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Market Outlook — ASX200 / AUS200 Structure

Team, Over the past week, ASX200/AUS200 has been consolidating around the 8,712–8,692 region. For educational purposes, this area is often studied as a zone where markets pause, rebalance liquidity, or prepare for the next phase of movement. Macro Events This Week (Educational Only) This Thursday and Friday carry several major rate decisions that typically increase short‑term volatility: United States — Rate Decision The US announcement on 15–16 September often influences global risk sentiment. Analysts currently discuss the possibility of a 25‑basis‑point adjustment, based on recent inflation data. This is not a prediction — simply an observation of prevailing expectations. UK100 / FTSE100 — Rate Decision The UK decision falls on the same day as the US, which can create synchronized volatility across multiple indices. Market Behaviour During Rate Weeks During major policy announcements, markets often: sweep liquidity September to October Historically, September–October can behave as a correction + consolidation window, depending on global policy outcomes and liquidity conditions. After major rate decisions, some analysts study the period around 21 September for potential shifts in market behaviour. This is not a forecast — simply a reference point used in macro analysis. Toward late October, markets often continue consolidating as global data and policy guidance evolve. expand volatility test previously observed regions consolidate before the next macro phase These behaviours are part of normal market structure. Disclaimer This post is for education and market understanding only. It is not a signal, not a recommendation, and not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and make your own decisions.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

BTCUSDT 4H: Range Support Breakdown & Liquidity Sweep

​1. Market Context ​On the 4H chart, Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has been consolidating inside a wide high-level range between 76,000.00 and 82,525.09 following its strong parabolic rally. After multiple rejections near the top resistance ceiling (around 82,000.00), price is rolling over toward the lower consolidation boundary at 76,562.95, setting up a high-probability range breakdown short plan. ​2. Sentiment & House Trap Analysis ​• Where Traders Place Orders: Retail buyers are opening BUY positions near the bottom support floor at 76,500.00 – 78,000.00, expecting another bounce back toward 82,000.00+. • Trader Stop-Loss & Target: These range buyers placed their Stop-Loss orders immediately below the 76,000.00 floor. Shorters from the 82,000.00 rejection placed SLs above 81,800.00. • How the House Plays It: The House distributed position at the top ceiling (82,000.00) and is now pushing price down to test range support. A 4H close đâm thủng (breaking below) 76,577.68 will invalidate the range bounce and trigger a massive sell-stop cascade from trapped buyers. This liquidation pressure will fuel a rapid decline toward 71,351.78 (TP1), 66,125.88 (TP2), and 60,899.99 (TP3). ​3. Trade Setup ​• Entry: 76,577.68 (Confirmed 4H close breaking below 76,562.95 range support floor) ​• Stop Loss (SL): 81,803.58 (Placed safely inside the upper consolidation range) ​• Take Profit 1 (TP1): 71,351.78 (Retesting mid-expansion support zone) ​• Take Profit 2 (TP2): 66,125.88 (Retesting lower consolidation top) ​• Take Profit 3 (TP3): 60,899.99 (Retesting macro base support floor) ​• Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx 3.0:1 (Calculated toward TP3)

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

EUR/USD Sell Trade Scenario.

📊 **EUR/USD — SELL SETUP** 📉🔥 EUR/USD is showing a potential bearish setup after a rejection from the recent high and a shift in market structure. The chart highlights a possible downside move toward the projected target zone, with the setup focused on bearish continuation. 📌 **Asset:** EUR/USD ⏱️ **Timeframe:** 15 Minutes 📉 **Bias:** Bearish / Sell 🎯 **Setup:** Potential Short Opportunity 📍 **Entry Area:** Around 1.15482 🛑 **Invalidation:** Above 1.15629 🎯 **Projected Target:** Around 1.15232 **A clear setup. A defined plan. Let the market play out.** 💎

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

USOIL Buy Trade Forecast

📊 **WTI CRUDE OIL — BUY SETUP** 📈🔥 WTI Crude Oil is showing a potential bullish reversal setup after a strong downside move, a break of structure, and a recovery from the recent low. The chart highlights a possible upside move toward the projected target zone, supported by the current bullish momentum and liquidity reaction. 📌 **Asset:** WTI Crude Oil ⏱️ **Timeframe:** 15 Minutes 📈 **Bias:** Bullish / Buy 🎯 **Setup:** Potential Long Opportunity 📍 **Entry Area:** Around 102.10 🛑 **Invalidation:** Below 101.16 🎯 **Projected Target:** Around 103.95 **Let the setup play out. Patience and discipline matter.** 💎

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

NAS100 Sell Trade Setup

📊 **US100 — SELL SETUP** 📉 US100 is showing a potential bearish setup after a rejection from the recent high and a shift in market structure. The chart highlights a possible downside move toward the projected target zone, with the setup focused on a continuation of bearish momentum. 📌 **Asset:** US100 / NAS100 ⏱️ **Timeframe:** 15 Minutes 📉 **Bias:** Bearish / Sell 🎯 **Setup:** Potential Short Opportunity 📍 **Entry Area:** Around 29,150 🛑 **Invalidation:** Above the recent high 🎯 **Projected Target:** Around 28,863 **Patience. Precision. Let the setup play out.** 📈

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

XAU/USD Sell Trade Scenario

📊 **XAU/USD — GOLD SELL SETUP** 📉 Gold is showing a potential bearish setup following a market structure shift and rejection from the recent high. The chart highlights a possible downside move toward the projected target zone. This is a technical analysis update based on the current market structure. 🎯 **Asset:** XAU/USD ⏱️ **Timeframe:** 15 Minutes 📉 **Bias:** Bearish / Sell 📍 **Setup:** Potential Short Opportunity ⏳ **Status:** Analysis Update — Target Pending

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

XAUUSD H12 SELL Market View

WEEKLY GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK Friday gold has finished near $4,349 after trading between approximately $4,296 and $4,403. It ended the week around 1.8% lower. The dollar index closed near 99.10, the US 10 year yield around 4.97%, and Brent crude near $104.50. ✍️Technical View • Daily: The correction from $4,697 remains active. However, Friday’s recovery from $4,296 shows that buyers are still defending the important $4,283–$4,300 support area. • H4: Thursday’s sharp decline damaged the structure. Friday’s rebound helped stabilise price, but while gold remains below $4,403, it still looks more like a recovery inside a wider correction. • H1: Gold recovered strongly from $4,296 but finished around $4,349 close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent $4,433–$4,296 decline. This makes $4,348–$4,365 the first decision zone when the market reopens. ✍️How to read the price action? — If gold holds above $4,348 and records an H1 close above $4,365, the recovery could continue toward $4,380, followed by $4,400–$4,403. A sustained break above $4,403 would bring $4,433–$4,443 back into focus. — If price falls below $4,341, Friday’s recovery would begin to lose strength. The next supports are $4,317–$4,314 and $4,300–$4,296. A confirmed break below $4,283 would signal that the wider decline is continuing. August US inflation increased by 0.4% during the month and 3.4% annually. Markets ended Friday pricing roughly an 87% chance of a quarter-point Fed rate increase. High Treasury yields and a firm dollar remain the main pressure on gold. Oil and geopolitics are pulling gold in both directions. Tensions around the Strait of Hormuz support safe haven demand, but oil above $100 also increases inflation concerns and strengthens the case for higher interest rates. ✍️Economic News The key events next week are US retail sales on Wednesday at 1:30 PM London time, followed by the Federal Reserve decision at 7:00 PM and Chair Warsh’s press conference at 7:30 PM.

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept