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GBPJPY — Potential 1H Reversal Setup

After the sharp bearish move, GBPJPY has reached an important area of interest. Price created a new LL, followed by a reaction and another test of the lows. I’m watching this as a potential double-bottom / bullish reversal structure around the 206.7–207.0 area. The key level for me is the 209.1 neckline. Trade idea: 🟢 Long around the neckline / on confirmation 🛑 SL below the recent LL / jaw area 🎯 TP around 211.224 📊 Targeting approximately 1:3 RR The main confirmation I want to see on the 1H timeframe is a clean break and acceptance above the neckline, ideally followed by a retest. If buyers reclaim 209.1 and hold it, the previous LH around 211.2–217 becomes the logical target. If price fails to reclaim the neckline and breaks the recent LL, the bullish reversal thesis is invalidated. Not a prediction — just my current market scenario and trade plan. Let's see how price reacts.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

Here's Micron's Chart as the Firm Prepares to Release Earnings

Micron NASDAQ:MU soared nearly 900% over 12 months to a $1,255 all-time high in June, then pulled back more than 25% to $924.03 at Monday's close. Let's see what its chart and fundamentals can tell us as the memory-chip designer prepares to release earnings at month's end. Micron's Fundamental Analysis MU plans to unveil fiscal Q4 results after the bell on Sept. 30, with the Street looking for $31.28 in adjusted earnings per share on $50.78 billion of revenue. Results like that would represent a 932.3% gain from the $3.03 in adjusted EPS that Micron reported in the same period last year while reflecting 349% in annual sales growth. Those are not misprints. Readers might also recall that in late June, Micron posted $25.11 in fiscal Q3 adjusted EPS on $41.46 billion of revenue. That easily beat Wall Street's expectations, while representing 1,214.7% in y/y adjusted EPS gains and 345.8% in year-over-year sales growth. This time around, 27 of the 32 sell-side analysts that I know of who cover MU have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter started, while five have left their numbers unchanged. There have been exactly zero downward revisions. What does MU's chart say? Let's take a look. Micron's Technical Analysis Here is MU's three-month chart as of Monday morning (Sept. 14): https://www.tradingview.com/x/brzjLNfw/ Readers will first note that Micron first developed a falling-wedge pattern of bullish reversal from June into early August, shaded in tan at the chart's left. In attempting to break out of that pattern (and failing a few times), the stock then created what looks like a sloppy inverse-head-and-shoulders pattern of bullish reversal. Shaded in green at the chart's center and right, this pattern has an upside pivot of around $1,035 vs. the $924.03 that MU closed at on Monday. Readers will also see that Micron retook its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a squiggly green line) in late August. This 21-day line then acted as support for almost two weeks, which likely added some swing-trader activity to the bid side. The stock then took back its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line). That probably got a few of professional money managers to increase exposure. That said, Micron pulled back as much as 7.5% intraday Monday, falling below both its 21-day and 50-day lines as tech stocks sank as artificial-intelligence leaders called for slowing down the technology's development. That's not a very positive development, but some buyers showed up during the sell-off and MU trimmed the worst of its losses. What now? Well, the bulls need Micron to go after that $1,035 pivot. Conversely, the bears will want to see MU stage a definitive failure to hold those moving averages. (Micron popped back above its 50-day line at last check Tuesday morning.) Turning to the other technical indicators above, Micron's Relative Strength Index (the gray line marked "RSI" at the chart's top) has remained in its range's upper half, but isn't sending out bullish signals. Meanwhile, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by blue bars, a black line and a gold line at the chart's bottom) is no longer so bullish. For instance, the 9-day EMA's histogram went positive on Aug. 6, but gave that move back amid Monday's sell-off. The histogram now teeters indecisively. Separately, the stock's 12-day EMA (the black line) has suddenly slid below its 26-day EMA (the gold line). That's bearish, but Micron doesn't seem to be accepting that move, either. It's almost as if traders are waiting for something ... and that something might be Micron's upcoming earnings. In the meantime, we'll have to wait to see if MU can definitively take back that 50-day line or not. Almost nothing at the moment could be more important technically. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" was long MU at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

GBPUSD: High Risk, But Potential for Gains Ahead of FOMC

GBPUSD: High Risk, But Potential for Gains Ahead of FOMC The GBPUSD pair has halted its downward move around the 1.3475 support area for about three consecutive days. GBPUSD remains resilient and the pound (GBP) appears to be showing some bullish momentum. Further gains for GBPUSD are possible, as shown in the chart, but this comes with very high risk given the speculation surrounding the FOMC. Bullish Targets: 1.3530 1.3560 1.3590 You can find more details on the chart. Thank you! 🍀 ⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade. ❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

HOW-TO: check whether your indicator's verdict agrees with its o

Most indicators that print a verdict also print a number next to it. A state and a strength. A bias and a confidence. A regime and a percentage. You read them as the same claim at two resolutions. The word is the summary, the number is the detail. Here is a week where they were not. What was read, and how Forty one consecutive four hour bars on one symbol, Sep 6 to Sep 13. Each bar's regime, status and strength percentage read one at a time off the chart in replay. Nothing modelled, nothing fetched. The panel is the instrument and the panel is what was written down. Nine of those bars were NEUTRAL, where the ladder does not run. That leaves thirty two bars carrying both a verdict and a number. The two columns overlap, and one side fails badly Nineteen bars read STRONG. Their strength values ranged from 3 percent to 100 percent, median 77. Nine bars read CRITICAL. Those ranged from 6 percent to 46 percent, median 33. Seven of the nineteen STRONG bars, thirty seven percent of them, printed a strength lower than the median CRITICAL bar. Those seven read 3, 4, 8, 10, 23, 25 and 31 percent. The reverse essentially never happened. Zero of the nine CRITICAL bars printed above the median STRONG bar. So the failure runs one way. STRONG is the verdict that shows up at any number at all. The sharpest pair In the same week, on the same chart, the panel printed STRONG at 3 percent and CRITICAL at 46 percent. Forty three points in the wrong direction. The test that actually settles it Asking whether two columns correlate is the weak question. The real one is whether the number can tell you the verdict. Take the twenty eight bars that read either STRONG or CRITICAL. Find the single threshold that splits them best, allowed to cheat by picking the most flattering cut point with full hindsight on this exact data. Guessing the commoner label every time is right 68 percent of the time, because STRONG is nineteen of the twenty eight. The best possible threshold, at 41 percent, is right 71 percent of the time. The number buys four points over guessing, and that is with hindsight, on its own data, with the cut chosen to flatter it. The frame worth keeping Two consecutive bars, Sep 10. At midnight the panel read FADING at 72 percent. Four hours later it read STRONG at 10 percent. The verdict climbed a rung while the number fell sixty two points. What this is not It is not a claim that the indicator is broken. The status is plainly computed from something other than the displayed percentage, and it is entitled to be. The finding is about the display. Two figures printed side by side, read as one claim, answering different questions, with nothing telling the reader which is which. Run it on your own Pick any indicator that shows a state and a number together. Write down both for thirty bars. Then ask one question of your notes: did the number ever tell you the state before you read it. If the answer is no, you have two columns and one of them is decoration. One symbol, one timeframe, one week, forty one bars. Descriptive of that window and nothing wider. Observations, not recommendations.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

XAUUSD: FOMC May Decide the 4,255 Break

XAUUSD: FOMC May Decide the 4,255 Break Market Context Gold remains under pressure near multi-week lows as traders wait for the key two-day FOMC policy meeting. The market is not giving buyers much confidence here. Higher Fed rate expectations, inflation concerns, firm Treasury yields, and geopolitical risk are still supporting the US Dollar. That keeps gold limited, especially because gold does not offer yield and usually struggles when the USD and yields stay strong. The important point is this: gold is not just moving sideways. It is still trading inside a descending structure, and every recovery attempt remains weak until buyers reclaim the key resistance zones above. Technical Structure Gold is currently trading around 4,290 after failing to build a meaningful recovery above 4,300. The chart still shows a clear bearish channel. Price continues to form lower highs, and the latest rebound is still trapped below the descending trendline. This tells us that sellers are still controlling the structure. The nearest key area is 4,255 - 4,285. This is the current liquidity and decision zone. If gold holds this area, a short-term recovery may appear before FOMC volatility expands. But if 4,255 breaks cleanly, sellers may push price deeper toward 4,220 and 4,200. Above current price, 4,365 - 4,400 is the nearest resistance zone. This area overlaps with the LTF Bearish OB, making it an important sell reaction zone if gold rebounds. Higher up, 4,410 - 4,440 remains the bearish mitigation zone and internal liquidity area. As long as gold trades below this structure, any recovery can still be treated as corrective. Key Levels Current Price: 4,290 Key Liquidity / Decision Zone: 4,255 - 4,285 Immediate Downside Target: 4,220 - 4,200 Nearest Resistance: 4,365 - 4,400 Bearish Mitigation Zone: 4,410 - 4,440 Buy-Side Liquidity / Supply: 4,465 - 4,490 HTF Bearish OB / Major Premium POI: 4,590 - 4,620 Bullish Recovery: Above 4,400 Bearish Continuation: Below 4,255 Trading Plan Primary Sell Scenario Entry: 4,365 - 4,400 after bearish confirmation SL: Above 4,425 TP: 4,300 / 4,285 / 4,255 Condition: Price rebounds into the LTF Bearish OB but fails to break above the descending structure. A rejection from this zone would keep sellers in control. Breakdown Sell Scenario Entry: Below 4,255 after breakdown and retest SL: Above 4,285 TP: 4,220 / 4,200 / 4,180 Condition: Gold loses the key decision zone and fails to reclaim it. This would confirm stronger downside continuation, especially if FOMC strengthens the USD further. Buy Reaction Scenario Entry: 4,255 - 4,285 after strong bullish confirmation SL: Below 4,230 TP: 4,320 / 4,365 / 4,400 Condition: Buyers must show a clean reaction from the liquidity zone. This is only a short-term recovery setup, not a full bullish reversal unless gold reclaims 4,400 with strength. Bullish Recovery Scenario Entry: Above 4,400 after breakout and retest SL: Below 4,365 TP: 4,440 / 4,465 / 4,490 Condition: Gold must break above the LTF Bearish OB and hold above 4,400. Only then does the short-term bearish pressure begin to weaken. Overall Bias Gold remains bearish while price stays below 4,365 - 4,400. The current market is sitting near a dangerous decision zone. Buyers may try to defend 4,255 - 4,285, but the structure still belongs to sellers until gold breaks back above 4,400. If 4,255 breaks, the next downside leg may open toward 4,220 and 4,200. If buyers defend the zone, a corrective rebound toward 4,365 - 4,400 is possible, but that area may still attract sellers again. Best approach: do not chase price before FOMC. Wait for either a confirmed reaction from 4,255 - 4,285 or a clear rejection from 4,365 - 4,400. Will gold defend 4,255 before the Fed decision, or will sellers break the floor and extend the decline?

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

BTCUSD: Bullish Order Block Setup – Watching for Momentum Shift

Educational Breakdown – Bullish Order Block Reaction Bitcoin is currently testing a key demand area after a corrective move. 1. Higher Timeframe Context According to the daily timeframe, the market has higher chances of resuming bullish momentum. This makes lower-timeframe buying zones more relevant. 2. Market Structure Shift (MSS) A previous MSS is marked, showing the earlier change in character. 3. Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) Multiple SSL levels have been swept, which often precedes a reversal higher. 4. Bullish Order Block The grey zone around 76,600 – 76,900 is a clear Bullish Order Block. Price is currently reacting from this area. Potential Trade Plan (Educational Example): Bias: Bullish Buy Zone: 76,600 – 76,900 (Bullish OB) Stop Loss: Below 76,400 Take Profit 1: 77,800 Take Profit 2: 78,800 – 79,000 Risk : Reward ≈ 1 : 2.5 This setup shows a classic reaction from a Bullish Order Block after liquidity sweeps, aligning with higher-timeframe bullish expectations. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk properly.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

Gold 4H: My Long Setup Failed, Now $4,300 Is Resistance

This is the next entry in my KCGI Trading Manual, where I’m continuously documenting my trades, reviewing mistakes, and improving the process My previous Gold setup was bullish. I was looking for an entry around $4,350, with $4,415 as the first target and $4,308 as the invalidation level. Okay, looks like bad luck, this failed.Gold rejected the higher levels and broke below $4,308. On the latest 4H chart, price is around $4,272, so I’ve now shifted my bias bearish. To summarize my mistakes,The biggest mistake was execution. I identified $4,415 as the bullish confirmation level, but then entered around $4,350 before that confirmation happened and treated $4,415 as my take-profit. Those two ideas were contradictory. So, everyone, this is a simple lesson. if a level is my confirmation level, I shouldn’t enter before confirmation simply because the risk/reward looks attractive. As for now My current bias is bearish below $4,300. I’m not chasing the move lower around $4,272. Instead, I want to see whether Gold can retest $4,290–$4,300 and reject that horizontal resistance. If it does, that would be my preferred short setup. If Gold reclaims $4,300 but remains below $4,350, I’ll reassess rather than automatically flip bullish. A sustained move above $4,375 would invalidate this bearish thesis. Another improvement to my process is adding ADP + NY Fed Manufacturing to the setup. I’ll use these data points to evaluate changes in growth, employment and Fed-rate expectations, then compare them with US 2Y/10Y yields and DXY. In addition, we can also learn from BTC and ETH remain secondary comparisons. If Gold, BTC and ETH all weaken together, I’ll consider the broader risk/liquidity environment. If Gold weakens while BTC and ETH remain strong, I’ll focus more heavily on the rates and dollar explanation.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

XAUUSD — Correction Complete? (3 Laddered Buy Plan)

Gold sold off hard from its late-January all-time high near $5,600, but the structure now argues the correction is maturing and the primary uptrend is preparing to resume. This idea lays out a scale-in long strategy with a single, well-defined invalidation. 📉➡️📈 The Divergence Story (Top → Bottom) The rally topped exactly where you'd expect it to: a bearish RSI divergence printed into the highs (price making new highs, momentum failing to confirm) — the classic warning that preceded this multi-month correction. Fast-forward to the June–July base and the mirror image appeared: a bullish divergence (lower price lows, higher momentum lows) marked the exhaustion of sellers. That's the signal I'm trading — momentum turned before price did. 📊 What the Chart Is Telling Us Price held the $3,950–4,000 support zone (green box), which lines up cleanly with the 0.786–1.0 Fib of the whole advance — a textbook place for a correction to end. The descending trendline off the highs is being challenged; a decisive daily close above it opens the door back toward the $4,700–4,800 supply zone (red box / 0 Fib at 4,697). Current price (~$4,290) is coiling around the 0.5–0.618 pocket ($4,317 / $4,227) — the decision area. 🏦 Fundamentals: Structurally Strong for the Long Run The bid under gold isn't speculative — it's structural. Central banks remain heavy net buyers (Poland added ~51 tons and China ~33 tons in Q2 2026), sitting on top of a persistent mine-supply deficit. Add the geopolitical risk premium from the ongoing Strait of Hormuz/US-Iran conflict and de-dollarization flows, and gold is increasingly trading as a barometer of confidence in the financial system, not just a rate play. Tellingly, major-bank year-end targets sit at or above spot — Goldman ~$4,900, HSBC ~$4,560, JPMorgan ~$4,500. 🏛️ FOMC Effect (Sep 15–16) This meeting is unusual: for the first time in this cycle a rate HIKE is genuinely on the table, with odds pushed up toward 60–70% as the US-Iran conflict feeds energy-led inflation. A hike is largely priced — the reaction hinges on the dot plot and tone. A hawkish-but-expected outcome likely gives one more dip to buy; any dovish surprise is rocket fuel. Either way, the structural bid caps downside. ⚖️ CLARITY Act Effect (indirect, honest read) The crypto market-structure bill faces another Senate procedural vote on Sept 15, but many investors now see it as effectively "dead in the water" for 2026, likely slipping into 2027. Net-net a mild positive for gold: regulatory clarity that legitimizes crypto as a rival store of value is the main competitive headwind to bullion — and that catalyst keeps getting pushed out, leaving safe-haven flows parked in gold for now. 🎯 The Trade — 3 Laddered Longs (buy the dip, one common invalidation) Same stop and target across all three, so the deeper the fill, the better the reward: risk. Scenario I — Entry 4,250 | SL 3,850 | TP 4,800 (R:R ≈ 1.4) Scenario II — Entry 4,100 | SL 3,850 | TP 4,800 (R:R ≈ 2.8) Scenario III — Entry 3,950 | SL 3,850 | TP 4,800 (R:R ≈ 8.5) 🛑 Invalidation: A daily close below $3,850 breaks the support zone and the bullish-divergence thesis — cut and reassess. Trade your own risk; this is analysis, not financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

Key Technical Signals for Gold Trading at Present

From a 4-hour chart perspective, gold remains in a short-term downtrend, with rebound highs constantly being suppressed. The area around $4,320 is a critical zone for short-term monitoring; if the price finds support there and breaks back above $4,350, a short-term corrective rally could emerge. However, if rebounds remain capped below $4,330 and the price falls back below the $4,270 level, downward pressure could intensify, leading to a further test of the $4,250–$4,220 range. Current momentum indicators are weak but have not yet reached extreme oversold levels, leaving open the possibility of gold testing lower lows ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision. The key factors determining the next directional move will be whether yields can sustain a decline from the 5% level and whether the Fed's policy stance proves less hawkish than current market expectations.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

#XAUUSD

Hello and good morning everyone! 🌷 🥇 #XAUUSD | Daily Analysis 📅 September 15, 2026 💰 Current Price: 4287.000 Following our previous analysis, after reacting to the 4402 and 4335 support levels and subsequently breaking the 4H support, the market has reached the third major support zone for Daily buyers at 4254. This area is currently very important for us because as long as Daily buyers continue to defend 4254, the Daily trend remains bullish. If this support holds, we can look for the following upside targets in the coming days: 🎯 4434.512 🎯 4508.923 🎯 4549.530 🎯 4620.428 🎯 4678.953 🔹 Current Scenario: I already have a buy position activated at 4265, and within this area, as long as the Daily support at 4254 remains intact, I will continue adding to my buy positions. However, we should also keep the second scenario in mind. If 4254 breaks on the Daily timeframe and the market fails to reclaim this level after a pullback, our bullish scenario will be invalidated. In that case, we could see a strong continuation of the bearish move toward lower targets, including: 🎯 4181 🔑 For now, 4254 is the key decision level: Holding 4254 = Bullish Daily scenario remains valid 📈 Break + failed retest = Potential strong bearish continuation 📉 As long as 4254 holds, buyers still have the upper hand. 🔥

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

SPY — Bullish Compression or 3 Failures?

SPY is pressing into a descending trendline while holding the 760 area, which creates two competing setups. The bullish case is compression: price keeps holding support while pressure builds underneath the trendline. A clean break and acceptance above the trendline would open the door back toward 766.32, with 772.64 above that. The bearish case is the one I’m watching more closely: three repeated failures to regain higher prices, followed by another rejection and continuation lower. If 760 gives way and price cannot reclaim it, the downside path I’m watching is 755.27 → 750.85 → 747.28. My current lean is for another leg down, but the market is at a decision point. I’m not interested in predicting the breakout. I want price to confirm whether this is true bullish compression or simply another failed attempt within a larger bearish structure.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept
TI

GOLD (XAUUSD) – Head & Shoulders on the daily

The daily chart shows a clear Head & Shoulders pattern: Left Shoulder, Head towards 4700, Right Shoulder formed, and price is now testing the neckline around 4285-4290. 📉 Setup: Pattern: Daily H&S (LS – Head – RS) Price is sitting on the neckline and attempting to break it to the downside Target: 4200 / 4150 Extension possible towards 4000 if the fundamentals keep weighing on price 📊 Confluence: The 4200/4150 zone isn't random — there's an FVG there that lines up across the weekly, daily and 4H. Multiple timeframes pointing to the same reaction zone. 🌍 Fundamentals: The macro backdrop currently remains bearish for gold and supports the downside case towards the target zone. 🔎 My view: I'll personally be watching around 4150 for a potential reversal — that's where the H&S target lines up with the multi-timeframe FVG. Until that zone, the bias stays short.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

USOIL: Bulls Still in Control — Buy the Dip or Breakout?

Crude oil maintains a structurally bullish trend, with prices holding steady above the psychological level of $100. Recent price movements have been primarily driven by renewed concerns about Middle Eastern supply, including reports of disruptions to Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline. Although the upward momentum remains strong, there are signs of overextending. Key Levels Resistance: 103.50–104.20 → 106.00–107.00 Support: 101.20–100.80 → 99.50–98.50 Major Support: 97.50 Trading Strategy: Buy on dips, avoid chasing highs. When prices are above $100, the bulls are in control; if they fall below $100, the short-term market structure will weaken significantly. TVC:USOIL CXM:USOIL IG:USOIL GBEBROKERS:USOIL PURPLETRADING:USOIL

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept