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Xagusd daily long

XAG/USD — Macro Fundamental Buy Thesis Silver remains structurally bullish despite a significantly less favorable monetary backdrop. The Federal Reserve has just raised the federal funds target range by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%, reinforcing the pressure from higher U.S. rates and yields on non-yielding assets such as silver. However, the key point is price behavior. Despite this tightening impulse, silver has failed to break and sustain below its previous major swing lows. This inability to invalidate the existing swing structure suggests that the bearish macro pressure has not yet been sufficient to reverse the broader price structure. At the same time, silver retains fundamental support from its industrial and monetary demand profile, while the physical market continues to face supply deficits. Therefore, the current weakness can be interpreted as a correction within an intact bullish structure, rather than confirmation of a new bearish trend. Key thesis: If silver can maintain its previous swing lows even under a hawkish U.S. rate environment, the burden of proof remains on the bears. Bias: BUY Looking for long opportunities while the major swing structure remains intact.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

ETF WHALES HAVE EVEN THE POWER TO GET BTC INTO NEW 84k+

Until the moment of this update, Bitcoin has still an active whale bullrun cycle, and with data, it shows that ETF whales where able in the 64k+ zone to enter the volume up 72k+ for the cycle, until the moment of today BTC has this bullrun active. Second round? There is huge chance this ETF whales can go for the second round, and when this happen, we can expect a BTC price of 84k+. How we base this data? We base this data since the cycle trend of 2015+ and we use simllair stractures to see if a trend is still into bullrun or not, until now depending on our study BTC is still bullish, and only about time before next breakout.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

XAU/USD Bullish Reversal | Buy Zone Holds, 4,369 Target in Focus

XAU/USD 15M — Bullish Buy Setup Bias: 🟢 BULLISH Gold has reacted strongly from the demand zone around 4,230–4,245 and formed a recovery with higher lows. Price is now holding above the marked buy/retest zone around 4,292–4,293, suggesting bullish continuation if this area remains supported. 📌 Trade Plan Entry: 4,292–4,293 Stop Loss: 4,270.8 TP1: 4,320 TP2: 4,340 TP3: 4,360 Final Target: 4,369.4 Resistance / Supply: 4,365–4,380 Invalidation: A sustained 15M break below 4,270.8 weakens the bullish setup. 🔎 Key Structure Demand → Bullish reversal → Higher lows → Retest of 4,292–4,293 → Continuation toward 4,369

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

XAUUSD — Technical Analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing a recovery structure after a sharp downside move. Price has formed a series of higher lows along the rising trendline, indicating that buyers are attempting to regain control. Resistance Zone: 4355–4368 Support Zone: 4240–4250 Dynamic Support: Rising trendline Market Structure Price is currently approaching the 4305–4310 area. A sustained move above this level could strengthen the recovery and open the way toward the marked resistance zone. If price rejects from the current area, the rising trendline remains an important structure to monitor. A confirmed break below the trendline could weaken the recovery and bring the lower support zone back into focus. Key levels to watch: 4305–4310 — near-term resistance 4355–4368 — major resistance zone 4240– 4250 — major support zone Rising trendline — dynamic support This is a technical analysis based on the displayed chart, not a guaranteed trade signal. Traders should consider volatility, confirmation, and risk management before making decisions.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

Bearish Continuation After FVG Retracement | XAUUSD 17/09

Gold is trading around 4,313 after a sharp bearish displacement from the 4,350–4,360 area. The H1 chart shows a previous SSL sweep around 4,260, followed by accumulation and a bullish expansion. However, the latest rejection from the upper structure has shifted the short-term focus back toward bearish continuation. My main expectation for today is a retracement into the FVG, followed by a potential bearish reaction and a move toward the lower liquidity. 🔍 H1 MARKET STRUCTURE • Price rejected the 4,350–4,360 resistance area. • Strong bearish displacement broke through the previous accumulation structure. • Current price is recovering toward the FVG around 4,310–4,330. • The 4,390–4,405 H1 OB remains a higher resistance zone. • Lower liquidity around 4,260 and OB + Support around 4,230–4,240 remain relevant downside areas. 📌 TODAY'S PRIMARY SCENARIO — BEARISH My bias for September 17 is bearish continuation, provided price fails to reclaim the 4,350–4,360 resistance area. The preferred sequence: Price retraces into the 4,310–4,330 FVG. Price shows rejection from the FVG or nearby resistance. M5/M10 develops bearish MSS and displacement. Price continues toward the lower liquidity around 4,260. If downside momentum remains strong, the next area of interest is 4,230–4,240. 🎯 TRADE PLAN — BEARISH SETUP Entry Zone: 4,320–4,330 Entry Condition: Wait for bearish confirmation on M5/M10 after price reacts inside the FVG. SL: 4,365 TP1: 4,290 TP2: 4,260 TP3: 4,235 Risk-to-Reward: • Entry 4,325 → SL 4,365 = 40 points risk. • TP1 4,290 = 35 points potential. • TP2 4,260 = 65 points potential. • TP3 4,235 = 90 points potential. The setup offers approximately 1:1.6 to TP2 and 1:2.25 to TP3 from the middle of the entry zone. ⚠️ Invalidation If price reclaims 4,365 with strong bullish displacement, the bearish entry idea is invalidated. If price breaks and holds above 4,350–4,360, avoid forcing the bearish setup. The market may continue toward the upper OB around 4,390–4,405. 🔄 ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO — BULLISH RECOVERY If price reclaims 4,350–4,360 and confirms bullish continuation on M5/M10, the bearish retracement idea is no longer the preferred setup. Potential upside areas: • 4,390–4,405 — H1 OB • 4,420–4,435 — Upper OB No entry will be considered without confirmation. 🧠 MY BIAS Bearish continuation remains my primary scenario for today. The key area to watch is 4,310–4,330. I am looking for a retracement into the FVG, bearish confirmation, and continuation toward 4,260 before considering the deeper 4,230–4,240 support.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept
TI

