
Polymarket captures 44% of Kalshi’s football volume within months of launch
Polymarket's rapid market share gain suggests increased competition and innovation in the US sports prediction market, challenging incumbents.

Polymarket's rapid market share gain suggests increased competition and innovation in the US sports prediction market, challenging incumbents.

Federal Reserve hike odds reached 81.3% after August CPI, while Kalshi and Polymarket recorded $192.6 million in combined volume before the Fed decision.

Federal Reserve hike odds sit at 79% on Polymarket, but the Fed’s September message may matter more than the 25-basis-point move.

Kalshi's move could reshape financial markets by merging crypto innovations with traditional equities, potentially altering trading dynamics.

Cantor Fitzgerald's partnership with Kalshi could transform prediction markets into a mainstream asset class, attracting significant institutional investment.

The state was the first to pass a law banning Kalshi and Polymarket. A lawsuit filed by a federal agency may set a precedent on who gets to regulate them.

The state was the first to pass a law banning Kalshi and Polymarket. A lawsuit filed by a federal agency may set a precedent on who gets to regulate them.

ESMA also asks why Kalshi and Polymarket block some EU countries but not others, and notes VPNs get around the blocks.

A CPI above 3.3% could pressure the Fed to reconsider rate hikes, impacting rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and utilities.

ESMA says major prediction platforms lack EU authorization, while questioning Polymarket and Kalshi's geographic restrictions.

Kalshi settles bets with a rulebook and a person applying it. Polymarket settles them with a token-holder vote. World settles them with a data feed, no panel, no dispute window, nobody to call. Three live models now, and each one fails differently.

Riot Games has discussed potential esports sponsorship agreements with prediction market operators Kalshi and Polymarket as the League of Legends World Championship approaches in October. Bloomberg reported on Sept. 11, citing people familiar with the private talks, that the Tencent-owned…

Kalshi plans to seek U.S. approval for 60 stock and ETF perpetual futures as regulators dispute how equity-linked perps should be governed.


ESMA classifies prediction market contracts as derivatives, triggering the EU's binary options ban and threatening Polymarket and Kalshi's


$1.50 appears to be the next price target for XRP as traders on Kalshi are seen betting on this possibility despite the ongoing price correction.

2026 midterms markets split on House control, with Kalshi favoring Democrats and conflicting Polymarket readings complicating the picture.

Kalshi's launch of perpetual contracts for metals could disrupt traditional derivatives markets, challenging established exchanges and regulations.

Its the latest move by the prediction market company to diversify its assets users can trade.