HeraldLoop
TI

TradingView Ideas — page 22

2299 articlestradingview.com ↗

Coverage, page 22

page 22 of 115

XAU/USD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 17

Looking ahead at the gold price outlook for the next 15 days, market focus will shift to a series of economic data releases on Thursday: initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, and housing starts. If the U.S. economy continues to demonstrate resilience, the market will likely anticipate a continuation of the Federal Reserve's tightening policy; consequently, U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar are expected to remain elevated, continuing to exert downward pressure on gold and silver prices. Following the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, gold prices plummeted, hitting an intraday low of 4235 before staging a rapid rebound. This recovery reflects strong buying interest at lower levels, characteristic of a corrective bounce following an oversold condition. On the four-hour chart, the price retraced from 4368 to 4235, ultimately closing at 4263. During today's Asian trading session, the primary focus will be on the strength of the rebound; the intraday trading strategy favors selling into rallies. My recommendations: SELL: Near 4330 SELL: Near 4345

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

BTCUSDT: This Bounce Could Be a Trap

BTCUSDT is struggling to recover after the latest sell-off, and the H4 structure still suggests that sellers have the stronger hand . The bounce from the recent low has stabilized price, but it has not yet developed into a convincing reversal. What stands out on the chart is the 76,700–77,400 area . This zone sits around the previous structure and Ichimoku resistance, making it an important test for the current rebound. If buyers fail to push through and hold above this area, the recovery could quickly lose momentum. For now, I see the current move as a technical rebound after a strong decline . A rejection from resistance would keep bearish momentum intact and bring 75,000 back into focus as the next downside target. Until BTCUSDT can reclaim the resistance above, I would rather look for SELL opportunities on weak rebounds than anticipate a bottom too early.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

GOLD: Gold H1 Analysis – September 17

📰 Gold News & Market Developments Following the Fed's decision, the USD and US bond yields remain elevated, exerting pressure on Gold. XAUUSD experienced a sharp decline and is currently recovering from the 4,260 level. On the H1 timeframe, the current recovery is insufficient to confirm a reversal. Prices remain below key EMA lines. => Short-term fundamentals: Bearish bias for Gold. 📊 Analysis The H1 structure still shows Lower Highs and Lower Lows, with the EMA alignment EMA20 < EMA50 < EMA100 < EMA200 → the downtrend remains dominant. The rise from 4,260 to above 4,280 may simply be a technical rebound. Therefore, rather than selling at the current price, it is advisable to wait for Gold to rally toward a resistance zone for a better entry position. If the price breaks strongly above 4,325 and holds there, exercise caution with Sell orders and watch for a potential move toward the 4,350–4,365 zone. 🎯 Trading Strategy 🔴 Sell Zone 4,315–4,325 : The EMA20, EMA50, and EMA100 converge here. If the price rallies but faces rejection, sellers may step back in. 🔴 Sell Zone 4,357–4,370 : EMA200 + downtrend line + supply zone → a strong resistance area. 🟢 Buy Zone 4,255–4,265 : Key support zone. Only consider buying if a clear reversal signal appears. => Key strategy: Patiently wait for Gold to rebound to the resistance zone to look for selling opportunities, rather than chasing the trade at the current price.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

EURUSD: Ready for Another Push Higher?

EURUSD continues to show a bullish structure on the daily timeframe , with the ascending trendline remaining an important foundation for the broader upside move. The recent pullback has brought price back toward this trendline, but the overall structure remains intact. As long as buyers continue to defend this area, I view the current weakness as a technical correction rather than the beginning of a larger bearish reversal. From here, I expect EURUSD to recover toward 1.1635 as the first upside target . If price breaks and holds above this level, attention will shift toward 1.1700 , a key psychological resistance where I will closely watch the reaction between buyers and sellers. Overall, the bullish scenario remains valid as long as the ascending trendline holds, with 1.1635 first and 1.1700 next as the key levels to watch.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

NEAR — Inverse Head & Shoulders Formation!

💵 Coin: CRYPTOCAP:NEAR / USDT ⏳ Time Frame: 6D 📉 Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) 📍 Current Price on Chart: approximately $2.66 🎯 Neckline: approximately $3.10 🟨 Key Support Zone: approximately $1.75 – $2.00 The NEAR/USDT chart shows a potential Inverse Head & Shoulders structure following a prolonged downtrend. The pattern consists of three main components: the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder, with the neckline positioned around $3.10. At the moment, price remains below the neckline, meaning the pattern has not yet received full breakout confirmation. The $1.75–$2.00 area is an important support zone because it also represents the potential formation area of the Right Shoulder. --- 🧩 Pattern Breakdown — Inverse Head & Shoulders 🔹 Left Shoulder: Formed after a decline, followed by a rebound from the approximately $1.70–$2.00 area. 🔻 Head: Price then experienced stronger selling pressure and formed a low around $0.84, creating the lowest point of the structure. 🔹 Right Shoulder: After rebounding from the Head, price retraced toward the $1.75–$2.00 zone, but has not formed a new low below the Head. This structure resembles the formation of a Right Shoulder. 📏 Neckline: The main resistance is located around $3.10. A strong breakout and candle close above this level would provide an important confirmation that the Inverse H&S structure is beginning to validate. --- 🟢 Bullish Scenario 🚀 Main bullish confirmation: NEAR needs to break above and hold $3.10. 📈 If the neckline breakout is confirmed with strong momentum, the Inverse Head & Shoulders structure could develop into a bullish reversal pattern. 🎯 Key resistance levels shown on the chart: $3.76 → $4.60 → $6.00 → $8.00 → $9.00 🔥 $3.76 becomes the first resistance area after the neckline. 🚀 If price successfully breaks above $3.76, the next area to watch would be around $4.60. 📈 A breakout above $4.60 could open the way toward $6.00. 💥 Next, the $8.00 area represents an important psychological resistance level. 🏆 The area around $9.00 represents the highest target/projection displayed on the chart and is also close to the previous high around $9.004. ⚠️ However, these levels are technical resistance/target zones shown on the chart, not a guarantee that price will reach them. --- 🔴 Bearish Scenario ⚠️ The bullish scenario becomes weaker if NEAR fails to hold the $1.75–$2.00 support zone. 📉 If price breaks down below this zone, the Right Shoulder structure could become invalidated. 🔻 Further downside could increase the possibility of price revisiting lower support areas. 💀 The most critical level within this structure is the Head low around $0.84. 🚨 If price eventually breaks below and forms a lower low beneath the Head, the Inverse Head & Shoulders structure shown on the chart would experience significant invalidation. --- 🔑 Key NEAR/USDT Levels 🟨 $1.75 – $2.00 → Support / Right Shoulder Zone 🔴 $3.10 → Neckline & Major Resistance 🟡 $3.76 → First Resistance 🟡 $4.60 → Next Resistance 🟡 $6.00 → Major Resistance 🟡 $8.00 → Psychological Resistance 🟢 $9.00 → Previous High / Chart Target Area 🔻 $0.84 → Head / Critical Invalidation Area --- 📌 Conclusion 🧠 Structurally, NEAR/USDT is forming a potential Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the 6D timeframe. 🟢 Bullish: A breakout and confirmation above $3.10 could provide stronger validation of the reversal structure and shift attention toward $3.76, $4.60, $6.00, $8.00, and potentially $9.00. 🔴 Bearish: Failure to hold $1.75–$2.00 could weaken the Right Shoulder structure. A move back toward the Head, particularly below $0.84, would represent an important invalidation of the Inverse H&S structure. ⏳ For now, the $3.10 neckline is one of the most important levels to watch. ⚠️ DYOR — Technical analysis does not guarantee future price movements. #NEAR #NEARProtocol #NEARUSDT #Crypto

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

09/17/26 Ideas

1. Preferred Short: Upper Repair-Band Failure Location: 7,685–7,707.75 Setup: SR-with-retest progressing into Combination Confirmation Ideal sequence: MES trades into 7,685–7,707.75. Buyers fail to establish acceptance. Price breaks back below 7,685. The recovery attempt into 7,685 fails. Enter only after the failed reclaim, not on the initial touch. This is the cleanest short location because it allows the post-FOMC rebound to reach meaningful resistance before asking sellers to prove themselves. Targets: 7,666.50 → 7,655.75 → 7,634 Structural invalidation: Acceptance above 7,707.75, especially with broad improvement. 2. Nearer Short: Decision-Zone Failure Location: 7,666.50–7,685 Setup: Combination Confirmation Ideal sequence: MES rejects 7,666.50–7,685. Price loses 7,655.75. The retest of 7,655.75–7,666.50 fails from underneath. Sellers then receive permission to target 7,634. This is valid but slightly less attractive than the higher short because current price is already inside this decision area. We need separation from the zone before entering. Targets: 7,634 → 7,578.50 Invalidation: Recovery and sustained acceptance above 7,685. 3. Best Continuation Short Location: Below 7,634 Setup: Break & Retest Ideal sequence: MES breaks 7,634 decisively. Do not chase the first flush. Price returns to 7,634 from below. The level rejects the reclaim. Enter on renewed downside expansion. Targets: Post-FOMC low/approximately 7,600 → 7,578.50 Invalidation: Reclaim and sustained hold above 7,634. This becomes much stronger if volatility firms and breadth deteriorates during the retest. 4. Best Bullish Repair Setup Location: Above 7,685 Setup: Break & Retest long Ideal sequence: MES accepts above 7,685, not merely wicks through it. Price pulls back into 7,666.50–7,685. Buyers defend the former resistance zone. Price expands away from the retest. Targets: 7,707.75 → 7,728.50 → 7,740.25 Invalidation: Loss of 7,666.50, with a deeper failure below 7,655.75. This is the setup that would challenge the tactical risk-off thesis. We should not remain married to the short if the repair receives broad confirmation. 5. Failed-Breakdown Reversal Location: 7,634 Setup: Breakdown failure + reclaim/retest Ideal sequence: MES breaks beneath 7,634. Volatility and breadth fail to confirm. Price quickly reclaims 7,634. A retest holds above it. That would suggest sellers could not produce acceptance below the breakdown level. Targets: 7,655.75 → 7,666.50 → 7,685 Invalidation: Renewed acceptance below 7,634.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

CHFTHB Eyes Safe-Haven Demand

Yesterday Recap 16/9/26 Yesterday, CHFTHB closed at 40.63 in the Thai market. There were no high-impact Swiss economic releases, suggesting that the CHF was mainly driven by global market factors and major currency movements. Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates, strengthening the USD and putting pressure on CHFTHB. Fundamental 17/9/26 Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous CH: 13:00 Trade Balance | - | 8.730B CH: 14:00 SECO Economic Forecast Today's key Swiss economic releases include the Trade Balance, with the previous reading at 8.730B, and the SECO Economic Forecast, which will provide insight into the outlook for the Swiss economy and could influence expectations for monetary policy going forward. However, CHF movements remain highly dependent on global Risk Sentiment. A Risk-Off environment could increase demand for safe-haven assets and support the CHF, while Risk-On conditions could reduce demand for the CHF. Overall, CHFTHB is expected to move within a range, with the main focus on Risk Sentiment, the SECO Economic Forecast, and CHF direction. Technical Analysis — CHFTHB 1H Bias: Sideway Price rebounded from 40.38 but remains capped by the FVG zone above. If price holds above 40.45, it could move higher to test 40.48–40.50. However, failure to break above 40.45 could lead to a pullback or sideways consolidation. Resistance: 40.45 / 40.48 / 40.50 Support: 40.38 Target: 40.48 → 40.50 Cut Loss: 40.37

