Reuters — page 4

EURUSD: Bears Remain in Control Ahead of FOMC

📰 Fundamental News & Price Action EUR/USD is facing downside pressure as the market focuses on today’s FOMC meeting. Reuters reports that the market is pricing in around a 93% probability of a 25 bps rate hike, taking the Fed funds target range to 3.75%–4.00%. The USD remains supported by expectations of tighter monetary policy and elevated US Treasury yields. Meanwhile, the ECB raised interest rates by 25 bps to 2.50% last week, but the EUR remained under pressure following the decision as markets remained concerned about the economic impact of higher interest rates. 📈 Key Resistance Levels & EMAs 🔴 SELL Zone: 1.1610 – 1.1617 * Strong resistance on the H1 timeframe. * Confluences with the previous accumulation/breakdown area. → If price retraces into this zone but gets rejected, this could be an area to watch for SELL signals. 🔴 Near-term SELL Zone: 1.1567 – 1.1574 * Currently positioned above the market price. * Supported by EMA confluence and a previous supply zone. → This is an important area to monitor for price reaction before expecting further downside. 🟢 BUY Zone: 1.1522 – 1.1527 * Demand zone near the current low. → If price continues lower and shows a strong reaction from this area, a technical rebound could develop. EMA Structure Price is currently trading below the EMA20, EMA50, and the longer-term EMAs, keeping the H1 structure tilted toward the bearish side. However, price is already relatively close to support, so chasing SELL entries around 1.1545 is not particularly attractive from a risk-to-reward perspective.

FOMC: What’s Next for Bitcoin?

Hello everyone!☀️ Today, September 16, the main event is the FOMC meeting (US Federal Reserve), with the interest-rate decision being released today 🧨🧨🧨 The probability of a 25 bps rate hike has sharply increased to around 92% according to CME FedWatch. And here is an important nuance going into the Fed decision ❗️ Even before the rate decision, we have already been dragged from $79,590 to $74,880, breaking through the very important $76K level. So by the time we get to the FOMC, the market is already heavily repositioned to the downside 🐻 Therefore, if the Fed delivers exactly what is already almost fully priced in — +25 bps — BTC could see a relief move even with a rate hike. Because the question is no longer just “Will they hike?”, but rather what they say about further rate hikes and the Dot Plot. Reuters has also pointed out that the market is particularly focused on the Fed’s forward guidance. Let’s try to connect this event to the chart and map out the possible scenarios. 🟢🦬🚀Bullish scenario. If $75K + the 4H EMA 200 hold the price before the meeting and BTC reclaims $76K, then the wicks we saw yesterday during the US session and today at the Asian open could turn out to be exactly the liquidity sweep I was referring to earlier: «…we could potentially collect some decent liquidity — at $76,219 and $75,538, respectively.» In other words, this could simply be a shakeout of weak hands ahead of the event. For the bullish scenario to gain strength, I would then want to see BTC reclaim and consolidate above the midpoint of the trading range at $78K. 🔴🐻🪓Bearish scenario. If $75K + the 4H EMA 200 break before the meeting, the structure becomes significantly weaker, and the chart will likely react much more sharply to every word coming from the Fed. 🔴🔴🐻🪓🔪⚰️Bearish x2 scenario $75K + 4H EMA 200 break directly during FOMC + a hawkish Fed. In this case, $73,300 comes into play. Let’s see what the Fed brings us. Peace 🌄✊🏼 ⚠️ Disclaimer: All information shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment advice. The author is not responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage your risks and make decisions independently.

Hormuz Shipping Traffic Remains Stuck in Single Digits

Tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz remains a fraction of pre-war levels, with four vessels traversing the waterway on Tuesday, down from seven the previous day, Reuters has reported, citing ship-tracking data. The data does not include tankers that have turned off their geolocation devices, the publication noted. Meanwhile, Windward reported just one tanker entering the Strait of Hormuz on September 15th—an oil product carrier. Per the data cited by Reuters, two tankers entered the chokepoint on Tuesday, and two exited. None of the four…

OilPrice.com•Irina Slav16 Sept

France would back Dutch veteran Knot to lead ECB: sources

France would back Dutchman Klaas Knot to succeed Christine Lagarde as head of the European Central Bank provided the powerful post of ECB chief economist went to a French candidate, people familiar with the matter have told Reuters.

• neutral toward European Central Bank · 99%

GOLD: Gold H1 Analysis – September 16

📰 Fundamental News & Gold Price Action Gold is recovering toward 4,328, but the market remains extremely cautious ahead of today’s FOMC meeting. Reuters reported that Gold was up around 0.8% as investors awaited the Fed’s decision, while the market is currently pricing in approximately a 92.4% probability of a 25 bps rate hike. The USD is also holding near multi-week highs amid expectations that the Fed will maintain a tighter monetary policy stance. → Therefore, the FOMC decision, and especially Powell’s remarks and the dot plot, will be the biggest catalysts of the day, potentially triggering significant volatility in XAUUSD. 📊 Key Resistance Levels & EMAs 🔴 SELL ZONE: 4,355 – 4,370 * This is an important supply zone on the chart. * It is located near the long-term EMA around 4,362. * The zone also sits below the descending trendline extending from the early-month high. → If price retraces into this zone and shows clear rejection, I would continue to prioritize SELL setups. ⚪ Zone: 4,315 – 4,305 * Price is currently trading around this area. * It is located near the medium-term EMA around 4,306. → Since this zone is very close to the current price, the **risk-to-reward ratio (R:R)** is not particularly attractive. It is better suited for waiting for confirmation rather than chasing an entry. 🟢 BUY ZONE: 4,250 – 4,262 * This is a demand zone that has triggered multiple price reactions. → If Gold drops sharply into this area and forms a bullish rejection, a BUY setup could be considered. → If this zone is clearly broken, the bearish structure would be further reinforced. 📌 Summary The H1 structure remains bearish, with 4,355–4,370 acting as a key SELL zone. The 4,315–4,305 area is too close to the current price, so the R:R is not particularly attractive. If Gold continues to decline, 4,250–4,262 will be an important BUY zone to watch. 👉 Key Levels: 4,365 / 4,350 / 4,325 / 4,300 / 4,260 Bias: 🔴 Bearish – prioritize SELL on rallies, but remain especially cautious ahead of the FOMC.

BTCUSDT: Breakdown confirmed, Bears eye lower levels

BTCUSDT is trading around 75,830 USDT after breaking below the 76,300–77,200 support zone. This breakdown was accompanied by strong selling pressure; with the price currently sitting below both the EMA34 (approx. 76,965) and EMA89 (approx. 77,210), sellers remain in control of the H1 market structure. The 76,300–77,200 zone has now shifted into a retest resistance area. If BTC rallies to this region but fails to reclaim the EMA cluster, I lean towards a scenario where the price continues to decline to 75,000, potentially extending to the primary target near 74,200 USDT. Macro factors today also reinforce the bearish outlook. Reuters reported a drop in Bitcoin to around 75,816 USD after the US Senate failed to pass a procedural step for the Clarity Act; meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield has surpassed 5%, and the market is pricing in a greater than 90% probability of a 25bp rate hike by the Fed in today's decision. This combination creates a rather unfavorable environment for risk-on assets. The bearish scenario would be invalidated if BTC decisively reclaims the 77,200–77,500 range.

We've been warned about AI — but could it actually kill humanity? | About That

Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon resigned over concerns that artificial intelligence could cause human extinction within the next decade — and a slew of warnings have followed. Andrew Chang explains the spectrum of potential dangers posed by the 'intelligence explosion' worrying AI industry employees and experts. (Photo credits: The Canadian Press, Reuters, Adobe Stock and Getty Images)

CBC News15 Sept

Boeing nears deal to salvage 150-jet Turkish Airlines order: Reuters

Boeing is nearing an agreement to finalize Turkish Airlines’ purchase of up to 150 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft…

AeroTime•Stephen Pope15 Sept

• critical toward Boeing · 82%

Saudi Arabia cuts oil shipments to Europe after pipeline shutdown: Reuters

The pipeline shutdown may lead to shifts in European oil supply chains and heighten crude price volatility, impacting global energy markets.

CryptoBriefing•Estefano Gomez15 Sept

ADNOC Scoops Up Iraqi Crude at $25 Per Barrel Discount

ADNOC is buying tens of millions of barrels of deeply discounted Iraqi crude, processing much of it at home and freeing more of its own barrels for export through a route that avoids the Strait of Hormuz. The UAE producer agreed to buy 32 million barrels of Iraqi crude for August at discounts of $24.90 to $27 per barrel and another 40 million barrels for September, according to sources cited by Reuters. September purchases included 10 million barrels discounted by $18 and another 30 million barrels discounted by $25. Actual liftings have been smaller…

OilPrice.com•Julianne Geiger15 Sept

Saudi Arabia halts oil loadings at Yanbu after pipeline attacks: Reuters

The halt in Saudi oil loadings underscores vulnerabilities in global supply chains, potentially escalating energy prices and geopolitical tensions.

CryptoBriefing•Estefano Gomez15 Sept

Drone Strikes Cripple Half of Russia's Top Diesel Refineries

Three of Russia's six largest diesel-producing refineries are now either shut or operating at roughly one-quarter capacity after Ukrainian drone attacks damaged plants that together form the backbone of the country's fuel system. The six refineries—Omsk, Kirishi, Taneco, Volgograd, NORSI and Perm—account for roughly half of Russia's diesel production, according to Reuters calculations based on market data. Kirishi is completely offline. Volgograd and NORSI are running at about 25% of nameplate capacity. Taneco was struck Sunday. The…

OilPrice.com•Julianne Geiger15 Sept

LNG demand in China, India, Pakistan to rebound post US-Iran conflict: Reuters

LNG demand in China, India, and Pakistan is expected to rebound after the US-Iran conflict ends. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 16% YE.

CryptoBriefing•Estefano Gomez15 Sept

GBPUSD | Bearish Rejection & Downside Potential Setup

GBPUSD | Bearish Rejection & Downside Potential Setup Fundamental View GBPUSD remains under pressure as the U.S. dollar strengthens ahead of the Federal Reserve’s September 15–16 meeting. Markets are now heavily pricing a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike, with Reuters reporting that 85% of economists expect the move. Rising U.S. Treasury yields are also supporting the dollar, with the 10-year yield recently moving above 5%, increasing pressure on GBPUSD. This combination of stronger USD momentum, elevated yields and increased Fed-hike expectations creates a challenging environment for the pound in the short term. Technical View On the 1H chart, GBPUSD is showing a clear bearish structure after rejecting the descending trendline and the 1.35051–1.35111 resistance area. Price is currently trading below the Supertrend, while the descending trendline continues to cap upside attempts. The recent rejection suggests sellers remain active around the resistance/BSL zone. A sustained break below the 1.34634 support area could open the way toward the first target at 1.34386, followed by the broader downside target at 1.33985. SMC View From an SMC perspective, the recent move toward the 1.3500–1.3511 region can be viewed as a potential buy-side liquidity sweep followed by rejection. The failure to hold above the descending trendline strengthens the bearish structure. If sell-side liquidity below 1.34634 is taken decisively, GBPUSD could continue toward the lower liquidity zones around 1.34386 and 1.33985. This Move Is Supported By • Strengthening U.S. dollar • Increased Fed rate-hike expectations • Elevated U.S. Treasury yields • Rejection from the descending trendline • Bearish 1H market structure • Rejection from the 1.35051–1.35111 area • Potential sell-side liquidity below 1.34634 Trading Scenario Bearish Scenario: If GBPUSD remains below 1.35051 and sellers maintain control, the bearish continuation setup remains in focus. A confirmed break below 1.34634 could expose: Target 1: 1.34386 Target 2: 1.33985 Bullish Invalidation Scenario: A sustained move above 1.35111 would weaken the immediate bearish structure and invalidate this setup. A strong breakout above the descending trendline would then require a reassessment of the bearish thesis. Key Levels Resistance: 1.35051 Invalidation: 1.35111 Support: 1.34634 Target 1: 1.34386 Final Target: 1.33985 Professional Insights The 1.35051–1.35111 zone is the key decision area for this setup. As long as GBPUSD remains below this region and the descending trendline, sellers retain the short-term technical advantage. The most important confirmation would be a clean break and acceptance below 1.34634. A temporary wick below support should not automatically be treated as a confirmed breakdown; a sustained move or retest would provide stronger confirmation. Risk Management Major central-bank events can create sharp volatility, liquidity sweeps and false breakouts. Avoid relying solely on one technical level and manage position size according to your individual risk tolerance. The 1.35111 level is the key invalidation for this bearish setup. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, especially around major central-bank decisions. Always conduct your own research and apply appropriate risk management.

EURUSD | Bearish Continuation & Downside Potential Setup

EURUSD | Bearish Continuation & Downside Potential Setup Fundamental View EURUSD is facing renewed selling pressure as markets increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at this week’s September 15–16 meeting. A Reuters poll showed 85% of economists expecting a 25-basis-point hike, while market pricing has moved even higher. At the same time, rising U.S. Treasury yields are supporting the U.S. dollar and widening the yield advantage in favor of the USD. The 10-year Treasury yield has moved toward the 5% area, adding pressure to EURUSD. Technical View EURUSD is showing bearish pressure as sellers attempt to maintain control below the 1.15707 resistance zone. As long as price remains below 1.15707, the bearish structure remains in focus. A sustained break below 1.15200 support could increase downside momentum and expose the 1.14595 target area. However, the Fed decision and forward guidance could create significant volatility, so confirmation around the key levels remains important. SMC View From an SMC perspective, the current structure suggests sellers are defending the premium/resistance area around 1.15707. A failure to reclaim this zone could keep downside liquidity below 1.15200 as the next area of interest. If 1.15200 is decisively broken, the move toward 1.14595 would represent a deeper liquidity expansion. The 1.16000 area remains the key invalidation level for this bearish thesis. This Move Is Supported By • Rising expectations for a Fed rate hike • Higher U.S. Treasury yields • Renewed USD strength • Wider U.S.–Eurozone yield differentials • Bearish price structure below 1.15707 • Potential downside liquidity below 1.15200 Trading Scenario Bearish Scenario: If EURUSD continues to reject 1.15707 and sellers regain control below 1.15200, the bearish continuation scenario remains in focus. A confirmed breakdown below 1.15200 could open the path toward 1.14595. Bullish Invalidation Scenario: A sustained move above 1.15707 would weaken the immediate bearish setup. A decisive break and hold above 1.16000 would invalidate the bearish thesis and require a reassessment of the setup. Key Levels Resistance: 1.15707 Support: 1.15200 Bearish Target: 1.14595 Invalidation: 1.16000 Professional Insights The 1.15707–1.16000 area is the key decision zone for this setup. As long as EURUSD remains below this region, the bearish scenario remains technically valid. For stronger confirmation, I would look for a rejection from resistance followed by a clean break of 1.15200. A simple intraday spike below support should not automatically be treated as a confirmed breakdown; a sustained move or retest would provide stronger confirmation. Risk Management Avoid treating the resistance or support levels as guaranteed reversal points. Major central-bank events can produce sharp liquidity sweeps and false breakouts. The 1.16000 level is the key invalidation for this bearish setup. Position sizing should remain consistent with your individual risk tolerance. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, particularly around major central-bank decisions. Always conduct your own research and apply appropriate risk management.

BTCUSDT: Channel Breakout, Bulls Push Higher

BTCUSDT is trading around 77,930 USDT after breaking out of a descending channel and briefly pushing toward the 79,200 level. The current pullback is bringing the price back to retest the breakout zone around 77,700–78,000, an area that also converges with a cluster of short-term EMAs. If BTC holds this zone and buying pressure returns, I lean toward a scenario where the price continues to recover to 79,200–79,500, subsequently extending toward the primary target near 80,500 USDT. Losing the 77,500 level would make the current breakout look less convincing. On the macro front, Reuters reports improving ETF inflows and increasingly bullish positioning in the options market, while today's vote on the Clarity Act could serve as a specific catalyst for the crypto sector.

Musk Drops Apple Lawsuit Over ChatGPT Siri Deal, Keeps Suing OpenAI

Elon Musk's companies X Corp and SpaceXAI today asked the court to dismiss their claims in a lawsuit filed against Apple in 2025, reports Reuters . There was no explanation for the dismissal request or mention of a settlement. The filing also does not ask for the dismissal of claims against OpenAI. Plaintiffs have resolved their claims in this Action against Defendant Apple Inc. ("Apple"). Plaintiffs accordingly move under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 41(a)(2) to dismiss with prejudice their claims against Apple. Apple does not oppose this Motion. For the avoidance of doubt, Plaintiffs do not seek to dismiss any of their claims against Defendants OpenAI Foundation (f/k/a OpenAI, Inc.); OpenAI, L.L.C.; and OpenAI OpCo, LLC. A dismissal with prejudice will prevent the claims from being refiled in the future. The lawsuit accused Apple and OpenAI of conspiring to "ensure their continued dominance" in the AI market. The lawsuit suggested Apple was "blindsided by major innovations in AI," leading it to team up with OpenAI in a "desperate bid to protect its smartphone monopoly." Musk's companies complained that Grok did not have the same level of iOS integration as ChatGPT did through Siri , and accused Apple of deprioritizing the apps of competing generative AI chatbots and X in the App Store . The lawsuit asked for billions in damages for Apple's alleged stifling of AI industry innovation. Apple said it was "widely known that [it] intends to partner with other generative AI chatbots" in the future, and said the claims were based on "speculation on top of speculation." Apple asked the court to dismiss the lawsuit back in October, but the request was denied. Tags: ChatGPT , Elon Musk , Apple Lawsuits , OpenAI , Siri This article, " Musk Drops Apple Lawsuit Over ChatGPT Siri Deal, Keeps Suing OpenAI " first appeared on MacRumors.com Discuss this article in our forums

MacRumors•Juli Clover14 Sept

NASDAQ 100: Three Forces Driving Tech Right Now

NASDAQ 100 is trading near 29,268 after bouncing from the 28,920 support area. The move is not just technical — three forces are pulling the market in different directions. First, AI sentiment is under pressure. Reuters reports that global AI-linked stocks fell after major AI leaders called for slowing development because of safety risks. This hit chip and AI infrastructure names, including Nvidia, AMD, SoftBank and ASML. For NASDAQ, this matters because AI optimism has been one of the main drivers behind tech valuations. Second, valuation pressure remains a risk. When bond yields stay elevated, expensive growth and semiconductor stocks become more vulnerable to profit-taking. Third, the chart is trying to stabilize. NASDAQ defended 28,920 and reclaimed EMA 9 and SMA 50, while RSI improved and MACD turned positive. However, the index still needs to break the 29,308–29,350 resistance zone to confirm a stronger recovery. Scenario: above 29,350, buyers may target 29,750. If price rejects from this zone, 29,150, 29,000 and 28,920 return to focus. Key idea: AI headlines are negative, but the chart has not broken down. NASDAQ is caught between weaker AI sentiment and a technical rebound from support. ⚠️ Not financial advice.

Chevron Targets Four Continents in New LNG Expansion Drive

Chevron is looking at expanding its natural gas business and opportunities in Argentina, the Mediterranean, Africa, and Australia, as it aims to offer diversified LNG supply to its customers, Freeman Shaheen, President of Global Gas at Chevron, told Reuters on Monday. The energy crisis in the wake of the Middle East conflict that trapped LNG supply from Qatar and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has prompted buyers to seek diversification and diverse contracting structures. “What we're seeing from this crisis is that it just reinforces the…

OilPrice.com•Michael Kern14 Sept

Bitcoin Options Traders Turn Bullish for the First Time in 12 Months

Bitcoin’s derivatives market is doing something it has not done in a year. Derive data and Reuters reports that traders are paying more for upside than downside protection, even with bitcoin still nearly $50,000 below its October 2025 peak. Futures open interest sits at a hefty $52.64 billion, calls command 61.39% of options open interest, […]

Bitcoin.com News•Jamie Redman14 Sept