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EUR/USD Maintains Bearish Bias

EUR/USD OANDA:XAUUSD maintained a negative bias for five consecutive sessions and consolidated in the 1.1530–1.1535 range throughout the Asian trading session on Wednesday, September 16, 2026. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ US Monetary & Bond Markets: Fed Rate Hike Expectations (+25 bps) & Record US 10-Year Yields (April 2007) Bond market dynamics and US monetary policy expectations are cementing the Greenback's advantage: - ⚡Fed Interest Rate Announcement Tonight (+25 bps): The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concludes its two-day policy meeting tonight (early Thursday morning WIB). The market has fully priced in the probability of the Fed raising the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps). - ⚡US 10-Year Yield Surge to April 2007 Highs: A surge in public and corporate borrowing, combined with the threat of exogenous inflation driven by soaring crude oil prices (hitting new peaks since May 20), has propelled the benchmark US 10-year government bond yield to its highest level since April 2007. - ⚡Hawkish ECB Stance Limits Downside: The Euro's downside is being slightly cushioned by prospects of further European Central Bank (ECB) tightening following last week's +25 bps rate hike; this has prevented the Euro from plummeting uncontrollably ahead of the Fed's decision. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Price Action Analysis (H4 Timeframe) The H4 structure confirms a continuation of the bearish structure/retest phase. After facing sharp rejection (bearish rejection) from the "Lower High" peak at the 1.16541 green line, EUR/USD slid downward, breaking through several minor support levels before establishing a temporary bottom near the 1.15229 green line. At the 1.15442 price level, the most recent H4 candle shows minor buying rejection (long lower wick), attempting to bounce the price off the 1.15229 floor. This current green candle is part of a relief rally phase (a temporary upward correction) aimed at testing the SBR area within the 1.15600–1.15700 range. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Key Zones: - ⚡Resistance / Supply Zone (SBR): The 1.15600–1.15800 range (middle gray box / nearest SBR & HVN area) and the green lines from 1.16158 to 1.16541 (upper gray box / Major Supply Zone). - ⚡Support / Demand Zone: The green line at 1.15229 (nearest local support floor where a liquidity sweep occurred) and the green line at 1.15000 (psychological Major Demand Zone stronghold). ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Elliott Wave Analysis Mapping the wave cycle movements on the H4 timeframe: - ⚡Wave Structure: The sharp decline from the major peak toward the 1.15700 area is calculated as Sub-Wave A (or Wave 1). The upward bounce that stalled at the 1.16541 green line is identified as the formation of Sub-Wave B (a micro zigzag correction). - ⚡Current Status: The drop from 1.16541 to 1.15229 is calculated as part of the Sub-Wave C expansion (or micro Wave 3). The current upward bounce from 1.15229 to 1.15442 represents the formation of a minor corrective sub-wave (relief rally) to retest the SBR area. - ⚡Projection: The direction of price movement is projected to complete this corrective rebound by testing the SBR/HVN area in the 1.15600–1.15800 range, before reversing course to slide back down, breaking the green line at 1.15229 and targeting the Major Demand level at 1.15000.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

GOLD: Gold H1 Analysis – September 16

📰 Fundamental News & Gold Price Action Gold is recovering toward 4,328, but the market remains extremely cautious ahead of today’s FOMC meeting. Reuters reported that Gold was up around 0.8% as investors awaited the Fed’s decision, while the market is currently pricing in approximately a 92.4% probability of a 25 bps rate hike. The USD is also holding near multi-week highs amid expectations that the Fed will maintain a tighter monetary policy stance. → Therefore, the FOMC decision, and especially Powell’s remarks and the dot plot, will be the biggest catalysts of the day, potentially triggering significant volatility in XAUUSD. 📊 Key Resistance Levels & EMAs 🔴 SELL ZONE: 4,355 – 4,370 * This is an important supply zone on the chart. * It is located near the long-term EMA around 4,362. * The zone also sits below the descending trendline extending from the early-month high. → If price retraces into this zone and shows clear rejection, I would continue to prioritize SELL setups. ⚪ Zone: 4,315 – 4,305 * Price is currently trading around this area. * It is located near the medium-term EMA around 4,306. → Since this zone is very close to the current price, the **risk-to-reward ratio (R:R)** is not particularly attractive. It is better suited for waiting for confirmation rather than chasing an entry. 🟢 BUY ZONE: 4,250 – 4,262 * This is a demand zone that has triggered multiple price reactions. → If Gold drops sharply into this area and forms a bullish rejection, a BUY setup could be considered. → If this zone is clearly broken, the bearish structure would be further reinforced. 📌 Summary The H1 structure remains bearish, with 4,355–4,370 acting as a key SELL zone. The 4,315–4,305 area is too close to the current price, so the R:R is not particularly attractive. If Gold continues to decline, 4,250–4,262 will be an important BUY zone to watch. 👉 Key Levels: 4,365 / 4,350 / 4,325 / 4,300 / 4,260 Bias: 🔴 Bearish – prioritize SELL on rallies, but remain especially cautious ahead of the FOMC.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAU/USD (GOLD) — DETAILED SMC ANALYSIS | SELL BIAS