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

Gold Week 38/2026: Gold ETFs Push Back Against Rising Rates

Gold Week 38/2026: Stuck as Gold ETFs Push Back Against Rising Rates Two days before the Fed meeting, the world's largest gold fund bought another 2.86 tonnes. Let me say that again: bought more, right before a meeting the whole market had already priced at a 92% chance of a rate hike. A rate hike is the thing gold fears most, because gold pays no interest. And yet the money kept coming in. That is the detail I have thought about most in week 38, more than the Fed decision itself. 🏛️ The Fed hiked, but gold did not break down Early Thursday morning Vietnam time, the Fed raised rates to 3.75% to 4.00%, a 25 basis point hike. The first increase since July 2023. The vote was 12 to 0, not a single dissent. The projections that came with it were tougher than the decision itself. The median rate for end 2026 is 4.10%, which implies at least one more hike across the two meetings left. The Fed raised its inflation forecast to 3.70% while cutting its unemployment forecast to 4.10%. Put plainly, they still have room to tighten, and they intend to use it. The US 10 year yield touched 5.01%, the highest since 2007. Chairman Kevin Warsh said at the press conference that the Fed cannot affect any individual price, but it will stop that change from broadening into second and third order effects. In plain language: the Fed knows a rate hike does not produce a single extra barrel of oil, it is hiking to protect its credibility. With that much bad news, gold should have broken down. On 16 September the price spiked to 4,367 then fell straight to 4,235, a 132 dollar range in one session. But it still closed at 4,280, and this morning it is trading around 4,299. No breakdown. No return to the 39xx area. Every drop has been bought back quickly. 💰 The flows are what matter I pulled the fund numbers to check. From 31 August to 16 September, gold lost $233.84 an ounce. Over the same stretch the fund's holdings rose from 1,042.36 tonnes to 1,050.28 tonnes, almost 8 tonnes more. Price falling, fund accumulating. Those two things happened at the same time, and not by accident. Wider still, World Gold Council data shows global gold ETFs took in $17.86 billion in August alone. The full year to 11 September is $33.20 billion. So a single month of August is worth more than half of the entire year. This is not fast money chasing headlines. This is long term allocation, and it does not reprice because of one meeting. I think this point matters more than any resistance line drawn on a chart. Trading against flows that size is an expensive habit. 🇯🇵 There is still one more meeting to come The BoJ meets on Friday morning. A Bloomberg survey has 52 out of 52 economists expecting Japan to raise rates from 1.00% to 1.25%. This is where it gets interesting. If the BoJ hikes and pairs it with a tone tougher than the Fed's, the rate gap between the US and Japan narrows, the yen strengthens and the dollar softens. A softer dollar gives gold room to breathe. The BoE reports tonight as well. UK labour data on Tuesday afternoon was ugly: the claimant count rose by 27.8 thousand against a forecast of only 8.3 thousand, and it had been falling the month before. Inflation says hike, jobs say stop. Three major central banks deciding across three consecutive days. Flows cannot reprice all of that in a single night. They need time to redistribute. That is why I am not drawing conclusions from the market's first reaction. 📊 Where gold is stuck https://www.tradingview.com/x/bmDuqoTv/ On the 1 hour chart, gold sits at 4,299, hugging the 10 EMA at 4,294, with RSI around 47.8. No clear momentum either way. The short term resistance zone I have marked is 4,413 to 4,455. It lines up with the 0.382 Fibonacci level at 4,413.68 of the decline from the 4,695 high to the 3,958 low, and it also lines up with the area that has capped price several times in September. The short term support zone is 4,169 to 4,229. The 0.618 Fibonacci sits at 4,239.62, just above the top of that zone. The low of the Fed session on 16 September was 4,235, which means price tagged the edge of the zone and bounced straight back. The rising trendline drawn from the July low has been broken, so I no longer treat this as one continuous uptrend. My forecast is that gold stays stuck between 4,169 and 4,455 until a daily candle closes decisively outside the range. 🎯 What I am thinking https://www.tradingview.com/x/Lpew82fD/ I am not betting on either side of the meeting. I wait for the reaction first. For the 4,169 to 4,229 support zone, I treat it as an area to watch for a chance to trade with the direction the money is moving, not an area to catch a falling knife. The condition is that price has to show it is stopping right there, not simply touching it. For the 4,413 to 4,455 resistance zone, I treat it as a place to trim a position if I am holding, not a place to short just because the chart has a horizontal line there. Sellers need to be very careful here. Yields at a nineteen year high, the dollar recovering and printing a short term top, the Fed just hiked and is threatening more. And gold still refuses to break down. When bad news stops pushing price any lower, it is usually because someone is buying underneath. The fund numbers above show there really is someone there. ⚠️ What would prove me wrong The scenario that most clearly proves me wrong is oil cooling off. This whole inflation story rests on the oil price. Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline was hit by drones on 11 September and has been shut since, pushing oil up almost 24% in a month. If the repair is as quick as the US Energy Department says, a matter of days, then oil falls, inflation cools and the Fed has its excuse to stop. The story changes completely at that point. The second scenario is the BoJ hiking but signalling softly. The dollar holds its strength and gold loses the support it was getting from the currency side. And if price closes a daily candle below 4,169, I drop the entire range scenario above. The next area below is the 0.786 Fibonacci at 4,115. This is my personal view, not a recommendation to buy or sell. Your money, your decision. --- P/S: Don't forget to leave a Like and ask anything you'd like to discuss to trade better every day! Follow tohaitrieu on TradingView to stay connected for the long haul, and talk through each trade together. I believe sharing and discussion help us learn more, and make every analysis and every comment on TradingView more useful for everyone ⚡️

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

GBPTHB Eyes BoE Decision

Yesterday Recap 16/9/26 Yesterday, GBPTHB closed at 44.82 in the Thai market. UK inflation accelerated as expected, while Core CPI remained unchanged, indicating that inflationary pressure persisted. Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates, strengthening the USD and putting pressure on GBPTHB. Fundamental 17/9/26 Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous UK: 18:00 Interest Rate Decision | 3.75% | 3.75% UK: 18:00 MPC Rate Cut Vote | 0 | 0 UK: 18:00 MPC Rate Hike Vote | 3 | 3 Today's key GBP event is the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy meeting. The interest rate is expected to remain at 3.75%, unchanged from the previous meeting. The MPC vote is expected to show 3 votes for a rate hike and no votes for a rate cut. Markets will focus on both the interest-rate decision and details from the MPC meeting, as these could provide insight into policymakers' views on inflation and the future monetary policy path. A more hawkish-than-expected tone could support the GBP, while more dovish signals could pressure the GBP. Overall, GBPTHB is expected to remain highly volatile, with the main focus on the BoE, MPC vote, and GBP direction. Technical Analysis — GBPTHB 1H Bias: Sideway Price rebounded from 44.60 and has started to recover. If price holds above 44.70, it could move higher to test 44.75–44.77. However, failure to break above 44.75 could lead to a pullback or sideways consolidation. Markets are also closely watching the BoE meeting outcome today, which could increase GBP volatility. Resistance: 44.75 / 44.77 Support: 44.60 Target: 44.75 → 44.77 Cut Loss: 44.59

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

EMICO ELICON

## Emico Elicon Ltd. (CMP ₹2,277.00, NSE: EMICOELICON) **The SmartWay Research Desk | 17 September 2026** A Rajkot‑based engineering company, incorporated in 1964. Emico Elicon Ltd. is engaged in manufacturing **industrial gears, gearboxes, material handling equipment, and precision engineering components**, catering to industries such as cement, steel, power, mining, and infrastructure. **Promoter Holding (Jun 2026):** **Patel Family & Associates — ~73.4% stake (no pledges)** --- ### FY22–FY26 Snapshot - **Revenue Growth:** FY26 revenue ₹1,142 Cr vs ₹982 Cr in FY25 (+16.3% YoY). → **Good** - **Net Profit:** FY26 PAT ₹142 Cr vs ₹118 Cr in FY25 (+20.3% YoY). → **Good** - **Operating Margin:** FY26 EBITDA ₹242 Cr, margin 21.2% vs 20.4% last year (+80 bps). → **Good** - **Equity Capital:** Stable, face value ₹10. → **Good** - **Dividend Policy:** Dividend ₹4.00/share declared for FY26. → **Good** - **Asset Building:** Investments in **gearbox technology upgrades and export expansion**. → **Good** - **Sales:** Strong demand from **cement, steel, and mining industries**. → **Good** - **Expense:** Raw material cost pressures (steel, alloys) remain. → **Neutral/Good** - **EPS:** FY26 EPS ₹28.25 vs ₹23.50 last year (+20.2%). → **Good** --- ### Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends (Jun 2026) - **Promoter Holding:** ~73.4% (no pledges) - **FII Holding:** ~2.8% - **DII Holding:** ~4.6% - **Retail & Others:** ~19.2% --- ### Strategic Moves & Innovations - Expansion in **precision gearboxes for heavy industries**. - Focus on **exports to Europe and Middle East markets**. - Partnerships with **OEMs for long‑term supply contracts**. - Diversification into **material handling and automation solutions**. --- ### Cash Flow & Balance Sheet Strength - Market cap ~₹2,800 Cr. - Debt‑to‑equity ratio ~0.32 (low leverage). - Book value per share ₹182.00; P/B ~12.5. - EPS (TTM) ₹28.25; P/E ~80.6. --- ### Risk Factors - Very high **P/E ratio ~80.6**, valuations extremely expensive. - Dependence on **industrial demand cycles (cement, steel, mining)**. - Exposure to **commodity price volatility (steel, alloys)**. - Competition from Elecon Engineering, Premium Transmission, and Flender India. --- ### Investor Takeaway Emico Elicon has delivered **robust FY26 performance**, supported by demand in cement, steel, and mining industries, alongside export expansion. With strong promoter backing (Patel Family, 73.4% stake), dividend payouts, and leadership in industrial gearboxes, Emico Elicon remains a **small‑mid cap engineering play**. At CMP ₹2,277.00, valuations are **extremely expensive (P/E ~80.6, P/B ~12.5)**, reflecting high growth expectations but also significant valuation risk.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

Nifty strategy for today

Nifty may open on gap down note as per gift nifty due to U.S Federal bank hikes rates in yesterday night so global markets may face pressure due to higher interest rates around globally so traders can follow the sell on rise strategy instead of buy on dips strategy. Boe,fed,Boj all banks are hikes interest rates so all equity indexes face some liquidity pressure in upcoming days. India vix traded around at 13 level which is comfort for options writers so traders take short position in the options at support and resistance levels. In yesterday trading session Nifty moving either sides in the narrow range and finally formed a classic doji on daily charts which is suggested nifty may move either down side or upside once breach the doji candle highs and low levels. Nifty buy strategy : Buy price :23150 stop loss :23050 target : 23260 Nifty sell strategy: sell price : 23300 stop loss : 23430 target : 23160 Stock of the day :Itc Ltd in this stock formed bullish marubozu candle on daily charts at support level due to cigarette prices hiked which is helpful to improve the topline margins so I am expecting technical rally in this stock from current market price. Buy price :262 stop loss :257 target : 272 Disclaimer : I am not a Sebi research analyst please take advise from your financial advisor before take any position based on my recommendation and drop a comment on my recommendation which is helpful me to correct my mistakes. Thanking for your support

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

KEEL | Weekly

NASDAQ:KEEL — HIEQ Model Quan Analysis | Where Are We on this TS Map? Firmly standing above the Trend E-line Δ of the Triple Trend E-line Δχγ, projecting an 83.6% 📈 potential for upcoming weekly rallies. The T rend- S upport HIEQ-Structure Δ continues to provide coherent, converging structural support at the precise confluence—generating impulsive energy for the extending Minor Wave 5 advance. Within the Trend Ray ψτ , a 222 % 📈 surge in total remains within the projected trend potential, while current levels may still be respected as an entry zone. The HPQ Target ➤ $9.63 🎯 remains unchanged for late October. #StrategicAnalysis #TrendAnalysis #MarketInfrastructures #FutureVision #TimeSpaceMap

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

AUDTHB Holds Bullish Bias

Yesterday Recap 16/9/26 Yesterday, AUDTHB closed at 23.72 in the Thai market. The MI Leading Index MoM remained broadly unchanged from the previous reading, suggesting that the outlook for Australia's economic momentum remained stable. Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates, strengthening the USD and putting pressure on AUDTHB. Fundamental 17/9/26 Key Events Today There are no high-impact Australian economic releases today. Therefore, the AUD is expected to be driven mainly by external factors, particularly the Chinese economic outlook, commodity prices, Risk Sentiment, and USD direction, which could affect capital flows into the AUD. AUDTHB has rebounded from 23.62 as markets increased expectations of an RBA rate hike amid inflationary pressure. Meanwhile, the Thai baht has been pressured by a stronger USD following the Fed's Hawkish signal. This could support AUDTHB's recovery toward 23.71–23.73. Overall, AUDTHB is expected to move within a range with a slight upside bias, with the main focus on Risk Sentiment, China, Commodities, and USD direction. Technical Analysis — AUDTHB 1H Bias: Sideway Up / Bullish Price rebounded from 23.62 and is recovering within the 23.62–23.71 range. If price breaks and holds above 23.71, it could move higher to test 23.73. However, failure to break above 23.71 could lead to a pullback or sideways consolidation. Resistance: 23.71 / 23.73 Support: 23.62 Target: 23.71 → 23.73 Cut Loss: 23.61

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

XAUUSD: First Fed Hike in 3 Years — Can Daily Support Hold?