Post FED market update! The final stand.

In this video I'm going over with subscribers my levels of support and resistance on both the SPX and the QQQ. Were trying to make sense of the price action today and I must say it was very interesting! We finally did the full retrace of the wedge pattern that we were watching out for! This is the final chance for the markets to make a turnaround IF we cant hold the retrace of the former wedge pattern that we broke out from then were going much lower. But if we do hold it there is a chance to make one final leg higher before we start our market correction we have been anticipating based on our 2 month chart analysis that has been warning us. There is always the chance that its already staring now but we will know for sure once we fail to hold the wedge pattern retrace. I'm playing the pattern until its broken!

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

H1 Corrective Recovery Into Bearish Resistance

XAUUSD is trading around 4,310 after rebounding from the 4,254 previous-support target. The reaction confirms that buyers are defending the lower H1 structure, but the broader market remains bearish beneath the descending trendline. The macro backdrop remains difficult for gold after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years. The Fed also signaled that further tightening remains possible, with 16 of 18 policymakers expecting at least one additional 25 bp increase this year. The dollar index climbed to a five-week high after the decision. Gold initially traded above 4,365 before falling more than 1% after the Fed announcement, reflecting renewed pressure from higher rates and a stronger dollar. Technical View The H1 structure remains inside a descending channel, with lower highs still controlling the broader direction. However, price has reacted strongly from the lower liquidity area and is now holding the 4,280–4,310 Pullback Zone. As long as this zone holds, a corrective recovery toward the descending trendline remains possible. The first recovery objective sits around 4,340–4,360. Above that, the key decision area is the 4,375–4,400 Order Block, where bearish structure and dynamic resistance align. If buyers establish acceptance above that OB, price could extend toward the 4,425–4,445 Resistance Zone. Key Zones Current Price: 4,309.920 Pullback / Support Zone: 4,280–4,310 First Recovery Area: 4,340–4,360 Order Block / Main Decision: 4,375–4,400 Resistance Zone: 4,425–4,445 Major Resistance: 4,470–4,490 Structural Support: 4,235–4,255 Trading Plan Buy Priority: 4,280–4,310 Condition: wait for price to hold the pullback zone and show bullish rejection, liquidity reclaim, higher-low formation or bullish MSS confirmation. TP1: 4,340–4,360 TP2: 4,375–4,400 TP3: 4,425–4,445 Invalidation: sustained H1 acceptance below 4,255. Buy/Sell View This remains a corrective long inside a broader bearish H1 structure, not confirmation of a full trend reversal. The stronger bearish reaction area remains 4,375–4,400. If price reaches this zone and sellers regain control, the recovery should be reassessed rather than automatically expecting continuation higher. Final View Gold has reacted from lower structural support, but the Fed’s hawkish rate hike keeps the broader macro environment defensive. The main scenario is a confirmed recovery from 4,280–4,310 toward 4,375–4,400. That Order Block will determine whether the rebound can expand toward 4,425–4,445 or whether sellers regain control. Can buyers hold the pullback zone and complete the H1 recovery into the bearish Order Block?

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

keep trending

ARBITRUM continues to respect the ascending trendline after breaking out from the downtrend. Price remains above the 0.382 Fibonacci level (≈0.1589), showing strong buyer defense. CVD stays positive, confirming steady accumulation, while RSI hovers around 57–61 — healthy momentum without overbought pressure. If higher highs persist, watch for a retest of 0.1747, with shallow pullbacks likely near 0.163–0.160. Structure remains bullish unless RSI dips below 50 or CVD turns negative.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

