euro a lift. Instead, EURUSD sat near 1.1541 shortly after and has since drifted toward a one-month low of 1.1523. That tells you something important: the market is not rewarding the ECB move because it is already looking past it toward the Fed. With a 95% probability of a Fed hike priced in for today (per ForexFactory calendar data for 16/09/2026) and the 10-year Treasury yield touching approximately 5.041% -- its highest since 2007 -- the dollar's gravitational pull is simply overwhelming what the ECB has done. The regime classification is trending_down, and price behavior around the ECB event confirms rather than questions it. The prior week's structural bias was already bearish; this week adds the weight of a live Fed catalyst sitting directly ahead. ## L1 - Driver Stack The bearish case rests on a layered set of forces, not a single lever: > **Rate differential (strongest driver, weight 0.80):** The gap between Fed and ECB policy rates -- and more importantly between real yields -- is the core engine here. When the Fed holds or raises real yields while the ECB's real rate remains compressed, dollar-denominated assets offer a higher inflation-adjusted return than euro-denominated ones. That relative incentive pressures EURUSD lower; it describes a pricing mechanism, not directly measured capital flows. With the US 10Y real yield at 2.6% (see L2), this differential is the dominant force in the framework's bearish output. -> **Hawkish Fed narrative into FOMC (bearish for EURUSD):** Forward guidance from today's press conference and economic projections (ForexFactory calendar, 16/09/2026) could widen the rate-differential story further if the dot plot signals rates staying high for longer. -> **Oil above $90 reinforcing inflation and dollar demand:** Sustained oil prices keep inflation expectations elevated, which both validates continued Fed hawkishness and attracts safe-haven demand for the dollar -- two reinforcing channels working against the euro. -> **ECB hike absorbed without euro strength (bearish confirmation):** The market's failure to sustain any EUR rally after the 10 September ECB hike signals that the euro side of the pair lacks genuine buying support at current levels. -> **Conflicting signals traders should not ignore -- COT positioning (bullish, directional lean) and price action (bullish component):** Both carry upward-leaning readings. Note that the COT reading reflects a directional lean in positioning, but the brief does not specify the exact report week, net-position figure, or release date, so treat it as directional evidence rather than a standalone citable statistic. The structural overlay is currently overriding these component-level readings. That override deserves respect, but it also means the bearish thesis carries more uncertainty than a clean all-bearish sweep would. -> **TGA decline (-12.06% over four weeks) partially offsetting:** A falling Treasury General Account -- the government's cash pile at the Fed -- tends to release reserves into the banking system, which is mildly dollar-bearish and mildly supportive of risk assets. It partially offsets the hawkish narrative but is not a standalone FX directional signal. ## L2 - Macro Snapshot The macro picture is anchored by a US yield complex that has repriced significantly. The 10Y yield sits at 4.97%, the 2Y at 4.65%, and critically, the 10Y real yield -- the yield after stripping out inflation compensation -- is at 2.6%. Real yields at this level matter because they represent the purchasing-power return available on dollar assets. When real yields rise, holding non-dollar assets becomes relatively less attractive, and that is the mechanical link between the 2.6% real yield and EURUSD pressure. The data establish the incentive, not the size or direction of actual cross-border flows. The US liquidity proxy (Fed assets minus TGA minus overnight reverse repo) stood at approximately $5,896 billion as of 9 September, up roughly $96.7 billion over four weeks. The TGA itself fell 12.06% over the same period to $843.7 billion. These are system-level plumbing figures from FRED -- they tell you the direction of reserve flows but are not a direct FX order-flow signal, and they introduce a mild counterweight to the otherwise dollar-bullish macro setup. Funding conditions remain stable: SOFR came in at 3.62% versus IORB at 3.65% on 14 September, a spread of -3 basis points. That narrow negative spread means overnight dollar funding is functioning normally -- no stress signal that would force a carry unwind (forced unwinding of positions that borrow cheaply to hold higher-yielding assets, which would flood the market with dollars and push the pair sharply in one direction). Equity sentiment adds color without changing the FX directional call. VIX at 17.20 (15 September, yfinance) sits in normal territory -- not a fear spike that would trigger broad risk-off positioning. CNN Fear & Greed at 28/100 (16 September) reflects caution in US equities. Neither reading is an FX direction signal on its own; they simply confirm no extreme sentiment distortion is masking the underlying rate dynamic. ## L3 - Technical Structure As of Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 06:04 UTC (source: mt5:EURUSD.sml:1m), EURUSD is trading at 1.15422. The thesis snapshot close was 1.15369 -- price has edged slightly above that historical reference but remains structurally soft. The critical technical observation is the relationship to the two weekly levels. Price at 1.15422 is below VWAP weekly at 1.15618, testing from underneath -- the pair has not reclaimed that level, and every failed attempt to do so reinforces the seller's control of the weekly auction. Price is also below TrendSL weekly at 1.15571, again testing from underneath. The gap between current price and TrendSL is only 0.00149, meaning the market is pressing against the lower side of that level, not above it. A weekly close above 1.15571 would be the structural event that changes this picture -- but that condition has not been met. Multi-timeframe alignment is all-bearish across the timeframes surveyed. When shorter and longer timeframes agree on direction, it typically means there is no competing trend on a higher frame to absorb selling pressure -- trend-following setups carry less headwind in those conditions. Retail positioning shows 53% longs versus 47% shorts (fxssi, 16 September). That split is essentially balanced -- no contrarian lean can be extracted from it. The broker sample covers only a subset of FX participants and should not be read as representative of institutional flow. ## L4 - Intermarket Cross-Check The DXY cross-reference for W38 shows a bearish bias on the dollar index itself, with a close at 99.325 -- and notably, conviction on that DXY call is set to stand aside, meaning the evidence for a sustained dollar move in either direction is not convincing enough to size a position there. This creates a genuine