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Tropical Depression Fay Public Advisory Number 15

Issued at 900 PM GMT Wed Sep 23 2026 392 WTNT31 KNHC 232034 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fay Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Wed Sep 23 2026 ...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM RE-DEVELOPS INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY... SUMMARY OF 900 PM GMT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.1N 39.2W ABOUT 885 MI...1425 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fay was located near latitude 30.1 North, longitude 39.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next couple of days, but gradual weakening should occur thereafter. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Katz/Pasch

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)16h ago
NH

Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Forecast Discussion Number 14

Issued at 900 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 000 WTNT41 KNHC 222037 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 Fay remains mainly comprised of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds, although a few isolated patches of convection are occuring in the eastern semicircle. There has been no organized convection for more than 18 h, and based on this it appears than Fay has degenerated to a remnant low pressure area. There is a possibility of convective bursts occuring during the next few days. However, the cyclone will be embedded in a dry air mass with strong upper-level convergence, and these factors should keep organized convection from re-developing. The system is moving west-southwestward, or 240/8 kt, as it rounds the eastern periphery of a low- to mid-level ridge to its west and northwest. A turn toward the west is expected over the next day or two as the ridge strengthens and builds eastward to the north of Fay. A turn toward the west-northwest could occur before the remnant low dissipates between 96-120 h. This is the last advisory issued on Fay by the National Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 30.8N 35.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 23/0600Z 30.2N 36.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 23/1800Z 29.8N 38.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 24/0600Z 29.6N 40.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/1800Z 29.6N 42.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 25/0600Z 29.6N 43.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/1800Z 29.6N 44.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 26/1800Z 30.0N 46.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept
NH

Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026 000 FONT11 KNHC 222036 PWSAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept
NH

Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Public Advisory Number 14

Issued at 900 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 000 WTNT31 KNHC 222036 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 ...FAY DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA... SUMMARY OF 900 PM GMT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.8N 35.3W ABOUT 685 MI...1105 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay was located near latitude 30.8 North, longitude 35.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A gradual turn toward the west is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The remnant low is expected to gradually weaken during the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Beven

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept
NH

Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Forecast Advisory Number 14

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026 000 WTNT21 KNHC 222036 TCMAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 35.3W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 4 M SEAS.... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 35.3W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 34.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.2N 36.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.8N 38.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.6N 40.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.6N 42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 29.6N 43.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 29.6N 44.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 30.0N 46.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 35.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept
NH

Tropical Depression Fay Forecast Discussion Number 13

Issued at 300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 662 WTNT41 KNHC 221447 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 Fay is currently comprised of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds with no convection. A recent ASCAT-B overpass indicates that the maximum winds are now near 30 kt, and based on this the cyclone is downgraded to a tropical depression. Unless convection comes back in the next several hours, Fay should degenerate into a remnant low later today. The system is moving southwestward, or 230/9 kt, as it rounds the eastern periphery of a low- to mid-level ridge to its west. A turn toward the west-southwest and then the west is expected over the next day or two as the ridge strengthens and builds eastward to the north of Fay. Due to a slight southward shift in the guidance envelope, the new track forecast is a little south of the previous forecast. Currently, Fay is in an environment of moderate northwesterly shear and dry air entrainment. While the dynamical models forecast the shear to subside during the next 24 h, they also forecast strong upper-level convergence over the system and continued dry air entrainment. Based on this and the model simulated satellite imagery, it appears unlikely that Fay will re-develop persistent organized convection after the shear decreases. Thus, the new intensity forecast follows the old forecast in showing a gradual weakening of the remnant low until dissipation near 120 h. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1500Z 31.1N 34.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/0000Z 30.5N 35.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 23/1200Z 29.9N 37.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 24/0000Z 29.5N 39.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/1200Z 29.4N 41.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 25/0000Z 29.5N 43.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/1200Z 29.5N 44.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 26/1200Z 30.0N 46.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept
NH

Tropical Depression Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026 000 FONT11 KNHC 221446 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept
NH

Tropical Depression Fay Public Advisory Number 13

Issued at 300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 000 WTNT31 KNHC 221446 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fay Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 ...FAY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.1N 34.6W ABOUT 645 MI...1035 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fay was located near latitude 31.1 North, longitude 34.6 West. The depression is moving toward the southwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A gradual turn toward the west-southwest and then west is expected through midweek. Recent satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds are now near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Fay is likely to degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Beven

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept
NH

Tropical Depression Fay Forecast Advisory Number 13

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026 000 WTNT21 KNHC 221446 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 34.6W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 4 M SEAS.... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 34.6W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 34.1W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.5N 35.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.9N 37.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.5N 39.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 29.4N 41.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.5N 43.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.5N 44.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 30.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 34.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept
NH

Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Discussion Number 12

Issued at 900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 000 WTNT41 KNHC 220841 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 Deep convection associated with Fay has completely dissipated, leaving the low-level center fully exposed on satellite imagery. Given the lack of organized deep convection over the past several hours, Fay's remaining time as a tropical cyclone is limited unless convection redevelops soon. Objective and subjective satellite intensity estimates currently range from 25 to 44 kt. Based on a blend of these estimates, the initial intensity is maintained at 35 kt for this advisory. The system is moving southwestward, or 230/8 kt, as it rounds the eastern periphery of a mid-level ridge to its west. A turn toward the west-southwest and then the west is expected over the next day or two, as the ridge strengthens. The latest NHC track forecast is near the previous nudged slightly towards the right, towards the GDMI and HCCA aids. A combination of moderate wind shear and dry air entrainment should cause Fay to gradually spin down and weaken. Although shear may relax somewhat in a few days, as the system moves over slightly warmer sea surface temperatures, model-simulated satellite imagery suggests that any returning convection will occur only in intermittent bursts. Based on current trends and model guidance, the NHC intensity forecast calls for Fay to gradually weaken, and become a post-tropical remnant low later today and dissipate into an open trough by the end of the period. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 31.8N 33.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 22/1800Z 31.2N 35.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 23/0600Z 30.5N 36.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 23/1800Z 29.9N 38.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/0600Z 29.7N 40.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 24/1800Z 29.8N 42.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/0600Z 29.9N 43.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 26/0600Z 30.1N 45.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kelly

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept
NH

Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 12

Issued at 900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 970 WTNT31 KNHC 220840 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 ...FAY FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.8N 33.7W ABOUT 570 MI...920 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 33.7 West. Fay is moving toward the southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A gradual turn toward the west-southwest and then west is expected through midweek. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Fay is likely to degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Kelly

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept
NH

Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026 000 FONT11 KNHC 220840 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER KELLY

National Hurricane CenterNational Hurricane Center•nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster)22 Sept