🔷 MARKET OVERVIEW Gold has been in a clear bearish structure over the past few sessions, dropping sharply from the highs near 4,400 down toward the 4,260 region, before staging a sharp bullish reaction into a key premium zone. This move appears to be a liquidity engineering play rather than a genuine trend reversal — price is being drawn up into supply before a potential continuation lower. 🟢 1. BUY SIDE LIQUIDITY (Upper Level – ~4,400) The highest liquidity pool sits above the initial swing high near 4,400. This is where resting buy stops and breakout orders accumulated after the initial impulsive rally. Price has not returned to tap this level yet, meaning it remains a magnet for future upside wicks, but it's not the immediate zone of interest for this setup. 🟢 2. BUY SIDE LIQUIDITY (Lower Level – ~4,360) A secondary, more relevant liquidity pool formed just below the first major pullback high. This zone was swept more recently as price pushed up into the BPR, confirming that smart money used this liquidity to fund the reversal down. 🟫 3. BPR (BALANCE PRICE RANGE) — ~4,320–4,340 This is the most critical zone on the chart. The BPR represents a fair-value/imbalance overlap where two opposing order flow deliveries intersect, creating a "balanced" price region. Price has just tapped into the lower boundary of this BPR, and it's acting as a strong resistance/rejection zone. A rejection from here would confirm institutional selling interest. 🔺 4. MARKET STRUCTURE SHIFT (MSS) A clean bullish MSS occurred on the internal structure around the 4,300–4,320 region, breaking the prior lower-high. This shift signaled the temporary change in short-term order flow from bearish to bullish — fueling the sharp rally into premium. However, this MSS is viewed as a corrective/liquidity-grab move within a larger bearish context, not a full trend reversal. 🟠 5. PREMIUM ZONE Marked directly above the current price action (~4,320–4,345), the Premium Zone represents the "expensive" area of the current dealing range — where price is statistically overextended relative to equilibrium. This is the ideal zone for institutional sellers to step in, aligning perfectly with the BPR and the recent liquidity sweep. 🟢 6. DISCOUNT ZONE Located below equilibrium (~4,280–4,300), the Discount Zone marks the "cheap" area of the range where buyers previously stepped in. This is the primary draw on liquidity for this bearish setup — price is expected to travel from premium back down into this discount region. ⬛ 7. ORDER BLOCK (Demand OB – ~4,260–4,280) A well-defined bullish order block sits near the sell-side liquidity sweep low. This is the origin of the last major bullish leg and represents unmitigated institutional buying interest. If price reaches this deep, it's the strongest zone for potential long-term demand. ⬛ 8. IMPULSION OB (~4,280–4,295) A smaller, more recent order block formed just before the impulsive rally into premium. This "impulsion" block is significant because it's the last footprint of aggressive buying before the breakout move — making it a high-probability intermediate target/reaction zone on the way down. 🔴 9. SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY (~4,260) Resting sell stops accumulated below the recent swing low. This pool was already swept once, fueling the bullish impulse move. It remains a key reference level — if price breaks back below the Order Block, this liquidity could be revisited/extended further downside. 🎯 TRADE THESIS Price has swept lower-level buy-side liquidity and tapped directly into the BPR/Premium Zone confluence — a textbook institutional sell zone. Expecting rejection from here, targeting a return through the Discount Zone and into the Impulsion OB / Order Block region. 📍 Entry: 4334.30 🛑 SL: 4345.50 🎯 TP1: 4325 | TP2: 4317 | TP3: 4308.50 | TP4 (Final): 4300 ⚠️ Idea shared for educational/analytical purposes only. Not financial advice — trade at your own risk and manage position sizing accordingly.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

USDCAD: Breakdown Setup

USD/CAD is still moving within a rising structure , but price is now testing the upper part of the formation and starting to lose momentum. The key area to watch is the ascending trendline below price . This line has been supporting the latest move higher, so a break below it would be the first sign that buyers are losing control. For now, I would wait for a confirmed breakdown rather than sell too early. If price breaks the trendline and fails to recover above it, selling pressure could increase, with 1.3905 as the next downside target. The idea is simple: wait for the structure to break, then look for continuation lower.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Gold 4H: back at the line July left behind

Three marks in July, a sixteen percent move away from them, and this week price came all the way back to the line they left behind. This is gold on the four-hour with our accumulation layer on it. The layer printed three times in July - once in the first week, twice more in the last ten days of the month - each time just above four thousand. Between those marks the shaded area shows what the layer was describing: price sitting under its reference, going nowhere in particular, for most of a month. What the mark means. Accumulate does not mark a bottom. It prints when price drops below the layer's reference line, and it says one thing: you have entered an area where a structural low is being built. While price trades under the reference, the window is open. When the panel reads NO ACCUMULATION, it has shut. It shut in early August. Price accepted above the reference and left - and over the following three weeks gold ran to the high four-six-hundreds. That is roughly sixteen percent from where the marks printed, and it is also the least interesting part of this chart, because every screenshot on the internet ends there. What happened next is the part worth having. From the August high, gold has spent a month coming back down. This week it reached 4,256.89 - the reference line, now rising, exactly where the layer left it - and so far has held above, trading at 4,324. That is a test, not a verdict. The reference is not support. The layer draws it to define where the zone was; it does not defend it. What a return to the reference actually means is narrower and more useful: the question the layer asked in July is back on the table. If price accepts below this line again, a new window opens and the panel will say so. If it does not, the layer stays quiet - as it has for 197 bars. What it will not tell you. Whether 4,256 holds. Whether a new mark is coming. And not what happens on the release either way - the volume reading on the panel is low, which is worth knowing and is not a signal of anything by itself. One caveat, always. This chart is one where the zone was followed by a strong move. We show it because it is a clean illustration of how a zone opens, shuts and gets revisited - not because that outcome is typical. Zones are followed by nothing at all often enough that any single chart proves the mechanism and nothing more. Educational market commentary - not financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

16 Practical Elliott Wave Guidelines Every Trader Should Know

Elliott Wave Theory can help traders understand market structure, identify impulsive and corrective phases, and frame potential entry and exit areas. However, Elliott Wave counts are not always straightforward, wave counts can change as new price action develops. Here are 16 practical guidelines that can make Elliott Wave analysis easier to understand and apply. 1. Understand the Tradable Waves The main waves that traders generally focus on are Wave 1, Wave 3, Wave 5, and Wave C . Waves 1, 3 and 5 are impulsive movements, while Wave C is part of a corrective structure. These waves can provide opportunities to analyze trends and potential trade setups. 2. Wave 3 Is Usually the Most Powerful Wave Wave 3 is typically the strongest and most dynamic wave of an Elliott Wave impulse. It often develops with: Strong price momentum Increased trading activity Greater participation from traders Stronger momentum readings Wave 3 should not be the shortest of Waves 1, 3 and 5. 3. Impulsive Waves Usually Contain Five Smaller Waves Waves 1, 3 and 5 normally develop into five smaller waves: 1 → 2 → 3 → 4 → 5 Most corrections within these structures tend to appear as A-B-C patterns , although markets can also produce more complex or irregular corrections. 4. Wave 5 Can Show Less Volume Than Wave 3 It is common for Wave 5 to develop with lower volume than Wave 3 , even though price may continue moving in the same direction. Therefore, lower volume during Wave 5 does not automatically mean that the trend has already ended. 5. Wave 5 Can Fail Not every Wave 5 necessarily moves beyond the high or low established by Wave 3. A failed fifth wave , sometimes called a truncated fifth, can result in a double-top or double-bottom type structure rather than a new extreme. This is one reason traders should avoid assuming that price must always make a new high or low during Wave 5. 6. Combine Elliott Wave With Other Trading Evidence Elliott Wave should preferably be used as part of a broader trading framework rather than as a standalone signal. For example, traders can combine wave analysis with: Price action Support and resistance Fibonacci levels Volume Momentum indicators Moving averages Other objective trading signals The goal is to build a grounded trading assessment rather than relying solely on a subjective wave count. 7. Be Patient With Wave 4 Corrections Wave 4 can be particularly difficult to trade because corrections can become complicated. A useful guideline is to look for the correction to develop clearly into an A-B-C structure before assuming Wave 4 has ended. Fibonacci retracement levels can also provide useful reference points. The original guideline highlights the 38.2%–61.8% retracement zone between Waves 2 and 3 as an area traders may monitor. Wave B is commonly discussed as a retracement of Wave A and generally should not exceed the beginning of Wave A in a normal corrective structure. 8. Simple Wave 2 Often Leads to a More Complex Wave 4 One useful Elliott Wave concept is alternation . If Wave 2 is relatively simple, for example, a straightforward correction, Wave 4 may develop into a more complicated correction. Conversely, if Wave 2 is complex, Wave 4 may be relatively simple. This is a guideline rather than a guarantee. 9. Wave 2 Retracement Statistics Wave 2 commonly retraces a portion of Wave 1. The statistics presented in the source suggest that: About 12% of Wave 2 corrections retrace less than 38% of Wave 1. Around 73% occur between approximately 50% and 60% retracement. Around 15% retrace beyond 62% . These figures should be treated as statistical guidelines, not fixed rules. Actual market behavior can differ considerably. 10. Wave 3 Can Extend Significantly Wave 3 can sometimes become much larger than Wave 1. The referenced statistics describe three broad possibilities: 45% : approximately 1.6–1.75 × Wave 1 30% : approximately 1.75–2.62 × Wave 1 15% : approximately 1.0–1.6 × Wave 1 8% : greater than 2.62 × Wave 1 The important takeaway is that Wave 3 can extend considerably , so traders should avoid assuming that a strong Wave 3 movement must end after reaching a small predefined target. 11. Wave 4 Commonly Retraces Part of Wave 3 Wave 4 is another corrective phase. The statistics in the source indicate that Wave 4 frequently retraces approximately: 30%–50% of Wave 3 A smaller portion may retrace around 24%–30% Another portion may retrace approximately 50%–62% These levels can be used as areas of interest, rather than automatic entry or exit signals. 12. Use Fibonacci Extensions for Wave 5 Wave 5 can sometimes be estimated using Fibonacci extension calculations . A commonly monitored range is approximately: 1.0–1.62 × the distance from the beginning of Wave 1 to the end of Wave 3 However, Wave 5 can also extend further, so Fibonacci projections should be treated as potential zones rather than guaranteed targets. 13. Manage Risk When Trading a Potential Wave 5 If a trader identifies a potential Wave 5 setup after a Wave 4 correction, Fibonacci retracement levels can help define the risk. For example, if the Wave 4 correction appears around the 38.2% or 50% retracement area, a trader may monitor the 61.8% level as an important invalidation/risk reference. Most importantly: Position size should be adjusted according to the distance to the stop-loss. Once the Wave 5 structure becomes more convincing, additional confirmation from other trading signals can be considered. 14. Trade in the Direction of the Larger Wave Structure A useful principle is to align trades with the direction of the primary wave structure. For example, traders may focus on setups that agree with the direction of: Wave 1 → Wave 3 → Wave 5 → Wave C on the timeframe being analyzed. This can help prevent taking trades that conflict with the broader market structure. 15. Use a Higher Timeframe for Confirmation Wave analysis can become more reliable when the larger timeframe supports the same directional structure. One approach is to examine a timeframe one Fibonacci degree higher than the trading timeframe. For example: Lower timeframe: identifying the trade setup Higher timeframe: checking whether the broader wave direction agrees This multi-timeframe approach can help filter some conflicting signals. 16. Elliott Wave Counts Can Change This may be the most important guideline of all : An Elliott Wave count is an interpretation of current market structure. As price develops, what initially appears to be one wave can sometimes become another wave structure. For example, a correction that appears to be Wave 4 may continue beyond the expected level and force the trader to reconsider the count. Therefore: Never let a wave count override your risk-management rules. Always define your invalidation level and respect your stop-loss. If the market proves the original wave count wrong, the trader should be prepared to revise the analysis. 👋 Do you use Elliott Wave analysis in your trading? Which guideline do you find most useful? Share your thoughts in the comments. ❤

