U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has emerged as a leading candidate to become President Donald Trump’s next artificial intelligence czar as the administration prepares to establish a new “AI Force.” Semafor reported on Sept. 22 that Bessent is among the…
Federal prosecutors have secured a guilty plea from a Texas man accused of depositing more than $15 million in fraudulent U.S. Treasury checks through fake accounts and stolen identities. Kendrick Lamont Fugett, 34, of West Dallas admitted to the charges on September 17th, 2026, before Chief U.S. District Court Judge Reed O’Connor in the Northern […]
The Daily Hodl•Daily Hodl Agent19 SeptThe draft rules could sustain US-China pharma collaborations, balancing economic interests with national security concerns in biotechnology.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team18 Sept
U.S. Treasury sanctioned Iranian exchange BitBank, alleging it moved hundreds of millions in Bitcoin to the IRGC through a Zanjani-linked network.
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) 🌍 The macro narrative heading into this week is heavily shaped by heightened macroeconomic caution as markets digest sticky global inflation metrics, elevated U.S. Treasury yields, and central bank interest rate decisions 🏦. Interestingly, general online sentiment is heavily leaning bearish amid lower liquidity concerns and ETF outflows, but widespread social media chatter about a "guaranteed collapse" suggests we are fast approaching a crowded trade, paving the way for a sharp liquidity hunt before any sustained expansion occurs. We are observing a distinctly Bearish Market Structure across key high timeframes, but the lower timeframe (H1) shows price attempting a corrective ascending channel after a heavy Markdown phase 📉. Applying Wyckoffian principles, this tight upward channel appears to be a redistribution flag or a weak corrective pull following a structural breakdown. Retail community chatter is actively attempting to catch a bottom inside this range, which tells me late long traders are likely getting trapped right below key technical overhead. Key Zone: The primary area of concern is centered around the Volume Profile Value Area Low (VAL) at $76,635.25 and the immediate high-volume node at $77,252.41 📉. Auction Market Theory dictates that when price breaks out below a Value Area, it trades in "Discovery Mode." Acceptance back above VAL would signal a failed breakout, but as long as price remains rejected below this $76,635–$77,250 region, the value area remains strict resistance. We are currently trading near the lower boundaries around $75,987, holding below the 1-hour moving average dynamic resistance 🧹. I am watching for a swift "run on liquidity" to sweep late buyers into the supply zone before the next leg down. The chart's annotated "No go zone" around $76,694 highlights the invalidation boundary—if price breaks back into the internal value area, the short thesis is invalidated. My Trade Plan 🎯 Bias: Bearish (Neutral-Short). Exercising strict patience until the corrective channel breaks structure. Entry Protocol: Looking for a corrective push up toward the channel high ($76,400–$76,600), followed by a clear Bearish Break of Structure (BoS) out of the ascending micro-channel and a failed retest of the lower channel boundary to trigger the short entry, targeting a drop toward $74,800.
On June 19, I made a prediction on X, and now we all can see how accurate and safe it is. No matter which cryptocurrency you’re trading, if USDT’s dominance remains above 7.2% for 8+ hours, it will confirm that the downtrend is continuing. A failure to hold above that level will signal a final bullish rally before the bear market resumes. If the bullish rally is the case, I would take profits on Dogecoin at the 0.143, 0.163, and 0.23 levels. Hovever, my base case is 0.0324 and probably 0.0094. https://www.tradingview.com/x/HjIRYmHR/ As you may know, bonds is a key driver for many collateral markets, thus it has a negative correlation. It is called Cross-market analysis, one of the safest approaches in trading systems. My base case is the one you see on the 10-year yields screenshot, i.e. - a simple one, regular. However, I see two more possible scenarios for the price structure of U.S. Treasuries may take: 1) An Ending Diagonal - the swings within this structure will likely be accompanied by a strengthening of the Japanese yen, a slow increase in raw commodity prices and metals, also a possible rise in cryptocurrency prices - in the near term. I.e, if this would be the case - bonds will pull back from the current values to the lower trend-line of the triangle: ~4.185%. 2) What really matters is the alternative waves count interpretation: the pattern above may turn out to be a Zigzag, rather than an impulse. In that case, the target will reach above 7.66%. This case means an aggressive downward for all the collateral markets. There is a video on youtube. In the second part, I describe how I identified 2 probable bearish targets for Dogecoin price. I've been pointing to these targets since 2022 how I found them. I think achieving these goals will largely depend on the shape that U.S. Treasury bonds will take.
BTCUSD | Bearish Rejection & Downside Potential Setup Fundamental View Bitcoin is facing renewed selling pressure as markets prepare for the Federal Reserve’s September 15–16 policy decision. Expectations for a 25-basis-point rate hike have risen sharply, with markets pricing a very high probability of a hike. The increasingly hawkish policy outlook is supporting the U.S. dollar and keeping pressure on risk-sensitive assets such as Bitcoin At the same time, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield recently moved above 5%, reflecting tighter financial conditions and adding another macro headwind for crypto markets. Technical View On the 1H chart, BTCUSD has rejected the 79,000 area and broken lower from the recent recovery structure. Price is now trading below the Supertrend and remains beneath the descending trendline. The 77,200–77,700 region is therefore an important resistance zone for the current bearish setup. If sellers continue to defend this area and BTC breaks below the 75,500 support, the next downside liquidity zone comes into focus, with the broader bearish target around 72,000. SMC View From an SMC perspective, the recent rally toward the 79,000 area appears to have interacted with a double-top / buy-side liquidity zone before sellers took control. The rejection from this premium area has created a bearish shift in short-term momentum. With sell-side liquidity resting below 75,500, a confirmed breakdown could provide the next downside expansion toward the 72,000 region. This Move Is Supported By • Hawkish Federal Reserve expectations • Rising U.S. Treasury yields • Stronger USD conditions • Rejection from the 79,000 buy-side liquidity area • Bearish 1H structure below the descending trendline • Price trading below the Supertrend • Potential sell-side liquidity below 75,500 Trading Scenario Bearish Scenario: If BTCUSD remains below the 77,200–77,700 resistance zone, sellers could continue targeting the 75,500 support. A confirmed breakdown below 75,500 could expose the 72,000 area, where a larger reaction may develop. Bullish Invalidation Scenario: A sustained move above 77,700 would weaken the immediate bearish structure. A decisive breakout and hold above 78,090 would invalidate this bearish setup and require a reassessment of the downside thesis. Key Levels Resistance: 77,200 Major Resistance: 77,700 Support: 75,500 Bearish Target: 72,000 Invalidation: 78,090 Professional Insights The 77,200–77,700 region is the key decision zone for this setup. As long as BTC remains below this area and the descending trendline, the bearish structure remains in focus. The most important confirmation would be a clean break below 75,500 followed by acceptance below the level. A temporary liquidity sweep should not automatically be treated as a confirmed breakdown; a sustained move or retest would provide stronger confirmation. With the Fed decision approaching, volatility and false breakouts can increase significantly. The reaction to the Fed statement and forward guidance may be more important than the initial rate decision itself. Risk Management Avoid treating resistance or support as guaranteed reversal points, particularly ahead of a major central-bank event. Manage position size according to your individual risk tolerance and wait for price-action confirmation before acting on the setup. The 78,090 level remains the key invalidation for this bearish thesis. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, especially around major Federal Reserve events. Always conduct your own research and apply appropriate risk management.
Can CLARITY Act still make it to the finish line as teething issues persists?
AMBCrypto•Benjamin Njiri15 Sept
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has urged senators to advance the CLARITY Act as lawmakers prepare to return from their August recess for a procedural vote that will test whether the crypto market structure bill has enough support to move…
Rising 10-year U.S. Treasury yields exposes deeper economic risks ahead of FOMC.
AMBCrypto•Ritika Gupta10 Sept
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is urging senators to advance the CLARITY Act.
U.Today•Alex Dovbnya9 Sept
Despite a $6 billion long-term debt buyback by the U.S. Treasury, bitcoin experienced a volatile yet ultimately flat trading session, swinging between $78,095 and $79,650 before settling near $78,600. Volatile Trading and Middle East Conflict Bitcoin experienced another volatile trading period as it swung from just over $78,700 to $79,600, even as reports suggested that […]
Bitcoin.com News•Terence Zimwara9 Sept
CoinDesk•Jesse Hamilton9 Sept
A man received a five-year prison sentence and fine for organizing a conspiracy that deposited forged U.S. Treasury checks totaling more than $1.8 million across two states.
The Daily Hodl•Daily Hodl Agent8 Sept
The Treasury Department is restricting an Emirati branch of Banque Misr over its role in routing up to $1.8 billion in transactions linked to Iranian entities. This action forms part of broader efforts to limit Iran's access to the U.S. financial system through correspondent banking.
The Daily Hodl•Daily Hodl Agent7 Sept
The U.S. Treasury Department fully launched its government debt buyback program on Sep. 7, boosting market expectations regarding the near-term liquidity of Bitcoin and XRP. The program has a weekly cap of $14.5 billion. According to the blockchain media outlet…
Bitcoin's current rally started when the Treasury Department announced on Aug. 19 that, beginning Sept. 9, it would at least double the maximum size of certain buyback operations for government bonds with 10 to 30 years left to maturity, raising the cap from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation. Simply put, the Treasury was […]
CryptoSlate•Andjela Radmilac6 Sept
As the U.S. Treasury preps a $14.5 billion injection, traders brace for a Bitcoin short-squeeze and a pre-Senate XRP rally.
U.Today•Gamza Khanzadaev6 Sept
Norway's $2.3 trillion sovereign wealth fund proposes cutting its allocation to government bonds from 70% to 50% of the fixed-income benchmark, which would reduce U.S. Treasury holdings by nearly $80 billion while shifting toward riskier debt for better yields.
The Daily Hodl•Daily Hodl Agent5 Sept
A Texas resident altered a large U.S. Treasury check and tricked a bank into granting access to substantial funds before the fraud was uncovered, resulting in a prison sentence for bank fraud.
The Daily Hodl•Daily Hodl Agent5 Sept