📊 Market Context The Fed just delivered its first rate hike since 2023 — 25bp to 3.75%–4%, unanimous 12-0. Chair Kevin Warsh made the message unmistakable: inflation has been "too high for too long." The statement dropped references to temporary energy shocks, placed the burden squarely on monetary policy, and signaled one more hike may be coming this year. Middle East tensions were explicitly cited as a contributing factor. For gold, the macro read is straightforwardly bearish: higher real yields, a stronger dollar, rising opportunity costs for a non-yielding asset. Yet XAUUSD TVC:GOLD is sitting at 4,282 — right on a daily support zone that has been holding. This is a decision zone, not a breakdown zone. 📉 Technical Structure Price has pulled back sharply from the 4,697 swing high, printing lower highs and lower lows. Multiple moving averages sit overhead. The short-term trend is under pressure. Key levels: Resistance: 4,315–4,331 (MA cluster) → 4,350–4,371 (recovery zone) → 4,408–4,415 (major resistance) → 4,434–4,510 → 4,697 (swing high) Support: 4,276–4,282 (current) → 4,252 → 4,100 → 3,942 (higher-timeframe) 🎯 Core Thesis Below 4,350–4,371, the bias stays bearish. The cleanest setup is a short on a rejection into that zone — look for a bearish rejection candle, a lower high, and failure to reclaim 4,315–4,331. Confirmation from a stronger dollar or rising Treasury yields would add weight. Bearish targets: 4,252 → 4,100 → 3,942 (extended if macro pressure accelerates). A daily close below 4,276 would confirm the support has failed and sellers remain in control. ⚠️ Risk View But support hasn't broken yet. If 4,276–4,282 holds and price reclaims 4,315–4,331, a relief rebound is live — especially if the dollar fades, yields retreat, or the hike was already fully priced in. A sustained break above 4,350–4,371 would be the first real sign the bearish structure is cracking. Above 4,415, the bearish thesis is invalidated. 🔑 Conclusion The FOMC created a fundamentally bearish setup for gold — higher rates, elevated real yields, potential dollar strength. But price is testing daily support, not breaking it. My read: below 4,350–4,371, stay bearish. Watch 4,276–4,282 for the next move — a break below opens 4,252 and 4,100; a hold and reclaim of 4,331 shifts the tone. I'm tracking the dollar and Treasury yields alongside price for confirmation of the next XAUUSD move. Trade gold and major stock indices through Bitget CFD, including XAUUSD, the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq — and stay prepared for opportunities created by FOMC, CPI, nonfarm payrolls and Treasury-yield volatility. ⚠️ Risk warning CFDs are leveraged derivatives and can result in rapid losses. Losses may exceed your initial margin. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your leverage, position size and risk before trading.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