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

GBPUSD Bullish Recovery | Support Base & Upside Levels (1H)

GBPUSD is consolidating near the lower boundary of the recent decline after forming a support base around 1.3465–1.3470. Price is attempting to recover from this area, while the descending trendline and nearby resistance remain important for confirmation. 🟦 Support Objective: 1.3465–1.3470 🟢 First Upside Objective: 1.3530 🔵 Key Resistance Objective: 1.3570 📈 Bias: Recovery attempt from support; confirmation needed above resistance. A sustained hold above 1.3465–1.3470 could allow the recovery to develop toward 1.3530. A clean break and hold above the descending trendline would strengthen the structure and bring 1.3570 into focus. A decisive loss of the support zone would invalidate the recovery setup.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

EURUSD Bearish Continuation | Trendline Breakdown (2H)

EURUSD has broken below the rising trendline after failing to sustain the recent higher-low structure. Price is now consolidating beneath the broken trendline, while the 1.1580–1.1590 area has turned into an important resistance region. The lower 1.1455 area remains the key support objective. 🟥 Resistance Objective: 1.1580–1.1590 🟦 Near-Term Support: 1.1520–1.1530 🟦 Key Support Objective: 1.1455 📉 Bias: Bearish below the broken trendline. A rejection from the 1.1580–1.1590 resistance zone could keep downside pressure active toward 1.1520–1.1530, with the broader support objective near 1.1455. A sustained reclaim of the broken trendline and resistance area would weaken the bearish structure.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Gold Pre-FOMC: 4,260 Sweep Before 4,370?