tension worth naming directly: if EURUSD is bearish and DXY is also biased bearish (dollar down), those two views are mathematically in conflict, since a falling dollar would normally lift EURUSD. The resolution here is that the EURUSD bearish thesis is driven primarily by the rate-differential and structural overlay rather than a clean dollar-strength story. The DXY's ambivalent conviction signals that the dollar index itself may be range-bound or driven by idiosyncratic cross dynamics (particularly EUR/GBP or JPY pairs), while EURUSD faces euro-specific selling pressure from the ECB-versus-Fed gap. Traders should hold both readings with that tension in mind -- it is not an error in the framework, it is a real conflict in the intermarket picture. The FX implication from the regime is trend_follow, meaning the setup favors positioning with the established downtrend rather than fading it -- consistent with the all-bearish multi-timeframe read. ## L5 - Event Risk Today is the single highest-impact event day of this week. All four FOMC-related releases are scheduled for 16/09/2026 per ForexFactory calendar data: the Federal Funds Rate decision, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement, and FOMC Press Conference. | Scenario | Probability | |---|---| | Fed hikes 25bp as priced, guidance neutral-to-hawkish, dot plot unchanged | Moderate -- baseline, broadly absorbed | | Fed hikes 25bp, dot plot signals higher-for-longer, Fed chair hawkish on inflation | Lower but most bearish for EURUSD -- rate differential widens | | Fed hikes 25bp, guidance dovish surprise (pivot language or rate-cut hints) | Lower -- would pressure the bearish thesis and could push price toward VWAP | | Fed pauses, no hike (against 95% market pricing) | Very low -- would be a sharp shock, dollar-negative, EURUSD spike risk | The key risk is not just the hike decision itself (already near-fully priced) but the forward guidance language and the updated dot plot, which could shift the rate-differential narrative materially in either direction within hours of the press conference. ## L6 - Conviction Scorecard The overall bias remains bearish, held at medium conviction. That medium level is not a timid label -- it reflects a genuine conflict between the structural and macro overlay (rate differential, all-bearish timeframe alignment, trending-down regime) and the component-level readings that lean the other way (COT directional positioning, price action). The framework's bearish output is overriding those positive components, which means the bearish case is structural rather than unanimous. Traders should treat this as a directional lean that requires price confirmation, not a high-confidence trend with clean entry logic. ## L7 - Time Horizon **Near-term (this week, FOMC catalyst):** The next 24 to 48 hours are dominated entirely by today's FOMC outcome. Price is testing from underneath both the weekly TrendSL (1.15571) and VWAP (1.15618) -- whether it closes the week below or above those levels will define the regime heading into W39. A hawkish surprise accelerates the bearish case; a dovish surprise creates serious noise against it. **Medium-term (3-week thesis window):** The 3-week timeline gives the rate-differential thesis room to play out as the market digests FOMC guidance and any subsequent Fed speaker commentary. Sustained real yields at 2.6% continue to provide the structural anchor for dollar demand against the euro. **Outer horizon (beyond 3 weeks):** The picture becomes harder to hold with confidence beyond the thesis window. A shift in oil prices, a surprise ECB pivot, or evidence of US economic softening could all erode the rate-differential narrative. No edge is claimed for that timeframe from this week's data alone. ## L8 - Invalidation Conditions -> A weekly close above TrendSL weekly at 1.15571 would be the structural invalidation of the bearish thesis -- that event has not occurred, and until it does, the downtrend structure technically remains intact. Readers holding short exposure should define their own reassessment point against this level. -> Price sustained above VWAP weekly at 1.15618 would signal short-term momentum moving against the thesis -- again, this condition has not been met, as price is currently testing from underneath that level, not above it. Readers not yet positioned should watch whether price can close above this level on a sustained basis before drawing conclusions about the direction of near-term momentum. Neither invalidation condition is current reality as of 06:04 UTC on 16 September 2026. Both remain forward-looking thresholds whose breach would require a material shift from present price action. --- *This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.* #EURUSD #ForexTrading #FOMC #FedDecision #USDollar #ECB #RateDifferential #TreasuryYields #RealYield #ForexAnalysis #FXMarkets #DXY #MacroTrading #CurrencyMarkets #TrendFollowing
TITradingView Ideas- TIFolgemeldungvor 15 Std.
XAUUSD | Today’s News Setup
Based on my technical analysis and calculated key levels, I’m watching four major zones for today’s news: 🔴 SELL ZONES: 4,456 — 4,574 🟢 BUY ZONES: 4,198 — 4,220 These levels are derived from technical analysis and my own calculations, defining the key areas I’m watching for today’s Gold move. Let the levels speak. 📊
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Folgemeldungvor 15 Std.Morning Market Analysis (16 sept 2026)
Pairs on watch include: EURUSD: USDCAD: CADCHF: GBPAUD:
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Folgemeldungvor 15 Std.DeGRAM | EURUSD is rebounding from key support
📊 Technical Analysis ● EURUSD remains below the major descending resistance line, so the broader 3H structure is still bearish. Price is currently holding above the 1.1510–1.1525 support zone, where the latest selloff has started to stabilize. ● If buyers continue to defend this area, a corrective rebound toward the 1.1610–1.1620 resistance zone becomes the main short-term scenario. A rejection from that resistance would keep the descending structure intact and could send price back toward the 1.1510–1.1525 target zone. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● The U.S. dollar remains near multi-week highs ahead of today’s Fed decision, with markets heavily expecting a 25 bp rate hike. U.S. retail sales are also due before the Fed announcement and could add volatility to EURUSD. On the euro side, the ECB’s latest 25 bp rate increase to 2.50%, effective today, provides some support to the euro, but the immediate market focus remains on the Fed and incoming U.S. data. ✨ Summary ● Bullish rebound setup while 1.1510–1.1525 support holds; target 1.1610–1.1620. A rejection from resistance would favor another move lower toward the support zone. Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
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Folgemeldungvor 14 Std.XAUUSD – PINNED 4,270–4,354, WAITING FOR FOMC!
Leo re-read your chart: the scenario lines up almost perfectly with the levels drawn – both the 4,341–4,351 turn zone and the two arrows at 4,486 / 4,202. Gold sits at 4,322.80, swept the low at 4,275.60 then reclaimed 4,340.79 (+0.66%). The range is holding. 🌍 REALTIME MACRO DXY hovers at 99.61–99.70, near its range top – USD's weak spot, the higher it goes the more room to be sold when news lands. US10Y touched 5.00% for a fifth straight session and still weighs on gold, yet gold holds 4,320 – structural demand is intact. Two markers tonight: 19:30 – Retail Sales m/m (forecast 0.8%, prior -0.6%) and 01:00 – Fed Funds Rate + Dot Plot, followed by Chair Warsh's press conference at 01:30. The rate bet is split: ~52% hold / ~46% hike 25bp. The key point: if the Fed hikes exactly 25bp without extra hawkishness → "sell the rumor, buy the fact" → USD gets sold back → gold rallies. For gold to collapse to 4,202 you need a real surprise: a 50bp hike, a hawkish Dot Plot, or a hard-line Warsh. 📉 CHART EVIDENCE Live price 4,334.42. Horizontal lines: 4,410 → 4,340 (bottom of the yellow band) → 4,320 → ~4,290 → 4,270 → 4,240 (TURN H4) → 4,200. The yellow TURN H1 band: 4,340–4,355 matches your 4,341–4,351 turn zone. A green arrow fires from 4,355 above 4,460 (target 4,486), a red arrow runs from 4,235 down to 4,200 (target 4,202). Seven-point zig-zag: 4,340 ↑ 4,320 ↓ 4,340 ↑ 4,280 ↓ 4,320 ↑ 4,270 ↓ 4,340 ↑. The chart shows no EMA/RSI/volume – pure S/R. You mapped 7 of 7 levels. 🧠 WHY PRICE MOVES THIS WAY Leg 1 – up to 4,341–4,351: price sits right under the yellow band, and the 4,275–4,278 sweep printed a Higher Low on M15. Pre-news flow typically pushes price to the range top to build liquidity – taking the 4,340 high and hunting short stops. Leg 2 – pullback to 4,317 / 4,288 / 4,270: none of these are random – 4,317≈4,320 is a repeatedly tested S/R; 4,288≈4,290 is the mid-range line where institutions rebalance; 4,270 is the sideways floor and the stop cluster for every long. Nobody wants full size before a release, DXY is pinned near its high and US10Y is at 5%, so price gets dragged back to equilibrium. Leg 3 – back to 4,341–4,351: once both ends are swept, a fresh buying wave forms, confirming a two-sided compression – enough stored energy to break out after the news. After the news: a Retail Sales miss or a dovish Warsh → break 4,354 → 4,410 → 4,460 → 4,486. Strong Retail Sales plus a hawkish Fed → break 4,270 → 4,240 → 4,202. ⚔️ PLAN & ADVICE Pre-news: SELL scalp at 4,341–4,351 on an M1/M5 Pinbar or bearish CHoCH, SL 4,362, TPs 4,317 → 4,288 → 4,270. BUY scalp at 4,288 or 4,270 on a bullish reaction candle, SL 4,258, TPs 4,317 → 4,341 → 4,351. 4,320 is chop – do not trade it. Post-news: don't click for the first 5–15 minutes; spreads widen and price whipsaws both ways. Wait for price to reach 4,270–4,240 or 4,354–4,410, then read the M5 reaction. Enter only on a Pinbar/CHoCH at the turn zone. Invalidation: M15 close above 4,365 → cancel the bearish scenario. M15 close below 4,258 → cancel the bullish scenario, confirming the path to 4,240–4,202. Advice: 50% size; non-professionals stay out and wait 30 minutes after Warsh's press conference. Don't chase shorts into 4,270–4,240 pre-news – the hike is largely priced in and this is the classic trap. Don't chase longs into 4,340–4,350 while DXY is near its high. Move SL to breakeven at TP1, and don't hold through 01:00 unless in profit. Risk management > prediction – survive tonight and you keep capital for next week. Disclaimer: for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Confirm M1/M5 signals before entering. — Leo 🥇⚔️
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Folgemeldungvor 14 Std.XAUUSD — Key Resistance Zone and Potential Downside Structure
XAUUSD is currently trading around 4,337 after reacting from the lower support area. The chart shows a clear market structure with: A major support zone around 4,250–4,280 A key resistance zone around 4,400–4,435 Previous LH (Lower High) formation near the upper resistance area Price currently recovering from the lower support region The main area to watch is 4,400–4,435. If price reaches this zone and shows rejection, the chart structure could allow another move toward the lower support area around 4,264. On the other hand, a sustained move above the resistance zone would weaken this downside structure and could indicate a change in the current setup. Key levels: 🔹 Support: 4,250–4,280 🔹 Current area: 4,337 🔹 Resistance: 4,400–4,435 🔹 Lower reference: ~4,264 This idea is based on the visible market structure, support/resistance zones, and the reaction around these levels. Price action should be monitored as the setup develops.
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Folgemeldungvor 14 Std.XAU/USD 16 September 2026 Intraday Analysis
H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100. Note: Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated. Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action. For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment. H4 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/MHvRquzG/ M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to analysis dated 02 September 2026 whereby I mentioned price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,282.625. Please note, in error I mentioned weak internal high instead of weak internal low. This is exactly how price printed. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,253.625. Note: Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves. The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation. At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential. Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded. M15 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/EJz0RlJn/
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Folgemeldungvor 14 Std.XAUUSD 45M: Key Support Zone and Potential Upside Path
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 4,335 on the 45-minute chart. Price has recently reacted from the lower support area and is showing signs of recovery from the 4,300–4,320 region. The chart highlights three important zones: Support: around 4,300–4,320 First resistance: around 4,415–4,430 Upper resistance: around 4,465–4,480 Price is attempting to move back above the nearby support/resistance area around 4,330–4,340. If this recovery continues and the intermediate resistance zones are cleared, the projected path on the chart points toward the upper 4,470–4,480 region. The setup remains dependent on price action around the marked zones. A sustained move below the lower support area would weaken this structure and invalidate the illustrated path. Key levels: Support: 4,300–4,320 Current area: 4,335 Resistance: 4,415–4,430 Upper zone: 4,465–4,480
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Folgemeldungvor 14 Std.XAUUSD — Breakout Is Done, Can 4,317 Hold?
Gold is trading around 4,337 after a strong M30 recovery from the 4,278 area. Price has pushed back above the previous short-term structure and is now holding above the breakout zone near 4,317. The recovery is encouraging, but the market is approaching an important Fed decision. Rate expectations remain elevated, Treasury yields are still near 5%, and the U.S. dollar remains firm. Gold has still managed to recover, showing that buyers are not completely giving up control. But a breakout candle alone is not enough. The retest is the real test. The simple read M30 has started to shift away from the previous bearish structure. Gold first reacted from the 4,278 OB area and then built a strong bullish leg back above 4,317. That level now changes role. Instead of resistance, 4,317 becomes the first breakout support buyers need to defend. The current price near 4,337 is already around the 0.786 Fibonacci area of the latest recovery leg, so I would not chase the move here. The cleaner setup would be a controlled pullback. If Gold returns toward 4,317 and buyers defend the zone, the bullish recovery structure remains healthy. The first upside test is around 4,354. This is the nearest visible resistance and the first level where short-term sellers may react. If buyers can break and hold above 4,354, the next important area becomes 4,390–4,400, with 4,396 as the major resistance decision level. Above that sits the larger 4,425–4,431 upper resistance zone. That is where the recovery would face a much stronger test. Key price zones Current price area: 4,337 Breakout support: around 4,317 Order Block support: around 4,278 Major structure support: 4,253–4,258 First resistance test: around 4,354 Major resistance: around 4,396 Upper resistance: around 4,431 Bullish pressure improves above: 4,354 Recovery structure weakens below: 4,317 Trading plan Buy reaction scenario If Gold pulls back toward 4,317: I will watch whether buyers can defend the breakout structure. A clean rejection, slowing downside momentum or a strong reclaim from this area can support another bullish leg toward 4,354. If 4,354 then breaks and holds, attention can shift toward 4,396. The important point is not to chase price at 4,337. Wait for the retest. Sell reaction scenario If Gold reaches 4,354 but cannot hold above it: A short-term rejection may rotate price back toward 4,317. This would not automatically destroy the recovery structure as long as breakout support continues to hold. The larger seller test remains around 4,396. Breakout scenario If Gold clears 4,354 with strong acceptance: The M30 recovery becomes more convincing. 4,396 becomes the next major target and decision zone. A clean break above 4,396 could then expose the upper resistance around 4,431. Breakdown scenario If 4,317 fails with clear bearish continuation: The breakout loses quality. I would then watch the 4,278 OB as the next important buyer reaction area. Below that, 4,253–4,258 remains the major structure support. The short-term structure is improving. But the easy part of the bounce may already be behind us. 4,317 is the level buyers need to protect. 4,354 is the first seller test. 4,396 is the major breakout decision. 4,431 is the upper recovery objective.
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Folgemeldungvor 13 Std.EURUSD : Yet another example
Here is another one for you. The GREEN arrow marks the spot. Remember, there is no CERTAINTY in this game, only PROBABILITIES. The key is to have patience and WAIT for the RIGHT moment. As always, R/R is the key. Good luck.
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Folgemeldungvor 12 Std.GOLD - Technical Analysis
The bullish trend will strengthen if gold prices can hold above the 4315 pivot level. Holding above the 4315 level. The primary target will be the resistance level at 4355. A breakout above this resistance will open the path toward 4375 and subsequently 4403. A decline and 1-hour candle close below the 4315 pivot level. The trend will shift to retest support at 4282 and subsequently 4262. Resistance Levels: 4355 – 4375 Support Levels: 4282 – 4262
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Folgemeldungvor 12 Std.USDJPY - Technical Analysis
The current technical setup for USDJPY indicates bearish momentum, with the price trading below the 155.30 pivot level. As long as the market remains below this level, sellers maintain control. Bearish Scenario: Below 155.30, a further decline is expected toward 154.50 and subsequently 154.00. Bullish Scenario: Above 155.30 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, bullish momentum will activate, potentially driving prices up toward 156.00. Resistance Levels: 156.00 – 156.58 Support Levels: 154.50 – 154.00
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Folgemeldungvor 12 Std.EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis today
Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
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Folgemeldungvor 11 Std.DAX - Technical Analysis
Trading below the 25570 pivot point sustains bearish momentum, targeting the 25370 support level. A breakout below 25370 will extend the decline toward 25250. Conversely, breaking above the pivot level and holding with a confirmed 1-hour candle close will trigger an upward move toward the resistance lines at 25700 and subsequently 25800. Resistance Levels: 25700 – 25800 Support Levels: 25370 – 25250
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Folgemeldungvor 11 Std.Palladium Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026
– Palladium reversed from support level 1270.00 – Likely to rise to resistance level 1400.00 Palladium recently reversed from the support zone between the support level 1270.00 (which stopped wave A in August), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June. The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous intermediate ABC correction (2) from the end of August. Palladium can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1400.00 (which stopped earlier waves (1) and B and which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 1).
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Folgemeldungvor 11 Std.NASDAQ - Technical Analysis
The price of NASDAQ is currently expected to undergo a bullish correction toward the 29290 pivot level before resuming its downward trend. As long as the price trades below this pivot point, the trend remains bearish toward the support targets at 28950 and subsequently 28770. However, if the price manages to break above the 29290 pivot level and confirms a 1-hour candle close above it, a bullish trend will be initiated toward the resistance levels at 29450 and 29600. Resistance Levels: 29450 – 29600 Support Levels: 28950 – 28770
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Folgemeldungvor 11 Std.NZDCAD Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026
– NZDCAD reversed from powerful support level 0.7990 – Likely to rise to resistance level 1400.00 NZDCAD currency pair recently reversed from the support zone between the powerful support level 0.7990 (which has been reversing the price from the end of April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous short-term ABC correction 2 from the start of August – when the pair reversed from major resistance level 0.8260. Given the oversold daily Stochastic indicator, NZDCAD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8050 – former support from the start of September.
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Folgemeldungvor 11 Std.Silver Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026
– Silver reversed from support area – Likely to rise to resistance level 68.45 Silver recently reversed down from the support area between the support level 62.60 (which has been reversing the price from March), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of wave A from July. The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous minor correction B from the end of August. Given the strength of the support level 62.60, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 68.45.
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Folgemeldungvor 11 Std.GBPUSD - Technical Analysis
The price is currently attempting to move lower. If it holds below the 1.3515 pivot level, it will target the support levels at 1.3460 and subsequently 1.3440. Conversely, if the price manages to rebound and break above 1.3515, the trend will turn bullish, targeting 1.3535. Resistance Levels: 1.3535 – 1.3550 Support Levels: 1.3460 – 1.3440
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Folgemeldungvor 11 Std.EURUSD Short: Breakdown Below Supply Signals Further Downside
Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current EURUSD (4H) chart structure. EURUSD previously traded inside a descending channel before breaking higher and shifting bullish. Price then moved toward the 1.1720 Pivot Point, where sellers rejected the upside and pushed price lower. Currently, EURUSD is trading below the 1.1570 Supply Zone while holding above the 1.1480 Demand Zone and ascending Demand Line. The recent breakout failure below supply suggests sellers may continue to push price lower. As long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1570 Supply Zone and respects the bearish structure, the bearish scenario remains valid. A successful continuation lower could push price toward the 1.1480 Demand Zone (TP1). However, a breakout and close above 1.1570 would weaken the bearish outlook and increase the possibility of further upside. Manage your risk!
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Folgemeldungvor 11 Std.EURUSD to Push even further down to areas like 1.13000.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/8eX9xROx/ Watch out for High Impact News like: TODAY Sep 16th, 2026 15:30 Retail Sales MoM HIGH IMPACT 21:00 Fed Interest Rate Decision HIGH IMPACT 21:00 FOMC Economic Projections HIGH IMPACT 21:30 Fed Press Conference HIGH IMPACT
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Folgemeldungvor 11 Std.4H Analysis @ 16 Sep 2026
+> Analysis of Key Levels for Rejections, +> Reversal Areas/Zones where market can reverse after completing demand, +> If there's no confirmation of reversal then market can continue. * Analysis is for speculation only, it is not a advise or tip of any kind for your hard-earned money to trade or invest.
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Folgemeldungvor 10 Std.WTI CRUDE OIL — 2H PROFESSIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS
🛢️ WTI CRUDE OIL — 2H PROFESSIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE WTI Crude Oil is currently trading around 103.40 on the 2H timeframe. The broader structure shown on the chart remains contained within a bearish descending channel. Price has recently pushed upward toward the upper boundary of the channel, where significant resistance and supply are present. The key area to watch is around 106.00–107.00, where the chart shows a clearly marked resistance level at 106.79 together with an order block / supply zone. 🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO If price moves back into the 106.00–107.00 resistance/order-block zone and produces a strong bearish rejection, this could provide a potential short setup. 📍 Potential Entry: 106.20–106.80 🛑 Stop Loss: 107.30–107.50 🎯 TP1: 103.50 🎯 TP2: 100.50 🎯 TP3: 95.50–96.00 The first target is near the current price area, while the deeper targets align with progressively lower levels inside the channel and the marked demand/order-block zone around 95.50–96.00. 🧠 WHY THE SHORT SETUP MAKES SENSE Several technical factors are aligning: 🔹 Upper Channel Resistance: Price is approaching the upper side of the descending channel. 🔹 Horizontal Resistance: The chart identifies approximately 106.79 as a major resistance level. 🔹 Supply / Order Block: The highlighted zone around 106–107 represents an area where sellers may become active. 🔹 Bearish Channel: Until price establishes a sustained breakout above the channel, the existing channel structure remains relevant. 🔹 Downside Liquidity: A move lower could initially target the 103.50 area, followed by the lower regions around 100.50 and 95.50–96.00. ⚠️ INVALIDATION & CONFIRMATION Avoid entering purely because price reaches the resistance zone. A better technical confirmation would be a 2H bearish rejection, bearish engulfing candle, or clear failure to break the 106.79 resistance. If price instead breaks above 107.00–107.50 and establishes a strong 2H close above the resistance/channel structure, the bearish setup should be reconsidered because the expected rejection would no longer be confirmed. 📌 TRADE PLAN SELL ZONE: 106.20–106.80 🔴 SL: 107.30–107.50 🛑 TP1: 103.50 🎯 TP2: 100.50 🎯 TP3: 95.50–96.00 🎯 Overall chart bias: 🔴 Bearish while price remains below the 106.79–107.00 resistance area. This is a technical chart interpretation, not a guarantee of future price movement. Risk should be managed according to your own trading plan. Would you like the next version as TradingView post style or short signal format?