XAUUSD H1: The Floor Has Been Hit. Now Gold Must Prove It

Gold has already shown us where buyers care. The question is whether they care enough. On the H1 chart, price has repeatedly attacked the 4,253–4,260 area. Each time Gold enters this pocket, selling pressure struggles to continue. That makes this zone more than ordinary support. It is where liquidity is concentrated — and right now, it is the most important piece of today's chart. But there is one thing I do not want to do: Buy simply because support exists. Support gives us a location. Price action gives us the trade. 🧲 THE MAGNET BELOW PRICE Look at what happened around 4,253–4,260. Gold traded into this area, bounced aggressively toward 4,360, then came all the way back and tested almost the same floor again. For a new trader, think of it this way: Sellers have already pushed on this floor several times. They still haven't broken it. That makes another reaction interesting — but also dangerous, because every additional test puts more pressure on the level. So my first setup requires Gold to show its hand. If price sweeps 4,253–4,260, returns above approximately 4,269 and produces an H1 bullish reaction, I want the recovery trade. BUY: 4,265–4,275 after the reclaim SL: 4,242 TP1: 4,300 TP2: 4,318 TP3: 4,350–4,367 I am deliberately not chasing Gold around 4,290–4,300. The closer I can enter to the liquidity floor after confirmation, the cleaner the idea becomes. 🎯 4,318 IS WHERE THE EASY PART ENDS A bounce and a bullish continuation are two different things. That distinction matters today. Gold can rebound 30 or 40 dollars from liquidity and still accomplish almost nothing structurally. For me, 4,318 is the checkpoint. An H1 close above it changes the conversation. If Gold breaks 4,318, then pulls back and keeps that level underneath price, I would consider a second long setup rather than waiting for another visit to 4,260. BUY: 4,315–4,322 on a successful retest SL: 4,294 TP1: 4,345 TP2: 4,367 TP3: 4,395–4,402 Why 4,367? Because that is where the next real test begins. A market can bounce easily. Reclaiming old territory is harder. ⚠️ THERE ARE TWO DIFFERENT WAYS I WOULD SELL GOLD This is where today's plan gets interesting. I don't need Gold to be bearish everywhere to find a short. SELL #1 — Buyers reach 4,367 and run out of fuel If the recovery reaches 4,360–4,370, I start watching the H1 candles carefully. A clear rejection from that area followed by a close back below approximately 4,355 tells me buyers reached the next obstacle but failed to own it. Then: SELL: 4,355–4,365 after rejection SL: 4,378 TP1: 4,330 TP2: 4,318 TP3: 4,280–4,260 This is not a blind limit sell. No rejection = no entry. 🕳️ SELL #2 — THE FLOOR FINALLY GIVES WAY This is the scenario dip buyers need to respect. If an H1 candle closes below 4,253, the same liquidity zone that currently supports the bullish idea becomes a warning. But I still would not immediately press SELL. I want Gold to come back toward the broken floor and fail to recover it. That turns support into resistance. SELL: 4,250–4,260 after failed reclaim SL: 4,276 TP1: 4,235 TP2: 4,215 TP3: 4,190 This would also cancel my dip-buying plan. Once the floor is genuinely broken, I stop asking it to save buyers. 🔓 4,402 WOULD CHANGE THE CHARACTER OF THIS CHART There is still one level sitting above everything else: 4,402. Gold previously reacted aggressively from this region. So reaching 4,402 is one thing. Living above it is another. If H1 closes above 4,402 and the following pullback holds approximately 4,390–4,402, I would treat that as a much stronger structural recovery. My continuation setup becomes: BUY: 4,395–4,405 after confirmation SL: 4,375 TP1: 4,425 TP2: 4,443 TP3: 4,465 At that point I would stop treating the move as merely another bounce from liquidity. Buyers would have reclaimed meaningful H1 territory. 🧠 IF YOU ARE NEW, IGNORE EVERYTHING EXCEPT THIS Today's chart can be reduced to four decisions: 4,253–4,260 holds → buyers still have a launchpad. 4,318 reclaimed → the bounce gains credibility. 4,367 rejected → sellers may get another opportunity. 4,402 reclaimed → the recovery becomes structurally much more important. And if 4,253 breaks and fails on the retest, don't keep buying simply because the zone worked before. Markets don't owe a support level another bounce. Today I am not choosing between “bullish” and “bearish.” I am watching who survives the second test of 4,253. That answer could decide where Gold travels next.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept

Nvidia (NVDA) Bounce Likely Fails, Downside Targets $160–$188

The Elliott Wave outlook for Nvidia (NVDA) indicates that the stock is undergoing a larger three‑swing correction from its all‑time high of $236.54, recorded on May 14, 2026. From that peak, wave (A) concluded at $189.8 as a five‑swing decline. A corrective rally in wave (B) followed, terminating at $234.78. The subsequent wave (C) is now unfolding lower and subdivides into a five‑wave impulsive structure, confirming that the correction remains active. From the wave (B) high, wave ((i)) ended at $229.43, while wave ((ii)) retraced to $233.71. The decline continued with wave ((iii)) finishing at $217.2. A modest rally in wave ((iv)) reached $222. The final leg, wave ((v)), dropped to $208.93, completing wave 1 of a higher degree sequence. At present, wave 2 is advancing as a double three corrective pattern. From the wave 1 low, wave ((w)) rose to $216.76, followed by a pullback in wave ((x)) that ended at $212.5. This structure implies that the stock is likely to continue higher, aiming to complete a seven‑swing double three formation with a potential target zone between $220 and $225. As long as the pivot at $234.7 remains intact, rallies are expected to fail after completing the corrective sequence. This outlook favors further downside once the seven‑swing structure is complete.

TITradingView Ideas17 Sept