Market Overview • Macro Driver: Spot Gold hovers near $4,313 on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, as global markets brace for today's pivotal FOMC Interest Rate Decision and the release of the updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP / Dot Plot). While policy rates are widely projected to remain steady at 3.50%–3.75%, institutional desks are hyper-focused on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's forward guidance regarding persistent underlying inflation and balance sheet velocity. • Market Condition: Institutional order flow reflects a classic pre-FOMC volatility compression. After absorbing sell-side liquidity at the 4,260 Demand Zone, smart money is coiling price within a tight range between the 4,260 base and 4,320 Resistance Zone, preparing for an aggressive post-announcement directional expansion toward overhead channel resistance. Technical Context • Structure: Re-Accumulation within Bearish Descending Channel. On the 1H timeframe, Gold remains bound beneath the multi-week descending trendline from the 4,511.089 Strong High. Following multiple CHoCH and BOS downside sweeps, price printed a double-bottom absorption at the Demand Zone (4,260 – 4,275). • Liquidity & Imbalance: Price delivery shows immediate rejection at the 4,310–4,320 Resistance Zone (current market price: 4,313.03). The technical roadmap anticipates a shallow corrective retest into the 4,260–4,275 Demand Zone to engineer final buy-side liquidity, followed by an impulsive breakout push piercing through 4,320 to target the Intermediate Supply Block (4,350 – 4,370) and test the descending channel ceiling. Key Zones • Macro Structural Ceiling (Strong High): 4,511.08 • Upper Supply Block: 4,420.000 – 4,435.000 • Intermediate Supply Target (Blue Box): 4,350.00 – 4,370.00 • Immediate Overhead Resistance Zone (Grey Box): 4,310.00 – 4,322.00 • Current Market Price: 4,313.03 • Structural Demand Zone Base (Grey Box): 4,260.00 – 4,275.00 Trading Plan (IF–THEN) • IF price delivers a corrective liquidity tap into the 4,260 – 4,275 Demand Zone AND validates lower-timeframe (M5/M15) bullish displacement/CHoCH -> THEN look to execute Long positions targeting 4,315, expanding through 4,322 directly toward the 4,350.00 – 4,370.00 Intermediate Supply / trendline ceiling. • IF price confirms a decisive 1H close below 4,250 during the FOMC rate release -> THEN the demand accumulation thesis is invalidated, unlocking a deeper sell-side flush toward 4,220. MMFLOW View • Bias: Pre-News Accumulation / Post-FOMC Bullish Expansion. Fading the range midpoint at 4,313 ahead of the Fed rate decision presents poor risk-to-reward; our mathematical edge favors buying verified liquidity defenses at the 4,260–4,275 demand floor to ride the expansion wave into descending channel resistance.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAUUSD 1H: Gold Recovers From Support

Gold is trading around 4,327 on the 1-hour chart after showing a recovery from the lower price area. The chart highlights two important levels: - Support: 4,261.360 - Resistance: 4,403.030 Market Structure Price has recently moved upward from the support region, creating a short-term recovery. However, the broader market remains between the marked support and resistance levels. If buying interest continues, price may retest the resistance area. A rejection could lead to another pullback, while a sustained move above resistance would require confirmation from subsequent price action. Key Points Support: 4,261.360 Resistance: 4,403.030 Timeframe: 1H This analysis is based on the displayed chart structure and is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Market conditions can change, and no price movement is guaranteed.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

SilentEntry GOLD Daily Outlook - 16 September 2026 | XAUUSD | H1

Gold has produced a strong H1 recovery from the 4260–4280 Major Support / Defence region, pushing back through 4290–4310 First Support and into our 4310–4328 Decision Area. At the time of analysis, Gold is trading around 4324. The immediate H1 momentum has improved significantly, but the broader D1/H4 structure remains corrective. Price is now approaching an important cluster of overhead resistance, meaning this is not an ideal location to chase the bullish move. 📊 Market Structure D1: 🔴 Bearish / Corrective H4: 🟠 Bearish / Recovery H1: 🟢 Bullish Recovery / Resistance Test The key question now is whether the current move can establish acceptance above 4328–4340, or whether sellers return as Gold enters resistance. 🗺️ Daily Mapper Major Resistance: 4340–4355 Near Resistance: 4328–4340 Decision Area: 4310–4328 First Support: 4290–4310 Major Support / Defence: 4260–4280 Bullish Recovery Invalidation: Below 4260 Deeper Bearish Target: 4230–4250 🟢 Bullish Scenario Gold has already recovered strongly from 4260–4280. For continuation, we want to see the 4310–4328 Decision Area hold, followed by H1 acceptance through 4328–4340. If confirmed: 🎯 TP1: 4340–4355 🎯 TP2: 4380–4400 🎯 TP3: 4415–4430 A clean H1 break above 4340, followed by a successful retest, would strengthen the bullish continuation case. Acceptance above 4355 would represent a more meaningful improvement in the H1/H4 recovery structure. 🔴 Bearish Scenario The 4328–4355 region is our main area to watch for fresh sellers. If Gold enters this area but fails to establish acceptance and subsequently loses 4310, the morning rally could begin looking more like a liquidity run into supply. Potential downside path: 🎯 TP1: 4290–4310 🎯 TP2: 4260–4280 🎯 TP3: 4230–4250 If 4230 eventually breaks with H1 acceptance, deeper downside toward approximately 4190–4215 could become exposed. The cleaner bearish confirmation would therefore be: 4328–4355 rejection → lose 4310 → lose 4290. 💧 Liquidity Watch The morning rally has taken liquidity above several of yesterday's H1 highs around 4310–4320. Now we need to determine whether that liquidity grab produces continuation or rejection. Break 4340 + hold/retest above 4328 → 🟢 Bullish acceptance. Sweep 4340–4355 + fall back below 4328/4310 → 🔴 Potential buy-side liquidity sweep. Likewise, any pullback into 4290–4310 should be watched closely. If buyers defend it, the zone could become the foundation for another attempt at resistance. 🟡 CURRENT CALL — WAIT Gold has already made a sharp recovery from the 4270s into the 4320s. We are now approaching resistance after the move, rather than sitting at an attractive support entry. Do not chase the green candles. Let price show us what happens around: 4328–4355. Above 4355 → 🟢 recovery strengthens Hold 4290–4310 → 🟢 buyers remain active Below 4290 → 🟠 recovery weakens Below 4260 → 🔴 recovery invalidated With major U.S. monetary-policy risk later in the session, false breakouts and liquidity sweeps remain possible. 🥷 SilentEntry — Precision Entries, Smart Risk ⚠️ Educational analysis only. Market levels and targets are not guaranteed. Wait for confirmation and always manage risk.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

USDCAD Analysis - Can buyers push toward 1.4000?

USDCAD is trading within a clear ascending channel, with price continuing to respect the rising structure and maintain a sequence of higher lows. The recent bullish momentum suggests that buyers remain in control and further upside is still possible. Price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and is now retesting this area as support. If buyers continue to defend the structure, it would strengthen the bullish setup and increase the likelihood of another push toward the 1.4000 target, near the channel’s upper boundary. As long as the rising support remains intact, the bullish outlook stays valid. A decisive break below the channel would weaken this scenario and increase the risk of a deeper pullback. Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

BTCUSD Bearish Structure | Support Rebound Setup (1H)

BTC is trading near the lower boundary of the current descending structure after a sharp selloff from the 79K area. Price is now consolidating close to the 74,800 support zone, making the next reaction important. A sustained hold above support could allow a recovery toward the nearby resistance levels. 🟦 Key Support Objective: 74,800–75,000 🟢 First Upside Objective: 78,000 🔵 Resistance Objective: 81,000–81,200 📊 Bias: Recovery attempt from major support; confirmation is required. If BTC holds the 74,800–75,000 area and builds a higher low, a recovery toward 78,000 could develop. A sustained move above the descending resistance would strengthen the recovery structure and bring the 81,000–81,200 zone into focus. A decisive break below support would weaken the setup.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAUUSD — 4H Bearish Structure | Bullish Pullback Into 4H Poi

FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is currently presenting an interesting multi-timeframe setup where the 4H structure remains bearish, while the 15M has shifted bullish. At first glance, seeing bullish price action on the 15M could make the market appear bullish. However, in this setup, I am treating the 15M bullish movement as the pullback phase within the broader 4H bearish structure. The 4H has already established bearish structure, and the current objective remains to the downside. What I am now watching is whether the bullish 15M movement can continue higher into the marked 4H POI. The market is already showing signs of a Bullish Retracement on the lower timeframe. The 15M has established bullish structure, which gives me a reason to expect the pullback to continue rather than assuming price must immediately resume the 4H downside. This bullish movement is important because I want price to retrace into the 4H POI before looking for the next bearish continuation. The POI represents the area where I expect price to potentially interact with the higher-timeframe bearish structure. So I am not looking to sell simply because the 4H is bearish. I want price to first complete the pullback into the appropriate 4H area of interest. Another important component of this setup is LIQUIDITY. As price approaches the 4H POI, I am expecting the market to potentially take liquidity around the highs before reversing. This is why the path drawn on the chart shows a bullish movement into the upper area rather than an immediate drop. The idea is: Bullish pullback → reach 4H POI → take liquidity → bearish reaction → continuation lower. The liquidity sweep itself would not be enough for execution. I would still want to see the appropriate bearish confirmation after price reaches the POI. That distinction is important. 🎯 Downside Objective If price reaches the 4H POI, takes the relevant liquidity, and then produces bearish confirmation, the expectation is for the 4H bearish structure to continue. The marked 4H Sell-Side Liquidity below becomes an important downside objective. Therefore, the setup is not simply: “Gold is going up.” The bullish movement is being viewed as a pullback with a purpose. The broader narrative remains bearish until the 4H structure proves otherwise. 🧠 DAIFX TIMEFRAME HIERARCHY This setup is another good example of why different timeframes can tell different stories at the same time. 4H Bearish structure. This establishes the broader directional context and downside objective. 15M Bullish structure This represents the current pullback and gives us information about the path price may take toward the 4H POI. 4H POI Area of interest This is where I want price to reach before looking for the next bearish move. Liquidity Potential confirmation area Price may take liquidity around the highs before the bearish continuation. Execution Wait for bearish confirmation I don't sell simply because price reaches the POI. I want the market to demonstrate that sellers are actually taking control. 🎓 DAIFX MARKET LESSON A bullish lower timeframe does not automatically mean the higher timeframe has turned bullish. The 15M can be bullish while the 4H remains bearish. In this case, the 15M bullish structure is helping price complete a 4H pullback. This is why timeframe hierarchy matters. 4H gives the broader structure. 15M shows the current movement. The POI gives the location. Liquidity provides context. Confirmation gives the entry. So instead of asking: “Is Gold bullish or bearish?” I ask: “Which timeframe is bullish, which timeframe is bearish, and what is each timeframe trying to accomplish?” Right now, the answer is: The 15M is bullish because price is pulling back. The 4H remains bearish because the broader structure is still pointing lower. Don't confuse the pullback with the reversal.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

NZDUSD is holding above descending channel support

📊 Technical Analysis ● NZDUSD continues to trade inside a clear descending channel, with price holding near the lower channel support and maintaining a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The 0.5736 support area remains the key base for the current bullish recovery setup. ● If buyers continue to defend this area, price could rebound toward the upper channel resistance first. A confirmed break above that structure would open the way toward the 0.5775 target zone shown on the chart. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● NZDUSD remains sensitive to shifts in the U.S. dollar and broader risk sentiment, while expectations around U.S. monetary policy continue to influence short-term USD demand. This makes the technical breakout above the descending channel especially important before confirming a stronger recovery. ✨ Summary ● Bullish recovery while 0.5736 support holds; first resistance at the upper descending channel, target 0.5775. A confirmed break below the recent low would weaken the bullish scenario. Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept
TI

FOMC is the catalyst. $MSTR is the chart

https://www.tradingview.com/x/0bwCaUqP/ NASDAQ:MSTR is not just another software stock to me. It trades heavily around its Bitcoin exposure, so I’m watching BTC first before deciding what MSTR is giving me. My macro map: BTC → 4H reclaim zone: $77,248–$78,488 → Key failure level: $75,560 MSTRUSDT → Pullback area: $128.46 → Invalidation: $120.58 → T1: $147.33 My idea is simple: If FOMC comes in less hawkish than feared and BTC reclaims its 4H zone, I’ll look for MSTR to confirm the move. If BTC loses $75,560 and yields stay elevated, the MSTR setup becomes defensive instead. I’m not chasing the FOMC candle. I want the reaction → BTC confirmation → MSTR setup. That’s why I like having Crypto + TradFi Perps in one place like Bitget. I can watch CRYPTO:BTCUSD and NASDAQ:MSTR side by side without switching between platforms. Also keeping an eye on Strategy’s capital structure. The company recently repurchased $139.3M of STRC while leaving its 845,050 BTC holdings unchanged, so there’s no fresh BTC accumulation from that latest update. One catalyst. One ticker. One clean setup. Not Financial Advice. Always DYOR.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

BTCUSDT: Daily seller pressure and local H1 scenarios

On the daily BTCUSDT chart, sellers still hold the initiative. A seller initiative has formed, and the key IC is also a seller candle. https://www.tradingview.com/x/z0EEcpBF/ Price has approached the daily support at 75,545, while the Target of the current initiative is 61,306.84. For this reason, buying on the daily timeframe remains risky for now: the broader context still favors sellers. The hourly chart looks more interesting. Two local scenarios can be considered here. Buyer scenario: to look for long opportunities, it is important to see price reclaim 77,343, then break and hold above 78,250. The next important area is 79,485, while the local target is around 80,000. The green area on the chart marks the zone where buyer confirmation can be monitored. Seller scenario: if price fails to recover and sellers gain acceptance below the 76,306–75,545 area, this could create an opportunity to look for further downside continuation. The next important level below is the monthly level at 74,092. So, on H1 there are possible scenarios in both directions, but the higher-timeframe context remains important: on D1, the preference is still with sellers for now. Both scenarios and the areas where confirmation can be monitored are marked on the chart. Profitable trades! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

XAUUSD H1: Gold Is Rising Into a Trap, Not a Breakout

Gold has finally produced a strong H1 recovery from the lows. That sounds bullish. The problem is that 4,328 is not where I want to buy it. Price has already escaped the small demand area around 4,260–4,278, reclaimed the short-term EMAs, and is now accelerating higher. But directly above current price sits the most important feature on today's chart: the 4,340–4,380 IFVG. So instead of asking whether Gold is going up or down, I am asking a different question: How does Gold behave once this rally enters 4,340–4,380? That answer will decide my trade. The chart has a “red corridor” Think of 4,340–4,380 as a corridor that buyers now have to cross. The lower door is around 4,340–4,345. Inside the corridor sits the H1 EMA200 near 4,362. The upper door is around 4,380. This combination matters because Gold is still recovering inside a broader bearish H1 structure. A rally into this area can therefore do one of two very different things: get absorbed by sellers and rotate lower, or eat through the remaining supply and turn the recovery into something much larger. I do not need to guess which one. I can let 4,340–4,380 show me. My first trade actually begins with doing nothing At approximately 4,328, I am not interested in chasing the current bullish candle. Buying here means buying directly underneath resistance. Selling here means trying to stop momentum before it has even reached resistance. Neither gives me the location I want. I would rather watch Gold travel another 15–30 dollars and trade the reaction. If the red corridor rejects Gold I want to see price trade into 4,345–4,365 and fail there. A wick alone is not enough. My trigger is an H1 rejection followed by a close back below 4,340. That would tell me buyers reached supply but could not establish acceptance inside it. Then I have a trade. SELL — FAILED AUCTION Entry: 4,338–4,345 after H1 rejection SL: 4,368 TP1: 4,305 TP2: 4,280 TP3: 4,265 TP4: 4,255 The interesting part is TP3. That takes us directly back to the small order block around 4,260–4,278, where buyers recently defended price. So I would not automatically expect Gold to collapse through it. That area gets another vote. 4,260–4,278 could become the best BUY location on this chart Here is where today's plan becomes less obvious. A rejection from the IFVG does not mean I remain bearish all the way down. If Gold falls back toward 4,260–4,278, I will watch how it arrives. If sellers sweep 4,260, but price refuses to stay below the nearby 4,253 support and then produces an H1 close back above 4,278, I would treat that as a failed breakdown. That creates a completely different trade. BUY — LIQUIDITY SWEEP Entry: 4,275–4,282 after reclaim SL: 4,248 TP1: 4,305 TP2: 4,340 TP3: 4,360 TP4: 4,378 Why buy after a drop? Because the trade is not based on price being “cheap.” It is based on sellers being given the opportunity to break support — and failing to do it. That distinction matters. There is one scenario where I will not wait for 4,270 Gold may simply keep climbing. If that happens, 4,380 becomes the permission level. I do not want to buy the first candle that spikes above it. I want an H1 close above 4,380, followed by a pullback that holds approximately 4,360–4,380. That would achieve two things at once: Gold would clear the entire IFVG, and price would reclaim the EMA200 rather than merely touching it from underneath. That is a much stronger bullish message than today's bounce alone. BUY — IFVG FLIP Entry: 4,370–4,382 after successful retest SL: 4,345 TP1: 4,400 TP2: 4,420 TP3: 4,440 TP4: 4,475 And now TP4 makes sense. There is a much larger H1 Order Block waiting around 4,475–4,495. If Gold genuinely escapes the red corridor, that upper supply becomes relevant again. Not before. There is one price bulls cannot afford to lose 4,253. The chart already shows buyers defending the 4,260 area, and the latest rally started from just above this floor. An H1 close below 4,253 would tell me something has gone wrong with that defense. In that case, I would forget about trying to buy another dip at the small OB. I would wait for 4,253–4,265 to be retested from underneath. SELL — SUPPORT FAILURE Entry: 4,250–4,260 after bearish retest SL: 4,280 TP1: 4,230 TP2: 4,205 TP3: 4,180 This is the scenario where today's recovery becomes irrelevant. The floor has failed. The map changes with it. Forget bullish or bearish. Read the sequence. Today's chart can be reduced to a simple journey: 4,328 → 4,340 → 4,362 → 4,380 If Gold starts failing along that journey, I look back toward 4,280–4,260. If Gold completes the journey and turns 4,380 into support, I stop fading the rally and look toward 4,400–4,440, with 4,475–4,495 becoming the bigger destination. And if everything reverses and 4,253 breaks, the bullish recovery loses its foundation. That is why I am not choosing BUY or SELL at 4,328. The current rally is only the invitation. The reaction inside 4,340–4,380 is the actual trade. Would you rather SELL the IFVG rejection or wait for 4,380 to flip and BUY the breakout?

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept