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Prediction markets’ trading volume doubled between May and July, largely driven by sports
Prediction market trading on Kalshi and Polymarket doubled from May to July, mostly due to a large uptick in sports trading.
Polymarket
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Senate Map Drives Polymarket’s 65.5% Democratic Odds
Polymarket gives Democrats a 65.5% chance to win the 2026 Senate election, but traders’ odds remain a moving snapshot, not a final call.
99Bitcoins•Alex Ioannou3h ago- neutral toward Senate · 99%
Polymarket’s NATO–Russia Clash Alarm Explodes as Spy Chief Warns: ‘Months, Not Years’
The Polymarket NATO contract covers a 2025 military-clash window, while fresh warnings concern possible future tests of the alliance.
- critical toward Polymarket · 70%
- critical toward Polymarket · 70%
A 97% Polymarket Price Tracks One US-Iran Ceasefire Test
Polymarket's US-Iran ceasefire odds reach 97% for September 25, but the contract tracks one specific trigger, not a lasting peace deal.
Coinspeaker•Daniel Francis4h ago- neutral toward Polymarket · 98%
Paul brothers are investing heavy into gambling, AI, drones, and defense
Logan and Jake Paul's portfolio includes Anduril, OpenAI, SpaceX, Kela Technologies, Polymarket, and Flock.
Protos•Cas Piancey22h ago
Report: Polymarket Ignored Warnings During $10M Fraud Attack
Bad actors targeted Polymarket’s U.S. platform in a $10 million fraud scheme using stolen debit cards, pushing payment processor Checkout.com to reject over 80% of deposits as fraudulent. High Rejection Rates Trigger Payment Processor Crackdown Prediction-market startup Polymarket faces accusations of prioritizing user expansion and aggressive growth over compliance safeguards when bad actors targeted its […]
Bitcoin.com News•Terence Zimwara22 Sept- critical toward Polymarket · 97%
Polymarket pushes for MiFID status as Europe weighs prediction market rules
Polymarket has stepped up talks with European and UK regulators as the prediction market platform seeks financial services oversight for its contracts instead of being regulated primarily under national gambling laws. According to the Financial Times, the New York based…
- neutral toward Polymarket · 96%
Polymarket’s 2026 Odds Reset Puts Bitcoin Risk in Focus
Polymarket 2026 midterms odds have shifted toward a Democratic sweep, but Bitcoin faces no confirmed sell-off as equity risks build.
99Bitcoins•Alex Ioannou21 Sept- neutral toward Polymarket · 96%
Polymarket loosened anti-money-laundering controls amid $10M fraud attack using stolen debit cards
Polymarket's weakened safeguards highlight the tension between rapid growth and regulatory compliance, risking severe legal and financial repercussions.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team21 Sept- critical toward Polymarket · 98%
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Polymarket shows 22% chance of Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure by December 31
A potential closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait could severely disrupt global trade and energy markets, escalating shipping costs and geopolitical tensions.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team20 Sept- neutral toward Polymarket · 98%
Polymarket Hit by Major Fraud Scheme
Prediction-market giant Polymarket was reportedly hit by a sprawling fraud scheme that saw criminals attempt to funnel at least $10 million through its U.S. platform.
U.Today•Alex Dovbnya20 Sept- neutral toward Polymarket · 90%
Report: $12.7M in Polymarket Wagers Triggers Criminal Cases in South Korea
Police used public blockchain records and open-source intelligence to trace the Polymarket users despite the platform's non-custodial design.
- neutral toward Polymarket · 96%
Polymarket shows 84% odds of another Fed rate hike in 2026
The high odds of a Fed rate hike in 2026 suggest persistent inflation concerns, impacting economic growth and financial market stability.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team18 Sept- neutral toward Polymarket · 96%
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Yahoo Finance ends partnership with Polymarket for prediction market hub
The end of Yahoo Finance's partnership with Polymarket highlights the evolving dynamics and competitive pressures in prediction market integrations.
CryptoBriefing•Editorial Team18 Sept- neutral toward Polymarket · 96%
Canada EU Odds: Prediction Markets Start Taking Bets, What Are They Saying?
Speculation that Canada could one day join the European Union has moved from an internet curiosity to a genuine geopolitical talking point in recent months. As a result, Canada EU odds across prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket have begun gaining traction.The idea picked up momentum as Canada sought to reduce its dependence […]
Polymarket Hires Ex-Zora CEO for Onchain Product Push
The hire comes as Polymarket’s vice president of DeFi engineering says its existing central limit order book cannot be saved long term and is being rebuilt in Rust.
The Defiant•The Defiant Team17 Sept- neutral toward Polymarket · 97%
Saudi Strikes Leave Polymarket’s Houthi Entry Question Unresolved
Polymarket traders face an unresolved threshold as Houthi missiles and drones hit Saudi Arabia, with no confirmed ground incursion.
- neutral toward Polymarket · 98%
US Midterms Polymarket Odds: Why a 59% Senate Price Is Still a Toss-Up
The Senate prediction market gives Democrats a narrow edge, with Polymarket at 59% and Kalshi near 55% amid rising gas prices and a volatile map.
99Bitcoins•Alex Ioannou17 Sept- neutral toward Polymarket · 99%
South Korean police charge 26 Polymarket users for illegal gambling: report
The country blocked local access to Polymarket last month after its media regulator ruled that the platform offers illegal gambling.
The Block•Danny Park17 Sept- neutral toward Polymarket · 92%
Senate is still a tossup, but Democrats now have slight edge, prediction market traders think
Traders on both Kalshi and Polymarket see Democrats with one of their best chances to flip the U.S. Senate since the contracts on the election opened.
- neutral toward Senate · 98%