
Kalshi assigns 93% chance Anthropic goes public before OpenAI
Anthropic's likely IPO lead over OpenAI highlights shifting market dynamics, impacting investor strategies and AI sector valuations.
- neutral toward Kalshi · 99%
20 articles from 10 sources. Only labels with confidence ≥ 0.6 are counted; quotes are the evidence.
| 8 articles | |||
| 3 articles |
„Kalshi's rapid valuation growth highlights the increasing investor confidence in prediction markets”
CryptoBriefing ↗„the industry leader”
The New York Times ↗„volumes on Kalshi are dominated by an unusual, repetitive trade”
CoinDesk ↗„Ninth Circuit deals blow to Kalshi on tribal land”
Courthouse News ↗
Anthropic's likely IPO lead over OpenAI highlights shifting market dynamics, impacting investor strategies and AI sector valuations.

CFTC scrutiny of Kalshi's trading activity could impact the future regulatory landscape and trust in U.S. crypto derivatives markets.

CFTC's scrutiny of Kalshi's trading activity could lead to increased regulatory oversight and impact the future of crypto derivatives markets.

The exchange says the repeating trade size that drew wash-trading accusations over the weekend came from one market maker it pays to keep orders on the book, and that the maker was losing money to faster traders.

Kalshi's defense highlights the complexities of distinguishing legitimate market making from wash trading, impacting regulatory scrutiny and market trust.

Kalshi has asked the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to approve a margin framework for eligible event contracts, limiting access to qualified participants and excluding markets tied to sports. Kalshi margin framework targets eligible event contracts Kalshi Klear’s Sept. 22 filing…

Kalshi's margin trading proposal could reshape prediction markets by enhancing capital efficiency, potentially intensifying competition and regulatory scrutiny.


It's the latest move by the company as it and other event contract exchanges seek to gain greater participation by institutional traders.

TL;DR KalshiEX has filed proposed listing standards for perpetual security futures tied to 58 stocks and ETFs. The proposal was published on September 18 under SEC File No. SR-KALSHIEX-2026-02. The products are not live; CFTC approval is still pending. KalshiEX is seeking regulatory clearance for a product that would bring crypto-style perpetual futures mechanics into the US equity market. A rule filing published by the SEC under File No. SR-KALSHIEX-2026-02 proposes listing standards for perpetual security futures tied to 58 stocks and exchange-traded funds. Kalshi Targets Perpetual Exposure To Equities Perpetual futures are already a core part of crypto trading, where contracts can remain open without a fixed expiration date and use funding mechanisms to keep prices aligned with the underlying market. Applying a similar structure to US-listed stocks and ETFs would be a meaningful expansion of that model. Kalshi’s filing establishes the proposed framework, but it does not make the contracts available for trading immediately. The document explicitly notes that the CFTC has not yet approved the proposed rule change. Filing Is A Regulatory Step, Not A Product Launch That status is the most important limitation. The products are not live, and the September 18 filing should not be presented as evidence that US equity perpetuals have already started trading on Kalshi. Instead, the filing gives regulators and market participants a formal proposal to review. If ultimately approved, the structure could blur some of the traditional boundaries between prediction-market infrastructure, derivatives exchanges and crypto-style perpetual trading. For now, however, the confirmed story is procedural: KalshiEX has proposed perpetual security futures linked to 58 stocks and ETFs, and regulatory approval remains pending. This article was written by the News Desk and edited by Samuel Rae. Source: Primary Source

Kalshi’s maker fees on parlays have brought in $26 million in their first four weeks, according to an Ingame analysis of the exchange’s trade data. The fee took effect on Aug. 20, with traders first flagging it rather than the prediction market itself. At the time of writing, it still does not appear in the […]

Allegations of wash trading in Kalshi's ether futures market could undermine trust in crypto derivatives and prompt stricter regulatory scrutiny.

Most of the dollar volume in the exchange's ether perpetual futures comes from trades of a single repeating size, data from Kalshi's own public API shows. The exchange says its incentive programs are filed publicly.
Repeated $5,500 trades on Kalshi's ether perp market spark wash trading claims. Kalshi says critics confused two products.


Kalshi faces disputed wash-trading claims after a trader questioned ETH perpetual volume, while CFTC filings detail its rebate safeguards.

This week’s stories centered on regulation, institutional adoption and market infrastructure. Seven Democratic senators vowed to keep negotiating on the CLARITY Act, while Tom Lee forecast a bullish 12 months for crypto. Revolut attackers demanded 6,000 XMR for stolen customer data, Kalshi captured about 80% of U.S. prediction-market volume, and Kraken parent Payward unveiled plans […]

Kalshi filed for U.S. stock and ETF perpetual futures with 23-hour weekday trading as CFTC approval and a Nov. 2 start remain pending.

Kalshi’s proposal would bring perpetual futures tied to individual stocks to US traders, as Coinbase and Bitnomial pursue similar products.

Guo was the world’s youngest self-made woman billionaire before being surpassed by Kalshi cofounder Luana Lopes Lara.