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Folgemeldungvor 10 Std.GBPUSD
GBP/USD Setup Breakdown ⚬ Market Alignment: Clear bearish bias. Strong lower highs and lower lows across the 1H timeframe, completely aligned with the broader descending channel. ⚬ Structural Break: Price cleanly breached key horizontal support at 1.34692, confirming downside momentum. ⚬ Execution Plan: Looking for a pullback into 1.34692 (now turned resistance). Waiting for exhaustion wicks or lower timeframe rejection before triggering shorts. ⚬ Target: 1.34270 baseline for a clean ~42 pip drop
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Folgemeldungvor 10 Std.GOLD (XAUUSD) — 4H BULLISH BREAKOUT SETUP
Gold is showing a potential bullish breakout on the 4H chart after breaking above the descending trendline and reclaiming the 4,343–4,344 zone. Price is currently around 4,345, so the key now is whether buyers can hold this breakout area as support. 📌 Trade Setup — LONG Entry: 4,343.787 Stop Loss: 4,307.377 Take Profit: 4,401.587 Risk/Reward: ≈ 1:1.6 🔎 Why I'm Watching This Setup 🔹 Descending trendline breakout — Price has pushed above the falling trendline that had been controlling the previous move. 🔹 Support reclaim — The 4,343 area is being reclaimed after acting as a resistance zone. 🔹 Strong bullish candles — Buyers have shown increased momentum from the 4,272 support area. 🔹 Major support below — The 4,272 region remains an important structural level. 🔹 Upside target — 4,401–4,402 is the next significant resistance/target area shown on the chart. 🎯 Confirmation I'm Watching Breakout → hold above 4,343 → successful retest → continuation toward 4,401. If price falls back below the breakout zone and loses momentum, the setup needs to be reassessed. Key levels: 🟢 Entry: 4,343.787 🎯 TP: 4,401.587 🔴 SL: 4,307.377 📍 Major support: 4,272.404 Gold has now moved from defending support to challenging the previous downtrend. Will buyers turn this breakout into a sustained move toward 4,400? ⚠️ Technical analysis only, not financial advice. Manage risk carefully.
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Folgemeldungvor 10 Std.Crude Oil SMC Analysis | Demand Zones & Market Structure
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) 4H — SMC & Price Action Analysis WTI is currently trading around 103.25, with the chart showing a strong bullish structure from the 80.70 demand area toward the recent 106.55 weak high. 🔹 Market Structure Price established a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, supported by multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations. The bullish displacement from the lower demand zones shows strong buying interest. The latest move pushed price toward 106.55, which is marked as a Weak High / Buy-Side Liquidity area. The recent reaction from this level suggests that a short-term retracement is possible, but confirmation is required before assuming a reversal. 🔻 Potential Retracement If sellers gain control after a rejection from 106.55, the marked levels become important downside reference points: 106.55 → 100.55 → 95.48 → 91.07 These are potential support/liquidity areas shown on the chart, not guaranteed targets. 🟦 Key Demand Zones 100.55: Immediate support / demand area 91.07: Higher-timeframe demand 80.70: Major demand and structural support 75.00: Lower higher-timeframe demand 72.00: Strong Low / major liquidity reference 📌 Candle Confirmation The candles near 106.55 should be monitored for rejection, displacement, MSS or ChoCH. A single bearish candle is not enough confirmation for a reversal. If price instead breaks and holds above 106.55, the bearish retracement scenario becomes less relevant and traders should reassess the structure using the new highs and retests. ⚠️ Trading Plan Wait for liquidity + market-structure confirmation + candle close before entering. Define stop-loss and risk in advance, and avoid chasing extended moves. Educational analysis only — not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
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Folgemeldungvor 10 Std.4H Analysis @ 16 Sep 2026
+> Analysis of Key Levels for Rejections, +> Reversal Areas/Zones where market can reverse after completing supply, +> If there's no confirmation of reversal then market can continue. * Analysis is for speculation only, it is not a advise or tip of any kind for your hard-earned money to trade or invest.
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Folgemeldungvor 9 Std.Potential bullish setup on USDJPY
Price is currently respecting the daily demand zone and this may signify more bullish movement on this pair.
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Folgemeldungvor 9 Std.AAPL TRADE IDEA 9/16/2026 BRADROC TRADING
AAPL Trade Setup – September 16, 2026 AAPL looks interesting today. I expect we could see plenty of chop leading into the Fed decision at 2 PM. After that, volatility could increase quickly in either direction. Don't confuse volatility with confirmation. Let AAPL prove the move before you enter. CALL Above 331.80, look for possible TP levels: 333.22 → 334.05 → 335.50 The climb could be slow and bumpy with sideways movement along the way. If buyers can break through 335.50 and maintain momentum, then I'm watching to see if a bigger upside move develops. RANGE Between 329.30–331.80, don't be surprised to see buyers and sellers battle. There's enough room inside this zone for possible clean scalps and day trades, but don't force a directional trade while she's chopping. PUT Below 329.30, puts become more interesting. Possible TP levels: 328.30 → 327.50 → 326.35 If sellers maintain control after the Fed decision, a possible additional $3–$4 move lower isn't off the table. QUICK REFERENCE FED DAY: The first move doesn't have to be the real move. Wait for confirmation. If break-and-retest is your style, fight your fight. :warning: Disclaimer My goal is to keep these trade ideas simple for newer traders. Compare these levels with your own chart before entering any trade. This is not financial advice—it's simply how I see the market. Trading involves risk, so manage your risk, take profits along the way and trade responsibly.
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Folgemeldungvor 9 Std.GBPUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
https://www.tradingview.com/x/76AsCr5y/ My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the GBPUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.3459 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.3487 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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Folgemeldungvor 9 Std.NVDA TRADE IDEA 9/16/26 BRADROC TRADING
NVDA—I'm watching 213.95–215.05 closely today. This is the first battle zone I want to see buyers work through. CALL A break and hold above 215.05 could open a possible move toward the 218.29 gap fill. Possible TP levels: 216.42 → 217.49 → 218.29 If buyers push through 218.29 and maintain momentum, look for a possible additional $5 climb higher. RANGE I wouldn't be surprised to see clean scalp and day trade opportunities between: 211.15–213.95 PUT With the Fed decision today, volatility could pick up quickly. If sellers push below 211.15, possible TP levels: 209 → 208 → 204.82-203.30 If confidence really starts to drop and sellers maintain control, 200 comes into play as a possible bigger move. QUICK REFERENCE CALL: Above 215.05 → 216.42 → 217.49 → 218.29 → Possible $5 higher RANGE: 211.15–213.95 PUT: Below 211.15 → 209 → 208 → 204.82 →203.30 possible 200 ⚠️ Disclaimer My goal is to keep these trade ideas simple for newer traders. Compare these levels with your own chart before entering any trade. This is not financial advice—it's simply how I see the market. Trading involves risk, so manage your risk, take profits along the way and trade
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Folgemeldungvor 8 Std.#XAUUSD Buy Trade Scenario.
📈 **XAUUSD | GOLD BUY SETUP** Gold is showing bullish momentum after reacting from the lower liquidity zone. The price is holding above the entry area, indicating potential continuation toward the upside target. 🟢 **Entry:** Buy Current Price 🛑 **Stop Loss:** 4323.075 🎯 **Take Profit:** 4360.484 📊 **Risk Management:** Use proper position sizing and manage your risk carefully. Avoid overleveraging and trade according to your strategy. #XAUUSD #GoldBuy #BuySignal #TradingView #ForexTrading #TradeSetup
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Folgemeldungvor 7 Std.EURUSD
EURUSD - Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves - Order Block - Fibonacci Level - 61.80% - Fair Value Gap - Change of Characteristics
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Gold trading idea
Hi all, we came back today with a strong Gold view for next hours, we're expecting a heavy short on gold from 4352 to first 4248 then finally 4146 that would be the two TPs to targert pay attention though to the high volatility expected due to interests rates ... we have no idea why would the gold fall first even though the news are against the dollar for a possible fixed rates senario but the techichal says is it all on the chart from 4146 expect another move up you can start buy from there until 4045 for those with low capital better wait for the last entry option for minimun risk ! happy trading and good luck to us all !
TITradingView Ideas - TIFolgemeldungvor 6 Std.
AUDJPY BEARISH IDEA STILL VALID
MULTIPLE SUPPLY ZONES PRESENTING BEARISH IDEA Price action and different technical levels pointing bearish move
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Folgemeldungvor 5 Std.GBPUSD
Bullish Reversal Setup on GBP/USD: An RTM Structural Analysis A structural examination of the 4-hour GBP/USD chart reveals an high-probability bullish reversal setup, driven by market maker liquidity dynamics and institutional order collection based on Read The Market (RTM) concepts. Key Structural Drivers & RTM Rationale Fakeout Below Breakout Level (Liquidity Sweep): Price has descended into the critical Breakout Level (approx. 1.34189). In RTM methodology, this move represents a classic fakeout or stop-hunt designed to sweep retail liquidity and trigger sell-stop orders, providing the required fuel for a major upward displacement. Flag Limit Demand Zone: The highlighted Flag Limit (1.34000 – 1.34500) acts as an essential demand block. This zone contains unmitigated buy orders capable of absorbing selling pressure, holding price, and initiating a bullish reaction. Intermarket Confluence (DXY Weakness): The broader bullish outlook previously observed on EUR/USD provides valuable intermarket alignment. Positive correlation between major European currencies signals underlying US Dollar weakness, reinforcing the probability of a sustained rally in GBP/USD. Outlook & Targets Following the liquidity sweep beneath the breakout level and price reaction within the Flag Limit, GBP/USD is expected to launch its next impulse wave higher. Primary Objective (Target 1): 1.35348 Extended Outlook: Potential expansion toward higher liquidity pools beyond Target 1 upon solid structural confirmation.
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Folgemeldungvor 4 Std.U.S. Dollar Index Futures (DXY) – 1H Technical Analysis
Market Structure The DXY is showing a potential bullish reversal structure after the sharp decline from the 101.48 area. Price formed a significant base around 98.685, followed by a sequence of higher lows. The latest move has pushed price back toward the descending trendline, creating a critical decision point. 🔑 Key Levels 🟢 Current Price 99.685 Resistance 99.825 – immediate resistance 100.595 – major resistance / T1 101.070–101.130 – major supply zone / T2 101.480 – previous major swing high Support 99.00–99.20 – short-term support 98.685 – major structural support and bearish invalidation 🟢 Bullish Scenario The chart shows price attempting to break the descending trendline. A confirmed 1H close above the trendline, followed by a successful retest, would strengthen the bullish reversal structure. Targets: Entry: 99.65–99.70 TP1: 100.595 TP2: 101.070–101.130 TP3: 101.480 The move toward 100.595 is particularly important because it represents the first major resistance and the projected D point of the harmonic structure shown on the chart. 🔴 Bearish Scenario The bullish setup would weaken if DXY fails to break the trendline and gets rejected from the 99.80–100.00 region. A break below the recent higher-low structure could send price toward: 99.00 → 98.685 A decisive break below 98.685 would invalidate the bullish reversal structure and reopen the broader downside trend. 📐 Harmonic Structure The chart appears to be developing a potential bullish XABCD structure, with: X: ~101.48 A: ~98.68 B: ~99.80 D projection: ~100.595 Extension target: 101.07–101.13 The 1.618 extension shown on the chart supports the projected upside toward the 101.07–101.13 region. 🎯 TradingView Setup DXY LONG IDEA Entry: 99.65–99.70 Confirmation: Break & retest of descending trendline TP1: 100.595 TP2: 101.070–101.130 TP3: 101.480 Structural SL: 98.685 ⚠️ Important The 99.80–100.00 area is the immediate test. A rejection there would indicate that the trendline breakout has not been confirmed. 📌 TradingView Summary DXY is attempting a bullish reversal from the 98.685 base. A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline could open the way toward 100.595, followed by 101.070–101.130. Failure to break the trendline and a move back below the recent higher-low structure would expose 98.685. Key relationship: A sustained DXY recovery can also create headwinds for Gold (XAU/USD), so the 99.80–100.00 reaction zone is particularly important when monitoring your gold bearish setup.
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Folgemeldungvor 3 Std.NZDCAD BUY IDEA
On NZDCAD, we can buy the pullback for a potential gain of over 150 pips. We see a bullish harmonic pattern—including a key zone—that sweeps the previous low and even forms a double bottom. With a 40-pip stop loss.
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Folgemeldungvor 3 Std.S&P 500 — Technical Analysis | 1D
The chart is showing a potential short-term bearish reversal inside a broader rising channel/wedge structure. 🔻 Bearish Setup Price is currently trading around 7,535, after failing to hold the 7,560–7,600 resistance area. The key signal is the break below the short-term rising trendline that has supported the latest leg higher. This suggests that short-term bullish momentum is weakening and a corrective move may be developing. Potential Short Entry: 7,560 Confirmation: Sustained trading below the short-term uptrend / rejection from 7,560–7,600. 🎯 Downside Targets T1: 7,150 — first major support / lower boundary of the rising structure T2: 6,350 — deeper support and potential completion of a larger correction A move toward 7,150 would represent a normal correction within the broader rising structure. A decisive breakdown below 7,150 would significantly increase the probability of a deeper move toward 6,350. ⚠️ Invalidation The bearish setup weakens if price reclaims 7,600 and holds above it, particularly if the index breaks back above the upper resistance structure. 📊 Overall Bias Short-term: BEARISH / CORRECTIVE Medium-term: Still bullish unless the major rising-channel support is broken. The important distinction here is that this chart does not yet prove a full trend reversal. At this stage, it is more accurately a short-term bearish correction setup within a larger bullish structure. Key levels: 7,600 resistance → 7,150 T1 → 6,350 T2. Educational technical analysis only; confirmation from price action/volume is preferable before treating the setup as active.
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Folgemeldungvor 1 Std.GBPUSD 1D — Bearish Breakdown From Rising Structure
GBPUSD has broken below the rising trendline, shifting attention toward the key support levels below. Current Price: 1.33810 Target 1: 1.32871 Target 2: 1.31587 The daily breakdown puts the lower support zones in focus. A sustained move below the broken trendline would strengthen the bearish structure, while a recovery back above the trendline could weaken the setup. Key levels to watch: 1.32871 → 1.31587 📊 ⚠️ Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Manage risk responsibly.
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Folgemeldungvor 1 Std.GBPUSD | Demand Zone Reaction & Potential Bullish Recovery
GBPUSD has been trading inside a clear bearish structure and recently experienced a strong sell-off into a major support region around 1.3370 - 1.3380. The highlighted demand zone represents an area where buyers may look to regain control after the aggressive decline. Price is currently reacting from support, and if buying pressure continues to build, a recovery toward the previous supply zones could develop. The main idea is not to predict an immediate reversal but to monitor whether the current support area can generate enough momentum to break the recent bearish sequence and push price back toward higher liquidity levels. 🔍 Technical Confluence ✅ Strong higher-timeframe support zone ✅ Oversold reaction after aggressive selling ✅ Demand zone holding price ✅ Potential liquidity draw toward overhead resistance 🎯 Target 1: 1.3440 🎯 Target 2: 1.3465 🎯 Target 3: 1.3505 ❌ Invalidation: Sustained price acceptance below the highlighted support zone. Note: Educational market analysis only. This is a potential market scenario, not financial advice.
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Folgemeldungvor 1 Std.GBPUSD 4H | Bearish Breakdown & Retest Setup
GBP/USD 4H — Bearish Setup 🔻 Price has broken below the 1.3465–1.3495 Sell Zone and the descending trendline, showing strong bearish momentum. 🎯 TP1: 1.3375 🎯 TP2: 1.3341 🎯 TP3: 1.3311 🎯 TP4: 1.3273 Watching for a pullback toward the broken structure before further downside. #GBPUSD #Forex #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #FX #Trading #ForexTrading #ShortSetup
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Neuestevor 1 Std.EURUSD | Major Demand Zone Reaction & Potential Bullish Recovery
EURUSD has completed a significant decline from the upper resistance region and is now testing a key demand zone around 1.1450 - 1.1460, an area that previously acted as the origin of a strong bullish expansion. The recent sell-off has driven price directly into a confluence zone containing historical demand, discounted pricing, and trendline interaction. The highlighted reaction suggests that buyers may attempt to defend this area and target higher liquidity levels if support continues to hold. My focus remains on how price behaves around the blue demand zone. Sustained buying pressure from this area could open the door for a recovery toward nearby resistance levels and potentially the upper supply zone. 🎯 Bullish Targets ✅ TP1: 1.1550 ✅ TP2: 1.1620 ✅ TP3: 1.1700 📍 Key Demand Zone: 1.1450 - 1.1460 ❌ Bullish scenario becomes weaker if price achieves sustained acceptance below the highlighted support zone. Note: This is an educational market scenario based on technical analysis, not financial advice.
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