₿ BTCUSD Range Still in Play

Following up on my previous Bitcoin outlook, BTC is currently holding around the $74K–$75K support zone after being rejected from the $82K resistance area. From the current price action, I personally think Bitcoin has a good chance of remaining above the 50 EMA and 200 EMA for now. Both moving averages are sitting below the current price and could provide additional support if we see another pullback. My main levels remain: 🔸 Near-term support: ~$74K–$75K 🔸 50 EMA: ~$73.7K 🔸 200 EMA: ~$73.1K 🔸 Major resistance: ~$82K As long as BTC continues holding above the 50 & 200 EMA region, my bias remains towards consolidation with another attempt at the $82K resistance. For now, I see Bitcoin potentially ranging between the $74K support area and $82K resistance rather than immediately starting a major directional move. A clean Daily breakout above $82K–$83K would be what I’m watching for to signal a possible continuation higher. On the other hand, losing the $74K area and both major EMAs would make me reassess this view. As mentioned previously, I don’t actively trade Bitcoin — I buy and hold it as a long-term investment, so I’m mainly using these levels to understand where BTC is within the larger structure. Support holding 👀 50 & 200 EMA below price ✅ $82K resistance remains key 🎯 For now: Range until breakout. This is my personal market view, not financial advice. #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSD #Crypto #BitcoinAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #LongTermInvesting #bottradingwithkinki

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

GOLD — THE FED GAVE US THE MOVE… NOW WHAT?

We've been sitting in consolidation for most of the week waiting for the Fed. Well... we finally got the catalyst. The Fed raised rates by 25bps today, bringing the target range to 3.75%–4.00%, while also signaling that inflation remains elevated and that additional tightening could still be on the table. And Gold initially reacted exactly how you'd expect. Straight down. But here's where I'm getting interested. That selloff pushed price directly into the area I've been waiting for. The H4 FVG was largely filled, and price also swept the lows. Now I'm watching to see what happens after the liquidity grab. Because at this point, I don't necessarily want to chase the downside. I want to see if sellers can actually hold the lower prices. 🔵 THE BULLISH IDEA The level I'm watching now is the Previous Weekly Low around 4,339.7. Price is currently below it. So I'm not calling a long simply because we swept the lows. I want to see price reclaim that level. If we push back above the Previous Weekly Low, then I want to see whether we can retest it from above and hold. Something like: Sweep the lows → FVG fill → buyers step in → reclaim PWL → successful retest → continuation. THAT is the setup I'm interested in. If that happens, the Fed reaction could end up being the liquidity event that gave buyers the opportunity to step back in. 🔴 BUT I'M NOT GOING TO FORCE THE BULLISH STORY This is the part that's important. The Fed just delivered a hawkish catalyst, and the initial reaction was bearish for Gold. So if price cannot reclaim the Previous Weekly Low, I'm not going to sit here saying: "Well... they swept the lows, so it has to go up." Nope. If sellers continue accepting price below that level, then the sweep wasn't necessarily a reversal. It may simply have been the beginning of another leg lower. And that's when I'm looking for the next area where Gold may want to react. 📊 WHAT I'M WATCHING IN ORDER FLOW This is where the DOM/order flow becomes important for me. I want to see whether the aggressive selling we're getting after the Fed actually produces continued downside acceptance. If sellers keep hitting the market but price stops making meaningful progress lower... That's interesting. If buyers begin absorbing that selling... Even more interesting. Then we reclaim the Previous Weekly Low? Now we've got something I can actually work with. I'm not trying to predict the reversal. I'm waiting for the market to prove it. 🎯 MY PLAN Bullish scenario: 🔹 H4 FVG gets filled 🔹 Lows get swept 🔹 Selling pressure begins to dry up 🔹 Buyers take control 🔹 Price reclaims ~4,339.7 🔹 Retest holds 🔹 Look for continuation higher Bearish scenario: 🔻 Price remains below the Previous Weekly Low 🔻 Sellers continue accepting lower prices 🔻 Reclaim attempt fails 🔻 No reason for me to force a long 🔻 Wait for the next major level/FVG The key for me is 4,339.7. I don't need to catch the exact bottom. I'd rather miss the first 30–50 points and get confirmation that buyers have actually taken control than try to call the bottom and get run over if sellers aren't finished. The news created the volatility. Now I'm watching price tell me what that volatility actually means. Let it show its hand. #Gold #MGC #GC #GoldFutures #FuturesTrading #OrderFlow #PriceAction #VolumeProfile #MarketStructure #TradingView #DayTrading #Futures #COMEX #GoldTrading

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

ETH Ignored Two Confirmed Bearish Catalysts. That's the Signal.

Two of the most bearish catalysts crypto could've been handed in one week landed within days of each other. The Clarity Act failed to pass. The Fed hiked 25bps instead of cutting. Either headline alone should have sent ETH through its range lows. It didn't happen. ETH ran a clean ABC correction straight into the news. Wave C dropped into the exact same zone that's held for days. Instead of breaking down on two confirmed bearish catalysts, price compressed at the lows, volume drying up candle by candle, then printed a Change of Character straight back through the range, reclaiming 2,421 without ever tagging a lower low. That's not indifference to bad news. That's exhaustion. Whoever was going to sell on Clarity failing or a hike landing already sold on the move down into C. By the time the headlines hit, there was nobody left on that side to press it lower. Under CAP, a CHoCH at range lows immediately following confirmed bearish catalysts, with no lower low made, is one of the highest conviction reversal signatures the framework tracks. The reaction to the news mattered more than the news itself. The fear was never in the headline. It was in the room that had already emptied out before the headline arrived.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept