HeraldLoop
TI

TradingView Ideas — page 114

2299 articlestradingview.com ↗

Coverage, page 114

page 114 of 115

EUR/USD: news flow leaning bearish — the net read

EUR/USD did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: −− EUR/USD Price Forecast: Slides to four-week low as hawkish Fed bets accelerate −− Swiss Franc weakens as US Dollar gains on Fed rate hike odds −− Asian currencies weaken as dollar rises, yen holds near seven-month high 45 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept
TI

GBPAUD Short Setup — Bearish RSI Divergence After Strong Rally

GBPAUD is showing a potential short setup on the 1H chart after a strong bullish move. Price has pushed toward the 1.8940–1.8955 area and formed a higher high, while RSI has formed a lower high, creating bearish divergence and suggesting momentum may be weakening. The recent rejection from the highs adds further confirmation to the setup. Trade idea: Entry area: ~1.8910 Stop loss: ~1.8956 Target: ~1.8841 Setup: Bearish RSI divergence Confirmation: rejection from the recent high Invalidation: strong break and hold above ~1.8956 The idea is to capture a potential pullback after the recent aggressive bullish expansion. Divergence alone isn't enough, so price action around the current resistance area remains important.

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

USD/CHF: news flow leaning bullish — the net read

USD/CHF did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: +++ British Pound weakens to near 1.3500 on Fed hike bets ++ Fed rate hike bets surge as Wall Street analysts converge on September move ++ Swiss Franc weakens as US Dollar gains on Fed rate hike odds 49 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: +++ leaning bullish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

Market Maker FOMC Plan: BTC Setup & Execution

Thos who read it first time please cheack prev post first That first-move expansion played out precisely into the liquidity pocket we mapped. Taking partials here and shifting stop-loss to breakeven locks in a risk-free structure while leaving runners open for the broader expansion. Securing the bag and never letting a green session turn red is the exact execution discipline that keeps the equity curve scaling. Let's see how the market maker model prints into the next session cheers !!

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

USD/JPY: news flow leaning bullish — the net read

USD/JPY did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: ++ Fed rate hike bets surge as Wall Street analysts converge on September move ++ Euro: Support at 1.1565 watched against US Dollar – UOB ++ British Pound weakens to near 1.3500 on Fed hike bets 50 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: +++ leaning bullish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

Gold (XAU/USD): news flow leaning bearish — the net read

Gold (XAU/USD) did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: −− Fed rate hike bets surge as Wall Street analysts converge on September move −− British Pound weakens to near 1.3500 on Fed hike bets −− Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan expect September Fed hike as inflation lingers (fading) 51 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

GBP/USD: news flow leaning bearish — the net read

GBP/USD did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: −− British Pound weakens to near 1.3500 on Fed hike bets −− Fed rate hike bets surge as Wall Street analysts converge on September move − EUR/USD Price Forecast: Slides to four-week low as hawkish Fed bets accelerate (fading) 46 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

WTI Crude Oil: news flow leaning bullish — the net read

WTI Crude Oil did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: +++ Indonesian Rupiah slips due to stronger US Dollar, soaring oil prices +++ Equities: Resilience versus rates and Oil shock – Danske Bank +++ Iran says it destroys U.S. advanced drone over Hormuz as Middle East conflict intensifies 78 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: +++ leaning bullish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept
TI

XAUUSD 4H — Head & Shoulders | Overall Bearish

> **XAUUSD 4H — Head & Shoulders Formation | Bearish Bias** > > Gold has formed a Head & Shoulders pattern on the 4H timeframe, with the head near 4,697 and the neckline around 4,307. Price is currently trading below the neckline, keeping the overall structure bearish. > > I am looking for bearish continuation toward lower liquidity/support levels, with a possible neckline retest and rejection acting as confirmation. > > **Overall Bias: BEARISH** > **Key Resistance:** 4,381 / 4,405 / 4,464 / 4,510 > **Key Support:** 4,307 / 4,250 / 4,200 / 4,082 > **Invalidation:** Sustained recovery above the right shoulder. > > **Plan: Sell rallies / bearish confirmation only. Ignore longs until the bearish structure is invalidated.**

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

Expectations vs Reality: Oil and the Dollar

The disconnect between Wall Street expectations and how policies actually played out created the macro whiplash seen across both charts: ]The Trade: What Markets Priced In Late 2024 The Drill Baby Drill Assumption: Consensus expected a supply flood from deregulation and quick federal leasing, crushing crude prices into the dirt around 50 to 60 dollars sustained. The Unstoppable King Dollar: Traders bet broad tariffs and deregulation would spark a roaring domestic boom, forcing the Fed to freeze rate cuts while blowing out foreign competitors, sending DXY vertical. The Reality: What Actually Happened in 2025 and 2026 Sanctions and Geopolitics Trumped Deregulation: Slapping sanctions back onto Russian flows, tightening squeeze points on Venezuelan barrels, and escalating Middle East friction choked physical supply far faster than domestic drillers could ever add rigs. Plus, US producers kept capital discipline rather than reckless overdrilling. Supply tightened, and oil ripped. Aggressive Tariffs Acted as a Drag, Not Pure Dollar Fuel: The sweeping, shifting tariff regime and trade frictions with Canada, Europe, and Asia created massive supply chain uncertainty and weighed on US domestic growth earlier in the year. The Deficit and De Dollarization Friction: Ballooning national debt and unpredictable trade posture pushed several trading partners toward non dollar settlements, taking the steam out of that late 2024 dollar rally and allowing DXY to bleed down toward 98. The Currency Stance Itself: Markets initially forgot that the administration historically expressed frustration with an overly strong dollar making US exports uncompetitive. Wall Street positioned for a low energy, super dollar boom. Instead, physical supply dictated oil, and domestic growth drag capped the greenback until energy inflation recently forced the bond market to wake back up. Touching on the Daily: DXY Looking Noticeably Stronger Now that oil has held near triple digits, the inflation lag is catching up and driving bond yields higher. That is putting a real floor under the dollar. On the daily chart(not shown), TVC:DXY is showing clear signs of bottoming. The red selling pressure on momentum indicators is gone, RSI is curling upward from oversold territory, and price is directly testing the downward trendline near the 100 level. While crude takes a slight breather at the top of its channel, the daily dollar setup looks ready to push. If DXY clears the 100 resistance mark, the feedback loop is back in play: high oil sparks inflation, yields rise, and the dollar follows crude higher. TGtg!

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

A massive head-and-shoulders pattern.

Looking at the charts, the four-hour timeframe reveals a massive "double-shoulder" pattern. From a historical perspective, this indicates a major bearish trend; combined with the upcoming Fed rate decision, this downward movement could span a range of several hundred dollars. In the short term, I believe a rebound to the $4,300 level is necessary for a correction before the decline resumes—a sequence that would signify a healthy bearish trend.

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

USD/CHF: Uptrend Presses Into 0.8210 Fibonacci Resistance

USD/CHF remains constructive on the daily chart, with price continuing to respect a rising trendline from the February low and holding above both major moving averages. The pair is now trading near 0.8183, approaching the marked 38.2% Fibonacci level around 0.8213, which represents the key nearby resistance zone. The broader trend structure remains supportive. Price is above the 50-day SMA near 0.8100 and the 200-day SMA near 0.7939, while the shorter-term average is also positioned above the longer-term average. This alignment reflects a sustained bullish structure despite several periods of consolidation through July and August. Momentum indicators are also improving. MACD has crossed back above its signal line and moved into positive territory, suggesting renewed upside momentum after the late-August pullback. RSI is near 63, showing strengthening momentum without yet reaching overbought conditions. The main technical question is whether price can sustain strength into the 0.8213 resistance area. A decisive break above that region would reinforce the existing sequence of higher lows and higher highs, while rejection could lead to another consolidation phase. On the downside, the 50-day SMA and rising trendline form an important area of dynamic support, with the 200-day SMA acting as a deeper structural reference. Overall, the chart maintains a bullish directional bias, supported by trend structure, moving-average positioning, and improving momentum, while 0.8213 remains the key level to monitor for confirmation of further trend continuation. -MW

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

US 10-Year Yield: Uptrend Extends Toward 5.08% Resistance

The U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield remains in a well-defined daily uptrend, with the latest move pushing toward the 5.08% resistance area. Price action continues to form higher highs and higher lows, while the yield is trading comfortably above both the 50-day SMA near 4.68% and the 200-day SMA near 4.38%. Momentum remains supportive of the trend. MACD is above its signal line and rising, with both lines holding above the zero level, indicating continued positive momentum. At the same time, RSI has climbed to roughly 74, placing the market in overbought territory. That does not automatically imply a reversal, but it does suggest the current advance is becoming stretched on a short-term basis. The moving-average structure also reinforces the broader bullish bias. The 50-day SMA is rising and remains well above the 200-day SMA, while price has accelerated away from both averages. This confirms strong trend strength, although the widening distance from the shorter-term average may increase the probability of consolidation or mean reversion. From a structural perspective, 5.08% is the key nearby technical level. A sustained move through that area would represent a continuation of the prevailing trend, while hesitation beneath it could allow momentum to cool. On the downside, the 4.80%–4.70% region is the first notable area of prior consolidation and trend support. Overall, the daily chart maintains a bullish directional bias, supported by price structure, moving averages, and MACD, while the elevated RSI signals that short-term conditions are increasingly extended. -MW

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

US Dollar Index (DXY): Momentum Improves Above the 200-Day SMA

The U.S. Dollar Index is showing signs of short-term recovery after repeatedly holding the 98.75 support area. Price has moved back above the 200-day SMA near 99.14, while the latest daily candle is pressing toward the 99.75 resistance zone. Momentum indicators are also beginning to improve. RSI has recovered to roughly 53, moving back above its neutral 50 level without approaching overbought territory. At the same time, MACD has crossed above its signal line, suggesting bearish momentum is fading, although both lines remain below the zero line. This keeps the momentum improvement constructive but not yet fully confirmed. The moving-average structure remains mixed. DXY is trading above the 200-day SMA but still below the 50-day SMA near 99.98, which has started to slope lower. That area, together with the nearby 99.75 horizontal resistance, creates an important technical barrier. Above it, the 100.60 region represents the next major area where previous price action and the declining short-term trend could be tested. For now, the chart carries a neutral-to-mildly bullish short-term bias while price remains above the 200-day SMA and 98.75 support. A sustained move through the 99.75–100.00 area would strengthen the recovery structure, while renewed weakness beneath the 200-day average would shift attention back toward 98.75 and the broader 97.65 support zone. -MW

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept

JTOUSDT 1D FOR LONG TIME

JTOUSDT.P (1D) — Two-Leg Target Scenario Entry: current zone ~0.44 (above EMA21 0.4576) Stop: ~0.383 (support line below current base) TP1: ~0.648 (+47% from entry) — top of the first upward leg; a good zone to take partial profit / move stop to breakeven. TP2: ~1.31 (+198% from entry) — major resistance (prior high), final target after the pullback and second breakout leg. R:R to TP2 is attractive given the tight stop, but expect a pullback (~0.47) after TP1 before the second leg plays out — so consider scaling out at TP1 to lock in gains for the rest of the move.

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept